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次世代原子炉ニュートリノ実験の質
量階層性への	
  Sensi'vity	
  
Yoshitaro	
  Takaesu	
  	
  
KIAS/KNRC	
  	
  
In	
  collabora'on	
  with	
  S.F.	
  Ge,	
  N.	
  Okamura	
  and	
  K.	
  Hagiwara	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  JHEP	
  1305:131,2013	
  
Introduc'on	
  
Mass	
  Hierarchy	
  	
  
m1	
  
m2	
  
m3	
  
Normal	
  Hierarchy	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  (NH)	
  
m3	
  
m1	
  
m2	
  
Inverted	
  Hierarchy	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  (IH)	
  
m2
21
| m2
31|
2.3 10 3
eV2
7.5 10 5
eV2
m2
21
| m2
31|
m
3	
  netrinos	
  flavors	
   m2
21 = m2
2 m2
1 7.5 10 5
m2
21 < | m2
31| 2.3 10 3
PMT	
  
Reactor	
  neutrino	
  experiment	
  
e
Reactor	
   Detector	
  	
  
Inside	
  Detector	
  
Evis
Inverse	
  Beta	
  Decay	
  (IBD)	
  
2 1020
neutrinos/GW/sec
L
Energy	
  distribu'on	
  e
	
  @	
  detector	
  e
near	
  
dNfar
dEvis
=
NpT
4 L2
Ethr
dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis)
Pee
far	
  
L
Neutrino	
  oscilla;on	
  
How	
  to	
  dis'nguish	
  Mass	
  Hierarchy?	
  
Detect	
  the	
  sign	
  of	
  	
   ( m2
32)m2
31
m1	
  
m2	
  
m3	
  
m3	
  
m1	
  
m2	
  
NH	
   IH	
  
The	
  informa'on	
  of	
  mass^2	
  difference	
  are	
  in	
  Oscilla'on	
  Probabili'es.	
  	
  
MH	
  difference	
  in	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  spectrum	
  
10000
20000
30000
40000
30 km NH
IH
2000
6000
10000
14000 40 km NH
IH
1000
3000
5000
7000
dN/dE[1/MeV]
50 km NH
IH
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
E [MeV]
60 km NH
IH
e
Sensi'vity	
  
 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  analysis	
  2
The	
  theore;cal	
  predic;on	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  is	
  fiBed	
  to	
  the	
  Data,	
  
assuming	
  NH	
  or	
  IH.	
  
2
min(NH) 2
min(IH)
Nfit
i = dEvis
NpT
4 L2
Ethr
dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis)
FiFng	
  parameters	
  are	
  	
   12, 13, m2
21, | m2
31|, fsys
Penalty	
  term	
  
Nfit
i
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
(2
)min
L [km]
a = 2% NH
3% NH
4% NH
5% NH
6% NH
Sensi'vity	
  to	
  the	
  Mass	
  hierarchy	
  
16.5GW	
  10kton	
  5yrs	
  
Current	
  value	
  
NH	
  
a 7%
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
( m2
31)
Effects	
  of	
  	
      to	
  the	
  sensi'vity	
  
| m2
31|
L	
  =	
  30km	
  
| m2
31|
| m2
31|
L	
  =	
  50km	
  
Baseline	
  should	
  be	
  long	
  enough	
  
| m2
31|+2
fit
2
fit | m2
31|+
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
(2
)min
L [km]
a = 2% NH
3% NH
4% NH
5% NH
6% NH
Sensi'vity	
  to	
  the	
  Mass	
  hierarchy	
  
16.5GW	
  10kton	
  5yrs	
  
Current	
  value	
  
NH	
  
a 7%
E
E
=
a
E
Effect	
  of	
  Energy	
  Resolu'on	
  	
  
a	
  =	
  0	
   a	
  =	
  6%	
  
Evergy	
  Resolu'on	
  	
  
affects	
  the	
  sensi'vity	
  	
  
significantly.	
  
E = 0
E
E
=
a
E
Expected Energy Resolution
PMT coverage : 67% (15,000 20” PMTs)
PMT coverage : 67% (15,000 20” PMTs)
+ Attenuation length : 25 m
+ QE : 35%
J.S.	
  Park,	
  S.B.	
  Kim	
  
 	
  Effect	
  of	
  Energy	
  Resolu'on	
  2	
  
16.5GW	
  10kton	
  5yrs	
  
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
• 	
  Sensi'vity	
  is	
  reduced	
  by	
  ~	
  40%	
  
• 	
  Op'mized	
  L	
  is	
  shortened	
  by	
  ~	
  5	
  km	
  
b	
  =	
  0%	
   b	
  =	
  1%	
  
a	
  =	
  2%	
   a	
  =	
  3%	
  
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
(
2
)min
L [km]
(a, b) = (3, 0) NH
(3, 0.5) NH
(3, 0.75) NH
(3, 1) NH
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
(
2
)min
L [km]
(a, b) = (2, 0) NH
(2, 0.5) NH
(2, 0.75) NH
(2, 1) NH
Other	
  
Limicng	
  Factors	
  
Mul'-­‐reactor	
  interference	
  
L1	
   L2	
  
E.	
  Ciuffoli,	
  J.	
  Evslin,	
  X.	
  Zhang:	
  1302.0624	
  
Y-­‐F.	
  Li,	
  J.	
  Cao,	
  Y.	
  Wang,	
  L.	
  Zhan:	
  1303.6733	
  
Baseline	
  difference	
  
should	
  be	
  small.	
  
ΔL	
  =	
  L1	
  –	
  L2	
  	
  
Mul'-­‐reactor	
  interference	
  	
  
Other	
  reactor	
  sites	
  
influence	
  the	
  sensi'vity.	
  
All	
  Reactors	
  
16.5GW	
  	
  
10kton	
  5yrs	
  
a	
  =	
  3%,	
  b	
  =	
  0.5%	
  
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
YongGwang	
  only	
  
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
( 2)min
Mul'-­‐reactor	
  interference	
  	
  
All	
  Reactors	
  
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
( 2
)min
16.5GW	
  	
  
10kton	
  5yrs	
  
a	
  =	
  3%,	
  b	
  =	
  0.5%	
  
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
RENO	
  site	
  
In	
  latest	
  RENO-­‐50	
  proposeal:	
  	
  Site	
  changed	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  18	
  kton	
  detector	
  
Energy	
  scale	
  uncertainty	
  
Energy	
  scale	
  uncertainty	
  is	
  controlled	
  ~	
  1%	
  for	
  RENO	
  detector.	
  
J.	
  Evslin	
  et.al.	
  
arXiv:	
  1308.0591	
  
No	
  E	
  scale	
  Unc.	
  
Unknown	
  E	
  scale	
  (worst	
  case)	
  
Effect	
  of	
  E	
  scale	
  Uncertainty	
  
Schedule	
  for	
  MH	
  determina'on	
  
2010	
   2030	
  2020	
  
RENO-­‐50	
  
DayaBay	
  II	
  
LBNE	
  
LBNO	
  
PINGU	
  
INO	
  
NOvA	
  	
  (Opera;ng)	
  
(Approved)	
  
Hyper	
  K	
  
2015	
   2025	
  
*	
  rough	
  es;mate	
   2	
  sigma	
  	
  3	
  sigma	
  4	
  sigma	
  	
  5	
  sigma	
  
 	
  Summary	
  
RENO50-­‐like	
  Experiment	
  for	
  MH	
  determina=on.	
  
With	
  16.5GW	
  18kton,	
  
	
  	
  	
  a	
  <	
  3%	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  b	
  <	
  0.5%	
  	
  	
  
of	
  Energy	
  Resolu=on	
  is	
  required	
  
>	
  2	
  ~	
  3-­‐sigma	
  
determina;on	
  within	
  5	
  years.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
Interference	
  among	
  reactor	
  cores	
  significantly	
  affects	
  	
  
the	
  sensi;vity.	
  
Energy	
  Scale	
  uncertainty	
  should	
  be	
  controlled	
  very	
  
Carefully.	
  	
  
Many	
  Efforts	
  for	
  MH	
  determina;on	
  have	
  started	
  !	
  

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口頭発表 @ 基研研究会 PPP2013 2013.08.08

  • 1. 次世代原子炉ニュートリノ実験の質 量階層性への  Sensi'vity   Yoshitaro  Takaesu     KIAS/KNRC     In  collabora'on  with  S.F.  Ge,  N.  Okamura  and  K.  Hagiwara                                                                                                                                              JHEP  1305:131,2013  
  • 3. Mass  Hierarchy     m1   m2   m3   Normal  Hierarchy                            (NH)   m3   m1   m2   Inverted  Hierarchy                            (IH)   m2 21 | m2 31| 2.3 10 3 eV2 7.5 10 5 eV2 m2 21 | m2 31| m 3  netrinos  flavors   m2 21 = m2 2 m2 1 7.5 10 5 m2 21 < | m2 31| 2.3 10 3
  • 4. PMT   Reactor  neutrino  experiment   e Reactor   Detector     Inside  Detector   Evis Inverse  Beta  Decay  (IBD)   2 1020 neutrinos/GW/sec L
  • 5. Energy  distribu'on  e  @  detector  e near   dNfar dEvis = NpT 4 L2 Ethr dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis) Pee far   L Neutrino  oscilla;on  
  • 6. How  to  dis'nguish  Mass  Hierarchy?   Detect  the  sign  of     ( m2 32)m2 31 m1   m2   m3   m3   m1   m2   NH   IH   The  informa'on  of  mass^2  difference  are  in  Oscilla'on  Probabili'es.    
  • 7. MH  difference  in            spectrum   10000 20000 30000 40000 30 km NH IH 2000 6000 10000 14000 40 km NH IH 1000 3000 5000 7000 dN/dE[1/MeV] 50 km NH IH 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 E [MeV] 60 km NH IH e
  • 9.            analysis  2 The  theore;cal  predic;on                    is  fiBed  to  the  Data,   assuming  NH  or  IH.   2 min(NH) 2 min(IH) Nfit i = dEvis NpT 4 L2 Ethr dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis) FiFng  parameters  are     12, 13, m2 21, | m2 31|, fsys Penalty  term   Nfit i
  • 10. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 (2 )min L [km] a = 2% NH 3% NH 4% NH 5% NH 6% NH Sensi'vity  to  the  Mass  hierarchy   16.5GW  10kton  5yrs   Current  value   NH   a 7% E E = a E 2 + b2 ( m2 31)
  • 11. Effects  of        to  the  sensi'vity   | m2 31| L  =  30km   | m2 31| | m2 31| L  =  50km   Baseline  should  be  long  enough   | m2 31|+2 fit 2 fit | m2 31|+
  • 12. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 (2 )min L [km] a = 2% NH 3% NH 4% NH 5% NH 6% NH Sensi'vity  to  the  Mass  hierarchy   16.5GW  10kton  5yrs   Current  value   NH   a 7% E E = a E
  • 13. Effect  of  Energy  Resolu'on     a  =  0   a  =  6%   Evergy  Resolu'on     affects  the  sensi'vity     significantly.   E = 0 E E = a E
  • 14. Expected Energy Resolution PMT coverage : 67% (15,000 20” PMTs) PMT coverage : 67% (15,000 20” PMTs) + Attenuation length : 25 m + QE : 35% J.S.  Park,  S.B.  Kim  
  • 15.    Effect  of  Energy  Resolu'on  2   16.5GW  10kton  5yrs   E E = a E 2 + b2 •   Sensi'vity  is  reduced  by  ~  40%   •   Op'mized  L  is  shortened  by  ~  5  km   b  =  0%   b  =  1%   a  =  2%   a  =  3%   0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 ( 2 )min L [km] (a, b) = (3, 0) NH (3, 0.5) NH (3, 0.75) NH (3, 1) NH 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 ( 2 )min L [km] (a, b) = (2, 0) NH (2, 0.5) NH (2, 0.75) NH (2, 1) NH
  • 17. Mul'-­‐reactor  interference   L1   L2   E.  Ciuffoli,  J.  Evslin,  X.  Zhang:  1302.0624   Y-­‐F.  Li,  J.  Cao,  Y.  Wang,  L.  Zhan:  1303.6733   Baseline  difference   should  be  small.   ΔL  =  L1  –  L2    
  • 18. Mul'-­‐reactor  interference     Other  reactor  sites   influence  the  sensi'vity.   All  Reactors   16.5GW     10kton  5yrs   a  =  3%,  b  =  0.5%   E E = a E 2 + b2 YongGwang  only   0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 ( 2)min
  • 19. Mul'-­‐reactor  interference     All  Reactors   0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 ( 2 )min 16.5GW     10kton  5yrs   a  =  3%,  b  =  0.5%   E E = a E 2 + b2 RENO  site   In  latest  RENO-­‐50  proposeal:    Site  changed                                                                                                              18  kton  detector  
  • 20. Energy  scale  uncertainty   Energy  scale  uncertainty  is  controlled  ~  1%  for  RENO  detector.   J.  Evslin  et.al.   arXiv:  1308.0591   No  E  scale  Unc.   Unknown  E  scale  (worst  case)   Effect  of  E  scale  Uncertainty  
  • 21. Schedule  for  MH  determina'on   2010   2030  2020   RENO-­‐50   DayaBay  II   LBNE   LBNO   PINGU   INO   NOvA    (Opera;ng)   (Approved)   Hyper  K   2015   2025   *  rough  es;mate   2  sigma    3  sigma  4  sigma    5  sigma  
  • 22.    Summary   RENO50-­‐like  Experiment  for  MH  determina=on.   With  16.5GW  18kton,        a  <  3%                  b  <  0.5%       of  Energy  Resolu=on  is  required   >  2  ~  3-­‐sigma   determina;on  within  5  years.           E E = a E 2 + b2 Interference  among  reactor  cores  significantly  affects     the  sensi;vity.   Energy  Scale  uncertainty  should  be  controlled  very   Carefully.     Many  Efforts  for  MH  determina;on  have  started  !