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More Slides from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ How Chronic Budget Optimism Helped Dig the Hole We are In Posted  February 20, 2011 Terms of Use:  These slides are made available under Creative Commons License  Attribution—Share Alike 3.0  . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook,  Introduction to Economics ,  from BVT Publishers.
The Federal Budget for Fiscal Year 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Budget Projections and Assumptions for FY 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Comparing assumptions with actual outcomes: An example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com Example:  Examination of assumed values and actual values from past budgets shows that the 2003, 2004, and 2005 budgets all overestimated the growth rate of real GDP for 2005
Chronic Overestimation of GDP Growth ,[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Chronic Underestimation of Unemployment ,[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Effects of Overoptimism  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
President’s Comments on the 2012 Budget ,[object Object],[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com Photo source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:FEMA_-_39841_-_Official_portrait_of_President-elect_Barack_Obama_on_Jan._13.jpg *See  http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/02/15/press-conference-president  for the full text of the press conference
President’s Comments on the 2012 Budget (continued) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Posted Feb. 20, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog  http://dolanecon.blogspot.com Photo source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:FEMA_-_39841_-_Official_portrait_of_President-elect_Barack_Obama_on_Jan._13.jpg

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How Chronic Budget Optimism Helped Dig The Hole We Are In

  • 1. More Slides from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ How Chronic Budget Optimism Helped Dig the Hole We are In Posted February 20, 2011 Terms of Use: These slides are made available under Creative Commons License Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics , from BVT Publishers.
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