1. BILATERAL DIPLOMACY AND MIGINGO ISLAND TRANS BOUNDARY
CONFLICT MANAGEMENT
VINCENT OWUOR OOKO BID/0064/11
A Research Project Report submitted in partial Fulfillment for the Requirement of an
Award of a Bachelorâs Degree in Disaster Management and International Diplomacy of
Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology
JUNE, 2015
2. ii
Declaration
This research project report is my original work prepared with no other than the indicated
sources, support, and has not been presented elsewhere for a degree or any other award.
NAME: REG.NO: SIGNATURE
VINCENT OWUOR OOKO BID/0064/11 âŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠ
CERTIFICATION
The undersigned certify that he has read and hereby recommend for acceptance of Masinde
Muliro University of Science and Technology a research project entitled: âBilateral Diplomacy
and Migingo Island Trans Boundary Conflict Managementâ.
Signature:âŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠ.. Date:âŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠ..
Prof. Okoth, P.G.
Department of Peace and Conflict Studies
Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology
3. iii
Dedication
I dedicate this research project to the residents of Migingo Island who have persevered and are
coping with the present conditions of conflict between the two nation states over the disputed
Migingo Island. There hopes for a secure and peaceful working environment will ever be real.
4. iv
Acknowledgement
I would like to thank Almighty God for the good health and sound mind during the drafting and
coming up of this research project. This acknowledgment would be incomplete without
recognizing and appreciating the support from CDMAH through the Department of Peace and
Conflict Studies for timely approval of our research topic. In addition, my deepest appreciation
goes to Proff. Okoth, our supervisor, and Ms. Kimokoti for their exemplary mentoring and
guidance they demonstrated to me, in as much as research work is concerned.
Lastly, I wish to thank my family and friends for the emotional, moral and financial support they
demonstrated to me. Thanks to all for your comments and advices.
5. v
Abstract
Migingo Trans Boundary Island has been at the centre of conflict for the past one decade now.
Fishermen and traders have been at the receiving end since the conflict that is threatening
relationship between Kenya and Uganda arose. This research, âBilateral Diplomacy and Migingo
Island Trans Boundary Conflict Managementâ, aimed at finding diplomatic solutions to the
problem that is seen to be far from over. The objectives of this study were to identify the causes
of conflict over Migingo Trans Boundary Island, examine the diplomatic options used so far in
managing Migingo island boundary dispute and evaluate effectiveness of diplomatic options in
resolving Migingo Trans-boundary conflict. This research project highlighted the significance of
conducting such study, and justification of the study. Literature on the research topic was
reviewed based on the general and specific objectives to identify the gaps and come up with the
conceptual model. The research utilized mixed research methodology in collecting both the
qualitative and quantitative data. A descriptive survey design was used to obtain information
about residents of Migingo. Purposive sampling and random sampling techniques were used to
identify the fishermen, traders and the BMU officials, forming a sample size of 40 .Data
collection instruments were questionnaires, while secondary data was obtained through content
analysis by reading current literature on Migingo island trans boundary conflict . Data obtained
was analyzed and presented by use of charts and graphs in accordance with the objectives. The
study revealed that major cause of conflict over Migingo Trans Boundary Island was scarce
resources in Migingo. The resources being fought for included; fish, water, and land found
around the Island. Most of the respondents mentioned negotiation and dialogue as the most used
diplomatic options in managing the conflict. Almost half of the respondents stated that the two
employed diplomatic options were not successful and other options like mediation be
encouraged. Summary of the key findings, conclusion and recommendations were made in line
with the specific objectives. Suggestions for further research on this area were also made.
Documents and references materials used were acknowledged and evidences such as
questionnaire and maps attached as appendices at the end of this study.
6. vi
Table of Contents
Declaration......................................................................................................................................ii
Dedication......................................................................................................................................iii
Acknowledgement .........................................................................................................................iv
Abstract...........................................................................................................................................v
Table of Contents ..........................................................................................................................vi
List of Figures................................................................................................................................xi
List of Tables ................................................................................................................................xii
Abbreviations and Acronyms .................................................................................................... xiii
Operational Definition of Key Terms .......................................................................................xiv
CHAPTER ONE ........................................................................................................................... 1
INTRODUCTION......................................................................................................................... 1
1.1 Background to the Study........................................................................................................... 1
1.2 Statement of the Problem.......................................................................................................... 6
1.3 Objectives.................................................................................................................................. 6
1.3.1 General objective ................................................................................................................... 6
1.3.2 Specific Objectives ................................................................................................................ 7
1.4 Research Questions................................................................................................................... 7
1.5 Justification of the Study .......................................................................................................... 7
1.6 Scope of the Study .................................................................................................................... 9
1.7 Limitations of the Study............................................................................................................ 9
CHAPTER TWO ........................................................................................................................ 10
LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................................................... 10
2.1 The Causes of Conflict over Migingo Island .......................................................................... 10
2.1.1 Conflict Types and Causes................................................................................................... 10
7. vii
2.1.2 Conflict inherent in Migingo Island..................................................................................... 11
2.2Diplomatic Options Employed in Resolving the Migingo Island Trans Boundary conflict.... 12
2.3 Other Possible Diplomatic Options in Addressing the Conflict ............................................. 15
2.4 Gaps in Literature Review ...................................................................................................... 18
2.5 Theoretical Framework........................................................................................................... 18
2.5 The Conceptual Model............................................................................................................ 24
CHAPTER THREE .................................................................................................................... 25
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS ................................................................................. 25
3.1 Research Design...................................................................................................................... 25
3.2. Study Area.............................................................................................................................. 25
3.3 The Target Population............................................................................................................. 27
3.4 Sample Size............................................................................................................................. 27
3.5. Data Collection Instruments .................................................................................................. 28
3.5 Validity and Reliability of the Research Instruments ............................................................. 29
3.6.1 Validity................................................................................................................................. 29
3.6.2 Reliability............................................................................................................................. 29
3.6 Data Analysis and procedure .................................................................................................. 29
3.7 Ethical Considerations ............................................................................................................ 30
CHAPTER FOUR....................................................................................................................... 31
CAUSES OF CONFLICT IN MIGINGO ISLAND ................................................................ 31
4.1 Response Rate......................................................................................................................... 31
4.2 Demographic Data of the Respondents................................................................................... 32
4.2.1 Nationality of the Respondents............................................................................................ 33
4.2.1 Age Bracket of the Respondents.......................................................................................... 34
4.2.3 Gender.................................................................................................................................. 35
8. viii
4.3 The Causes of the Conflict in Migingo Trans Boundary Island ............................................. 36
4.3.1 Resources ............................................................................................................................. 37
4.3.2 Territorial integrity claim..................................................................................................... 38
4.3.3 Regional rivalry and Economic Level ................................................................................. 38
4.3.4 Political interests.................................................................................................................. 39
4.4 Summary................................................................................................................................. 40
CHAPTER FIVE ........................................................................................................................ 41
DIPLOMATIC OPTIONS EMPLOYED IN RESOLVING THE MIGINGO ISLAND
TRANS BOUNDARY CONFLICT........................................................................................... 41
5.1 Diplomatic Options Employed ............................................................................................... 41
5.2 Dialogue.................................................................................................................................. 43
5.2.1 Kampala Bilateral talks........................................................................................................ 43
5.2.2 Kisumu Technical Officersâ meeting................................................................................... 44
5.3 Negotiation............................................................................................................................. 44
5.3.1 Bilateral Ministerial meeting over the launch of border survey in Migingo Island............. 44
5.4 Survey ..................................................................................................................................... 45
5.4.1 The Joint Survey between Kenya and Uganda Experts ....................................................... 45
5.5 Summary................................................................................................................................. 46
CHAPTER SIX ........................................................................................................................... 47
EFFECTIVENESS OF DIPLOMATIC OPTIONS IN RESOLVING THE MIGINGO
ISLAND CONFLICT ................................................................................................................. 47
6.1 Effectiveness of Diplomatic Options ...................................................................................... 47
6.2 Evidences of Successes........................................................................................................... 49
6.2.1 The Nature of Relationship among the Respondents in Migingo. ....................................... 49
6.2.2 The Kenyan-Uganda border in Lake Victoria...................................................................... 51
6.3 The Diplomatic Options Available to Resolve the Migingo Island Trans Boundary Dispute 53
9. ix
6.3.1 Continuous use of Negotiations ........................................................................................... 55
6.3.2 Applying Mediation and Arbitration ................................................................................... 55
6.4 Summary................................................................................................................................. 56
CHAPTER SEVEN..................................................................................................................... 57
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................. 57
7.1 Summary of the Study Findings ............................................................................................. 57
7.1.1 Research Objective One....................................................................................................... 57
7.1.2 Research Objective Two ...................................................................................................... 58
7.1.3 Research Objective Three .................................................................................................... 60
7.2 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 60
7.2.1 Objective One ...................................................................................................................... 60
7.2.2Objective Two....................................................................................................................... 61
7.2.3 Objective Three.................................................................................................................... 61
7.3Recommendations.................................................................................................................... 62
7.3.1Recommendation to Address Objective One ........................................................................ 62
7.3.2 Recommendation to Address Objective Two ...................................................................... 62
7.3.3 Recommendation to Address Objective Three .................................................................... 62
7.3.4 General recommendation..................................................................................................... 63
7.4 Suggestions for Further Research ........................................................................................... 63
References.................................................................................................................................... 64
10. x
APPENDICES ............................................................................................................................. 68
APPENDIX I: LETTER OF INTRODUCTION .......................................................................... 68
Appendix II:QUESTIONNAIRE FOR RESIDENTS IN MIGINGO ISLAND ........................... 69
Appendix III.................................................................................................................................. 72
Map of East Africa .................................................................................................................... 72
11. xi
List of Figures
Figure 2.1: Conceptual model showing relationship among the variables ................................... 24
Figure 3.1: Study Area with Modifications âŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠ.26
Figure 4.1: Pie Chart Showing the Nationality of the RespondentsâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠ.33
Figure 4.2: Bar Graph Depicting The Gender Of The Respondents............................................. 35
Figure 5.1: Diplomatic Options Employed ................................................................................... 42
Figure 6.1: The Level of Success of the Diplomatic Options Employed ..................................... 48
Figure 6.2: The Location of Migingo Island by satellite imageâŠâŠâŠ.âŠâŠâŠâŠ.âŠâŠ.âŠâŠâŠ.52
Figure 6.3: The Diplomatic Options and the Conflict They ResolvedâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠ..54
12. xii
List of Tables
Table 3.1: Table Showing Sample Frame ..................................................................................... 28
Table 4.1: Table showing the responsesâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠâŠ..âŠâŠâŠâŠ..âŠâŠâŠ31
Table 4.2: Table Showing the Number of Nationalities Who Participated .................................. 33
Table 4.3: Table Showing the Ages of the Respondents .............................................................. 34
Table 4.4: Table Showing the Gender Of The Respondents ........................................................ 35
Table 4.5: Table Illustrating the Various Causes of Conflict In Migingo .................................... 37
Table 5.1: Table Showing the Diplomatic Options Employed In Resolving the ConflictâŠâŠâŠ41
Table 6.1: Table Showing the Level of Success of the Diplomatic Options EmployedâŠâŠâŠâŠ48
Table 6.2: Table Showing the Relationships among the Respondents in MigingoâŠâŠâŠ...âŠâŠ50
13. xiii
Abbreviations and Acronyms
ADR-Alternative Dispute Resolution
AU-African Union
UN-United Nations
BMC-Beach Management Committee
BMU-Beach Management Unit
CAR-Central African Republic
CPA-Comprehensive Peace Agreement
DRC-Democratic Republic of Congo
EAC-East African Community
IGAD- Inter-governmental Authority on Development
LVFO -Lake Victoria Fisheries Organization
PM-Prime Minister
14. xiv
Operational Definition of Key Terms
Angler- refers to a person who fishes using rod or a line in Lake Victoria
Bilateral diplomacy - communication limited to Kenya and Uganda at any given time.
Conflict- refers serious disagreements between Kenya and Uganda over Migingo Island
Conflict Management â It is a situation in which the underlying reasons for a given destructive
conflict are eliminated.
Mediation -It is a form of Alternative Dispute Resolution where an impartial EAC, IGAD or
AU, the mediator, assists Kenya and Uganda reach a mutually acceptable agreement
regarding their dispute.
Negotiation- it refers process of achieving solutions through discussions for the conflict in
Migingo Island.
Trans-boundary-across or along border of Kenya and Uganda.
15. 1
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
This chapter introduces the study under the following sections: background to the study,
statement to the problem, research objectives, and research questions, significance of the study,
justification of the study, scope of the study and limitations of the study.
1.1 Background to the Study
Diplomacy is a practice that has been in use for a very long time. Modern diplomacy was
pioneered by the ancient Greeks in around 432BC.It has varied definitions but what stand out in
most of the definitions is the uniqueness of communication in addressing issues of concerns.
The word diplomacy may mean profession, activity or skill of managing international relations,
typically by a countryâs representatives abroad (Online Dictionary).The meanings of diplomacy
have been improved to include: the art and practice of conducting negotiations between
representatives of groups or states (Barston, 2006).It is concerned with the management of
relations between states and between state and non-state actors.
In general, Official Diplomacy or Bilateral Diplomacy refers to a governmentâs process of
communicating with other foreign governments to bring out understanding for its national
interest and policies. Bilateral diplomacy is communication limited to two parties at any given
time. There is conventional diplomacy, which is conduct of relations on a state-to-state level
basis via formally accredited resident missions, and unconventional bilateral diplomacy; which is
comprises of relations and communications between states that take place outside the formally
16. 2
accredited resident missions. The conduct of diplomacy plays an integral part in dictating what
happens in international system .Diplomacy applies when the interest of states cannot be fully
reconciled, and exhaustive bargaining is required to reveal the area of agreements and
disagreements. Bilateral diplomacy involves sensitive political issues unlike other forms of
diplomacy (Rouke, 2000) .An example of this type of diplomacy is the comprehensive peace
agreement (CPA) signed in 2005 between Sudan Peopleâs Liberation Movement and the
Government of Sudan facilitated by the Inter-Governmental Authority On Development (IGAD).
The conduct of diplomacy may involve discussions, lobbying, diplomatic visits, and treaties
among others. Traditional diplomacy was seen as bilateral (between 2 actors).New diplomacy
has witnessed the involvement of international organizations such as the UN and AU that
negotiate on behalf of their members.
Diplomacy is categorized into 3 main tracks i.e. track 1, track 11 and track I and half. Diplomatic
options are the approaches employed in addressing points of interests and they are negotiation,
mediation, arbitration and adjudication. Negotiation, discussion between two or more parties
working out solutions by themselves, can broadly be defined as interaction of influences aimed
at reaching an agreement.
According to Bern (2008), negotiation is one of the most important means of conducting
diplomacy, and in many case results in the conclusion of treaties between sates and the
codification of international law. Negotiation refers to the process of making joint decisions
when parties involved have different preferences (McCuddy,2003) .Negotiation can also be
referred to as interaction of influences aimed at reaching an agreement and can be divided into
17. 3
instrumental approach and expressive negotiation approach. In an international context, bilateral
diplomatic negotiations take place between 2 subjects of international law.
Negotiation therefore aims at resolving disputes among parties involved in the conflict,
bargaining for individual or collective advantage and crafting some outcomes to satisfy specific
interests. It is common knowledge that no one negotiates to lose. Effective negotiation occurs
when substance issues are resolved and working relationships are maintained or improved
(McCuddy, 2003).The different strategies involved in negotiation are distributive negotiation
which focuses on positions staked out or declared by the conflicting parties. Parties try to claim
certain portions of existing pie. Integrative negotiation, sometimes called principled negotiation,
focuses on the merits of the issues and the parties try enlarging the available pie.
Mediation is an informal process during which an impartial third party, the mediator, assists
disputing parties in reaching a mutually acceptable agreement regarding their dispute (Alabama
Centre for Dispute Resolution, 2007).The mediator does not render a decision or impose a
solution on any party but helps those in the conflict talk to each other, thereby allowing them to
resolve dispute themselves. Mediation is voluntary, and may be terminated by a party or the
mediator. It is a form of Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR).Mediators use appropriate
techniques such as evaluative, facilitative or Transformative mediation to open and improve
dialogue between disputants aiming to keep the parties reach an agreement. Facilitative
mediation popularly known as problem solving mediation is widely practiced and its primary
focus is on the problem itself .Mediators encourage parties to explore data and experiences
related to the problem (Felicity,2008).
18. 4
Conflicts
Conflicts are basically serious disagreements between two or more opposing sides. There are
various types of conflict around the world. Different types of conflict have been experienced
ranging from intra-state conflict ,cross-border confrontations and the spill over effects from
regional conflicts in the horn of Africa which manifest themselves violently and non violently
(Pkalya and Mohammud ,2006).The root causes of conflict in Africa cannot ,however ,be
attributed to a single factor, but the causes are interrelated and interwoven into a complete nexus
(Kimokoti,2013).
Conflict resolution started in the 1950s and 1960s at the height of the cold war when the
development of nuclear weapons and the conflict between superpowers seemed to threaten
human survival (Ramsbotham,2011).Conflict resolution is a situation in which the underlying
reasons for a given destructive conflict are eliminated .Effective resolution begins with a
diagnosis of the stage to which conflict has developed and recognition of the causes of conflict
(McCuddy ,2003).Conflict resolution has a role to play in war zones since building peace regions
and understanding across divided communities is an essential element of humanitarian
engagement. Conflict resolution is an integral part of work for development, social justice and
social transformation that aims to address the problems facing our society (Ramsbotham,
2011).Conflict dynamics and conflict resolution mechanisms include prevention, peacekeeping,
peacemaking and peace building.
Trans-boundary conflicts (territorial disputes) are common phenomena around the globe.
Virtually, every part of the world has had one or many border conflicts witnessed either in the
past or in the Post-World War II Era. The famous border conflict is the Palestine âIsraeli border
19. 5
dispute over the Gaza strip. Some border conflicts are having a Transcontinental face like the
Yemen and Somalia border dispute over an archipelago. Even nation sates that are islands like
Madagascar have had their own share of problem with Comoros islands. Some of the causes of
these conflicts are merely resources (Africa Report, 2012).
In East Africa ,border dispute in the East African region can be traced back to colonial period
when boundaries were fixed without due regard to the needs of local communities. In many
instances, tribes were divided between two states. It was also normal boundary adjustments to be
made during colonial era to suit administrative arrangements. Okumu (2010) argues that âat
present the hottest border spots are on the Ethiopia-Eritrea border, the Eritrea -Djibouti border,
the Somalia-Ethiopia-Kenya borders, the Sudan-Kenya border, the Uganda-DRC border, the
Sudan-Chad-CAR-DRC-Uganda borders, and the Kenya-Uganda border. Uganda is seen by
many regional states as the major contributor to border conflicts as she has been embroiled in
tussle with almost all her neighbors namely Kenya, Rwanda ,South Sudan and even Congo in
Central Africa.
In recent times, Kenya and Uganda have found themselves disputing over an island called
Migingo in Lake Victoria. The diplomatic spat over the island has caused a lot in terms of
relations and economies of the two countries. The problem reflected the divisive legacy of
colonial boundaries in Africa and the lack of instruments to address border disputes in the
continent (Institute for Security Studies,2011).This makes Migingo island dispute serious and
this necessitate the study.
20. 6
1.2 Statement of the Problem
Studies conducted have revealed that there has been an escalating conflict over the true
ownership of Migingo Trans Boundary Island in the Kenya-Uganda border for almost a decade
now. Efforts to resolve the conflict by both governments are yet to bear fruits (Citizen News,
2013). The island is still occupied by the two governments represented by their respective police
forces. The Migingo stand-off is a problem because of the continued interference and confusion
by the two police forces to the fishermen. The conflict threatens the East Africa pact and also put
our territorial integrity into test (Kipkoech, 2010). However, the use of inappropriate strategies to
address the problem could have exacerbated the tension between the two neighbors than solving
it.
The dominant response to the dispute has been the deployment of police forces. From the time
the dispute erupted again in 2009, there has been a consistent deployment of policemen from
both nations (Shaka, 2009). This has threatened the Kenyan fishermen on island; heightening
tension between the two countries. The roles of diplomacy may have not been fully appreciated
by both parties. The study therefore aimed at discussing and providing explanations on
embracing diplomacy like using bilateral negotiations, mediation and adjudication in resolving
the conflict. In employing the diplomatic options, the study examined the importance of using
diplomacy in determining the exact owners of the Migingo Island.
1.3Objectives
1.3.1 General objective
The general objective of this study was to assess Bilateral Diplomacy and Migingo Island Trans
boundary conflict management.
21. 7
1.3.2 Specific Objectives
The specific objectives of this study were to:
i. Identify the causes of conflict over Migingo Trans Boundary Island.
ii. Examine bilateral diplomatic options employed in resolving the Migingo island conflict.
iii. Evaluate effectiveness of diplomatic options in resolving Migingo Trans boundary
conflict.
1.4 Research Questions
The study was guided by the following research questions:
i. What are the causes of the conflict over Migingo Trans Boundary Island?
ii. What are the diplomatic options employed in resolving the Migingo island conflict?
iii. How effective are the diplomatic options in resolving the Migingo conflict?
1.5 Justification of the Study
Findings of the research help a lot in theory and practice for the Bilateral Diplomacy and conflict
resolving in the disputed Migingo Island, as it contributes to knowledge advancement on the
discipline of the International Relations. The findings from the data collected were shared with
scholars of IR, other researchers and curriculum developers. These help scholars in responding to
conflict management more effectively.
To other researchers, this research is useful as it forms a foundation on which they can develop
other studies related to the same area and add to the existing literature on bilateral diplomacy and
Migingo Trans-boundary conflict, thereby acting as a guide.
22. 8
Trans-border conflicts could lead to disaster events between states and countries involved.
Without strict and fare international policies put in place, disagreements could lead to crisis and
chaos in the border region. Thus, due to unresolved conflicts between Kenya and Uganda, the
academic aspects of scholars are to study law and formulate policies that will enhance the
smooth relation among Trans-border states. The policies need to address issues of resource
sharing. The policy will have to indicate the percentage that each country will own and enhance
the share ability of the natural resource of the region. With proper established policies, they will
lead to cooperation between the states that will foster economic stability, political stability,
natural and social cultural stability of the Trans-border countries. In addition, the conflicts also
affect the citizens living in the region. Thus, to justify this study, the Kenyan government and the
Ugandan state should work hand in hand to establish peaceful co-existence and cooperation of
people in Migingo Island, formulate policies and laws that will foster equality between the two
states in terms of water percentage ownership and other natural resources within the Island. This
will lead to good international relations that will bolster the political, economic and social
cultural state of the two countries.
23. 9
1.6 Scope of the Study
The research study is confined within the disciplines of The International Relations particularly
Diplomacy and Peace Studies. The set objectives and research questions directed the area under
strict focus in this research.
The study was conducted between the borders of Kenya and Uganda, specifically Migori County
in Kenya and Bugiri District in Uganda. The sample population selected for this study was
limited to natives of the two places and a larger percentage of the population was from Migingo
Island. The natives must have lived in the disputed island for a period of not less than five years,
thus the ability to generalize to the entire population of Migingo and beyond its borders was
severely limited.
1.7 Limitations of the Study
Limitations of the study included language barrier and unwillingness of government officials to
participate in the research. English language spoken by the respondents was fairly understood as
most of the fishermen and traders barely attained tertiary level of education. Most of the
respondents required translation of the content in questionnaire into either Kiswahili or
vernacular languages like Dholuo, which was done to get information. Government officials
represented by the BMU officials shunned the process of information inquiry as they termed the
issue under focus as sensitive. Almost similar information sought from BMU was, however,
obtained by perusal into previous documents of ministerial bilateral meetings available in online
journals, media reports among other sources of secondary data.
24. 10
CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
The section analyzes the topic under the following themes: the causes of conflict over Migingo
Trans Boundary Island, the diplomatic options that have been employed so far in resolving the
conflict and their impacts, other possible diplomatic options that could be used to resolve the
conflict, the gaps identified in literature review, the theoretical framework and the conceptual
model.
2.1 The Causes of Conflict over Migingo Island
2.1.1 Conflict Types and Causes
Conflicts are serious disagreements between two or more opposing sides. There are various types
of conflict around the world. Different types of conflict have been experienced ranging from
intra-state conflict, cross-border confrontations and the spillover effects from regional conflicts
in the horn of Africa which manifest themselves violently and non violently (Pkalya and
Mohammud ,2006).
Conflicts can be categorized into different categories namely: relational conflicts that occur
because of strong negative emotions, misconceptions, poor communication and even
miscommunication, interest based conflicts that are caused by competitions over perceived
incompatible needs. Conflicts of interest result when one or more parties or state believe that in
order to satisfy her needs, the needs and interests of the opponents must be sacrificed(ibid).a
variety of interests underlie and motivate positions in negotiations and must be addressed for
maximum resolutions. Perhaps, this can help explain the problem in the Migingo case. Structural
types of conflicts are caused by forces external to the people in dispute. Limited physical
25. 11
resources, geographic constraints and time exacerbate this type of conflict. Most structural
conflicts arise out of perceived structural injustices.
Generally, most cases of conflicts are economic in nature where there is unequal distribution of
resources, political when there is poor governance and thus political unrest and social when
different groups become incompatible due to various resources.
2.1.2 Conflict inherent in Migingo Island
Migingo Island is an island that lies right along the disputed watery border between Kenya and
Uganda in the Lake Victoria. The island is an anglerâs paradise, surrounded by schools of tasty
and exportable Nile perch (New York Times, 2009). The disputed island, Migingo is measuring
an only an acre of land full of rocks , and is located only 10 kilometers off Sori -Bay in Karungu
Division, Migori district (Omolo, 2009).
The history of conflict over the island dates back to 2004.A Ugandan national by the name
Joseph Nsubuga, a fisherman, says he settled on Migingo in 2004 when all he found on the
island was an abandoned house. Then other fishermen from Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania came
to the island because of its proximity to fishing grounds rich with Nile perch. There was unusual
claim by Kenyan fishermen that since no Nile perch breed in Uganda, then the fish somehow
âbelonged to Kenyaâ(Otieno,2009).
In June 2004, and according to the Kenyan government, Uganda marine police came and pitched
tent on the island, raised the Ugandan flag and that of police department. A diplomatic row
between the two countries arose in February 2009 when Kenyans living on Migingo were
required to purchase special permits from the Ugandan government (Shaka, 2013).
26. 12
On 12 March 2009, a Ugandan government press release proposed that the matter be resolved
by a survey, using a guideline by the boundaries set by the Kenya colony and protectorate order
in council 1926 and which identifies the boundary line as tangentially touching the western tip of
pyramid island ,and then running in a straight line just west of due north to the western tip of
Kenyaâs Ilembe island(The Independent ,2009).The underlying dispute is over fishing rights in
lake Victoria, since Kenya exports more fish than Uganda despite controlling a smaller
percentage of the lake(Shaka,2013).The causes of these simmering tensions are resource
based(the rich fishing ground).Though it also may be looked at from a political perspective
when the Ugandan government may be accused of violating the international law of territorial
integrity by stamping their authority on Kenyan soil and waters.
The uncompromising stands taken by both Kenya and Uganda in the dispute pose threats to the
dreams of East Africa integration that the East African Community is working to realize. This
might also affect trade agreements and tariffs in the region since most will be rendered useless
once the borders are closed.
2.2Diplomatic Options Employed in Resolving the Migingo Island Trans Boundary conflict
The diplomatic options available for conflict resolution are majorly negotiations and mediation.
Negotiation aims at resolving disputes among parties involved in the conflict, bargaining for
individual or collective advantage and crafting some outcomes to satisfy specific interests. It is
common knowledge that no one negotiates to lose. Effective negotiation occurs when substance
issues are resolved and working relationships are maintained or improved (McCuddy, 2003).The
different strategies involved in negotiation are distributive negotiation that focuses on positions
staked out or declared by the conflicting parties. Parties try to claim certain portions of existing
27. 13
pie. Integrative negotiation, sometimes called principled negotiation, focuses on the merits of the
issues and the parties try enlarging the available pie.
Mediation is an informal process during which an impartial third party, the mediator, assists
disputing parties in reaching a mutually acceptable agreement regarding their dispute (Alabama
Centre for Dispute Resolution, 2007).The mediator does not render a decision or impose a
solution on any party but helps those in the conflict talk to each other, thereby allowing them to
resolve dispute themselves. Mediation is voluntary, and is terminated by a party or the mediator.
It is a form of alternative dispute resolution (ADR).Mediators use appropriate techniques such as
evaluative, facilitative or Transformative mediation to open and improve dialogue between
disputants aiming to keep the parties reach an agreement. Facilitative mediation popularly
known as problem solving mediation is widely practiced and its primary focus is on the problem
itself .Mediators encourage parties to explore data and experiences related to the problem
(Felicity,2008).
In the Migingo dispute, several talks and negotiations have been used to some extent. Though,
deployment of police forces from both sides has been the practice since 2004.There have been
calls for calm and diplomacy between the two parties in December 2012 and February
2013(ibid).Before then, there have been several government ministries including foreign affairs
ministers drawn from both sides meeting in Kampala .This was way back in 2009 and could be
touted as the first ever kind of negotiation between the two states.
According to Omolo (2009), a week earlier prior to the then PM Raila Odinga visit, a team of
Kenya administrators from Migori district headquarters had visited the Island and held talks with
their Uganda counterparts from Bugiri district.
28. 14
The Kenya team comprised Migori DC Julius Mutula and the District Fisheries Officer Tom
Jienda and members of the security personnel. They were welcomed by the small, but highly
enthusiastic Kenyan fishermen and kiosk traders operating on the island.
At hand to receive the Kenyan team was the Ugandan District Commissioner for Bugiri, Ms
Mwanamaiza Chikomeko, who welcomed and led the Kenyan delegation to a makeshift camp,
heavily guarded by Ugandan security personnel. The Bugiri DC was accompanied by the district
police commander Dan Bryaruhunya, the District Fisheries Officer Fred Igoma and several
military Intelligence officers.
The group settled down for consultative meeting before going out to address the public gathering
of anglers and fish traders who were eagerly waiting to hear something about their fate.
The meeting was meant for the officials from the two countries to take a joint position on issues
that had caused tension on the Island, leading to mass exodus of anglers to other beaches. The
delegation reached an agreement that the anglers from both nations be allowed to continue
conducting business as usual until the boundary was determined by experts.
In March 2009, Ugandan and Kenyan ministers travelled to the island where they held
negotiations. However, this ended in a row with the first deputy prime minister of Uganda Eriya
Kategaya taking issue with the then Kenyan minister for lands James Orengo for calling the
Ugandan delegation âhyenasâ during the meeting (Standard Media,2013).
Nyanza police provincial officer Joseph Ole Tito at one time led a delegation of Kenyan security
contingent on a visit to the island in 2013 and attempted to minimize the magnitude of the
incident terming it âminor misunderstandingâ (Sabahi, 2013).All their attempts to defuse the
situation over Migingo did little to ease the mounting pressure from the public and
parliamentarians on Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta (Citizen News, 2013).
29. 15
On International Law perspective, the real ownership of Migingo Island was to be determined by
a joint survey based on colonial maps since all African states respect colonial borders which the
organization of African Unity had imbedded in its charter (Kipkoech, 2010).
The location of disputed island could be determined in relation to Ilembe and Pyramid islands as
described in the 1926 Order in Council. The Kenyan team in the survey places it five hundred
and ten (510) meters inside Kenya from the Kenya-Uganda boundary (ibid).
2.3 Other Possible Diplomatic Options in Addressing the Conflict
From the previous searches conducted, it can be revealed that the negotiations and talks adopted
earlier are seen as having failed to deliver on their mandates. The tension is still rife between the
two nations over Migingo. There are many other options of resolving conflict over the disputed
Migingo Island such as arbitration, mediation and adjudication. Not all problems are amenable to
negotiation.
Arbitration is a well-known process of settling disputes. It refers to the use and assistance of
neutral third party in conflict, who hears the evidence from both parties, and thereafter renders a
decision usually called an award. The award is expected to be binding on both parties (Barston,
2006).An example of a dispute that was solved arbitrarily is the dispute between Israel and Egypt
over the location of the border between the two nations in the Gulf of the Red Sea that was
settled in favor of Egypt by an international panel in 1988.
Adjudication is a method that can be used as an alternative in the international arena and local
national system. The courts have the ability to enforce law in the case of a failure of the parties in
conflict to reach an agreement through negotiation and mediation. Rulings by international court
can end the conflict if the two countries agree to abide by its ruling.
30. 16
Perhaps, there should be a paradigm shift in the manner the dispute is handled. The citizens of
the two countries need to leave at peace and enjoy liberty in doing business.
The individuals in a state have the right to own property and lastly that, the most effective
economic system is one that promotes and facilitates free trade domestically and
internationally(Tim,2008).
According to Were (2013),so as to reduce conflict between the two states that is primarily arising
out of overdue reliance on Nile Perch, Tilapia and R. argentea ,the communities through the
national governments and NGOs should engage in developing and expanding traditional fisheries
and non-fish products.
The call for diplomacy in addressing the conflict has also been supported by renowned scholars
of International Relations .For example, Professor Okoth says that diplomacy is the best option
that Kenya can take because it benefits a lot from Uganda in terms of trade and commerce .He
also goes on to argue that Kenya and Uganda also collaborates on both regional security and
global political issues. The professor challenged East African Community to mediate and resolve
the conflict peacefully since international law cherishes peaceful means of conflict resolution
(Kipkoech, 2010).In light of the above, Inter-governmental Authority on Development (IGAD)
would be required to intervene on the Kenyan-Ugandan case before relations escalates to a
charge dâaffaires level.
Diplomatic forays and previous discussions show that the island might be in Kenya. What is
perceived as left is the joint border survey to be completed then the matter being peacefully
addressed. This could be achieved in employing alternatives like mediation that will leave both
sides feeling satisfied. At some point, constitutional lawyer Anderson Mwiti urged Kenyans
31. 17
advocating for aggressive response to stop beating the war drum and embrace a spirit of co-
existence with Uganda.
According to the Standard Media (2013), the long time territorial spat over the island in Lake
Victoria was to be solved in a diplomatic manner by the two states. The earlier team sent by the
government had stalled due to what the Serian team termed failure to bring all stakeholders on
board.
Many regional institutions are banking on some more proactive approaches to this conflict.
According to Institute for Security Studies (2011), there is urgent need on the side of regional
bodies, the East African community, The Inter-Governmental Authority on Development
(IGAD) and African Union (AU) to facilitate the completion of the survey process of the border
and establishment of mechanisms to address border disputes on the continent.
Whose territory is will be determined through peaceful diplomatic option. Either of the two
states will be found to have transgressed some aspects of international law. The dispute over
Migingo Trans boundary presents some interesting questions of international law citizenship,
regional integration and incomplete decolonization project in Africa (Pambazuka, 2009). And to
this far, mediation and options though proposed by many thinkers of IR, are yet to be given a
chance. The problem is more complex than it may appear on the face of it and must be dealt with
conclusively and with caution. The cost of resolving the conflict needs to be considered
seriously. The Transgressing party should ultimately bear this cost. Involving the East African
Community (EAC) in the process may provide space for real dialogue between the two nation
states.
32. 18
2.4 Gaps in Literature Review
Literature on the use of bilateral diplomatic options like mediation, adjudication to solve the
Migingo conflict is limited or nonexistent. The study identified the gaps in the existent literature
on addressing the impasse as not having objectively discussed on the application and adoption of
other diplomatic options like mediation, adjudication and arbitration in resolving the conflict. No
previous study talks about the application of the above methods of resolving conflict or their
effectiveness in the addressing the plight of the anglers. There have only been suggestions on
what ought to be done alternatively.
The present state of peace in Migingo is not talked about. Prevailing of peace may dictate that at
least a problem has been addressed to a level that the residents can bear. From the previous
searches, we are yet to be told how the dispute has affected the diplomatic ties between Kenya
and Uganda and the cooperation on matters of trade, commerce and even politics.
2.5 Theoretical Framework
This study was guided by Liberalism theory of International Relations (IR) according to Burchill
et al (2005).
Liberalism Theory
Liberalism, or Idealism as it is widely known, now emphasizes different features of world
politics from non-governmental ties between societies to organized cooperation between states,
but the different branches of Liberalism unite in three basic assumptions. The three basic
assumptions that Liberalism is based on are:
33. 19
I. Human nature is positive;
II. International relations can be cooperative instead of conflictual; and,
III. We should believe in progress in human nature, in the state system and in the international
system.
The Realists are pessimists. They do not trust human beings thinking their nature is bad, they
do not trust other states because the main aim of a state should be to maximize their national
interests and they believe in conflict. The Idealists (Liberals)are optimists. Liberalism first
emerged in the second half of the seventeenth century, with John Locke. However, it gained
speed with the Industrial Revolution, when progress was the magic keyword for the society.
Industrialization created new norms of living for all parts of the society, new social classes were
born, and all of a sudden, everything began to change.
The Classical Liberal philosophers, beginning with John Locke, saw great potential for human
progress in the modern civil society and capitalist economy. Locke thought that both the civil
society and the capitalist economy might succeed in states where individual liberties were
guaranteed. For Locke, unlike the Realists, a state exists only to improve the liberty of its
citizens so that they could live their lives and pursue their happiness without interference from
other people. From Locke on, liberals began to think that state is a constitutional entity, not an
instrument for power. A state must establish and protect the rule of law and must respect its
citizensâ rights to life, liberty, and property. Thus, Kenya and Uganda should come together to
negotiate and be ready to sit in mediation table for the sake of the poor anglers in the disputed
island.
34. 20
Jeremy Bentham also claimed that constitutional states should respect each other and invented
the term âinternational lawâ and wrote that each state should abide by the international law
because it is to the rational interests of states to follow international law in their foreign policies.
German philosopher Immanuel Kant came up with ideas that can be considered as the roots of
the current varieties of Liberalism. Following Bentham, Kant believed that constitutional states
must respect each other and constitutional and mutually respectful states could establish
âperpetual (lasting) peaceâ in the world at the end. Kantâs main contribution is the âdemocratic
peaceâ doctrine. Kant believed that wars did not start because the international system forced
wars on nations, but because domestic problems led governments into war.
Modern Liberalism, that is, Liberalism after World War II, may be divided into these categories:
a) Sociological Realism; b) Interdependence Liberalism; c) Institutional Liberalism; d)
Republican Liberalism.
a). Sociological (Pluralist) Liberalism: They believe that the Realists are wrong when they
assume IR is a sum of state-to-state relationships. Instead, Sociological Liberals believe that IR is
about transnational relations, i.e., relations between people, groups, and organizations belonging
to different countries. Relations between people and between NGOs are more cooperative and
more supportive of peace than relations between governments are. Karl Deutsch is a prominent
scholar of Sociological Liberalism. Deutsch argued in his book Political Community and the
North Atlantic Area (1957) that a high degree of Transnational ties between societies led to
peaceful relations which would benefit both sides and that is far more important than the absence
of war, because it leads to integration and to a sense of community so, no-one would want to use
violence to find solutions to their problems. As a result, he and other Sociological Liberals
35. 21
believe that mutually beneficial cooperation is far preferable for nations than antagonistic
conflict.
b). Interdependence Liberalism: The Interdependence Liberalism is based on the assumption
that when two nations depend on each other, peace will rule. Interdependence means mutual
dependence. People and governments are affected by the actions of their counterparts in other
countries, so a higher level of transnational relations means greater interdependence.
What Interdependence Liberals argue is that a high division of labor in the international economy
increases interdependence between states and that high level of interdependence discourages and
reduces violent conflicts between states.
David Mitrany set up a theory of integration during World War II, and argued that greater
interdependence in the form of transnational ties between countries can lead to peace. He
believed that expert technicians, not by politicians, should arrange cooperation. It is the main
idea behind the establishment of the European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) that led to the
formation of the EU.
In 1977, Robert Keohane and Joseph S. Nye wrote Power and Interdependence. They argued
that previously, use of military force in conflicts between states was an option, because the âhigh
politicsâ of security and survival came before the âlow politicsâ of economics and social affairs.
However, with the new level of integration the World was experiencing since the 1960s, this was
no longer the case. They called this new situation Complex Interdependence. They claimed that
firstly, relations between states are now different from before because they are no more the
limited relations just between state leaders, but relations are far more complex and include many
other layers of the society. Secondly, military force is less useful as an instrument in
36. 22
international relations. As a result, IR is becoming more like domestic politics, with different
issues creating different coalitions and different levels of conflict, and in most of these issues,
military power is irrelevant. Therefore, leaders and countries now have to deal with âlow
politicsâ of economics and social matters, and wars are therefore even less likely to take place. In
this new environment, states will have more focus points in their foreign policies and NGOs and
international organizations will have greater control and say in the international politics.
c). Institutional Liberalism: Institutional Liberalism is based on the idea that international
organizations are influential and work for the good of humanity. American President Woodrow
Wilson believed that international institutions would change international politics from a
âjungleâ to a âzoo.â They believe that international organizations are very important, and they
can promote cooperation between states.
They define an international institution as independent international organisations either such as
the NATO or the European Union or as a set of rules that administers state action in a particular
area. In our case, the international organizations include the IGAD and EAC. These sets of rules
are called âregimesâ and generally operate with an international organization that oversees the
set of rulesâ application
Institutional liberals claim that international institutions help promote cooperation between states
and the extent of this cooperation is analyzed in terms of depth and scope. In short, for
Institutional Liberals, international institutions:
o Create a flow of information and opportunities to negotiate with others for each state;
37. 23
o Enhance the ability of governments to monitor the compliance of other governments with
some rules or a set of rules (e.g. Kyoto Accord), and to put their own commitments into
operation; and,
o Strengthen expectations about the solidity of international agreements.
d). Republican Liberalism: The Republican Liberals believe that liberal democracies are more
peaceful and law-abiding than any other political system. The main idea is not that democracies
never go to war; they do; but it is that democracies do not fight each other. This idea is based on
the idea of âperpetual peaceâ by Immanuel Kant in the 18th century. Michael Doyle wrote in his
article âKant, Liberal Legacies and Foreign Affairsâ in Philosophy and Public Affairs in 1983
that democracies do not fight with each other. He presented three reasons: Firstly, in a
democracy, domestic political culture is based on peaceful conflict resolution and management;
and the voters will not support a government, which would declare war. Secondly, democracies
share a common set of values that lead to the formation of a peace zone based on democratic
moral values. Thirdly, peace between democracies is strengthened by economic cooperation and
interdependence.
Among different liberal models of today, Republican Liberalism is the most normative, the most
value-based. The Republican Liberals are optimists; they believe in progress and therefore to the
coming of a time when war will not be a reality but peaceful conflict resolution.
38. 24
2.5 The Conceptual Model
The conceptual model in figure 2.1 guides this study.
Figure 2.1. Bilateral diplomacy and Migingo island Trans boundary conflict management
Independent Variable Dependent Variable
Bilateral diplomacy
Diplomacy tenets expressed through;
ï· government âto-government
bilateral talks
ï· use of negotiations
ï· application of mediation
ï· employment of adjudication
and arbitration
Conflict management
Better Conflict management expressed
through;
ï· peace prevailing along the
boundary
ï· harmonious living among
fishermen, traders and residents
ï· border defined
ï· increased co-operation between
the two nation states, tightened
diplomatic ties
ï· withdrawal of aggressor forces
from the island
Intervening variables
Intervening nation states factors
ï· Transnational relations
ï· Interdependence level
ï· Regime type
Figure 2.1: Conceptual model showing relationship among the variables
Source: Self conceptualization (2015)
39. 25
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
This section entails the research design, study area, study and target population, sampling
techniques and sample size, data collection instruments, measurements of the instruments
validity and reliability, data analysis, presentation of findings and ethical considerations.
3.1 Research Design
The research utilized descriptive research design in collecting both the qualitative and
quantitative data. A descriptive survey design was used to obtain information about residents of
Migingo on bilateral diplomacy and Migingo Island Trans boundary conflict management. A
descriptive survey is a research design that allows the collection of both qualitative and
quantitative data from the sample of respondents from a population. (Mugenda and Mugenda,
2004)
3.2. Study Area
The study area focused on Migingo Island in Lake Victoria. Migingo Island is an island that lies
right along the disputed watery border between Kenya and Uganda in Lake Victoria. The island
is an anglerâs paradise, surrounded by schools of tasty and exportable Nile perch (New York
Times, 2009). The disputed island, Migingo is measuring an only an acre of land full of rocks ,
and is located only 10 kilometers off Sori -Bay in Karungu Division, Migori district. The
residents are majorly fishermen and traders. Beach Management Committee (BMC) also forms
part of the population.
40. 26
Figure 3.1: Study Area with Modifications
Source:http://search.tb.ask.com/search/maps.jhtml,(2015)
41. 27
3.3 The Target Population
The target population is the population that the researcher wants to generalize the results of the
study; (Mugenda and Mugenda, 1999). The study population was drawn from all the residents of
the disputed island. The island has 131 registered residents as per the 2009 Kenyan census
reports, which provided a study target population. At present, the population is believed to be
well over 400(source: http://books.google.com/books?id=soddUrlMbPAC). The respondents
comprised of fishermen, traders and beach management unit (BMU).
3.4 Sample Size
Sampling is a procedure of selecting a part of the population on which research is to be
conducted. A sample must fulfill the requirements of efficiency, representativeness, reliability
and flexibility of the population. A recommended sample size of 30% (30 % for a small
population) of the population was sufficed to give information on the phenomenon under
investigation (Kothari, 2011).Purposive sampling was used to sample fishermen, traders and
BMU officials from the entire population. Simple random sampling was used to select the
fishermen, traders and BMU officials and care was taken to avoid bias in using this type of
sampling.
The sample size composed of 40 (39.3 is the calculated sample) respondents. They included 20
fishermen, 15 traders and supported by 5 BMU officials. Sample size determination was guided
by the fact that fishermen are the majority, followed by the traders and few BMU officials since
they are no recorded statistics on the number of the above type of respondents.
Total number of the target population =131
30 % of 131 is calculated as follows:
đ
131
*100=30
42. 28
N= (30â 131) 100â
N=39.3~ 40
N represents the sample size.
Table 3.1: Table Showing Sample Frame
Respondent Sample population
Fishermen 20
Fish traders 15
BMU officials 5
Total 40
Source: Author (2015)
3.5. Data Collection Instruments
This study focused on collecting two major types of data, majorly secondary data and primary
data. Primary data was obtained directly from the respondents. One type of questionnaire was
used as a tool of primary data collection to aid the secondary data. Questionnaires were
administered to the sampled residents of Migingo. Another type of data was secondary data
which the researchers obtained by reading several literature and print material from various
sources such as online literal works, online journals and newspapers, websites, current news
casted by researchers and reporters with interest in the blooming Migingo dispute.
43. 29
3.5 Validity and Reliability of the Research Instruments
Procedures for ascertaining validity and reliability of data collection instruments are discussed
below.
3.6.1 Validity
Validity implies the accuracy and meaningfulness of inferences based on research finding and
has to do with how accurately the data obtained in the study measures the variables. To measure
content validity assistance was sort from the supervisors and other research experts in the
department of Peace and Conflict studies who assessed the relevance of the content in the
research tools against objectives of the study.
3.6.2 Reliability
Reliability is the extent to which a given test is capable of consistently yielding the same results
or nearly the same score each time the test is administered to the same individuals in spite of any
opportunity for variations to occur. To test instrument reliability, a test-retest method was
employed to conduct study on five potential respondents who hail from or must have worked in
Migingo Island or the larger Migori County. Questions were designed and put across explicitly
and a guide provided to give direction on how to respond. Responses were recorded accurately
and coded accordingly to avoid errors.
3.6 Data Analysis and procedure
The research project utilized both qualitative and quantitative methods of data analysis. The raw
data from the field was organized and coded for subsequent analysis. The data collected was
analyzed using Excel spreadsheets .Data from questionnaires was analyzed using descriptive
44. 30
statistical technique then presented using tables and graphs to show the relationship among the
variables in this study.
3.7 Ethical Considerations
To ensure protection of the researcherâs integrity and honesty of results, the researcher ought to
be ethical. The ethical considerations included informed consent, confidentiality, privacy and no
harm to respondents. On informed consent, the researcher gave all the facts about the research
and asked respondents to participate voluntarily, as advised by Kothari (2011).
Confidentiality was maintained by keeping the respondentsâ identity and responses private while
on privacy, the researcher asked the respondent not to write the name of self anywhere on the
questionnaire item, and during data analysis, the participants were identified using codes rather
than by names.
45. 31
CHAPTER FOUR
CAUSES OF CONFLICT IN MIGINGO ISLAND
This chapter presents findings and discussions on the causes of conflict in Migingo Island, The
results are presented in texts, tables, pie charts, graphs and bar charts. The analyzed data was
specifically aimed at providing answers to the research objectives. Demographic data of the
respondents were analyzed using descriptive statistics that gave data the background information
regarding the respondents .Data was collected from fishermen or fisherwomen, traders engaged
in the selling of fish and beach management unit from both Migori county in Kenya and Bugiri
district in Uganda.
4.1 Response Rate
The study targeted 40 respondents being 20 fishermen/women, 15 fish traders and 5 BMU
officials from the study area .Out of the targeted sample ,19 fishermen ,17 fish traders and 1
BMU official completed and returned the questionnaires .
Table 4.1: Table Showing the Responses
Respondent Sample size Responded ( N) Percentage %
Fishermen 20 19 95
Fish traders 15 17 113.3
BMU officials 5 1 20
Total 40 36 90
Source: Field Data, (2015)
*N=36
46. 32
The study gave a response rate of 90 %.Fishermen responses were the largest while the traders
over responded .The beach management unit official was only one. The indication of the least
participation by the official could have been due to the sensitivity of the issue under dispute. In
general, 4 respondents or 10 % of the respondents did not return the research instrument used.
According to Mugenda and Mugenda, a response rate of 30 %and above is adequate for
generalization, a response rate of 50 % is good for generalization while a response rate of 70%
and above is excellent for generalization of findings from a sample onto the entire population
which such as sample is drawn. With regard to this study, the response rate was excellent for
purposes of generalization of findings.
4.2 Demographic Data of the Respondents
The main purpose of this study was to assess bilateral diplomacy and Migingo Island Trans
boundary conflict management.
As such, the study found it paramount to find out the demographic characteristics of the
fishermen, fish traders (fish mongers) and BMU officials since they form the basis under which
the interpretations of the data collected would be justified.
Demographic characteristics of the respondents were discussed based on the nationality of the
respondents, age gender and the nature of work the respondents undertake on daily basis. These
characteristics were presented in tables, pie charts and graphs.
47. 33
4.2.1 Nationality of the Respondents
Table 4.2: Table Showing the Number of Nationalities Who Participated
Nationality Frequency Percentage %
Kenya 27 75.0
Uganda 8 22.2
Others 1 2.8
Total 36 100.0
Source: Field Data, (2015)
Majority of the respondents were from Kenya with a 75 %.Respondents from Uganda were 22.2.
% and other nationality was only represented by one respondent from Tanzania .The low
percentage of respondents from other countries though present in the island could be due to the
non involvement of the their governments in the conflict or they want to reap from both parties
in the conflict once a conclusive peace agreement is signed between the two.
Figure 4.1: Pie Chart Showing the Nationality of the Respondents
Source: Field Data, 2015
75%
22%
3%
NATIONALITY
Kenya
Uganda
others
48. 34
4.2.1 Age Bracket of the Respondents
Table 4.3: Table Showing the Ages of the Respondents
Age Frequency ( f) %
18-24 16 44
25-30 12 33
31-35 5 14
Over 35 3 8
Total 36 100
Source: Field Data, (2015)
Findings revealed that 44 % of the respondents were aged between 18 and 24, which also
happened to be the largest. 12 Respondents or 33 %were aged between 25 and 30 years while 5
were aged between 31 to 35 years. Respondents above the age of 35 were only 3 representing 8%
of the total population of the respondents .The least percentage of the respondents happens to be
the adults as they have surpassed the maximum age limit of the youth of 35 years. This is an
indication that most of the fishermen are youths who engage in fishing to find alternative
mechanisms of coping with life which have always remained marginalized due to high
unemployment rate in the two countries in under study.
49. 35
4.2.3 Gender
The gender of the respondents is depicted by the table 4.4.
Table 4.4: Table Showing the Gender of the Respondents
Gender frequency %
Male 25 69
female 11 31
Total 36 100
Source: Field data, (2015)
Figure 4.2: Bar Graph Depicting the Gender of the Respondents
Source: Field data (2015)
Most of the respondents were male with 69 % .This represented more than half of the
respondents .The females were only 31 % or 11 respondents from the sample size. The low
0
50
100
Male
female
PERCENTAGE
GENDER
GENDER OF THE RESPONDENTS
50. 36
women responses may have be affected with their perceived inferiority complexes when they are
among the males. The women may have felt insubordinate to their male counterparts. Most
women do not also engage in fishing which is normally felt to be a male-aligned career. The few
available women around the beaches are left to majorly participate in selling of the fish. Most of
the women believed that men are the sole decision makers in any societal setting and information
inquiry and such our research was going to be no exception.
4.3 The Causes of the Conflict in Migingo Trans Boundary Island
The first objective of the study was to identify the causes of conflict over Migingo Trans
Boundary Island that is found in Lake Victoria between the borders of Kenya and Uganda. To
effectively address this objective, the following research question was asked;
What are the causes of the conflict over Migingo Trans Boundary Island?
Items in the data collection instruments relating to the causes of the conflict in the disputed
island were analyzed by counting and calculating percentages using excel spreadsheets and
findings presented in table 4.5.
51. 37
Table 4.5: Table Illustrating the Various Causes of Conflict in Migingo
Cause Frequency %
Scarce resources over island and the
lake
20
45
Territorial integrity claims 12
27
Different economic levels 4
5
Perceived Regional rivalry 6
14
Competing governmentâs interests
(politics)
4
9
Total 44 100
Source: Field data (2015)
Findings in table 4.5 showed that scarce resources accounted for 45 %, territorial claims
accounted for 27 %, different economic level as a claim accounted for only 5 %, regional rivalry
contributed to 14 % and politics what is basically understood by this study as competing
governmentsâ interests accounted for 9%.
4.3.1 Resources
The major cause of conflict in the disputed Migingo Island is undoubtedly over the scarce
resources and rare resources found mainly in Migingo Island as revealed by 20 responses. Half
of the respondents mentioned resources as the leading cause of the dispute between the two East
African nations. Resources in this case are the fish especially the Nile perch which is deemed to
have high level of oil. In fact some of the respondents gave multiple responses on the above
attribute because of the impact of the conflict on the fishermen who also happened to be the
majority of the respondents. One of the respondents said âlet the Ugandans leave our fish for us
so that we can be peaceful.âConflicts over the resources have direct effect on the part of the
52. 38
anglers while indirect impact on the part of the governments in the long term which could be
measured by the level of diplomatic engagements between the two disputing countries.
4.3.2 Territorial integrity claim
Territorial integrity claim is seen to be the second leading cause of the conflict by most
respondents .This could be another major factor due to the historical facts of Ugandaâs troubled
borders with her neighbors. The 27 % of the respondents believed that Uganda might just want
the portion of the lake which she believed was taken away from her in the colonial period.
Uganda has claimed annexation of her borders in almost all her neighbors as was revealed in the
reviewed literature .Uganda disputed the border with Tanzania up to River Kagera at one time. In
September 2014 border conflict broke out in the district of Moyo in northern Uganda between
Ugandans and south Sudanese,(Ogwal, 2014).
4.3.3 Regional rivalry and Economic Level
Regional rivalry and in matter of development played little in the findings due to their near equal
level of Kenya and Uganda although Kenya is seen to be some miles ahead of Uganda in
development .Kenya recently joined the middle income status after rebasing their GDP. Uganda
is yet to attain such a status. The conflict in Migingo started way back in 2004 and resurfaced in
strongly in 2009 until it became hot issue in both governmentsâ cycles. Economically, Kenya is
believed to be exporting more fish than Uganda yet Uganda has the largest share of the lake
Victoria on her side which is supposed to translate to more fish .Apparently, this has turned out
to be indirectly proportional to the catch .It is imperative to claim that economics has a hand in
the causing the dispute over the Migingo island.
53. 39
4.3.4 Political interests
Politics as factor could not also be bypassed as 9 % of the respondents mentioned the issue as a
concomitant cause of the conflict in the island and around the border.
Findings of this study were compared with findings made in empirical studies relating to The
East African Community and Dispute Settlement: A Case of Migingo Island by one Njoka D.
Warui of the Institute Of Diplomacy and International Studies of University of Nairobi.
According to Njoka (2013), twenty respondents were asked to identify the causes of the dispute,
9(45%) of the respondents identified fishing rights as the main cause, 7(35%) identified it as a
boundary dispute, while, 3(15%) of the respondents attributed the dispute to political posturing,
1(5%) respondent attributed the dispute to lack of dispute settlement strategies between the two
countries.
According to Were (2013), the Ugandan state has not disguised her intent to control fisheries
resources oh her part of Lake Victoria. He continues to argue that the quest for control and
dominance over the natural resource of Lake Victoria between Kenya and Uganda has
negatively affected trans boundary resource management.Njoka (2013), postulates that Migingo
Island dispute is primarily about fisheries on the International boundary between Kenya and
Uganda as indicated by (45%) and (35%) of the respondents. The island provides ideal fish
landing point unlike Ugingo and Pyramid Island which are inaccessible due to their steep
gradients. He continues to argue that the Migingo Island dispute is in conformity to Wanyamaâs
definition of dispute âthe contentions or disagreements that arise between interested parties in a
given issue or activity. The dispute is about fisheries on the international maritime boundary of
the two states. The concept of dispute is related to that of conflict.
54. 40
According to Byaruhanga (2007),in lake Victoria region fish markets appears to be unstable due
to the structural changes currently taking place in the production and marketing of fish and fish
products. Mitchellâs defines conflict âas a situation whereby two or more parties have
incompatible goalsâ. The incompatibility of goals case may relate to the location of the fisheries
which is on the international boundary and the idealness of Migingo Island and for fish landing.
4.4 Summary
At the core of the problem is the resource dispute relating to fisheries which fishermen from the
countries are competing for. The incompatibilities and disagreements between Kenya and
Uganda on Migingo Island are therefore of a resource and trans boundary nature or in this study
it is the territorial integrity claim. The Uganda government has on several occasions admitted
that the island belongs to Kenya while maintaining that the water around it belongs to Uganda.
These kinds of statement coming from Ugandan government sources are very âtellingâon the
islands ownership. It has a bearing on the disagreement on what constitutes the western most
point of any of the islands.
55. 41
CHAPTER FIVE
DIPLOMATIC OPTIONS EMPLOYED IN RESOLVING THE MIGINGO ISLAND
TRANS BOUNDARY CONFLICT
This chapter entails discussions and analysis of diplomatic options that have so far been used in
solving the Trans boundary conflict in Migingo.
Diplomatic options available for peaceful conflict resolution include: mediation, negotiation,
dialogue, arbitration, among others.
5.1 Diplomatic Options Employed
The second objective of the study sought to determine the diplomatic options employed so far in
resolving the conflict in the disputed island along the watery border between Kenya and Uganda.
The findings of the study were tabulated and analyzed in the table 5.1.
Table 5.1: Table Showing the Diplomatic Options Employed in Resolving the Conflict
Diplomatic option Frequency %
Negotiation 12 33
Mediation 6 17
Arbitration 3 8
Dialogue 15 42
Total 36 100
Souce:Field data,(2015)
56. 42
Figure 5.1: Diplomatic Options Employed
Source: Field data, (2015)
The study revealed that 33 % of the respondents mentioned that negotiation was employed in
solving the conflict while mediation was mentioned by 17 % of the sample population. The most
mentioned option was dialogue in other words talks s it was mentioned by 42 % while arbitration
attracted the least percentage of the respondents at only 8 %. The meanings of the diplomatic
terms were explained to the respondents in the language they most understood for instance
Kiswahili and vernacular , and as result most the respondents believed that majorly dialogue
has been the norm since the conflict erupted. In deed, a respondent once said âI only saw James
Orengo and those officials from Uganda in a corner seriously conversingâ. Dialogue is simply
talk or conversation between two or more people discussing positions or beliefs especially
between groups to resolve a disagreement (The Free Dictionary, 2015).Negotiation which is
defined as process of achieving solutions through discussion between two parties. Some of the
respondents might have interchanged the two concepts namely dialogue and negotiation to mean
33%
17%
8%
42%
Diplomatic options
Negotiation
Mediation
Arbitration
Dialogue
57. 43
either because they have almost the same meanings, and this could explain the high percentages
of the two.
Findings of the study compare with the reviewed literature that highlighted the options that have
been employed so far in the following manner. According to Njoka (2013), his study sought to
identify the bilateral and multi- lateral steps that had been undertaken towards the settlement of
the dispute.
The bilaterally diplomatic negotiations undertaken had culminated in a number of ministerial and
technical meetings that had been held between the officials of the two countries. Some meetings
are discussed in the following section:
5.2 Dialogue
5.2.1 Kampala Bilateral talks
The first bilateral meeting at Ministerial level was held in Kampala, Uganda on 13
th
March2009.
The meeting agreed on the primary reference documents from their archives and colonial records
to be used, the withdrawal of security forces from the island, a joint boundary survey, stoppage
of harassment of fishermen and the enforcement of the Lake Victoria Fisheries Organization
(LVFO) fishing regulations. The agreed primary reference documents included the British Order
in Council of 1926, schedules to the Kenyan Constitution of 1963 and the Ugandan Constitution
of 1995.The joint boundary survey work was to be carried out and completed within two months
by May,2009. It was seen that the dispute settlement process was to be pursued within the
established framework of the EAC cooperation and the desired objective of regional integration
(GoK /GoU, Ministerial Bilateral Meeting of March 2009).
Despite the meeting held in Kampala many reports of continued harassment of fishermen and
rising tensions on Migingo Island emerged. As a result a joint Ministerial fact finding tour of
58. 44
Migingo was conducted on March 2009 and both delegations re-iterated their commitment to the
Kampala agreements. During this meeting Kenya demanded the immediate removal of the
Ugandan flag from the Island pending the determination of the ownership of the Island. Uganda
on her part pleaded for time to allow for further consultations before they could respond to
Kenyaâs demand. As a result of the first meeting unresolved dispute .The second meeting in
Kisumu took place.
5.2.2 Kisumu Technical Officersâ meeting
After the talks in Uganda technical meetings were held separately for surveyors and the police.
The Police Chiefs held their meeting in Kampala on April 2009 and agreed on the deployment of
security personnel (GoK/GoU., Joint Technical Officers Report held in Kisumu on 7th
2009).
The surveyors meeting was held in Kisumu on 7
th
- 8
th
May 2009 and the meeting agreed on the
surveying methodologies and modalities. Currently, Kenya and Uganda are collaborating in
policing the island.
5.3 Negotiation
5.3.1 Bilateral Ministerial meeting over the launch of border survey in Migingo Island
This was a bilateral ministerial meeting held on 11
th
May 2009.This was a follow up of the
Kampala, Lusaka and Arusha meetings, the latter two meetings were held on the margins of a
SADC and EAC Summit meetings respectively, held between the two Heads of State. The
bilateral meeting was also used to launch the survey of the KenyaâUganda border in Lake
Victoria.
The meeting concluded that the âsurvey shall be guided by the following documents,1926
Order in Council,1963 Kenya Constitution,1995 Uganda Constitution and any other relevant
60. 46
5.5 Summary
The negotiations helped to calm down the tense situation and led to the constitution of a
technical survey team to survey the two countries international boundary which started and later
stalled. Multi laterally not much has taken place other than the two side summit meetings held
during the AU meeting in Lusaka and the EAC meeting in Arusha both in 2009. It is therefore
evident that there were negligible multi lateral attempts towards the settlement of the dispute.
Bilaterally there were a series of diplomatic initiatives. The EAC emphasizes on the promotion
of peace, security and good neighborliness between partner States. The EAC provisions in the
treaty empower any partner state to refer issues with a bearing to the treaty to it. These
provisions provided an opportunity for Kenya and Uganda to lodge their dispute with the EAC.
From the findings it is evident that neither of the two states has referred the dispute anywhere for
arbitration.
61. 47
CHAPTER SIX
EFFECTIVENESS OF DIPLOMATIC OPTIONS IN RESOLVING THE MIGINGO
ISLAND CONFLICT
This chapter entails discussions and analysis of the effectiveness of the diplomatic options that
have so far been used in solving the Trans boundary conflict in Migingo, evidences of success
and diplomatic options available for the conflict management in Migingo.
6.1 Effectiveness of Diplomatic Options
The third objective was to evaluate effectiveness of diplomatic options in resolving Migingo
Trans boundary conflict and to adequately address this objective, the following research question
was formulated;
How effective are the diplomatic options in resolving the conflict?
The study sought to answer the above question by asking the respondents to record the level of
successes of the options they mentioned as having been employed in the objective two against
the option. On a scale of 1 to 5 with 1 very unsuccessful and 5 very successful the following
items in the questionnaires were analyzed and tabulated in the table 6.1.
62. 48
Table 6.1: Table Showing the Level of Success of the Diplomatic Options Employed
Source: Field data (2015)
Figure 6.1: The Level of Success of the Diplomatic Options Employed
Source: Field data, (2015)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
NEGOTIATIO
N
MEDIATION ARBITRATIO
N
DIALOGUE OTHERS
VERY SUCCESSFUL 33% 17% 0% 33% 17%
SUCCESSFULL 27% 0% 0% 64% 9%
NOT SURE 29% 29% 0% 43% 0%
UNSUCCESSFUL 40% 30% 0% 30% 0%
VERY UNSUCCESSFUL 50% 0% 0% 50% 0%
PERCENTAGES
The level Of Successofthe Diplomatic Options Employed
Option Very
successful (5)
Successful
(4)
Not sure(3) Unsuccessful(2) Very
unsuccessful(1)
f % f % f % f % f % Total
Negotiation 2 33 3 27 2 29 4 40 1 50
12
Dialogue 2 33 7 64 3 43 3 30 1 50 16
Arbitration 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0
Mediation 1 17 0 0 2 29 3.0 30 0 0
6
others 1 17 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Total 6 100 11 100 7 100 10 100 2 100 36
63. 49
The findings revealed that dialogue and negotiation were the most employed options in resolving
the conflict and their level of successes were found to be both 33 % very successful in resolving
the conflict. Their unsuccessfulness was mentioned by 50 % of the respondents or in other words
half of the respondents were not in agreement with the options as the best in solving the dispute.
Arbitration was not mentioned as an option and consequently it received the least percentage of
success of 0%.Generally, it is logical not to measure the success of what has not been employed
to examine a certain attribute. 6 respondents that mentioned mediation believed that it was 17 %
very successful. The respondents had earlier on mentioned EAC as the main actor that had tried
to settle the dispute.
The 2(5%) respondents who mentioned others suggested that the level of success of those other
options was 17 % very successful when compared with negotiation and dialogue that both stood
at 33 % success level. The âotherâ mentioned included joint border survey, military patrol in the
island .The low percentage of the âotherâ attribute could be attributed to the fact that most of the
patrols were done by the Ugandan government officials. The respondents claimed that they had
suffered harassment in fishing and doing business in Migingo Island.
6.2 Evidences of Successes
6.2.1 The Nature of Relationship among the Respondents in Migingo.
The respondents were asked to describe the relationship with their counterparts from a
neighboring country in the island. The responses were as shown table 6.2:
64. 50
Table 6.2: Table Showing the Relationships among the Respondents in Migingo
Relationship FREQUENCY %
Excellent 0 0
Very good 6 17
Good 7 19
Fair 10 28
bad 8 22
Very bad 5 14
TOTAL 36 100
Source: Field Data, (2015)
The findings revealed that 28 %of the respondents had fair relationship with their counter parts
from another country .They had remained unaffected sociologically and undisturbed by the
dispute in question. None of the respondents described their relationship as perfect and solid
while only 36 % explained that they were doing fine with their neighbors. Another 36 % of the
respondents indicated that they were not in good terms with their neighbors. The 28 % of the
respondents who suggested that their relationship was unaffected thought that the issue at hand is
a small matter that should not extend to their private and social lives with their neighbors. The
Kenyan fishermen were the most affected since a good number of them responded that they
hated their neighbors because they had overstepped their borders and were reaping from their
side. Another reason for the negative relationship was the constant harassment and disturbance
by the beach officials and the police officers keeping peace in the island.
The above findings proved that the options employed are yet to deliver results or have almost
failed to bring peace and settle the dispute in the island. At the inter-state relations, Kenyans are
65. 51
normally viewed with negative connotations and this may have heightened the tense relationship
witnessed in Migingo.
Past researches on the dispute on the island had shown that the impact of the dispute has taken
toll on the fishermen, traders and even diplomats of both governments. The relationship between
the Kenyan and the Ugandan government appears not have been disturbed, but issues can
develop into mega issues that can prove an uphill task to resolve amicably.
6.2.2 The Kenyan-Uganda border in Lake Victoria.
To further ascertain the success of the diplomatic options employed, the residents were asked to
suggest whether the Migingo Island was in Kenya or Uganda .The following responses were
obtained.81 % (29 respondents) suggested that Migingo was in deed in Kenya while the rest
(19%) said that the island is Ugandan. The study also revealed that most of those polled from
Kenya said that the island was Kenyan; majority of Ugandans said it belonged to them and one
Ugandan interestingly disagreed with his fellows and said it was Kenyan.
The above line of thinking can be traced from our political leadersâ opinions. Majority of citizens
in a nation like Kenya or Uganda tend to align their thinking in the same way just like the
politicians. Nationalism could also be a driving factor in the way the people responded.
Evidences from the British (the colonizer of both nations) archives, famously the 1926 Order in
council and the constitution of Uganda second schedule state the following:
âCommencing in the waters of Lake Victoria on a parallel 18 south latitude, at the point
due south of the westernmost point of Pyramid Island; thence the boundary follows a
straight line due north to that point; thence continuing by a straight line, still northerly to
the most westerly point of Ilemba Island; thence by a straight line, still northerly, to the
66. 52
most westerly point of Kiringiti Island; thence by a straight line, still northerly, to the
most westerly point of Mageta Island; thence by a straight line north-westerly to the most
southerly point of Sumba Island; thence by the south-western and western shores of that
island to its most northerly point; thence by a straight line north-easterly to the centre of
the mouth of the Sio Riverâ
Figure 6.2 illustrates some of the specifications mainly at the westernmost part of Pyramid
Island.
Figure 6.2: The Location of Migingo Island by satellite image
Source: en.wikipenda.org/wiki/Migingo Island (2015)
67. 53
6.3 The Diplomatic Options Available to Resolve the Migingo Island Trans Boundary
Dispute
The study sought to find answers to the problem that is threatening Kenyaâs relations with
Uganda (a one time largest trading partner with Kenya) over the ownership of the disputed
island.
The findings revealed that47% of the respondents suggested mediation,23% supported ongoing
negotiations,some12 % mentioned arbitration, 14 % of the sample stated that the island be
declared a no manâs land and only 5% said that respondents should just accommodate each other
and the rest the case. In other words, the latter meant that the matter be left as it is because it has
no major impact on the part of the citizens of the two nations. Those respondents who mentioned
mediation suggested that the EAC should play the role of the mediator .The AU and the UN were
also part of the mediators adversely mentioned.
Some studies, however, revealed otherwise in the management of border disputes in Africa.
According to Mnjama (2012), border disputes in West Africa have been common but most of
them have been settled amicably. Below is figure 6.3 showing the options that solved the dispute.
68. 54
Source : Kornprobst (2002)
Conflicting
States
Disputed Border Years Conflict
Management
Liberia
-Guinea
Mount Nimba
region
1958-1960 Negotiations led to
Agreement
Mali -
Mauritania
(a) Hodh desert
border; 1958±63
Negotiations lead to
agreement
(b) Savannah
region in Djel
Mael
1958-63 Negotiations led to
agreement
Liberia âCote dâivoire Ewe-inhabited area
of Ghana
1960-1975 Negotiations led to
disengagement.
Figure 6.3: The Diplomatic Options and the Conflict They Resolved