Keynote Presentation from Dustin Haisler & Paul W. Taylor at the New Orleans PCIO Summit in December 2015.

1. @pwtaylor | @dustinhaisler

3. Exponen'al Defined
Merriam Webster
adjective ex·po·nen·tial ˌek-spə-ˈnen-chəl
(1) very fast : increasingly rapid
First known use: 1704

4. Something Different is Going On
Chief Informa-on Officer
Chief Technology Officer
Chief Informa-on Security Officer
Chief Innova-on Officer
Chief of Performance
and Technology
Chief Data Officer
Chief Data Scien-st
Chief Digital Officer
Chief Insights Officer
Chief Architecture Officer
Chief Research Officer
Chief Resiliency Officer
Chief Customer Officer
Chief Analy-cs Officer
Chief Privacy Officer
Chief Connec-on Officer
Chief Bicycle Officer
Chief of Streets

5. Seeing Preferred Futures

6. Exponen'al Aging

7. Exponen'al Movement

8. Exponen'al Movement

9. Exponen'al Change
Ray Kurzweil
”Technical progress is currently doubling every decade. The
technological progress in the 21st century will be equivalent to
what would require (in the linear view) on the order of 200
centuries. In contrast, the 20th century saw only about 25
percent of progress (at today’s rate of progress) since we have
been speeding up to current rates. So, the 21st century will see
almost a thousand times greater technological change than its
predecessor.”

10. Exponen'al Change
Singularity University

11. Brushes with the Exponen=al

12. Exponen'al Inves=ng

13. Exponen'al Inves=ng
Vanguard

14. Bonds
Int'l
Small Cap
Mid Cap
Large Cap

15. Infrastructure
Security
xGov
eGov
Big Systems

16. Infrastructure
Security
xGov
eGov
Big Systems

17. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

18. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
A G R I C U LT U R A L R E V O L U T I O N

19. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
A G R I C U LT U R A L R E V O L U T I O N

20. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
A G R I C U LT U R A L R E V O L U T I O N I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N

21. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
A G R I C U LT U R A L R E V O L U T I O N I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N

22. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
A G R I C U LT U R A L R E V O L U T I O N I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N
8 , 0 0 0 Y E A R S

23. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N
8 , 0 0 0 Y E A R S

24. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N
8 , 0 0 0 Y E A R S

25. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N

26. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N L I G H T B U L B

27. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N L I G H T B U L B

28. Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U
I N D U S T R I A L R E V O L U T I O N L I G H T B U L B
1 2 0 Y E A R S

29. L I G H T B U L B
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

30. L I G H T B U L B
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

31. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

32. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
9 0 Y E A R S
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

33. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
9 0 Y E A R S
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

34. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
W O R L D W I D E W E B
9 0 Y E A R S
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

35. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
W O R L D W I D E W E B
2 2 Y E A R S9 0 Y E A R S
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

36. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
W O R L D W I D E W E B
2 2 Y E A R S9 0 Y E A R S
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

37. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
W O R L D W I D E W E B
2 2 Y E A R S9 0 Y E A R S
H U M A N G E N O M E
S E Q U E N C E D
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

38. L I G H T B U L B M O O N L A N D I N G
W O R L D W I D E W E B
2 2 Y E A R S9 0 Y E A R S
H U M A N G E N O M E
S E Q U E N C E D
9 Y E A R S
Adopted from Time Magazine & Singularity U

39. The World We Knew
The ShiC
The World Ahead
Exponen'al Government
Where to Start

40. The World We Knew

41. Finishing the eGovernment Experiment …

42. But Exponen:al is not just the new eGov …

43. Exponen:al is xGov …

44. Pivo=ng toward the Future

45. Pivo=ng toward the Future

46. Manual+Mechanical Means

47. Closed Expert Systems

48. . Infrastructure is King

49. A Compu'ng Mausoleum

50. Walled-Garden Mobility
Pivot to Open PlaHorms

51. 2 0 1 1
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 0
Private Everything

52. Outsourced Change

53. • States on track to meet revenue projections: 41*
• State debt levels decline for the first time in 28 years **
• Ending balances for cities nearing pre-recession highs, but still lower than
2006 levels
• State pension shortfalls approaching $1 Trillion - gap between promised
and available rising by 6% ***
* NASBO ** Moody’s *** Pew
Scarce Public Resources

54. IT’s Produc'vity Dividend
State governments are leaving
on the table
$11 Billion

55. Exponen'al Bow Wave of 1% Raise
Base: $50,000
Health Insurance: $15,000/year
Source: Portland State University
Hatfield School
1% Raise: $500
Health Insurance: $750 (+5%)
PERS, PTO, FICA, UI, Payroll Taxes: $220 (45%)
“Felt Raise”
to Employee
Cost to
Public Employer
Cost to
Taxpayer
Before Tax

56. Exponen'al Bow Wave of 1% Raise
Base: $50,000
Health Insurance: $15,000/year
Source: Portland State University
Hatfield School
1% Raise: $500
Health Insurance: $750 (+5%)
PERS, PTO, FICA, UI, Payroll Taxes: $220 (45%)
“Felt Raise”
to Employee
Cost to
Public Employer
Cost to
Taxpayer
Before Tax
$400

57. Exponen'al Bow Wave of 1% Raise
Base: $50,000
Health Insurance: $15,000/year
Source: Portland State University
Hatfield School
1% Raise: $500
Health Insurance: $750 (+5%)
PERS, PTO, FICA, UI, Payroll Taxes: $220 (45%)
“Felt Raise”
to Employee
Cost to
Public Employer
Cost to
Taxpayer
Before Tax
$400 $1420 $1800

58. The ShiC

59. Andy Grove’s Challenge

60. Moore, Metcalf and Reed

61. Moore, Metcalf and Reed
Exponen'al Compu'ng, Networks, and Social

62. US Teens: Social Media is a Chore

63. Behavioral ShiCs

64. Individual ShiCs

65. Organiza:onal ShiCs
S O U R C E : E X P O N E N T I A L O R G A N I Z AT I O N S

66. Societal ShiCs

67. IT Milestones

68. Everything-as-a-Service

69. Unbundled Everything

70. Unbundled Everything

71. What Does This Mean?

72. E F F O R T, A D O P T I O N C Y C L E S , T I M E T O M A R K E T
C A P I TA L I Z AT I O N I S E X P O N E N T I A L LY D E C AY I N G .
1 2 3

73. Change Is Exponen=al

74. V
The World Ahead

75. The Tech

76. Exponen:al Connected Devices

77. Exponen:al Compu=ng

78. Exponen:al Risks
TODAY
SOURCE: THE FUTURE X NETWORK (2015)

79. Exponen:al Cost Decay

80. The Future of Work

81. Work Today

82. F R E E L A N C I N G
N O T F R E E L A N C I N G
Work Today

83. Work in 2020
Freelancers Union

84. F R E E L A N C I N G
N O T F R E E L A N C I N G
Work in 2020
Freelancers Union

85. Millennials

86. Adap=ve Work Models

88. G O V E R N M E N T O R G A N I Z AT I O N S T H AT H A R N E S S
E X P O N E N T I A L T E C H N O L O G I E S A N D M O D E L S O F W O R K .

89. P E O P L E

90. P E O P L E
Infrastructure

91. P E O P L E
Infrastructure
People

92. P E O P L E
Infrastructure
People
Intelligence

93. P E O P L E
Infrastructure

94. Open Data
Leveraged Connected Devices (IoT)
Scalable Infrastructure
Exponen:al Infrastructure
Data Standards

95. Scalable Infrastructure

96. Leveraged Connected Devices

97. Open Data

98. Data Standards

99. Data Standards

100. P E O P L EPeople

101. Adaptive Organizational Structures
On-Demand / Hybrid Labor
Crowdsourced Work / Microtasking
Exponen:al People

102. Crowdsourced Work

103. P R O B L E M S S O L U T I O N S F U N D I N G
R E S E A R C H I M P L E M E N TAT I O N VA L I D AT I O N
What Else Can Be Crowdsourced?

104. On-Demand/Hybrid Labor

105. Adap=ve Organiza:on Models
L E A N - S TA RT U P
M O V E M E N T
A G I L E P R O J E C T
M A N A G E M E N T
H O L A C R A C Y

107. P E O P L E
Intelligence

108. Predictive/Contextual User Experiences
Exponen:al Intelligence
Performance and Innovation Metrics
Government-as-an-API
Third-Party Data Integration

109. Third-Party Data Integra=on

110. Performance Metrics

111. Contextual Experiences

112. Piecing It All Together

113. P E O P L E
Infrastructure
People
Intelligence

114. P E O P L E
Infrastructure
People
Intelligence

115. Government-as-an-API

116. “Real people getting stuff done with — not despite —
government has measurable economic and social benefits.”

117. In Ac=on

118. N E W U R B A N M E C H A N I C S
I N N O VA T I O N I N C U B A T O R S

119. N E W U R B A N P R A C T I C E S
P H I L A N T H R O P I C S U P P O R T F O R C I V I C I N N O VA T I O N

120. O F F I C E O F C I V I C I N N O VAT I O N

121. CHIEF INNOVATION/PERFORMANCE OFFICERS

122. I N N O VAT I O N L A B S

123. P U B L I C - P R I VAT E S H A R I N G PA R T N E R S H I P S

125. E N T R E P R E N E U R - I N - R E S I D E N C E
D E L I V E RY S T R U C T U R E S

126. I N N O VAT I O N D E L I V E RY T E A M S

127. C O D E F O R A M E R I C A : B R I G A D E S

128. E M P L O Y E E - I N N O VAT I O N F U N D S

129. Where to Start With

130. Where to Start With
1. Start: The Covey Admonition
2. Take a Principled Approach
3. Non Linear Path: The Grove Imperative
4. Go Where the People Are
5. Launch and Learn
6. Educate Yourself & Your Employees
7. Experiment Like You Invest
8. Start a Conversation With Your Network
9. Embrace Constraints
10.Don’t Be Afraid to do Big Things

131. Paul W. Taylor, Chief Content Officer
ptaylor@erepublic.com
@pwtaylor
Dustin Haisler, Chief Innovation Officer
dhaisler@erepublic.com
@dustinhaisler

132. www.exponentialgov.com