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Presented by:
Sachin Goyal
Neeraj joshi
• CAPM is a model that provides a framework to
  determine the required rate of return on an asset and
  indicates the relationship between return and risk of
  the asset.
   Market Efficiency
   Risk aversion and mean variance optimization
   Homogeneous expectations
   Single time period
   Risk-free rate
 Hypothesizes that investors require higher rates of
 return for greater levels of relevant risk.
 ▪ There are no prices on the model, instead it
   hypothesizes the relationship between risk and
   return for individual securities.
 ▪ It is often used, however, the price securities and
   investments.
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
    How is it Used?



           Uses include:
              Determining the cost of equity capital.
              The relevant risk in the dividend discount model to estimate a stock’s intrinsic (inherent
                    economic worth) value. (As illustrated below)


Estimate Investment’s Risk       Determine Investment’s       Estimate the Investment’s   Compare to the actual
(Beta Coefficient)               Required Return              Intrinsic Value             stock price in the market



          COV       i,M
                                                                              D1             Is the stock
      i
            σ
                2               ki   RF   ( ER M   RF )   i     P0
                M
                                                                         kc        g         fairly priced?
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
                        Expected and Required Rates of Return


                                                                C
                                                                B a portfolio that
                                                                A is an overvalued
                                                                        undervalued
                                                                offers and Expected
                                                                portfolio. Expected
                                                                            expected
                   Required                                     return is greater than
                                                                        equal to the
                                                                          less than the
                  Return on C
        ER                               CML                    required return.
                                                                the required return.
 Expected
                           A                                    Selling pressure will
                                                                Demand for Portfolio
return on A
                                                                cause the price
                                                                A will increase to fall
                                                                and the yield price,
                                                                driving up theto rise
                                   C                            until expected equals
                                                                and therefore the
 Required                                                       the required return.
                                                                expected return will
return on A
              B                                                 fall until expected
                                                                equals required
                   Expected
                  Return on C                                   (market equilibrium
        RF
                                                                condition is
                                                                achieved.)



                                    σρ
CAPM and Market Risk

• The Capital Asset Pricing Model
Diversifiable and Non-Diversifiable
                Risk
• CML applies to efficient portfolios
• Volatility (risk) of individual security returns
  are caused by two different factors:
   – Non-diversifiable risk (system wide changes in
     the economy and markets that affect all securities
     in varying degrees)
   – Diversifiable risk (company-specific factors that
     affect the returns of only one security)
The CAPM and Market Risk
                      Portfolio Risk and Diversification



Total Risk (σ)

                                                                              Market or
                                                                           systematic risk
                 Unique (Non-systematic) Risk
                                                                              is risk that
                                                                              cannot be
                                                                             eliminated
                                                                               from the
                                                                             portfolio by
                                                                            investing the
                                          Market (Systematic) Risk
                                                                            portfolio into
                                                                               more and
                                                                               different
                                                                              securities.
                                                    Number of Securities
Relevant Risk
                    Drawing a Conclusion from Figure

• Figure demonstrates that an individual securities’ volatility of
  return comes from two factors:
    – Systematic factors
    – Company-specific factors
• When combined into portfolios, company-specific risk is diversified
  away.
• Since all investors are ‘diversified’ then in an efficient market, no-
  one would be willing to pay a ‘premium’ for company-specific risk.
• Relevant risk to diversified investors then is systematic risk.
• Systematic risk is measured using the Beta Coefficient.
Measuring Systematic Risk
  The Beta Coefficient
• The Capital Asset Pricing Model
  (CAPM)
The Beta Coefficient
               What is the Beta Coefficient?



• A measure of systematic (non-diversifiable)
  risk
• As a ‘coefficient’ the beta is a pure number
  and has no units of measure.
The Beta Coefficient
      How Can We Estimate the Value of the Beta Coefficient?



• There are two basic approaches to
  estimating the beta coefficient:

  1. Using a formula (and subjective forecasts)
  2. Use of regression (using past holding period
     returns)
The CAPM and Market Risk
               The Characteristic Line for Security A


          Security A Returns (%)



                      6


                      4                                                          The slope of the
                                                                                     The plotted
                                                                                 regression line is
                                                                                   points are the




                                                            Market Returns (%)
                                                                                 coincident rates
                                                                                         beta.
                      2
                                                                                 of return earned
                                                                                  The line of best
                                                                                        on the
                      0                                                           investment and
                                                                                   fit is known in
-6   -4   -2           0           2   4       6        8                          finance as the
                                                                                     the market
                     -2                                                            portfolio over
                                                                                   characteristic
                                                                                    pastline.
                                                                                          periods.
                     -4


                     -6
The Formula for the Beta
        Coefficient
Beta is equal to the covariance of the returns of
the stock with the returns of the market, divided
by the variance of the returns of the market:


                    COV   i,M   i,M   i
                i     2
                     σM           M
The Beta Coefficient
                      How is the Beta Coefficient Interpreted?

•   The beta of the market portfolio is ALWAYS = 1.0

•   The beta of a security compares the volatility of its returns to the volatility of the
    market returns:

     βs = 1.0                   -   the security has the same volatility as the market as a
                                    whole

     βs > 1.0                   -   aggressive investment with volatility of returns greater
                                    than the market

     βs < 1.0                   -   defensive investment with volatility of returns less than
                                    the market

     βs < 0.0                   -   an investment with returns that are negatively correlated
                                    with the returns of the market
The Security Market Line

• The Capital Asset Pricing Model
  (CAPM)
The CAPM and Market Risk
                    The Security Market Line (SML)

– The SML is the hypothesized relationship between return (the
  dependent variable) and systematic risk (the beta coefficient).
– It is a straight line relationship defined by the following formula:



                        ki    RF     ( ER M      RF )   i




– Where:
    ki = the required return on security ‘i’
    ERM – RF = market premium for risk
    Βi = the beta coefficient for security ‘i’
The CAPM and Market Risk
                       The SML and Security Valuation



                                                         Similarly, B is an
                                                         A is an undervalued
                                                         Required returns
       ER             ki   RF     ( ER M    RF )         overvalued
                                                         security because its
                                                         are forecast using
                                                     i
                                                         security.
                                                         expected return
                                                         this equation. is
                                           SML           greater than the
                                                         Investor’s will sell
                                                         You can see that
                                                         required return.
                                                         to lock in gains, but
                                                         the required return
Expected    A                                            the selling pressure
                                                         Investors will ‘flock’
                                                         on any security is a
Return A
                                                         will and of its
                                                         to Acause the
                                                         function bid up the
Required
Return A         B
                                                         market price
                                                         price causing to fall,
                                                         systematic risk (β)
  RF
                                                         causing the
                                                         expected return to
                                                         and market
                                                         expected return
                                                         fall till it(RF andto
                                                         factors equals the
                                                         rise until it equals
                                                         required return.
                                                         market premium
                                                         the required return.
                                                         for risk)
            βA   βB                              β
The CAPM in Summary
                  The SML and CML




– The CAPM is well entrenched and widely used by
  investors, managers and financial institutions.
– It is a single factor model because it based on the
  hypothesis that required rate of return can be
  predicted using one factor – systematic risk
– The SML is used to price individual investments
  and uses the beta coefficient as the measure of
  risk.
– The CML is used with diversified portfolios and
  uses the standard deviation as the measure of
Challenges to CAPM
• Empirical tests suggest:
   – CAPM does not hold well in practice:
       • Ex post SML is an upward sloping line
       • Ex ante y (vertical) – intercept is higher that RF
       • Slope is less than what is predicted by theory
   – Beta possesses no explanatory power for predicting stock returns
     (Fama and French, 1992)
• CAPM remains in widespread use despite the foregoing.
   – Advantages include – relative simplicity and intuitive logic.
• Because of the problems with CAPM, other models have been
  developed including:
   – Fama-French (FF) Model
   – Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
   – Hamada Model
The capital asset pricing model (capm)

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The capital asset pricing model (capm)

  • 2. • CAPM is a model that provides a framework to determine the required rate of return on an asset and indicates the relationship between return and risk of the asset.
  • 3.  Market Efficiency  Risk aversion and mean variance optimization  Homogeneous expectations  Single time period  Risk-free rate
  • 4.  Hypothesizes that investors require higher rates of return for greater levels of relevant risk. ▪ There are no prices on the model, instead it hypothesizes the relationship between risk and return for individual securities. ▪ It is often used, however, the price securities and investments.
  • 5. The Capital Asset Pricing Model How is it Used?  Uses include:  Determining the cost of equity capital.  The relevant risk in the dividend discount model to estimate a stock’s intrinsic (inherent economic worth) value. (As illustrated below) Estimate Investment’s Risk Determine Investment’s Estimate the Investment’s Compare to the actual (Beta Coefficient) Required Return Intrinsic Value stock price in the market COV i,M D1 Is the stock i σ 2 ki RF ( ER M RF ) i P0 M kc g fairly priced?
  • 6. The Capital Asset Pricing Model Expected and Required Rates of Return C B a portfolio that A is an overvalued undervalued offers and Expected portfolio. Expected expected Required return is greater than equal to the less than the Return on C ER CML required return. the required return. Expected A Selling pressure will Demand for Portfolio return on A cause the price A will increase to fall and the yield price, driving up theto rise C until expected equals and therefore the Required the required return. expected return will return on A B fall until expected equals required Expected Return on C (market equilibrium RF condition is achieved.) σρ
  • 7. CAPM and Market Risk • The Capital Asset Pricing Model
  • 8. Diversifiable and Non-Diversifiable Risk • CML applies to efficient portfolios • Volatility (risk) of individual security returns are caused by two different factors: – Non-diversifiable risk (system wide changes in the economy and markets that affect all securities in varying degrees) – Diversifiable risk (company-specific factors that affect the returns of only one security)
  • 9. The CAPM and Market Risk Portfolio Risk and Diversification Total Risk (σ) Market or systematic risk Unique (Non-systematic) Risk is risk that cannot be eliminated from the portfolio by investing the Market (Systematic) Risk portfolio into more and different securities. Number of Securities
  • 10. Relevant Risk Drawing a Conclusion from Figure • Figure demonstrates that an individual securities’ volatility of return comes from two factors: – Systematic factors – Company-specific factors • When combined into portfolios, company-specific risk is diversified away. • Since all investors are ‘diversified’ then in an efficient market, no- one would be willing to pay a ‘premium’ for company-specific risk. • Relevant risk to diversified investors then is systematic risk. • Systematic risk is measured using the Beta Coefficient.
  • 11. Measuring Systematic Risk The Beta Coefficient • The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
  • 12. The Beta Coefficient What is the Beta Coefficient? • A measure of systematic (non-diversifiable) risk • As a ‘coefficient’ the beta is a pure number and has no units of measure.
  • 13. The Beta Coefficient How Can We Estimate the Value of the Beta Coefficient? • There are two basic approaches to estimating the beta coefficient: 1. Using a formula (and subjective forecasts) 2. Use of regression (using past holding period returns)
  • 14. The CAPM and Market Risk The Characteristic Line for Security A Security A Returns (%) 6 4 The slope of the The plotted regression line is points are the Market Returns (%) coincident rates beta. 2 of return earned The line of best on the 0 investment and fit is known in -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 finance as the the market -2 portfolio over characteristic pastline. periods. -4 -6
  • 15. The Formula for the Beta Coefficient Beta is equal to the covariance of the returns of the stock with the returns of the market, divided by the variance of the returns of the market: COV i,M i,M i i 2 σM M
  • 16. The Beta Coefficient How is the Beta Coefficient Interpreted? • The beta of the market portfolio is ALWAYS = 1.0 • The beta of a security compares the volatility of its returns to the volatility of the market returns: βs = 1.0 - the security has the same volatility as the market as a whole βs > 1.0 - aggressive investment with volatility of returns greater than the market βs < 1.0 - defensive investment with volatility of returns less than the market βs < 0.0 - an investment with returns that are negatively correlated with the returns of the market
  • 17. The Security Market Line • The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
  • 18. The CAPM and Market Risk The Security Market Line (SML) – The SML is the hypothesized relationship between return (the dependent variable) and systematic risk (the beta coefficient). – It is a straight line relationship defined by the following formula: ki RF ( ER M RF ) i – Where: ki = the required return on security ‘i’ ERM – RF = market premium for risk Βi = the beta coefficient for security ‘i’
  • 19. The CAPM and Market Risk The SML and Security Valuation Similarly, B is an A is an undervalued Required returns ER ki RF ( ER M RF ) overvalued security because its are forecast using i security. expected return this equation. is SML greater than the Investor’s will sell You can see that required return. to lock in gains, but the required return Expected A the selling pressure Investors will ‘flock’ on any security is a Return A will and of its to Acause the function bid up the Required Return A B market price price causing to fall, systematic risk (β) RF causing the expected return to and market expected return fall till it(RF andto factors equals the rise until it equals required return. market premium the required return. for risk) βA βB β
  • 20. The CAPM in Summary The SML and CML – The CAPM is well entrenched and widely used by investors, managers and financial institutions. – It is a single factor model because it based on the hypothesis that required rate of return can be predicted using one factor – systematic risk – The SML is used to price individual investments and uses the beta coefficient as the measure of risk. – The CML is used with diversified portfolios and uses the standard deviation as the measure of
  • 21. Challenges to CAPM • Empirical tests suggest: – CAPM does not hold well in practice: • Ex post SML is an upward sloping line • Ex ante y (vertical) – intercept is higher that RF • Slope is less than what is predicted by theory – Beta possesses no explanatory power for predicting stock returns (Fama and French, 1992) • CAPM remains in widespread use despite the foregoing. – Advantages include – relative simplicity and intuitive logic. • Because of the problems with CAPM, other models have been developed including: – Fama-French (FF) Model – Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) – Hamada Model