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Vizhinjam	
  Deep	
  water	
  Port	
  Project	
  

A	
  New	
  Vision	
  and	
  Way	
  Forward	
  


                                                    1	
  
Agenda 	
  	
  
•  Revisi>ng	
  the	
  Market	
  
•  Core	
  ABrac>ons	
  of	
  the	
  Project	
  
•  Modifica>ons	
  to	
  the	
  Master	
  Plan	
  
•  Development	
  Structure	
  
•  Expanded	
  Government	
  Support	
  




                                                    2	
  
Market	
  Study	
  -­‐	
  1 	
  	
  
•  Current	
   study	
   by	
   Drewry/IFC	
   under-­‐es>mates	
   the	
  
   poten>al	
  of	
  the	
  port	
  
   •  Very	
   conserva>ve	
   projec>on	
   of	
   container	
   transshipment	
  
      volumes	
  even	
  aPer	
  assuming	
  deep	
  rate	
  discounts	
  	
  
   •  Benefits	
  of	
  deep	
  draP	
  and	
  strategic	
  loca>on	
  to	
  act	
  as	
  single	
  
      stop	
  for	
  India	
  for	
  10,000+	
  TEU	
  class	
  ships	
  not	
  factored	
  in	
  
   •  Vizhinjam	
   has	
   been	
   posi>oned	
   as	
   “just	
   another	
   container	
  
      port”	
  and	
  not	
  a	
  regional	
  transshipment	
  hub	
  
   •  Lessons	
   of	
   successful	
   “transshipment-­‐only”	
   hubs,	
   such	
   as	
  
      Salalah	
  (99.5%	
  transshipment)	
  or	
  Tanjung	
  Pelapas	
  (95.8%),	
  
      not	
  incorporated	
  into	
  market	
  forecasts	
  
   •  Poten>al	
   for	
   cargo	
   such	
   as	
   LNG	
   and	
   coal	
   ignored,	
   ci>ng	
   the	
  
      need	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  “green	
  port”	
  	
  
   •  Poten>al	
   for	
   deep	
   water	
   shipyard	
   not	
   factored	
   in	
   despite	
  
      clear	
  proposal	
  from	
  CSL	
  

                                                                                                          3	
  
Market	
  Study	
  -­‐	
  2 	
  	
  
•  Further	
  traffic	
  drivers	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  taken	
  into	
  account:	
  
   •  Study	
  cost-­‐savings	
  of	
  using	
  10,000+	
  TEU	
  vessels	
  and	
  use	
  as	
  
      a	
   strategic	
   driver	
   for	
   transshipment	
   traffic;	
   18	
   m	
   depth	
   to	
  
      be	
  used	
  as	
  USP	
  
   •  Posi>on	
  Vizhinjam	
  as	
  “the	
  one	
  stop	
  in	
  India”	
  for	
  6th	
  and	
  7th	
  
      genera3on	
   ships”	
   –	
   aBract	
   a	
   line	
   such	
   as	
   APM	
   or	
   MSC	
   that	
  
      typically	
   call	
   at	
   one	
   transshipment	
   hub	
   per	
   country	
   with	
  
      minimum	
  devia>on	
  from	
  the	
  shipping	
  lanes	
  
   •  Kerala	
   has	
   a	
   significant	
   power	
   deficit	
   –	
   poten>al	
   for	
   LNG	
  
      terminal	
  and	
  LNG	
  power	
  plant	
  
   •  Shipyard	
   and	
   bunkering	
   facility	
   to	
   be	
   included	
   in	
   market	
  
      study	
  

                                                                                                            4	
  
Market	
  Study	
  -­‐	
  3 	
  	
  
•  Govt.	
  of	
  India	
  has	
  proposed	
  revision	
  of	
  SEZ	
  rules	
  
•  Single-­‐sector/Port	
  based	
  SEZs	
  will	
  need	
  only	
  40	
  hectares/100	
  
   acres	
  as	
  opposed	
  to	
  100	
  hectares/250	
  acres	
  
•  Mul>product	
   SEZs	
   will	
   need	
   only	
   250	
   hectares/625	
   acres	
   as	
  
   opposed	
  to	
  1000	
  hectares/2500	
  acres	
  
•  Significant	
  dis-­‐con>guity	
  may	
  be	
  allowed	
  for	
  large	
  SEZs	
  as	
  long	
  
   as	
  clear	
  connec>ons	
  can	
  be	
  established	
  
•  The	
   Vizhinjam	
   market	
   study	
   should	
   now	
   factor	
   in	
   at	
   least	
   a	
  
   Port-­‐based	
   SEZ;	
   necessary	
   for	
   exemp>on	
   from	
   Customs	
   for	
  
   transshipment	
  cargo;	
  precedent	
  established	
  at	
  Vallarpadam	
  
•  Poten>al	
  for	
  Mul>-­‐product	
  SEZ	
  to	
  be	
  studied	
  –	
  land	
  available	
  
   in	
  the	
  Southern	
  (Poovar)	
  and	
  Eastern	
  parts	
  of	
  district	
  

                                                                                                       5	
  
Vizhinjam	
  Has	
  to	
  be	
  Developed	
  as	
  a	
  World-­‐class	
  
port	
  because	
  it…. 	
  	
  

•  Is	
  Strategically	
  Located	
  
•  Has	
  Global	
  Scale	
  
•  Has	
  the	
  Lowest	
  Opera>ng	
  Costs	
  
•  Can	
  be	
  the	
  Gateway	
  to	
  South	
  India	
  




                                                                            6	
  
Strategic	
  Loca>on	
  
                                                                          •  Vizhinjam	
  is	
  less	
  than	
  10	
  nau>cal	
  miles	
  from	
  
                                                                             the	
  Suez/Gulf-­‐Malacca	
  shipping	
  lane	
  
                                                                          •  Closest	
  Indian	
  port	
  to	
  30%	
  of	
  world	
  sea	
  traffic	
  
                                                                          •  Best	
  located	
  port-­‐of-­‐call	
  	
  in	
  India	
  for	
  container	
  
                                                                             ships,	
  cruise	
  vessels	
  and	
  tankers	
  
                                                                          •  Access	
  to	
  large	
  hinterland	
  area	
  in	
  South	
  India	
  
                                                                          •  Also	
  ideal	
  for	
  ship	
  repair	
  and	
  bunkering	
  
                                                                             facili>es	
  




                                                                                                                                                  7	
  
Actual	
  photo	
  of	
  a	
  supertanker	
  sailing	
  close	
  off	
  
             the	
  Vizhinjam	
  shore,	
  sans	
  dredging	
  
Global	
  Scale	
  
                      •  Site	
  has	
  a	
  natural	
  draP	
  of	
  18-­‐23	
  m	
  
                      •  With	
  minimal	
  capital	
  dredging,	
  the	
  project	
  will	
  be	
  
                         the	
  only	
  container	
  terminal	
  in	
  India	
  capable	
  of	
  
                         handling	
  container	
  ships	
  of	
  >	
  12,000	
  TEUs	
  
                      •  Rapid	
  increase	
  in	
  container	
  ship	
  size	
  –	
  latest	
  
                         genera>on	
  will	
  carry	
  up	
  to	
  18,000	
  TEUs	
  
                      •  Economies	
  of	
  scale	
  will	
  allow	
  for	
  the	
  lowest	
  
                         logis>cs	
  costs	
  
                      •  Ideal	
  loca>on	
  for	
  container	
  transhipment	
  terminal	
  




16	
                                                                                       8	
  
Compe>>ve	
  Opera>ng	
  Costs	
  
                •  Vizhinjam	
  	
  needs	
  next	
  to	
  nil	
  maintenance	
  
                   dredging	
  to	
  maintain	
  18-­‐20	
  m	
  draP	
  
                •  Compe>ng	
  ports	
  spend	
  hundreds	
  of	
  Millions	
  of	
  
                   dollars	
  a	
  year	
  to	
  maintain	
  even	
  14	
  m	
  of	
  draP	
  
                •  Vizhinjam	
  has	
  full	
  flexibility	
  to	
  set	
  tariffs	
  to	
  
                   aBract	
  business;	
  major	
  Indian	
  ports	
  are	
  
                   constrained	
  by	
  regulators	
  
                •  New	
  workforce;	
  no	
  legacy	
  unioniza>on	
  




                                                                                 9	
  
Gateway	
  to	
  South	
  India	
  
•  Within	
  18-­‐24	
  hours	
  road/
   rail	
  transit	
  from	
  Vizhinjam:	
  
    •  120	
  million	
  consumers	
  
    •  $	
  180	
  Bn	
  of	
  GSDP	
  
    •  Bangalore,	
  Chennai,	
  
       Coimbatore,	
  Tu>corin	
  and	
  
       Tirunelveli	
  
•  Within	
  36-­‐48	
  hours	
  road/
   rail	
  distance	
  from	
  Vizhinjam:	
  
    •  220	
  Million	
  consumers	
  
    •  $	
  300	
  Bn	
  of	
  GSDP	
  
    •  Hyderabad,	
  Vizag	
  and	
  Goa	
  


                                                10	
  
Capturing	
  the	
  Hinterland	
  
•  To	
   assume	
   that	
   the	
   hinterland	
   for	
   Vizhinjam	
   is	
   constrained	
   between	
  
   those	
   of	
   Tu>corin	
   and	
   Ernakulam	
   is	
   to	
   incorrectly	
   concede	
   that	
  
   Vizhinjam	
   cannot	
   import/export	
   cargo	
   at	
   lower	
   seaborne	
   costs	
  
   because	
  it	
  can	
  handle	
  bigger	
  ships;	
  	
  
•  Total	
  transport	
  costs	
  =	
  sea	
  transit	
  +	
  land	
  transit	
  costs	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
  can	
  move	
  cargo	
  at	
  rates	
  30-­‐50%	
  cheaper	
  than	
  compe>ng	
  
   ports	
  because	
  it	
  can	
  handle	
  much	
  bigger	
  ships	
  –	
  a	
  12,000	
  TEU	
  vessel	
  
   Vs	
  a	
  6000	
  TEU	
  vessel	
  
•  Logis>cs	
   firms	
   will	
   quickly	
   shiP	
   to	
   the	
   lowest	
   total	
   cost	
   op>on	
   as	
  
   long	
  as	
  land	
  transit	
  can	
  be	
  made	
  cost-­‐efficient	
  and	
  fast	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
  can	
  also	
  match,	
  if	
  not	
  beat,	
  exis>ng	
  ports’	
  handling	
  >mes	
  
   by	
  minimizing	
  conges>on	
  and	
  turn-­‐around	
  >me	
  for	
  ships	
  
•  Such	
  shiPs	
  in	
  hinterland	
  cargo	
  are	
  already	
  being	
  seen	
  in	
  the	
  case	
  of	
  
   efficient,	
   deep	
   water	
   ports	
   such	
   as	
   Mundra,	
   Gangavaram	
   and	
  
   Ennore	
  
•  However	
  world-­‐class	
  road-­‐rail	
  connec>vity	
  is	
  absolutely	
  cri>cal	
  
                                                                                                                 11	
  
Further	
  Development	
  Prospects	
  
                •  Vizhinjam	
  has	
  significant	
  poten>al	
  to	
  develop	
  into	
  a	
  
                   premier	
  cruise	
  port	
  
                     •  300	
  cruise	
  ships	
  transit	
  on	
  the	
  nearby	
  shipping	
  lanes	
  annually	
  
                     •  Trivandrum	
  is	
  already	
  a	
  top	
  tourist	
  des>na>on	
  
                •  Cochin	
  Shipyard	
  Ltd.	
  has	
  already	
  announced	
  plans	
  
                   to	
  set	
  up	
  a	
  VLCC-­‐class	
  ship	
  repair	
  and	
  building	
  yard	
  
                   at	
  Vizhinjam	
  
                •  Poten>al	
  for	
  LNG	
  terminal	
  and	
  power	
  plant;	
  	
  
                   significant	
  energy	
  demand	
  in	
  South	
  India	
  




                                                                                                  12	
  
LNG	
  as	
  a	
  Key	
  Energy	
  Source	
  -­‐	
  1	
  
•  Kerala	
  is	
  currently	
  facing	
  an	
  acute	
  power	
  shortage	
  
     •  Current	
   genera>on	
   of	
   about	
   2500	
   MW	
   is	
   unable	
   to	
   meet	
   demand	
   of	
  
        about	
  3300	
  MW	
  
     •  Current	
  genera>on	
  is	
  mostly	
  hydel	
  and	
  is	
  at	
  the	
  mercy	
  of	
  the	
  weather	
  
     •  Opposi>on	
  to	
  coal	
  and	
  nuclear	
  plants;	
  shortage	
  of	
  land	
  
•  Demand	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  hit	
  6000-­‐7500	
  MW	
  by	
  2020	
                                   Supply	
  shortall	
  
•  Minimal	
   addi>on	
   expected;	
                       MW	
  
   for	
   KKNPP	
   and	
   gas	
   sta>ons	
               8000	
  
   associated	
   with	
   Petronet	
                        6000	
  
   LNG	
  terminal	
                                         4000	
  
•  Supply	
   gap	
   of	
   at	
   least	
   2000	
         2000	
  
   MW	
  by	
  2020	
  
                                                                  0	
  
                                                                          Current	
  State	
     Current	
     Demand	
  
                                                                             Supply	
            Demand	
      Es>mate	
  
                                                                                                                -­‐2020	
  
   Source:	
  18th	
  EPS	
  –	
  CERC;	
  WB;	
  KSEB	
  
                                                                                                                         13	
  
LNG	
  as	
  a	
  Key	
  Energy	
  Source	
  
•  Liquefied	
   Natural	
   Gas	
   is	
   gaining	
   prominence	
   world-­‐wide	
   as	
   the	
   fossil-­‐
   fuel	
  of	
  choice	
  
•  LNG	
  is	
  cleaner	
  as	
  a	
  fuel	
  than	
  coal	
  
•  Cost	
   of	
   power	
   produced	
   is	
   comparable	
   to	
   coal,	
   with	
   a	
   global	
   drop	
   in	
  
   LNG	
  prices	
  due	
  to	
  new	
  supply	
  in	
  Australia,	
  Africa	
  and	
  the	
  US	
  
•  LNG	
   power	
   plants	
   are	
   much	
   more	
   compact	
   than	
   coal-­‐fired	
   power	
  
   sta>ons	
  –	
  40-­‐50	
  acres	
  of	
  a	
  1000	
  MW	
  gas	
  power	
  plant	
  Vs	
  400	
  acres	
  for	
  a	
  
   coal-­‐fired	
  plant	
  
•  LNG	
  is	
  also	
  much	
  easier	
  to	
  handle	
  as	
  a	
  fuel	
  –	
  lower	
  volumes/MW	
  and	
  it	
  
   can	
  be	
  moved	
  via	
  pipelines	
  
•  Natural	
  gas	
  can	
  also	
  power	
  vehicles	
  
•  LNG	
  power	
  plants	
  are	
  cheaper	
  (per	
  MW)	
  and	
  faster	
  to	
  permit	
  and	
  build	
  
•  In	
  short,	
  LNG	
  is	
  the	
  ideal	
  op>on	
  to	
  solve	
  Kerala’s	
  power	
  crisis	
  

                                                                                                                    14	
  
Gas-fired Power Generation
CCGT (Combined Cycle Gas Turbine)
                                     Very efficient generation technology




“	
  	
  Modern	
  combined	
  cycle	
  1000	
  MW	
  power	
                     “	
  	
  Diagram	
  CCGT,	
  a	
  combina>on	
  of	
  a	
  	
  gas	
  
       plant	
  (CCGT)	
  	
  -­‐	
  needs	
  ~	
  50	
  acres	
  of	
  land	
        turbine	
  and	
  a	
  steam	
  turbine.	
  Efficiency	
  ~	
  
	
                                                                                    59	
  %.	
  	
  


16	
                                                                                                                                                 15	
  
LNG-fired power generation
Lowest capital costs per MW installed
                                    Capital costs of options may vary considerably in absolute
                                               terms, but very little in relative terms
Indicative, cost levels
million $/MW


	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  5	
  

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  4	
  

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  3	
  

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  2	
  	
  

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  1	
  




Source: MMD, June 2010                                                                           16	
  
Lowest All-in Unit Costs per Kwh produced
                         Competitive for meeting Base-load Demand
       $/MWh




       Prices (at plant inlet)        Based on: 7000 hrs operation for gas and coal per year
            Gas : 8 $/MMBtu                     2500 hrs for onshore wind per year
            Coal: 80 $/t                        3600 hrs for offshore wind per year
                                                7800 hrs for nuclear per year

Source: MMD, June 2010                                                                   17	
  
Smaller plant size reduces risk of
     Overcapacity
                 Minimum size to capture economies of scale (in MW)


                                                        1000 -1600



                                       600
                                      -1000
                   450




               Gas CCGT               Coal               Nuclear
                                   supercritical


Source: MMD, June 2010                                                18	
  
Short	
  construc>on	
  >me	
  reduces	
  risks	
  of	
  
      demand	
  uncertainty	
  
             years 8
                      7

                      6

                      5

                      4

                      3

                      2

                      1

                      0

                                   CCGT            Coal    Nuclear

           Plus shortest time for LA, permitting and construction

Source: Energy Technology Perspectives, IEA 2010                     19	
  
LNG	
  import	
  via	
  Vizhinjam	
  
•  The	
   bulk	
   of	
   India’s	
   LNG	
   demand	
   will	
   be	
   met	
   via	
   imports	
   –	
   the	
   country’s	
  
   only	
  major	
  NG	
  source	
  –	
  the	
  KG	
  basin	
  –	
  has	
  been	
  underperforming	
  
•  Major	
  suppliers	
  will	
  be	
  Qatar,	
  Australia,	
  Africa	
  (Mozambique)	
  and,	
  possibly	
  
   at	
  a	
  later	
  stage,	
  the	
  US	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
  is	
  the	
  closest	
  port	
  for	
  imports	
  from	
  Australia,	
  Africa	
  and	
  North	
  
   America	
  (via	
  Malacca/Cape)	
  
•  LNG	
  import	
  has	
  economies	
  of	
  scale	
  like	
  in	
  the	
  case	
  of	
  any	
  sea-­‐borne	
  trade	
  
   –	
  such	
  as	
  containers:	
  the	
  bigger	
  the	
  ship,	
  the	
  cheaper	
  it	
  is!	
  
•  The	
   largest	
   LNG	
   carriers	
   –	
   such	
   as	
   the	
   260,000	
   Cu.m	
   Q-­‐MAX	
   –	
   can	
   be	
  
   30-­‐50%	
  more	
  cost-­‐efficient	
  to	
  import	
  gas	
  than	
  smaller	
  ships	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
  can	
  handle	
  the	
  biggest	
  LNG	
  tankers	
  with	
  its	
  18	
  m	
  draP	
  
•  Ideal	
   loca>on	
   for	
   a	
   2.5	
   MT/year	
   LNG	
   import	
   terminal	
   and	
   a	
   1000	
   MW	
  
   power	
  plant	
  (expandable	
  to	
  5	
  MT/year	
  and	
  2000	
  MW)	
  
•  Can	
   supply	
   domes>c	
   gas	
   and	
   vehicle	
   fuel	
   to	
   Trivandrum,	
   Kollam,	
  
   Tirunelveli,	
   Tu>corin	
   and	
   Madurai	
   and	
   industrial	
   gas	
   to	
   Tu>corin	
   &	
  
   Tirunelveli	
  

                                                                                                                          20	
  
Cruise	
  Terminal	
  
•  Hundreds	
  of	
  cruise	
  ships	
  cross	
  the	
  Indian	
  Ocean	
  and	
  transit	
  very	
  close	
  
   to	
  Indian	
  ports	
  
•  Over	
  100	
  cruise	
  calls	
  were	
  made	
  at	
  ports	
  like	
  Mumbai,	
  Mangalore,	
  Goa	
  
   and	
  Kochi	
  
•  Close	
  to	
  50	
  made	
  calls	
  at	
  Kochi	
  because	
  of	
  its	
  proximity	
  to	
  the	
  shipping	
  
   lane	
  and	
  the	
  aBrac>veness	
  of	
  Kerala	
  as	
  a	
  tourist	
  des>na>on	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
   is	
   the	
   closest	
   Indian	
   port	
   to	
   the	
   interna>onal	
   shipping	
   lane	
   –	
  
   a	
   cruise	
   ship	
   will	
   have	
   to	
   divert	
   only	
   an	
   hour	
   to	
   call	
   at	
   Vizhinjam	
   Vs	
  
   about	
  10	
  hours	
  to	
  call	
  at	
  Kochi	
  and	
  24+	
  hours	
  at	
  Goa	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
  is	
  located	
  right	
  inside	
  Kerala’s	
  top	
  foreign	
  tourist	
  aBrac>on	
  –	
  
   the	
  Trivandrum	
  –	
  Kovalam	
  –	
  Kollam	
  tourist	
  belt	
  
•  As	
  a	
  greenfield	
  port,	
  cruise	
  ships	
  will	
  not	
  encounter	
  conges>on	
  
•  India’s	
  first	
  world-­‐class	
  Cruise	
  Terminal	
  at	
  Vizhinjam	
  could	
  aBract	
  over	
  
   100	
  ships	
  and	
  up	
  to	
  100,000	
  premium	
  tourists	
  every	
  year!	
  
                                                                                                                              21	
  
Deep	
  Water	
  Shipyard	
  
•  Significant	
  market	
  for	
  ship	
  repair	
  and	
  construc>on	
  
    •  About	
   1/3rd	
   of	
   global	
   shipping	
   passes	
   close	
   to	
   Vizhinjam,	
   necessita>ng	
  
       periodic	
  maintenance	
  and	
  repair	
  of	
  tens	
  of	
  thousands	
  of	
  ships	
  each	
  year	
  
    •  India	
  and	
  Asia	
  are	
  seeing	
  rapid	
  addi>on	
  in	
  shipping	
  capacity	
  –	
  especially	
  for	
  
       container	
  ships	
  and	
  LNG	
  tankers	
  
•  No	
  deep	
  water	
  shipyard	
  between	
  Dubai	
  and	
  Singapore	
  
•  Indian	
   workers	
   form	
   a	
   major	
   part	
   of	
   the	
   workforce	
   at	
   Dubai	
   &	
  
   Singapore;	
  India	
  is	
  well	
  known	
  for	
  low	
  cost,	
  high	
  quality	
  engineering	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
  has	
  a	
  draP	
  of	
  18	
  m	
  and	
  can	
  build	
  any	
  size	
  ship	
  
•  Cochin	
  Shipyard	
  Limited	
  has	
  already	
  expresses	
  strong	
  interest	
  in	
  a	
  deep	
  
   water	
  ship	
  repair	
  and	
  construc>on	
  yard	
  at	
  Vizhinjam;	
  needs	
  larger	
  yard	
  
   to	
  complete	
  its	
  order	
  book	
  including	
  India’s	
  second	
  new	
  aircraP	
  carrier	
  
•  The	
  shipyard	
  will	
  aBract	
  more	
  traffic	
  to	
  the	
  port	
  and	
  create	
  thousands	
  of	
  
   Crores	
  of	
  economic	
  ac>vity	
  including	
  for	
  small	
  manufacturers	
  

                                                                                                                   22	
  
Master	
  Plan	
  –	
  Basic	
  Concepts	
  -­‐	
  1	
  
•  Deep	
  water	
  port	
  with	
  a	
  focus	
  on	
  container	
  
   transshipment;	
   close	
   to	
   the	
   int’l	
   shipping	
  
   lanes	
  
•  Design	
   emphasis	
   should	
   be	
   on	
   creaGng	
   a	
  
   world-­‐class	
   port,	
   NOT	
   on	
   cuMng	
   costs	
   to	
  
   build	
  a	
  mediocre	
  port	
  –	
  ALL-­‐IN	
  STRATEGY!	
  
•  Design	
  draP	
  in	
  Phase	
  I	
  itself	
  should	
  be	
  the	
  
   best	
   in	
   India	
   –	
   18	
   m	
   at	
   least	
   –	
   sufficient	
   for	
  
   6th	
  genera>on	
  ships	
  
•  Turning	
   circle/breakwater	
   length	
   to	
   be	
  
   sufficient	
   to	
   handle	
   6th	
   genera>on	
   ships	
  
   (10,000	
  TEUs)	
  
•  Future-­‐proof	
   by	
   Maximizing	
   berth	
   length	
  
   within	
  loca>onal	
  constraints	
  –	
  have	
  berths	
  
   along	
   main	
   breakwater	
   and	
   allowance	
   of	
  
   two	
  way	
  vessel	
  traffic	
  in	
  port	
  channel	
  
                                                                                              23	
  
Master	
  Plan	
  –	
  Basic	
  Concepts	
  -­‐	
  2	
  
•  Container	
  berths	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  located	
  on	
  the	
  land	
  side	
  of	
  the	
  
   basin	
  since	
  they	
  need	
  adjacent	
  stacking	
  areas	
  for	
  maximum	
  
   opera>onal	
  efficiency	
  
•  Since	
  there	
  are	
  constraints	
  on	
  the	
  total	
  length	
  of	
  coast	
  that	
  
   the	
  project	
  can	
  occupy,	
  it’ll	
  be	
  ideal	
  to	
  create	
  another	
  line	
  
   of	
  berths	
  along	
  the	
  main	
  breakwater	
  
•  Cruise,	
  LNG	
  and	
  liquid	
  cargo	
  terminals	
  can	
  be	
  located	
  along	
  
   the	
  breakwater	
  
•  Vizhinjam	
   Port	
   area	
   development	
   including	
   logis>cs	
   hubs,	
  
   Container	
  Freight	
  Sta>ons	
  (CFS)	
  etc	
  to	
  be	
  planned	
  
•  Addi>on	
  of	
  bunkering	
  facility	
  
•  Mul>purpose/general	
  cargo	
  handling	
  to	
  be	
  provisioned	
  for	
  
•  Strategic	
   Choice:	
   Longer	
   berth	
   length,	
   greater	
   basin	
   depth	
  
   and	
  capacity	
  Vs	
  increased	
  construc>on	
  cost	
  

16	
                                                                                            24	
  
Master	
  Plan	
  Modifica>ons	
  


Phase	
  I	
  capacity	
  
to	
  be	
  at	
  least	
                        Phase	
  II	
  capacity	
  
1.5	
  Mn	
  TEUs	
                              to	
  be	
  at	
  least	
  =	
  
                                                 Phase	
  I	
  



Phase	
  I	
  
Design	
  Depth	
  
to	
  be	
  18	
  m	
  
                                                 Move	
  Cruise	
  
                                                 Terminal	
  to	
  
                                                 Breakwater	
  
Turning	
  circle	
  to	
  
accommodate	
  6th	
                             Move	
  Main	
  
Gen	
  ships	
                                   Breakwater	
  
                                                 further	
  out	
  to	
  
                                                 sea	
  to	
  allow	
  
                                                 berths	
  for	
  non-­‐
               16	
                                 25	
  
                                                 container	
  uses	
  
Master	
  Plan	
  on	
  Site	
  
ABrac>ve	
  Deal	
  Structure	
  
                                                                        •  The	
  State	
  Government	
  of	
  Kerala	
  
                                        PORT	
                             acts	
  as	
  the	
  ‘Landlord’;	
  it	
  pays	
  for	
  
                                                                           basic	
  facili>es	
  such	
  as	
  the	
  
                                                                           breakwater,	
  berths	
  and	
  road/rail	
  
                                                                           connec>vity	
  
                                                                        •  Landlord	
  invests	
  75%	
  of	
  capital	
  
 Landlord	
  Invests	
  
                                         BASIC	
                           cost	
  
  75%	
  of	
  project	
  
                                    INFRSTRUCTURE	
                     •  Operator/Investor	
  develops	
  
         cost	
  
                                                                           terminal	
  infrastructure;	
  invests	
  
SoP	
                 Revenue	
                                            25%	
  of	
  capital	
  cost	
  
Debt	
                Share	
  
                                                                        •  Landlord	
  can	
  provide	
  ‘soP	
  debt’	
  
      Operator	
                       TERMINAL	
        Opera>ng	
        support;	
  at	
  low	
  interest	
  and	
  with	
  
    invests	
  25%	
                SUPERSTRUCTURE	
     Revenue	
         a	
  10	
  yr	
  repayment	
  moratorium	
  
                                                                        •  Operator/Investor	
  receives	
  all	
  
                                                                           opera>ng	
  revenue	
  for	
  30	
  years;	
  
                                                                           op>on	
  to	
  share	
  with	
  Landlord	
  

                                                                                                                      27	
  
Modifying	
  the	
  Business	
  Model	
  
•  Offer	
  the	
  private	
  investor	
  the	
  op>on	
  to	
  set	
  the	
  business	
  plan	
  for	
  the	
  
   en>re	
  port	
  as	
  opposed	
  to	
  just	
  the	
  container	
  terminal	
  
•  A	
   Swiss-­‐Challenge	
   op>on	
   to	
   develop	
   further	
   container	
   and	
   non-­‐
   container	
  terminals	
  
•  Rather	
  than	
  the	
  Government	
  ge{ng	
  involved	
  in	
  marine	
  services	
  as	
  
   is	
  envisaged	
  in	
  the	
  current	
  Landlord	
  model,	
  all	
  opera>ons	
  would	
  be	
  
   leP	
  to	
  the	
  operator	
  
•  As	
   opposed	
   to	
   an	
   op>onal	
   revenue	
   share,	
   the	
   Government	
   could	
  
   mandate	
  a	
  share	
  of	
  the	
  overall	
  net	
  income(cargo	
  handing	
  +	
  marine	
  
   charges)	
  above	
  a	
  Preferred	
  Return	
  earned	
  by	
  the	
  private	
  investor	
  
•  The	
   Investor/Operator	
   makes	
   an	
   offer	
   based	
   on	
   the	
   share	
   of	
  
   revenue	
  that	
  it	
  will	
  offer	
  to	
  GoK	
  above	
  the	
  Preferred	
  Return	
  
       •  This	
  could	
  be	
  modified	
  for	
  later	
  phases	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  rela>ve	
  investment	
  
          by	
  the	
  public	
  and	
  private	
  sectors	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                  28	
  
Increased	
  Government	
  Support	
  -­‐	
  1	
  
•  Establishment	
   of	
   Port-­‐based	
   and	
   Mul>-­‐Product	
   SEZs;	
  
   along	
   with	
   road/rail	
   connec>vity	
   between	
   the	
   port	
   and	
  
   SEZs	
  
•  Improve	
  hinterland	
  connec>vity	
  for	
  Vizhinjam;	
  to	
  rest	
  of	
  
   Kerala,	
  South	
  TN,	
  Coimbatore	
  and	
  Bangalore	
  
       •  New	
  mixed	
  use	
  rail	
  corridor	
  from	
  Vizhinjam	
  to	
  Coimbatore	
  
          and	
  Mangalore;	
  high	
  speed	
  rail	
  and	
  passenger	
  services	
  
       •  Road	
   connec>vity	
   to	
   Southern	
   TN	
   via	
   KoBur-­‐
          Ambasamudram	
  
       •  Coastal	
  passenger	
  &	
  freight	
  shipping	
  services	
  
•  Immediate	
   decision	
   to	
   establish	
   CSL’s	
   new	
   deep	
   draP	
  
   shipyard	
  at	
  Vizhinjam	
  
	
  
                                                                                           29	
  
Road	
  Connec>vity	
  
•  The	
   exis>ng	
   road	
  
   infrastructure	
   in	
  
   Kerala	
   is	
   severely	
  
   congested	
  
•  4/6-­‐laning	
   of	
   NH-­‐66	
  
   from	
   TN	
   Border	
   to	
  
   Mangalore	
   to	
   be	
  
   taken	
  up	
  urgently	
  
•  Four	
   Lane	
   road	
   to	
  
   T i r u n e l v e l i	
   v i a	
  
   Ambasamudram	
   to	
  
   be	
  re-­‐developed	
  
•  GoK	
   to	
   apply	
   for	
   GoI	
  
   funding	
   under	
   port	
               Stretch to be upgraded to 4/6 lane
   connec>vity	
  scheme	
                    Existing 4 lane
                                              New 4 lane road


                                                                                   30	
  
Rail	
  Connec>vity	
  
•  Upgrade	
   key	
   rail	
   routes	
   to	
  
   p r o v i d e 	
   h i g h 	
   s p e e d	
  
   connec>vity	
   to	
   key	
   ci>es	
   like	
  
   M a n g a l o r e ,	
   C o i m b a t o r e ,	
  
   C h e n n a i , 	
   B a n g a l o r e ,	
  
   Tirunelveli,	
   Tu>corin	
   and	
  
   Kochi	
  
•  Electrifica>on	
   of	
   en>re	
   route	
  
   to	
  Chennai	
  via	
  Nagercoil	
  	
  
•  New	
  North-­‐South	
  rail	
  corridor	
  
   needed	
   from	
   Trivandrum	
   to	
  
   Mangalore	
   as	
   current	
   routes	
  
   are	
  at	
  over	
  100%	
  capacity	
  	
  



                                                       31	
  
Increased	
  Government	
  Support	
  -­‐	
  2	
  
•  Parity	
  with	
  Vallarpadam	
  on	
  incen>ves	
  and	
  policies	
  –	
  
   Cabotage,	
  Customs	
  clearance,	
  tax	
  incen>ves	
  etc	
  
•  Preferen>al	
   power	
   purchase	
   policy	
   for	
   an	
   LNG	
  
   power	
  plant	
  that	
  sources	
  fuel	
  via	
  Vizhinjam	
  since	
  the	
  
   port	
  is	
  a	
  State	
  Government	
  project	
  
•  Expedite	
   construc>on	
   of	
   Outer	
   Ring	
   Road	
   in	
  
   Trivandrum	
   to	
   provide	
   more	
   land	
   for	
   port-­‐based	
  
   industrial	
  uses	
  
•  Expedite	
  4/6	
  laning	
  of	
  NH-­‐66	
  and	
  connec>on	
  to	
  the	
  
   Na>onal	
  Highway	
  network	
  
•  PPP	
   mode	
   development	
   of	
   logis>cs	
   and	
   industrial	
  
   areas	
  including	
  warehouses,	
  CFS	
  etc	
  
                                                                                 32	
  
Logis>cs	
  Zone	
  -­‐	
  1	
  
•  World-­‐class	
   Industrial	
   facili>es	
   including	
   logis>cs	
   and	
   light	
  
   manufacturing	
  space	
  is	
  a	
  cri>cal	
  success	
  factor	
  for	
  a	
  major	
  port	
  like	
  
   Vizhinjam	
  
•  World-­‐wide,	
   the	
   concentra>on	
   of	
   industrial	
   real	
   estate	
   is	
   closely	
  
   correlated	
  with	
  hub	
  ports	
  
•  Focus	
   areas	
   for	
   value	
   addi>on	
   in	
   the	
   supply	
   chain,	
   such	
   as	
   just-­‐in-­‐
   >me	
   inventory	
   management,	
   re-­‐packaging	
   of	
   cargo	
   for	
   regional	
  
   distribu>on	
  and	
  loading/unloading	
  of	
  containers,	
  require	
  world-­‐class	
  
   logis>cs	
  spaces	
  
•  These	
  ac>vi>es	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  differen>ator	
  for	
  Vizhinjam	
  Vs	
  current	
  ports	
  
   which	
  generally	
  only	
  have	
  rudimentary	
  warehouses	
  
•  World-­‐class	
   logis>cs	
   spaces	
   will	
   aBract	
   global	
   logis>cs	
   and	
   retail	
  
   players	
  who	
  are	
  currently	
  entering	
  India	
  
•  Generate	
  addi>onal	
  employment	
  and	
  economic	
  ac>vity	
  
                                                                                                                   33	
  
Logis>cs	
  Networks	
  and	
  Hubs	
  
       •  Logis>cs	
   space	
   is	
   co-­‐located	
   with	
   major	
   ports	
   and	
   airports;	
  
          increases	
  importance	
  of	
  hubs	
  in	
  the	
  supply	
  chain	
  
       •  In	
  the	
  US,	
  there	
  is	
  an	
  average	
  of	
  36	
  SF	
  of	
  space/TEU	
  handled	
  	
  




                                                                                                            34	
  
Logis>cs	
  Zone	
  -­‐	
  2	
  
•  Considering	
  an	
  ini>al	
  container	
  terminal	
  capacity	
  of	
  1,500,000	
  TEUs	
  
   and	
   80%	
   transshipment,	
   Vizhinjam	
   will	
   need	
   up	
   to	
   8,000,000	
   SF	
   of	
  
   logis>cs	
  space	
  
•  GoK	
   should	
   set	
   up	
   a	
   Free	
   Trade	
   Warehouse	
   Zone	
   (FTWZ)	
   on	
   100	
  
   acres	
   of	
   land	
   close	
   to	
   the	
   port	
   and	
   engage	
   private	
   developers	
   to	
  
   build	
  and	
  operate	
  world-­‐class	
  logis>cs	
  facili>es	
  
•  Build	
   a	
   combina>on	
   of	
   storage	
   warehouses,	
   cross-­‐docking	
   facili>es	
  
   for	
  re-­‐distribu>on	
  opera>ons	
  and	
  regional	
  distribu>on	
  facili>es	
  	
  
•  Anchor	
  tenants	
  could	
  include	
  major	
  retail	
  players	
  such	
  as	
  IKEA,	
  Wal-­‐
   Mart,	
   Future	
   Group,	
   Carrefour,	
   METRO,	
   Amazon,	
   E-­‐Bay	
   etc	
   and	
  
   logis>cs	
   players	
   such	
   as	
   global	
   shipping	
   lines	
   and	
   cargo	
   operators	
  
   like	
  DHL,	
  FedEx	
  and	
  UPS	
  
•  On-­‐site	
   access	
   to	
   road	
   and	
   rail	
   transport	
   and	
   ancillary	
   facili>es	
   like	
  
   truck	
  maintenance,	
  Customs	
  &	
  Security	
  etc	
  

                                                                                                                   35	
  
Key	
  Next	
  Steps	
  
•  Appoint	
   consultants	
   to	
   update	
   market	
   study	
   and	
   to	
   re-­‐
   visit	
  development	
  and	
  business	
  plans	
  
•  AECOM	
   to	
   prepare	
   master	
   plan	
   according	
   to	
   updated	
  
   market	
  study	
  and	
  business	
  plan	
  
•  Govt.	
   of	
   Kerala	
   &	
   VISL	
   to	
   explore	
   G2G	
   op>ons	
   to	
   iden>fy	
  
   a	
  capable	
  operator	
  
    •  Under	
  the	
  leadership	
  of	
  the	
  Hon.	
  MP	
  of	
  Trivandrum	
  
    •  Focused	
   discussions	
   with	
   Governments	
   that	
   have	
   na>onal/
       regional	
  port	
  operators	
   	
  such	
  as	
  Barcelona,	
  Singapore,	
  Hamburg	
  
       and	
  Malaysia	
  
    •  Pro-­‐ac>ve	
   discussion	
   with	
   Liner	
   based	
   Operators	
   who	
   would	
   be	
  
       direct	
   beneficiaries	
   in	
   transshipment	
   terminals	
   such	
   as	
   APM	
  
       Terminals	
   (Maersk),	
   APL	
   Terminals	
   (APL/NOL),	
   Terminal	
   Link	
  
       (CMA	
  CGM),	
  	
  Ceres	
  Global	
  (NYK	
  Liners),	
  Hapag	
  Lloyd	
  etc	
  

                                                                                                      36	
  
THANK	
  YOU	
  

©	
  Benny,	
  Gopinathan	
  and	
  Prasad,	
  MMXII	
     37	
  

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Vizhinjam way forward sep 7 2012

  • 1. Vizhinjam  Deep  water  Port  Project   A  New  Vision  and  Way  Forward   1  
  • 2. Agenda     •  Revisi>ng  the  Market   •  Core  ABrac>ons  of  the  Project   •  Modifica>ons  to  the  Master  Plan   •  Development  Structure   •  Expanded  Government  Support   2  
  • 3. Market  Study  -­‐  1     •  Current   study   by   Drewry/IFC   under-­‐es>mates   the   poten>al  of  the  port   •  Very   conserva>ve   projec>on   of   container   transshipment   volumes  even  aPer  assuming  deep  rate  discounts     •  Benefits  of  deep  draP  and  strategic  loca>on  to  act  as  single   stop  for  India  for  10,000+  TEU  class  ships  not  factored  in   •  Vizhinjam   has   been   posi>oned   as   “just   another   container   port”  and  not  a  regional  transshipment  hub   •  Lessons   of   successful   “transshipment-­‐only”   hubs,   such   as   Salalah  (99.5%  transshipment)  or  Tanjung  Pelapas  (95.8%),   not  incorporated  into  market  forecasts   •  Poten>al   for   cargo   such   as   LNG   and   coal   ignored,   ci>ng   the   need  to  be  a  “green  port”     •  Poten>al   for   deep   water   shipyard   not   factored   in   despite   clear  proposal  from  CSL   3  
  • 4. Market  Study  -­‐  2     •  Further  traffic  drivers  need  to  be  taken  into  account:   •  Study  cost-­‐savings  of  using  10,000+  TEU  vessels  and  use  as   a   strategic   driver   for   transshipment   traffic;   18   m   depth   to   be  used  as  USP   •  Posi>on  Vizhinjam  as  “the  one  stop  in  India”  for  6th  and  7th   genera3on   ships”   –   aBract   a   line   such   as   APM   or   MSC   that   typically   call   at   one   transshipment   hub   per   country   with   minimum  devia>on  from  the  shipping  lanes   •  Kerala   has   a   significant   power   deficit   –   poten>al   for   LNG   terminal  and  LNG  power  plant   •  Shipyard   and   bunkering   facility   to   be   included   in   market   study   4  
  • 5. Market  Study  -­‐  3     •  Govt.  of  India  has  proposed  revision  of  SEZ  rules   •  Single-­‐sector/Port  based  SEZs  will  need  only  40  hectares/100   acres  as  opposed  to  100  hectares/250  acres   •  Mul>product   SEZs   will   need   only   250   hectares/625   acres   as   opposed  to  1000  hectares/2500  acres   •  Significant  dis-­‐con>guity  may  be  allowed  for  large  SEZs  as  long   as  clear  connec>ons  can  be  established   •  The   Vizhinjam   market   study   should   now   factor   in   at   least   a   Port-­‐based   SEZ;   necessary   for   exemp>on   from   Customs   for   transshipment  cargo;  precedent  established  at  Vallarpadam   •  Poten>al  for  Mul>-­‐product  SEZ  to  be  studied  –  land  available   in  the  Southern  (Poovar)  and  Eastern  parts  of  district   5  
  • 6. Vizhinjam  Has  to  be  Developed  as  a  World-­‐class   port  because  it….     •  Is  Strategically  Located   •  Has  Global  Scale   •  Has  the  Lowest  Opera>ng  Costs   •  Can  be  the  Gateway  to  South  India   6  
  • 7. Strategic  Loca>on   •  Vizhinjam  is  less  than  10  nau>cal  miles  from   the  Suez/Gulf-­‐Malacca  shipping  lane   •  Closest  Indian  port  to  30%  of  world  sea  traffic   •  Best  located  port-­‐of-­‐call    in  India  for  container   ships,  cruise  vessels  and  tankers   •  Access  to  large  hinterland  area  in  South  India   •  Also  ideal  for  ship  repair  and  bunkering   facili>es   7   Actual  photo  of  a  supertanker  sailing  close  off   the  Vizhinjam  shore,  sans  dredging  
  • 8. Global  Scale   •  Site  has  a  natural  draP  of  18-­‐23  m   •  With  minimal  capital  dredging,  the  project  will  be   the  only  container  terminal  in  India  capable  of   handling  container  ships  of  >  12,000  TEUs   •  Rapid  increase  in  container  ship  size  –  latest   genera>on  will  carry  up  to  18,000  TEUs   •  Economies  of  scale  will  allow  for  the  lowest   logis>cs  costs   •  Ideal  loca>on  for  container  transhipment  terminal   16   8  
  • 9. Compe>>ve  Opera>ng  Costs   •  Vizhinjam    needs  next  to  nil  maintenance   dredging  to  maintain  18-­‐20  m  draP   •  Compe>ng  ports  spend  hundreds  of  Millions  of   dollars  a  year  to  maintain  even  14  m  of  draP   •  Vizhinjam  has  full  flexibility  to  set  tariffs  to   aBract  business;  major  Indian  ports  are   constrained  by  regulators   •  New  workforce;  no  legacy  unioniza>on   9  
  • 10. Gateway  to  South  India   •  Within  18-­‐24  hours  road/ rail  transit  from  Vizhinjam:   •  120  million  consumers   •  $  180  Bn  of  GSDP   •  Bangalore,  Chennai,   Coimbatore,  Tu>corin  and   Tirunelveli   •  Within  36-­‐48  hours  road/ rail  distance  from  Vizhinjam:   •  220  Million  consumers   •  $  300  Bn  of  GSDP   •  Hyderabad,  Vizag  and  Goa   10  
  • 11. Capturing  the  Hinterland   •  To   assume   that   the   hinterland   for   Vizhinjam   is   constrained   between   those   of   Tu>corin   and   Ernakulam   is   to   incorrectly   concede   that   Vizhinjam   cannot   import/export   cargo   at   lower   seaborne   costs   because  it  can  handle  bigger  ships;     •  Total  transport  costs  =  sea  transit  +  land  transit  costs   •  Vizhinjam  can  move  cargo  at  rates  30-­‐50%  cheaper  than  compe>ng   ports  because  it  can  handle  much  bigger  ships  –  a  12,000  TEU  vessel   Vs  a  6000  TEU  vessel   •  Logis>cs   firms   will   quickly   shiP   to   the   lowest   total   cost   op>on   as   long  as  land  transit  can  be  made  cost-­‐efficient  and  fast   •  Vizhinjam  can  also  match,  if  not  beat,  exis>ng  ports’  handling  >mes   by  minimizing  conges>on  and  turn-­‐around  >me  for  ships   •  Such  shiPs  in  hinterland  cargo  are  already  being  seen  in  the  case  of   efficient,   deep   water   ports   such   as   Mundra,   Gangavaram   and   Ennore   •  However  world-­‐class  road-­‐rail  connec>vity  is  absolutely  cri>cal   11  
  • 12. Further  Development  Prospects   •  Vizhinjam  has  significant  poten>al  to  develop  into  a   premier  cruise  port   •  300  cruise  ships  transit  on  the  nearby  shipping  lanes  annually   •  Trivandrum  is  already  a  top  tourist  des>na>on   •  Cochin  Shipyard  Ltd.  has  already  announced  plans   to  set  up  a  VLCC-­‐class  ship  repair  and  building  yard   at  Vizhinjam   •  Poten>al  for  LNG  terminal  and  power  plant;     significant  energy  demand  in  South  India   12  
  • 13. LNG  as  a  Key  Energy  Source  -­‐  1   •  Kerala  is  currently  facing  an  acute  power  shortage   •  Current   genera>on   of   about   2500   MW   is   unable   to   meet   demand   of   about  3300  MW   •  Current  genera>on  is  mostly  hydel  and  is  at  the  mercy  of  the  weather   •  Opposi>on  to  coal  and  nuclear  plants;  shortage  of  land   •  Demand  is  expected  to  hit  6000-­‐7500  MW  by  2020   Supply  shortall   •  Minimal   addi>on   expected;   MW   for   KKNPP   and   gas   sta>ons   8000   associated   with   Petronet   6000   LNG  terminal   4000   •  Supply   gap   of   at   least   2000   2000   MW  by  2020   0   Current  State   Current   Demand   Supply   Demand   Es>mate   -­‐2020   Source:  18th  EPS  –  CERC;  WB;  KSEB   13  
  • 14. LNG  as  a  Key  Energy  Source   •  Liquefied   Natural   Gas   is   gaining   prominence   world-­‐wide   as   the   fossil-­‐ fuel  of  choice   •  LNG  is  cleaner  as  a  fuel  than  coal   •  Cost   of   power   produced   is   comparable   to   coal,   with   a   global   drop   in   LNG  prices  due  to  new  supply  in  Australia,  Africa  and  the  US   •  LNG   power   plants   are   much   more   compact   than   coal-­‐fired   power   sta>ons  –  40-­‐50  acres  of  a  1000  MW  gas  power  plant  Vs  400  acres  for  a   coal-­‐fired  plant   •  LNG  is  also  much  easier  to  handle  as  a  fuel  –  lower  volumes/MW  and  it   can  be  moved  via  pipelines   •  Natural  gas  can  also  power  vehicles   •  LNG  power  plants  are  cheaper  (per  MW)  and  faster  to  permit  and  build   •  In  short,  LNG  is  the  ideal  op>on  to  solve  Kerala’s  power  crisis   14  
  • 15. Gas-fired Power Generation CCGT (Combined Cycle Gas Turbine) Very efficient generation technology “    Modern  combined  cycle  1000  MW  power   “    Diagram  CCGT,  a  combina>on  of  a    gas   plant  (CCGT)    -­‐  needs  ~  50  acres  of  land   turbine  and  a  steam  turbine.  Efficiency  ~     59  %.     16   15  
  • 16. LNG-fired power generation Lowest capital costs per MW installed Capital costs of options may vary considerably in absolute terms, but very little in relative terms Indicative, cost levels million $/MW            5              4              3              2                1   Source: MMD, June 2010 16  
  • 17. Lowest All-in Unit Costs per Kwh produced Competitive for meeting Base-load Demand $/MWh Prices (at plant inlet) Based on: 7000 hrs operation for gas and coal per year Gas : 8 $/MMBtu 2500 hrs for onshore wind per year Coal: 80 $/t 3600 hrs for offshore wind per year 7800 hrs for nuclear per year Source: MMD, June 2010 17  
  • 18. Smaller plant size reduces risk of Overcapacity Minimum size to capture economies of scale (in MW) 1000 -1600 600 -1000 450 Gas CCGT Coal Nuclear supercritical Source: MMD, June 2010 18  
  • 19. Short  construc>on  >me  reduces  risks  of   demand  uncertainty   years 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 CCGT Coal Nuclear Plus shortest time for LA, permitting and construction Source: Energy Technology Perspectives, IEA 2010 19  
  • 20. LNG  import  via  Vizhinjam   •  The   bulk   of   India’s   LNG   demand   will   be   met   via   imports   –   the   country’s   only  major  NG  source  –  the  KG  basin  –  has  been  underperforming   •  Major  suppliers  will  be  Qatar,  Australia,  Africa  (Mozambique)  and,  possibly   at  a  later  stage,  the  US   •  Vizhinjam  is  the  closest  port  for  imports  from  Australia,  Africa  and  North   America  (via  Malacca/Cape)   •  LNG  import  has  economies  of  scale  like  in  the  case  of  any  sea-­‐borne  trade   –  such  as  containers:  the  bigger  the  ship,  the  cheaper  it  is!   •  The   largest   LNG   carriers   –   such   as   the   260,000   Cu.m   Q-­‐MAX   –   can   be   30-­‐50%  more  cost-­‐efficient  to  import  gas  than  smaller  ships   •  Vizhinjam  can  handle  the  biggest  LNG  tankers  with  its  18  m  draP   •  Ideal   loca>on   for   a   2.5   MT/year   LNG   import   terminal   and   a   1000   MW   power  plant  (expandable  to  5  MT/year  and  2000  MW)   •  Can   supply   domes>c   gas   and   vehicle   fuel   to   Trivandrum,   Kollam,   Tirunelveli,   Tu>corin   and   Madurai   and   industrial   gas   to   Tu>corin   &   Tirunelveli   20  
  • 21. Cruise  Terminal   •  Hundreds  of  cruise  ships  cross  the  Indian  Ocean  and  transit  very  close   to  Indian  ports   •  Over  100  cruise  calls  were  made  at  ports  like  Mumbai,  Mangalore,  Goa   and  Kochi   •  Close  to  50  made  calls  at  Kochi  because  of  its  proximity  to  the  shipping   lane  and  the  aBrac>veness  of  Kerala  as  a  tourist  des>na>on   •  Vizhinjam   is   the   closest   Indian   port   to   the   interna>onal   shipping   lane   –   a   cruise   ship   will   have   to   divert   only   an   hour   to   call   at   Vizhinjam   Vs   about  10  hours  to  call  at  Kochi  and  24+  hours  at  Goa   •  Vizhinjam  is  located  right  inside  Kerala’s  top  foreign  tourist  aBrac>on  –   the  Trivandrum  –  Kovalam  –  Kollam  tourist  belt   •  As  a  greenfield  port,  cruise  ships  will  not  encounter  conges>on   •  India’s  first  world-­‐class  Cruise  Terminal  at  Vizhinjam  could  aBract  over   100  ships  and  up  to  100,000  premium  tourists  every  year!   21  
  • 22. Deep  Water  Shipyard   •  Significant  market  for  ship  repair  and  construc>on   •  About   1/3rd   of   global   shipping   passes   close   to   Vizhinjam,   necessita>ng   periodic  maintenance  and  repair  of  tens  of  thousands  of  ships  each  year   •  India  and  Asia  are  seeing  rapid  addi>on  in  shipping  capacity  –  especially  for   container  ships  and  LNG  tankers   •  No  deep  water  shipyard  between  Dubai  and  Singapore   •  Indian   workers   form   a   major   part   of   the   workforce   at   Dubai   &   Singapore;  India  is  well  known  for  low  cost,  high  quality  engineering   •  Vizhinjam  has  a  draP  of  18  m  and  can  build  any  size  ship   •  Cochin  Shipyard  Limited  has  already  expresses  strong  interest  in  a  deep   water  ship  repair  and  construc>on  yard  at  Vizhinjam;  needs  larger  yard   to  complete  its  order  book  including  India’s  second  new  aircraP  carrier   •  The  shipyard  will  aBract  more  traffic  to  the  port  and  create  thousands  of   Crores  of  economic  ac>vity  including  for  small  manufacturers   22  
  • 23. Master  Plan  –  Basic  Concepts  -­‐  1   •  Deep  water  port  with  a  focus  on  container   transshipment;   close   to   the   int’l   shipping   lanes   •  Design   emphasis   should   be   on   creaGng   a   world-­‐class   port,   NOT   on   cuMng   costs   to   build  a  mediocre  port  –  ALL-­‐IN  STRATEGY!   •  Design  draP  in  Phase  I  itself  should  be  the   best   in   India   –   18   m   at   least   –   sufficient   for   6th  genera>on  ships   •  Turning   circle/breakwater   length   to   be   sufficient   to   handle   6th   genera>on   ships   (10,000  TEUs)   •  Future-­‐proof   by   Maximizing   berth   length   within  loca>onal  constraints  –  have  berths   along   main   breakwater   and   allowance   of   two  way  vessel  traffic  in  port  channel   23  
  • 24. Master  Plan  –  Basic  Concepts  -­‐  2   •  Container  berths  need  to  be  located  on  the  land  side  of  the   basin  since  they  need  adjacent  stacking  areas  for  maximum   opera>onal  efficiency   •  Since  there  are  constraints  on  the  total  length  of  coast  that   the  project  can  occupy,  it’ll  be  ideal  to  create  another  line   of  berths  along  the  main  breakwater   •  Cruise,  LNG  and  liquid  cargo  terminals  can  be  located  along   the  breakwater   •  Vizhinjam   Port   area   development   including   logis>cs   hubs,   Container  Freight  Sta>ons  (CFS)  etc  to  be  planned   •  Addi>on  of  bunkering  facility   •  Mul>purpose/general  cargo  handling  to  be  provisioned  for   •  Strategic   Choice:   Longer   berth   length,   greater   basin   depth   and  capacity  Vs  increased  construc>on  cost   16   24  
  • 25. Master  Plan  Modifica>ons   Phase  I  capacity   to  be  at  least   Phase  II  capacity   1.5  Mn  TEUs   to  be  at  least  =   Phase  I   Phase  I   Design  Depth   to  be  18  m   Move  Cruise   Terminal  to   Breakwater   Turning  circle  to   accommodate  6th   Move  Main   Gen  ships   Breakwater   further  out  to   sea  to  allow   berths  for  non-­‐ 16   25   container  uses  
  • 26. Master  Plan  on  Site  
  • 27. ABrac>ve  Deal  Structure   •  The  State  Government  of  Kerala   PORT   acts  as  the  ‘Landlord’;  it  pays  for   basic  facili>es  such  as  the   breakwater,  berths  and  road/rail   connec>vity   •  Landlord  invests  75%  of  capital   Landlord  Invests   BASIC   cost   75%  of  project   INFRSTRUCTURE   •  Operator/Investor  develops   cost   terminal  infrastructure;  invests   SoP   Revenue   25%  of  capital  cost   Debt   Share   •  Landlord  can  provide  ‘soP  debt’   Operator   TERMINAL   Opera>ng   support;  at  low  interest  and  with   invests  25%   SUPERSTRUCTURE   Revenue   a  10  yr  repayment  moratorium   •  Operator/Investor  receives  all   opera>ng  revenue  for  30  years;   op>on  to  share  with  Landlord   27  
  • 28. Modifying  the  Business  Model   •  Offer  the  private  investor  the  op>on  to  set  the  business  plan  for  the   en>re  port  as  opposed  to  just  the  container  terminal   •  A   Swiss-­‐Challenge   op>on   to   develop   further   container   and   non-­‐ container  terminals   •  Rather  than  the  Government  ge{ng  involved  in  marine  services  as   is  envisaged  in  the  current  Landlord  model,  all  opera>ons  would  be   leP  to  the  operator   •  As   opposed   to   an   op>onal   revenue   share,   the   Government   could   mandate  a  share  of  the  overall  net  income(cargo  handing  +  marine   charges)  above  a  Preferred  Return  earned  by  the  private  investor   •  The   Investor/Operator   makes   an   offer   based   on   the   share   of   revenue  that  it  will  offer  to  GoK  above  the  Preferred  Return   •  This  could  be  modified  for  later  phases  based  on  the  rela>ve  investment   by  the  public  and  private  sectors     28  
  • 29. Increased  Government  Support  -­‐  1   •  Establishment   of   Port-­‐based   and   Mul>-­‐Product   SEZs;   along   with   road/rail   connec>vity   between   the   port   and   SEZs   •  Improve  hinterland  connec>vity  for  Vizhinjam;  to  rest  of   Kerala,  South  TN,  Coimbatore  and  Bangalore   •  New  mixed  use  rail  corridor  from  Vizhinjam  to  Coimbatore   and  Mangalore;  high  speed  rail  and  passenger  services   •  Road   connec>vity   to   Southern   TN   via   KoBur-­‐ Ambasamudram   •  Coastal  passenger  &  freight  shipping  services   •  Immediate   decision   to   establish   CSL’s   new   deep   draP   shipyard  at  Vizhinjam     29  
  • 30. Road  Connec>vity   •  The   exis>ng   road   infrastructure   in   Kerala   is   severely   congested   •  4/6-­‐laning   of   NH-­‐66   from   TN   Border   to   Mangalore   to   be   taken  up  urgently   •  Four   Lane   road   to   T i r u n e l v e l i   v i a   Ambasamudram   to   be  re-­‐developed   •  GoK   to   apply   for   GoI   funding   under   port   Stretch to be upgraded to 4/6 lane connec>vity  scheme   Existing 4 lane New 4 lane road 30  
  • 31. Rail  Connec>vity   •  Upgrade   key   rail   routes   to   p r o v i d e   h i g h   s p e e d   connec>vity   to   key   ci>es   like   M a n g a l o r e ,   C o i m b a t o r e ,   C h e n n a i ,   B a n g a l o r e ,   Tirunelveli,   Tu>corin   and   Kochi   •  Electrifica>on   of   en>re   route   to  Chennai  via  Nagercoil     •  New  North-­‐South  rail  corridor   needed   from   Trivandrum   to   Mangalore   as   current   routes   are  at  over  100%  capacity     31  
  • 32. Increased  Government  Support  -­‐  2   •  Parity  with  Vallarpadam  on  incen>ves  and  policies  –   Cabotage,  Customs  clearance,  tax  incen>ves  etc   •  Preferen>al   power   purchase   policy   for   an   LNG   power  plant  that  sources  fuel  via  Vizhinjam  since  the   port  is  a  State  Government  project   •  Expedite   construc>on   of   Outer   Ring   Road   in   Trivandrum   to   provide   more   land   for   port-­‐based   industrial  uses   •  Expedite  4/6  laning  of  NH-­‐66  and  connec>on  to  the   Na>onal  Highway  network   •  PPP   mode   development   of   logis>cs   and   industrial   areas  including  warehouses,  CFS  etc   32  
  • 33. Logis>cs  Zone  -­‐  1   •  World-­‐class   Industrial   facili>es   including   logis>cs   and   light   manufacturing  space  is  a  cri>cal  success  factor  for  a  major  port  like   Vizhinjam   •  World-­‐wide,   the   concentra>on   of   industrial   real   estate   is   closely   correlated  with  hub  ports   •  Focus   areas   for   value   addi>on   in   the   supply   chain,   such   as   just-­‐in-­‐ >me   inventory   management,   re-­‐packaging   of   cargo   for   regional   distribu>on  and  loading/unloading  of  containers,  require  world-­‐class   logis>cs  spaces   •  These  ac>vi>es  will  be  a  differen>ator  for  Vizhinjam  Vs  current  ports   which  generally  only  have  rudimentary  warehouses   •  World-­‐class   logis>cs   spaces   will   aBract   global   logis>cs   and   retail   players  who  are  currently  entering  India   •  Generate  addi>onal  employment  and  economic  ac>vity   33  
  • 34. Logis>cs  Networks  and  Hubs   •  Logis>cs   space   is   co-­‐located   with   major   ports   and   airports;   increases  importance  of  hubs  in  the  supply  chain   •  In  the  US,  there  is  an  average  of  36  SF  of  space/TEU  handled     34  
  • 35. Logis>cs  Zone  -­‐  2   •  Considering  an  ini>al  container  terminal  capacity  of  1,500,000  TEUs   and   80%   transshipment,   Vizhinjam   will   need   up   to   8,000,000   SF   of   logis>cs  space   •  GoK   should   set   up   a   Free   Trade   Warehouse   Zone   (FTWZ)   on   100   acres   of   land   close   to   the   port   and   engage   private   developers   to   build  and  operate  world-­‐class  logis>cs  facili>es   •  Build   a   combina>on   of   storage   warehouses,   cross-­‐docking   facili>es   for  re-­‐distribu>on  opera>ons  and  regional  distribu>on  facili>es     •  Anchor  tenants  could  include  major  retail  players  such  as  IKEA,  Wal-­‐ Mart,   Future   Group,   Carrefour,   METRO,   Amazon,   E-­‐Bay   etc   and   logis>cs   players   such   as   global   shipping   lines   and   cargo   operators   like  DHL,  FedEx  and  UPS   •  On-­‐site   access   to   road   and   rail   transport   and   ancillary   facili>es   like   truck  maintenance,  Customs  &  Security  etc   35  
  • 36. Key  Next  Steps   •  Appoint   consultants   to   update   market   study   and   to   re-­‐ visit  development  and  business  plans   •  AECOM   to   prepare   master   plan   according   to   updated   market  study  and  business  plan   •  Govt.   of   Kerala   &   VISL   to   explore   G2G   op>ons   to   iden>fy   a  capable  operator   •  Under  the  leadership  of  the  Hon.  MP  of  Trivandrum   •  Focused   discussions   with   Governments   that   have   na>onal/ regional  port  operators    such  as  Barcelona,  Singapore,  Hamburg   and  Malaysia   •  Pro-­‐ac>ve   discussion   with   Liner   based   Operators   who   would   be   direct   beneficiaries   in   transshipment   terminals   such   as   APM   Terminals   (Maersk),   APL   Terminals   (APL/NOL),   Terminal   Link   (CMA  CGM),    Ceres  Global  (NYK  Liners),  Hapag  Lloyd  etc   36  
  • 37. THANK  YOU   ©  Benny,  Gopinathan  and  Prasad,  MMXII   37