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Plan 434
Regional Planning Studio

Shift Share Analysis Based on Main Activity Sectors
of
Selected Districts of Bangladesh

Submitted by:
Group 04
(0615015)
(0615019)
(0615020)
(0615030)
Course No: Plan 434
Course Title: Regional Planning Studio

Shift Share Analysis Based on Main Activity Sectors
of
Selected Districts of Bangladesh

Submitted to:
Dr. Ishrat Islam, Associate Professor, Dept. of URP, BUET
Dr. Afsana Haque, Assistant Professor, Dept. of URP, BUET
Anindya Kishore Debnath, Lecturer, Dept. of URP, BUET

Submitted by: Group-04
Imam Hossain
(06 15 015)
Tazrina Habib Ananya
(06 15 019)
Shahadat Hossain Shakil (06 15 020)
Khaled Bin Abdul Quader (06 15 030)

Level-4, Term-1
Date of Submission: 18th May, 2011

Department of Urban and Regional Planning
Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology
Acknowledgement
First and foremost, thanks to the merciful and benevolent Almighty to give us patience,
energy and capability to work hard for completing the report. We wish to express our earnest
gratitude and indebtedness to our respectable course teachers Dr. Israt Islam, Associate
Professor; Dr. Afsana Haque, Assistant Professor and Aninday Kishore Debnath, Lecturer
Department of Urban and Regional Planning, BUET for their intimate co-operation and
support, valuable advice, comment, constant encouragement and supervision which have
inspired us to carry out this study successfully. Thanks to the pre-researchers for their
meaningful, thoughtful works which enriched our knowledge.

i
Abstract
Shift share analysis is an effective regional planning tool to explore the regional
competitiveness and industrial composition. In this study the regional competitiveness among
the selected districts of Bangladesh in terms of regional employment figure in the main
activity sectors has been tried to develop. The comparative scenario among the several
districts has been figured out and the regional influencing factors behind that have been
analyzed.

ii
Table of Contents
Contents

Page No.

Acknowledgement

i

Abstract

ii

Table of contents

iii

List of illustrations

iv

Chapter-01: Introduction

1

1.1 Background of the Study

1

1.2 Concept of Shift Share Analysis

1

1.2 Objectives of the Study

2

1.3 Methodology of the Study

3

Chapter - 02: Analysis

4

2.1 Inter District Analysis

4

2.2 Intra District Analysis

5

2.3 Sector wise Analysis

13

Chapter – 03: Major Findings

14

3.1 Findings

14

3.2 Recommendations

14

3.3 Conclusion

15

References
Appendices

iii
List of Tables
Tables

Page No.

Table-1: Explanation of the Shift Share Components

2

T Table-2: Progressive and Less Progressive Districts of Each Sector

13

List of Figures
Figures

Page No.

Fig-1: Schematic Diagram of the Methodology

3

Fig-2: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

6

(based on employment data) of Bagerhat district
Fig-3: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

7

(based on employment data) of Khulna district
Fig-4: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

8

(based on employment data) of Faridpur district
Fig-5: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

9

(based on employment data) of Kishoreganj district
Fig-6: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

10

(based on employment data) of Narsingdi district
Fig-7: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

11

(based on employment data) of Rajbari district
Fig-8: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

11

(based on employment data) of Satkhira district
Fig-9: Shift Share components of different activity sectors

12

(based on employment data) of Netrokona district
Fig-10: Shift Share components of different activity sectors
(based on employment data) of Shariatpur district

iv

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Regional Planning Studio

Chapter - 01: Introduction

1.1 Background of the Study
Shift share analysis is a traditional tool in the regional planning discipline. Through a
descriptive analysis of the productive structure, it allows the comparison of regional
differences within a country, region or state. Shift share analysis is one way to account for the
competitiveness of a region's industries and to analyze the local economic base. This analysis
is primarily used to decompose employment changes within an economy over a specific
period of time into mutually exclusive factors. Like other analytical economic tools, the shift
share technique is only a descriptive tool that should be used in combination with other
analysis to provide a summary of a region's key employment potential industries.

1.2 Concept of Shift Share Analysis
As a regional planning tool shift share analysis explores the scenario of economic growth of a
region which is generated by a national growth in that sector, supportive industry mix and
comparative advantage of that particular region. The shift-share analysis divides the change
in local industry employment into three components:
National Growth Share (Nj): The share of local job growth that can be attributed to growth
of the national economy. Specifically, if the nation as a whole is experiencing employment
growth, ("a rising tide lifts all boats"), one would expect total national growth to exert a
positive growth influence on the local area.
Industrial Mix/Proportionality Shift (Pj): The industrial mix or proportionality shift
component reflects differences in industry “mix” between the local and national levels. The
mix-factor examines how national growth or decline of a particular industry translates into
local growth or decline of that industry.
Local Share/Regional Shift/Differential Shift (Dj): This share of local job growth describes
the extent to which factors unique to the local area have caused growth or decline in regional
employment of an industrial group. Even during periods of general prosperity, some regions
and some industries grow faster than others do. This is usually attributed to some local
comparative advantage such as natural resources, linked industries, or favorable local labor
situations.
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The formula of calculating various components of shift share analysis are given below.
National Share, Nj = ∑ [ Eijo(Et/Eo) – Eijo]
Proportionality Shift Component, Pj = ∑ [(Eit/Eio)-(Et/Eo)]Eijo
Differential Shift Component, Dj = ∑ [(Eijt/Eijo)-(Eit/Eio)]Eijo
Total Regional Growth, Gj = Ejt – Ejo = Nj + Pj + Dj
Total Net Shift Component, (P+D)j = Ejt – (Et/Eo)Ejo = Gj – Nj
Where, Ej = total employment in region j; E = total national employment
o,t = initial and terminal period; i = industry subscript
Table-1: Explanation of the Shift Share Components

Total Regional Growth<National Growth

+

Industry of interest is growing
Industry of interest is declining

+

Local competitiveness is present for economic growth

-

Differential Shift
Component

Total Regional Growth>National Growth

-

Proportionality Shift
Component

+
-

Net Shift Component

Local competiveness is absent for economic growth

1.3 Objectives of the Study


To find out the regional employment growth of the selected districts and contribution
of shift share components.



To identify the influential factors of the regional growth and the probable reason
behind that.



To carry out inter regional comparison of shift share components.

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1.4 Methodology of the Study
To achieve the stated objectives employment data according to main activity sector of the
selected 9 districts (Figure: Appendix-A) of Bangladesh has been collected for the two time
frames 1991 and 2001 (Table: Appendix-A1). All districts data has been compiled to find out
the national employment change and the sector/activity wise employment change nationally,
over the time period (Table: Appendix-A1). Then by applying the shift share analysis formula
the regional growth of the selected districts has been determined. During the calculation
process the three different share and shift component (national share, proportionality shift and
differential shift) for every activity sector of every district has been obtained (Table: AppendixA2). These values are further used in the analysis stage to carry out the intra and inter regional

analysis. The intra regional analysis in terms of the most influential activity sector in the
regional growth and the factors behind that has been figured out. Inter regional comparison in
terms of regional growth component and activity wise prominent districts have been sorted in
the later stage. After the analysis process the major findings has been listed out and a report
has been prepared to describe and elaborate the whole process.
Project identification and fixation of objectives

Data collection and compilation

Calculation of shift share components

Intra and inter regional analysis

Major findings and report preparation

Figure-1: Schematic Diagram of the Methodology

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Chapter - 02: Analysis
2.1 Inter District Analysis
To achieve one of the objective of the study inter regional or inter district comparison has
been carried out in terms of regional employment growth (Figure-1: Appendix-B). Meanwhile
the shift share components have been also compared among the districts to assess the major
factor behind the regional employment growth (Figure-1, 2: Appendix-B).
The analysis has been carried out by comparing the percentage change values of the national
share, proportionality shift, differential shift and regional growth with respect to the total
employment in the respective region in 1991 (Table: Appendix-B1). The percentage change
instead of absolute values has been used to assess the actual magnitude of the change and to
find out the actual progressive regions. If absolute values are used in the analysis process it
may can give wrong scenario; because if any regions total employment data is already high in
the previous time frame it will give a higher values for all shift share components than a
region which had a lower total regional employment data in the past though the two region
experiencing same kind of growth. So to explore the actual change the percentage change
values has been used for this purpose.
The absolute values of the shift share components have been used to compare the percentage
composition of the regional growth among the regions (Table: Appendix-B1).
The comparison of the shift share component among the selected 9 districts is illustrated in
the next page (Figure-1: Appendix-B). From that illustration it can be summarized that only
Bagerhats regional employment growth crossed the national employment growth during the
study period 1991-2001. The rest of the districts regional employment growth is less than the
national employment growth. The factor responsible for the high regional growth of Bagerhat
is the positive differential shift component of Bagerhat. That means the local advantage/local
factors played an influential role for the regional employment change. The reverse situation
can be found for Narsingdi district. It has the lowest regional employment growth followed
by the highest negative differential shift of employment growth.
From the illustrations, inter district comparison of employment growth and shift share
components (Figure-1: Appendix-B) and the comparison of percentage composition of the
regional growth among the regions (Figure-2: Appendix-B); it can be seen positive regional
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growth occurred mainly because of the national share. Its contribution is the maximum. But
the main influential factor behind the variation of the regional employment growth among the
districts is the differential shift component. In the districts where the differential shift
component is positive it experienced a better regional growth and vice versa. The
proportionality shift component played a weak role in case of regional employment change
for all the districts.
In summary from the above analysis it can be stated that only Bagerhat is expanding better
than the national trend, the rest of the district is lag behind in this case. The national declining
trend of the activity sectors very weakly influenced the regional growth. The local level
growth of the activity sectors in the selected districts is poor and hampering the net regional
employment growth.
The regional growth scenario with respect to the national growth is represented with the help
of a map (Figure-3: Appendix-B2). In that map the selected districts has been classified into 4
classes according to their comparative situation of regional growth with respect the national
growth. From that map it can be summarized that maximum districts experienced a regional
growth ranging half to two-third of the national growth. The percentage value of the regional
employment growth of the respective regions with respect to the national employment growth
is shown in the appendix. (Table: Appendix-B1)

2.2 Intra District Analysis
For intra regional analysis total regional growth of a district and employment growth of each
sector of that district has been considered. Regional growth is consists of three Shift Share
components and each of these components has its distinct impact. To analyze the influence of
these three components on sectoral employment growth of each region column charts has
been used. As for all the activity sectors regional growth is not same, if charts have been
drown with the absolute value of growth of all the sectors it will not represent the
contribution of each Shift Share components properly. So, growth of each sector has been
considered as 100% for a better representation. In Intra regional analysis one aim is to find
out the striking factors for a district and to identify the possible reasons behind that. For
discovering the remarkable factors differential shift component has been considered as it is
the main influential component for a regional growth which separates one region from
another.

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Bagerhat District
In Bagerhat district the national share component has the major impact on total regional
employment growth. More than 50% employment growth of Bagerhat district has been
generated because of national employment growth. It has been also found that the
contribution of Differential shift component is also vital which implies almost 40% share of
regional growth. So it could be said that that Bagerhat has some local advantages which has
influenced the employment growth in this district. But the proportionality shift has a negative
impact on the employment growth. There is a little decrease in total employment because of
the composition pattern of different sectors in Bagerhat.
One remarkable factor of Bagerhat is it has an employment growth in agricultural sectors
more than national employment growth of this sector. When in most of the districts
differential shifts of agriculture sector contain a negative value, Bagerhat has a positive value
which is because of any local influential factor of this district. This influential factor is may
be the huge production of Shrimp in Bagerhat. In this district 36.24% people’s main income
source is fishing and there are 12563 fisheries (Shrimp cultivation) in Bagerhat. Bagerhat has
a large amount of Shrimp production than any other district of Bangladesh which makes great
impact on its employment growth in agricultural sector.

Percentage

Shift share components of Bagerhat district
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

Activity sectors
National Share(N)

Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-2: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Bagerhat district

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Business sector has a negative differential shift in Bagerhat; it states that employment growth
in this sector was less the national employment growth of this sector. One reason behind it
could be the inefficiency of Mongla port in previous years. The Port is the principal Port of
the Bangladesh but it been facing some problems, as a result the loading and unloading of
goods have being very slow. For its inefficiency there could be an increase in employment of
business sector in Bagerhat.
Khulna District
In Khulna district more than 50% employment growth has been generated because of national
employment growth. Proportionality shift has a very mild impact on regional employment
growth but differential shift has negatively influenced the employment growth. It could be
recognized that employment in this district has grew more slowly than the nation because of
regional share effects.
In Khulna differential shift for agriculture has a positive value which implies that this sector
has been flourishing in this district for any local advantage. This advantage is may be the
large quantity of Jute production in Khulna which generates many employments in this
sector. Employment growth of Industry is also fast growing in Khulna then the national
employment growth in industry. It may be for concentration of several industries in Khulna
like Shipyard, Jute mills, Paper mills, Hard board mills, Textile mills, Steel mills. Many new
mills have been established under private ownership and generated a large number of
employments. Because of establishment of some new Educational institutes, Health services,

Percentage

Banks and NGOs employment in service sector has been also increased.

100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

Shift share components of Khulna district

Activity sectors

National Share(N)

Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-3: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Khulna district
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Faridpur District
In Faridpur district influence of national employment growth is very much prominent upon
regional employment growth. More than 75% employment growth in this district has been
generated because of national employment growth. Impact of proportionality shift is very few
and differential shift has a negative influence. It means because of some location
disadvantage there is a few decrease in employment growth.

Percenrage

Shift share components of Faridpur district
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

Activity sectors
National Share(Nj)

Proportionality Shift(Pj)

Differential Shift(Dj)

Fig-4: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Faridpur district

In Faridpur district agriculture sector has a negative differential shift. A possible reason
behind this could be a decline of jute industry due to low prices on the international market
which leads to shutting down of many jute plants. Urbanization could also be a reason behind
decreasing no. of employment in agricultural sector. There is an increase in employment of
transportation and communication sector than the national growth which may be for
construction of new roads
Kishoreganj District
In Kishoreganj district national employment growth has a great influence on regional
employment growth. More than 75% of regional growth has been occurred as a result of
national employment growth. Proportionality shift has a little impact and differential shift has
a negative influence which means that there is a concentration of slow growing sectors.
Employment in agricultural sector in Kishoreganj could not be able to grow as like as the
national employment growth of agriculture. One reason behind it could be a decrease in egg
production which is the main agricultural product of Kishoreganj. In 1998 egg production has
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been reduced due to flood and may people stopped poultry farming. Employment in Industry
sector also could not grow as national employment growth of industry these may be for
shutting down of some mills in Kishoreganj like Kalia Chapra Sugar Mill, Kishoreganj Sugar
Mill, and Badam Tail Mills. Employment in Service sector has been increased may be
because of establishment of new service facilities like Jahurul Islam Medical College and
Hospital which started its journey in a broad scale from 1992.

Percentage

Shift share components of Kishoreganj district
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

National Share(N)

Activity Sectors
Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-5: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Kishoreganj district

Narsingdi District
In Narshindi District more than 60% employment growth has been generated as an impact of
national employment growth. Differential shift comprises a negative value which means that
because of some local factors employment growth has faced obstacle and could not grow as
the national growth.
Employment growth of agriculture sector in Narsingdi could not be as the national
employment growth of this sector. The main reason behind this could be the rapid
urbanization of this district. The urbanization rate of this district is faster than other district
because of close proximity with Dhaka. May be there is shift of employment from
agricultural sector to business and service sector. Narsingdi has large amount of employment
in Water, Gas, Electricity sector other districts. The possible reason behind this would be the
large no. of employment engaged in Narsingdi gas field and Ghorashal power plant.

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Shift share components of Narsingdi district
100%
Percentage

75%

50%
25%

0%
-25%

-50%

National Share(N)

Activity sectors
Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-6: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Narsingdi district

Rajbari District
In Rajbari district the main influential component on regional growth is National share. More
than 75% employment growth has been generated because of national employment growth.
But the local factors could not make an employment growth in Rajbari, so the differential
shift is negative for this district. Proportionality shift is also negative which implies that there
is a concentration of slow growing sectors.
In Rajbari employment growth in agriculture could not be as fast as national employment
growth in agriculture which is may be because of urbanization. As Rajbari is located at near
Dhaka, it has faced a rapid urbanization which results a decline of cropped land and as well
as employment in agriculture. Several development projects have been completed within
1991 in Rajbari which generated a large no. of employment in transportation and
communication sector.

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Percentage

Shift share components of Rajbari district
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

National Share(N)

Activity Sectors
Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-7: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Rajbari district

Satkhira District
In Satkhira contribution of national employment growth is very significant on regional
employment growth as national share component contains 80% share of regional growth.
Differential shift and proportionality shift has negative influence which implies that the
composition pattern and local factors could not contribute in regional employment growth.

Percentage

.
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

Shift share components of Satkhira district

Activty Sectors
National Share(N)

Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-8: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Satkhira district

In Satkhira there is a remarkable increase in employment of service sector than the national
employment growth of service sector. It may be because of increased no. of Educational
institutes, Health services, Banks, NGOs and Co-operative societies

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Netrokona District
In Netrokona dstrict 60% of total employment growth has been took place due to national
employment growth. Proportionality shift and differential shift has negatively influenced the
regional growth.
In Netrokona employment growth in agriculture is less the national employment growth of
agriculture which has influenced by any local factor. May be it happened because of shifting
of large amount of labors to abroad. There is a employment growth in Transportation and
communication sectors more than the national employment growth of this sector which may
be due to several new development projects.

Percentage

Shift share components of Netrokona district
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

Activity Sectors
National Share(N)

Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-9: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Netrokona district

Shariatpur District
In Satriatpur district national share component contains 60% share of regional growth and
differential shift has a negative influence on regional employment growth.
Employment in agriculture could not cope up with national growth. As the amount of
cropped land has decreased the employment in agriculture has also decreased. Employment
growth in industry sector is more than the national growth, may be because of concentration
of many cottage industry.

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Percentage

Shift share components of Shariatpur district
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
-25%
-50%
-75%

Activity Sectors
National Share(N)

Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Fig-10: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of
Shariatpur district

2.3 Sector wise Analysis
In sector wise analysis the aim is to compare the employment growth of each sector in
different districts. Employment growth has been calculated in percentage for different sectors
of each district with respect to the employment of that sector in 1991 (Figure-4: Appendix-B3
and Table: Appendix-B4). From the figure it could be easily recognized that which sector is

progressive in which district and which sector is less progressive in which district. This is
shown in Table-2 in a summarized form.
Table-2: Progressive and Less Progressive Districts of Each Sector

Activity Sector

Progressive District

Less Progressive District

Household Work

Rajbari, Shatkhira

Shariatpur

Agriculture

Khulna, Bagerhat

Narsingdi

Industry

Khulna, Faridpur

Netrokona, Bagerhat,

Water/Electricity/Gas

Shatkhira, Bagerhat

Netrokona,Kishoreganj
Shatkhira, Khulna

Construction

Rajbari,Faridpur,

Shatkhira

Transportation

Netrokona,Rajbari
Kishoreganj

Khulna

&Communication
Business

Kishoreganj

Bagerhat

Service

Shatkhira

Rajbari, Bagerhat

Others

Bagerhat

Khulna, Netrokona, Shariatpur,Faridpur
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Chapter – 03: Major Findings
3.1 Findings
National Growth
 National employment growth is in a positive trend (14.4%) over the time period 19912001 reflecting a developing and rising economic scenario.
 National employment growth (14.4%) has a significant influence on the regional
growth of each sector of each region.
 In most of the region the regional growth is positive because of national share; which
reflect nationally moderate policy making and resource allocation for the regional
level development but the failure of the regions own capability to generate
employment opportunities through local level investments.
Industrial Mix
 Household; Agriculture; Water, Gas, Electricity and Service – these four sectors
could not flourish like the National Trend.
 Industry; Construction; Transportation and Communication; Business and Others
– these sectors has been expanded more than National Trend.
 The overall scenario of the industrial mix in the studied region is the declination of
agricultural and service sector and the rising of industry and construction sector which
is the indicator of a developing countries economy of the third world country.
Regional/ Local Factors
 Different local factors have the crucial influence on regional growth such as local
climatic advantage (i.e. salty water of Bagerhat for shrimp production), geographical
location advantage (i.e. location of Khulna district near sea for shipyard industry) etc.
 The variation in the regional among the region is mainly because of regional shift.
 Most of the regions total regional growth is not highly supported by the local
employment growth because of the lack of prosperity in maximum sector at the local
level.

3.2 Recommendations


Encouragement in the regional/district level investment in the relatively weak sectors
(i.e Agriculture, Service etc.) to generate more employment.



Using the local advantage of the regions in a more fruitful way to generate more
employment by using the limited resources in a more effective way.
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3.3 Conclusion
Regional competitiveness and industrial variation can be analyzed through the shift share
analysis. By using this traditional descriptive tool the potential sectors of any region and the
possible local factors behind that can be identified. The regional shifting of various factors
among various sectors can be analyzed but it cannot be explicitly pinpointed. Though it is a
very effective tool for analyzing the industrial structure of a region it should be used in
combination with the other regional analysis and helping database to assess the reasons
behind the shift and share more explicitly.

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References:
1. Banglapedia; National Encyclopedia of Bangladesh. (n.d.). Retrieved from
http://www.banglapedia.org/httpdocs/english/index.htm
2. Community Series; Population Census of Bangladesh 2001. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
3. Debnath, A. K., Islam, M. R., Daisy, N. S., & Mouri, S. J. (2009). Application of Shift Share in
Regional Growth Analysis: Dhaka, Narayanganj and Munshiganj. Dhaka: Department of Urban and
Regional Planning.
4. Glasson, J. (1974). An Introduction to Regional Planning(Cocepts, Theory and Practice). London:
Hutchinson & Co (Publishers) Ltd.
5. Wikipedia; The Free Encyclopedia. (n.d.). Retrieved from
http://www.bbs.gov.bd/RptZillaProfile.aspx
6. Zilla Profile. (n.d.). Retrieved from Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics:
http://www.bbs.gov.bd/RptZillaProfile.aspx
7. Zilla Series; Population Census of Bangladsesh 1991. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
8. MA Jabbar, MH Rahman, RK Talukder , SK Raha. Alternative institutinal arrangement for contract
farming in Poultry production in Bangladesh and their impacts on equity. (2007). Retrieved March
30, 2011, from www.mahider.ilri.org:
http://mahider.ilri.org/bitstream/10568/217/1/ResearchReport_No7.pdf
9. Jahurul Islam Medical College and Hospital. Retrieved May 15, 2011, from www.jimedcol.org:
http://www.jimedcol.org/index2.htm
10. Financial Express. Retrieved May 15, 2011, from www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com:
http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/search_index.php?page=detail_news&news_id=70460
Appendix-A

Figure: Selected Study Districts
Appendix-A1
1991 Employment Data
Zilla

Main Activity Sector
Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity and Gas
Construction Transport Business Service Others District Total
Bagerhat
386441
185695
4136
295
5010
9418
64008
8767
10598
Khulna
506657
190924
34420
1893
10643
21533 104102 10297 220107
Faridpur
390893
256842
5748
433
5643
9023
51925
5868
78835
Kishoreganj
566613
424505
10068
550
5639
10437
75820 10160 96627
Narsingdi
407428
233533
46766
941
4913
9270
70528
7071
88806
Rajbari
209667
152979
4106
221
2792
4529
29411
3999
34186
Shatkhira
421945
271596
9809
232
6696
8341
67282
4979
70063
Netrokona
448199
375830
3718
331
3482
3088
45605
5822
72921
Shariatpur
237723
162483
2742
194
2630
3117
27306
2615
36907
Activity Total
3575566
2254387
121513
5090
47448
78756 535987 59578 709050
TableP20: Population 10 years and over by main activity
Zilla Series, Population Census of Bangladesh,1991

674368
1100576
805210
1200419
869256
441890
860943
958996
475717

2001 Employment Data
Zilla
Household Agriculture Industry

Water, Electricity and
Gas

Bagerhat
405292
228083
3813
Khulna
548435
255507
42800
Faridpur
424471
280585
7081
Kishoreganj
613553
442638
8607
Narsingdi
430635
238139
46967
Rajbari
229300
163339
4583
Shatkhira
463927
308553
8900
Netrokona
482603
404116
3562
Shariatpur
244676
175299
3414
Activity Total
3842892
2496259
129727
Table C05: Population 10 years and over by main activity
Community Series, Population Census of Bangladesh,2001

505
2151
641
677
1297
352
429
357
287
6696

Main Activity Sector
Construction Transport Business Service Other(Including Hotel)
8086
17437
13488
12799
10907
7941
7511
7720
4718
90607

15405
34338
20237
21730
18677
11090
15964
11221
6177
154839

70644
121274
64182
102262
83798
36326
82551
57008
34904
652949

7911
13607
6023
10410
9867
3174
8513
6069
2785
68359

92064
183166
74219
106899
94953
34218
76018
68469
35428
765434

District
Total
831803
1218715
890927
1319575
935240
490323
972366
1041125
507688
Appendix-A1
Population 10 Years and Over by Main Activity in 1991
Sl.
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29

Zila
Gazipur
Gopalganj
Jamalpur
Madaripur
Manikganj
Mushiganj
Mymensingh
Narayanganj
Sherpur
Tangail

Bagerhat
Khulna
Faridpur
Kishoreganj
Narsingdi
Rajbari
Shatkhira
Netrokona
Shariatpur
Barishal
Bandarban
Patuakhali
Rangamati
Pirozpur
Khagrachari
Bhola
Jhalokathi
Barguna
Pabna

Household
Agriculture
Work
402,341
266,084
489,640
274,334
321,028
283,307
988,534
384,381
278,380
790,210
386,441
506,657
390,893
566,613
407,428
209,667
421,945
448,199
237,723
551,356
53,004
336,937
88,415
302,348
86,615
357,755
178,975
211,193
477,476

240,346
178,151
377,579
184,521
196,766
155,929
748,129
104,436
215,167
534,652
185,695
190,924
256,842
424,505
233,533
152,979
271,596
375,830
162,483
282,419
44,068
187,692
64,189
130,710
55,347
239,542
82,874
126,949
302,543

Industry
28,646
3,118
6,675
4,347
6,497
7,149
13,399
67,815
3,418
42,459
4,136
34,420
5,748
10,068
46,766
4,106
9,809
3,718
2,742
9,435
1,328
3,112
5,372
4,163
499
2,089
3,216
1,001
25,860

Water /
Gas
1,337
189
605
350
294
1,293
1,365
2,940
188
1,338
295
1,893
433
550
941
221
232
331
194
1,118
37
329
1,002
326
44
267
257
173
673

Construction
7,446
3,640
4,822
3,689
4,219
5,681
12,819
11,298
2,018
9,282
5,010
10,643
5,643
5,639
4,913
2,792
6,696
3,482
2,630
9,380
579
8,056
1,212
4,358
1,190
4,926
3,635
3,218
7,304

Transport &
Communication
12,021
3,340
5,923
3,819
6,160
6,133
20,311
21,610
3,430
16,359
9,418
21,533
9,023
10,437
9,270
4,529
8,341
3,088
3,117
10,441
522
3,653
1,424
4,630
762
6,273
3,511
2,246
10,379

Business
58,114
31,133
59,488
35,084
44,248
64,323
105,727
105,128
31,952
90,973
64,008
104,102
51,925
75,820
70,528
29,411
67,282
45,605
27,306
94,438
6,464
43,598
12,910
52,972
9,495
46,472
25,760
27,363
75,940

Service
6,727
4,805
8,060
5,367
4,466
6,820
15,745
10,132
3,976
14,702
8,767
10,297
5,868
10,160
7,071
3,999
4,979
5,822
2,615
14,669
2,606
12,522
2,462
7,971
1,350
5,028
5,218
5,246
10,147

Other
129,161
39,962
103,197
50,875
62,517
63,387
196,973
211,319
62,489
126,065
10,598
220,107
78,835
96,627
88,806
34,186
70,063
72,921
36,907
144,019
26,116
78,200
44,818
66,502
38,277
82,515
41,420
43,566
112,775

Total
886,139
530,422
1,055,989
562,386
646,195
594,022
2,103,002
919,059
601,018
1,626,040
674,368
1,100,576
805,210
1,200,419
869,256
441,890
860,943
958,996
475,717
1,117,275
134,724
674,099
221,804
573,980
193,579
744,867
344,866
420,955
1,023,097
Appendix-A1
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53

Nababganj
Kurigram
Naogaon
Nator
Rajshahi
Dinajpur
Gaibandha
Shirajganj
Nilphamari
Maulavibazar
Hobigonj
Sunamgonj
Rangpur
Panchagarh
Thakurgaon
Sylhet
Lalmonirhat
Narail
Kustia
Joypurhat
Jessore
Bogra
Magura
Meherpur

316,804
412,953
569,172
351,290
499,843
566,860
487,568
576,824
345,021
335,132
393,655
345,021
544,369
179,069
259,146
544,944
237,337
173,885
391,679
200,072
544,921
684,069
180,786
136,591

182,593
322,863
461,756
271,145
328,513
462,993
365,518
354,516
278,061
189,563
274,929
341,599
405,451
154,392
217,988
279,391
201,666
110,573
236,734
166,213
363,129
495,163
127,793
105,916

5,529
1,918
9,271
7,041
7,259
12,419
5,886
62,508
4,636
31,463
14,162
2,986
19,950
1,310
2,609
8,141
1,127
3,585
21,734
3,391
15,226
12,825
3,775
979

240
202
452
282
708
987
418
582
300
995
840
232
708
81
290
1,348
564
65
547
205
681
1,023
290
71

9,181
2,964
4,561
3,719
7,209
6,755
4,035
5,823
2,367
6,723
8,791
5,016
6,225
1,208
2,981
15,953
1,552
1,770
6,866
2,342
7,504
8,182
2,354
1,620

2,420
4,340
5,880
4,866
1,017
9,829
8,289
6,348
3,586
6,021
4,753
2,912
10,452
1,497
2,604
13,667
3,224
3,582
7,171
2,770
14,971
17,283
3,825
1,173

52,328
34,570
57,244
40,717
68,477
66,249
50,403
82,608
33,690
45,743
46,206
45,287
63,597
13,344
21,776
89,884
22,527
20,315
65,986
23,435
75,961
91,504
21,860
18,307

4,497
3,566
7,747
8,071
7,304
6,457
6,057
9,152
3,557
7,486
7,143
7,158
6,971
1,439
2,768
110,802
2,072
3,155
20,192
3,092
9,867
9,272
2,083
1,354

56,283
53,988
76,714
79,806
116,825
86,887
69,591
121,113
58,920
132,634
81,053
90,405
107,890
29,670
42,519
169,694
45,373
30,279
84,347
33,134
114,689
141,731
28,110
19,317

629,875
837,364
1,192,797
766,937
1,037,155
1,219,436
997,765
1,219,474
730,138
755,760
831,532
840,616
1,165,613
382,010
552,681
1,233,824
515,442
347,209
835,256
434,654
1,146,949
1,461,052
370,876
285,328

54
55
56
57
58
59
60

jhenaidah
Chuadanga
Lakhshmipur
Cox's Bazar
Feni
Chittagong
Brahmanbaria

352,892
217,638
332,407
342,764
280,396
1,289,999
529,759

266,798
162,445
178,553
162,920
117,540
395,281
328,958

8,342
6,367
4,381
6,463
6,178
128,812
13,846

474
219
439
555
562
8,262
1,379

3,947
2,398
4,707
4,192
6,002
36,676
6,698

5,920
3,537
8,024
8,917
9,079
72,266
8,854

46,554
28,947
43,760
63,371
41,431
281,921
75,828

3,097
4,070
7,377
7,716
8,240
47,947
8,435

57,881
28,544
63,932
119,054
61,717
527,154
99,324

745,905
454,165
643,580
715,952
531,145
2,788,318
1,073,081
Appendix-A1
61

Chandpur

511,680

265,666

8,660

1,470

8,849

11,296

72,135

10,618

89,192

979,566

62 Noakhali
63 Comilla
64 Dhaka
Activity Total

561,724
1,008,730
1,273,363
26,676,242

244,941
563,107
195,702
16,286,765

10,057
18,670
163,464
996,081

1,015
2,695
15,683
64,079

6,648
15,876
72,482
450,396

12,614
31,053
145,756
681,499

76,825
133,103
455,142
4,028,604

10,146
20,519
78,828
665,852

117,853
192,917
1,324,591
6,986,334

1,041,823
1,986,670
3,725,011
56,835,852

Service

Other
(with
Hotel)

Population 10 Years and Over by Main Activity in 2001
Sl.
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Zila

Household
Agriculture
Work

Industry

Water /
Electricity Construction
/ Gas

Transport

Business

District Total

Gazipur
Gopalganj
Jamalpur
Madaripur
Manikganj
Munshiganj
Mymensingh

443,925
273,481
527,519
254,821
340,500
299,300
1,036,382

260,343
193,533
390,989
190,315
213,111
138,676
772,352

90,930
2,316
7,047
3,494
6,426
8,248
12,132

1,499
309
550
232
581
626
1,446

22,416
7,615
9,963
7,903
8,010
11,583
23,650

30,514
7,370
17,031
7,135
12,720
12,735
41,915

90,890
36,371
66,031
40,800
51,603
73,276
135,888

24,128
5,325
6,864
4,850
3,799
3,812
18,558

134,889
38,172
94,148
39,073
66,477
73,492
237,179

1,099,534
564,492
1,120,142
548,623
703,227
621,748
2,279,502

Narayanganj
Sherpur
Tangail
Bagerhat
Khulna
Faridpur
Kishoreganj

446,297
309,495
835,758
405,292
548,435
424,471
613,553

126,213
230,391
559,129
228,083
255,507
280,585
442,638

97,303
4,862
26,318
3,813
42,800
7,081
8,607

2,026
309
990
505
2,151
641
677

21,061
4,919
17,329
8,086
17,437
13,488
12,799

38,031
11,334
32,312
15,405
34,338
20,237
21,730

129,557
37,256
116,123
70,644
121,274
64,182
102,262

8,280
3,089
9,789
7,911
13,607
6,023
10,410

240,823
72,248
156,272
92,064
183,166
74,219
106,899

1,109,591
673,903
1,754,020
831,803
1,218,715
890,927
1,319,575

Narsingdi

430,635

238,139

46,967

1,297

10,907

18,677

83,798

9,867

94,953

935,240
Appendix-A1
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45

Rajbari
Shatkhira

229,300
463,927

163,339
308,553

4,583
8,900

352
429

7,941
7,511

11,090
15,964

36,326
82,551

3,174
8,513

34,218
76,018

Netrokona
Shariatpur
Barishal
Bandarban
Patuakhali

482,603
244,676
547,441
62,585
374,458

404,116
175,299
300,617
300,617
51,613

3,562
3,414
9,496
1,389
3,710

357
287
1,496
57
426

7,720
4,718
17,472
2,103
9,669

11,221
6,177
18,512
1,146
9,244

57,008
34,904
102,324
8,325
54,068

6,069
2,785
20,701
1,183
6,434

68,469
35,428
114,162
24,529
72,198

490,323
972,366
1,041,125
507,688
1,132,221
401,934
581,820

Rangamati
Pirozpur
Khagrachari
Bhola
Jhalokathi
Barguna
Pabna
Nababganj

112,500
275,514
123,902
383,533
176,281

223,815
86,049
152,882
79,314
245,726

778
3,110
993
2,257
2,163

160
3,391
71
568
314

2,187
6,476
2,833
7,414
5,069

1,951
7,459
2,405
10,898
5,191

16,541
53,189
14,860
56,811
29,337

3,574
4,491
3,453
6,066
3,466

49,860
520,518
39,012
93,820
37,312

411,366
960,197
340,411
640,681
504,859

510,446
361,241

339,197
214,591

26,515
4,069

780
313

14,038
13,181

24,440
7,135

81,495
54,687

8,385
6,429

109,248
54,722

1,114,544
716,368

Kurigram
Naogaon
Nator
Rajshahi
Dinajpur
Gaibandha
Shirajganj
Nilphamari

461,630
630,928
404,503
589,119
654,553
544,732
636,940
375,865

336,630
515,352
311,322
381,551
482,769
396,123
403,823
291,754

2,550
9,649
5,711
8,021
8,180
5,775
56,051
3,595

277
545
310
1,020
705
442
755
434

5,692
8,257
6,466
13,985
11,107
9,081
14,776
5,623

10,161
17,724
12,148
25,820
24,225
23,025
20,935
11,853

45,150
66,068
46,683
82,322
85,710
65,665
94,394
45,012

3,626
6,707
6,357
7,647
8,874
5,979
9,480
5,541

69,227
79,997
58,270
114,642
119,075
74,562
132,160
53,464

934,943
1,335,227
851,770
1,224,127
1,395,198
1,125,384
1,369,314
793,141

Maulavibazar
Hobigonj
Sunamgonj
Rangpur
Panchagarh
Thakurgaon
Sylhet

353,832
378,097
980,200
630,269
201,261
300,643
575,378

186,622
291,448
375,845
444,775
162,403
246,232
283,449

21,115
13,626
4,658
12,834
1,316
1,988
9,720

896
622
563
828
84
261
2,363

12,398
8,593
6,657
12,341
2,649
4,585
26,945

12,751
10,434
6,340
25,767
7,171
9,078
23,902

53,958
52,594
53,505
86,341
19,222
30,005
100,608

8,815
9,671
6,950
7,862
1,380
2,557
13,999

131,672
80,344
93,765
115,585
36,289
38,615
155,904

782,059
845,429
1,528,483
1,336,602
431,775
633,964
1,192,268
Appendix-A1
46
47

Lalmonirhat

Narail
Kustia
Joypurhat
Jessore
Bogra
Magura
Meherpur
jhenaidah
Chuadanga
Lakhshmipur
Chandpur
Brahmanbaria
Dhaka
Comilla
Noakhali
Feni
Chittagong
Cox's Bazar
Activity Total
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64

271,384

219,782

1,830

243

3,074

6,819

28,888

3,226

38,143

573,389

173,074
443,599
222,381
611,363
754,654
200,440
155,032
398,142
261,232
345,453
527,816
536,311
1,573,574
1,034,626
597,041
297,879
1,484,793
382,257
29,527,272

120,918
259,859
175,037
412,270
540,518
151,996
127,829
311,242
200,915
186,062
275,606
326,604
481,345
604,275
281,154
121,122
458,510
184,161
18,115,035

3,142
20,875
3,695
22,272
20,587
3,672
1,433
6,887
4,609
3,609
6,289
9,202
303,485
16,414
8,116
6,655
123,637
5,489
1,179,970

140
725
289
970
931
189
117
358
210
616
1,167
1,208
14,036
2,370
1,160
950
6,423
679
65,726

3,133
11,393
4,501
14,740
18,972
4,200
2,795
7,392
5,719
9,954
15,187
12,451
142,125
25,751
14,080
10,648
58,513
7,739
827,020

6,617
18,678
9,429
29,618
41,438
7,768
3,655
16,908
9,351
14,559
16,165
14,775
215,552
44,605
23,559
15,242
99,689
13,105
1,303,183

24,385
82,197
26,884
99,168
110,331
28,644
22,178
62,094
39,474
50,257
81,655
88,869
571,980
56,245
84,647
46,849
313,467
73,374
4,721,204

2,374
6,213
3,549
9,637
10,820
2,028
1,336
4,059
3,014
7,866
12,319
9,373
105,872
23,006
11,080
8,077
50,892
10,143
611,364

21,208
90,580
30,327
118,904
133,885
27,202
24,427
53,736
35,948
61,773
102,488
91,971
1,291,179
200,697
104,326
572,335
689,343
108,036
8,183,667

354,991
934,119
476,092
1,318,942
1,632,136
426,139
338,802
860,818
560,472
680,149
1,038,692
1,090,764
4,699,148
2,007,989
1,125,163
1,079,757
3,285,267
784,983
64,534,441
Appendix-A2
Bagerhat
Activity Sector(i)

National
(1991)

National
(2001)

National
Growth

National Sectoral
Growth Factor

NGF

Regional
(1991)

Regional
(2001)

Regional
Growth

Regional S
Growth Fa

Ei0

EiT

EiT-Ei0

EiT/Ei0

ET/E0

EiS0

EiST

EiST-EiS0

EiST/EiS0

Household work
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Gas
Construction
Transportation and
Communication
Bussiness
Service
Others
Total
Khulna
Activity Sector(i)

26465049
16159816
995080
63906

29527272
18115035
1179970
65726

3062223
1955219
184890
1820

1.12
1.12
1.19
1.03

386,441
185,695
4,136
295

405,292
228,083
3,813
505

18851
42388
-323
210

447178
679253

827020
1303183

379842
623930

1.85
1.92

5,010
9,418

8,086
15,405

3076
5987

4001241
660606
6942768
56414897

4721204
611364
8183667
64534441

719963
-49242
1240899
8119544

1.18
0.93
1.18
1.14

64,008
8,767
10,598
674,368

70,644
7,911
92,064
831,803

6636
-856
81466
157435

1.14

National
(2001)

National
Growth

National Sectoral
Growth Factor

NGF

Regional
(1991)

Regional
(2001)

Regional
Growth

Regional S
Growth Fa

Ei0
Household work
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Gas
Construction
Transportation and

National
(1991)

EiT

EiT-Ei0

EiT/Ei0

ET/E0

EiS0

EiST

EiST-EiS0

EiST/EiS0

26465049
16159816
995080
63906

29527272
18115035
1179970
65726

3062223
1955219
184890
1820

1.12
1.12
1.19
1.03

447178
679253

827020
1303183

379842
623930

1.85
1.92

506,657
190,924
34,420
1,893
1.14

548,435
255,507
42,800
2,151

41778
64583
8380
258

10,643
21,533

17,437
34,338

6794
12805
Appendix-A2
Construction
Transportation and
Communication
Bussiness
Service
Others
Total
Kishoreganj
Activity Sector(i)

447178
679253

827020
1303183

379842
623930

1.85
1.92

5,643
9,023

13,488
20,237

7845
11214

4001241
660606
6942768
56414897

4721204
611364
8183667
64534441

719963
-49242
1240899
8119544

1.18
0.93
1.18
1.14

51,925
5,868
78,835
805,210

64,182
6,023
74,219
890,927

12257
155
-4616
85717

National(1991) National(2001) National
Growth

National Sectoral
Growth Factor

NGF

Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional
Growth

Regional S
Growth Fa

Ei0

EiT/Ei0

ET/E0

EiS0

EiST/EiS0

Household work
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Gas
Construction
Transportation and
Communication
Bussiness
Service
Others
Total
Narsingdi
Activity Sector(i)

EiT

EiT-Ei0

26465049
16159816
995080
63906

29527272
18115035
1179970
65726

3062223
1955219
184890
1820

1.12
1.12
1.19
1.03

447178
679253

827020
1303183

379842
623930

1.85
1.92

4001241
660606
6942768
56414897

4721204
611364
8183667
64534441

719963
-49242
1240899
8119544

1.18
0.93
1.18
1.14

EiST

EiST-EiS0

566,613
424,505
10,068
550

46940
18133
-1461
127

5,639
10,437

12,799
21,730

7160
11293

75,820
10,160
96,627
1,200,419

1.14

613,553
442,638
8,607
677

102,262
10,410
106,899
1,319,575

26442
250
10272
119156

National Sectoral
Growth Factor

NGF

Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional
Growth

Regional S
Growth Fa

Ei0
Household work

National(1991) National(2001) National
Growth

EiT/Ei0

ET/E0

EiS0

EiST/EiS0

EiT
26465049

EiT-Ei0
29527272

3062223

1.12

EiST
407,428

EiST-EiS0
430,635

23207
Appendix-A2
Activity Sector(i)

National(1991) National(2001) National
Growth

National Sectoral
Growth Factor

NGF

Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional
Growth

Regional S
Growth Fa

Ei0

EiT/Ei0

ET/E0

EiS0

EiST/EiS0

Household work
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Gas
Construction
Transportation and
Communication
Bussiness
Service
Others
Total
Shatkhira
Activity Sector(i)

EiT

EiT-Ei0

26465049
16159816
995080
63906

29527272
18115035
1179970
65726

3062223
1955219
184890
1820

1.12
1.12
1.19
1.03

447178
679253

827020
1303183

379842
623930

1.85
1.92

4001241
660606
6942768
56414897

4721204
611364
8183667
64534441

719963
-49242
1240899
8119544

1.18
0.93
1.18
1.14

EiST

EiST-EiS0

209,667
152,979
4,106
221

19633
10360
477
131

2,792
4,529

7,941
11,090

5149
6561

29,411
3,999
34,186
441,890

1.14

229,300
163,339
4,583
352

36,326
3,174
34,218
490,323

6915
-825
32
48433

National Sectoral
Growth Factor

NGF

Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional
Growth

Regional S
Growth Fa

Ei0
Household work
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Gas
Construction
Transportation and
Communication
Bussiness
Service

National(1991) National(2001) National
Growth

EiT/Ei0

ET/E0

EiS0

EiST/EiS0

EiT

EiT-Ei0

26465049
16159816
995080
63906

29527272
18115035
1179970
65726

3062223
1955219
184890
1820

1.12
1.12
1.19
1.03

447178
679253

827020
1303183

379842
623930

1.85
1.92

4001241
660606

4721204
611364

719963
-49242

1.18
0.93

EiST

EiST-EiS0

421,945
271,596
9,809
232
1.14

463,927
308,553
8,900
429

41982
36957
-909
197

6,696
8,341

7,511
15,964

815
7623

67,282
4,979

82,551
8,513

15269
3534
Appendix-A2
Bussiness
Service
Others
Total

Shariatpur
Activity Sector(i)

4001241
660606
6942768
56414897

4721204
611364
8183667
64534441

719963
-49242
1240899
8119544

1.18
0.93
1.18
1.14

45,605
5,822
72,921
958,996

57,008
6,069
68,469
1,041,125

11403
247
-4452
82129

National Sectoral
Growth Factor

NGF

Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional
Growth

Regional S
Growth Fa

Ei0
Household work
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Gas
Construction
Transportation and
Communication
Bussiness
Service
Others
Total

National(1991) National(2001) National
Growth

EiT/Ei0

ET/E0

EiS0

EiST/EiS0

EiT

EiT-Ei0

EiST

EiST-EiS0

26465049
16159816
995080
63906

29527272
18115035
1179970
65726

3062223
1955219
184890
1820

1.12
1.12
1.19
1.03

237,723
162,483
2,742
194

244,676
175,299
3,414
287

6953
12816
672
93

447178
679253

827020
1303183

379842
623930

1.85
1.92

2,630
3,117

4,718
6,177

2088
3060

4001241
660606
6942768
56414897

4721204
611364
8183667
64534441

719963
-49242
1240899
8119544

1.18
0.93
1.18
1.14

27,306
2,615
36,907
475,717

34,904
2,785
35,428
507,688

7598
170
-1479
31971

1.14
Appendix-B
25.00

23.35

Inter District Comparison: Shift Share Components

Percentage Change

20.00
15.00

10.73

10.65

9.93

10.00

12.94

10.96

8.56

7.59

6.72

5.00
0.00
Bagerhat

Khulna

Faridpur

Kishoreganj

Narsingdi

Rajbari

Shatkhira

Netrokona

Shariatpur

-5.00
-10.00

Districts
Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

Regional Growth(G)

National Growth(N)

Figure-1: Inter District Comparison of Employment Growth and Shift Share Components
Shariatpur
Netrokona
Shatkhira
Rajbari
Narsingdi
Kishoreganj
Faridpur
Khulna
Bagerhat
-40%

National Share(N)
Proportionality Shift(P)

Differential Shift(D)

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Figure-2: Inter District Comparison in Terms of Percentage Composition of Regional Employment Growth Components (X-axis: Percentage; Y-axis: Districts)
Appendix-B1
Districts
Bagerhat
Khulna
Faridpur
Kishoreganj
Narsingdi
Rajbari
Shatkhira
Netrokona
Shariatpur

Regional Employment(1991)
674,368
1,100,576
805,210
1,200,419
869,256
441,890
860,943
958,996
475,717

District wise shift share components in 2001
Districts
National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P)
Bagerhat
Khulna
Faridpur
Kishoreganj
Narsingdi
Rajbari
Shatkhira
Netrokona
Shariatpur

97058.77
158400.99
115890.28
172770.94
125108.13
63599.25
123911.68
138024.01
68467.82

Differential Shift(D)

-3435.25
15896.99
-2426.94
-9428.30
-269.39
-2424.68
-2791.75
-13391.31
-4375.11

63811.48
-56158.98
-27746.34
-44186.64
-58854.74
-12741.57
-9696.93
-42503.70
-32121.72

Regional
Growth(G)
157435.00
118139.00
85717.00
119156.00
65984.00
48433.00
111423.00
82129.00
31971.00

Net Shift
60376.23
-40261.99
-30173.28
-53614.94
-59124.13
-15166.25
-12488.68
-55895.01
-36496.82

Percentage change of the shift share components with respect to the total employment in 1991
Districts
National Growth(N) Proportionality Shift(P)
Differential Shift(D) Regional Growth(G)
Bagerhat
14.39
-0.51
9.46
23.35
Khulna
14.39
1.44
-5.10
10.73
Faridpur
14.39
-0.30
-3.45
10.65
Kishoreganj
14.39
-0.79
-3.68
9.93
Narsingdi
14.39
-0.03
-6.77
7.59
Rajbari
14.39
-0.55
-2.88
10.96
Shatkhira
14.39
-0.32
-1.13
12.94
Netrokona
14.39
-1.40
-4.43
8.56
Shariatpur
14.39
-0.92
-6.75
6.72

Districts
Bagerhat
Khulna
Faridpur
Kishoreganj
Narsingdi
Rajbari
Shatkhira
Netrokona
Shariatpur

National Growth(N)
14.39
14.39
14.39
14.39
14.39
14.39
14.39
14.39
14.39

Regional Growth(G)
23.35
10.73
10.65
9.93
7.59
10.96
12.94
8.56
6.72

Regional Growth Percentage
with Respect to National Growth
162.21
74.58
73.96
68.97
52.74
76.15
89.92
59.50
46.69
Appendix-B1
Appendix-B2

Figure-3: Regional Growth Scenario with Respect to the National Growth
Appendix-B3
300

Employment Change of Activity Sectors :1991-2001

250

200

150

100
Appendix-B4
Employment in 1991
Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas
Construction
Transportation and
work
Communication
Bagerhat
386,441
185,695
4,136
295
5,010
Khulna
506,657
190,924
34,420
1,893
10,643
Faridpur
390,893
256,842
5,748
433
5,643
Kishoreganj
566,613
424,505
10,068
550
5,639
Narsingdi
407,428
233,533
46,766
941
4,913
Rajbari
209,667
152,979
4,106
221
2,792
Shatkhira
421,945
271,596
9,809
232
6,696
Netrokona
448,199
375,830
3,718
331
3,482
Shariatpur
237,723
162,483
2,742
194
2,630

Employment Change 1991-2001
Household
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Construction
Transportation and
work
Gas
Communication
Bagerhat
18851
42388
-323
210
3076
Khulna
41778
64583
8380
258
6794
Faridpur
33578
23743
1333
208
7845
Kishoreganj
46940
18133
-1461
127
7160
Narsingdi
23207
4606
201
356
5994
Rajbari
19633
10360
477
131
5149
Shatkhira
41982
36957
-909
197
815
Netrokona
34404
28286
-156
26
4238
Shariatpur
6953
12816
672
93
2088

Bussiness Service
9,418
21,533
9,023
10,437
9,270
4,529
8,341
3,088
3,117

64,008
104,102
51,925
75,820
70,528
29,411
67,282
45,605
27,306

8,767
10,297
5,868
10,160
7,071
3,999
4,979
5,822
2,615

Bussiness
5987
12805
11214
11293
9407
6561
7623
8133
3060

Others

6636
17172
12257
26442
13270
6915
15269
11403
7598

10,598
220,107
78,835
96,627
88,806
34,186
70,063
72,921
36,907

Service
-856
3310
155
250
2796
-825
3534
247
170

Others
81466
-36941
-4616
10272
6147
32
5955
-4452
-1479
Appendix-B4
Employment Change Percentage
Household
Agriculture
Industry
Water, Electricity,
Construction
Trans. & Comm.
work
Gas
Bagerhat
4.88
22.83
-7.81
71.19
61.40
Khulna
8.25
33.83
24.35
13.63
63.84
Faridpur
8.59
9.24
23.19
48.04
139.02
Kishoreganj
8.28
4.27
-14.51
23.09
126.97
Narsingdi
5.70
1.97
0.43
37.83
122.00
Rajbari
9.36
6.77
11.62
59.28
184.42
Shatkhira
9.95
13.61
-9.27
84.91
12.17
Netrokona
7.68
7.53
-4.20
7.85
121.71
Shariatpur
2.92
7.89
24.51
47.94
79.39

Bussiness
63.57
59.47
124.28
108.20
101.48
144.87
91.39
263.37
98.17

10.37
16.50
23.61
34.87
18.82
23.51
22.69
25.00
27.83

Service
-9.76
32.15
2.64
2.46
39.54
-20.63
70.98
4.24
6.50

Others
768.69
-16.78
-5.86
10.63
6.92
0.09
8.50
-6.11
-4.01

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Shift Share Analysis Based on Main Activity Sector of Selected Districts of Bangladesh

  • 1. Plan 434 Regional Planning Studio Shift Share Analysis Based on Main Activity Sectors of Selected Districts of Bangladesh Submitted by: Group 04 (0615015) (0615019) (0615020) (0615030)
  • 2. Course No: Plan 434 Course Title: Regional Planning Studio Shift Share Analysis Based on Main Activity Sectors of Selected Districts of Bangladesh Submitted to: Dr. Ishrat Islam, Associate Professor, Dept. of URP, BUET Dr. Afsana Haque, Assistant Professor, Dept. of URP, BUET Anindya Kishore Debnath, Lecturer, Dept. of URP, BUET Submitted by: Group-04 Imam Hossain (06 15 015) Tazrina Habib Ananya (06 15 019) Shahadat Hossain Shakil (06 15 020) Khaled Bin Abdul Quader (06 15 030) Level-4, Term-1 Date of Submission: 18th May, 2011 Department of Urban and Regional Planning Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology
  • 3. Acknowledgement First and foremost, thanks to the merciful and benevolent Almighty to give us patience, energy and capability to work hard for completing the report. We wish to express our earnest gratitude and indebtedness to our respectable course teachers Dr. Israt Islam, Associate Professor; Dr. Afsana Haque, Assistant Professor and Aninday Kishore Debnath, Lecturer Department of Urban and Regional Planning, BUET for their intimate co-operation and support, valuable advice, comment, constant encouragement and supervision which have inspired us to carry out this study successfully. Thanks to the pre-researchers for their meaningful, thoughtful works which enriched our knowledge. i
  • 4. Abstract Shift share analysis is an effective regional planning tool to explore the regional competitiveness and industrial composition. In this study the regional competitiveness among the selected districts of Bangladesh in terms of regional employment figure in the main activity sectors has been tried to develop. The comparative scenario among the several districts has been figured out and the regional influencing factors behind that have been analyzed. ii
  • 5. Table of Contents Contents Page No. Acknowledgement i Abstract ii Table of contents iii List of illustrations iv Chapter-01: Introduction 1 1.1 Background of the Study 1 1.2 Concept of Shift Share Analysis 1 1.2 Objectives of the Study 2 1.3 Methodology of the Study 3 Chapter - 02: Analysis 4 2.1 Inter District Analysis 4 2.2 Intra District Analysis 5 2.3 Sector wise Analysis 13 Chapter – 03: Major Findings 14 3.1 Findings 14 3.2 Recommendations 14 3.3 Conclusion 15 References Appendices iii
  • 6. List of Tables Tables Page No. Table-1: Explanation of the Shift Share Components 2 T Table-2: Progressive and Less Progressive Districts of Each Sector 13 List of Figures Figures Page No. Fig-1: Schematic Diagram of the Methodology 3 Fig-2: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 6 (based on employment data) of Bagerhat district Fig-3: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 7 (based on employment data) of Khulna district Fig-4: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 8 (based on employment data) of Faridpur district Fig-5: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 9 (based on employment data) of Kishoreganj district Fig-6: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 10 (based on employment data) of Narsingdi district Fig-7: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 11 (based on employment data) of Rajbari district Fig-8: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 11 (based on employment data) of Satkhira district Fig-9: Shift Share components of different activity sectors 12 (based on employment data) of Netrokona district Fig-10: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Shariatpur district iv 13
  • 7. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Chapter - 01: Introduction 1.1 Background of the Study Shift share analysis is a traditional tool in the regional planning discipline. Through a descriptive analysis of the productive structure, it allows the comparison of regional differences within a country, region or state. Shift share analysis is one way to account for the competitiveness of a region's industries and to analyze the local economic base. This analysis is primarily used to decompose employment changes within an economy over a specific period of time into mutually exclusive factors. Like other analytical economic tools, the shift share technique is only a descriptive tool that should be used in combination with other analysis to provide a summary of a region's key employment potential industries. 1.2 Concept of Shift Share Analysis As a regional planning tool shift share analysis explores the scenario of economic growth of a region which is generated by a national growth in that sector, supportive industry mix and comparative advantage of that particular region. The shift-share analysis divides the change in local industry employment into three components: National Growth Share (Nj): The share of local job growth that can be attributed to growth of the national economy. Specifically, if the nation as a whole is experiencing employment growth, ("a rising tide lifts all boats"), one would expect total national growth to exert a positive growth influence on the local area. Industrial Mix/Proportionality Shift (Pj): The industrial mix or proportionality shift component reflects differences in industry “mix” between the local and national levels. The mix-factor examines how national growth or decline of a particular industry translates into local growth or decline of that industry. Local Share/Regional Shift/Differential Shift (Dj): This share of local job growth describes the extent to which factors unique to the local area have caused growth or decline in regional employment of an industrial group. Even during periods of general prosperity, some regions and some industries grow faster than others do. This is usually attributed to some local comparative advantage such as natural resources, linked industries, or favorable local labor situations. 1|P age
  • 8. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio The formula of calculating various components of shift share analysis are given below. National Share, Nj = ∑ [ Eijo(Et/Eo) – Eijo] Proportionality Shift Component, Pj = ∑ [(Eit/Eio)-(Et/Eo)]Eijo Differential Shift Component, Dj = ∑ [(Eijt/Eijo)-(Eit/Eio)]Eijo Total Regional Growth, Gj = Ejt – Ejo = Nj + Pj + Dj Total Net Shift Component, (P+D)j = Ejt – (Et/Eo)Ejo = Gj – Nj Where, Ej = total employment in region j; E = total national employment o,t = initial and terminal period; i = industry subscript Table-1: Explanation of the Shift Share Components Total Regional Growth<National Growth + Industry of interest is growing Industry of interest is declining + Local competitiveness is present for economic growth - Differential Shift Component Total Regional Growth>National Growth - Proportionality Shift Component + - Net Shift Component Local competiveness is absent for economic growth 1.3 Objectives of the Study  To find out the regional employment growth of the selected districts and contribution of shift share components.  To identify the influential factors of the regional growth and the probable reason behind that.  To carry out inter regional comparison of shift share components. 2|P age
  • 9. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio 1.4 Methodology of the Study To achieve the stated objectives employment data according to main activity sector of the selected 9 districts (Figure: Appendix-A) of Bangladesh has been collected for the two time frames 1991 and 2001 (Table: Appendix-A1). All districts data has been compiled to find out the national employment change and the sector/activity wise employment change nationally, over the time period (Table: Appendix-A1). Then by applying the shift share analysis formula the regional growth of the selected districts has been determined. During the calculation process the three different share and shift component (national share, proportionality shift and differential shift) for every activity sector of every district has been obtained (Table: AppendixA2). These values are further used in the analysis stage to carry out the intra and inter regional analysis. The intra regional analysis in terms of the most influential activity sector in the regional growth and the factors behind that has been figured out. Inter regional comparison in terms of regional growth component and activity wise prominent districts have been sorted in the later stage. After the analysis process the major findings has been listed out and a report has been prepared to describe and elaborate the whole process. Project identification and fixation of objectives Data collection and compilation Calculation of shift share components Intra and inter regional analysis Major findings and report preparation Figure-1: Schematic Diagram of the Methodology 3|P age
  • 10. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Chapter - 02: Analysis 2.1 Inter District Analysis To achieve one of the objective of the study inter regional or inter district comparison has been carried out in terms of regional employment growth (Figure-1: Appendix-B). Meanwhile the shift share components have been also compared among the districts to assess the major factor behind the regional employment growth (Figure-1, 2: Appendix-B). The analysis has been carried out by comparing the percentage change values of the national share, proportionality shift, differential shift and regional growth with respect to the total employment in the respective region in 1991 (Table: Appendix-B1). The percentage change instead of absolute values has been used to assess the actual magnitude of the change and to find out the actual progressive regions. If absolute values are used in the analysis process it may can give wrong scenario; because if any regions total employment data is already high in the previous time frame it will give a higher values for all shift share components than a region which had a lower total regional employment data in the past though the two region experiencing same kind of growth. So to explore the actual change the percentage change values has been used for this purpose. The absolute values of the shift share components have been used to compare the percentage composition of the regional growth among the regions (Table: Appendix-B1). The comparison of the shift share component among the selected 9 districts is illustrated in the next page (Figure-1: Appendix-B). From that illustration it can be summarized that only Bagerhats regional employment growth crossed the national employment growth during the study period 1991-2001. The rest of the districts regional employment growth is less than the national employment growth. The factor responsible for the high regional growth of Bagerhat is the positive differential shift component of Bagerhat. That means the local advantage/local factors played an influential role for the regional employment change. The reverse situation can be found for Narsingdi district. It has the lowest regional employment growth followed by the highest negative differential shift of employment growth. From the illustrations, inter district comparison of employment growth and shift share components (Figure-1: Appendix-B) and the comparison of percentage composition of the regional growth among the regions (Figure-2: Appendix-B); it can be seen positive regional 4|P age
  • 11. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio growth occurred mainly because of the national share. Its contribution is the maximum. But the main influential factor behind the variation of the regional employment growth among the districts is the differential shift component. In the districts where the differential shift component is positive it experienced a better regional growth and vice versa. The proportionality shift component played a weak role in case of regional employment change for all the districts. In summary from the above analysis it can be stated that only Bagerhat is expanding better than the national trend, the rest of the district is lag behind in this case. The national declining trend of the activity sectors very weakly influenced the regional growth. The local level growth of the activity sectors in the selected districts is poor and hampering the net regional employment growth. The regional growth scenario with respect to the national growth is represented with the help of a map (Figure-3: Appendix-B2). In that map the selected districts has been classified into 4 classes according to their comparative situation of regional growth with respect the national growth. From that map it can be summarized that maximum districts experienced a regional growth ranging half to two-third of the national growth. The percentage value of the regional employment growth of the respective regions with respect to the national employment growth is shown in the appendix. (Table: Appendix-B1) 2.2 Intra District Analysis For intra regional analysis total regional growth of a district and employment growth of each sector of that district has been considered. Regional growth is consists of three Shift Share components and each of these components has its distinct impact. To analyze the influence of these three components on sectoral employment growth of each region column charts has been used. As for all the activity sectors regional growth is not same, if charts have been drown with the absolute value of growth of all the sectors it will not represent the contribution of each Shift Share components properly. So, growth of each sector has been considered as 100% for a better representation. In Intra regional analysis one aim is to find out the striking factors for a district and to identify the possible reasons behind that. For discovering the remarkable factors differential shift component has been considered as it is the main influential component for a regional growth which separates one region from another. 5|P age
  • 12. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Bagerhat District In Bagerhat district the national share component has the major impact on total regional employment growth. More than 50% employment growth of Bagerhat district has been generated because of national employment growth. It has been also found that the contribution of Differential shift component is also vital which implies almost 40% share of regional growth. So it could be said that that Bagerhat has some local advantages which has influenced the employment growth in this district. But the proportionality shift has a negative impact on the employment growth. There is a little decrease in total employment because of the composition pattern of different sectors in Bagerhat. One remarkable factor of Bagerhat is it has an employment growth in agricultural sectors more than national employment growth of this sector. When in most of the districts differential shifts of agriculture sector contain a negative value, Bagerhat has a positive value which is because of any local influential factor of this district. This influential factor is may be the huge production of Shrimp in Bagerhat. In this district 36.24% people’s main income source is fishing and there are 12563 fisheries (Shrimp cultivation) in Bagerhat. Bagerhat has a large amount of Shrimp production than any other district of Bangladesh which makes great impact on its employment growth in agricultural sector. Percentage Shift share components of Bagerhat district 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% Activity sectors National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-2: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Bagerhat district 6|P age
  • 13. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Business sector has a negative differential shift in Bagerhat; it states that employment growth in this sector was less the national employment growth of this sector. One reason behind it could be the inefficiency of Mongla port in previous years. The Port is the principal Port of the Bangladesh but it been facing some problems, as a result the loading and unloading of goods have being very slow. For its inefficiency there could be an increase in employment of business sector in Bagerhat. Khulna District In Khulna district more than 50% employment growth has been generated because of national employment growth. Proportionality shift has a very mild impact on regional employment growth but differential shift has negatively influenced the employment growth. It could be recognized that employment in this district has grew more slowly than the nation because of regional share effects. In Khulna differential shift for agriculture has a positive value which implies that this sector has been flourishing in this district for any local advantage. This advantage is may be the large quantity of Jute production in Khulna which generates many employments in this sector. Employment growth of Industry is also fast growing in Khulna then the national employment growth in industry. It may be for concentration of several industries in Khulna like Shipyard, Jute mills, Paper mills, Hard board mills, Textile mills, Steel mills. Many new mills have been established under private ownership and generated a large number of employments. Because of establishment of some new Educational institutes, Health services, Percentage Banks and NGOs employment in service sector has been also increased. 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% Shift share components of Khulna district Activity sectors National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-3: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Khulna district 7|P age
  • 14. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Faridpur District In Faridpur district influence of national employment growth is very much prominent upon regional employment growth. More than 75% employment growth in this district has been generated because of national employment growth. Impact of proportionality shift is very few and differential shift has a negative influence. It means because of some location disadvantage there is a few decrease in employment growth. Percenrage Shift share components of Faridpur district 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% Activity sectors National Share(Nj) Proportionality Shift(Pj) Differential Shift(Dj) Fig-4: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Faridpur district In Faridpur district agriculture sector has a negative differential shift. A possible reason behind this could be a decline of jute industry due to low prices on the international market which leads to shutting down of many jute plants. Urbanization could also be a reason behind decreasing no. of employment in agricultural sector. There is an increase in employment of transportation and communication sector than the national growth which may be for construction of new roads Kishoreganj District In Kishoreganj district national employment growth has a great influence on regional employment growth. More than 75% of regional growth has been occurred as a result of national employment growth. Proportionality shift has a little impact and differential shift has a negative influence which means that there is a concentration of slow growing sectors. Employment in agricultural sector in Kishoreganj could not be able to grow as like as the national employment growth of agriculture. One reason behind it could be a decrease in egg production which is the main agricultural product of Kishoreganj. In 1998 egg production has 8|P age
  • 15. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio been reduced due to flood and may people stopped poultry farming. Employment in Industry sector also could not grow as national employment growth of industry these may be for shutting down of some mills in Kishoreganj like Kalia Chapra Sugar Mill, Kishoreganj Sugar Mill, and Badam Tail Mills. Employment in Service sector has been increased may be because of establishment of new service facilities like Jahurul Islam Medical College and Hospital which started its journey in a broad scale from 1992. Percentage Shift share components of Kishoreganj district 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% National Share(N) Activity Sectors Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-5: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Kishoreganj district Narsingdi District In Narshindi District more than 60% employment growth has been generated as an impact of national employment growth. Differential shift comprises a negative value which means that because of some local factors employment growth has faced obstacle and could not grow as the national growth. Employment growth of agriculture sector in Narsingdi could not be as the national employment growth of this sector. The main reason behind this could be the rapid urbanization of this district. The urbanization rate of this district is faster than other district because of close proximity with Dhaka. May be there is shift of employment from agricultural sector to business and service sector. Narsingdi has large amount of employment in Water, Gas, Electricity sector other districts. The possible reason behind this would be the large no. of employment engaged in Narsingdi gas field and Ghorashal power plant. 9|P age
  • 16. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Shift share components of Narsingdi district 100% Percentage 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% National Share(N) Activity sectors Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-6: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Narsingdi district Rajbari District In Rajbari district the main influential component on regional growth is National share. More than 75% employment growth has been generated because of national employment growth. But the local factors could not make an employment growth in Rajbari, so the differential shift is negative for this district. Proportionality shift is also negative which implies that there is a concentration of slow growing sectors. In Rajbari employment growth in agriculture could not be as fast as national employment growth in agriculture which is may be because of urbanization. As Rajbari is located at near Dhaka, it has faced a rapid urbanization which results a decline of cropped land and as well as employment in agriculture. Several development projects have been completed within 1991 in Rajbari which generated a large no. of employment in transportation and communication sector. 10 | P a g e
  • 17. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Percentage Shift share components of Rajbari district 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% National Share(N) Activity Sectors Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-7: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Rajbari district Satkhira District In Satkhira contribution of national employment growth is very significant on regional employment growth as national share component contains 80% share of regional growth. Differential shift and proportionality shift has negative influence which implies that the composition pattern and local factors could not contribute in regional employment growth. Percentage . 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% Shift share components of Satkhira district Activty Sectors National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-8: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Satkhira district In Satkhira there is a remarkable increase in employment of service sector than the national employment growth of service sector. It may be because of increased no. of Educational institutes, Health services, Banks, NGOs and Co-operative societies 11 | P a g e
  • 18. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Netrokona District In Netrokona dstrict 60% of total employment growth has been took place due to national employment growth. Proportionality shift and differential shift has negatively influenced the regional growth. In Netrokona employment growth in agriculture is less the national employment growth of agriculture which has influenced by any local factor. May be it happened because of shifting of large amount of labors to abroad. There is a employment growth in Transportation and communication sectors more than the national employment growth of this sector which may be due to several new development projects. Percentage Shift share components of Netrokona district 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% Activity Sectors National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-9: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Netrokona district Shariatpur District In Satriatpur district national share component contains 60% share of regional growth and differential shift has a negative influence on regional employment growth. Employment in agriculture could not cope up with national growth. As the amount of cropped land has decreased the employment in agriculture has also decreased. Employment growth in industry sector is more than the national growth, may be because of concentration of many cottage industry. 12 | P a g e
  • 19. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Percentage Shift share components of Shariatpur district 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% Activity Sectors National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Fig-10: Shift Share components of different activity sectors (based on employment data) of Shariatpur district 2.3 Sector wise Analysis In sector wise analysis the aim is to compare the employment growth of each sector in different districts. Employment growth has been calculated in percentage for different sectors of each district with respect to the employment of that sector in 1991 (Figure-4: Appendix-B3 and Table: Appendix-B4). From the figure it could be easily recognized that which sector is progressive in which district and which sector is less progressive in which district. This is shown in Table-2 in a summarized form. Table-2: Progressive and Less Progressive Districts of Each Sector Activity Sector Progressive District Less Progressive District Household Work Rajbari, Shatkhira Shariatpur Agriculture Khulna, Bagerhat Narsingdi Industry Khulna, Faridpur Netrokona, Bagerhat, Water/Electricity/Gas Shatkhira, Bagerhat Netrokona,Kishoreganj Shatkhira, Khulna Construction Rajbari,Faridpur, Shatkhira Transportation Netrokona,Rajbari Kishoreganj Khulna &Communication Business Kishoreganj Bagerhat Service Shatkhira Rajbari, Bagerhat Others Bagerhat Khulna, Netrokona, Shariatpur,Faridpur 13 | P a g e
  • 20. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio 14 | P a g e
  • 21. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio Chapter – 03: Major Findings 3.1 Findings National Growth  National employment growth is in a positive trend (14.4%) over the time period 19912001 reflecting a developing and rising economic scenario.  National employment growth (14.4%) has a significant influence on the regional growth of each sector of each region.  In most of the region the regional growth is positive because of national share; which reflect nationally moderate policy making and resource allocation for the regional level development but the failure of the regions own capability to generate employment opportunities through local level investments. Industrial Mix  Household; Agriculture; Water, Gas, Electricity and Service – these four sectors could not flourish like the National Trend.  Industry; Construction; Transportation and Communication; Business and Others – these sectors has been expanded more than National Trend.  The overall scenario of the industrial mix in the studied region is the declination of agricultural and service sector and the rising of industry and construction sector which is the indicator of a developing countries economy of the third world country. Regional/ Local Factors  Different local factors have the crucial influence on regional growth such as local climatic advantage (i.e. salty water of Bagerhat for shrimp production), geographical location advantage (i.e. location of Khulna district near sea for shipyard industry) etc.  The variation in the regional among the region is mainly because of regional shift.  Most of the regions total regional growth is not highly supported by the local employment growth because of the lack of prosperity in maximum sector at the local level. 3.2 Recommendations  Encouragement in the regional/district level investment in the relatively weak sectors (i.e Agriculture, Service etc.) to generate more employment.  Using the local advantage of the regions in a more fruitful way to generate more employment by using the limited resources in a more effective way. 14 | P a g e
  • 22. PLAN 434 Regional Planning Studio 3.3 Conclusion Regional competitiveness and industrial variation can be analyzed through the shift share analysis. By using this traditional descriptive tool the potential sectors of any region and the possible local factors behind that can be identified. The regional shifting of various factors among various sectors can be analyzed but it cannot be explicitly pinpointed. Though it is a very effective tool for analyzing the industrial structure of a region it should be used in combination with the other regional analysis and helping database to assess the reasons behind the shift and share more explicitly. 15 | P a g e
  • 23. References: 1. Banglapedia; National Encyclopedia of Bangladesh. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.banglapedia.org/httpdocs/english/index.htm 2. Community Series; Population Census of Bangladesh 2001. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics. 3. Debnath, A. K., Islam, M. R., Daisy, N. S., & Mouri, S. J. (2009). Application of Shift Share in Regional Growth Analysis: Dhaka, Narayanganj and Munshiganj. Dhaka: Department of Urban and Regional Planning. 4. Glasson, J. (1974). An Introduction to Regional Planning(Cocepts, Theory and Practice). London: Hutchinson & Co (Publishers) Ltd. 5. Wikipedia; The Free Encyclopedia. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.bbs.gov.bd/RptZillaProfile.aspx 6. Zilla Profile. (n.d.). Retrieved from Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics: http://www.bbs.gov.bd/RptZillaProfile.aspx 7. Zilla Series; Population Census of Bangladsesh 1991. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics. 8. MA Jabbar, MH Rahman, RK Talukder , SK Raha. Alternative institutinal arrangement for contract farming in Poultry production in Bangladesh and their impacts on equity. (2007). Retrieved March 30, 2011, from www.mahider.ilri.org: http://mahider.ilri.org/bitstream/10568/217/1/ResearchReport_No7.pdf 9. Jahurul Islam Medical College and Hospital. Retrieved May 15, 2011, from www.jimedcol.org: http://www.jimedcol.org/index2.htm 10. Financial Express. Retrieved May 15, 2011, from www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com: http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/search_index.php?page=detail_news&news_id=70460
  • 25. Appendix-A1 1991 Employment Data Zilla Main Activity Sector Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity and Gas Construction Transport Business Service Others District Total Bagerhat 386441 185695 4136 295 5010 9418 64008 8767 10598 Khulna 506657 190924 34420 1893 10643 21533 104102 10297 220107 Faridpur 390893 256842 5748 433 5643 9023 51925 5868 78835 Kishoreganj 566613 424505 10068 550 5639 10437 75820 10160 96627 Narsingdi 407428 233533 46766 941 4913 9270 70528 7071 88806 Rajbari 209667 152979 4106 221 2792 4529 29411 3999 34186 Shatkhira 421945 271596 9809 232 6696 8341 67282 4979 70063 Netrokona 448199 375830 3718 331 3482 3088 45605 5822 72921 Shariatpur 237723 162483 2742 194 2630 3117 27306 2615 36907 Activity Total 3575566 2254387 121513 5090 47448 78756 535987 59578 709050 TableP20: Population 10 years and over by main activity Zilla Series, Population Census of Bangladesh,1991 674368 1100576 805210 1200419 869256 441890 860943 958996 475717 2001 Employment Data Zilla Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity and Gas Bagerhat 405292 228083 3813 Khulna 548435 255507 42800 Faridpur 424471 280585 7081 Kishoreganj 613553 442638 8607 Narsingdi 430635 238139 46967 Rajbari 229300 163339 4583 Shatkhira 463927 308553 8900 Netrokona 482603 404116 3562 Shariatpur 244676 175299 3414 Activity Total 3842892 2496259 129727 Table C05: Population 10 years and over by main activity Community Series, Population Census of Bangladesh,2001 505 2151 641 677 1297 352 429 357 287 6696 Main Activity Sector Construction Transport Business Service Other(Including Hotel) 8086 17437 13488 12799 10907 7941 7511 7720 4718 90607 15405 34338 20237 21730 18677 11090 15964 11221 6177 154839 70644 121274 64182 102262 83798 36326 82551 57008 34904 652949 7911 13607 6023 10410 9867 3174 8513 6069 2785 68359 92064 183166 74219 106899 94953 34218 76018 68469 35428 765434 District Total 831803 1218715 890927 1319575 935240 490323 972366 1041125 507688
  • 26. Appendix-A1 Population 10 Years and Over by Main Activity in 1991 Sl. No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Zila Gazipur Gopalganj Jamalpur Madaripur Manikganj Mushiganj Mymensingh Narayanganj Sherpur Tangail Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj Narsingdi Rajbari Shatkhira Netrokona Shariatpur Barishal Bandarban Patuakhali Rangamati Pirozpur Khagrachari Bhola Jhalokathi Barguna Pabna Household Agriculture Work 402,341 266,084 489,640 274,334 321,028 283,307 988,534 384,381 278,380 790,210 386,441 506,657 390,893 566,613 407,428 209,667 421,945 448,199 237,723 551,356 53,004 336,937 88,415 302,348 86,615 357,755 178,975 211,193 477,476 240,346 178,151 377,579 184,521 196,766 155,929 748,129 104,436 215,167 534,652 185,695 190,924 256,842 424,505 233,533 152,979 271,596 375,830 162,483 282,419 44,068 187,692 64,189 130,710 55,347 239,542 82,874 126,949 302,543 Industry 28,646 3,118 6,675 4,347 6,497 7,149 13,399 67,815 3,418 42,459 4,136 34,420 5,748 10,068 46,766 4,106 9,809 3,718 2,742 9,435 1,328 3,112 5,372 4,163 499 2,089 3,216 1,001 25,860 Water / Gas 1,337 189 605 350 294 1,293 1,365 2,940 188 1,338 295 1,893 433 550 941 221 232 331 194 1,118 37 329 1,002 326 44 267 257 173 673 Construction 7,446 3,640 4,822 3,689 4,219 5,681 12,819 11,298 2,018 9,282 5,010 10,643 5,643 5,639 4,913 2,792 6,696 3,482 2,630 9,380 579 8,056 1,212 4,358 1,190 4,926 3,635 3,218 7,304 Transport & Communication 12,021 3,340 5,923 3,819 6,160 6,133 20,311 21,610 3,430 16,359 9,418 21,533 9,023 10,437 9,270 4,529 8,341 3,088 3,117 10,441 522 3,653 1,424 4,630 762 6,273 3,511 2,246 10,379 Business 58,114 31,133 59,488 35,084 44,248 64,323 105,727 105,128 31,952 90,973 64,008 104,102 51,925 75,820 70,528 29,411 67,282 45,605 27,306 94,438 6,464 43,598 12,910 52,972 9,495 46,472 25,760 27,363 75,940 Service 6,727 4,805 8,060 5,367 4,466 6,820 15,745 10,132 3,976 14,702 8,767 10,297 5,868 10,160 7,071 3,999 4,979 5,822 2,615 14,669 2,606 12,522 2,462 7,971 1,350 5,028 5,218 5,246 10,147 Other 129,161 39,962 103,197 50,875 62,517 63,387 196,973 211,319 62,489 126,065 10,598 220,107 78,835 96,627 88,806 34,186 70,063 72,921 36,907 144,019 26,116 78,200 44,818 66,502 38,277 82,515 41,420 43,566 112,775 Total 886,139 530,422 1,055,989 562,386 646,195 594,022 2,103,002 919,059 601,018 1,626,040 674,368 1,100,576 805,210 1,200,419 869,256 441,890 860,943 958,996 475,717 1,117,275 134,724 674,099 221,804 573,980 193,579 744,867 344,866 420,955 1,023,097
  • 27. Appendix-A1 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Nababganj Kurigram Naogaon Nator Rajshahi Dinajpur Gaibandha Shirajganj Nilphamari Maulavibazar Hobigonj Sunamgonj Rangpur Panchagarh Thakurgaon Sylhet Lalmonirhat Narail Kustia Joypurhat Jessore Bogra Magura Meherpur 316,804 412,953 569,172 351,290 499,843 566,860 487,568 576,824 345,021 335,132 393,655 345,021 544,369 179,069 259,146 544,944 237,337 173,885 391,679 200,072 544,921 684,069 180,786 136,591 182,593 322,863 461,756 271,145 328,513 462,993 365,518 354,516 278,061 189,563 274,929 341,599 405,451 154,392 217,988 279,391 201,666 110,573 236,734 166,213 363,129 495,163 127,793 105,916 5,529 1,918 9,271 7,041 7,259 12,419 5,886 62,508 4,636 31,463 14,162 2,986 19,950 1,310 2,609 8,141 1,127 3,585 21,734 3,391 15,226 12,825 3,775 979 240 202 452 282 708 987 418 582 300 995 840 232 708 81 290 1,348 564 65 547 205 681 1,023 290 71 9,181 2,964 4,561 3,719 7,209 6,755 4,035 5,823 2,367 6,723 8,791 5,016 6,225 1,208 2,981 15,953 1,552 1,770 6,866 2,342 7,504 8,182 2,354 1,620 2,420 4,340 5,880 4,866 1,017 9,829 8,289 6,348 3,586 6,021 4,753 2,912 10,452 1,497 2,604 13,667 3,224 3,582 7,171 2,770 14,971 17,283 3,825 1,173 52,328 34,570 57,244 40,717 68,477 66,249 50,403 82,608 33,690 45,743 46,206 45,287 63,597 13,344 21,776 89,884 22,527 20,315 65,986 23,435 75,961 91,504 21,860 18,307 4,497 3,566 7,747 8,071 7,304 6,457 6,057 9,152 3,557 7,486 7,143 7,158 6,971 1,439 2,768 110,802 2,072 3,155 20,192 3,092 9,867 9,272 2,083 1,354 56,283 53,988 76,714 79,806 116,825 86,887 69,591 121,113 58,920 132,634 81,053 90,405 107,890 29,670 42,519 169,694 45,373 30,279 84,347 33,134 114,689 141,731 28,110 19,317 629,875 837,364 1,192,797 766,937 1,037,155 1,219,436 997,765 1,219,474 730,138 755,760 831,532 840,616 1,165,613 382,010 552,681 1,233,824 515,442 347,209 835,256 434,654 1,146,949 1,461,052 370,876 285,328 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 jhenaidah Chuadanga Lakhshmipur Cox's Bazar Feni Chittagong Brahmanbaria 352,892 217,638 332,407 342,764 280,396 1,289,999 529,759 266,798 162,445 178,553 162,920 117,540 395,281 328,958 8,342 6,367 4,381 6,463 6,178 128,812 13,846 474 219 439 555 562 8,262 1,379 3,947 2,398 4,707 4,192 6,002 36,676 6,698 5,920 3,537 8,024 8,917 9,079 72,266 8,854 46,554 28,947 43,760 63,371 41,431 281,921 75,828 3,097 4,070 7,377 7,716 8,240 47,947 8,435 57,881 28,544 63,932 119,054 61,717 527,154 99,324 745,905 454,165 643,580 715,952 531,145 2,788,318 1,073,081
  • 28. Appendix-A1 61 Chandpur 511,680 265,666 8,660 1,470 8,849 11,296 72,135 10,618 89,192 979,566 62 Noakhali 63 Comilla 64 Dhaka Activity Total 561,724 1,008,730 1,273,363 26,676,242 244,941 563,107 195,702 16,286,765 10,057 18,670 163,464 996,081 1,015 2,695 15,683 64,079 6,648 15,876 72,482 450,396 12,614 31,053 145,756 681,499 76,825 133,103 455,142 4,028,604 10,146 20,519 78,828 665,852 117,853 192,917 1,324,591 6,986,334 1,041,823 1,986,670 3,725,011 56,835,852 Service Other (with Hotel) Population 10 Years and Over by Main Activity in 2001 Sl. No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Zila Household Agriculture Work Industry Water / Electricity Construction / Gas Transport Business District Total Gazipur Gopalganj Jamalpur Madaripur Manikganj Munshiganj Mymensingh 443,925 273,481 527,519 254,821 340,500 299,300 1,036,382 260,343 193,533 390,989 190,315 213,111 138,676 772,352 90,930 2,316 7,047 3,494 6,426 8,248 12,132 1,499 309 550 232 581 626 1,446 22,416 7,615 9,963 7,903 8,010 11,583 23,650 30,514 7,370 17,031 7,135 12,720 12,735 41,915 90,890 36,371 66,031 40,800 51,603 73,276 135,888 24,128 5,325 6,864 4,850 3,799 3,812 18,558 134,889 38,172 94,148 39,073 66,477 73,492 237,179 1,099,534 564,492 1,120,142 548,623 703,227 621,748 2,279,502 Narayanganj Sherpur Tangail Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj 446,297 309,495 835,758 405,292 548,435 424,471 613,553 126,213 230,391 559,129 228,083 255,507 280,585 442,638 97,303 4,862 26,318 3,813 42,800 7,081 8,607 2,026 309 990 505 2,151 641 677 21,061 4,919 17,329 8,086 17,437 13,488 12,799 38,031 11,334 32,312 15,405 34,338 20,237 21,730 129,557 37,256 116,123 70,644 121,274 64,182 102,262 8,280 3,089 9,789 7,911 13,607 6,023 10,410 240,823 72,248 156,272 92,064 183,166 74,219 106,899 1,109,591 673,903 1,754,020 831,803 1,218,715 890,927 1,319,575 Narsingdi 430,635 238,139 46,967 1,297 10,907 18,677 83,798 9,867 94,953 935,240
  • 29. Appendix-A1 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Rajbari Shatkhira 229,300 463,927 163,339 308,553 4,583 8,900 352 429 7,941 7,511 11,090 15,964 36,326 82,551 3,174 8,513 34,218 76,018 Netrokona Shariatpur Barishal Bandarban Patuakhali 482,603 244,676 547,441 62,585 374,458 404,116 175,299 300,617 300,617 51,613 3,562 3,414 9,496 1,389 3,710 357 287 1,496 57 426 7,720 4,718 17,472 2,103 9,669 11,221 6,177 18,512 1,146 9,244 57,008 34,904 102,324 8,325 54,068 6,069 2,785 20,701 1,183 6,434 68,469 35,428 114,162 24,529 72,198 490,323 972,366 1,041,125 507,688 1,132,221 401,934 581,820 Rangamati Pirozpur Khagrachari Bhola Jhalokathi Barguna Pabna Nababganj 112,500 275,514 123,902 383,533 176,281 223,815 86,049 152,882 79,314 245,726 778 3,110 993 2,257 2,163 160 3,391 71 568 314 2,187 6,476 2,833 7,414 5,069 1,951 7,459 2,405 10,898 5,191 16,541 53,189 14,860 56,811 29,337 3,574 4,491 3,453 6,066 3,466 49,860 520,518 39,012 93,820 37,312 411,366 960,197 340,411 640,681 504,859 510,446 361,241 339,197 214,591 26,515 4,069 780 313 14,038 13,181 24,440 7,135 81,495 54,687 8,385 6,429 109,248 54,722 1,114,544 716,368 Kurigram Naogaon Nator Rajshahi Dinajpur Gaibandha Shirajganj Nilphamari 461,630 630,928 404,503 589,119 654,553 544,732 636,940 375,865 336,630 515,352 311,322 381,551 482,769 396,123 403,823 291,754 2,550 9,649 5,711 8,021 8,180 5,775 56,051 3,595 277 545 310 1,020 705 442 755 434 5,692 8,257 6,466 13,985 11,107 9,081 14,776 5,623 10,161 17,724 12,148 25,820 24,225 23,025 20,935 11,853 45,150 66,068 46,683 82,322 85,710 65,665 94,394 45,012 3,626 6,707 6,357 7,647 8,874 5,979 9,480 5,541 69,227 79,997 58,270 114,642 119,075 74,562 132,160 53,464 934,943 1,335,227 851,770 1,224,127 1,395,198 1,125,384 1,369,314 793,141 Maulavibazar Hobigonj Sunamgonj Rangpur Panchagarh Thakurgaon Sylhet 353,832 378,097 980,200 630,269 201,261 300,643 575,378 186,622 291,448 375,845 444,775 162,403 246,232 283,449 21,115 13,626 4,658 12,834 1,316 1,988 9,720 896 622 563 828 84 261 2,363 12,398 8,593 6,657 12,341 2,649 4,585 26,945 12,751 10,434 6,340 25,767 7,171 9,078 23,902 53,958 52,594 53,505 86,341 19,222 30,005 100,608 8,815 9,671 6,950 7,862 1,380 2,557 13,999 131,672 80,344 93,765 115,585 36,289 38,615 155,904 782,059 845,429 1,528,483 1,336,602 431,775 633,964 1,192,268
  • 30. Appendix-A1 46 47 Lalmonirhat Narail Kustia Joypurhat Jessore Bogra Magura Meherpur jhenaidah Chuadanga Lakhshmipur Chandpur Brahmanbaria Dhaka Comilla Noakhali Feni Chittagong Cox's Bazar Activity Total 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 271,384 219,782 1,830 243 3,074 6,819 28,888 3,226 38,143 573,389 173,074 443,599 222,381 611,363 754,654 200,440 155,032 398,142 261,232 345,453 527,816 536,311 1,573,574 1,034,626 597,041 297,879 1,484,793 382,257 29,527,272 120,918 259,859 175,037 412,270 540,518 151,996 127,829 311,242 200,915 186,062 275,606 326,604 481,345 604,275 281,154 121,122 458,510 184,161 18,115,035 3,142 20,875 3,695 22,272 20,587 3,672 1,433 6,887 4,609 3,609 6,289 9,202 303,485 16,414 8,116 6,655 123,637 5,489 1,179,970 140 725 289 970 931 189 117 358 210 616 1,167 1,208 14,036 2,370 1,160 950 6,423 679 65,726 3,133 11,393 4,501 14,740 18,972 4,200 2,795 7,392 5,719 9,954 15,187 12,451 142,125 25,751 14,080 10,648 58,513 7,739 827,020 6,617 18,678 9,429 29,618 41,438 7,768 3,655 16,908 9,351 14,559 16,165 14,775 215,552 44,605 23,559 15,242 99,689 13,105 1,303,183 24,385 82,197 26,884 99,168 110,331 28,644 22,178 62,094 39,474 50,257 81,655 88,869 571,980 56,245 84,647 46,849 313,467 73,374 4,721,204 2,374 6,213 3,549 9,637 10,820 2,028 1,336 4,059 3,014 7,866 12,319 9,373 105,872 23,006 11,080 8,077 50,892 10,143 611,364 21,208 90,580 30,327 118,904 133,885 27,202 24,427 53,736 35,948 61,773 102,488 91,971 1,291,179 200,697 104,326 572,335 689,343 108,036 8,183,667 354,991 934,119 476,092 1,318,942 1,632,136 426,139 338,802 860,818 560,472 680,149 1,038,692 1,090,764 4,699,148 2,007,989 1,125,163 1,079,757 3,285,267 784,983 64,534,441
  • 31. Appendix-A2 Bagerhat Activity Sector(i) National (1991) National (2001) National Growth National Sectoral Growth Factor NGF Regional (1991) Regional (2001) Regional Growth Regional S Growth Fa Ei0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 Household work Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and Communication Bussiness Service Others Total Khulna Activity Sector(i) 26465049 16159816 995080 63906 29527272 18115035 1179970 65726 3062223 1955219 184890 1820 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.03 386,441 185,695 4,136 295 405,292 228,083 3,813 505 18851 42388 -323 210 447178 679253 827020 1303183 379842 623930 1.85 1.92 5,010 9,418 8,086 15,405 3076 5987 4001241 660606 6942768 56414897 4721204 611364 8183667 64534441 719963 -49242 1240899 8119544 1.18 0.93 1.18 1.14 64,008 8,767 10,598 674,368 70,644 7,911 92,064 831,803 6636 -856 81466 157435 1.14 National (2001) National Growth National Sectoral Growth Factor NGF Regional (1991) Regional (2001) Regional Growth Regional S Growth Fa Ei0 Household work Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and National (1991) EiT EiT-Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST EiST-EiS0 EiST/EiS0 26465049 16159816 995080 63906 29527272 18115035 1179970 65726 3062223 1955219 184890 1820 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.03 447178 679253 827020 1303183 379842 623930 1.85 1.92 506,657 190,924 34,420 1,893 1.14 548,435 255,507 42,800 2,151 41778 64583 8380 258 10,643 21,533 17,437 34,338 6794 12805
  • 32. Appendix-A2 Construction Transportation and Communication Bussiness Service Others Total Kishoreganj Activity Sector(i) 447178 679253 827020 1303183 379842 623930 1.85 1.92 5,643 9,023 13,488 20,237 7845 11214 4001241 660606 6942768 56414897 4721204 611364 8183667 64534441 719963 -49242 1240899 8119544 1.18 0.93 1.18 1.14 51,925 5,868 78,835 805,210 64,182 6,023 74,219 890,927 12257 155 -4616 85717 National(1991) National(2001) National Growth National Sectoral Growth Factor NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth Regional S Growth Fa Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST/EiS0 Household work Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and Communication Bussiness Service Others Total Narsingdi Activity Sector(i) EiT EiT-Ei0 26465049 16159816 995080 63906 29527272 18115035 1179970 65726 3062223 1955219 184890 1820 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.03 447178 679253 827020 1303183 379842 623930 1.85 1.92 4001241 660606 6942768 56414897 4721204 611364 8183667 64534441 719963 -49242 1240899 8119544 1.18 0.93 1.18 1.14 EiST EiST-EiS0 566,613 424,505 10,068 550 46940 18133 -1461 127 5,639 10,437 12,799 21,730 7160 11293 75,820 10,160 96,627 1,200,419 1.14 613,553 442,638 8,607 677 102,262 10,410 106,899 1,319,575 26442 250 10272 119156 National Sectoral Growth Factor NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth Regional S Growth Fa Ei0 Household work National(1991) National(2001) National Growth EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiT 26465049 EiT-Ei0 29527272 3062223 1.12 EiST 407,428 EiST-EiS0 430,635 23207
  • 33. Appendix-A2 Activity Sector(i) National(1991) National(2001) National Growth National Sectoral Growth Factor NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth Regional S Growth Fa Ei0 EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST/EiS0 Household work Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and Communication Bussiness Service Others Total Shatkhira Activity Sector(i) EiT EiT-Ei0 26465049 16159816 995080 63906 29527272 18115035 1179970 65726 3062223 1955219 184890 1820 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.03 447178 679253 827020 1303183 379842 623930 1.85 1.92 4001241 660606 6942768 56414897 4721204 611364 8183667 64534441 719963 -49242 1240899 8119544 1.18 0.93 1.18 1.14 EiST EiST-EiS0 209,667 152,979 4,106 221 19633 10360 477 131 2,792 4,529 7,941 11,090 5149 6561 29,411 3,999 34,186 441,890 1.14 229,300 163,339 4,583 352 36,326 3,174 34,218 490,323 6915 -825 32 48433 National Sectoral Growth Factor NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth Regional S Growth Fa Ei0 Household work Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and Communication Bussiness Service National(1991) National(2001) National Growth EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiT EiT-Ei0 26465049 16159816 995080 63906 29527272 18115035 1179970 65726 3062223 1955219 184890 1820 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.03 447178 679253 827020 1303183 379842 623930 1.85 1.92 4001241 660606 4721204 611364 719963 -49242 1.18 0.93 EiST EiST-EiS0 421,945 271,596 9,809 232 1.14 463,927 308,553 8,900 429 41982 36957 -909 197 6,696 8,341 7,511 15,964 815 7623 67,282 4,979 82,551 8,513 15269 3534
  • 34. Appendix-A2 Bussiness Service Others Total Shariatpur Activity Sector(i) 4001241 660606 6942768 56414897 4721204 611364 8183667 64534441 719963 -49242 1240899 8119544 1.18 0.93 1.18 1.14 45,605 5,822 72,921 958,996 57,008 6,069 68,469 1,041,125 11403 247 -4452 82129 National Sectoral Growth Factor NGF Regional(1991) Regional(2001) Regional Growth Regional S Growth Fa Ei0 Household work Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and Communication Bussiness Service Others Total National(1991) National(2001) National Growth EiT/Ei0 ET/E0 EiS0 EiST/EiS0 EiT EiT-Ei0 EiST EiST-EiS0 26465049 16159816 995080 63906 29527272 18115035 1179970 65726 3062223 1955219 184890 1820 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.03 237,723 162,483 2,742 194 244,676 175,299 3,414 287 6953 12816 672 93 447178 679253 827020 1303183 379842 623930 1.85 1.92 2,630 3,117 4,718 6,177 2088 3060 4001241 660606 6942768 56414897 4721204 611364 8183667 64534441 719963 -49242 1240899 8119544 1.18 0.93 1.18 1.14 27,306 2,615 36,907 475,717 34,904 2,785 35,428 507,688 7598 170 -1479 31971 1.14
  • 35. Appendix-B 25.00 23.35 Inter District Comparison: Shift Share Components Percentage Change 20.00 15.00 10.73 10.65 9.93 10.00 12.94 10.96 8.56 7.59 6.72 5.00 0.00 Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj Narsingdi Rajbari Shatkhira Netrokona Shariatpur -5.00 -10.00 Districts Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Regional Growth(G) National Growth(N) Figure-1: Inter District Comparison of Employment Growth and Shift Share Components Shariatpur Netrokona Shatkhira Rajbari Narsingdi Kishoreganj Faridpur Khulna Bagerhat -40% National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Figure-2: Inter District Comparison in Terms of Percentage Composition of Regional Employment Growth Components (X-axis: Percentage; Y-axis: Districts)
  • 36. Appendix-B1 Districts Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj Narsingdi Rajbari Shatkhira Netrokona Shariatpur Regional Employment(1991) 674,368 1,100,576 805,210 1,200,419 869,256 441,890 860,943 958,996 475,717 District wise shift share components in 2001 Districts National Share(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj Narsingdi Rajbari Shatkhira Netrokona Shariatpur 97058.77 158400.99 115890.28 172770.94 125108.13 63599.25 123911.68 138024.01 68467.82 Differential Shift(D) -3435.25 15896.99 -2426.94 -9428.30 -269.39 -2424.68 -2791.75 -13391.31 -4375.11 63811.48 -56158.98 -27746.34 -44186.64 -58854.74 -12741.57 -9696.93 -42503.70 -32121.72 Regional Growth(G) 157435.00 118139.00 85717.00 119156.00 65984.00 48433.00 111423.00 82129.00 31971.00 Net Shift 60376.23 -40261.99 -30173.28 -53614.94 -59124.13 -15166.25 -12488.68 -55895.01 -36496.82 Percentage change of the shift share components with respect to the total employment in 1991 Districts National Growth(N) Proportionality Shift(P) Differential Shift(D) Regional Growth(G) Bagerhat 14.39 -0.51 9.46 23.35 Khulna 14.39 1.44 -5.10 10.73 Faridpur 14.39 -0.30 -3.45 10.65 Kishoreganj 14.39 -0.79 -3.68 9.93 Narsingdi 14.39 -0.03 -6.77 7.59 Rajbari 14.39 -0.55 -2.88 10.96 Shatkhira 14.39 -0.32 -1.13 12.94 Netrokona 14.39 -1.40 -4.43 8.56 Shariatpur 14.39 -0.92 -6.75 6.72 Districts Bagerhat Khulna Faridpur Kishoreganj Narsingdi Rajbari Shatkhira Netrokona Shariatpur National Growth(N) 14.39 14.39 14.39 14.39 14.39 14.39 14.39 14.39 14.39 Regional Growth(G) 23.35 10.73 10.65 9.93 7.59 10.96 12.94 8.56 6.72 Regional Growth Percentage with Respect to National Growth 162.21 74.58 73.96 68.97 52.74 76.15 89.92 59.50 46.69
  • 38. Appendix-B2 Figure-3: Regional Growth Scenario with Respect to the National Growth
  • 39. Appendix-B3 300 Employment Change of Activity Sectors :1991-2001 250 200 150 100
  • 40. Appendix-B4 Employment in 1991 Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Gas Construction Transportation and work Communication Bagerhat 386,441 185,695 4,136 295 5,010 Khulna 506,657 190,924 34,420 1,893 10,643 Faridpur 390,893 256,842 5,748 433 5,643 Kishoreganj 566,613 424,505 10,068 550 5,639 Narsingdi 407,428 233,533 46,766 941 4,913 Rajbari 209,667 152,979 4,106 221 2,792 Shatkhira 421,945 271,596 9,809 232 6,696 Netrokona 448,199 375,830 3,718 331 3,482 Shariatpur 237,723 162,483 2,742 194 2,630 Employment Change 1991-2001 Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Construction Transportation and work Gas Communication Bagerhat 18851 42388 -323 210 3076 Khulna 41778 64583 8380 258 6794 Faridpur 33578 23743 1333 208 7845 Kishoreganj 46940 18133 -1461 127 7160 Narsingdi 23207 4606 201 356 5994 Rajbari 19633 10360 477 131 5149 Shatkhira 41982 36957 -909 197 815 Netrokona 34404 28286 -156 26 4238 Shariatpur 6953 12816 672 93 2088 Bussiness Service 9,418 21,533 9,023 10,437 9,270 4,529 8,341 3,088 3,117 64,008 104,102 51,925 75,820 70,528 29,411 67,282 45,605 27,306 8,767 10,297 5,868 10,160 7,071 3,999 4,979 5,822 2,615 Bussiness 5987 12805 11214 11293 9407 6561 7623 8133 3060 Others 6636 17172 12257 26442 13270 6915 15269 11403 7598 10,598 220,107 78,835 96,627 88,806 34,186 70,063 72,921 36,907 Service -856 3310 155 250 2796 -825 3534 247 170 Others 81466 -36941 -4616 10272 6147 32 5955 -4452 -1479
  • 41. Appendix-B4 Employment Change Percentage Household Agriculture Industry Water, Electricity, Construction Trans. & Comm. work Gas Bagerhat 4.88 22.83 -7.81 71.19 61.40 Khulna 8.25 33.83 24.35 13.63 63.84 Faridpur 8.59 9.24 23.19 48.04 139.02 Kishoreganj 8.28 4.27 -14.51 23.09 126.97 Narsingdi 5.70 1.97 0.43 37.83 122.00 Rajbari 9.36 6.77 11.62 59.28 184.42 Shatkhira 9.95 13.61 -9.27 84.91 12.17 Netrokona 7.68 7.53 -4.20 7.85 121.71 Shariatpur 2.92 7.89 24.51 47.94 79.39 Bussiness 63.57 59.47 124.28 108.20 101.48 144.87 91.39 263.37 98.17 10.37 16.50 23.61 34.87 18.82 23.51 22.69 25.00 27.83 Service -9.76 32.15 2.64 2.46 39.54 -20.63 70.98 4.24 6.50 Others 768.69 -16.78 -5.86 10.63 6.92 0.09 8.50 -6.11 -4.01