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Philip Thornton
Flagship leader, CCAFS, Nairobi
What makes an effective
agricultural research for
development project?
Photo: G. Smith (CIAT)
Why Iโ€™m standing here
The international agricultural research system
A few principles for effective ag research for development programs
โ–ช The need to deliver down the impact pathway
โ–ช Navigate towards specific points of leverage
โ–ช Utilize the โ€œthree-thirdsโ€ principle
โ–ช A plausible theory of change and impact pathway are key
โ–ช Innovate in partnerships
โ–ช Innovate in communications
โ–ช Innovate in learning
Outline
โ€ข Worked in agricultural research for development for nearly 35 years,
mostly in the CGIAR as a researcher and research leader
โ€ข Working as a research area leader (Priorities & Policies for Climate
Smart Agriculture) for the CGIAR Research Program on Climate
Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) since 2010
โ€ข Based in Edinburgh, hosted by the International Research Institute
(ILRI) in Nairobi, Kenya
โ€ข Honorary research affiliations with the School of Geosciences,
University of Edinburgh and CSIRO, Brisbane, Australia
Why Iโ€™m standing here
CGIAR: a global network of 15 agricultural research centres aiming to reduce poverty,
improve food and nutrition security, and improve natural resources and ecosystem services
โ€ฆ plus 8 agri-food system programs, 4 global integrating programs,
3 research support platforms
โ€ข Annual budget USD 950 million
โ€ข 10,000 staff in about 75 countries
โ€ข Centres work with multiple programs
โ€ข Programs work with multiple Centres (some
with all)
โ€ข Links to one CRP a โ€œportalโ€ to the rest of the
system (and to hundreds of partners)
Principle 1: the need to deliver down the impact pathway
โ€ฆ delivering great science as well as outcomes
Some recent CGIAR / CCAFS outcomes
โ€ข 7 million farmers getting climate-
informed advisories in Senegal
โ€ข New insurance indices being used to
protect crops of millions of farmers in
India
โ€ข USD 500 million of investments by
IFAD and the World Bank โ€œclimate-
proofedโ€
Principle 2: navigate towards specific points of leverage
Example: Agriculture in NDC mitigation priorities (nationally determined
contributions) as of March 2018
98 countries
13 countries
https://ccafs.cgiar.org/agricultures-prominence-indcs-data-and-maps
โ€ข Participatory scenario-guided NDC process involving decision makers across all
sectors
โ€ข Future scenarios of Costa Rica in 2030 developed to assess emissions reduction
in agriculture, energy, transport, waste and forests
โ€ข Recommendations made taking into account the major uncertainties and
sectoral synergies / trade-offs
โ€ข Formed the basis for the mitigation measures in the NDC in 2017
Veeger et al., 2015
Allocation of:
โ€ข Thought
โ€ข Time
โ€ข Effort
โ€ข Resources?
Principle 3: utilize the โ€œthree-thirdsโ€ principle
Vermeulen & Campbell, 2015
โ€ข To focus on people and
outcomes (behavioral changes)
โ€ข How are research outputs to be
used? Co-development,
learning, incentives
โ€ข Plan to revisit them, to address
unanticipated changes and
failure of key assumptions
โ€ข Sometimes, can use
assumptions as research
hypotheses
Principle 4: a plausible theory of change and impact pathway are key
Activities
How else to reach >500 million smallholders by 2030?
Up to 40% gender disparity
in agricultural productivity
in some countries
420 million youth in Africa
- two-thirds unemployed/vulnerably employed
- one in six in wage employment
Age group will nearly double by 2050
1 GT GHG reduction target (2030)
Current technologies can only do 20-40%
Principle 5: innovate in partnerships
Different skills,
partnerships
โ€ข Research partners:
national, international,
regional
โ€ข Public sector, inter-
governmental and policy
partners
โ€ข Non-governmental
development partners
โ€ข Private sector partners
(inputs, finance)
Principle 6: innovate in communications
โ€ข Make use of the growing literature on global change
communications: framing, psychology, values, attitudes,
beliefs, political ideologies, โ€ฆ
โ€ข Tap in to new skills in discourse analysis and understanding
gender norms (how can they be modified?), behavioural
science, marketing science
โ€ข Power of rapidly evolving info and comms technology
Principle 7: innovate in learning
Project (self) learning
โ–ช Meaningful performance
expectations (outputs,
outcomes)
โ–ช Measurable indicators
โ–ช Evaluating what is being
achieved against expectations
โ–ช Pragmatism: a mix of formal /
informal, quantitative /
qualitative
โ–ช Big research agenda: new
methods (cost & effort vs
rigour)
Monitoring,
evaluation &
learning
modules
Principle 7: innovate in learning
Building capacities
Link in to existing national science-policy dialogue
platforms, networks of scientists, farmers and policy
makers who regularly exchange knowledge on
adaptation to climate change
South-south exchanges: farmers from
one place visiting other farmers to learn
from and teach each other
ccafs.cgiar.org/blog/when-colombia-met-
senegal-photostory
p.thornton@cgiar.org
www.ccafs.cgiar.org
Thank you
Photo: An Notenbaert

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What makes an effective agricultural research for development project?

  • 1. Philip Thornton Flagship leader, CCAFS, Nairobi What makes an effective agricultural research for development project? Photo: G. Smith (CIAT)
  • 2. Why Iโ€™m standing here The international agricultural research system A few principles for effective ag research for development programs โ–ช The need to deliver down the impact pathway โ–ช Navigate towards specific points of leverage โ–ช Utilize the โ€œthree-thirdsโ€ principle โ–ช A plausible theory of change and impact pathway are key โ–ช Innovate in partnerships โ–ช Innovate in communications โ–ช Innovate in learning Outline
  • 3. โ€ข Worked in agricultural research for development for nearly 35 years, mostly in the CGIAR as a researcher and research leader โ€ข Working as a research area leader (Priorities & Policies for Climate Smart Agriculture) for the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) since 2010 โ€ข Based in Edinburgh, hosted by the International Research Institute (ILRI) in Nairobi, Kenya โ€ข Honorary research affiliations with the School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh and CSIRO, Brisbane, Australia Why Iโ€™m standing here
  • 4. CGIAR: a global network of 15 agricultural research centres aiming to reduce poverty, improve food and nutrition security, and improve natural resources and ecosystem services
  • 5. โ€ฆ plus 8 agri-food system programs, 4 global integrating programs, 3 research support platforms โ€ข Annual budget USD 950 million โ€ข 10,000 staff in about 75 countries โ€ข Centres work with multiple programs โ€ข Programs work with multiple Centres (some with all) โ€ข Links to one CRP a โ€œportalโ€ to the rest of the system (and to hundreds of partners)
  • 6. Principle 1: the need to deliver down the impact pathway
  • 7. โ€ฆ delivering great science as well as outcomes Some recent CGIAR / CCAFS outcomes โ€ข 7 million farmers getting climate- informed advisories in Senegal โ€ข New insurance indices being used to protect crops of millions of farmers in India โ€ข USD 500 million of investments by IFAD and the World Bank โ€œclimate- proofedโ€
  • 8. Principle 2: navigate towards specific points of leverage Example: Agriculture in NDC mitigation priorities (nationally determined contributions) as of March 2018 98 countries 13 countries https://ccafs.cgiar.org/agricultures-prominence-indcs-data-and-maps
  • 9. โ€ข Participatory scenario-guided NDC process involving decision makers across all sectors โ€ข Future scenarios of Costa Rica in 2030 developed to assess emissions reduction in agriculture, energy, transport, waste and forests โ€ข Recommendations made taking into account the major uncertainties and sectoral synergies / trade-offs โ€ข Formed the basis for the mitigation measures in the NDC in 2017 Veeger et al., 2015
  • 10. Allocation of: โ€ข Thought โ€ข Time โ€ข Effort โ€ข Resources? Principle 3: utilize the โ€œthree-thirdsโ€ principle Vermeulen & Campbell, 2015
  • 11. โ€ข To focus on people and outcomes (behavioral changes) โ€ข How are research outputs to be used? Co-development, learning, incentives โ€ข Plan to revisit them, to address unanticipated changes and failure of key assumptions โ€ข Sometimes, can use assumptions as research hypotheses Principle 4: a plausible theory of change and impact pathway are key
  • 13. How else to reach >500 million smallholders by 2030? Up to 40% gender disparity in agricultural productivity in some countries 420 million youth in Africa - two-thirds unemployed/vulnerably employed - one in six in wage employment Age group will nearly double by 2050 1 GT GHG reduction target (2030) Current technologies can only do 20-40% Principle 5: innovate in partnerships
  • 14. Different skills, partnerships โ€ข Research partners: national, international, regional โ€ข Public sector, inter- governmental and policy partners โ€ข Non-governmental development partners โ€ข Private sector partners (inputs, finance)
  • 15. Principle 6: innovate in communications โ€ข Make use of the growing literature on global change communications: framing, psychology, values, attitudes, beliefs, political ideologies, โ€ฆ โ€ข Tap in to new skills in discourse analysis and understanding gender norms (how can they be modified?), behavioural science, marketing science โ€ข Power of rapidly evolving info and comms technology
  • 16. Principle 7: innovate in learning Project (self) learning โ–ช Meaningful performance expectations (outputs, outcomes) โ–ช Measurable indicators โ–ช Evaluating what is being achieved against expectations โ–ช Pragmatism: a mix of formal / informal, quantitative / qualitative โ–ช Big research agenda: new methods (cost & effort vs rigour) Monitoring, evaluation & learning modules
  • 17. Principle 7: innovate in learning Building capacities Link in to existing national science-policy dialogue platforms, networks of scientists, farmers and policy makers who regularly exchange knowledge on adaptation to climate change South-south exchanges: farmers from one place visiting other farmers to learn from and teach each other ccafs.cgiar.org/blog/when-colombia-met- senegal-photostory