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Major league investments october 1 2012 economic and investment update
1. Major League Investments, Inc. Presents:
WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE
October 1, 2012
WEEKLY QUOTE CONSUMERS SPEND MORE - BECAUSE OF GAS PRICES
"Complexity is your While the 0.5% August gain in consumer spending was the biggest in six months, it
enemy. Any fool can was mostly attributable to retail gas prices rising $0.28 for the month. The
make something Commerce Department also noted a 0.3% drop in inflation-adjusted personal
complicated. It is hard income in August, an occurrence unseen since November. Consumer spending on
to keep things non-durable goods rose 1.7% in a month also marked by a 13.0% drop in durable
simple." goods orders - the biggest decrease in those bookings since January 2009, though
core hard goods orders rose 1.1% last month. 1,2
- Richard Branson
SEPTEMBER SEES MORE OPTIMISM
WEEKLY TIP The Conference Board's monthly consumer confidence gauge jumped to 70.3 in
Never leave money on September from its revised 61.3 mark in August. Economists polled by
the table when it MarketWatch thought it would come in at 65.0; instead, it reached a 7-month high.
comes to your 401(k) The University of Michigan's final September consumer sentiment survey hit a 4-
or 403(b). If your month peak of 78.3, a 4.0% improvement from August. 1,3
employer offers to
match contributions, EXISTING HOME PRICES RISE, NEW HOME SALES SLIP
strive to contribute The 1.2% annualized index gain in the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index for July
enough so that you get was the largest since August 2010. While new home sales fell 0.3% in August, the
the match. Census Bureau noted a 27.7% yearly gain in the category. At $256,900, the median
new home price also hit its highest level since March 2007. Pending home sales
slipped 2.6% in August, the National Association of Realtors stated.2,4,5
WEEKLY RIDDLE
What 3 numbers can GREAT Q3 ENDS WITH DOWN WEEK
you add together and Last week, the Dow lost 1.05%, the NASDAQ lost 2.00% and the S&P 500 lost
get the same result as 1.33%. All of this aside, the Q3 performance of the major indices was terrific: Dow,
when you multiply +4.32% to 13,437.13; NASDAQ, +6.17% to 3,116.23; S&P, +5.76% to 1,440.67;
them together? (All 3 Russell 2000, +4.88% to 837.45. The CBOE VIX fell 8.61% in the quarter. The
numbers are whole launch of QE3 helped make September the third-best month for stocks (so far) in
and positive and 2012. Oil ended the quarter at $92.01 a barrel, gold at $1,771.10 an ounce. 6,7,8
none of them are
double-digit.) THIS WEEK: The Institute for Supply Management's September manufacturing
PMI comes out on Monday; also, Ben Bernanke speaks about Federal Reserve
policy in Indianapolis. Tuesday brings monthly auto sales figures from the
Last week's riddle: Commerce Department. ISM's September service sector PMI appears on
How many cubic yards Wednesday, plus earnings from Monsanto, Marriott and Family Dollar. The
of dirt are in a hole that
is 9' deep, 8' long and 1'
September FOMC minutes are published Thursday, along with new weekly jobless
2. wide? claims figures, the Challenger job-cut report for September and a report on August
factory orders. The Labor Department will issue the September jobs report on
Last week's answer: Friday.
None - there are no
cubic yards of dirt within
a hole. % CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA +9.98 +22.03 -0.66 +7.45
NASDAQ +19.62 +25.07 +3.07 +15.99
S&P 500 +14.56 +25.16 -1.13 +7.41
REAL YIELD 9/28 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS -0.77% 0.16% 2.27% 3.10%
Sources: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov, treasurydirect.gov - 9/28/126,9,10,11
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly.
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This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any
Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ
Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of
Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered
to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX)
operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the "NYSE") and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago
Exchange, or ArcaExÂź, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data
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and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions - the NYMEX Division,
home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are
associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting
standards. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or
accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged.
Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional
services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.
Citations.
1 - www.cnbc.com/id/49212032 [9/28/12]
2 - www.businessweek.com/news/2012-09-27/pending-sales-of-existing-homes-in-u-dot-s-dot-fell-2-dot-6-percent-in-august [9/27/12]
3 - articles.marketwatch.com/2012-09-25/economy/34071953_1_lynn-franco-confidence-readings-consumer-sentiment [9/25/12]
4 - www.sfgate.com/business/article/Case-Shiller-index-Home-values-climbing-3894161.php [9/25/12]
5 - www.lvrj.com/business/ap-photo-nybz130-171418791.html [9/26/12]
6 - www.cnbc.com/id/49210305 [9/28/12]
7 - www.cnbc.com/id/15839285 [9/28/12]
8 - montoyaregistry.com/Financial-Market.aspx?financial-market=common-financial-mistakes-and-how-to-avoid-them&category=29 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=9%2F28%2F11&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=9%2F28%2F11&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=9%2F28%2F11&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=9%2F28%2F07&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=9%2F28%2F07&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=9%2F28%2F07&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=9%2F27%2F02&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=9%2F27%2F02&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
3. 9 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=9%2F27%2F02&x=0&y=0 [9/28/12]
10 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [9/28/12]
10 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [9/28/12]
11 - treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2002/ofm71002.pdf [7/10/02]
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Phone: 978-740-1011
michael.finer@majorleagueinvest.com