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Trajectory Series
Bootcamp – Session 1
Dave Parker
www.dkparker.com
@DaveParkerSEA
https://www.dkparker.com/flat6-abu-dhabi-cycle1/
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Session 1 Agenda
¤ Intro
¤ Telling Your Story in 10/12 Slides
¤ Research & Competitive Analysis
¤ Markets
¤ Value Propositions
¤ Customer Development Data
¤ Awkward Co-Founder Discussions
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Presentation & Resources
¤https://www.dkparker.com/flat6-abu-
dhabi-cycle1/
¤https://www.dkparker.com/exit/venture-
ready/
¤https://www.dkparker.com/trajectory-
excerpt/
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About Dave
¤ 5X founder, Board Member, former SVP Programs at UP
Global (Startup Weekend + Startup America)
¤ Startup Next creator
¤ Startup Week
¤ Author – “Trajectory: Startup – Ideation to Product Market
Fit”
¤ 11 transactions – 9 sell side, 2 buy side
¤ VC/Investor
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Rules of the Road
¤ Ask questions as we go – especially if I talk too fast!
¤ Meta questions please! Not just about your company
¤ Don’t Ramble – I’ll interrupt
¤ Virtually…
¤ Network – you need to build you network for the future
starting today
¤ #GiveFirst – you have complimentary skills around you
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Score Yourself 1-4
Team: Why you, balanced team (talents, diversity), domain experts,
serially successful founders, great company experience
Idea: Are you solving a problem? New or existing problem, big category
(vs tool), early/late continuum, technical achievable, pain pill or vitamin
Product: do you have a product, how mature, customer first, solid design,
clear roadmap to scale
Market/Customer: big market (TAM/SOM), cash available, new or nascent
market?
Competition: How many incumbents, funding status, are you incremental
better or 10X better?
Traction: Customer validation, revenue, improving unit economics?
Timing: Why now? Are you late, early, too early?
Revenue Model/Finance: How will you monetize your idea? Do you have
a basic budget on spending, big or small economics
IP/Moat: Is your idea defensible? Can you build a moat over time?
Clear Ask: What do you need help with? Advice, funding, introduction,
help finding staff?
Total out of 40
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Venture Ready
Fast NO
¤ Market
¤ Team
¤ Product
¤ Traction
Slow Yes
¤ Idea
¤ Competition
¤ Business Model/Finance
¤ Timing
¤ Intellectual Property/Moat
¤ Clear Ask
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Addressing the Weaknesses
¤ Where were you weak
¤ How would you answer differently
¤ What can you change now – before final pitches?
¤ Don’t ignore the elephant in the room – investors won’t!
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Creating
Value:
Product,
Team &
Market
Business Model Breakdown
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Delivering
Value:
Price,
Economics,
S&M
Business Model
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Capturing
Value:
Reasonable to
Exceptional
Returns –
Traction & Idea
Business Model
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Creating Value:
Product
Delivering
Value: Price,
Economics,
S&M
Capturing
Value
Reasonable to
Exceptional
Returns
Defining Business Model
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Creating Value:
Product
Delivering
Value:
Marketing
and Sales
Capturing Value
Reasonable to
Exceptional
Returns
Defining Business Model
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Two Startup Epochs
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Epochs
¤ BC
¤ Pre Internet
¤ Pre Game of Thrones
¤ Pre Product-Market Fit
¤ Risk Capital
¤ AD
¤ Post Internet
¤ Post Game of Thrones
¤ Post Product-Market Fit
¤ Growth Capital
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Why Startups Fail
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Launch & Survive
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Judging a Startup – Bill Gross
Ultimate success – AT SCALE – Assumes good market
https://www.ted.com/talks/bill_gross_the_single_bigge
st_reason_why_start_ups_succeed?language=en
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Surfing Analogy
¤ The Wave
¤ The Board
¤ The Surfer
¤ The Trend
¤ The Product
¤ The Leader/Team
Market timing = bad waves
Small waves are bad
Bad product
Wrong person/team for the market
Are all three lined up for you?
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Bring $$$
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Categorizing Your Solution
Product Service
B2B Salesforce Consulting
B2C Games For profit school
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What Problem/Opportunity
¤ What’s the problem
¤ Pain Pill
¤ Vitamin
¤ What’s the opportunity
¤ Solving for who?
¤ Can you create and capture value?
¤ Who will pay?
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Product & Companies
¤ Products aren’t fundable – Companies are fundable
¤ Lifestyle businesses – won’t funded
¤ Local vs. Scalable businesses
Which one will you be?
¤ Services vs Product
¤ Exit multiples
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Should you build it?
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And than there’s this ($120M)
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Pre-Mortem
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If Your Startup was to Fail, Why?
¤ What’s the number one reason
¤ Product
¤ Customer Acquisition
¤ Competition
¤ Lack of funding
¤ Rank
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10 or 12 Slides?
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Two Use Cases - Two Decks
Slides for Stage
¤ 10 Slides
¤ It’s a contrived event
¤ Check boxes for hitting
required elements
¤ Supporting Slides
Slides for Conf Room
¤ 12 Slides
¤ It’s about the dialog and
understanding the investor
questions
¤ Supporting Slides
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10/12 Slides for Your Pitch
1. Title, Value Proposition,
Contact Info
2. Presentation Overview*
3. Problem
4. Solution
5. Market Size
6. Competitive Analysis*
7. Traction/Timing – why you,
why now?
8. Product Roadmap/Demo
How You Make Money/Key
Metrics
9. Go-To-Market
10. Secret Sauce/Moat/IP*
11. Team
12. Clear Ask/What do you
need from Flat6
*for conf room pitch. Supporting
Slides – Architecture, etc.
Blog Post
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Famous Pitch Decks
¤ 30 Famous Pitch Decks
¤ Facebook, LinkedIn, etc
¤ Early to later stage
¤ Not all had great graphics
¤ Uber, AirBnB, Facebook examples
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Research & Competitive Analysis
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Research
¤ You are not the customer
¤ Methods of Research
¤ Blue Ocean
¤ Gartner Magic Quadrant
¤ Documentation and Analysis
¤ Google Search – what are the keywords someone would
type to find your solution
¤ Crunchbase Search – funding, timing, categories
¤ Competitive Product/Service pricing
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Pattern Matching
¤ Stage
¤ Customer Type
¤ Categories
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Research
¤ Create a Google Sheet with your research
¤ One tab for research, one for competitors
¤ Who has written about your market
¤ Professionals, bloggers, others
¤ Who has raised capital in this market
¤ What’s the state of the “Wave?”
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Competitor List & Notes
Competitor URL Crunchbase
Link
Amount
Funded
Team Features Notes
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Specific Competitors
¤ Feature List
¤ Product positioning
¤ Gaps
¤ Pricing
¤ Target customer/profile
¤ Marketing approach
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Getting Data
¤ Right Mouse click
¤ Keywords, meta data
¤ Pull keywords for competitors – Google Sheet
¤ Tools
¤ https://www.semrush.com/
¤ https://topics.seomonitor.com/query
¤ Google Keyword tool
¤ Social
¤ https://www.rivaliq.com/
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Getting Data – B2C
¤ Playstore/App Store
¤ One Star
¤ Four Star
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Who has tried this before?
¤ What about Analyst report?
¤ Why did they fail?
¤ Use Wayback Machine to look back
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Looking Back
¤ Feature List – then and now
¤ Product Positioning
¤ Pricing changes over time
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Competitive Tech Stack
¤ Builtwith
¤ Mixpanel
¤ StackShare
¤ Siftery
¤ Ghostery – MarTec Stack
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Updates
¤ Subscribe to Google Alerts
¤ Competitors
¤ Thought leaders
¤ Analysts
¤ RSS Reader
¤ Specific pages within competitors
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A Note Regarding Biases
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Questions?
Where to source your data for
your research?
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Competitive Slide Examples
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Lunch – 60 Minutes
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Markets
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Market Sizing
¤ How big is the market
¤ Cairo
¤ GCC
¤ MENA
¤ Global
¤ How do you put a BD amount to it?
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Ideal Customer Profile
B2B
¤ Company type
¤ Vertical
¤ Size/Stage
¤ Buyer profile
¤ User profile
B2C
¤ Profile
¤ Demographic
¤ “Name”
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Who is the Market & Customer
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Total Addressable Market
¤ Also called Total Available Market
¤ Think global – launch local
¤ The Upside
¤ Calculating – bottom up, Total number of customers X
Annual Revenue for your product
¤ Direct Data
¤ Explicate data
¤ Indirect Data
¤ Implicit data
¤ Triangulation Data
¤ A combination of different data sources
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Service Addressable Market
¤ Or Serviceable Available Market
¤ The part of the market that can actually be reached
¤ Sales and Marketing driven
¤ With the features you have now
¤ With the product roadmap you have
¤ Competition
¤ Not everyone that might use it, if they found it, if it was in
their language and currency
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Service Obtainable Market
¤ The subset of the market you can capture
¤ A proxy for short term upside
¤ Not Aspirational
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Who is the Market & Customer
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Launch Addressable Market
¤ Given you TAM, SAM and SOM – WHO is the customer?
¤ And limited features
¤ Who can you sell to today?
¤ B2B
¤ B2C
¤ Buyer profile
¤ What features will you need to launch to expand your
market and price?
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10, 100, 1000 Customers
¤ Have a plan for how you get your first customers
¤ 10 – it’s you and your co-founder
¤ 100 – still you, maybe one insides salesperson, forming a
process to scale
¤ 1000 – not you, scalable process
¤ Your LAM maps to your Go-to-Market (GTM)
¤ Customer
¤ Value Prop
¤ Pricing
¤ Marketing Spend and Sales effort
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Market Conditions
¤ Nascent/New market
¤ Uber, AirBnB
¤ Large markets - >$100M or $1B
¤ Large market provide “at bat” opportunities
¤ Small markets suck
¤ Headwinds or tailwinds?
¤ Covid
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Who is your customer?
¤ Product vs. Services
¤ Product is something you can deliver or ship – can you make
$$ while you sleep
¤ Services require people to deliver on the value and promise
– consulting or a restaurant
¤ Who pays the bill?
¤ A business
¤ The Consumer
¤ The product user and who pays can be different as in
Facebook or Google that make money on advertising
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Why/How do they buy?
¤ Make Money vs. Save Money?
¤ Searching for product
¤ Needs to be sold
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Market Size Examples
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Exercise - How Big is Your Market
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Dave’s Madlibs Pitch
Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company
name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our
product <insert product info here> is designed for our target
customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by
<insert method here> and our team is the right team because
<insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help
needed here>.
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Value Proposition
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Positioning
¤ Positioning is holding a place in your customer’s mind –
not as everything, what’s memorable?
¤ Who is the initial customer
¤ Think about limiting service and customer first – before
you expand
¤ You’re not precluded from selling other services or products
¤ What claim or promise will you make?
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Don’t Bury the Lead
¤ Think of this like journalism
¤ What’s the headline?
¤ What’s the Lead?
¤ What’s the Story?
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Testing
¤ Each pitch is a rapid A/B testing
¤ Look for 1:Many opportunities to test your value
proposition
¤ Trade shows
¤ Peers
¤ Test tag lines
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Taglines
¤ The one sentence summary
¤ Pull from the Madlibs Pitch
¤ Benefits to customer – not features
¤ Simple
¤ Evolve with the company
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Branding
¤ You don’t have a big budget – so you can’t afford brand
advertising
¤ Start with brand neutral and build
¤ Memorable
¤ Phonetically easy to spell
¤ Avoid double letters, etc
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Exercise
¤ Write out:
¤ What makes you different?
¤ Why should people buy from you?
¤ Write your websites tagline and opening paragraph
¤ What claim/promise will you make
¤ Write your DRAFT Unique Selling Proposition
¤ Compare this to your Pitch
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Customer Development
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Customer Development
¤ Parallel process with Product Development
¤ “Get out of the Building”
¤ Develop for a few not Many
¤ Prioritize features based on Needs not Wants
¤ Validate with Revenue/Commitment
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What is Customer Development?
¤ Four Steps of an Epiphany – Steve Blank
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Customer Development Goals
¤ Acute focus on problem – not product
¤ Find out if customers care?
¤ What do they want?
¤ Determines the difference your product at launch and at
scale
¤ Feature priorities & Product Roadmap
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Customer Dev Mechanics
¤ Google Forms
¤ Structured questions
¤ Progression
¤ Easy to Hard
¤ What do you really want to know?
¤ Will they pay for it? How much
¤ Why will it fail
¤ Neutral, not Guided Questions
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Customer Dev Mechanics, Cont
¤ Build a list of interested parties
¤ Mail Chimp List setup
¤ Ask for permission to email
¤ Monthly updates –
¤ Format: “What we did, what we’re going to do and
where we can use your help”
¤ Regular frequency – be predictable
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What Not To Do
¤ You are not the customer
¤ Don’t tolerate a small sample set – this could delay your
success by Years
¤ Avoid “Selection Bias”
¤ “Isn’t our product amazing”
¤ No rhetorical questions
¤ No blind surveys
¤ Can’t outsource
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How Many Customer Interviews
¤ B2B – 25+
¤ Profile
¤ Job Title
¤ Type of Company
¤ B2C – 50+
¤ Demographic
¤ ¯_(ツ)_/¯ = bad
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Fundraising Note
You have opinions
You have Data
You get money!
Investors have opinions
They have money
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Hypothesis vs Fact
¤ If you are convinced you’re right you won’t be open to
radical feedback that could change the trajectory of
your business & life!
¤ Always testing what you think you know
¤ Permission to give negative feedback
¤ If this idea was to fail, why would it fail?
¤ Why is this idea stupid?
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Awkward Co-Founder Discussions
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Everyone Has Expectations
¤ Set up a process to get the expectations out in the open
¤ Pre-Incorporation
¤ Meeting 1 of 2
¤ Why do you want to do this
¤ Capital in vs out
¤ Timing of life
¤ Passion
¤ Go to Startup Equity Calculator
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Co-Founders – Part 1
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Co-founders, part 2
¤ Meeting 2 of 2
¤ Print out a copy- bring it to the meeting
¤ How far off are you? What responsibilities?
¤ At Incorporation
¤ Reverse vesting schedule
¤ What happens when someone leaves?
¤ Option pool 20%
¤ Why 50/50 is the only wrong decision
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Post Incorporation
¤ Milestones/Deliverables
¤ Slicing Pie
¤ Market rates
¤ Don’t over inflate
¤ Track time and contribution
¤ Regular meeting
¤ Weekly standups
¤ Make HR changes fast – they won’t get easier
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Dave’s Madlibs Pitch
Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company
name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our
product <insert product info here> is designed for our target
customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by
<insert method here> and our team is the right team because
<insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help
needed here>.
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Session 1 Deliverables
¤ Track your Venture Ready
Score Before/After
¤ What can you do over the next
90 days to improve
¤ Start drafting your 13 slides
¤ List your research, competition
and sources
¤ Outline your Market including
your TAM, SAM, & SOM (hint,
it’s a number)
¤ Write is your pre-mortem – if
you were to fail, why would
you fail
¤ Draft your value proposition
¤ Outline your existing and
required Customer
Development data
¤ Have your awkward co-
founder discussion
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Session 1 Deliverables
1. Title, Value Proposition,
Contact Info
2. Traction
3. Problem/Solution
4. Market – TAM, SAM, SOM
5. Timing/Competition
6. Product Roadmap/Demo
7. How You Make Money/Key
Metrics
8. Go-To-Market
9. Secret Sauce/Moat/IP
10.Team
11.Clear Ask
Supporting Slides – Roadmap,
etc.
Blog Post
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THANKS!
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Trajectory Series
Bootcamp – Session 2
Dave Parker
@DaveParkerSEA
www.GetTrajectory.com
@DaveParkerSEA
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Session 2 Agenda
¤ How Startup Make Money – 14 Revenue Models
¤ Pricing and Metrics that Matter
¤ Go-to-Market
¤ Traction and Product / Market Fit
¤ Pitch Reviews
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How Startups Make Money
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Do you know?
¤ Cost to Build Known Unknown
¤ Cost to Sell Known Unknown
¤ Price Known Unknown
¤ Profit Known Unknown
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How not to make money?
¤ Small transaction values are bad
¤ Small percentages are bad
¤ Not being able to capture value is bad
¤ Lumpy sales cycles are bad
¤ Long sales cycles are bad
¤ Pricing too low could kill your idea before you start
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How to Monetize Your Startup:
Revenue Models
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Business and Revenue Models
¤ Business Models – abstract framework of Creating,
Delivering and Capturing Value
¤ Revenue Models (part of business model) is the
framework of revenue, pricing, who pay
¤ Models Lean toward Tech and Product
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1. Fee for Service
¤ Example: Consulting Services company
¤ Use: B2B & B2C
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Project Revenue
¤ Cost of delivering (usually time)
¤ Gross Margin
¤ Services are hard to scale because they require people
to deliver including Restaurant, Contractors, etc.
¤ Services include markup on cost of goods sold
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2. Commerce
¤ Example: Amazon, AmazonSupply
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Wholesale or cost of goods sold
¤ Average Margin %
¤ Average Basket
¤ Commerce – Physical Goods- Wholesale, cost of goods,
retail, average margin, physical good
¤ Notes: Can mature into marketplace
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3. Subscription
¤ Example: Salesforce , Box, Spotify
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)
¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase
¤ Churn
¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product
¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
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4. Metered Servcie
¤ Example: AWS, Splunk, Azure
¤ Use: Favors B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)
¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase
¤ Churn
¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product
¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
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5. Transaction Fees/Rental
¤ Example: 99Designs, KickStarter, Elance, Chugg
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average transaction revenue
¤ Fee % per transaction
¤ Number of transactions
¤ Challenges: Margins are small (15%), need efficiency
¤ Notes: Don’t start too low
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6. Productize a Service
¤ Your offerings is generally complex and requires services
to deploy
¤ Gross margin on Services >35%
¤ Product development comes with services
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Examples: Moz, service company convert to tools.
¤ Challenges – difficult to make the transition away from
services
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7. Marketplaces
¤ Example: eBay, Alibaba
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Average Transaction Amount
¤ Number of Monthly Transactions
¤ Commission %
¤ Challenges: two sided market places require you start
with one side, value to seller & Product market fit (x2)
¤ Notes: critical mass or marketplace required
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8. Combinations
¤ Combinations business models happen for two reasons
¤ You don’t know which model is right
¤ At scale you can expand revenue sources
¤ Examples: Hardware sensors + software services to create
data analytics
¤ Challenges – most require scale or at least traction
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9. Lead Generation
¤ Example: Mint.com, AllStarDirectories, NetQuote
¤ Use: B2C & B2B
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Cost to generate traffic
¤ % conversion of form data
¤ Price per lead
¤ Challenges: Highly competitive, barrier of entry is low
¤ Notes: Conversion rates average 0.06%
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10. Gaming
¤ Example: King.com/Candy Crush
¤ Use: B2C Only
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Downloads
¤ % play
¤ Average in app purchase
¤ Challenges – tends to be “hit driven business”
¤ Notes: use in first 21 days is a predictor of success
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11. Advertising/Search
¤ Example: Google, Facebook
¤ Use: B2B – advertisers pay, users are free
¤ Key Metrics
¤ Traffic
¤ Click
¤ Avg. revenue/click
¤ Challenges – Scale, need >1M uniques/month to
consider the option
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12. New Media
¤ Example: SnapChat, WhatsApp
¤ Use: B2C only
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ K-Factor (Viral Co-efficient)
¤ Network effect of inviting others to join
¤ Challenges – K-Factor is hard. Little revenue until scale
¤ Notes: Everyone wants to! Not happening in B2B
¤ No revenue acutally required
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13. Big Data
¤ Examples: PatientsLikeMe
¤ Use: B2B
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Per API Call
¤ Per record pricing
¤ Frequency/recency
¤ To monetize data, you need to have the data in
advance or massive cash
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14. Licensing
¤ Example: Think Microsoft office license or server license –
before subscription. Content Licensing
¤ Use: B2B
¤ Key Metrics:
¤ Duration of license
¤ Upgrades & maintenance (20-25% annually)
¤ Use can be based on vertical market or geography
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Revenue Models– Pick Two
1. Fee for Service
2. Commerce
3. Subscription
4. Metered Service
5. Transaction Fee/Rental
6. Productize a Service
7. Marketplace
8. Combinations
9. Lead Generation
10.Gaming
11.Advertising/Search
12.New Media
13.Big Data
14.Licensing
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Break
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Pricing
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Your price will be wrong!
Increase it every year and
grandfather early customers for a
period of time
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Art or Science?
¤ Pricing is an informed decision based on data and
proven revenue modesl
¤ Benchmarks
¤ Comparable products
¤ Don’t start too low
¤ Cost base vs Value based
¤ What is the alternate for the “Job to be Done”?
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Pricing needs to cover
¤ Cost of Building
¤ Cost of Delivering and support
¤ Cost of Selling
¤ Customer Acquisition Cost
¤ Marketing expense
¤ Marketing team
¤ Sales expense
¤ Sales Team
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Cost vs. Value Based
¤ Cost based is mark up over expense
¤ Pay rate vs bill rate
¤ Mark up from cost of goods
¤ Value based is what you can charge for it
¤ Can be a range
¤ Depends on product maturity
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Jobs to Be Done Framework
¤ Clayton Christensen – HBS
“When we buy a product, we essentially ‘hire’ something to get a job
done. If it does the job well, when we are confronted with the same job,
we hire that same product again. And if the product does a crummy
job, we ‘fire’ it and look around for something else we might hire to
solve the problem.”
¤ What job is your customer hiring your product to do?
¤ Does it replace 20% of a staff person’s time
¤ Does it save them money, make them money
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Product Pricing
¤ First Product
¤ Staged pricing – up or down over time
¤ Second Product
¤ Staged pricing – up or down over time
¤ Launch timeline based on product road map
¤ Services?
¤ Could it improve you sales cycle
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A/B Testing
¤ With your hypothesis
¤ Hide the current pricing page
¤ Drive traffic to Pricing landing pages
¤ Squeeze page
¤ Test pricing
¤ Unbounce or other tool to tack
¤ Optimizes based on conversions
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Promotions
¤ Freemium
¤ Time based
¤ Early adopter based
¤ Percentage discount
¤ Grandfather early users
* Prices subject to change
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Common Errors
¤ Setting pricing too low
¤ Too opaque of a price will frustrate customer – especially
if it’s low
¤ Knowing the answer vs testing
¤ Positioning as “me too” just like your competitor, but less
¤ Same price for all customers
¤ ”Free for Life!”
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Where to Start
¤ Pick your primary/secondary model
¤ Do a competitive analysis
¤ Building a pricing hypothesis
¤ A/B Test
¤ Three tiers, maximum
¤ Price high and promo the discount based on time to
close
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Metrics that Matter
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What to track – best practices
¤ Marketing Metrics – “Marketing Motion”
¤ Ad Spend
¤ Traffic
¤ Marketing Qualified Leads (MQLs)
¤ Sales Metrics “Sales Motion”
¤ Outbound/Inbound
¤ MQL to SQL Conversion
¤ Business Development – Partnerships
¤ What’s in it for them?
¤ Pricing
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Lunch – 60 Minutes
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing – Finding the right
customers
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing – Finding Customers
¤ Messaging/Value Proposition
¤ Does it resonate with the target customer segment
¤ They are the hero of the story
¤ Is it repeatable?
¤ Strategy
¤ Outbound first
¤ Inbound second
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Key Metric Terms
¤ State your hypothesis
¤ CAC
¤ LTV
¤ ARPU
¤ Churn
¤ Time to Close
¤ Customer engagement
¤ Time on Site
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Organic
Search
Paid
Search
Word
of
Mouth
Sales
Calls
PR
Miracles!
Time
to
Close
Month
1
Month
2
Month
3
Month
4
$
Spen
d
#
Conv
#
Conv
#
MRR
Time
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing Channels
¤ Paid Search
¤ Organic Search
¤ Word of mouth
¤ Sales calls
¤ Public Relations
¤ Affiliate
¤ Email marketing
¤ Social
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Marketing Qualified Leads
¤ Define qualified vs list
¤ Suspects
¤ Prospects
¤ Qualified Prospects
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Sales Qualified Leads
¤ Hand off to Sales
¤ Identify steps to close
¤ Number of calls
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Time to Close
¤ Lead attribution
¤ Source time
¤ Compressing or Expanding
¤ Trend by source
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Tracking
¤ Data allows you to know where to double
down and where to hold back
¤ Conversion ratios
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Sales – capturing value creation
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
How will they buy?
¤ Web Direct – place the order to buy on the web
¤ Direct – outbound sales, inside/outside
¤ Indirect/Channel – fulfills demand, doesn’t generate
¤ Retail – BestBuy, etc
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Sales Model Hypothesis
Known
Market
Unknown
Market
Low
Price
Point
High
Price
Point
Known
Search
Words
Unknown
Search
words
Web Direct ✔ ✔ ✔
Direct ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Indirect ✔ ✔ ✔
Retail
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Sales
¤ Model – Pick one, why?
¤ Strategy
¤ Who
¤ Tactics
¤ How
¤ Tools
¤ Sales tools
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Business Development
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Business Development
¤ Strategic relationships
¤ Who has the list you want
¤ How do you get the partnership
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Business Development
¤ Strategy
¤ Who should you get as a partner
¤ How will you build the relationship?
¤ What channels
¤ Tactics
¤ Messaging/Value proposition
¤ Tools
¤ CRM
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Go-to-market plan
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Go-to-Market Plan
¤ Revenue Model
¤ Marketing
¤ Sales
¤ Business development plan
¤ Pricing
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Before the Program
¤ What are you priority tests?
¤ Do you need product final to do that test?
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Exercise - 30/60/90
¤ Write up your 30/60/90
¤ Marketing tests
¤ Channel spend hypothesis
¤ Lead source, cost
¤ Sales tests
¤ Initial Sales script
¤ Pricing
¤ High and low
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Traction and PMF
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Product Market Fit
Two Epoch’s of every startup
¤ Pre - Product Market Fit
¤ The only thing that matters is getting there
¤ Post – Product Market Fit
¤ A whole new set of questions – Scale, Culture and People
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Pre – PMF
¤ Some Revenue
¤ Some Customers
¤ Some Marketing
¤ A lot Hypothesis
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Post – PMF
¤ Predictable & Scalable Revenue
¤ Customer profiles
¤ Cohort analysis
¤ Churn
¤ Scalable marketing
¤ Hypothesis + Data
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
PMF Scorecard
¤ How would you feel if you could no longer use [product]?
¤ The answers are the following:
¤ Very disappointed
¤ Somewhat disappointed
¤ Not disappointed
¤ I no longer use [product]
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Tracking Over Time
¤ Churn Rate
¤ Net Negative Churn
¤ NPS vs CSAT
¤ Product usage level
¤ Frequency
¤ Recency
¤ Growth Rate
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
What is “Traction?”
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Predictable/Forecastable Revenue
¤ De-risking your <time> investment
¤ Predictable revenue moves you from valuations based
on trailing 12 to future 12
¤ Target customer
¤ Sales Cycle
¤ Tools trail Strategy and Tactics
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Customer Acquisition Hypothesis
¤ Cost of Customer Acquisition (CAC)
¤ Lifetime value of Customer (LTV)
¤ 36 month calculation in a mature business, 12 months for you
¤ Time to close sale
¤ How does this change with product/market maturity?
¤ Churn/Retention
¤ Average Revenue/measure (User, Account, etc)
¤ Word of mouth vs. Virality
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Financial Modeling Note
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Templates
¤ Do this after you get in the program – not highest and
best use today
¤ Four Templates
¤ Marketplace
¤ Subscription
¤ Transaction Fee (works for commerce)
¤ Productize a service
¤ Templates in shared Google Drive
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Financial Model Heuristics
¤ $0- $40 is likely OK
¤ Start with Assumptions
¤ Product 1, 2
¤ Services
¤ Release timing
¤ Scale Revenue first
¤ Customer count and timing
¤ Keep expenses in line as you grow
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Q&A
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Dave’s Madlibs Pitch
Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company
name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our
product <insert product info here> is designed for our target
customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by
<insert method here> and our team is the right team because
<insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help
needed here>.
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Pitch Reviews
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Trajectory Series
Bootcamp – Session 3
Dave Parker
@DaveParkerSEA
www.GetTrajectory.com
@DaveParkerSEA
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Agenda
¤ Fundraising Fundamentals
¤ Product and Company Roadmap
¤ When, Why and How to Pivot
¤ Pitch Reviews
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Fundraising Fundamentals
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Fundraising 101
● Stage appropriate capital = what’s the right
money at the right time?
○ Early – Angels, early stage VCs,
○ Later – Large venture funds
● Control shifts – Board roles, deal terms
● Dilution: every round of funding you will sell 25-
35% of new shares
● Bad boards = bad enterprise value
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Raising for What?
¤ 18 months of runway
¤ Not too short
¤ To hit milestones
¤ Product
¤ Customers
¤ “Use of proceeds”
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Angels
● Invest in you and your passion
● Like the market or idea
● Have made money in the sector before
● Something to talk about at a cocktail party!
● Deal type
○ Convertible note with a cap
○ Pro-rata participation (keep my % going
forward)
○ Highest risk – least educated (F&F) should
be best deal
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Early Stage = Risk Capital
● Know your numbers, if you don’t have your numbers
know your hypothesis (have a position)
● Seed stage VC’s are investing other people's money
○ Charter and Thesis
○ Stage, vertical market, size, geography
○ 10% (+/-) stakes plus syndicates
● VC perspective - Elusive deals need to be found
○ Revenue but Pre-product market fit
● ”Return the Fund” deals that can produce >10X
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Later Stage = Growth Capital
● Post product market fit
● $10K in marketing spend = Internal rate of return (IRR) of
how many days?
● MBA’s calculate returns – cash on cash
● Strategics aren’t valuation sensitive, but will be slow
● Bigger checks – 20% stakes
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Fundraising Process
● Enterprise Sales Process – landing multiple planes at the
same time
● Top of the Funnel
○ Research
■ Crunchbase (cheap) Technation UK
■ Pitchbook (expensive)
■ Angelist
■ Competitive deals (w/ Exits)
○ Create a forwardable email
■ Ask for approval
■ Follow with Intro
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Target Investors
● Targets – build a list of targets, look for LinkedIn
and/or email introductions
● They have invested in your market/stage in the
past
● They have Board experience for your stage
● They can help with strategic introductions
○ Investors
○ Customers
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
First Impressions Matter
● Targets – build a list of targets, look for LinkedIn
and/or email introductions
● They have invested in your market/stage in the
past
● They have Board experience for your stage
● They can help with strategic introductions
○ Investors
○ Customers
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Monthly Updates
¤ Using MailChimp Free Account
¤ Investors – Tagged
¤ Customers
¤ 30 day intervals
¤ What we thought
¤ What we learned
¤ What we’re doing about it
¤ Where we need help
¤ Regularly
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Tools for Pitching
¤Forwardable Email
¤Executive Summary
¤Presentation
¤ ~13 Slides
¤ More is OK if you have data/traction
¤Monthly Update
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Forwardable Intro Email
¤ Great blog post from Alex Iskold, Techstars NYC
¤ The associate needs to be able to repeat your
message
¤ Make it easy to get the introduction
¤ Avoid buzzword bingo
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Not
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Executive Summary
¤Two pages
¤ ”Don’t Bury your Lead”
¤ Your headlines and opening paragraph tell the
story (see slide 10)
¤ It’s designed to get the next meeting, not to get
a check
¤ Stay at 10k feet and out of the weeds
¤ Numbers should sync with deck and forecast!
You’ll be tempted to get out of sync – be careful!
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Deck
¤Generally lead with problem/solution format
¤However:
¤ If you have traction lead with traction
¤ If you’re in a complex market, you may want to
lead with your team
¤ Have one customer story arch
¤Include contact info
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Tools
● Google Sheets
● https://freebusy.io/ allows you to show your calendar
(including multiple Google Calendars) – save the back
and forth ($6/month)
○ Accept or rearrange
● Email tracker pro (chrome extension)
● Zoom Meeting – you control the variables (not free, 45
minute limit) ($15/month)
● Use tools that show professionalism, drive the meeting
schedule – don’t wait on their assistant
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
What’s happening with the VC?
● Most filter – sector, size, stage, growth, referral source
● Then Screen at Partner Meeting – looking for consensus
● Then invite in for presentation
● So! You need to make the presentation that the most
Junior team member has confidence repeating! Have a
lead within the firm
● No one’s writing a check from an Exec Summary or PPT!
Get the next meeting
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Due Diligence Process
• Deal Memo – internal memo used to validate
why they are leading the round – it will likely be
shared with other investors or future investors
• Document review post
• Data room
• Corporate Hygiene
• Customer calls – you likely have a few
customers, don’t over burden them with
random call.
• Meet with other investor
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Your Due Diligence
● Ask to talk to their portfolio company CEOs – ask for a
couple of companies they passed on investing as well
● Have a structured list of questions
○ Have they been a good investor
○ Give me an example of a time when they were
helpful
○ Give me an example of a time they weren’t helpful
○ Have they done the things they said they would do
when they invested
● Not all money is good money
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Tactics for dealing with VCs
● You want to create momentum or a sense of
momentum
● Create a reason to close – not a reason to wait!
○ Good news next month is a reason to wait
○ New features shipping next month is a reason to way
○ Booked revenue is a reason to close = increased
valuation
● Not all VCs are arrogant assholes (but many are)
○ Pattern matching – break the mold!
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Final Do’s and Don’ts
Do
● Keep your eye on the ball
– don’t miss your numbers
● Manage the process
● Qualify your investor
● Create optionality
● If there’s an ELEPHANT
room, call it out
Don’ts
● Get < 6 Month of capital
● Hide the ball on any bad
news
● Be too transparent
● Let the investor miss a
deadline – escrow
example
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Conclusions
● Broad funnel gives you the most choices
● They will be talking to other investors
● How you interact in the process will indicate
the future
● What do you need in addition to capital?
○ Go to market help
○ Product help
○ Know your blind spots
● Time kills ALL deals
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Product
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Product Vision
¤ Product vision is important
¤ Long term features
¤ Startup with PROBLEM not product – pivot product/
features around the problem
¤ It won’t be what you ship first
¤ What the world looks like before your product
¤ What the world looks like after your product
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Minimum Viable Product (MVP)
¤ Narrow and list features
¤ PowerPoint/Keynote first as your demo
¤ What screens do you need to show (e.g. do you need to
really show registration – answer no)
¤ Have them rank the features
¤ Prioritize the build based on the feedback
¤ More Customer Development Interviews!
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Product Roadmap
¤ What Features, When
¤ Quarterly targets based on
¤ Budget
¤ Available developers
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Cost to Build
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Estimating Costs
¤ Write specification
¤ Required for launch
¤ Design & Flow
¤ Post project on Fiverr.com
¤ PPT/Keynote first with design
¤ Test design and flow
¤ Revise specification
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
MVP Mechanics
¤ MVP Series
¤ Blog 1 – Launching a product
¤ Blog 2 – Writing a spec
¤ Blog 3 – picking a vendor
¤ Blog 4 – Contracts, Monitoring Progress
¤ Cost to market and sell – Next Month!
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Company Roadmap
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Company Roadmap
¤ Quarterly Targets
¤ Product
¤ Milestones
¤ People
¤ Hires
¤ # and who
¤ Customers
¤ Onboarded
¤ Revenue
¤ Cash out date
This is a
Supporting Slide
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Roadmap Cont.
¤ Roadmap is NOT dependent on fundraising
¤ If you raise capital, you move things forward in the roadmap
¤ E.G. items from Q4 move to Q2 next year
¤ Where will you be in 18 and 36 months
¤ Does it map to your financial model
¤ Maps to use of proceeds
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Quarterly Roadmap – 18 Months
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Highlight Key Milestones
¤ This is a bit of an eye chart, so highlight key milestones
¤ Product ship dates
¤ First revenue
¤ Key hires
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Lunch – 60 Minutes
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Pivoting
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
What is a Pivot?
¤ When a startup shifts business strategy to accommodate
industry, market, or customer
¤ The process of direct and indirect feedback changing
your business model
¤ Iterations vs. Pivots
¤ Iterations are course corrections
¤ Pivots are painful – we were in the tire business, we’re now in
apps
¤ Odeo and Slack
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
When & Why
¤ When – 90-180 days
¤ Get out of your head and get in front of the customer
¤ 50-100 customer interviews
¤ Build an email list
¤ Solid effort in Customer Development and no positive
signals
¤ Didn’t find a pain point
¤ Didn’t find payment
¤ Some exceptions – Enterprise is hard and slow… New Media
model is about growth not cash
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
How to Pivot
¤ Are you staying in the same TAM?
¤ Is the product wrong?
¤ Is the brand wrong?
¤ Focus on problem first, solution second!
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Post Pivot
Pain
Level
Willingness to Pay
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Session 3 Deliverables
¤ Pivoting –
¤ What’s your timeline
¤ What should you accomplish in 6 months
¤ Build your product and company roadmap
¤ Three year visual for Flat6
¤ 18 Month, category milestones for your financial model
¤ Fundraising
¤ List building
¤ Monthly Update email
¤ Forwardable Email
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Q&A
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
THANKS!
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Supporting Slides
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Fundraising Process
● Asking for advice vs cash
○ Who do you know that would like out type
of deal
○ What other things would you like to see us
complete before we talk again
● Deals that get closed are pulled by the
investor, not pushed by you
● Find your lead investors – keep the others
warm
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020
Pitch Prep
Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020

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Trajectory Startup Program Session Abu Dhabi Day 1

  • 1. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Trajectory Series Bootcamp – Session 1 Dave Parker www.dkparker.com @DaveParkerSEA https://www.dkparker.com/flat6-abu-dhabi-cycle1/
  • 2. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Session 1 Agenda ¤ Intro ¤ Telling Your Story in 10/12 Slides ¤ Research & Competitive Analysis ¤ Markets ¤ Value Propositions ¤ Customer Development Data ¤ Awkward Co-Founder Discussions
  • 3. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Presentation & Resources ¤https://www.dkparker.com/flat6-abu- dhabi-cycle1/ ¤https://www.dkparker.com/exit/venture- ready/ ¤https://www.dkparker.com/trajectory- excerpt/
  • 4. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 About Dave ¤ 5X founder, Board Member, former SVP Programs at UP Global (Startup Weekend + Startup America) ¤ Startup Next creator ¤ Startup Week ¤ Author – “Trajectory: Startup – Ideation to Product Market Fit” ¤ 11 transactions – 9 sell side, 2 buy side ¤ VC/Investor
  • 5. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Rules of the Road ¤ Ask questions as we go – especially if I talk too fast! ¤ Meta questions please! Not just about your company ¤ Don’t Ramble – I’ll interrupt ¤ Virtually… ¤ Network – you need to build you network for the future starting today ¤ #GiveFirst – you have complimentary skills around you
  • 6. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Score Yourself 1-4 Team: Why you, balanced team (talents, diversity), domain experts, serially successful founders, great company experience Idea: Are you solving a problem? New or existing problem, big category (vs tool), early/late continuum, technical achievable, pain pill or vitamin Product: do you have a product, how mature, customer first, solid design, clear roadmap to scale Market/Customer: big market (TAM/SOM), cash available, new or nascent market? Competition: How many incumbents, funding status, are you incremental better or 10X better? Traction: Customer validation, revenue, improving unit economics? Timing: Why now? Are you late, early, too early? Revenue Model/Finance: How will you monetize your idea? Do you have a basic budget on spending, big or small economics IP/Moat: Is your idea defensible? Can you build a moat over time? Clear Ask: What do you need help with? Advice, funding, introduction, help finding staff? Total out of 40
  • 7. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Venture Ready Fast NO ¤ Market ¤ Team ¤ Product ¤ Traction Slow Yes ¤ Idea ¤ Competition ¤ Business Model/Finance ¤ Timing ¤ Intellectual Property/Moat ¤ Clear Ask
  • 8. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Addressing the Weaknesses ¤ Where were you weak ¤ How would you answer differently ¤ What can you change now – before final pitches? ¤ Don’t ignore the elephant in the room – investors won’t!
  • 9. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Creating Value: Product, Team & Market Business Model Breakdown
  • 10. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Delivering Value: Price, Economics, S&M Business Model
  • 11. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Capturing Value: Reasonable to Exceptional Returns – Traction & Idea Business Model
  • 12. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Creating Value: Product Delivering Value: Price, Economics, S&M Capturing Value Reasonable to Exceptional Returns Defining Business Model
  • 13. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Creating Value: Product Delivering Value: Marketing and Sales Capturing Value Reasonable to Exceptional Returns Defining Business Model
  • 14. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Two Startup Epochs
  • 15. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Epochs ¤ BC ¤ Pre Internet ¤ Pre Game of Thrones ¤ Pre Product-Market Fit ¤ Risk Capital ¤ AD ¤ Post Internet ¤ Post Game of Thrones ¤ Post Product-Market Fit ¤ Growth Capital
  • 16. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Why Startups Fail
  • 17. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Launch & Survive
  • 18. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Judging a Startup – Bill Gross Ultimate success – AT SCALE – Assumes good market https://www.ted.com/talks/bill_gross_the_single_bigge st_reason_why_start_ups_succeed?language=en
  • 19. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Surfing Analogy ¤ The Wave ¤ The Board ¤ The Surfer ¤ The Trend ¤ The Product ¤ The Leader/Team Market timing = bad waves Small waves are bad Bad product Wrong person/team for the market Are all three lined up for you?
  • 20. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Bring $$$
  • 21. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Categorizing Your Solution Product Service B2B Salesforce Consulting B2C Games For profit school
  • 22. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What Problem/Opportunity ¤ What’s the problem ¤ Pain Pill ¤ Vitamin ¤ What’s the opportunity ¤ Solving for who? ¤ Can you create and capture value? ¤ Who will pay?
  • 23. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Product & Companies ¤ Products aren’t fundable – Companies are fundable ¤ Lifestyle businesses – won’t funded ¤ Local vs. Scalable businesses Which one will you be? ¤ Services vs Product ¤ Exit multiples
  • 24. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Should you build it?
  • 25. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 And than there’s this ($120M)
  • 26. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pre-Mortem
  • 27. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 If Your Startup was to Fail, Why? ¤ What’s the number one reason ¤ Product ¤ Customer Acquisition ¤ Competition ¤ Lack of funding ¤ Rank
  • 28. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 10 or 12 Slides?
  • 29. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Two Use Cases - Two Decks Slides for Stage ¤ 10 Slides ¤ It’s a contrived event ¤ Check boxes for hitting required elements ¤ Supporting Slides Slides for Conf Room ¤ 12 Slides ¤ It’s about the dialog and understanding the investor questions ¤ Supporting Slides
  • 30. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 10/12 Slides for Your Pitch 1. Title, Value Proposition, Contact Info 2. Presentation Overview* 3. Problem 4. Solution 5. Market Size 6. Competitive Analysis* 7. Traction/Timing – why you, why now? 8. Product Roadmap/Demo How You Make Money/Key Metrics 9. Go-To-Market 10. Secret Sauce/Moat/IP* 11. Team 12. Clear Ask/What do you need from Flat6 *for conf room pitch. Supporting Slides – Architecture, etc. Blog Post
  • 31. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Famous Pitch Decks ¤ 30 Famous Pitch Decks ¤ Facebook, LinkedIn, etc ¤ Early to later stage ¤ Not all had great graphics ¤ Uber, AirBnB, Facebook examples
  • 32. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Research & Competitive Analysis
  • 33. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Research ¤ You are not the customer ¤ Methods of Research ¤ Blue Ocean ¤ Gartner Magic Quadrant ¤ Documentation and Analysis ¤ Google Search – what are the keywords someone would type to find your solution ¤ Crunchbase Search – funding, timing, categories ¤ Competitive Product/Service pricing
  • 34. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pattern Matching ¤ Stage ¤ Customer Type ¤ Categories
  • 35. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Research ¤ Create a Google Sheet with your research ¤ One tab for research, one for competitors ¤ Who has written about your market ¤ Professionals, bloggers, others ¤ Who has raised capital in this market ¤ What’s the state of the “Wave?”
  • 36. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Competitor List & Notes Competitor URL Crunchbase Link Amount Funded Team Features Notes
  • 37. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Specific Competitors ¤ Feature List ¤ Product positioning ¤ Gaps ¤ Pricing ¤ Target customer/profile ¤ Marketing approach
  • 38. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Getting Data ¤ Right Mouse click ¤ Keywords, meta data ¤ Pull keywords for competitors – Google Sheet ¤ Tools ¤ https://www.semrush.com/ ¤ https://topics.seomonitor.com/query ¤ Google Keyword tool ¤ Social ¤ https://www.rivaliq.com/
  • 39. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Getting Data – B2C ¤ Playstore/App Store ¤ One Star ¤ Four Star
  • 40. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Who has tried this before? ¤ What about Analyst report? ¤ Why did they fail? ¤ Use Wayback Machine to look back
  • 41. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Looking Back ¤ Feature List – then and now ¤ Product Positioning ¤ Pricing changes over time
  • 42. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Competitive Tech Stack ¤ Builtwith ¤ Mixpanel ¤ StackShare ¤ Siftery ¤ Ghostery – MarTec Stack
  • 43. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Updates ¤ Subscribe to Google Alerts ¤ Competitors ¤ Thought leaders ¤ Analysts ¤ RSS Reader ¤ Specific pages within competitors
  • 44. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 A Note Regarding Biases
  • 45. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Questions? Where to source your data for your research?
  • 46. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Competitive Slide Examples
  • 47. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Lunch – 60 Minutes
  • 48. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Markets
  • 49. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Market Sizing ¤ How big is the market ¤ Cairo ¤ GCC ¤ MENA ¤ Global ¤ How do you put a BD amount to it?
  • 50. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Ideal Customer Profile B2B ¤ Company type ¤ Vertical ¤ Size/Stage ¤ Buyer profile ¤ User profile B2C ¤ Profile ¤ Demographic ¤ “Name”
  • 51. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Who is the Market & Customer
  • 52. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Total Addressable Market ¤ Also called Total Available Market ¤ Think global – launch local ¤ The Upside ¤ Calculating – bottom up, Total number of customers X Annual Revenue for your product ¤ Direct Data ¤ Explicate data ¤ Indirect Data ¤ Implicit data ¤ Triangulation Data ¤ A combination of different data sources
  • 53. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Service Addressable Market ¤ Or Serviceable Available Market ¤ The part of the market that can actually be reached ¤ Sales and Marketing driven ¤ With the features you have now ¤ With the product roadmap you have ¤ Competition ¤ Not everyone that might use it, if they found it, if it was in their language and currency
  • 54. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Service Obtainable Market ¤ The subset of the market you can capture ¤ A proxy for short term upside ¤ Not Aspirational
  • 55. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Who is the Market & Customer
  • 56. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Launch Addressable Market ¤ Given you TAM, SAM and SOM – WHO is the customer? ¤ And limited features ¤ Who can you sell to today? ¤ B2B ¤ B2C ¤ Buyer profile ¤ What features will you need to launch to expand your market and price?
  • 57. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 10, 100, 1000 Customers ¤ Have a plan for how you get your first customers ¤ 10 – it’s you and your co-founder ¤ 100 – still you, maybe one insides salesperson, forming a process to scale ¤ 1000 – not you, scalable process ¤ Your LAM maps to your Go-to-Market (GTM) ¤ Customer ¤ Value Prop ¤ Pricing ¤ Marketing Spend and Sales effort
  • 58. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Market Conditions ¤ Nascent/New market ¤ Uber, AirBnB ¤ Large markets - >$100M or $1B ¤ Large market provide “at bat” opportunities ¤ Small markets suck ¤ Headwinds or tailwinds? ¤ Covid
  • 59. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Who is your customer? ¤ Product vs. Services ¤ Product is something you can deliver or ship – can you make $$ while you sleep ¤ Services require people to deliver on the value and promise – consulting or a restaurant ¤ Who pays the bill? ¤ A business ¤ The Consumer ¤ The product user and who pays can be different as in Facebook or Google that make money on advertising
  • 60. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Why/How do they buy? ¤ Make Money vs. Save Money? ¤ Searching for product ¤ Needs to be sold
  • 61. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Market Size Examples
  • 62. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Exercise - How Big is Your Market
  • 63. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Dave’s Madlibs Pitch Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our product <insert product info here> is designed for our target customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by <insert method here> and our team is the right team because <insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help needed here>.
  • 64. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Value Proposition
  • 65. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Positioning ¤ Positioning is holding a place in your customer’s mind – not as everything, what’s memorable? ¤ Who is the initial customer ¤ Think about limiting service and customer first – before you expand ¤ You’re not precluded from selling other services or products ¤ What claim or promise will you make?
  • 66. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Don’t Bury the Lead ¤ Think of this like journalism ¤ What’s the headline? ¤ What’s the Lead? ¤ What’s the Story?
  • 67. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Testing ¤ Each pitch is a rapid A/B testing ¤ Look for 1:Many opportunities to test your value proposition ¤ Trade shows ¤ Peers ¤ Test tag lines
  • 68. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Taglines ¤ The one sentence summary ¤ Pull from the Madlibs Pitch ¤ Benefits to customer – not features ¤ Simple ¤ Evolve with the company
  • 69. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Branding ¤ You don’t have a big budget – so you can’t afford brand advertising ¤ Start with brand neutral and build ¤ Memorable ¤ Phonetically easy to spell ¤ Avoid double letters, etc
  • 70. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Exercise ¤ Write out: ¤ What makes you different? ¤ Why should people buy from you? ¤ Write your websites tagline and opening paragraph ¤ What claim/promise will you make ¤ Write your DRAFT Unique Selling Proposition ¤ Compare this to your Pitch
  • 71. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Development
  • 72. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Development ¤ Parallel process with Product Development ¤ “Get out of the Building” ¤ Develop for a few not Many ¤ Prioritize features based on Needs not Wants ¤ Validate with Revenue/Commitment
  • 73. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What is Customer Development? ¤ Four Steps of an Epiphany – Steve Blank
  • 74. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Development Goals ¤ Acute focus on problem – not product ¤ Find out if customers care? ¤ What do they want? ¤ Determines the difference your product at launch and at scale ¤ Feature priorities & Product Roadmap
  • 75. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Dev Mechanics ¤ Google Forms ¤ Structured questions ¤ Progression ¤ Easy to Hard ¤ What do you really want to know? ¤ Will they pay for it? How much ¤ Why will it fail ¤ Neutral, not Guided Questions
  • 76. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Dev Mechanics, Cont ¤ Build a list of interested parties ¤ Mail Chimp List setup ¤ Ask for permission to email ¤ Monthly updates – ¤ Format: “What we did, what we’re going to do and where we can use your help” ¤ Regular frequency – be predictable
  • 77. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What Not To Do ¤ You are not the customer ¤ Don’t tolerate a small sample set – this could delay your success by Years ¤ Avoid “Selection Bias” ¤ “Isn’t our product amazing” ¤ No rhetorical questions ¤ No blind surveys ¤ Can’t outsource
  • 78. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How Many Customer Interviews ¤ B2B – 25+ ¤ Profile ¤ Job Title ¤ Type of Company ¤ B2C – 50+ ¤ Demographic ¤ ¯_(ツ)_/¯ = bad
  • 79. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Fundraising Note You have opinions You have Data You get money! Investors have opinions They have money
  • 80. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Hypothesis vs Fact ¤ If you are convinced you’re right you won’t be open to radical feedback that could change the trajectory of your business & life! ¤ Always testing what you think you know ¤ Permission to give negative feedback ¤ If this idea was to fail, why would it fail? ¤ Why is this idea stupid?
  • 81. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Awkward Co-Founder Discussions
  • 82. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Everyone Has Expectations ¤ Set up a process to get the expectations out in the open ¤ Pre-Incorporation ¤ Meeting 1 of 2 ¤ Why do you want to do this ¤ Capital in vs out ¤ Timing of life ¤ Passion ¤ Go to Startup Equity Calculator
  • 83. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Co-Founders – Part 1
  • 84. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Co-founders, part 2 ¤ Meeting 2 of 2 ¤ Print out a copy- bring it to the meeting ¤ How far off are you? What responsibilities? ¤ At Incorporation ¤ Reverse vesting schedule ¤ What happens when someone leaves? ¤ Option pool 20% ¤ Why 50/50 is the only wrong decision
  • 85. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Post Incorporation ¤ Milestones/Deliverables ¤ Slicing Pie ¤ Market rates ¤ Don’t over inflate ¤ Track time and contribution ¤ Regular meeting ¤ Weekly standups ¤ Make HR changes fast – they won’t get easier
  • 86. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Dave’s Madlibs Pitch Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our product <insert product info here> is designed for our target customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by <insert method here> and our team is the right team because <insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help needed here>.
  • 87. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Session 1 Deliverables ¤ Track your Venture Ready Score Before/After ¤ What can you do over the next 90 days to improve ¤ Start drafting your 13 slides ¤ List your research, competition and sources ¤ Outline your Market including your TAM, SAM, & SOM (hint, it’s a number) ¤ Write is your pre-mortem – if you were to fail, why would you fail ¤ Draft your value proposition ¤ Outline your existing and required Customer Development data ¤ Have your awkward co- founder discussion
  • 88. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Session 1 Deliverables 1. Title, Value Proposition, Contact Info 2. Traction 3. Problem/Solution 4. Market – TAM, SAM, SOM 5. Timing/Competition 6. Product Roadmap/Demo 7. How You Make Money/Key Metrics 8. Go-To-Market 9. Secret Sauce/Moat/IP 10.Team 11.Clear Ask Supporting Slides – Roadmap, etc. Blog Post
  • 89. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 THANKS!
  • 90. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Trajectory Series Bootcamp – Session 2 Dave Parker @DaveParkerSEA www.GetTrajectory.com @DaveParkerSEA
  • 91. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Session 2 Agenda ¤ How Startup Make Money – 14 Revenue Models ¤ Pricing and Metrics that Matter ¤ Go-to-Market ¤ Traction and Product / Market Fit ¤ Pitch Reviews
  • 92. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How Startups Make Money
  • 93. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Do you know? ¤ Cost to Build Known Unknown ¤ Cost to Sell Known Unknown ¤ Price Known Unknown ¤ Profit Known Unknown
  • 94. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How not to make money? ¤ Small transaction values are bad ¤ Small percentages are bad ¤ Not being able to capture value is bad ¤ Lumpy sales cycles are bad ¤ Long sales cycles are bad ¤ Pricing too low could kill your idea before you start
  • 95. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How to Monetize Your Startup: Revenue Models
  • 96. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business and Revenue Models ¤ Business Models – abstract framework of Creating, Delivering and Capturing Value ¤ Revenue Models (part of business model) is the framework of revenue, pricing, who pay ¤ Models Lean toward Tech and Product
  • 97. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 1. Fee for Service ¤ Example: Consulting Services company ¤ Use: B2B & B2C ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Project Revenue ¤ Cost of delivering (usually time) ¤ Gross Margin ¤ Services are hard to scale because they require people to deliver including Restaurant, Contractors, etc. ¤ Services include markup on cost of goods sold
  • 98. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 2. Commerce ¤ Example: Amazon, AmazonSupply ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Wholesale or cost of goods sold ¤ Average Margin % ¤ Average Basket ¤ Commerce – Physical Goods- Wholesale, cost of goods, retail, average margin, physical good ¤ Notes: Can mature into marketplace
  • 99. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 3. Subscription ¤ Example: Salesforce , Box, Spotify ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) ¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase ¤ Churn ¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product ¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
  • 100. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 4. Metered Servcie ¤ Example: AWS, Splunk, Azure ¤ Use: Favors B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) ¤ Conversion ratio – e.g. trial to purchase ¤ Churn ¤ Challenges: MVP won’t be enough to be Kick Ass Product ¤ Notes: Highest multiple, forecastable revenue
  • 101. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 5. Transaction Fees/Rental ¤ Example: 99Designs, KickStarter, Elance, Chugg ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average transaction revenue ¤ Fee % per transaction ¤ Number of transactions ¤ Challenges: Margins are small (15%), need efficiency ¤ Notes: Don’t start too low
  • 102. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 6. Productize a Service ¤ Your offerings is generally complex and requires services to deploy ¤ Gross margin on Services >35% ¤ Product development comes with services ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Examples: Moz, service company convert to tools. ¤ Challenges – difficult to make the transition away from services
  • 103. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 7. Marketplaces ¤ Example: eBay, Alibaba ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Average Transaction Amount ¤ Number of Monthly Transactions ¤ Commission % ¤ Challenges: two sided market places require you start with one side, value to seller & Product market fit (x2) ¤ Notes: critical mass or marketplace required
  • 104. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 8. Combinations ¤ Combinations business models happen for two reasons ¤ You don’t know which model is right ¤ At scale you can expand revenue sources ¤ Examples: Hardware sensors + software services to create data analytics ¤ Challenges – most require scale or at least traction
  • 105. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 9. Lead Generation ¤ Example: Mint.com, AllStarDirectories, NetQuote ¤ Use: B2C & B2B ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Cost to generate traffic ¤ % conversion of form data ¤ Price per lead ¤ Challenges: Highly competitive, barrier of entry is low ¤ Notes: Conversion rates average 0.06%
  • 106. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 10. Gaming ¤ Example: King.com/Candy Crush ¤ Use: B2C Only ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Downloads ¤ % play ¤ Average in app purchase ¤ Challenges – tends to be “hit driven business” ¤ Notes: use in first 21 days is a predictor of success
  • 107. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 11. Advertising/Search ¤ Example: Google, Facebook ¤ Use: B2B – advertisers pay, users are free ¤ Key Metrics ¤ Traffic ¤ Click ¤ Avg. revenue/click ¤ Challenges – Scale, need >1M uniques/month to consider the option
  • 108. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 12. New Media ¤ Example: SnapChat, WhatsApp ¤ Use: B2C only ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ K-Factor (Viral Co-efficient) ¤ Network effect of inviting others to join ¤ Challenges – K-Factor is hard. Little revenue until scale ¤ Notes: Everyone wants to! Not happening in B2B ¤ No revenue acutally required
  • 109. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 13. Big Data ¤ Examples: PatientsLikeMe ¤ Use: B2B ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Per API Call ¤ Per record pricing ¤ Frequency/recency ¤ To monetize data, you need to have the data in advance or massive cash
  • 110. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 14. Licensing ¤ Example: Think Microsoft office license or server license – before subscription. Content Licensing ¤ Use: B2B ¤ Key Metrics: ¤ Duration of license ¤ Upgrades & maintenance (20-25% annually) ¤ Use can be based on vertical market or geography
  • 111. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Revenue Models– Pick Two 1. Fee for Service 2. Commerce 3. Subscription 4. Metered Service 5. Transaction Fee/Rental 6. Productize a Service 7. Marketplace 8. Combinations 9. Lead Generation 10.Gaming 11.Advertising/Search 12.New Media 13.Big Data 14.Licensing
  • 113. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pricing
  • 114. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Your price will be wrong! Increase it every year and grandfather early customers for a period of time
  • 115. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Art or Science? ¤ Pricing is an informed decision based on data and proven revenue modesl ¤ Benchmarks ¤ Comparable products ¤ Don’t start too low ¤ Cost base vs Value based ¤ What is the alternate for the “Job to be Done”?
  • 116. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pricing needs to cover ¤ Cost of Building ¤ Cost of Delivering and support ¤ Cost of Selling ¤ Customer Acquisition Cost ¤ Marketing expense ¤ Marketing team ¤ Sales expense ¤ Sales Team
  • 117. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Cost vs. Value Based ¤ Cost based is mark up over expense ¤ Pay rate vs bill rate ¤ Mark up from cost of goods ¤ Value based is what you can charge for it ¤ Can be a range ¤ Depends on product maturity
  • 118. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Jobs to Be Done Framework ¤ Clayton Christensen – HBS “When we buy a product, we essentially ‘hire’ something to get a job done. If it does the job well, when we are confronted with the same job, we hire that same product again. And if the product does a crummy job, we ‘fire’ it and look around for something else we might hire to solve the problem.” ¤ What job is your customer hiring your product to do? ¤ Does it replace 20% of a staff person’s time ¤ Does it save them money, make them money
  • 119. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Product Pricing ¤ First Product ¤ Staged pricing – up or down over time ¤ Second Product ¤ Staged pricing – up or down over time ¤ Launch timeline based on product road map ¤ Services? ¤ Could it improve you sales cycle
  • 120. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 A/B Testing ¤ With your hypothesis ¤ Hide the current pricing page ¤ Drive traffic to Pricing landing pages ¤ Squeeze page ¤ Test pricing ¤ Unbounce or other tool to tack ¤ Optimizes based on conversions
  • 121. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Promotions ¤ Freemium ¤ Time based ¤ Early adopter based ¤ Percentage discount ¤ Grandfather early users * Prices subject to change
  • 122. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Common Errors ¤ Setting pricing too low ¤ Too opaque of a price will frustrate customer – especially if it’s low ¤ Knowing the answer vs testing ¤ Positioning as “me too” just like your competitor, but less ¤ Same price for all customers ¤ ”Free for Life!”
  • 123. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Where to Start ¤ Pick your primary/secondary model ¤ Do a competitive analysis ¤ Building a pricing hypothesis ¤ A/B Test ¤ Three tiers, maximum ¤ Price high and promo the discount based on time to close
  • 124. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Metrics that Matter
  • 125. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What to track – best practices ¤ Marketing Metrics – “Marketing Motion” ¤ Ad Spend ¤ Traffic ¤ Marketing Qualified Leads (MQLs) ¤ Sales Metrics “Sales Motion” ¤ Outbound/Inbound ¤ MQL to SQL Conversion ¤ Business Development – Partnerships ¤ What’s in it for them? ¤ Pricing
  • 126. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Lunch – 60 Minutes
  • 127. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing – Finding the right customers
  • 128. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing – Finding Customers ¤ Messaging/Value Proposition ¤ Does it resonate with the target customer segment ¤ They are the hero of the story ¤ Is it repeatable? ¤ Strategy ¤ Outbound first ¤ Inbound second
  • 129. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Key Metric Terms ¤ State your hypothesis ¤ CAC ¤ LTV ¤ ARPU ¤ Churn ¤ Time to Close ¤ Customer engagement ¤ Time on Site
  • 130. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Organic Search Paid Search Word of Mouth Sales Calls PR Miracles! Time to Close Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 $ Spen d # Conv # Conv # MRR Time
  • 131. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing Channels ¤ Paid Search ¤ Organic Search ¤ Word of mouth ¤ Sales calls ¤ Public Relations ¤ Affiliate ¤ Email marketing ¤ Social
  • 132. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Marketing Qualified Leads ¤ Define qualified vs list ¤ Suspects ¤ Prospects ¤ Qualified Prospects
  • 133. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales Qualified Leads ¤ Hand off to Sales ¤ Identify steps to close ¤ Number of calls
  • 134. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Time to Close ¤ Lead attribution ¤ Source time ¤ Compressing or Expanding ¤ Trend by source
  • 135. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Tracking ¤ Data allows you to know where to double down and where to hold back ¤ Conversion ratios
  • 136. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales – capturing value creation
  • 137. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How will they buy? ¤ Web Direct – place the order to buy on the web ¤ Direct – outbound sales, inside/outside ¤ Indirect/Channel – fulfills demand, doesn’t generate ¤ Retail – BestBuy, etc
  • 138. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales Model Hypothesis Known Market Unknown Market Low Price Point High Price Point Known Search Words Unknown Search words Web Direct ✔ ✔ ✔ Direct ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Indirect ✔ ✔ ✔ Retail
  • 139. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Sales ¤ Model – Pick one, why? ¤ Strategy ¤ Who ¤ Tactics ¤ How ¤ Tools ¤ Sales tools
  • 140. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business Development
  • 141. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business Development ¤ Strategic relationships ¤ Who has the list you want ¤ How do you get the partnership
  • 142. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Business Development ¤ Strategy ¤ Who should you get as a partner ¤ How will you build the relationship? ¤ What channels ¤ Tactics ¤ Messaging/Value proposition ¤ Tools ¤ CRM
  • 143. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Go-to-market plan
  • 144. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Go-to-Market Plan ¤ Revenue Model ¤ Marketing ¤ Sales ¤ Business development plan ¤ Pricing
  • 145. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Before the Program ¤ What are you priority tests? ¤ Do you need product final to do that test?
  • 146. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Exercise - 30/60/90 ¤ Write up your 30/60/90 ¤ Marketing tests ¤ Channel spend hypothesis ¤ Lead source, cost ¤ Sales tests ¤ Initial Sales script ¤ Pricing ¤ High and low
  • 147. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Traction and PMF
  • 148. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Product Market Fit Two Epoch’s of every startup ¤ Pre - Product Market Fit ¤ The only thing that matters is getting there ¤ Post – Product Market Fit ¤ A whole new set of questions – Scale, Culture and People
  • 149. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pre – PMF ¤ Some Revenue ¤ Some Customers ¤ Some Marketing ¤ A lot Hypothesis
  • 150. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Post – PMF ¤ Predictable & Scalable Revenue ¤ Customer profiles ¤ Cohort analysis ¤ Churn ¤ Scalable marketing ¤ Hypothesis + Data
  • 151. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 PMF Scorecard ¤ How would you feel if you could no longer use [product]? ¤ The answers are the following: ¤ Very disappointed ¤ Somewhat disappointed ¤ Not disappointed ¤ I no longer use [product]
  • 152. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Tracking Over Time ¤ Churn Rate ¤ Net Negative Churn ¤ NPS vs CSAT ¤ Product usage level ¤ Frequency ¤ Recency ¤ Growth Rate
  • 153. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What is “Traction?”
  • 154. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Predictable/Forecastable Revenue ¤ De-risking your <time> investment ¤ Predictable revenue moves you from valuations based on trailing 12 to future 12 ¤ Target customer ¤ Sales Cycle ¤ Tools trail Strategy and Tactics
  • 155. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Customer Acquisition Hypothesis ¤ Cost of Customer Acquisition (CAC) ¤ Lifetime value of Customer (LTV) ¤ 36 month calculation in a mature business, 12 months for you ¤ Time to close sale ¤ How does this change with product/market maturity? ¤ Churn/Retention ¤ Average Revenue/measure (User, Account, etc) ¤ Word of mouth vs. Virality
  • 156. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Financial Modeling Note
  • 157. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Templates ¤ Do this after you get in the program – not highest and best use today ¤ Four Templates ¤ Marketplace ¤ Subscription ¤ Transaction Fee (works for commerce) ¤ Productize a service ¤ Templates in shared Google Drive
  • 158. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Financial Model Heuristics ¤ $0- $40 is likely OK ¤ Start with Assumptions ¤ Product 1, 2 ¤ Services ¤ Release timing ¤ Scale Revenue first ¤ Customer count and timing ¤ Keep expenses in line as you grow
  • 160. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Dave’s Madlibs Pitch Hi, I’m <your name here>, and my company <your Company name here> the problem I’m solving is <insert problem here>. Our product <insert product info here> is designed for our target customer of <insert target customer here>. We make money by <insert method here> and our team is the right team because <insert why you’re awesome here>. I need help with <insert help needed here>.
  • 161. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pitch Reviews
  • 163. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Trajectory Series Bootcamp – Session 3 Dave Parker @DaveParkerSEA www.GetTrajectory.com @DaveParkerSEA
  • 164. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Agenda ¤ Fundraising Fundamentals ¤ Product and Company Roadmap ¤ When, Why and How to Pivot ¤ Pitch Reviews
  • 165. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Fundraising Fundamentals
  • 166. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Fundraising 101 ● Stage appropriate capital = what’s the right money at the right time? ○ Early – Angels, early stage VCs, ○ Later – Large venture funds ● Control shifts – Board roles, deal terms ● Dilution: every round of funding you will sell 25- 35% of new shares ● Bad boards = bad enterprise value
  • 167. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Raising for What? ¤ 18 months of runway ¤ Not too short ¤ To hit milestones ¤ Product ¤ Customers ¤ “Use of proceeds”
  • 168. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Angels ● Invest in you and your passion ● Like the market or idea ● Have made money in the sector before ● Something to talk about at a cocktail party! ● Deal type ○ Convertible note with a cap ○ Pro-rata participation (keep my % going forward) ○ Highest risk – least educated (F&F) should be best deal
  • 169. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Early Stage = Risk Capital ● Know your numbers, if you don’t have your numbers know your hypothesis (have a position) ● Seed stage VC’s are investing other people's money ○ Charter and Thesis ○ Stage, vertical market, size, geography ○ 10% (+/-) stakes plus syndicates ● VC perspective - Elusive deals need to be found ○ Revenue but Pre-product market fit ● ”Return the Fund” deals that can produce >10X
  • 170. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Later Stage = Growth Capital ● Post product market fit ● $10K in marketing spend = Internal rate of return (IRR) of how many days? ● MBA’s calculate returns – cash on cash ● Strategics aren’t valuation sensitive, but will be slow ● Bigger checks – 20% stakes
  • 171. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Fundraising Process ● Enterprise Sales Process – landing multiple planes at the same time ● Top of the Funnel ○ Research ■ Crunchbase (cheap) Technation UK ■ Pitchbook (expensive) ■ Angelist ■ Competitive deals (w/ Exits) ○ Create a forwardable email ■ Ask for approval ■ Follow with Intro
  • 172. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Target Investors ● Targets – build a list of targets, look for LinkedIn and/or email introductions ● They have invested in your market/stage in the past ● They have Board experience for your stage ● They can help with strategic introductions ○ Investors ○ Customers
  • 173. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 First Impressions Matter ● Targets – build a list of targets, look for LinkedIn and/or email introductions ● They have invested in your market/stage in the past ● They have Board experience for your stage ● They can help with strategic introductions ○ Investors ○ Customers
  • 174. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Monthly Updates ¤ Using MailChimp Free Account ¤ Investors – Tagged ¤ Customers ¤ 30 day intervals ¤ What we thought ¤ What we learned ¤ What we’re doing about it ¤ Where we need help ¤ Regularly
  • 175. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Tools for Pitching ¤Forwardable Email ¤Executive Summary ¤Presentation ¤ ~13 Slides ¤ More is OK if you have data/traction ¤Monthly Update
  • 176. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Forwardable Intro Email ¤ Great blog post from Alex Iskold, Techstars NYC ¤ The associate needs to be able to repeat your message ¤ Make it easy to get the introduction ¤ Avoid buzzword bingo
  • 178. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Executive Summary ¤Two pages ¤ ”Don’t Bury your Lead” ¤ Your headlines and opening paragraph tell the story (see slide 10) ¤ It’s designed to get the next meeting, not to get a check ¤ Stay at 10k feet and out of the weeds ¤ Numbers should sync with deck and forecast! You’ll be tempted to get out of sync – be careful!
  • 179. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Deck ¤Generally lead with problem/solution format ¤However: ¤ If you have traction lead with traction ¤ If you’re in a complex market, you may want to lead with your team ¤ Have one customer story arch ¤Include contact info
  • 180. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Tools ● Google Sheets ● https://freebusy.io/ allows you to show your calendar (including multiple Google Calendars) – save the back and forth ($6/month) ○ Accept or rearrange ● Email tracker pro (chrome extension) ● Zoom Meeting – you control the variables (not free, 45 minute limit) ($15/month) ● Use tools that show professionalism, drive the meeting schedule – don’t wait on their assistant
  • 181. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What’s happening with the VC? ● Most filter – sector, size, stage, growth, referral source ● Then Screen at Partner Meeting – looking for consensus ● Then invite in for presentation ● So! You need to make the presentation that the most Junior team member has confidence repeating! Have a lead within the firm ● No one’s writing a check from an Exec Summary or PPT! Get the next meeting
  • 182. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Due Diligence Process • Deal Memo – internal memo used to validate why they are leading the round – it will likely be shared with other investors or future investors • Document review post • Data room • Corporate Hygiene • Customer calls – you likely have a few customers, don’t over burden them with random call. • Meet with other investor
  • 183. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Your Due Diligence ● Ask to talk to their portfolio company CEOs – ask for a couple of companies they passed on investing as well ● Have a structured list of questions ○ Have they been a good investor ○ Give me an example of a time when they were helpful ○ Give me an example of a time they weren’t helpful ○ Have they done the things they said they would do when they invested ● Not all money is good money
  • 184. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Tactics for dealing with VCs ● You want to create momentum or a sense of momentum ● Create a reason to close – not a reason to wait! ○ Good news next month is a reason to wait ○ New features shipping next month is a reason to way ○ Booked revenue is a reason to close = increased valuation ● Not all VCs are arrogant assholes (but many are) ○ Pattern matching – break the mold!
  • 185. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Final Do’s and Don’ts Do ● Keep your eye on the ball – don’t miss your numbers ● Manage the process ● Qualify your investor ● Create optionality ● If there’s an ELEPHANT room, call it out Don’ts ● Get < 6 Month of capital ● Hide the ball on any bad news ● Be too transparent ● Let the investor miss a deadline – escrow example
  • 186. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Conclusions ● Broad funnel gives you the most choices ● They will be talking to other investors ● How you interact in the process will indicate the future ● What do you need in addition to capital? ○ Go to market help ○ Product help ○ Know your blind spots ● Time kills ALL deals
  • 187. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Product
  • 188. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Product Vision ¤ Product vision is important ¤ Long term features ¤ Startup with PROBLEM not product – pivot product/ features around the problem ¤ It won’t be what you ship first ¤ What the world looks like before your product ¤ What the world looks like after your product
  • 189. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Minimum Viable Product (MVP) ¤ Narrow and list features ¤ PowerPoint/Keynote first as your demo ¤ What screens do you need to show (e.g. do you need to really show registration – answer no) ¤ Have them rank the features ¤ Prioritize the build based on the feedback ¤ More Customer Development Interviews!
  • 190. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Product Roadmap ¤ What Features, When ¤ Quarterly targets based on ¤ Budget ¤ Available developers
  • 191. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Cost to Build
  • 192. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Estimating Costs ¤ Write specification ¤ Required for launch ¤ Design & Flow ¤ Post project on Fiverr.com ¤ PPT/Keynote first with design ¤ Test design and flow ¤ Revise specification
  • 193. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 MVP Mechanics ¤ MVP Series ¤ Blog 1 – Launching a product ¤ Blog 2 – Writing a spec ¤ Blog 3 – picking a vendor ¤ Blog 4 – Contracts, Monitoring Progress ¤ Cost to market and sell – Next Month!
  • 194. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Company Roadmap
  • 195. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Company Roadmap ¤ Quarterly Targets ¤ Product ¤ Milestones ¤ People ¤ Hires ¤ # and who ¤ Customers ¤ Onboarded ¤ Revenue ¤ Cash out date This is a Supporting Slide
  • 196. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Roadmap Cont. ¤ Roadmap is NOT dependent on fundraising ¤ If you raise capital, you move things forward in the roadmap ¤ E.G. items from Q4 move to Q2 next year ¤ Where will you be in 18 and 36 months ¤ Does it map to your financial model ¤ Maps to use of proceeds
  • 197. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Quarterly Roadmap – 18 Months
  • 198. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Highlight Key Milestones ¤ This is a bit of an eye chart, so highlight key milestones ¤ Product ship dates ¤ First revenue ¤ Key hires
  • 199. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Lunch – 60 Minutes
  • 200. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pivoting
  • 201. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 What is a Pivot? ¤ When a startup shifts business strategy to accommodate industry, market, or customer ¤ The process of direct and indirect feedback changing your business model ¤ Iterations vs. Pivots ¤ Iterations are course corrections ¤ Pivots are painful – we were in the tire business, we’re now in apps ¤ Odeo and Slack
  • 202. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 When & Why ¤ When – 90-180 days ¤ Get out of your head and get in front of the customer ¤ 50-100 customer interviews ¤ Build an email list ¤ Solid effort in Customer Development and no positive signals ¤ Didn’t find a pain point ¤ Didn’t find payment ¤ Some exceptions – Enterprise is hard and slow… New Media model is about growth not cash
  • 203. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 How to Pivot ¤ Are you staying in the same TAM? ¤ Is the product wrong? ¤ Is the brand wrong? ¤ Focus on problem first, solution second!
  • 204. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Post Pivot Pain Level Willingness to Pay
  • 205. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Session 3 Deliverables ¤ Pivoting – ¤ What’s your timeline ¤ What should you accomplish in 6 months ¤ Build your product and company roadmap ¤ Three year visual for Flat6 ¤ 18 Month, category milestones for your financial model ¤ Fundraising ¤ List building ¤ Monthly Update email ¤ Forwardable Email
  • 207. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 THANKS!
  • 208. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Supporting Slides
  • 209. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Fundraising Process ● Asking for advice vs cash ○ Who do you know that would like out type of deal ○ What other things would you like to see us complete before we talk again ● Deals that get closed are pulled by the investor, not pushed by you ● Find your lead investors – keep the others warm
  • 210. Copyright, DKParker, LLC 2020 Pitch Prep