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Consumer Credit worldwide
         at end-2010

                                                          July 2011




Page 1             Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
‎Global consumer credit at end-2010

   Summary
    For the third year in a row, Sofinco, a brand of Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance, has devoted an issue of its Consumer Credit Overview to a
    special report on the global consumer credit market.
    At end-2010, global consumer loans outstanding totalled EUR 5,473 billion, representing an increase of 2.5% on 2009.

    The size of the market varies from region to region:
     North America (EUR 2,190 billion) accounts for almost 40% of global outstanding loans;
     In contrast, Africa (EUR 85 billion) represents just 2% of global outstanding loans;
     Asia and the Middle East combined represent the second-largest consumer credit region, with outstanding loans of EUR 1,540 billion;
     Europe comes in behind this with EUR 1,310 billion.

    The global consumer credit market remains quite concentrated:
     The five main markets (US, Japan, Canada, the UK and Germany) represented 62% of global outstandings in 2010; this figure is however
        down: it was 76% in 2008;
     The 15 largest markets account for 83% of global outstandings.

    The 2.5% global increase observed in 2010 is distributed unevenly:
     In 2010, consumer credit outstandings grew rapidly in South America (+22%) and, to a lesser extent, in Asia and the Middle East (+7.1%),
        Africa (+6.6%) and Oceania (+2.2%).
     In contrast, they continued to shrink in North America (-0.6%) and Europe (-0.3%). This decline was even more marked in the 27 EU member
        states (-2.8%).
    We can therefore see that the emerging and developed markets are converging at an ever-faster rate.


    Differences also exist in the level of outstandings per capita, although these are becoming less marked. In 2010, the average outstandings per
    capita worldwide stood at around EUR 790.
     The level of outstandings per capita is by far greatest in Canada (EUR 10,157), followed by Japan (EUR 5,973) and the US (EUR 5,886).
     In Europe, average outstandings per capita are modest (EUR 1,667).
     In most emerging markets, outstandings per capita are rapidly increasing, in particular in Latin and South America (Brazil, Argentina) but also in
         Asia and the Middle East (China, Indonesia, Thailand).



Page 2                                                Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     Methodology & foreword

   The primary data on consumer credit presented in this report were sourced from central banks and national statistical institutions.

   They were processed by the economic analysis firm Asterès so as to ensure consistency in terms of product and market scope:
    In terms of operators, they include banking and non-banking agents (i.e. all credit institutions).
    In terms of products, they include bank overdrafts, even those obtained for purchasing consumer goods, but exclude mortgage loans.
    To enable comparisons to be drawn between markets, all data were converted into euro at the average 2010 exchange rate. This is an important
       point that may explain significant variations between years.

   The majority of data presented in this report are estimated and the complete accuracy thereof cannot be guaranteed.
   Variations may exist in the quality of statistics obtained from primary sources (frequently central banks), and sometimes in the availability of such
   statistics. This is particularly true of statistics relating to non-banking operators.

   For the purposes of this report, six geographic regions were defined in line with certain specific features of the consumer credit market.
   These six regions are:
    North America                        Africa
    South America                        Asia & the Middle East
    Europe                               Oceania


   While these regions are broadly based on their standard geographical definition, the following points should be noted:
    In addition to the 27 EU member states, Europe as referred to in this report includes Switzerland, Norway, Russia, Ukraine, Croatia, Serbia and
       Turkey.
       Given the change in scope, the figures indicated may differ from data presented in the Sofinco report entitled "The European consumer credit
       market in 2010" published in June 2011, which dealt exclusively with the 27 EU member states.
    North America includes the US, Canada and Mexico.
    The Middle East is combined with Asia.




Page 3                                                 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     Global consumer credit map

                   Breakdown of consumer credit outstandings at end-2010




Page 4                          Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

       Marked disparity between regions

        40% of global outstandings is accounted for by North America, i.e. the US (33% of global outstandings), Canada (6%) and, to a
         lesser extent, Mexico.
        Asia and the Middle East (26%) represents the second-largest consumer credit region, with outstandings of EUR 1,540 billion, a
         figure that far outstrips Europe's outstandings of EUR 1,310 billion.
        Consumer credit outstandings in Africa represent just 1.6% of the global total. South Africa is the leading African market with
         estimated outstandings of around EUR 51 billion. Nevertheless, the gaps are narrowing.




  2010 consumer credit outstandings per region (in EUR billions)                              Percentage of global outstandings

                                                                                       100%

         North America                                       2,190     (40%)                                         North America     (40%)

                                                         (28%)                         80%
Asia & the Middle East                           1,540
                                                                                                                     Asia & the Middle East (28%)
               Europe                        1,310   (24%)
                                                                                       60%                           Europe (24%)
         Latin America     237 (4.3%)

              Oceania    112 (2.1%)                                                                                  Latin America   (4.3%)
                                                                                       40%
                Africa   85 (1.6%)
                                                                                                                     Oceania (2.1%)
                                                                                       20%
                                                                                                                     Africa (1.6%)

                                                                     Source: Asterès     0%

Page 5                                            Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     An annual increase of 2.5%
        The global consumer credit market recovered in 2010, expanding by 2.5%. However, this global increase conceals a decoupling
         of emerging countries, where there is strong growth in consumer credit, from developed countries, which are struggling.
        The strongest growth in the consumer credit market was recorded in Latin America (21.9%). Brazil, the region's leading market,
         displayed particularly strong momentum (+30%), as did Argentina (+37%).
        In Africa, market growth was solid (+6.6%), particularly in South Africa.
        Total outstandings in Asia and the Middle East grew by 7.1% compared with 2009, primarily thanks to the momentum of certain
         Asian countries (China, India, Indonesia, Thailand). However, in Japan, the zone's largest market, outstandings shrank by 5.3%.
         Ex-Japan, growth in Asia and the Middle East amounted to 24%.
        For their part, the North American and European markets continued to contract (shedding 0.6% and 0.3% respectively).
         In Europe, outside of the EU where outstandings fell by 2.5%, certain emerging markets continued to grow (Turkey) or rebounded
         sharply (Russia).
     Changes are calculated using amounts in EUR (2010 average exchange rate).


                                   Change in consumer credit outstandings per region from 2009 to 2010 (%):

                                        Latin America                                                      21.9%


                                   Asia & the Middle East                         7.1%


                                                Africa                           6.6%


                                               Oceania                  2.2%


                                                Europe      -0.3%


                                      North America         -0.6%
                                                                                                Source: Asterès



Page 6                                                   Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

    Context: global consumer spending


        Global growth recovered in 2010 (+4%), driven by the strength of emerging markets (+7.5%).
        Global consumer spending held up well overall (+2.4%). Here too, emerging markets (+4.6%) bolstered global demand.




     Average annual growth rate 2000-2010 (vol., %)
                                2000-                                                         Annual growth in 2010 (vol., %)
                                                                                   7.5%
     4.9%
              4.6%



                                                                                            4.6%
                                                                                                                                4.0%
                                                              2.4%
                                                      2.1%
                                                                                                           2.7%
                                                                                                                                            2.4%
                                     1.5%
                            1.2%                                                                                    1.5%




     Emerging countries    Developed countries           Global                    Emerging countries     Developed countries          Global
                     GDP   Household spending                                                      GDP   Household spending



                                                                  Sources: Feri, Asterès
Page 7                                           Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     Global outstandings per capita at EUR 787 in 2010

        In North America, the average consumer credit outstandings per capita exceeded EUR 4,800. In particular, the highest level
         worldwide was recorded in Canada, where outstandings per capita topped EUR 10,000.
        Outstandings per capita were also high in Oceania (Australia and New Zealand) at around EUR 3,200.
        In Europe, the figure stands at a little over EUR 1,600, due to the inclusion of emerging countries (primarily Central and Eastern
         European countries) and certain large developed countries (Southern Europe) where the use of credit remains moderate.
        Sharp growth was noted in outstandings per capita in Latin and South America (now at around EUR 500).
        The figure is also on the increase in Asia and the Middle East (EUR 400). There are marked disparities even within this region. The
         amount of outstandings per capita in Japan (EUR 5,973) is 38 times higher than in China. The consumer credit market has been
         rapidly expanding in most countries in the region, in particular in China and South-East Asia.
        On average, consumer credit indebtedness in Africa remains low. However, as in Asia, there are great differences within the region:
         outstandings per capita exceed EUR 1,000 in South Africa whereas in the continent's northern countries, the figure is on average 10
         times less than that.



  Outstandings per capita (2010, in EUR):
                                                    North America                                         4,819

                                                          Oceania                                 3,195

                                                          Europe                  1,667

                                                    Latin America         497

                                            Asia & the Middle East    370

                                                            Africa   82


                                                                                Source: Asterès

Page 8                                             Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

      The weighting of the 5 largest markets has fallen: from 76% in 2008 to 62%
      in 2010
        Although the global consumer credit market is still concentrated, it is becoming increasingly less so: indeed, the five largest markets
         (US, Japan, Canada, the UK and Germany) now represent just 62% of global outstandings compared with 76% in 2008.
        In addition, the 15 largest markets now account for just 83% of global consumer credit outstandings compared with their 90% share
         of the global market in 2008.
        These figures reflect the sustained growth seen in most emerging markets (particularly China, now the world's 6th-largest market).



   Weighting of the 5 largest markets in total global outstandings                 Share of total global outstandings (2010, %)
                              (2010, %)

                 76%

                                                                               15 largest markets                                         83%
                                  65%
                                                  62%




                                                                               10 largest markets                                       77%




                                                                                5 largest markets                                 62%


                 2008             2009            2010

                                                             Source: Asterès

Page 9                                              Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

      Top 15: China and Brazil now rank above France
         The US is the world's largest consumer credit market, with outstandings amounting to EUR 1,815 billion at end-2010. This is more
          than twice the level of outstandings in Japan, the next largest market.
         With EUR 249 billion in outstandings, the UK represents the fourth-largest market in the world, ranking just below Canada (EUR 343
          billion), and is Europe's leading market.
         Fifth in the world, Germany is the largest market in the eurozone.
         With estimated outstandings of EUR 209 billion at end-2010, representing a leap of 54.2%, China is the second-largest Asian market
          after Japan and sixth-largest in the world, ahead of France.
         Brazil has also overtaken France in terms of outstandings (EUR 172 billion). It is the largest market in Latin America as well as one of
          the region's most thriving markets (+29.6% compared with 2009).


                                         2010 outstandings of the 15 largest markets (in EUR billions):

                              United States                                                                    1,815
                                    Japan                              763
                                   Canada                   343
                                      UK               249
                                  Germany             229
                                     China            209
                                     Brazil          172
                                    France          152
                                South Korea         152
                                       Italy    114
                                   Australia    98
                                     Spain      90
                                     Russia    69
                                                                             Sources: central banks, Asterès
                                  Indonesia    57
                                    Turkey     56

Page 10                                                   Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

          Top 15: change in outstandings of the 15 largest markets from 2009 to 2010

         The Chinese consumer credit market grew by more than 60%, comparable to the increase reported between 2008 and 2009.
         The US market, the largest in the world in terms of outstandings, shrank by 1.7%.
         The UK, Europe's leading market, also contracted by 2.7%.




                                  Change in consumer credit outstandings from 2009 to 2010 (%):

                              China                                                                         59%
                            Turkey                                                    31.5%
                             Brazil                                                29.6%
                          Indonesia                                            25.8%
                            Russia                                     16.6%
                       South Korea                              9.8%
                           Canada                          5.0%
                           Australia                     2.4%
                            France                       1.7%
                              Italy                     0.9%
                          Germany                       0.5%
                      United States             -1.7%
                             Japan          -5.3%
                               UK           -5.7%
                             Spain     -10.7%
                                                                          Sources: central banks, Asterès




Page 11                                             Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     Top 15: outstandings per capita in the leading 15 markets

         Canada has the highest level of consumer credit outstandings per capita in the world, at over EUR 10,000.
         Japan ranks second (EUR 5,973), closely followed by the US (EUR 5,886), which is trailed by Australia (EUR 4,614) and the UK
          (EUR 3,998).
         Outstandings per capita in Spain dropped sharply in 2010, now standing at less than EUR 2,000.
         Although not among the fifteen largest markets in terms of total outstandings, Ireland (EUR 4,471), Denmark (EUR 3,174) and
          Greece (EUR 3,138) have some of the highest levels of outstandings per capita in the world.




                                               Consumer credit outstandings per capita in 2010 (in EUR):

                                    Canada                                                                                10,157
                                     Japan                                                      5,973
                              United States                                                    5,886
                                   Australia                                       4,614
                                        UK                                      3,998
                               South Korea                              3,135
                                 Germany                              2,801
                                    France                       2,410
                                     Spain                    1,956
                                      Italy                   1,893
                                      Brazil            865
                                    Turkey             720
                                    Russia         497
                                  Indonesia       235
                                                                                        Sources: central banks, Asterès
                                      China      158


Page 12                                                Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

          Top 15: outstandings per capita vs total consumer credit outstandings

    The largest markets do not necessarily have the highest levels of outstandings per capita. For example:
     Canada, where total consumer credit outstandings amount to EUR 343 billion (i.e. 6% of global outstandings), only ranks 3rd in
        terms of total outstandings but 1st in terms of outstandings per capita.
     China ranks 6th in terms of total outstandings yet is last in the list when it comes to outstandings per capita.


                             Rank    Outstandings (in EUR millions)      Rank   Outstandings per capita (in EUR)
                               1     United States        1,815            1     Canada               10,157
                               2     Japan                  763            2     Japan                  5,973
                               3     Canada                 343            3     United States          5,886
                               4     UK                     249            4     Australia              4,614
                               5     Germany                229            5     UK                     3,998
                               6     China                  209            6     South Korea            3,135
                               7     Brazil                 172            7     Germany                2,801
                               8     France                 152            8     France                 2,410
                               9     South Korea            152            9     Spain                  1,956
                              10     Italy                  114           10     Italy                  1,893
                              11     Australia               98           11     Brazil                  865
                              12     Spain                   90           12     Turkey                  720
                              13     Russia                  69           13     Russia                  497
                              14     Indonesia               57           14     Indonesia               235
                              15     Turkey                  56           15     China                   158

Page 13                                          Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     Focus on: North America, the world's largest market
                                                                                                 Breakdown of outstandings by region
          North America is by far the world's largest consumer credit market. Total                         Oceania
           outstandings in the region stood at EUR 2,190 billion at end-2010, representing                      2%       Africa
           40% of global outstandings.                                                            Latin America           2%
                                                                                                       4%
          Average outstandings per capita are the highest in the world (EUR 4,819). The
           two main markets (the US and Canada) are notable for their strong consumer                                              North
           credit penetration rates, the result of a very high level of consumer spending per   Europe                            America
                                                                                                 24%                               40%
           capita as well as of the highly competitive and extensive credit market.



    1st: United States                  EUR 1,815 billion in outstandings at end-2010
                                       i.e. 33% of global outstandings and 82.9% of
                                                                                                      Asia & the
                                       outstandings in North America                                  Middle East
                                        EUR 5,885 per capita                                            28%



    2nd: Canada                         EUR 343 billion in outstandings at end-2010
                                       i.e. 6% of global outstandings and 15.7% of                 Breakdown of outstandings by
                                       outstandings in North America                               country in North America
                                                                                                                       Mexico
                                        EUR 10,157 per capita                                                           2%
                                                                                                         Canada
                                                                                                          16%
    3rd:   Mexico                       EUR 33 billion in outstandings at end-2010
                                       i.e. 0.6% of global outstandings and 1.5% of
                                       outstandings in North America
                                        EUR 290 per capita
                                                                                                                                         United States
                                                                                                                                           82%




Page 14                                              Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     Focus on: Asia and the Middle East, the world's second-largest market
                                                                                                      Breakdown of outstandings by region
          Asia and the Middle East combined represent the second-largest consumer credit
           market in the world. Outstandings in the region stood at EUR 1,540 billion at end-                        Oceania
                                                                                                                        2%     Africa
           2010, i.e. 28% of global outstandings.                                                         Latin America         2%
          The region is dominated by Japan, the second-largest market in the world, and                        4%
           China. The Chinese market is notable for its strong growth in outstandings (more
           than 50% in 2010). It is now the sixth-largest market in the world, ranking above                                             North
                                                                                                        Europe
           France.                                                                                                                      America
                                                                                                         24%
                                                                                                                                         40%
          In terms of credit, this region is very diverse, with large developed markets (Japan,
           South Korea, Singapore) and high-growth emerging markets (China, Thailand,
           Indonesia, India).

    1st: Japan                          EUR 763 billion in outstandings at end-2010                  Asia & the
                                                                                                      Middle East
                                       i.e. 13.9% of global outstandings and 50% of                      28%
                                       outstandings in Asia & the Middle East
                                        EUR 5,973 per capita
                                                                                                       Breakdown of outstandings by
    2nd:   China                        EUR 209 billion in outstandings at end-2010                   country in Asia and the Middle East
                                       i.e. 3.8% of global outstandings and 14% of
                                       outstandings in Asia & the Middle East                          Other
                                                                                                        26%
                                        EUR 158 per capita
                                                                                                                                           Japan
                                                                                                                                            50%
    3rd: South Korea                    EUR 152 billion in outstandings at end-2010
                                       i.e. 2.8% of global outstandings and 10% of                 South Korea
                                       outstandings in Asia & the Middle East                             10%

                                        EUR 3,135 per capita
                                                                                                                 China
                                                                                                                  14%
Page 15                                              Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

     Focus on: Europe, the world's third-largest market
                                                                                                                                Breakdown of outstandings by region
         The European consumer credit market represented outstandings of EUR 1,310                                                         Oceania
          billion at end-2010, i.e. 24% of global outstandings (losing speed compared                                                          2%     Africa
          with Asia and the Middle East).                                                                                          Latin America       2%
                                                                                                                                        4%
         Outstandings per capita (EUR 1,667) are modest in view of the level of
          development in most of the region's economies.
                                                                                                                       Europe                                   North
         The 27 EU member states (EUR 1,105 billion) account for 85% of the market.                                                                           America
                                                                                                                         24%
                                                                                                                                                                40%


    1st: UK             EUR 249 billion in outstandings at end-2010*
                                       i.e. 4.5% of global outstandings and 22% of
                                       outstandings in Europe                                                                    Asia & the
                                                                                                                                 Middle East
                                        EUR 3,998 per capita                                                                       28%

    2nd: Germany                              EUR 229 billion in outstandings at end-2010
                                             i.e. 4.2% of global outstandings and 21% of                                         Breakdown of outstandings by
                                             outstandings in Europe                                                              country in Europe
                                              EUR 2,801 per capita                                                                                            UK
                                                                                                                                                                    22%

    3rd: France         EUR 152 billion in outstandings at end-2010
                                                                                                                                 Other
                                       i.e. 2.8% of global outstandings and 12% of                                                45%
                                       outstandings in Europe                                                                                                         Germany
                                                                                                                                                                        21%
                                        EUR 2,410 per capita

    * The variation compared with the previous report is primarily due to changes in the exchange rate.
    ** The data were updated on the basis of outstandings published by the Banque de France and reprocessed using estimated
    data for France's overseas départements, i.e. EUR 151.7 billion in outstandings at end-2010                                           France
                                                                                                                                           12%
Page 16                                                       Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Global consumer credit at end-2010

    Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance
    Europe's leader in consumer credit

     With EUR 78.1 billion in consumer credit outstandings under management at end-2010, Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance is the leading player on
     Europe's consumer credit market.
     Via its subsidiaries, Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance operates in 19 European countries (Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland,
     France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK) as well as in
     Saudi Arabia, Morocco and China.
     At end-2010, two-thirds of its outstandings under management were generated by international activities.
     Sofinco is a French brand of Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance.




Page 17                                              Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
Contact :   Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance
                      DPCI
                      H.0.2. - rue du Bois Sauvage - 91038 Evry cedex (France)
                      Tél. : 33 (0)1 60 76 88 17
                      E-mail : presse@ca-cf.fr




                All Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance ‘s studies are available from www.ca-consumerfinance.com,
                Section Consumer Credit Overview




Page 18                                          Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010

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Consumer credit worldwide

  • 1. Consumer Credit worldwide at end-2010 July 2011 Page 1 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 2. ‎Global consumer credit at end-2010 Summary For the third year in a row, Sofinco, a brand of Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance, has devoted an issue of its Consumer Credit Overview to a special report on the global consumer credit market. At end-2010, global consumer loans outstanding totalled EUR 5,473 billion, representing an increase of 2.5% on 2009. The size of the market varies from region to region:  North America (EUR 2,190 billion) accounts for almost 40% of global outstanding loans;  In contrast, Africa (EUR 85 billion) represents just 2% of global outstanding loans;  Asia and the Middle East combined represent the second-largest consumer credit region, with outstanding loans of EUR 1,540 billion;  Europe comes in behind this with EUR 1,310 billion. The global consumer credit market remains quite concentrated:  The five main markets (US, Japan, Canada, the UK and Germany) represented 62% of global outstandings in 2010; this figure is however down: it was 76% in 2008;  The 15 largest markets account for 83% of global outstandings. The 2.5% global increase observed in 2010 is distributed unevenly:  In 2010, consumer credit outstandings grew rapidly in South America (+22%) and, to a lesser extent, in Asia and the Middle East (+7.1%), Africa (+6.6%) and Oceania (+2.2%).  In contrast, they continued to shrink in North America (-0.6%) and Europe (-0.3%). This decline was even more marked in the 27 EU member states (-2.8%). We can therefore see that the emerging and developed markets are converging at an ever-faster rate. Differences also exist in the level of outstandings per capita, although these are becoming less marked. In 2010, the average outstandings per capita worldwide stood at around EUR 790.  The level of outstandings per capita is by far greatest in Canada (EUR 10,157), followed by Japan (EUR 5,973) and the US (EUR 5,886).  In Europe, average outstandings per capita are modest (EUR 1,667).  In most emerging markets, outstandings per capita are rapidly increasing, in particular in Latin and South America (Brazil, Argentina) but also in Asia and the Middle East (China, Indonesia, Thailand). Page 2 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 3. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Methodology & foreword The primary data on consumer credit presented in this report were sourced from central banks and national statistical institutions. They were processed by the economic analysis firm Asterès so as to ensure consistency in terms of product and market scope:  In terms of operators, they include banking and non-banking agents (i.e. all credit institutions).  In terms of products, they include bank overdrafts, even those obtained for purchasing consumer goods, but exclude mortgage loans.  To enable comparisons to be drawn between markets, all data were converted into euro at the average 2010 exchange rate. This is an important point that may explain significant variations between years. The majority of data presented in this report are estimated and the complete accuracy thereof cannot be guaranteed. Variations may exist in the quality of statistics obtained from primary sources (frequently central banks), and sometimes in the availability of such statistics. This is particularly true of statistics relating to non-banking operators. For the purposes of this report, six geographic regions were defined in line with certain specific features of the consumer credit market. These six regions are:  North America  Africa  South America  Asia & the Middle East  Europe  Oceania While these regions are broadly based on their standard geographical definition, the following points should be noted:  In addition to the 27 EU member states, Europe as referred to in this report includes Switzerland, Norway, Russia, Ukraine, Croatia, Serbia and Turkey. Given the change in scope, the figures indicated may differ from data presented in the Sofinco report entitled "The European consumer credit market in 2010" published in June 2011, which dealt exclusively with the 27 EU member states.  North America includes the US, Canada and Mexico.  The Middle East is combined with Asia. Page 3 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 4. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Global consumer credit map Breakdown of consumer credit outstandings at end-2010 Page 4 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 5. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Marked disparity between regions  40% of global outstandings is accounted for by North America, i.e. the US (33% of global outstandings), Canada (6%) and, to a lesser extent, Mexico.  Asia and the Middle East (26%) represents the second-largest consumer credit region, with outstandings of EUR 1,540 billion, a figure that far outstrips Europe's outstandings of EUR 1,310 billion.  Consumer credit outstandings in Africa represent just 1.6% of the global total. South Africa is the leading African market with estimated outstandings of around EUR 51 billion. Nevertheless, the gaps are narrowing. 2010 consumer credit outstandings per region (in EUR billions) Percentage of global outstandings 100% North America 2,190 (40%) North America (40%) (28%) 80% Asia & the Middle East 1,540 Asia & the Middle East (28%) Europe 1,310 (24%) 60% Europe (24%) Latin America 237 (4.3%) Oceania 112 (2.1%) Latin America (4.3%) 40% Africa 85 (1.6%) Oceania (2.1%) 20% Africa (1.6%) Source: Asterès 0% Page 5 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 6. Global consumer credit at end-2010 An annual increase of 2.5%  The global consumer credit market recovered in 2010, expanding by 2.5%. However, this global increase conceals a decoupling of emerging countries, where there is strong growth in consumer credit, from developed countries, which are struggling.  The strongest growth in the consumer credit market was recorded in Latin America (21.9%). Brazil, the region's leading market, displayed particularly strong momentum (+30%), as did Argentina (+37%).  In Africa, market growth was solid (+6.6%), particularly in South Africa.  Total outstandings in Asia and the Middle East grew by 7.1% compared with 2009, primarily thanks to the momentum of certain Asian countries (China, India, Indonesia, Thailand). However, in Japan, the zone's largest market, outstandings shrank by 5.3%. Ex-Japan, growth in Asia and the Middle East amounted to 24%.  For their part, the North American and European markets continued to contract (shedding 0.6% and 0.3% respectively). In Europe, outside of the EU where outstandings fell by 2.5%, certain emerging markets continued to grow (Turkey) or rebounded sharply (Russia). Changes are calculated using amounts in EUR (2010 average exchange rate). Change in consumer credit outstandings per region from 2009 to 2010 (%): Latin America 21.9% Asia & the Middle East 7.1% Africa 6.6% Oceania 2.2% Europe -0.3% North America -0.6% Source: Asterès Page 6 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 7. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Context: global consumer spending  Global growth recovered in 2010 (+4%), driven by the strength of emerging markets (+7.5%).  Global consumer spending held up well overall (+2.4%). Here too, emerging markets (+4.6%) bolstered global demand. Average annual growth rate 2000-2010 (vol., %) 2000- Annual growth in 2010 (vol., %) 7.5% 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 1.2% 1.5% Emerging countries Developed countries Global Emerging countries Developed countries Global GDP Household spending GDP Household spending Sources: Feri, Asterès Page 7 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 8. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Global outstandings per capita at EUR 787 in 2010  In North America, the average consumer credit outstandings per capita exceeded EUR 4,800. In particular, the highest level worldwide was recorded in Canada, where outstandings per capita topped EUR 10,000.  Outstandings per capita were also high in Oceania (Australia and New Zealand) at around EUR 3,200.  In Europe, the figure stands at a little over EUR 1,600, due to the inclusion of emerging countries (primarily Central and Eastern European countries) and certain large developed countries (Southern Europe) where the use of credit remains moderate.  Sharp growth was noted in outstandings per capita in Latin and South America (now at around EUR 500).  The figure is also on the increase in Asia and the Middle East (EUR 400). There are marked disparities even within this region. The amount of outstandings per capita in Japan (EUR 5,973) is 38 times higher than in China. The consumer credit market has been rapidly expanding in most countries in the region, in particular in China and South-East Asia.  On average, consumer credit indebtedness in Africa remains low. However, as in Asia, there are great differences within the region: outstandings per capita exceed EUR 1,000 in South Africa whereas in the continent's northern countries, the figure is on average 10 times less than that. Outstandings per capita (2010, in EUR): North America 4,819 Oceania 3,195 Europe 1,667 Latin America 497 Asia & the Middle East 370 Africa 82 Source: Asterès Page 8 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 9. Global consumer credit at end-2010 The weighting of the 5 largest markets has fallen: from 76% in 2008 to 62% in 2010  Although the global consumer credit market is still concentrated, it is becoming increasingly less so: indeed, the five largest markets (US, Japan, Canada, the UK and Germany) now represent just 62% of global outstandings compared with 76% in 2008.  In addition, the 15 largest markets now account for just 83% of global consumer credit outstandings compared with their 90% share of the global market in 2008.  These figures reflect the sustained growth seen in most emerging markets (particularly China, now the world's 6th-largest market). Weighting of the 5 largest markets in total global outstandings Share of total global outstandings (2010, %) (2010, %) 76% 15 largest markets 83% 65% 62% 10 largest markets 77% 5 largest markets 62% 2008 2009 2010 Source: Asterès Page 9 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 10. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Top 15: China and Brazil now rank above France  The US is the world's largest consumer credit market, with outstandings amounting to EUR 1,815 billion at end-2010. This is more than twice the level of outstandings in Japan, the next largest market.  With EUR 249 billion in outstandings, the UK represents the fourth-largest market in the world, ranking just below Canada (EUR 343 billion), and is Europe's leading market.  Fifth in the world, Germany is the largest market in the eurozone.  With estimated outstandings of EUR 209 billion at end-2010, representing a leap of 54.2%, China is the second-largest Asian market after Japan and sixth-largest in the world, ahead of France.  Brazil has also overtaken France in terms of outstandings (EUR 172 billion). It is the largest market in Latin America as well as one of the region's most thriving markets (+29.6% compared with 2009). 2010 outstandings of the 15 largest markets (in EUR billions): United States 1,815 Japan 763 Canada 343 UK 249 Germany 229 China 209 Brazil 172 France 152 South Korea 152 Italy 114 Australia 98 Spain 90 Russia 69 Sources: central banks, Asterès Indonesia 57 Turkey 56 Page 10 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 11. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Top 15: change in outstandings of the 15 largest markets from 2009 to 2010  The Chinese consumer credit market grew by more than 60%, comparable to the increase reported between 2008 and 2009.  The US market, the largest in the world in terms of outstandings, shrank by 1.7%.  The UK, Europe's leading market, also contracted by 2.7%. Change in consumer credit outstandings from 2009 to 2010 (%): China 59% Turkey 31.5% Brazil 29.6% Indonesia 25.8% Russia 16.6% South Korea 9.8% Canada 5.0% Australia 2.4% France 1.7% Italy 0.9% Germany 0.5% United States -1.7% Japan -5.3% UK -5.7% Spain -10.7% Sources: central banks, Asterès Page 11 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 12. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Top 15: outstandings per capita in the leading 15 markets  Canada has the highest level of consumer credit outstandings per capita in the world, at over EUR 10,000.  Japan ranks second (EUR 5,973), closely followed by the US (EUR 5,886), which is trailed by Australia (EUR 4,614) and the UK (EUR 3,998).  Outstandings per capita in Spain dropped sharply in 2010, now standing at less than EUR 2,000.  Although not among the fifteen largest markets in terms of total outstandings, Ireland (EUR 4,471), Denmark (EUR 3,174) and Greece (EUR 3,138) have some of the highest levels of outstandings per capita in the world. Consumer credit outstandings per capita in 2010 (in EUR): Canada 10,157 Japan 5,973 United States 5,886 Australia 4,614 UK 3,998 South Korea 3,135 Germany 2,801 France 2,410 Spain 1,956 Italy 1,893 Brazil 865 Turkey 720 Russia 497 Indonesia 235 Sources: central banks, Asterès China 158 Page 12 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 13. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Top 15: outstandings per capita vs total consumer credit outstandings The largest markets do not necessarily have the highest levels of outstandings per capita. For example:  Canada, where total consumer credit outstandings amount to EUR 343 billion (i.e. 6% of global outstandings), only ranks 3rd in terms of total outstandings but 1st in terms of outstandings per capita.  China ranks 6th in terms of total outstandings yet is last in the list when it comes to outstandings per capita. Rank Outstandings (in EUR millions) Rank Outstandings per capita (in EUR) 1 United States 1,815 1 Canada 10,157 2 Japan 763 2 Japan 5,973 3 Canada 343 3 United States 5,886 4 UK 249 4 Australia 4,614 5 Germany 229 5 UK 3,998 6 China 209 6 South Korea 3,135 7 Brazil 172 7 Germany 2,801 8 France 152 8 France 2,410 9 South Korea 152 9 Spain 1,956 10 Italy 114 10 Italy 1,893 11 Australia 98 11 Brazil 865 12 Spain 90 12 Turkey 720 13 Russia 69 13 Russia 497 14 Indonesia 57 14 Indonesia 235 15 Turkey 56 15 China 158 Page 13 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 14. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Focus on: North America, the world's largest market Breakdown of outstandings by region  North America is by far the world's largest consumer credit market. Total Oceania outstandings in the region stood at EUR 2,190 billion at end-2010, representing 2% Africa 40% of global outstandings. Latin America 2% 4%  Average outstandings per capita are the highest in the world (EUR 4,819). The two main markets (the US and Canada) are notable for their strong consumer North credit penetration rates, the result of a very high level of consumer spending per Europe America 24% 40% capita as well as of the highly competitive and extensive credit market. 1st: United States  EUR 1,815 billion in outstandings at end-2010 i.e. 33% of global outstandings and 82.9% of Asia & the outstandings in North America Middle East  EUR 5,885 per capita 28% 2nd: Canada  EUR 343 billion in outstandings at end-2010 i.e. 6% of global outstandings and 15.7% of Breakdown of outstandings by outstandings in North America country in North America Mexico  EUR 10,157 per capita 2% Canada 16% 3rd: Mexico  EUR 33 billion in outstandings at end-2010 i.e. 0.6% of global outstandings and 1.5% of outstandings in North America  EUR 290 per capita United States 82% Page 14 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 15. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Focus on: Asia and the Middle East, the world's second-largest market Breakdown of outstandings by region  Asia and the Middle East combined represent the second-largest consumer credit market in the world. Outstandings in the region stood at EUR 1,540 billion at end- Oceania 2% Africa 2010, i.e. 28% of global outstandings. Latin America 2%  The region is dominated by Japan, the second-largest market in the world, and 4% China. The Chinese market is notable for its strong growth in outstandings (more than 50% in 2010). It is now the sixth-largest market in the world, ranking above North Europe France. America 24% 40%  In terms of credit, this region is very diverse, with large developed markets (Japan, South Korea, Singapore) and high-growth emerging markets (China, Thailand, Indonesia, India). 1st: Japan  EUR 763 billion in outstandings at end-2010 Asia & the Middle East i.e. 13.9% of global outstandings and 50% of 28% outstandings in Asia & the Middle East  EUR 5,973 per capita Breakdown of outstandings by 2nd: China  EUR 209 billion in outstandings at end-2010 country in Asia and the Middle East i.e. 3.8% of global outstandings and 14% of outstandings in Asia & the Middle East Other 26%  EUR 158 per capita Japan 50% 3rd: South Korea  EUR 152 billion in outstandings at end-2010 i.e. 2.8% of global outstandings and 10% of South Korea outstandings in Asia & the Middle East 10%  EUR 3,135 per capita China 14% Page 15 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 16. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Focus on: Europe, the world's third-largest market Breakdown of outstandings by region  The European consumer credit market represented outstandings of EUR 1,310 Oceania billion at end-2010, i.e. 24% of global outstandings (losing speed compared 2% Africa with Asia and the Middle East). Latin America 2% 4%  Outstandings per capita (EUR 1,667) are modest in view of the level of development in most of the region's economies. Europe North  The 27 EU member states (EUR 1,105 billion) account for 85% of the market. America 24% 40% 1st: UK  EUR 249 billion in outstandings at end-2010* i.e. 4.5% of global outstandings and 22% of outstandings in Europe Asia & the Middle East  EUR 3,998 per capita 28% 2nd: Germany  EUR 229 billion in outstandings at end-2010 i.e. 4.2% of global outstandings and 21% of Breakdown of outstandings by outstandings in Europe country in Europe  EUR 2,801 per capita UK 22% 3rd: France  EUR 152 billion in outstandings at end-2010 Other i.e. 2.8% of global outstandings and 12% of 45% outstandings in Europe Germany 21%  EUR 2,410 per capita * The variation compared with the previous report is primarily due to changes in the exchange rate. ** The data were updated on the basis of outstandings published by the Banque de France and reprocessed using estimated data for France's overseas départements, i.e. EUR 151.7 billion in outstandings at end-2010 France 12% Page 16 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 17. Global consumer credit at end-2010 Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance Europe's leader in consumer credit With EUR 78.1 billion in consumer credit outstandings under management at end-2010, Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance is the leading player on Europe's consumer credit market. Via its subsidiaries, Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance operates in 19 European countries (Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK) as well as in Saudi Arabia, Morocco and China. At end-2010, two-thirds of its outstandings under management were generated by international activities. Sofinco is a French brand of Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance. Page 17 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010
  • 18. Contact : Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance DPCI H.0.2. - rue du Bois Sauvage - 91038 Evry cedex (France) Tél. : 33 (0)1 60 76 88 17 E-mail : presse@ca-cf.fr All Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance ‘s studies are available from www.ca-consumerfinance.com, Section Consumer Credit Overview Page 18 Consumer Credit Worlwide at end-2010