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What is sustainable agriculture?
Brandon Mitchener
UCL ResearchTalks “Planet, what’s up with my food?”
May 13, 2013
Overview
• The world we live in
• Our vision
• Who we are
• What we do
2
Global population continues to grow, expected to reach
~10 billion by mid-century – mostly in developing world
Global Population
2050 8 – 10.5 billion
2100 6.25 – 16 billion
Source: UN; US Census Bureau
Higher living standards lead to changing diets (mostly not
vegan)
5
66 – 85 million hectares of land
at current yields
36 million tons of
annual meat production
177 million tons of annual
corn and soy production
In the next 10 years the world
will require an additional…
Water is scarce. Agriculture consumes most of it.
Future demand will outstrip supply, especially in Asia.
6Source: Water 2030 Global Water Supply and Demand model; agricultural production based on IFPRI IMPACT-WATER base case
3.003
4.531
3.534
693
1.531
688512
843
Basins with
surplus
Domestic
6,906
81
4,222
Basins with
deficits
Agriculture
Industry
Planned
supply 2030
4,208
2005
demand1
2030
demand2
2,765
Groundwater
Surface water
2.0%
Billion m3, 154 basins/regions
- 40%
Global warming is real…
7
Source: NASA
...and makes harvests less predictable: Much of
Europe saw severe drought conditions in 2012
8
World grain supplies are already historically low
and will provide little relief if more harvests fail
9
Source: IGC
So what is sustainable agriculture?
Assuming that different production methods are equally
safe and the resulting food is healthy and nutritious…
• Is agriculture more sustainable if it
– Uses less land, or more land?
– Uses less water, or more water?
– Requires fewer chemicals, or more chemicals?
– Requires less tillage, or more tillage?
– Results in less waste, or more waste?
– Results in more stable yields, or less stable yields?
– Results in more affordable food, or more expensive food?
10
French school children are taught that
there are only two kinds of agriculture
11
Source: My 14-year-old son’s homework
Monsanto’s vision of sustainable agriculture
• Producing more
• Conserving
more
• Improving lives
12 Monsanto Company Confidential
A company100% dedicated to agriculture
The old Monsanto
Business areas in 1975
Monsanto today
Business areas in 2012
Agriculture
Chimie industrielle
polymères
Textiles
autres
Source : Rapport annuel Monsanto 2012
semences et traits
protection des
cultures
Monsanto in Europe – a leader in conventional
(e.g. non-biotech) seeds and crop protection
$7.367
$1.716
$1.588
$837
$873
$541 $385 $197
FY2012 Net Sales (in Millions)
US
EMEA
Brazil
Asia-Pacific
Argentina
Canada
Mexico
Other
14
Source: 2012 annual report
What We Do: Serve Farmers Around The World
Working With Growers Large And Small, Row Crops And Vegetables
Maximizing yield potential takes a system of solutions
CHALLENGE:
Breeding Biotech
Agronomic
Solutions
WEED
CONTROL
INSECT
CONTROL
STRESS
TOLERANCE
DISEASE
CONTROL
OPPORTUNITY:
Multiple R&D platforms = Multiple Solutions
In between the planting and
harvesting of a crop, a lot of
factors can limit yield. Maximizing
Total Yield
Potential
TOTAL YIELD
Integrated Farming Systems: Unlocking Farm
Data to Drive Yields to the Next Level
PRECISION
SEEDING
Planter systems
enabling variable
rate seeding &
row spacing on a
field by yield
environment
zone
VARIABLE-RATE
FERTILITY
Variable rate N, P & K
“Apps” aligned with yield
management zones
FERTILITY &
DISEASE
MANAGEMENT
“Apps” for in-season
custom application of
supplemental late
Nitrogen and
Fungicides
YIELD MONITOR
Advances in Yield
Monitoring to deliver
higher resolution data
BREEDING
Significant
increases in
data points
collected per
year to
increase
annual genetic
gains
DATABASE BACKBONE
Expansive seed by environment
testing makes on-farm
prescriptions possible
USER INTERFACE
Integrated user-friendly
interface and “Apps”
Modern Technology Requires Modern Policies
18
Thank you

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ResearchTalks Vol. 5 - What is Sustainable Agriculture? Using technology to improve food, agriculture and people’s lives

  • 1. What is sustainable agriculture? Brandon Mitchener UCL ResearchTalks “Planet, what’s up with my food?” May 13, 2013
  • 2. Overview • The world we live in • Our vision • Who we are • What we do 2
  • 3. Global population continues to grow, expected to reach ~10 billion by mid-century – mostly in developing world Global Population 2050 8 – 10.5 billion 2100 6.25 – 16 billion Source: UN; US Census Bureau
  • 4. Higher living standards lead to changing diets (mostly not vegan)
  • 5. 5 66 – 85 million hectares of land at current yields 36 million tons of annual meat production 177 million tons of annual corn and soy production In the next 10 years the world will require an additional…
  • 6. Water is scarce. Agriculture consumes most of it. Future demand will outstrip supply, especially in Asia. 6Source: Water 2030 Global Water Supply and Demand model; agricultural production based on IFPRI IMPACT-WATER base case 3.003 4.531 3.534 693 1.531 688512 843 Basins with surplus Domestic 6,906 81 4,222 Basins with deficits Agriculture Industry Planned supply 2030 4,208 2005 demand1 2030 demand2 2,765 Groundwater Surface water 2.0% Billion m3, 154 basins/regions - 40%
  • 7. Global warming is real… 7 Source: NASA
  • 8. ...and makes harvests less predictable: Much of Europe saw severe drought conditions in 2012 8
  • 9. World grain supplies are already historically low and will provide little relief if more harvests fail 9 Source: IGC
  • 10. So what is sustainable agriculture? Assuming that different production methods are equally safe and the resulting food is healthy and nutritious… • Is agriculture more sustainable if it – Uses less land, or more land? – Uses less water, or more water? – Requires fewer chemicals, or more chemicals? – Requires less tillage, or more tillage? – Results in less waste, or more waste? – Results in more stable yields, or less stable yields? – Results in more affordable food, or more expensive food? 10
  • 11. French school children are taught that there are only two kinds of agriculture 11 Source: My 14-year-old son’s homework
  • 12. Monsanto’s vision of sustainable agriculture • Producing more • Conserving more • Improving lives 12 Monsanto Company Confidential
  • 13. A company100% dedicated to agriculture The old Monsanto Business areas in 1975 Monsanto today Business areas in 2012 Agriculture Chimie industrielle polymères Textiles autres Source : Rapport annuel Monsanto 2012 semences et traits protection des cultures
  • 14. Monsanto in Europe – a leader in conventional (e.g. non-biotech) seeds and crop protection $7.367 $1.716 $1.588 $837 $873 $541 $385 $197 FY2012 Net Sales (in Millions) US EMEA Brazil Asia-Pacific Argentina Canada Mexico Other 14 Source: 2012 annual report
  • 15. What We Do: Serve Farmers Around The World Working With Growers Large And Small, Row Crops And Vegetables
  • 16. Maximizing yield potential takes a system of solutions CHALLENGE: Breeding Biotech Agronomic Solutions WEED CONTROL INSECT CONTROL STRESS TOLERANCE DISEASE CONTROL OPPORTUNITY: Multiple R&D platforms = Multiple Solutions In between the planting and harvesting of a crop, a lot of factors can limit yield. Maximizing Total Yield Potential TOTAL YIELD
  • 17. Integrated Farming Systems: Unlocking Farm Data to Drive Yields to the Next Level PRECISION SEEDING Planter systems enabling variable rate seeding & row spacing on a field by yield environment zone VARIABLE-RATE FERTILITY Variable rate N, P & K “Apps” aligned with yield management zones FERTILITY & DISEASE MANAGEMENT “Apps” for in-season custom application of supplemental late Nitrogen and Fungicides YIELD MONITOR Advances in Yield Monitoring to deliver higher resolution data BREEDING Significant increases in data points collected per year to increase annual genetic gains DATABASE BACKBONE Expansive seed by environment testing makes on-farm prescriptions possible USER INTERFACE Integrated user-friendly interface and “Apps”
  • 18. Modern Technology Requires Modern Policies 18