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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT SEPTEMBER 30 2021
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30 September 2021
Daily Analysis Report
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar strengthens sharply against major peers, Asian stock markets in green, gold hovers around $1,730 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand Building Consents stand at 3.8 pct vs 2.2 pct previous release.
• Japan Retail Sales stands at -3.2 pct vs -1.5 pct previous release.
• Japan Prelim Industrial Produc on stands at -3.2 pct vs -1.5 pct previous release.
• NZ business Confidence stands at -7.2 pct vs -6.8 pct previous release.
• China Manufacturing PMI stands at 49.6 pct vs 50.1 pct previous release.
• China Non Manufacturing PMI stands at 53.2 pct vs 47.5 pct previous release.
• China Caixin Manufacturing PMI stands at 50.0 pct vs 49.2 pct previous release.
• The U.S. Congress has just one days le before the federal government begins shu ng many of its opera ons unless Democrats manage to pass a bill
providing new funding for the fiscal year that begins on Friday – Reuters.
• President Joe Biden and his top aides pushed members of his own party to fund not just infrastructure but his broader agenda as talks over bills for both
intensified – Reuters.
• Wall Street ended firmer on Wednesday in a par al rebound from the previous day's broad sell-off, with remarks from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome
Powell and the ongoing debt ceiling debate keeping a lid on gains – Reuters.
• San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly on Wednesday said she feels the U.S. central bank will be able to begin reducing the pace of its
monthly asset purchases by year end, but believes an interest rate hike is s ll a "long way" away – Reuters.
• Poland sent over 100,000 doses of the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine to Egypt, the Polish foreign ministry said on Wednesday – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. Current Account, previous -12.8, expected -15.8 previous release.
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. Final GDP, previous 4.8, expected 4.8.
• (0645 GMT/1215 IST) France Consumer Spending, previous -2.2, expected 0.0.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) Swiss KOF Economic Barometer, previous 113.5, expected 110.3.
• (0755 GMT/1325 IST) German unemployment Change, previous -53K, expected -38K.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro unemployment Rate, previous 7.6, expected 7.5.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Final GDP q/q, previous 6.6, expected 6.6.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. unemployment Claims Weekly, previous 351K, expected 333K.
• (1345 GMT/1915 IST) U.S. Chicago PMI, previous 66.8, expected 64.9.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) Fed Chair Powell Tes mony.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.05% to 94.29 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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SEPTEMBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7215
R2 S2
0.7240
R3 S3
0.7255
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7290
Buy Above 0.7215
0.7240
0.7180
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7171
0.7148
0.7205
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: TheAussie spikes down sharply in earlyAsia and touches $0.7169 mark. It made intraday
high at $0.7205 and low at $0.7169 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bearish
trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7215 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7170 will check further supports.
0.7170
0.7140
0.7121
0.7100
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1637
R2 S2
1.1665
R3 S3
1.1690
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1720
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro weakens extremely and touches $1.1593 mark in opening hours. Today pair
made intraday high at $1.1608 and low at $1.1593. Today triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart
suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1637 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1590 on H1 chart will check further
supports.
EUR / USD
1.1580
1.1565
1.1532
1.1508
Buy Above 1.1630
1.1655
1.1605
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1590
1.1565
1.1621
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3490
R2 S2
1.3540
R3 S3
1.3555
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3590
Buy Above 1.3471
1.3500
1.3440
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3412
1.3373
1.3455
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling erases previous loss against U.S. dollar and trades marginally higher on
Thursday. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3457 and low at $1.3419 mark. A day chart and H1
chart with triple EMAsuggest bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above $1.3490 on H1
chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3415 will check further
supports.
USD
1.3415
1.3380
1.3365
1.3350
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2770
R2 S2
1.2798
R3 S3
1.2815
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2838
Buy Above 1.2760
1.2789
1.2727
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2721
1.2680
1.2756
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar falls sharply against U.S. dollar and remains well supported above
1.2700 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2763 and low at 1.2732 mark. Today a day chart and
H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests bullish trend for the time being. Asustained close above 1.2770 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2721 on H1 chart will
check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2721
1.2690
1.2665
1.2632
SEPTEMBER,
2021
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
112.02
R2 S2
112.32
R3 S3
112.70
R4
Commentary
S4
112.99
Buy Above 112.05
112.40
111.65
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 111.53
111.11
111.89
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen remains almost unchanged after retail sales and Prelim Industrial
Production results. The pair made intraday high at 112.00 and low at 111.79 mark. The triple EMAon a
day chart and H1 chart suggests bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 112.02 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 111.50 on H1 chart will
check further key supports.
USD /JPY
111.50
111.11
110.90
110.55
SEPTEMBER,
2021
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1737
R2 S2
1742
R3 S3
1748
R4
Commentary
S4
1754
Buy Above 1737
1742
1730
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1721
1715
1728
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold enjoys roller coaster movement and remains well supported below $1,750 mark.
Today pair made intraday high at $1,734 and low at $1,726 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,737 on H1 chart requires for the upside
rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,722 will check further supports. Important to note here that
Sept. 30 marks the end of the Federal Government’s fiscal year and the deadline for Congress to pass a
funding measure. The debt ceiling, which is the amount of money lawmakers authorize the Treasury
Department to borrow, must be suspended or raised by Oct. 18, according to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen,
or the U.S. likely will default on its debt.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1721
1715
1709
1702
SEPTEMBER,
2021
9. Thank
you!
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