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Financial Results Q2 2012

CEO Jouko Karvinen

20 July 2012
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts. including. without
limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth
and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”. “expects”. “anticipates”. “foresees”. or similar
expressions. are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates and
projections. they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from
those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include. but are not limited to: (1)
operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of
efficiencies therein. continued success of product development. acceptance of new products or services
by the Group’s targeted customers. success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements.
changes in business strategy or development plans or targets. changes in the degree of protection
created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights. the availability of capital on
acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions. such as strength of product demand. intensity of competition.
prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto.
price fluctuations in raw materials. financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the
Group. the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3)
general economic conditions. such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic
markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.




                                      Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                         2
Cash flow and liquidity improved



• Operational EBIT EUR 141 million

• Cash flow from operations EUR 246 million

• Strong liquidity at EUR 1 240 million




                           Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   3
Operational EBIT on the similar level as Q1 2012 as
anticipated




                    Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   4
Strategic investments to transform the Group




                   Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   5
35% personnel increase in growth markets
2007 –H1 2012




                   Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   6
Montes del Plata Pulp Mill


•   Montes del Plata pulp mill 1.3
    million tonnes annually

•   Approximately 60% of the
    construction work completed

•   Mill expected to start-up
    approximately mid-year 2013




                              Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   7
Timing of Strategic Projects




                                                                        Guangxi,
                                                                        China
                                                                        Pulp and Board
                                                                        mill, start-up
                                                                        Q4 2014


                                    Montes del Plata,
                   Ostroleka,       Uruguay
                   Poland           Pulp mill, start-up
                   Container        mid-year 2013
    Skoghall,      board
    Sweden         machine start-
    Investment     up
    start-up end   Q1 2013
    Q4 2012
                             Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012              8
Summary financials
  Q2 2012

                                                                                        Change %       Change %
EUR million                    Q2/2012                      Q1/2012         Q2/2011
                                                                                       Q2 12/Q2 11    Q2 12/Q1 12
Sales                           2 720.4                      2 673.3         2 817.1           -3.4              1.8
Operational EBITDA                 248.1                        262.1          357.6          -30.6             -5.3
Operational EBIT                   141.2                        147.4          239.1          -40.9             -4.2
Profit before tax. excl. NRI         31.8                       101.0          177.6          -82.1          -68.5
Profit before tax                    85.9                          89.9        145.9          -41.1             -4.4
EPS excl. NRI (EUR)                  0.02                          0.10         0.21          -90.5          -80.0
EPS (basic). EUR                     0.09                          0.09         0.17          -47.1                 -
Operational ROCE. %                     6.5                          6.8        10.9          -40.4             -4.4


Cash flow from operations          245.6                        223.7          207.2          18.5               9.8
Cash flow after investing
activities                           74.5                        111.4         110.8          -32.8          -33.1
Debt/equity                          0.54                          0.46         0.41          31.7              17.4



                                Financial results Q2 2012    20 July 2012                                   9
Net Financial Items

                                                                                                             Change %           Change %
EUR million                                          Q2/2012                   Q1/2012         Q2/2011
                                                                                                             Q212/Q211          Q212/Q112

Net interest expense                                        -42.0                      -37.7      -28.3               -48.4                  -11.4


Foreign exchange gains and losses                           -18.2                       8.0         -0.7               n/m                    n/m


Other financial items. of which                               -6.6                      -4.3        -5.6              -17.9                  -53.5
 PIK notes                                                      2.5                     2.0          1.9

 Fair valuation of interest rate derivatives*               -14.3                       -3.3        -3.3
 Fair valuation of long-term debt                             -0.3                      -0.5         0.4
 NewPage lease provision                                        9.5                    13.6             -
 Other items                                                  -4.0                     -16.1        -4.6


Total net financial items                                   -66.8                      -34.0      -34.6               -93.1                  -96.5
                                                                                               *Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives.



                                            Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                                                    10
Operational EBIT by segments

                                                                                        Change %     Change %
EUR million            Q2/2012                   Q1/2012                     Q2/2011
                                                                                        Q212/Q211    Q212/Q112

Printing and Reading       41.7                              67.3                72.2        -42.2            -38.0
 % of sales                 3.5                               5.5                 5.8        -39.7            -36.4
Biomaterials               14.7                               7.2                31.2        -52.9        104.2
 % of sales                 6.0                               3.0                11.6        -48.3        100.0
Building and Living        11.5                               9.8                35.2        -67.3            17.3
 % of sales                 2.6                               2.6                 7.6        -65.8             0.0
Renewable Packaging        72.5                              61.7                93.9        -22.8            17.5
 % of sales                 8.8                               7.9                11.3        -22.1            11.4
Other                       0.8                               1.4                 6.6        -87.9            -42.9
 % of sales                 0.1                               0.2                 0.9        -88.9            -50.0




                                 Financial results Q2 2012    20 July 2012                               11
Western European paper* demand 2006 – 2012/May
Seasonally adjusted




                                                                 * Paper: News, UMO, UMI, SC, CM, WFC & WFU
                                                                 Source: EuroGraph & PPPC

                      Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                                                12
Corrugated packaging growth - Eastern Europe and
Asia
                                                                                         CAGR
                                                                                         4.4%

                                                     CAGR                     CAGR
                 CAGR                                1.0%                     4.1%
                 0.5%



                                                   Western                    Eastern
                                                   Europe                     Europe
                  North
                 America

                           CAGR                                      CAGR
                           2,7 %                                     4.3%
                                                                                          Asia
2010-2020
Million tonnes


                            South                              Middle East &
                           America                                Africa


                                                                                        Source: Pöyry and Stora Enso

                                   Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                                       13
Liquid dairy products significant driver for Consumer
Board growth – Asia 7% (CAGR 2010-2020)
  Consumption estimate for Liquid Dairy Products

                            10%
                                                               9,0%
                            9%
                            8%                                                                                 Total Global LDP
                            7%                                                                                          average
                                                                                                                    growth rate:
                            6%
         CAGR 2010 - 2012




                                                                                                                           2.4%
                            5%
                            4%
                                                                                                          3,2%
                                                                                                 2,8%
                            3%      2,1%
                            2%                                                                                   1,5%1,2%
                            1%

                                                                                      -0,1%                            -0,4%-0,3%
                            -1%
                            -2%
                            -3%
                                                                                                                               -2,8%
                            -4%
                            -5%

              Volume              57.4                   33.7                   25.9          22.6    12.8    11 7.7 6.7 5.6 5.1
                  2012
             Bil Litres
                                                                                                     Source: Tetra Pak Dairy Index 2009


                                           Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                                                       14
Guidance for Q3 2012



• Sales in Q3 2012 roughly similar
  level than Q2 2012

• Operational EBIT close to the
  similar level or somewhat higher
  than in Q2 2012




                       Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   15
Summary



•   European paper and wood
    products markets continue to
    weaken

•   Additional cost reductions and
    temporary production curtailments
    planned in H2 2012

•   Strategic investments progressing
    to transform the Group




                             Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   16
Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   17
Operational EBIT by segments

                                                                            Change %
EUR million             Q2/2012                                   Q1/2012
                                                                            Q212/Q112

Printing and Reading          41.7                                  67.3      -38.0

Biomaterials                  14.7                                  7.2       104.2

Building and Living           11.5                                  9.8        17.3

Renewable Packaging           72.5                                  61.7       17.5

Other                           0.8                                 1.4       -42.9

Group                       141.2                                  147.4       -4.2



                       Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                         18
Printing and Reading and Renewable Packaging
created the cash flow in Q2 2012




                  Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   19
Transforming the Company
Q1-Q2 2012




                 Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   20
Curtailments increased year-on-year
% of capacity




                   Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   21
Working capital improved
Q2 2010 – Q2 2012




                        *Operative working capital = trade receivables + inventories – trade payables




                    Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                                            22
Transaction risk and hedges
as at 30 June 2012


 EUR million                                                                                USD     GBP    SEK

 Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure                                          1 200    600   -920

 Transaction hedges as at 30 June 2012                                                      -600    -270   450

 Hedging percentage as at 30 June 2012 for the next 12 months                                50%    45%    49%

    Additional USD and GBP hedges for 13-16 months increase the hedging percentages by
    4 % and 7 % respectively.


    Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10%                         EUR million
    USD                                                                              120
    SEK                                                                               -92
    GBP                                                                                60

     The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The
     calculation does not take into account currency hedges. and assumes no changes occur
     other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the
     opposite impact.




                                                Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                    23
Softwood pulp prices
Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood




                                                            Source: FOEX


                         Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012          24
Pulp wood and saw log prices
Wood prices in Finland




                                                                    Source: METLA


                         Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                   25
RCP prices




                                                               German RCP price development. free delivered
                                                        Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso



             Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                                                     26
Capital expenditure and depreciation
Q1 2008 – Q2 2012




                    Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   27
Debt/equity ratio
2009 – Q2 2012




                    Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   28
Net Debt /Operational EBITDA




                  Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   29
Energy balance* Q2 2012


     Total energy self
      sufficiency 59%


 Self sufficiency 46%                Self sufficiency 63%
                                                                                    Impact** on operating profit from
                                                                                                                             EUR million p.a.
                                                                                    10% change in:




                                                                                    Electricity market price                      ~11


                                                                                    Fossil fuel price                             ~17




 *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas                                        **) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume




                                               Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012                                                 31
Stora Enso Electricity procurement* Q2 2012




       *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas

                                       Financial results Q2 2012   20 July 2012   32

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Stora Enso Interim Review Q2 2012

  • 1. Financial Results Q2 2012 CEO Jouko Karvinen 20 July 2012
  • 2. It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts. including. without limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”. “expects”. “anticipates”. “foresees”. or similar expressions. are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates and projections. they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include. but are not limited to: (1) operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein. continued success of product development. acceptance of new products or services by the Group’s targeted customers. success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements. changes in business strategy or development plans or targets. changes in the degree of protection created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights. the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions. such as strength of product demand. intensity of competition. prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto. price fluctuations in raw materials. financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the Group. the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions. such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates. Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 2
  • 3. Cash flow and liquidity improved • Operational EBIT EUR 141 million • Cash flow from operations EUR 246 million • Strong liquidity at EUR 1 240 million Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 3
  • 4. Operational EBIT on the similar level as Q1 2012 as anticipated Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 4
  • 5. Strategic investments to transform the Group Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 5
  • 6. 35% personnel increase in growth markets 2007 –H1 2012 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 6
  • 7. Montes del Plata Pulp Mill • Montes del Plata pulp mill 1.3 million tonnes annually • Approximately 60% of the construction work completed • Mill expected to start-up approximately mid-year 2013 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 7
  • 8. Timing of Strategic Projects Guangxi, China Pulp and Board mill, start-up Q4 2014 Montes del Plata, Ostroleka, Uruguay Poland Pulp mill, start-up Container mid-year 2013 Skoghall, board Sweden machine start- Investment up start-up end Q1 2013 Q4 2012 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 8
  • 9. Summary financials Q2 2012 Change % Change % EUR million Q2/2012 Q1/2012 Q2/2011 Q2 12/Q2 11 Q2 12/Q1 12 Sales 2 720.4 2 673.3 2 817.1 -3.4 1.8 Operational EBITDA 248.1 262.1 357.6 -30.6 -5.3 Operational EBIT 141.2 147.4 239.1 -40.9 -4.2 Profit before tax. excl. NRI 31.8 101.0 177.6 -82.1 -68.5 Profit before tax 85.9 89.9 145.9 -41.1 -4.4 EPS excl. NRI (EUR) 0.02 0.10 0.21 -90.5 -80.0 EPS (basic). EUR 0.09 0.09 0.17 -47.1 - Operational ROCE. % 6.5 6.8 10.9 -40.4 -4.4 Cash flow from operations 245.6 223.7 207.2 18.5 9.8 Cash flow after investing activities 74.5 111.4 110.8 -32.8 -33.1 Debt/equity 0.54 0.46 0.41 31.7 17.4 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 9
  • 10. Net Financial Items Change % Change % EUR million Q2/2012 Q1/2012 Q2/2011 Q212/Q211 Q212/Q112 Net interest expense -42.0 -37.7 -28.3 -48.4 -11.4 Foreign exchange gains and losses -18.2 8.0 -0.7 n/m n/m Other financial items. of which -6.6 -4.3 -5.6 -17.9 -53.5 PIK notes 2.5 2.0 1.9 Fair valuation of interest rate derivatives* -14.3 -3.3 -3.3 Fair valuation of long-term debt -0.3 -0.5 0.4 NewPage lease provision 9.5 13.6 - Other items -4.0 -16.1 -4.6 Total net financial items -66.8 -34.0 -34.6 -93.1 -96.5 *Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives. Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 10
  • 11. Operational EBIT by segments Change % Change % EUR million Q2/2012 Q1/2012 Q2/2011 Q212/Q211 Q212/Q112 Printing and Reading 41.7 67.3 72.2 -42.2 -38.0 % of sales 3.5 5.5 5.8 -39.7 -36.4 Biomaterials 14.7 7.2 31.2 -52.9 104.2 % of sales 6.0 3.0 11.6 -48.3 100.0 Building and Living 11.5 9.8 35.2 -67.3 17.3 % of sales 2.6 2.6 7.6 -65.8 0.0 Renewable Packaging 72.5 61.7 93.9 -22.8 17.5 % of sales 8.8 7.9 11.3 -22.1 11.4 Other 0.8 1.4 6.6 -87.9 -42.9 % of sales 0.1 0.2 0.9 -88.9 -50.0 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 11
  • 12. Western European paper* demand 2006 – 2012/May Seasonally adjusted * Paper: News, UMO, UMI, SC, CM, WFC & WFU Source: EuroGraph & PPPC Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 12
  • 13. Corrugated packaging growth - Eastern Europe and Asia CAGR 4.4% CAGR CAGR CAGR 1.0% 4.1% 0.5% Western Eastern Europe Europe North America CAGR CAGR 2,7 % 4.3% Asia 2010-2020 Million tonnes South Middle East & America Africa Source: Pöyry and Stora Enso Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 13
  • 14. Liquid dairy products significant driver for Consumer Board growth – Asia 7% (CAGR 2010-2020) Consumption estimate for Liquid Dairy Products 10% 9,0% 9% 8% Total Global LDP 7% average growth rate: 6% CAGR 2010 - 2012 2.4% 5% 4% 3,2% 2,8% 3% 2,1% 2% 1,5%1,2% 1% -0,1% -0,4%-0,3% -1% -2% -3% -2,8% -4% -5% Volume 57.4 33.7 25.9 22.6 12.8 11 7.7 6.7 5.6 5.1 2012 Bil Litres Source: Tetra Pak Dairy Index 2009 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 14
  • 15. Guidance for Q3 2012 • Sales in Q3 2012 roughly similar level than Q2 2012 • Operational EBIT close to the similar level or somewhat higher than in Q2 2012 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 15
  • 16. Summary • European paper and wood products markets continue to weaken • Additional cost reductions and temporary production curtailments planned in H2 2012 • Strategic investments progressing to transform the Group Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 16
  • 17. Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 17
  • 18. Operational EBIT by segments Change % EUR million Q2/2012 Q1/2012 Q212/Q112 Printing and Reading 41.7 67.3 -38.0 Biomaterials 14.7 7.2 104.2 Building and Living 11.5 9.8 17.3 Renewable Packaging 72.5 61.7 17.5 Other 0.8 1.4 -42.9 Group 141.2 147.4 -4.2 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 18
  • 19. Printing and Reading and Renewable Packaging created the cash flow in Q2 2012 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 19
  • 20. Transforming the Company Q1-Q2 2012 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 20
  • 21. Curtailments increased year-on-year % of capacity Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 21
  • 22. Working capital improved Q2 2010 – Q2 2012 *Operative working capital = trade receivables + inventories – trade payables Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 22
  • 23. Transaction risk and hedges as at 30 June 2012 EUR million USD GBP SEK Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure 1 200 600 -920 Transaction hedges as at 30 June 2012 -600 -270 450 Hedging percentage as at 30 June 2012 for the next 12 months 50% 45% 49% Additional USD and GBP hedges for 13-16 months increase the hedging percentages by 4 % and 7 % respectively. Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10% EUR million USD 120 SEK -92 GBP 60 The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The calculation does not take into account currency hedges. and assumes no changes occur other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the opposite impact. Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 23
  • 24. Softwood pulp prices Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood Source: FOEX Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 24
  • 25. Pulp wood and saw log prices Wood prices in Finland Source: METLA Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 25
  • 26. RCP prices German RCP price development. free delivered Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 26
  • 27. Capital expenditure and depreciation Q1 2008 – Q2 2012 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 27
  • 28. Debt/equity ratio 2009 – Q2 2012 Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 28
  • 29. Net Debt /Operational EBITDA Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 29
  • 30.
  • 31. Energy balance* Q2 2012 Total energy self sufficiency 59% Self sufficiency 46% Self sufficiency 63% Impact** on operating profit from EUR million p.a. 10% change in: Electricity market price ~11 Fossil fuel price ~17 *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas **) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 31
  • 32. Stora Enso Electricity procurement* Q2 2012 *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas Financial results Q2 2012 20 July 2012 32