The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX including:
- Commentary on the weakening of the Australian dollar after mixed economic data from Australia.
- Overview of recent economic data from Japan, Australia, and upcoming data.
- Analysis of trends in major FX pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD against the US dollar.
- Pivot point levels and indicators are given for intraday trading of each pair.
1. Daily Analysis Report
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01 April, 2021
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Asian Bulle n: Aussie weakens sharply a er mixed economic results, most Asian stock markets in green, gold up
Key Headlines:
• Australia AIG manufacturing index stands at 59.9 vs 58.8 previous release.
• Japan Tankan manufacturing index stands at 5 vs -10 previous release (expected -1).
• Japan Tankan non manufacturing index stands at -1 vs -5 previous release (expected -4).
• Australia retail sales stands at -0.8 pct vs 0.3 pct previous release (expected -1.1).
• Australia trade balance stands at 7.53B vs 9.62B previous release (expected 9.95B).
• Japan final manufacturing PMI stands at 52.7 vs 52.0 previous release (expected 52.1).
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) Swiss CPI, previous 0.2, expected 0.4.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) Swiss retail sales, previous -0.5, expected 1.9.
• (0715 GMT/1245 IST) Spain manufacturing PMI, previous 52.9, expected 56.0.
• (0730 GMT/1300 IST) Swiss manufacturing PMI, previous 61.3, expected 64.4.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro final manufacturing PMI, previous 62.4, expected 62.4.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. final manufacturing PMI, previous 57.9, expected 57.9.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. unemployment claims weekly, previous 684K, expected 678K.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI, previous 60.8, expected 61.5.
Economic Events Ahead:
• All Day OPEC – JMMC Mee ngs.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.02% to 93.25 points.
3. AUD /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.7590 S1 0.7520
Buy Above 0.7590
0.7620
0.7550
0.7520
0.7490
0.7570
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.7620 S2 0.7500
R3 0.7670 S3 0.7450
R4 0.7692 S4 0.7400
Conclusion
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
APRIL,
Commentary
The Aussie spikes down extremely on Thursday after mixed economic data and touches
$0.7538 mark in Asian hours. It is the lowest level since Dec 23, 2020. Today triple EMA
with day and H1 chart confirm bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$0.7590 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$0.7500 will check further supports.
4. EUR / USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.1750 S1 1.1690
Buy Above 1.1750
1.1775
1.1700
1.1690
1.1665
1.1750
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.1780 S2 1.1676
R3 1.1834 S3 1.1648
R4 1.1862 S4 1.1620
Conclusion
Commentary
EUR/USD: The euro falls drastically against U.S. dollar and hovers around $1.17 mark.
The pair made intraday high at $1.1732 and low at $1.1713. Today triple EMA on a day
and H1 chart signal down trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1750 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1690 on
H1 will check further supports.
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5. GBP /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.3780 S1 1.3700
Buy Above 1.3800
1.3840
1.3750
1.3740
1.3700
1.3780
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.3800 S2 1.3670
R3 1.3843 S3 1.3648
R4 1.3880 S4 1.3610
Conclusion
Commentary
GBP/USD: The pound trades slightly lower on Thursday and currently stabilizes above
$1.3750 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.3790 and low at $1.3756 mark. A day
chart and H1 chart with triple EMA confirm slightly up trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $1.3800 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively,
current downside movement will drag the parity down below $1.3740 mark.
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6. USD /CAD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1.2640 S1 1.2570
Buy Above 1.2610
1.2640
1.2570
1.2560
1.2540
1.2610
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2667 S2 1.2550
R3 1.2690 S3 1.2520
R4 1.2722 S4 1.2500
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar depreciates against U.S. dollar and hovers around
1.2600 mark. A day chart is bearish in long run while H1 chart confirm up trend for the
time being. A sustained close above 1.2640 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2550 will check key supports too.
Trends Up Trend
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7. USD /JPY
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
R1 110.96 S1 110.50
Buy Above 110.96
111.26
110.50
110.40
110.10
110.96
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 111.44 S2 110.20
R3 111.72 S3 109.57
R4 112.10 S4 109.00
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen moves in rigid boundaries and remains well supported
below 111.00 mark. The pair made intraday high at 110.82 and low at 110.57 mark. The
triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart confirm bullish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above 110.96 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a
consistent close below 110.50 on H1 will check key supports.
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8. XAU /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
R1 1718 S1 1702
Buy Above 1715
1722
1708
1705
1698
1715
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1722 S2 1694
R3 1728 S3 1685
R4 1732 S4 1676
Conclusion
Commentary
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold recovers from previous losses and stabilizes back above
$1,700 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,715 and low at $1,705 mark. A day
chart with triple EMA confirm bearish trend while H1 chart with triple EMA confirm up
trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,715 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,702 will check further supports.
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9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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