A presentation that I was paid to give in the Netherlands in 2000. I came across it when I imported an archive from an external drive. As a futurist I'm intrigued by what I said in the past.

1. The War for Talent A Big Picture MCS Alumni Social Event Kasteel Montfoort te Montfoort 23 november 2000 Stuart Harris

2. Three Eras of Prosperity Three Drivers

3. 1492 - 1950 Land and Raw Materials

4. 1950-2000 Open Markets ECSC EFTA WTO NAFTA MERCOSUR COMECON EC EEC EU GATT

5. 21st century People Talent

6. Capital thinking

8. A brief history of Talent Six obols = one drachma two drachmae = one stater 50 staters to one mna 60 mnae to one talent Parable of the Talents Hollywood studio system

9. Case history: Hollywood 1 Talent = $20 million

10. Case history: Football $50 million

11. Reports from the front

12. NL Talent War front 35% for foreigners Recruiting everywhere Cinema, TV, Print, Abris, Posters, Web But still 200 000 unfilled vacancies in NL

13. Global Talent War front 9500 U.S. Corporate headhunters = 45% growth in three years 1.6 million new ICT vacancies in U.S. in 2001 - half won’t get filled Ireland - headhunting 200 000 people Boo.com bar 70% substantial difficulty recruiting skilled staff. “The Technology Race” PWC European online recruitment 75 mln euros in 1999 to 1.2 billion euros in 2004 = 18.5 percent of total recruitment spending. Source: MSDW

14. What’s changed?

15. Employer-Employee Relations Decline in manufacturing No more jobs for life Downsizing Eat Me Mobility Bottom Line Paradigm Brains + ICT = employee power

19. Acceleration Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

20. Implications of the War for Talent

21. Corporate Squeeze Must Increase Shareholder Value Competitive Pressures Must pay more for Talent Profits Profits

22. Dividing up the cake Who creates value? How much of it can they claim? Executives? Board-level executives? Staff? Entrepreneurs? Investors? The Corporation? Distribution channels? Headhunters Agents

23. Widening wealth gap “ Feed the eagles, starve the turkeys” Alan Seiler, U.S. Executive Headhunter

24. Location matters vs

26. Some strategies

28. Brand appeal strategy Apple Ireland California “ Cool” Britannia Silicon Valley Australia Netherlands GE

29. The Ajax strategy

32. What next?