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making some sense of it all
(a simple timeline about complex problems)
@chrisvmcd 2
Chris McDermott
@chrisvmcd
Coach/Developer/Conference Organiser
www.leanagilescotland.com
@LeanAgileScot
@chrisvmcd
what am I going to talk about
• sense making
• we face two problems
• timeline
• back in the day
• ski resorts and a drinking weekend
• agile adoption, the two day master and waterfall sandwiches
• how do we do it they way we want to do it
• broaden our horizons
• none of this is new
• food for thought
3
@chrisvmcd
cynefin
4
K-in-evin
habitat or place
“more properly understood as the place of our multiple belongings; the sense that we
all, individually and collectively, have many roots: cultural, religious, geographic, tribal etc.
We can never be fully aware of the nature of those belongings, but they profoundly
influence what we are"
http://c2.com/cgi/wiki?CynefinCentre
@chrisvmcd 5
@chrisvmcd
Simple5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
Complicated
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic 5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
Knownable
relationship between cause and effect requires analysis/
investigation and experts
sense - analyse - respond
Good Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
Knownable
relationship between cause and effect requires analysis/
investigation and experts
sense - analyse - respond
Good Practice
probe - sense - respond
Unknownable
relationship between cause and effect can only
be perceived in retrospect
Emergent Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
Knownable
relationship between cause and effect requires analysis/
investigation and experts
sense - analyse - respond
Good Practice
probe - sense - respond
Unknownable
relationship between cause and effect can only
be perceived in retrospect
Emergent Practice
no relationship between cause and
effect at systems level
act - sense - respond
Novel Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
Knownable
relationship between cause and effect requires analysis/
investigation and experts
sense - analyse - respond
Good Practice
probe - sense - respond
Unknownable
relationship between cause and effect can only
be perceived in retrospect
Emergent Practice
no relationship between cause and
effect at systems level
act - sense - respond
Novel Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
Knownable
relationship between cause and effect requires analysis/
investigation and experts
sense - analyse - respond
Good Practice
probe - sense - respond
Unknownable
relationship between cause and effect can only
be perceived in retrospect
Emergent Practice
no relationship between cause and
effect at systems level
act - sense - respond
Novel Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
Knownable
relationship between cause and effect requires analysis/
investigation and experts
sense - analyse - respond
Good Practice
probe - sense - respond
Unknownable
relationship between cause and effect can only
be perceived in retrospect
Emergent Practice
no relationship between cause and
effect at systems level
act - sense - respond
Novel Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
relationship between cause and effect is obvious to all
Known
sense - categorise - respond
Best Practice
Knownable
relationship between cause and effect requires analysis/
investigation and experts
sense - analyse - respond
Good Practice
probe - sense - respond
Unknownable
relationship between cause and effect can only
be perceived in retrospect
Emergent Practice
no relationship between cause and
effect at systems level
act - sense - respond
Novel Practice
5
@chrisvmcd
we have two problems;
what to do
and
how to do it
6
“It is not enough to do your best; you must know what to do, and then do
your best.” - W. Edwards Deming
@chrisvmcd
back in the day
7
@chrisvmcd
predictability
over
adaptability
8
“people would rather be wrong than uncertain” - Chris Matts
@chrisvmcd
resource efficiency
over
flow efficiency
9
“economy is in flow, not scale” - John Seddon
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
what & how
10
the world seen through a waterfall
@chrisvmcd 11
@chrisvmcd 12
@chrisvmcd 13
@chrisvmcd 14
core ideas
@chrisvmcd 14
make progress with
imperfect information
core ideas
@chrisvmcd 14
make progress with
imperfect information
treat WIP as if it
were a liability
rather than an
asset
core ideas
@chrisvmcd 14
develop an evolutionary
capability by implementing
feedback loops
make progress with
imperfect information
treat WIP as if it
were a liability
rather than an
asset
core ideas
@chrisvmcd 14
develop an evolutionary
capability by implementing
feedback loops
make progress with
imperfect information
treat WIP as if it
were a liability
rather than an
asset
core ideas
foster a
craftsmanship
ethic and a focus
on quality and
pride of
workmanship
@chrisvmcd 14
develop an evolutionary
capability by implementing
feedback loops
make progress with
imperfect information
encourage a high
trust culture
treat WIP as if it
were a liability
rather than an
asset
core ideas
foster a
craftsmanship
ethic and a focus
on quality and
pride of
workmanship
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
what
15
an agile perspective
@chrisvmcd 16
@chrisvmcd 16
@chrisvmcd 16
@chrisvmcd 17
@chrisvmcd 18
@chrisvmcd 19
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
how
20
it’s just stand up meetings and sticky notes
@chrisvmcd 21
@chrisvmcd
Capability
Time
current
desired
1 2 3 4 5
22
@chrisvmcd
organisational threshold
Capability
Time
current
desired
1 2 3 4 5
22
@chrisvmcd
Capability
Time
current
desired
23
@chrisvmcd 24
@chrisvmcd
Functional Hierarchy
25
decisionmakingblamecontrol
@chrisvmcd
Functional Hierarchy
25
decisionmakingblamecontrol
@chrisvmcd
Functional Hierarchy
25
decisionmakingblamecontrol
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd 26
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
how
27
the challenge of change
@chrisvmcd 28
@chrisvmcd
Simple
ComplicatedComplex
Chaotic
Disorder
what
29
@chrisvmcd 30
look outside, these aren’t new ideas
@chrisvmcd
food for thought
• not all problems are created equal
• embrace uncertainty in what we do
• recognise the complexity in how we do it
• look at the whole system
• learn from others
31
@chrisvmcd
thank you
32

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