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Impact of Financial Crisis on
Women and Families


PREM Gender and Development, World Bank
February 2009


                                          1
3 Main Messages

The financial crisis will have gender-specific impacts.


Effects on women and children,
if ignored, will both increase
current poverty and imperil
future development.

Effective policy responses
should build on women’s roles
as economic agents.


                                                          2
Impacts




          3
The crisis has first and second round impact
           on women and families
                     Impact 1:
   Drop in
                       Loss of
  aggregate
demand/ exports      employment

 Tightened
                                             Drop in
                                                             Impact 3:
   credit            Impact 2:          household income.
  markets                                                   Vulnerable
                      Fall in MFI         Increased risk
                                                            hhd coping
                                            of poverty
                  lending resources
                                                             strategies
  Drop in
remittances



Food price
 shocks


                                                   Second round impacts
                  First round impacts                                     4
Impact 1: Women workers in export industries lose jobs

      Export Manufacturing
  Country       Industry       % of
                             workforce
                              female
 Malaysia      Garments        78%

 Bangladesh    Garments        85%

 Philippines   Electronics   More than
                               50%

 High Value Export Agriculture
  Country      Industry        % of
                             workforce
                              female
Uganda         Cut flower       85%

Ecuador        Cut flower       70%

Thailand         Fruits         80%                       5
Impact 2: Tightening credit markets can squeeze MFI loans
                  to women producers


   MFIs typically lend to women:

      Over 3,330 MFIs reached 133
      million clients in 2006

      93 million of the clients were
      among the poorest when they
      took their first loan

      85% of these poorest clients were
      women




                                                            6
Drop in remittances lowers income available to HHS
        Falling Remittances to Developing Countries (as % of GDP)
                                2008-2009

                                                       Cape Verde

                                                       Haiti

                                                       Kyrgyz Republic

                                                       Tajikistan

                                                       Uzbekistan

                                                       Afghanistan

         -14% -12% -10% -8%     -6%   -4%   -2%   0%

    Source: World Bank (2009)
                                                                         7
HH Coping Strategy
                            HHs send women to work

                                % C hang e in Lab o r F o r ce Par t icip at io n ( 19 9 3 - 9 5) ,
                                                Lat in A mer ican C r isis

       3
       2
       1
                                                                                                      Female
       0
      -1            Argentina                         Brazil                            Mexico
                                                                                                      Male
      -2
      -3


                          % Change in Labor Force Participation (1997-99),
                                        East Asian Crisis
         3
         2
         1
         0
        -1
        -2
        -3
                    Indonesia                  Korea,Rep.                      Philippines

                                                                                                               8
Source: WDI, 2008
HH Coping Strategy
             HHs pull girls (and boys) out of school


Low income countries:
  Madagascar (fall in ag income)      girls more likely to
  drop out of schools.
  Cote d’Ivoire (drought)     enrollment decreased 11 ppts
  for girls and 14 ppts for boys.

Middle income countries:
  Mexico (peso crisis)      girls attendance fell by 8%, no
  impact on boys.
  Peru (1980s crisis)      no impact on school enrollment
  for either girls or boys, schooling increased.
                                                                                              9
Source: Gubert and Robilliard 2007; Jensen (2000); Skoufias and Parker 2006; Schady (2004).
HH Coping Strategy
              HHs cut back on health investments,
               affecting girls disproportionately

             Girls’ (IMR) exceeds boys’ during economic downturns




                   Data from 59 developing countries, different years ranging from 1985 to 2004
                                                                                                  10
Source: Baird, Freedman and Schady, 1998
Policy implications




                      11
Priority Investment:
Put income in women’s hands in poor hh
              because….




                                         12
…because loss of women’s earnings can have
          long-term welfare impacts


Loss of employment                          Drop in current
for women in export                        poverty reduction
 oriented industries                      and economic growth




                        Drop in                                  Drop in future poverty
                        female                                       reduction and
                       earnings                                    economic growth
 Microfinance likely
    to be affected
                              Fall in women’s control over
  (MFI borrowers
                              household decisions
are typically women)
                                             Greater impact on
                                               well-being of
                                                 children
           Fall in
         remittances

                                                                                      13
...because income transfers to women have larger effects on
  children’s nutritional status than similar transfers to men.



                                                    Woman's income     Man's income
                                                                                         Children’s
                                                                                         height for age
                          100
 anthropometric measure
    % change in child's




                          80
                                Children’s weight      Children’s height
                          60
                                for height             for age
                          40
                          20
                           0
                                        Brazil              Bangladesh                  South Africa
                          -20




 Source: Thomas (1990) for Brazil, Khandker (1998) for Bangladesh, and Duflo (2003) for South Africa.
                                                                                                          14
… because the effect of female borrowing on hh welfare is
   larger than the effect of male borrowing (e.g. Bangladesh)



                                       Impact of a 10% increase in borrowing
                                               from Grameen Bank
                                                                                      11.63
                           1

                         0.8
     Percentage change




                         0.6
                                    0.43
                         0.4
                                           0.18
                         0.2
                                                           0.015
                           0

                                                                   -0.06
                         -0.2
                                                                                              -4.92
                                Per Capita HH expend.   Women's Labor Supply     Girls' height for age


                                           Borrowing by Women      Borrowing by Men

                                                                                                         15
Source: Khander (1998)
..especially in more than half in a sample
   of countries, where women are most
    vulnerable to effects of the crisis.




                                         16
Women & girls in 50% of countries in the sample (of 90)
   face moderate to high exposure to negative impact of crisis


Decelerating
                                                   High Child
growth
                                                   Mortality




                                           Low gender
                                           parity in
                                           schooling
                                                                 17
Bank’s Response




                  18
Mapping impacts to policy

Impacts                 Policy/programs

Women’s employment      Employment generation programs



Women and girls’        Cash transfer programs
human development       Other social safety net programs




                        Capitalization of microcredit
Women producers

                                                           19
Bank’s Response

World Bank Group’s Gender Action Plan will
allocate its financial resources in 2009 to
assist in ensuring that WBG responses to the
crisis maximize women’s income, especially
in those countries where women and girls are
most vulnerable to the effects of the crisis.




                                                20

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Impact of Financial Crisis on Women and Families: How Policy Responses Can Build on Their Roles as Economic Agents

  • 1. Impact of Financial Crisis on Women and Families PREM Gender and Development, World Bank February 2009 1
  • 2. 3 Main Messages The financial crisis will have gender-specific impacts. Effects on women and children, if ignored, will both increase current poverty and imperil future development. Effective policy responses should build on women’s roles as economic agents. 2
  • 4. The crisis has first and second round impact on women and families Impact 1: Drop in Loss of aggregate demand/ exports employment Tightened Drop in Impact 3: credit Impact 2: household income. markets Vulnerable Fall in MFI Increased risk hhd coping of poverty lending resources strategies Drop in remittances Food price shocks Second round impacts First round impacts 4
  • 5. Impact 1: Women workers in export industries lose jobs Export Manufacturing Country Industry % of workforce female Malaysia Garments 78% Bangladesh Garments 85% Philippines Electronics More than 50% High Value Export Agriculture Country Industry % of workforce female Uganda Cut flower 85% Ecuador Cut flower 70% Thailand Fruits 80% 5
  • 6. Impact 2: Tightening credit markets can squeeze MFI loans to women producers MFIs typically lend to women: Over 3,330 MFIs reached 133 million clients in 2006 93 million of the clients were among the poorest when they took their first loan 85% of these poorest clients were women 6
  • 7. Drop in remittances lowers income available to HHS Falling Remittances to Developing Countries (as % of GDP) 2008-2009 Cape Verde Haiti Kyrgyz Republic Tajikistan Uzbekistan Afghanistan -14% -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% Source: World Bank (2009) 7
  • 8. HH Coping Strategy HHs send women to work % C hang e in Lab o r F o r ce Par t icip at io n ( 19 9 3 - 9 5) , Lat in A mer ican C r isis 3 2 1 Female 0 -1 Argentina Brazil Mexico Male -2 -3 % Change in Labor Force Participation (1997-99), East Asian Crisis 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 Indonesia Korea,Rep. Philippines 8 Source: WDI, 2008
  • 9. HH Coping Strategy HHs pull girls (and boys) out of school Low income countries: Madagascar (fall in ag income) girls more likely to drop out of schools. Cote d’Ivoire (drought) enrollment decreased 11 ppts for girls and 14 ppts for boys. Middle income countries: Mexico (peso crisis) girls attendance fell by 8%, no impact on boys. Peru (1980s crisis) no impact on school enrollment for either girls or boys, schooling increased. 9 Source: Gubert and Robilliard 2007; Jensen (2000); Skoufias and Parker 2006; Schady (2004).
  • 10. HH Coping Strategy HHs cut back on health investments, affecting girls disproportionately Girls’ (IMR) exceeds boys’ during economic downturns Data from 59 developing countries, different years ranging from 1985 to 2004 10 Source: Baird, Freedman and Schady, 1998
  • 12. Priority Investment: Put income in women’s hands in poor hh because…. 12
  • 13. …because loss of women’s earnings can have long-term welfare impacts Loss of employment Drop in current for women in export poverty reduction oriented industries and economic growth Drop in Drop in future poverty female reduction and earnings economic growth Microfinance likely to be affected Fall in women’s control over (MFI borrowers household decisions are typically women) Greater impact on well-being of children Fall in remittances 13
  • 14. ...because income transfers to women have larger effects on children’s nutritional status than similar transfers to men. Woman's income Man's income Children’s height for age 100 anthropometric measure % change in child's 80 Children’s weight Children’s height 60 for height for age 40 20 0 Brazil Bangladesh South Africa -20 Source: Thomas (1990) for Brazil, Khandker (1998) for Bangladesh, and Duflo (2003) for South Africa. 14
  • 15. … because the effect of female borrowing on hh welfare is larger than the effect of male borrowing (e.g. Bangladesh) Impact of a 10% increase in borrowing from Grameen Bank 11.63 1 0.8 Percentage change 0.6 0.43 0.4 0.18 0.2 0.015 0 -0.06 -0.2 -4.92 Per Capita HH expend. Women's Labor Supply Girls' height for age Borrowing by Women Borrowing by Men 15 Source: Khander (1998)
  • 16. ..especially in more than half in a sample of countries, where women are most vulnerable to effects of the crisis. 16
  • 17. Women & girls in 50% of countries in the sample (of 90) face moderate to high exposure to negative impact of crisis Decelerating High Child growth Mortality Low gender parity in schooling 17
  • 19. Mapping impacts to policy Impacts Policy/programs Women’s employment Employment generation programs Women and girls’ Cash transfer programs human development Other social safety net programs Capitalization of microcredit Women producers 19
  • 20. Bank’s Response World Bank Group’s Gender Action Plan will allocate its financial resources in 2009 to assist in ensuring that WBG responses to the crisis maximize women’s income, especially in those countries where women and girls are most vulnerable to the effects of the crisis. 20