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Amazon Case Competition
Team C^3G
Identify the Next Customer Segment… The Amazon Way
Think Big: Market Analysis
Customer Obsession: Profile
Bias for Action: Program Implementation
Deliver Results: Revenue, Costs and Risks
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Amazon’s next customer segment program: Our
approach
Amazon

Customer Segment

Goals

• Increase Prime Subscriptions
• Encourage recurring purchase

• More Selection
• Lower Pricing
• Greater Convenience

Considerations

• Identify New Customers
• Incorporate Existing Products

• Unmet Needs
• Segment Size

• Increase Profits
• Increase Overall Brand Awareness

• Customer Satisfaction and Loyalty
• Amazon Customer Advocacy

Outcomes
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Customer Segmentation
Customer
Segment

Market Size

% NonAmazon
Users

Recurring
Purchases

Ease to
Convert









Baby Boomers 









Entrepreneurs 









Active/Fit



Purchasing
Power

Mothers











Movers











Students











Yuppies










Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Customer Segmentation
Customer
Segment

Market Size

% NonAmazon
Users

Recurring
Purchases

Ease to
Convert









Baby Boomers 









Entrepreneurs 









Active/Fit



Purchasing
Power

Mothers











Movers











Students











Yuppies










Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Meet Ari…
Ari is a sandwich lover trying to start his own Deli
• I need furniture for my store
• I need point of sale systems
• I need computers, websites…

“I make great sandwiches, not business purchases!”
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Meet Anne…
Anne aspires to become the next Coco Chanel
• I need design tools
• I need books on newest fashion trends
• I need a website that I can sell my clothes on

“I know fashion, not technology!”

Deliver Results
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Anne and Ari are not alone…
• There are 22 million small business owners in the US that represent
$218 billion in annual spending.
• They cover various industries and demographics
• They share similar pains running businesses:
• Tight on cash
• Not enough time
• Lack of technology expertise
So we thought why not create a
dedicated program to reduce some of
the pains so they can focus on what they
do best.
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Introducing: Amazon Entrepreneur
Let us help you realize your business potential
and more…
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Amazon Entrepreneur: Details
Program Offer
•3 months of free Amazon Prime
•10% discount on all office supplies
•3 months of free tier 1 Amazon Web Services
•One hour of free Amazon Web Services consultation
Program Benefit
•Savings
•Convenience
•Technology Expertise
•Scalability

Deliver Results
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Amazon Entrepreneur: Marketing Channels
Online and Mobile
Google
AdWords

Email

Entrepreneur
Online
Entrepreneur
Blogs

LinkedIn
Twitter
Facebook
Mobile
amazon.com
aws.amazon.com
amazonsupply.com

Direct Mail
Identify
Entrepreneur:
Business
Registrations
and
Purchased
Lists

Television (Commercials)
Fox Business, MSNBC, ESPN

Amazon
Entrepreneur
Invitation

Public Relations
Amazon Business Case
Competition
Promotional Television
Appearance by Jeff Bezos
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Amazon Entrepreneur: Risks
• We believe that our AWS, Amazon Prime and Office Supplies
segments will suffer some revenue erosion from the roll-out of the
new Amazon Entrepreneur:
AWS

Decreases

- 0.01%

Prime

Decreases

- 0.30%

Office Supplies

Decreases

< - 0.01%

Other Retail

Increases

> 0.20%

Overall, the indirect revenue
impact on other lines of business
should not be significant.
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Amazon Entrepreneur: Program Cost
Cost decreases dramatically after the first year
25.0%

20.0%

Estimate Initial Program Cost: $20 Million

15.0%

10.0%

5.0%

0.0%
2014

2015

2016
Marketing Expenses

2017
Technology & Content

2018
AWS Consultations

2019

2020

General & Admin

Key assumptions
1) Marketing spend is composed of On-going Marketing Expense (estimated at 3.7% of revenue as per 10-k), plus additional advertising expense associated with the
new program ($25M over 3 years, mostly in cable TV and internet advertising). It also contains an additional $6M allowance for business development costs.
2) Technology & content is estimated at 9% of revenues (vs. 7.5% for all of Amazon).
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Amazon Entrepreneur: Revenue Projection
5 Year Highlights:
•566,200 new Prime customers
•$753 million new revenue
•50.7% compound Annual Growth

5 year target

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

CAGR

Revenues

101.1

239.0

393.6

564.7

752.9

958.7

1,182.6

50.7%

New Prime Customers

91.2

195.7

309.7

433.2

566.2

708.7

860.7

45.4%
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Bias for Action

Deliver Results

Amazon Entrepreneur: Revenue Breakdown
1,400.0

1,200.0

1,000.0

Breakdown of Amazon Entrepreneur Revenues (in US$ millions)
•31.3% average EBITDA margin
•7.9 times higher EBITDA margin than Amazon
•Represent 3% of the total Amazon Profit starting year 3

367.7

299.6

800.0

172.7
235.7

600.0
176.0

111.1

400.0

60.5
46.2

200.0

0.0

4.5
36.2
53.0
2014

7.4

116.1
2015

62.5
26.2
16.2

78.7

63.5

49.8

84.1
37.3

117.6

140.6

563.6
454.9
356.3

267.3

187.3
2016

2017

COGS

Fulfillment Costs

2018

SG&A

2019

EBITDA

Key assumptions
1) We have taken future AMZN revenue and EBITDA projections done by Morgan Stanley.
2) We have assumed an uptick from current levels of Technology & Content expense from 7.5% of sales to 10% of sales.
3) We have assumed $19M in business development & initial marketing spend on year 1, $9M on year 2 and $3M on year three.
4) COGS and fulfillment costs are assumed to maintain current levels as a percentage of retail segment revenues.
5) All estimates include erosion of current AWS and Amazon Prime account revenues.

2020
Think Big

Customer Obsession

Thank You!

Bias for Action

Team C^3G

Deliver Results

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Amazon_Team_C^3G_Case_Submission_2013

  • 2. Identify the Next Customer Segment… The Amazon Way Think Big: Market Analysis Customer Obsession: Profile Bias for Action: Program Implementation Deliver Results: Revenue, Costs and Risks
  • 3. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Amazon’s next customer segment program: Our approach Amazon Customer Segment Goals • Increase Prime Subscriptions • Encourage recurring purchase • More Selection • Lower Pricing • Greater Convenience Considerations • Identify New Customers • Incorporate Existing Products • Unmet Needs • Segment Size • Increase Profits • Increase Overall Brand Awareness • Customer Satisfaction and Loyalty • Amazon Customer Advocacy Outcomes
  • 4. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Customer Segmentation Customer Segment Market Size % NonAmazon Users Recurring Purchases Ease to Convert     Baby Boomers      Entrepreneurs      Active/Fit  Purchasing Power Mothers      Movers      Students      Yuppies     
  • 5. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Customer Segmentation Customer Segment Market Size % NonAmazon Users Recurring Purchases Ease to Convert     Baby Boomers      Entrepreneurs      Active/Fit  Purchasing Power Mothers      Movers      Students      Yuppies     
  • 6. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Meet Ari… Ari is a sandwich lover trying to start his own Deli • I need furniture for my store • I need point of sale systems • I need computers, websites… “I make great sandwiches, not business purchases!”
  • 7. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Meet Anne… Anne aspires to become the next Coco Chanel • I need design tools • I need books on newest fashion trends • I need a website that I can sell my clothes on “I know fashion, not technology!” Deliver Results
  • 8. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Anne and Ari are not alone… • There are 22 million small business owners in the US that represent $218 billion in annual spending. • They cover various industries and demographics • They share similar pains running businesses: • Tight on cash • Not enough time • Lack of technology expertise So we thought why not create a dedicated program to reduce some of the pains so they can focus on what they do best.
  • 9. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Introducing: Amazon Entrepreneur Let us help you realize your business potential and more…
  • 10. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Amazon Entrepreneur: Details Program Offer •3 months of free Amazon Prime •10% discount on all office supplies •3 months of free tier 1 Amazon Web Services •One hour of free Amazon Web Services consultation Program Benefit •Savings •Convenience •Technology Expertise •Scalability Deliver Results
  • 11. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Amazon Entrepreneur: Marketing Channels Online and Mobile Google AdWords Email Entrepreneur Online Entrepreneur Blogs LinkedIn Twitter Facebook Mobile amazon.com aws.amazon.com amazonsupply.com Direct Mail Identify Entrepreneur: Business Registrations and Purchased Lists Television (Commercials) Fox Business, MSNBC, ESPN Amazon Entrepreneur Invitation Public Relations Amazon Business Case Competition Promotional Television Appearance by Jeff Bezos
  • 12. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Amazon Entrepreneur: Risks • We believe that our AWS, Amazon Prime and Office Supplies segments will suffer some revenue erosion from the roll-out of the new Amazon Entrepreneur: AWS Decreases - 0.01% Prime Decreases - 0.30% Office Supplies Decreases < - 0.01% Other Retail Increases > 0.20% Overall, the indirect revenue impact on other lines of business should not be significant.
  • 13. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Amazon Entrepreneur: Program Cost Cost decreases dramatically after the first year 25.0% 20.0% Estimate Initial Program Cost: $20 Million 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 2014 2015 2016 Marketing Expenses 2017 Technology & Content 2018 AWS Consultations 2019 2020 General & Admin Key assumptions 1) Marketing spend is composed of On-going Marketing Expense (estimated at 3.7% of revenue as per 10-k), plus additional advertising expense associated with the new program ($25M over 3 years, mostly in cable TV and internet advertising). It also contains an additional $6M allowance for business development costs. 2) Technology & content is estimated at 9% of revenues (vs. 7.5% for all of Amazon).
  • 14. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Amazon Entrepreneur: Revenue Projection 5 Year Highlights: •566,200 new Prime customers •$753 million new revenue •50.7% compound Annual Growth 5 year target 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 CAGR Revenues 101.1 239.0 393.6 564.7 752.9 958.7 1,182.6 50.7% New Prime Customers 91.2 195.7 309.7 433.2 566.2 708.7 860.7 45.4%
  • 15. Think Big Customer Obsession Bias for Action Deliver Results Amazon Entrepreneur: Revenue Breakdown 1,400.0 1,200.0 1,000.0 Breakdown of Amazon Entrepreneur Revenues (in US$ millions) •31.3% average EBITDA margin •7.9 times higher EBITDA margin than Amazon •Represent 3% of the total Amazon Profit starting year 3 367.7 299.6 800.0 172.7 235.7 600.0 176.0 111.1 400.0 60.5 46.2 200.0 0.0 4.5 36.2 53.0 2014 7.4 116.1 2015 62.5 26.2 16.2 78.7 63.5 49.8 84.1 37.3 117.6 140.6 563.6 454.9 356.3 267.3 187.3 2016 2017 COGS Fulfillment Costs 2018 SG&A 2019 EBITDA Key assumptions 1) We have taken future AMZN revenue and EBITDA projections done by Morgan Stanley. 2) We have assumed an uptick from current levels of Technology & Content expense from 7.5% of sales to 10% of sales. 3) We have assumed $19M in business development & initial marketing spend on year 1, $9M on year 2 and $3M on year three. 4) COGS and fulfillment costs are assumed to maintain current levels as a percentage of retail segment revenues. 5) All estimates include erosion of current AWS and Amazon Prime account revenues. 2020
  • 16. Think Big Customer Obsession Thank You! Bias for Action Team C^3G Deliver Results