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Telework:
Who, What, Where & Why Not?
!

Kate Lister, Tom Harnish
    Based on The State of Telework, a whitepaper sponsored by New Ways of Working

    !

                                               © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Telework Research Network

     Research cited in dozens of publications




                             © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
VARIABLES
✓ Total # of employees
         ✓ % Reduction in absences
✓ Current # of Teleworkers
 ✓ % turnover
✓ Days/week of telework
        ✓ % Retention
✓ Additional teleworkers
       ✓ Productivity
✓ Roundtrip miles to work
      ✓ Average annual earnings
✓ Roundtrip commute time
 ✓ Other company savings 
✓ Other employee Savings
 ✓ % Who could work at home
✓ $/gallon of gas
              ✓ % Who want to telework
✓ % teleworker offices that      ✓ % Daily travel reduction
are eliminated
                 ✓ Parking, Food, Clothes
✓ Cost/kWh of electricity
      ✓ Other Individual Savings
✓ Cost/office
                   ✓ Day Care Costs
✓ Cost of losing an employee
 !
✓ Cost of absences


                                             © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
How Many?


Ø    Is it 3 million?


Ø    Is it 16 million?


Ø    Is it 35 or 70 million?


                            © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Who Do You
Count?
Ø    After Hours Work?
Ø    Plumber?
Ø    Home Business?
Ø    Unpaid Family?
Ø    Road Warrior?
Ø    Ad Hoc?


          © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Who Cares?



Ø    Government Leaders


Ø    Business Leaders




                            © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Growth
                      30%

                             25%

                             20%

                             15%

                             10%

                              5%

                              0%
                                         2005
      2006
      2007
      2008
        2009
                              -5%

                             -10%
                                            US Workforce
    WAH
      Self Emp WAH


Five Year Growth (American Community Survey PUMS Data)
U.S. Workforce (non WAH, Non-Self)               
+4.3%
         
(117M to 122M)
Self Emp (non WAH)
      
           
           
-3.4%
        (14.1M to 13.6M)
Work at Home Emps (WAH)
                      
              
           
+61.1%         
 (1.8M to 2.9M)



                                                   © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
WAH BY Class of Worker
Who Do They Work For?
               WAH as a % of Workforce



     2.2M




   U.S. 2.3%     U.K. 4.9%              Canada 3.0%
                             © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Year Over Year Changes in Total and WAH by Employer Type
ALL
                         2006
       2007
       2008
       2009

 Private For-Profit 
       4.39%
      0.48%
      3.47%
      -4.85%

 Private Non-Profit
        3.60%
      2.41%
      8.52%
      0.35%

 Local government
         -0.32%
     0.35%
      5.56%
      -3.06%

 State government
         6.84%
      3.59%
      4.25%
      0.70%

 Federal government
       8.17%
      0.53%
      3.43%
      1.23%

WAH

 Private For-Profit
       16.65%
      9.62%
     15.06%
      3.04%

 Private Non-Profit
       37.68%
      3.94%
     10.35%
      9.07%

 Local government
        10.12%
      8.79%
     17.48%
      8.93%

 State government
        38.42%
     12.53%
     13.83%
      5.76%

 Federal government
     433.64%
      -8.86%
     7.23%
      -2.77%
WAH By Industry
       Agriculture, forestry, fishng and hunting
                                           Mining
                                          Utilities
                                    Construction
                                  Manufacturing
                                 Wholesale trade
                                     Retail trade
               Transportation and warehousing
                                     Information
                          Finance and insurance
                                     Real Estate
                              Rental and leasing
           Arts, entertainment, and recreation
 Professional, scientific, and technical services
   Management of companies and enterprises
                    Administrative and support
                             Waste Management
                            Educational services
             Health care and social assistance
           Arts, entertainment, and recreation
                                        Services
                                          Military
                                   Net Difference
                                                      -6%    -4%     -2%      0%     2%       4%      6%       8%




                                                       Less WAH Than General Pop   More WAH Than General Pop




                                                                     © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
WAH By Occupation




               © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
How Old?




            © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Education




             © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
How Much Do They Make?




              © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Where Do They Do It?




                © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Where Trend
Regions



                   Highest % WAH

               San Diego CA: 4.2%
                    Greatest Growth
                Atlanta GA: 3.4%
               San Fran. CA: 3.1%
                                             Lowest % WAH
                                                      Riverside CA: 25x
                 Seattle WA: 3%
                                                       Tampa FL: 18x
                                                       Salinas CA: 18x
     Detroit MI: 1.8%
               
                                                       Chicago IL: 14x
    Houston TX: 1.8%
                                                                           New York NY: 2.1%
                                                  
© 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
The 5% ‘Privilege’
            Number of Employees
                   Union vs. Non-Union
            Blue Collar vs. White Collar
               100+
             < 100
             Union
        Non-Union 
            Blue
           White
               7%
                4%
                1%
             5%
                 2%
              6%



                                                         Occupation

              Management,                                                   Natural Resources,     Production,
             Professional &                                                  Construction &        Transp., and
                Related
                Service
         Sales & Office
       Maintenance
        Material Moving
                  5%
                    4%
                  13%
                  9%
                 5%


                                                    Income Percentile
                        Lowest 25 Wage          Second 25             Third 25          Highest 25
                          Percentile
           Percentile
          Percentile
        Percentile
                               1%
                 3%
                    6%
              12%



Source: BLS 2010 Annual Compensation Survey
                     © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Training




Source: WorldatWork 2011 Telework Report
US Telework Potential
% of 2009 Non-Self Employed Population 
Sources: WorldatWork, Telework Research Network

                                                        Could, wants to,
                                                          but doesn’t
                                                             25%




         Incompatible
             49%


                                                                   WAH 1x mo
                                                                     13%




                                                         WAH 3-5x week
                                                              2%
                                           Doesn’t want to
                                               11%


                                          © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Who Could?
            19.0!
                                   15.7 !
                                                                12.7!


     7.2!                 6.7 !


                    .9!                       .9 !      .7 !




                            © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Let’s Pretend They Did?
                          
             Annual Savings with Half Time Telework
  Company Savings
             Assumption
   Per Person
               U.S.
     Real Estate
                 20%
         $3.4 K
                $170 B
     Productivity
                25%
         $9.2 K
                $467 B
Absenteeism / Turnover
        25% / 10%
      $.5 K
                 $27 B
         Total Company
                       $13.1 K
                $663 B


         Employee Savings
                          Per Person
                Time
                           2 to 3 workweeks
               Money
                             $2K to $6.8K


        Community Savings
                               Total
        Greenhouse Gases
                         9.3 million cars
                 Oil
                        46% Persian Gulf Imports
         Value of Oil Saved
                            $28 B
And Why the &^%! Not?
   Can you spell ‘t-r-u-s-t’?




                  © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
And Why the &^%! Not?

                Top Barriers to Telework!
       Management Resistance!     Job Incompatibility!




         38%!



                                                62%!




          Source: WorldatWork 2011 Telework Report



                                                       Telework Research Network
So, let’s talk
Inquiring Minds Want to Know:
  1.  Can Gartner, Forrester, and the others be wrong or is it me?

  2.  Have we reached a tipping point or the point of diminishing returns?

  3.  What might change the pace of growth?

  4.  What might slow it up?

  5.  What can industry, government, employees, advocacy groups do to
      influence adoption?

  6.  What are the national / cultural differences in motivations? Acceptance?

  7.  Technology—Are we really there?

  8.  Is there an optimal telework frequency?




                                          © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
Your thoughts?






                  © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
2. Can Gartner, Forrester, and the others be wrong?

Or is it me?


§    Are we going to see the majority of the workforce working at home by 2014?
      2015? So when?




                                                © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
3. Have we reached a tipping point or the point of diminishing
returns?


§  Best and brightest 

§  Privilege vs. business strategy

§  I want what she’s having

§  ???




                                       © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
4. What might change the pace of growth?


§  Pandemic

§  Disaster

§  Labor / Talent Shortages

§  Recession

§  National Policy

§  Openness 


§  ???




                                © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
5. What might slow it up?


§  Good economy

§  ???

§ 
6. How might we influence it?


§  Adopt EU Policy

§  DOT / EPA / COOP / DOL / DOE / CDC / ADA / NSA / DOD

§  SBA (Assistance, Loans, Web, SBIR)

§  Tax Incentives

§  Census / ACS

§  Telecommuter Tax Fairness

§  IRS – Home Office

§  Zoning, OSHA, ERISA, FSLA (State and Federal)

§  Fund H.R. 1722
7. What are the national / cultural differences in
motivations? acceptance?


 §    House size

 §    Working hours

 §    Education

 §    Workforce Migration

 §    Unemployment
                                     Examples: 
 §    Gov’t Mandates
                                     Prince Edward Island, Africa, Ireland,
 §    ???
                          China, Islam, Canada, UK

                                     Others?
8. Technology—Are we really there?


 §    Can you hear me now?

 §    Collaboration crashes

 §    Video—be very afraid

 §    Energy in the room

 §    Visual feedback (not just video)

 §    2-3 screens vs. iPhone / iPad

 §    True collaboration

 §    Cost

 §    ???
9. Is there an optimal number of telework frequency?


 §  Diminishing value vs. benefits?

 §  ??
Kate Lister
kate@teleworkresearchnetwork.com
Tom Harnish
tom@teleworkresearchnetwork.com

TeleworkResearchNetwork.com

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State of Telework in the U.S. (2011)

  • 1. Telework: Who, What, Where & Why Not? ! Kate Lister, Tom Harnish Based on The State of Telework, a whitepaper sponsored by New Ways of Working ! © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 2. Telework Research Network Research cited in dozens of publications © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 3. VARIABLES ✓ Total # of employees ✓ % Reduction in absences ✓ Current # of Teleworkers ✓ % turnover ✓ Days/week of telework ✓ % Retention ✓ Additional teleworkers ✓ Productivity ✓ Roundtrip miles to work ✓ Average annual earnings ✓ Roundtrip commute time ✓ Other company savings ✓ Other employee Savings ✓ % Who could work at home ✓ $/gallon of gas ✓ % Who want to telework ✓ % teleworker offices that ✓ % Daily travel reduction are eliminated ✓ Parking, Food, Clothes ✓ Cost/kWh of electricity ✓ Other Individual Savings ✓ Cost/office ✓ Day Care Costs ✓ Cost of losing an employee ! ✓ Cost of absences © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 4. How Many? Ø  Is it 3 million? Ø  Is it 16 million? Ø  Is it 35 or 70 million? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 5. Who Do You Count? Ø  After Hours Work? Ø  Plumber? Ø  Home Business? Ø  Unpaid Family? Ø  Road Warrior? Ø  Ad Hoc? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 6. Who Cares? Ø  Government Leaders Ø  Business Leaders © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 7. Growth 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -5% -10% US Workforce WAH Self Emp WAH Five Year Growth (American Community Survey PUMS Data) U.S. Workforce (non WAH, Non-Self) +4.3% (117M to 122M) Self Emp (non WAH) -3.4% (14.1M to 13.6M) Work at Home Emps (WAH) +61.1% (1.8M to 2.9M) © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 8. WAH BY Class of Worker
  • 9. Who Do They Work For? WAH as a % of Workforce 2.2M U.S. 2.3% U.K. 4.9% Canada 3.0% © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 10. Year Over Year Changes in Total and WAH by Employer Type ALL 2006 2007 2008 2009 Private For-Profit 4.39% 0.48% 3.47% -4.85% Private Non-Profit 3.60% 2.41% 8.52% 0.35% Local government -0.32% 0.35% 5.56% -3.06% State government 6.84% 3.59% 4.25% 0.70% Federal government 8.17% 0.53% 3.43% 1.23% WAH Private For-Profit 16.65% 9.62% 15.06% 3.04% Private Non-Profit 37.68% 3.94% 10.35% 9.07% Local government 10.12% 8.79% 17.48% 8.93% State government 38.42% 12.53% 13.83% 5.76% Federal government 433.64% -8.86% 7.23% -2.77%
  • 11. WAH By Industry Agriculture, forestry, fishng and hunting Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing Information Finance and insurance Real Estate Rental and leasing Arts, entertainment, and recreation Professional, scientific, and technical services Management of companies and enterprises Administrative and support Waste Management Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Services Military Net Difference -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% Less WAH Than General Pop More WAH Than General Pop © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 12. WAH By Occupation © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 13. How Old? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 14. Education © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 15. How Much Do They Make? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 16. Where Do They Do It? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 18. Regions Highest % WAH San Diego CA: 4.2% Greatest Growth Atlanta GA: 3.4% San Fran. CA: 3.1% Lowest % WAH Riverside CA: 25x Seattle WA: 3% Tampa FL: 18x Salinas CA: 18x Detroit MI: 1.8% Chicago IL: 14x Houston TX: 1.8% New York NY: 2.1% © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 19. The 5% ‘Privilege’ Number of Employees Union vs. Non-Union Blue Collar vs. White Collar  100+ < 100  Union Non-Union   Blue White 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 6% Occupation  Management, Natural Resources, Production, Professional & Construction & Transp., and Related  Service Sales & Office Maintenance Material Moving 5% 4% 13% 9% 5% Income Percentile  Lowest 25 Wage  Second 25 Third 25 Highest 25 Percentile Percentile Percentile Percentile 1% 3% 6% 12% Source: BLS 2010 Annual Compensation Survey © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 21. US Telework Potential % of 2009 Non-Self Employed Population Sources: WorldatWork, Telework Research Network Could, wants to, but doesn’t 25% Incompatible 49% WAH 1x mo 13% WAH 3-5x week 2% Doesn’t want to 11% © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 22. Who Could? 19.0! 15.7 ! 12.7! 7.2! 6.7 ! .9! .9 ! .7 ! © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 23. Let’s Pretend They Did? Annual Savings with Half Time Telework Company Savings Assumption Per Person U.S. Real Estate 20% $3.4 K $170 B Productivity 25% $9.2 K $467 B Absenteeism / Turnover 25% / 10% $.5 K $27 B Total Company $13.1 K $663 B Employee Savings Per Person Time 2 to 3 workweeks Money $2K to $6.8K Community Savings Total Greenhouse Gases 9.3 million cars Oil 46% Persian Gulf Imports Value of Oil Saved $28 B
  • 24. And Why the &^%! Not? Can you spell ‘t-r-u-s-t’? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 25. And Why the &^%! Not? Top Barriers to Telework! Management Resistance! Job Incompatibility! 38%! 62%! Source: WorldatWork 2011 Telework Report Telework Research Network
  • 27. Inquiring Minds Want to Know: 1.  Can Gartner, Forrester, and the others be wrong or is it me? 2.  Have we reached a tipping point or the point of diminishing returns? 3.  What might change the pace of growth? 4.  What might slow it up? 5.  What can industry, government, employees, advocacy groups do to influence adoption? 6.  What are the national / cultural differences in motivations? Acceptance? 7.  Technology—Are we really there? 8.  Is there an optimal telework frequency? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 28. Your thoughts? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 29. 2. Can Gartner, Forrester, and the others be wrong? Or is it me? §  Are we going to see the majority of the workforce working at home by 2014? 2015? So when? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 30. 3. Have we reached a tipping point or the point of diminishing returns? §  Best and brightest §  Privilege vs. business strategy §  I want what she’s having §  ??? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 31. 4. What might change the pace of growth? §  Pandemic §  Disaster §  Labor / Talent Shortages §  Recession §  National Policy §  Openness §  ??? © 2011 Telework Research Network, all rights reserved
  • 32. 5. What might slow it up? §  Good economy §  ??? § 
  • 33. 6. How might we influence it? §  Adopt EU Policy §  DOT / EPA / COOP / DOL / DOE / CDC / ADA / NSA / DOD §  SBA (Assistance, Loans, Web, SBIR) §  Tax Incentives §  Census / ACS §  Telecommuter Tax Fairness §  IRS – Home Office §  Zoning, OSHA, ERISA, FSLA (State and Federal) §  Fund H.R. 1722
  • 34. 7. What are the national / cultural differences in motivations? acceptance? §  House size §  Working hours §  Education §  Workforce Migration §  Unemployment Examples: §  Gov’t Mandates Prince Edward Island, Africa, Ireland, §  ??? China, Islam, Canada, UK Others?
  • 35. 8. Technology—Are we really there? §  Can you hear me now? §  Collaboration crashes §  Video—be very afraid §  Energy in the room §  Visual feedback (not just video) §  2-3 screens vs. iPhone / iPad §  True collaboration §  Cost §  ???
  • 36. 9. Is there an optimal number of telework frequency? §  Diminishing value vs. benefits? §  ??