The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX on September 17, 2021. It includes key headlines from global news sources on economic indicators and central bank comments. Technical analysis is given for several major currency pairs, including AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. Most pairs are shown to be in a downward trend on hourly charts based on moving averages and RSI indicators. Support and resistance levels are identified along with potential buy and sell trade ideas. Economic data releases for the day are also listed.

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17 September 2021
Daily Analysis Report

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Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar strengthened sharply against major peers a er robust U.S. Retail Sales Results, Asian stock markets mixed, gold recovers slightly from previous
losses and hovers around $1,760 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand Business Manufacturing Index stands at 40.1 vs 62.2 previous release.
• European Central Bank (ECB) chief economist Philip Lane revealed in a private mee ng with German economists that the ECB expects to hit its 2% infla on
goal by 2025, the Financial Times reported on Thursday – Reuters.
• It is perhaps as predictable as it is problema c: Within days of news that two Federal Reserve bank presidents had engaged in controversial stock trades, one
of the fiercest cri cs of the U.S. central bank's financial system oversight demands new ethics rules that would bar such dealings in the future – Reuters.
• The S&P 500 (.SPX) ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading a er unexpectedly strong retail sales data underscored the strength of the
U.S. economic recovery – Reuters.
• The dollar rose and hit its highest level in nearly three weeks against a basket of currencies on Thursday a er data showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly
increased in August, easing some concerns about a sharp slowdown in economic growth – Reuters.
• U.S. Gulf Coast crude oil exports are flowing again a er recent hurricanes took out 26 million barrels of offshore produc on, according to sources and Refini v
Eikon data, with local prices easing as more shipments moved out of the region – Reuters.
• The Italian government approved on Thursday some of the strictest an -COVID measures in the world, making it obligatory for all workers either to show
proof of vaccina on, a nega ve test or recent recovery from infec on – Reuters.
• The U.S. Food and Drug Administra on said on Thursday it has revised its emergency use authoriza on for Eli Lilly's COVID-19 an body cocktail to include for
use in pa ents who have been exposed to the virus and are at high risk for progression to severe disease – Reuters.
• U.S. President Joe Biden on Thursday directed his ire at the governors of Florida and Texas, accusing the Republican leaders of "doing everything they can to
undermine the life-saving requirements" he proposed to counter the spread of COVID-19 – Reuters.
• The United States is developing a "new system for interna onal travel" that will include contact tracing for when it eventually li s travel restric ons that bar
much of the world's popula on from entering the country – Reuters.
• New data from Moderna Inc's large COVID-19 vaccine trial shows that the protec on it offers wanes over me, suppor ng the case for booster doses, the
company said in a news release on Wednesday – Reuters.
• The European Commission launched on Thursday a health crisis body that will coordinate EU spending of almost 30 billion euros ($35.3 billion) to prepare for
a future pandemic – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. Retail Sales, previous -2.5, expected 0.5.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro Current Account, previous 21.8B, expected 22.3B.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. Consumer Infla on expecta ons, previous 2.4.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Final CPI, previous 2.2, expected 3.0.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Final Core CPI, previous 1.6, expected 1.6.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Prelim UoM Consumer Sen ment, previous 70.3, expected 71.9.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.07% to 92.87 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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SEPTEMBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7310
R2 S2
0.7350
R3 S3
0.7376
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7406
Buy Above 0.7310
0.7337
0.7275
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7270
0.7238
0.7301
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: TheAussie remains slightly volatile inAsian hours and hovers around $0.73 mark. It made
intraday high at $0.7297 and low at $0.7281 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests
bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above $0.7310 on H1 chart requires for the upside
rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7270 will check further supports.
0.7270
0.7240
0.7215
0.7182

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1780
R2 S2
1.1812
R3 S3
1.1840
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1876
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro weakened sharply in previous session on robust U.S. Retail Sales data and slips
below $1.1800 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1770 and low at $1.1758. Today triple EMA
on a day chart and H1 chart suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above
$1.1780 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1752 on
H1 chart will check further supports. Economic calendar is empty for the day.
EUR / USD
1.1750
1.1710
1.1686
1.1650
Buy Above 1.1782
1.1812
1.1758
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1750
1.1724
1.1774
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3806
R2 S2
1.3830
R3 S3
1.3876
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3901
Buy Above 1.3806
1.3838
1.3775
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3762
1.3735
1.3799
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling moves in stiff boundaries and spiked down sharply in previous session after
strong U.S. economic results. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3800 and low at $1.3776 mark. A
day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $1.3806 on H1 chart will check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3768
will check further supports.
USD
1.3755
1.3738
1.3710
1.3680
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
SEPTEMBER,
2021

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2685
R2 S2
1.2701
R3 S3
1.2727
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2758
Buy Above 1.2690
1.2720
1.2665
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2650
1.2622
1.2684
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar trades in narrow range and stabilizes above 1.2650 mark. The pair
made intraday high at 1.2690 and low at 1.2670 marks. Today a day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggests bullish trend for the time being.Asustained close above 1.2685 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2624 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2650
1.2624
1.2590
1.2570
SEPTEMBER,
2021

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
110.00
R2 S2
110.22
R3 S3
110.40
R4
Commentary
S4
110.65
Buy Above 110.00
110.22
109.75
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 109.62
109.40
109.90
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen falls gradually against U.S. dollar and touches 109.90 mark in early
Asia. The pair made intraday high at 109.91 and low at 109.66 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart is
flat and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above 109.90 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 109.62 on H1 chart will check
further key supports.
USD /JPY
109.62
109.38
109.10
108.82
SEPTEMBER,
2021

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1764
R2 S2
1772
R3 S3
1778
R4
Commentary
S4
1784
Buy Above 1764
1770
1757
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1751
1745
1758
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold spiked down drastically in previous session on strong U.S. Retail Sales data
and touched $1,745 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,759 and low at $1,752 mark. A day
chart and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above
$1,772 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,752 will
check further supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1752
1747
1741
1736
SEPTEMBER,
2021

9. Thank
you!
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