DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT JUNE 15 2022

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15 June 2022
Daily Analysis Report

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Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades almost flat against major peers ahead of U.S. FOMC Interest Rate Decision, Asian stock markets mixed, gold hovers around $1,815 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand Current Account stands at -6.14B vs -7.34B previous release.
• Japan Core Machinery Orders stand at 10.8 pct vs 7.1 pct previous release.
• Australia Westpac Consumer Sen ment stands at -4.5 pct vs -5.6 pct previous release.
• A protest planned by hundreds of bank depositors in central China seeking access to their frozen funds has been thwarted because the authori es have turned their health code
apps red, several depositors told Reuters – Reuters.
• U.S. small-business confidence edged down in May as worries about high infla on persisted, according to a survey on Tuesday, which also showed demand for labor remained strong
despite rising interest rates and ghter financial condi ons – Reuters.
• Nearly half of Japanese companies see the weak yen as bad for their business, a private survey showed on Tuesday, sugges ng the currency's recent sharp decline is hur ng business
sen ment and clouding the economic outlook – Reuters.
• The White House on Monday urged Britain and the European Union to return to talks to resolve differences over implementa on of the Northern Ireland Protocol, but said it does
not expect the issue to impede a U.S.-UK trade dialogue next week – Reuters.
• Russia's invasion of Ukraine will create a global wheat shortage for at least three seasons by keeping much of the Ukrainian crop from markets, pushing prices to record levels,
Ukraine's agriculture minister told Reuters – Reuters.
• Investors have drama cally upped their bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) rather than 50 bps on Wednesday, a swing in expecta ons
which has fuelled a violent selloff across world markets - Reuters.
• U.S. stock index futures pointed to a poten al rebound on Wall Street on Tuesday a er a sharp selloff in the previous session pushed the S&P 500 into bear market territory –
Reuters.
• China's army of small, privately owned oil refiners are raising output on hopes of recovering fuel demand as COVID-19 curbs ease and refining margins swell due to an increasing
supply of cheap Russian oil, traders and analysts said – Reuters.
• The Reserve Bank of New Zealand said on Tuesday that the first stage of the central bank's review on its liquidity policy had received broad support – Reuters.
• U.S. treasuries could see more non-Fed buyers over the remainder of this year and into 2023 to compensate for reduced purchases by the Federal Reserve – Reuters.
• Binance U.S. and its CEO were sued on Monday by a U.S. investor who alleges the cryptocurrency exchange falsely marketed Terra USD as a safe asset ahead of the so-called
stablecoin's collapse in value last month – Reuters.
• Morgan Stanley Chief Execu ve Officer James Gorman said on Monday that he thinks there is a roughly 50% chance that the U.S. economy will enter a recession – Reuters.
• Pfizer Inc said on Tuesday it would halt enrollment in a trial for its COVID-19 an viral drug, Paxlovid, in standard-risk pa ents a er a study revealed the treatment was not effec ve
in reducing symptoms in that group – Reuters.
• Advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administra on on Tuesday recommended the authoriza on of Moderna Inc's COVID-19 vaccine for children and teens aged 6 to 17 years of age –
Reuters.
• Moderna plans to invest around 500 million euros ($520.60 million) in a new laboratory in Spain to boost its produc on of vaccines, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said on
Tuesday – Reuters.
• The BA.4 and BA.5 sub-variants of Omicron are es mated to make up about 8.3% and 13.3% of the coronavirus variants in the United States as of June 11, the U.S. Centers for
Disease Control and Preven on (CDC) said on Tuesday - Reuters.
• Canada will suspend its requirement to be vaccinated against COVID-19 for domes c travel and to work in the civil service from June 20, the federal government said on Tuesday –
Reuters.
Key Economic Indicators Ahead:
• (0630 GMT/1200 IST) Swiss PPI, previous 1.3, expected 0.5.
• (0645 GMT/1215 IST) France Final CPI, previous 0.6, expected 0.6.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Industrial Produc on, previous -1.8, expected 0.5.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Trade Balance, previous -17.6B, expected -14.5B.
• (1215 GMT/1745 IST) Canada Housing Starts, previous 267K, expected 254K.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Retail Sales, previous 0.9, expected 0.1.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Core Retail Sales, previous 0.6, expected 0.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index, previous -11.6, expected 2.4.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Business Inventories, previous 2.0, expected 1.2.
• (1800 GMT/2330 IST) U.S. FOMC Interest Rate Decision, previous 1.00, expected 1.50.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) Swiss SECO Economic Forecasts.
• (1620 GMT/2150 IST) ECB President Lagarde Speaks.
• (1830 GMT/0000 IST) U.S. FOMC Press Conference.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.31% to 105.20 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.6930
R2 S2
0.6955
R3 S3
0.6978
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7002
Buy Above 0.6930
0.6971
0.6896
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.6881
0.6842
0.6920
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie strengthens noticeably on Wednesday as China released key economic data
with positive numbers and remains well supported above $0.6900 mark. Today pair made intraday
high at $0.6918 and low at $0.6866 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest bearish
trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.6930 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.6865 will check further supports.
0.6850
0.6821
0.6800
0.6776
JUNE,
2022

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.0460
R2 S2
1.0476
R3 S3
1.0499
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0526
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro starts a new day on a positive note and stabilizes above $1.0400 mark ahead of
EC president Lagarde’s speech. She is due to speak at the London School of Economics. The pair
made intraday high at $1.0451 and low at $1.0406 mark. Today triple EMAon a day chart and H1 chart
suggest down trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.0460 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.0400 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.0400
1.0384
1.0365
1.0330
Buy Above 1.0460
1.0500
1.0427
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.0396
1.0360
1.0427
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
JUNE,
2022

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2054
R2 S2
1.2082
R3 S3
1.2112
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2150
Buy Above 1.2055
1.2099
1.2010
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1989
1.1945
1.2030
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling depreciated sharply in previous session and hit lowest level since March
2020. U.K.’s Economic Calendar will remain silent for the day. Today pair made intraday high at
$1.2041 and low at $1.1989 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest down trend for
the time being. A sustained close above $1.2054 on H1 chart will check key resistances.
Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.1970 will check further supports.
USD
1.1970
1.1945
1.1927
1.1902
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
JUNE,
2022

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26 Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2970
R2 S2
1.3001
R3 S3
1.3026
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3058
Buy Above 1.2975
1.3022
1.2930
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2927
1.2880
1.2960
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD falls noticeably against U.S. dollar and hovers around 1.2950 mark. Today the
pair made intraday high at 1.2959 and low at 1.2931 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with triple
EMAsuggest bullish trend for the time being.Asustained close above 1.2970 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2930 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2930
1.2911
1.2889
1.2862
JUNE,
2022

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
135.32
R2 S2
135.62
R3 S3
135.93
R4
Commentary
S4
136.36
Buy Above 135.65
136.15
135.21
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 134.70
134.24
135.21
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades slightly higher on Wednesday on robust Core Machinery Orders
data and stabilizes above 135.00 mark. The pair made intraday high at 135.59 and low at 134.86
mark. The triple EMAon a day chart and H1 chart suggest bullish trend for the time being.Asustained
close above 135.56 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
134.70 on H1 chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
134.70
134.38
134.15
134.00
JUNE,
2022

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1822
R2 S2
1828
R3 S3
1832
R4
Commentary
S4
1838
Buy Above 1822
1831
1815
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1810
1801
1817
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold trades slightly higher ahead of U.S. Retail Sales and most awaited FOMC
Meeting. The pair made intraday high at $1,819 and low at $1,807 mark.Aday chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggest bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,822 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,806 on H1 chart will test further
supports.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1804
1798
1791
1784
JUNE,
2022

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you!
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