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M A N A G I N G H U M A N C A P I T A L I N O I L & G A S
T H R I V I N G
I N A
R E B A L A N C E
E R A
ME RCE R E NE RG Y
2 0 1 5 O V E R V I E W A N D F O R W A R D O U T L O O K
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 2
IN 2015 A MARKET DISRUPTION
OCCURRED LIKE NO OTHER
O&G HR LEADERS RESPONDED,
BUT AT WHAT LONG-TERM COST
ENTER THE ERA OF
REBALANCING BUSINESS
PORTFOLIOS, HUMAN CAPITAL
STRATEGIES, AND HUMAN
RESOURCE DELIVERY MODELS
INTRODUCTION
Throughout 2015, Mercer conducted a
detailed examination of the human capital
strategies, tactics, and actions utilized by
O&G companies to address the market
disruption. The analysis looked to
understand five core questions.
 How did HR leaders respond to the
disruption?
 Were those responses effective?
 What are the human capital challenges
in the future?
 What responses did HR leaders offer to
address future challenges?
 What strategies should HR leaders
utilize to meet those future challenges?
• Experiences from our global,
650-plus community of energy
consultants
• Global labor market analysis for
the entire value chain
• Three-part, detailed survey with
HR leaders from more than 250
O&G companies around the
world
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 3
MERCER’S INSIGHTS INFORMED BY REAL-WORLD EXPERIENCES
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 4
2015 O&G PROJECTS OVERVIEW
• 550 clients across 40 countries
• 2,055 unique projects
• averaging ~4 projects per client
• Project types
− 20 M&A
− 367 health & benefits
− 83 investments
− 621 retirement
− 964 talent
BUSINESS CONTEXT – A MARKET IN DISRUPTION
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 5
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
1/16/2015
2/15/2015
3/17/2015
4/16/2015
5/16/2015
6/15/2015
7/15/2015
8/14/2015
9/13/2015
10/13/2015
11/12/2015
12/12/2015
UPSTREAM
S&P Oil and Gas E&P Select Index
Performance
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
1/26/2015
2/25/2015
3/27/2015
4/26/2015
5/26/2015
6/25/2015
7/25/2015
8/24/2015
9/23/2015
10/23/2015
11/22/2015
12/22/2015
MIDSTREAM
Alerian MLP Index
ClosePrice
DOWNSTREAM
Refining annual margins
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
$/bbl gross margin $/bbl Brent-WTI spread
Services
Oil field services revenue by quarter
OIL & GAS NOVATIONS
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 6
Throughout 2015 we witnessed complete novations (the substitution of a
new obligation for an old one) in terms of business direction, portfolio,
investment patterns, priorities, core competencies, and the resulting
requirements for HR, individual employees, and the organization at large.
HYPER GROWTH COST CUTTING BUILD DOWN
TRANSFORMATION /
OPTIMIZATION
BUILD UP RETURN TO GROWTH
RESPONSE TO MARKET DISRUPTION
2015
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 7 Mercer 2015 O&G Market Disruption Survey
IMPACT OF HEADCOUNT REDUCTIONS IN 2015
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 8
TWO CONDITIONS / THEMES FOR SUCCESS
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 9
1. HR and business leadership collaborated
on the best set of actions and those actions
were staged across three or more ‘rounds’
of cost-management efforts.
2. Actions were most effective when they were
taken with deep understanding of the
current environment, and considering the
future business growth and potential
portfolio rebalance scenarios.
HOW WILL O&G HR LEADERS ADDRESS FUTURE CHALLENGES
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 10
Mercer 2015 O&G Market Disruption Survey
1
3
2
4
5
1
THREE CENTRAL THEMES GUIDE HR’S FORWARD AGENDA
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 11
The first includes priorities of developing strategic workforce plans
leveraging analytics; developing a renewed total rewards program; and
assessing and reshaping the employee value proposition.
The second theme falls squarely within the space of HR governance, where
respondents prioritize reshaping HR service delivery and measuring the
effectiveness of HR investments.
Respondents also placed a great deal of importance on optimizing
employee engagement and enhancing leadership capability.
Interestingly, respondents placed essentially equal weight on these two
priorities, supporting Mercer’s research that leadership effectiveness is a core
driver of a highly engaged workforce.
1
2
3
Respondents overwhelmingly intend to focus on building internal capability and
further optimizing their organizations to operate in a sustained low-price
environment. These actions coincide with the current industry call for “lean” while
driving for step-change improvements in operational productivity.
THE VALUE OF WORKFORCE PLANNING
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 12
The workforce plan is the one of the cornerstones of effective human capital
management, helping to ensure that HR strategies deliver on business goals and
requirements. For companies hoping to survive and remain competitive in the current
market, building workforce planning capability is now more important than ever.
ENTER THE REBALANCE ERA
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 13
FUNDAMENTAL WORKFORCE CHALLENGES FACING O&G
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 14
1 | DEMOGRAPHIC IMBALANCES
2 | SHORTAGE OF SKILLED WORKERS
3 | TIME TO PROFICIENCY
DEMOGRAPHIC IMBALANCES
REGIONAL PROFILES 2014
• Both present and forward
challenges
• These challenges will be
compounded for companies that
acquire talent only within a single
region
• Projecting retirements to 2020,
Europe will lose 18% of its
overall workforce and 20% of
geoscientists and engineers
while USA and Canada will lose
46% of workers ages 50+ equal
to 570,965 person-years of
experience leaving the sector by
2020
• Leveraging the available talent of
one region to balance the needs
of another region will challenge
companies as they seek to
embrace mobility and manage a
more diverse workforce
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 15
Mercer 2015 O&G Talent Outlook
TALENT SHORTAGE FOR CRITICAL ROLES
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
• As the sector aggressively shed
headcount in 2015, and
continues down that path in early
2016, it is understandably difficult
to accept that there is a global
talent shortage of critical roles
across the O&G sector
• Mercer’s Oil and Gas Talent
Outlook 2015–2025 of 10 critical
roles in O&G projected to 2025
reveals a substantial shortage of
six critical positions, short-to-
balanced in three and a potential
surplus in only one critical role
• Those countries with surplus
simply do not have the supply to
fulfill the demand requirements of
the world’s operations
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 16
Mercer 2015 O&G Talent Outlook
TIME TO PROFICIENCY
DEVELOPING EXPERTISE IN KEY
FUNCTIONS • This gap risk compounds when
the time to proficiency and
expertise for key functions is
taken into account
• Value-driving roles such as
engineer and geoscientist take a
decade to develop to a
proficiency level and decades to
develop to an expert level
• As HR leaders consider and plan
their workforce of the future,
building capability becomes a
core driver of future success
• Accelerating the velocity of
development – without
compromising quality – becomes
a mandate for all organizations
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 17
Mercer 2015 O&G Talent Outlook
MERCER’S TALENT CONTINUUM
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 18
• The holistic nature of the
continuum ensures that leaders
think past singular programs in
isolation, and move towards a
systems thinking perspective.
• The Continuum provides a
pathway for current-state
analysis and diagnosis, and a
framework for developing the
unique approach for human-
capital management required to
enhance individual,
organizational, and thus
enterprise-wide vibrancy and
performance.
ADVANCES IN WORKFORCE PLANNING
AND MODELING
LEVERAGE AN ELASTIC WORKFORCE
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 19
• Elasticity enables dynamic
responsiveness to the market
peaks and valleys
• In order to create an elastic
workforce, organizations must
first identify the core set of critical
skills and employee staff
requirements necessary to
deliver the base business model
• The workforce supplement to the
core is considered the elastic
workforce. This is the staffing
level optimal for the conditional
market environment ahead
• An elastic workforce allows the
core base business the ability to
efficiently and effectively flex the
staffing levels for growth and
contraction as necessary
BUSINESS PRIORITIES TO THRIVE IN A ‘LOWER FOR LONGER’
O&G ENVIRONMENT …
… AND THESE ARE THE SAME PRIORITIES HR MANAGEMENT NEEDS
TO GUIDE THEIR CHANGE STRATEGY AND CONTRIBUTION TO THE
ENTERPRISE
“LEAN”
OPERATING
MODEL
Increase scalable
delivery
Improve asset
performance
Reduce risk
volatility
Reduce
operating costs
Contain future
costs
Increase free
cash flow
Reduce balance
sheet liabilities
Redesign the
portfolio
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 20
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 21
THRIVING
IN A
REBALANCE
ERA
Thank you!
John Koob, Partner
Global Oil & Gas Industry Segment Leader
Mercer Energy
500 Dallas Street, Suite 1400, Houston, TX 77002, USA
+1 713 276 2137 | Mobile +1 713 376 7139
john.koob@mercer.com
THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 22
 HOW DID HR LEADERS RESPOND TO THE
DISRUPTION?
 WERE THOSE RESPONSES EFFECTIVE?
 WHAT ARE THE HUMAN CAPITAL CHALLENGES
IN THE FUTURE?
 WHAT STRATEGIES SHOULD HR LEADERS
UTILIZE TO MEET THOSE FUTURE
CHALLENGES?

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Workforce Sustainability - Building a Thriving Workforce in a Rebalance Era

  • 1. M A N A G I N G H U M A N C A P I T A L I N O I L & G A S T H R I V I N G I N A R E B A L A N C E E R A ME RCE R E NE RG Y 2 0 1 5 O V E R V I E W A N D F O R W A R D O U T L O O K
  • 2. THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 2 IN 2015 A MARKET DISRUPTION OCCURRED LIKE NO OTHER O&G HR LEADERS RESPONDED, BUT AT WHAT LONG-TERM COST ENTER THE ERA OF REBALANCING BUSINESS PORTFOLIOS, HUMAN CAPITAL STRATEGIES, AND HUMAN RESOURCE DELIVERY MODELS
  • 3. INTRODUCTION Throughout 2015, Mercer conducted a detailed examination of the human capital strategies, tactics, and actions utilized by O&G companies to address the market disruption. The analysis looked to understand five core questions.  How did HR leaders respond to the disruption?  Were those responses effective?  What are the human capital challenges in the future?  What responses did HR leaders offer to address future challenges?  What strategies should HR leaders utilize to meet those future challenges? • Experiences from our global, 650-plus community of energy consultants • Global labor market analysis for the entire value chain • Three-part, detailed survey with HR leaders from more than 250 O&G companies around the world THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 3
  • 4. MERCER’S INSIGHTS INFORMED BY REAL-WORLD EXPERIENCES THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 4 2015 O&G PROJECTS OVERVIEW • 550 clients across 40 countries • 2,055 unique projects • averaging ~4 projects per client • Project types − 20 M&A − 367 health & benefits − 83 investments − 621 retirement − 964 talent
  • 5. BUSINESS CONTEXT – A MARKET IN DISRUPTION THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 5 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 1/16/2015 2/15/2015 3/17/2015 4/16/2015 5/16/2015 6/15/2015 7/15/2015 8/14/2015 9/13/2015 10/13/2015 11/12/2015 12/12/2015 UPSTREAM S&P Oil and Gas E&P Select Index Performance $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 1/26/2015 2/25/2015 3/27/2015 4/26/2015 5/26/2015 6/25/2015 7/25/2015 8/24/2015 9/23/2015 10/23/2015 11/22/2015 12/22/2015 MIDSTREAM Alerian MLP Index ClosePrice DOWNSTREAM Refining annual margins 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 $/bbl gross margin $/bbl Brent-WTI spread Services Oil field services revenue by quarter
  • 6. OIL & GAS NOVATIONS THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 6 Throughout 2015 we witnessed complete novations (the substitution of a new obligation for an old one) in terms of business direction, portfolio, investment patterns, priorities, core competencies, and the resulting requirements for HR, individual employees, and the organization at large. HYPER GROWTH COST CUTTING BUILD DOWN TRANSFORMATION / OPTIMIZATION BUILD UP RETURN TO GROWTH
  • 7. RESPONSE TO MARKET DISRUPTION 2015 THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 7 Mercer 2015 O&G Market Disruption Survey
  • 8. IMPACT OF HEADCOUNT REDUCTIONS IN 2015 THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 8
  • 9. TWO CONDITIONS / THEMES FOR SUCCESS THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 9 1. HR and business leadership collaborated on the best set of actions and those actions were staged across three or more ‘rounds’ of cost-management efforts. 2. Actions were most effective when they were taken with deep understanding of the current environment, and considering the future business growth and potential portfolio rebalance scenarios.
  • 10. HOW WILL O&G HR LEADERS ADDRESS FUTURE CHALLENGES THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 10 Mercer 2015 O&G Market Disruption Survey 1 3 2 4 5 1
  • 11. THREE CENTRAL THEMES GUIDE HR’S FORWARD AGENDA THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 11 The first includes priorities of developing strategic workforce plans leveraging analytics; developing a renewed total rewards program; and assessing and reshaping the employee value proposition. The second theme falls squarely within the space of HR governance, where respondents prioritize reshaping HR service delivery and measuring the effectiveness of HR investments. Respondents also placed a great deal of importance on optimizing employee engagement and enhancing leadership capability. Interestingly, respondents placed essentially equal weight on these two priorities, supporting Mercer’s research that leadership effectiveness is a core driver of a highly engaged workforce. 1 2 3 Respondents overwhelmingly intend to focus on building internal capability and further optimizing their organizations to operate in a sustained low-price environment. These actions coincide with the current industry call for “lean” while driving for step-change improvements in operational productivity.
  • 12. THE VALUE OF WORKFORCE PLANNING THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 12 The workforce plan is the one of the cornerstones of effective human capital management, helping to ensure that HR strategies deliver on business goals and requirements. For companies hoping to survive and remain competitive in the current market, building workforce planning capability is now more important than ever.
  • 13. ENTER THE REBALANCE ERA THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 13
  • 14. FUNDAMENTAL WORKFORCE CHALLENGES FACING O&G THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 14 1 | DEMOGRAPHIC IMBALANCES 2 | SHORTAGE OF SKILLED WORKERS 3 | TIME TO PROFICIENCY
  • 15. DEMOGRAPHIC IMBALANCES REGIONAL PROFILES 2014 • Both present and forward challenges • These challenges will be compounded for companies that acquire talent only within a single region • Projecting retirements to 2020, Europe will lose 18% of its overall workforce and 20% of geoscientists and engineers while USA and Canada will lose 46% of workers ages 50+ equal to 570,965 person-years of experience leaving the sector by 2020 • Leveraging the available talent of one region to balance the needs of another region will challenge companies as they seek to embrace mobility and manage a more diverse workforce THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 15 Mercer 2015 O&G Talent Outlook
  • 16. TALENT SHORTAGE FOR CRITICAL ROLES SUPPLY AND DEMAND • As the sector aggressively shed headcount in 2015, and continues down that path in early 2016, it is understandably difficult to accept that there is a global talent shortage of critical roles across the O&G sector • Mercer’s Oil and Gas Talent Outlook 2015–2025 of 10 critical roles in O&G projected to 2025 reveals a substantial shortage of six critical positions, short-to- balanced in three and a potential surplus in only one critical role • Those countries with surplus simply do not have the supply to fulfill the demand requirements of the world’s operations THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 16 Mercer 2015 O&G Talent Outlook
  • 17. TIME TO PROFICIENCY DEVELOPING EXPERTISE IN KEY FUNCTIONS • This gap risk compounds when the time to proficiency and expertise for key functions is taken into account • Value-driving roles such as engineer and geoscientist take a decade to develop to a proficiency level and decades to develop to an expert level • As HR leaders consider and plan their workforce of the future, building capability becomes a core driver of future success • Accelerating the velocity of development – without compromising quality – becomes a mandate for all organizations THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 17 Mercer 2015 O&G Talent Outlook
  • 18. MERCER’S TALENT CONTINUUM THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 18 • The holistic nature of the continuum ensures that leaders think past singular programs in isolation, and move towards a systems thinking perspective. • The Continuum provides a pathway for current-state analysis and diagnosis, and a framework for developing the unique approach for human- capital management required to enhance individual, organizational, and thus enterprise-wide vibrancy and performance.
  • 19. ADVANCES IN WORKFORCE PLANNING AND MODELING LEVERAGE AN ELASTIC WORKFORCE THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 19 • Elasticity enables dynamic responsiveness to the market peaks and valleys • In order to create an elastic workforce, organizations must first identify the core set of critical skills and employee staff requirements necessary to deliver the base business model • The workforce supplement to the core is considered the elastic workforce. This is the staffing level optimal for the conditional market environment ahead • An elastic workforce allows the core base business the ability to efficiently and effectively flex the staffing levels for growth and contraction as necessary
  • 20. BUSINESS PRIORITIES TO THRIVE IN A ‘LOWER FOR LONGER’ O&G ENVIRONMENT … … AND THESE ARE THE SAME PRIORITIES HR MANAGEMENT NEEDS TO GUIDE THEIR CHANGE STRATEGY AND CONTRIBUTION TO THE ENTERPRISE “LEAN” OPERATING MODEL Increase scalable delivery Improve asset performance Reduce risk volatility Reduce operating costs Contain future costs Increase free cash flow Reduce balance sheet liabilities Redesign the portfolio THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 20
  • 21. THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 21 THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA Thank you! John Koob, Partner Global Oil & Gas Industry Segment Leader Mercer Energy 500 Dallas Street, Suite 1400, Houston, TX 77002, USA +1 713 276 2137 | Mobile +1 713 376 7139 john.koob@mercer.com
  • 22. THRIVING IN A REBALANCE ERA | 22  HOW DID HR LEADERS RESPOND TO THE DISRUPTION?  WERE THOSE RESPONSES EFFECTIVE?  WHAT ARE THE HUMAN CAPITAL CHALLENGES IN THE FUTURE?  WHAT STRATEGIES SHOULD HR LEADERS UTILIZE TO MEET THOSE FUTURE CHALLENGES?