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Tourism Trends –
Understanding the
Consumer

Sharon Orrell
November 2012
2011 saw growth across all types of domestic overnight trip,
     but 2012 holiday / VFR volumes are down year on year
  Trips
   (m)                                                            Jan – July
                                                                    2012


                                                        Holiday
                                                                    -7%
                                                                    -7%
                                                           VFR


                                                       Business
                                                                    +6%




Source: GB Tourism Survey
What’s Changed?
1. On-going, widespread concern about the economy and
   personal finances




Source: VisitEngland Staycation Research
2. More trips taken by the more affluent while the least well-
     off take fewer trips than before
  Trips                                                          2006 vs
  (m)                                                             2011

                                                                 +28%
                                                                 +18%



                                                                 +13%
                                                                 -13%




Source: GB Tourism Survey
3. Increased volumes driven by ages 35+

  Trips                                        2006 vs
  (m)                                           2011



                                               +15%


                                               +32%

                                                -5%




Source: GB Tourism Survey
4. Last minute is now the norm

                                                    Reasons for Indecision

                                           Waiting to see what weather
                                                                               31%
                                           is like

                                           Waiting to see if I can afford it   28%
   Yes, Definitely
                                           No reason, just prefer to
                                                                               20%
                                           decide at last minute

                                           Waiting for someone else to
                                                                               19%
                                           decide

                                           Waiting for deals / offers          19%


                                           Not sure where to go                19%


Source: August Bank Holiday Trip Tracker
5. The rise and rise of online booking




Source: GB Tourism Survey
Source: GB Tourism Survey
6. Holiday trips are getting shorter




        3.65



                                           3.37




Source: GB Tourism Survey
2012
The Story So Far
2012 trading conditions have been extremely challenging

                               Changes in visitor numbers in most recent period




Source: VisitEngland Tourism Business Monitor
The poor weather has had a negative impact on performance and
future intentions
                  Impact of Weather on 2012 holidays (%)




                                                           19% say that this
                                                               year’s poor
                                                           weather has put
                                                             them off taking
                                                            trips in England
                                                                next year
The 2012 events have had less impact on domestic trip taking this
year – but represent an opportunity in 2013 and beyond

         Impact of Diamond Jubilee/ Olympics/ Paralympics on 2012 holidays (%)




                                                                  20% say that the
                                                               events of 2012 make
                                                                 them more likely to
                                                                   take holidays in
                                                                  England in future
                                                                (29% of under 35’s)
Visitor Satisfaction
How Satisfied Are Visitors to English Destinations?


            Overall                                                      Likelihood to
          Performance                                                       Revisit
                                                     90
                             85%
                           excellent/
                                                            TRI*M      76%
                                                                     definitely/
                           very good                   70   Index:   probably


                                                            92
                             86%                                     62% much/
                           definitely/                 50
                                                                       slightly
                           probably                                    better
                                                     30
          Likelihood to                                                  Competitive
          Recommend                                                       Advantage



Source: VE Brand, Communications and Satisfaction Tracker
 Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
And Visitors to York?


            Overall                                                             Likelihood to
                                         York                        York
          Performance                    91%                         80%           Revisit
                                                     90
                            85%
                          excellent/
                                                            TRI*M             76%
                                                                            definitely/
                          very good                    70   Index:          probably


                                                             92
                             86%                                          62% much/
                           definitely/                 50
                                                                            slightly
                           probably                                  York   better
                                         York
                                                                     77%
                                         93%         30
          Likelihood to                                     York                Competitive
          Recommend                                         101                  Advantage



Source: VE Brand, Communications and Satisfaction Tracker
NB Base size for Peak District = 55
Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
ENGLAND
                                                                                  Northumberland

                                                                                       105                           92

                                                                Lake District
                                                                                                           Scarborough
                                                                   106
                                                                                      Yorks Dales  York 96
                                                                                           103        101
 York is one of the best                                          Blackpool

                                                                       87
                                                                                                 Leeds

                                                                                                   76
 performing destinations94
                                                                  Liverpool
                                                                                  Manchester

                                                                                     81         Peak Nottingham
                                                                                                                      Skegness


 in England!                                                                                                             97
                                                                                               District shire
                                                                     102
                                                                                 Chester         97         92
                                                                                  96         Birmingham                        Other
                                                                                                                                         Gt Yarmouth

                                                                                                  74                           Norfolk
                                                                                                                                                81
                                                                                                      Stratford
                                                                                                                                 95
                                                                                                        88                                Suffolk

                                                                                                                               Essex
                                                                                                                                            93
                                                                                            Cotswolds

                                                                                                                      London
                                                                                                                                 67
                                                                       Bristol                   98     Oxfordshire
                                                                                   Bath
                                                                                                            84           96
                                                                        80          96
                                                                                                                                         Kent
                                                                                                                   East Sussex
                                                                                                                                         81
                                                               Other
                                                               Devon
                                                                                      New Forest                         76
                                                                                           105                    Brighton
                                                                97
                                                    Cornwall                  B’mouth
                                                                                               Isle of Wight
                                                                                                                    92
                                                     110        Torquay
                                                                                  92
                                                                 95                               104


Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
Compared to other destinations, York is attractive, distinctive,
     and offers good customer service
                                   % Describing Destination as Excellent or Very Good




Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
York is close to the national average for value, welcome
and entertainment, and just below for ease of pre-booking
                                   % Describing Destination as Excellent or Very Good




Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
Tourism Trends –
Understanding the
Consumer

Sharon Orrell
November 2012

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Sharon Orrell at VisitEngland Talks Upcoming Tourism Trends for 2013

  • 1. Tourism Trends – Understanding the Consumer Sharon Orrell November 2012
  • 2. 2011 saw growth across all types of domestic overnight trip, but 2012 holiday / VFR volumes are down year on year Trips (m) Jan – July 2012 Holiday -7% -7% VFR Business +6% Source: GB Tourism Survey
  • 4. 1. On-going, widespread concern about the economy and personal finances Source: VisitEngland Staycation Research
  • 5. 2. More trips taken by the more affluent while the least well- off take fewer trips than before Trips 2006 vs (m) 2011 +28% +18% +13% -13% Source: GB Tourism Survey
  • 6. 3. Increased volumes driven by ages 35+ Trips 2006 vs (m) 2011 +15% +32% -5% Source: GB Tourism Survey
  • 7. 4. Last minute is now the norm Reasons for Indecision Waiting to see what weather 31% is like Waiting to see if I can afford it 28% Yes, Definitely No reason, just prefer to 20% decide at last minute Waiting for someone else to 19% decide Waiting for deals / offers 19% Not sure where to go 19% Source: August Bank Holiday Trip Tracker
  • 8. 5. The rise and rise of online booking Source: GB Tourism Survey Source: GB Tourism Survey
  • 9. 6. Holiday trips are getting shorter 3.65 3.37 Source: GB Tourism Survey
  • 11. 2012 trading conditions have been extremely challenging Changes in visitor numbers in most recent period Source: VisitEngland Tourism Business Monitor
  • 12. The poor weather has had a negative impact on performance and future intentions Impact of Weather on 2012 holidays (%) 19% say that this year’s poor weather has put them off taking trips in England next year
  • 13. The 2012 events have had less impact on domestic trip taking this year – but represent an opportunity in 2013 and beyond Impact of Diamond Jubilee/ Olympics/ Paralympics on 2012 holidays (%) 20% say that the events of 2012 make them more likely to take holidays in England in future (29% of under 35’s)
  • 15. How Satisfied Are Visitors to English Destinations? Overall Likelihood to Performance Revisit 90 85% excellent/ TRI*M 76% definitely/ very good 70 Index: probably 92 86% 62% much/ definitely/ 50 slightly probably better 30 Likelihood to Competitive Recommend Advantage Source: VE Brand, Communications and Satisfaction Tracker Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
  • 16. And Visitors to York? Overall Likelihood to York York Performance 91% 80% Revisit 90 85% excellent/ TRI*M 76% definitely/ very good 70 Index: probably 92 86% 62% much/ definitely/ 50 slightly probably York better York 77% 93% 30 Likelihood to York Competitive Recommend 101 Advantage Source: VE Brand, Communications and Satisfaction Tracker NB Base size for Peak District = 55 Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
  • 17. ENGLAND Northumberland 105 92 Lake District Scarborough 106 Yorks Dales York 96 103 101 York is one of the best Blackpool 87 Leeds 76 performing destinations94 Liverpool Manchester 81 Peak Nottingham Skegness in England! 97 District shire 102 Chester 97 92 96 Birmingham Other Gt Yarmouth 74 Norfolk 81 Stratford 95 88 Suffolk Essex 93 Cotswolds London 67 Bristol 98 Oxfordshire Bath 84 96 80 96 Kent East Sussex 81 Other Devon New Forest 76 105 Brighton 97 Cornwall B’mouth Isle of Wight 92 110 Torquay 92 95 104 Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
  • 18. Compared to other destinations, York is attractive, distinctive, and offers good customer service % Describing Destination as Excellent or Very Good Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
  • 19. York is close to the national average for value, welcome and entertainment, and just below for ease of pre-booking % Describing Destination as Excellent or Very Good Source: VisitEngland Brand & Satisfaction Tracker
  • 20. Tourism Trends – Understanding the Consumer Sharon Orrell November 2012