2008 was a record year for solar PV sales, with 5.7 GW of new capacity added. Spain shot into top place, with 2.7 GW added, the largest volume of annual sales achieved by any country ever, followed by Germany with 1.5 GW. Between them they accounted for three quarters of world sales. However, Spain's pre-eminence was short-lived and in the wake of the financial crisis the Spanish government announced a cap on the feed-in subsidy for solar PV installations at 500 MW in 2009. This will not only put a brake on Spanish sales but will reduce the global solar PV total in 2009, we believe by at least 50%. The Spanish renewable associations are looking ahead at least two years before recovery starts in Spain.The slow down in solar PV sales has had some good outcomes however. The shortage of silicon, which has been restraining development, is no longer a major issue and by the time recovery starts new supply should be in place. Secondly, prices of solar modules are coming down. Thirdly, small companies in the supply chain are merging and being taken over, consolidating the industry. The report, monitors the progress of two new players in the international market, China and Korea. Chinese solar PV companies have developed very fast and a number conducted IPOs in China and other countries in 2007 and 2008. A mushrooming production capacity for solar cells and modules has been accompanied by growing production and re-cycling of silicon. This is affected by the global slow-down but the Chinese industry is already well placed for the future. Domestic demand in China has not kept pace and it is an export oriented industry to date.With the cut-back in Spain, Germany, followed by Japan and the USA still remains the global leader, but new countries are entering the market and the industry is spreading beyond its historical areas. Outline of reportThe report provides data up to the end of 2008 with commentary and available information for 2009 Spain was a bright shooting star in 2008 but with the financial crisis has fallen to earth in 2009 Germany is consolidating its position in 2009 as the largest solar PV market, followed by Japan and the USA The dramatic emergence of China as a world player, with ambitious expansion plans for Solar PV The surge of IPOs in the solar PV industry in 2006-2007/08 has come to a halt, and consolidations are taking place in the industry The silicon shortage is evaluated, the future outlook discussed New feedstock technologies and sources are emerging to combat the global silicon shortage
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Solar PV Report Ed 6 2009
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Solar PV Report Ed 6 2009
Published on June 2009
Report Summary
2008 was a record year for solar PV sales, with 5.7 GW of new capacity added. Spain shot into top place, with 2.7 GW added, the
largest volume of annual sales achieved by any country ever, followed by Germany with 1.5 GW. Between them they accounted for
three quarters of world sales. However, Spain's pre-eminence was short-lived and in the wake of the financial crisis the Spanish
government announced a cap on the feed-in subsidy for solar PV installations at 500 MW in 2009. This will not only put a brake on
Spanish sales but will reduce the global solar PV total in 2009, we believe by at least 50%. The Spanish renewable associations are
looking ahead at least two years before recovery starts in Spain.
The slow down in solar PV sales has had some good outcomes however. The shortage of silicon, which has been restraining
development, is no longer a major issue and by the time recovery starts new supply should be in place. Secondly, prices of solar
modules are coming down. Thirdly, small companies in the supply chain are merging and being taken over, consolidating the industry.
The report, monitors the progress of two new players in the international market, China and Korea. Chinese solar PV companies
have developed very fast and a number conducted IPOs in China and other countries in 2007 and 2008. A mushrooming production
capacity for solar cells and modules has been accompanied by growing production and re-cycling of silicon. This is affected by the
global slow-down but the Chinese industry is already well placed for the future. Domestic demand in China has not kept pace and it is
an export oriented industry to date.
With the cut-back in Spain, Germany, followed by Japan and the USA still remains the global leader, but new countries are entering
the market and the industry is spreading beyond its historical areas.
Outline of report
The report provides data up to the end of 2008 with commentary and available information for 2009
Spain was a bright shooting star in 2008 but with the financial crisis has fallen to earth in 2009
Germany is consolidating its position in 2009 as the largest solar PV market, followed by Japan and the USA
The dramatic emergence of China as a world player, with ambitious expansion plans for Solar PV
The surge of IPOs in the solar PV industry in 2006-2007/08 has come to a halt, and consolidations are taking place in the industry
The silicon shortage is evaluated, the future outlook discussed
New feedstock technologies and sources are emerging to combat the global silicon shortage
Table of Content
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Overview of the solar PV market
-- Market leaders
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-- Silicon producers
-- Solar PV technology
-- End-use of solar PV
- USA
- Europe
-- Germany
- Rest of the World
-- China
DEVELOPMENT OF SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAICS
- Solar photovoltaics
- Solar cell development
- Conditions of use of solar PV cells
- Solar insolation
- Cold weather
- Cloud conditions
- Isolated generation
- PV and the environment
APPLICATIONS OF SOLAR PV TECHNOLOGY
- Simple PV systems
- BIPV - Buildings as energy systems and collectors of solar energy
- PV with battery storage
- Balance of system: storage
- PV with generators
- PV connected to utilities
- Utility-scale power
- Hybrid power systems
- Distributed generation
PV INDUSTRY VALUE CHAIN
- Feedstock
-- Polysilicon
-- Thin Film Photovoltaic (TFPV) technology
-- Ingot and wafer production
- Solar cell and modules
- Balance of system (BOS)
- Vertically integrated companies
PHOTOVOLTAIC FEEDSTOCK - SILICON
- Overview
- Background
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- Silicon Recycling
- Companies involved in recycling
-- Canadian Solar
-- Eagle Silicon
-- Ergon Solair-WonlexTech Group
-- ErSol
-- First Solar
-- GE Energy/Astropower
-- Poseidon Solar Services
-- ReneSola
-- SolarWorld
- Recycling future development
- Cost pressure on feedstock process
- Silicon PRICES
- Electronic grade silicon producers
- Dedicated photovoltaic grade silicon production
THIN FILM PHOTOVOLTAICS (TFPV)
-- TFPV 2nd Generation
-- Alternative thin film materials
- Thin film producers
-- First Solar
-- Shell Solar
-- Sharp
-- Fuji Electric
-- Sanyo
-- Uni-Solar
-- G24i Innovations Ltd
-- Honda
-- HelioVolt
-- NanoSolar
-- Ascent Solar
-- Solibro AB
ANNUAL SALES AND INSTALLED SOLAR PV GENERATING CAPACITY
-- Investment
- Germany
- Japan
- United States
- China
- India
- Austria
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- Netherlands
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- Australia
- Canada
- Mexico
- South Korea
GLOBAL INSTALLED SOLAR PV CAPACITY PROJECTION TO 2013
PRODUCTION OF SOLAR PV CELLS
- Production capacity MW
MANUFACTURERS OF SOLAR PV
- Solar photovoltaic manufacturers
NATIONAL SOLAR INDUSTRIES AND COMPANY PROFILES
- Japan
- Production of silicon feedstock, ingots and wafers for solar cells
-- Tokuyama
-- Mitsubishi Materials Corporation
-- Sumitomo Titanium Corporation
-- M. Setek
-- JFE Steel
-- Shin-Etsu Handotai
-- Sumco Corporation
- Manufacture of solar cells and modules
-- Sharp Corporation
-- Kyocera
-- Sanyo Electric Company
-- MSK Corporation
-- Mitsubishi Electric
-- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
-- Kaneka Solartech
-- Canon
-- Fuji Electric
-- Hitachi
-- Honda Soltec
-- Matsushita Ecology Systems
-- Showa Shell Sekiyu
-- Kobelco (Kobe Steel)
-- Housing construction companies
-- Daiwa House Group
-- Misawa Homes
-- Sekisui Heim
-- PanaHome Corporation
- United States
- Production of silicon feedstock, ingots and wafers for solar cells
-- REC Silicon
-- Hemlock Semiconductor
-- MEMC Electronic Materials
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-- Hoku Scientific
- Calisolar
- The company has scheduled a 50MW plant to utilise the technology in 2009
- Production of photovoltaic cells and modules
-- GT Solar
- USA cell and module companies
-- Suntech
-- First Solar
-- United Solar OVONICS
-- BP - Solar (formerly BP Solarex in the United States)
-- Shell Solar (USA-formerly Siemens Solar Industries)
-- Schott Solar (formerly RWE Scott, and previously ASE Americas)
-- GE
-- Evergreen Solar
-- SunPower Corporation
-- Solec International
-- United Solar Systems Corporation (USSC)
-- EPV Energy Photovoltaics Inc
-- Amonix
-- Entech
-- Akeena Solar, Inc. (AKNS.OB)
- Germany
- Production of silicon feedstock, ingots and wafers for solar cells
-- Wacker-Chemie AG
-- Joint Solar Silicon GmbH
-- Deutsche Solar AG
-- Other German silicon producers
- German producers of solar cells and modules
-- In 2007, Germany dominated the top ten of solar cell producers:
-- Q-Cells
-- Schott Solar (formerly RWE Schott Solar)
-- SolarWorld AG
-- Shell Solar
-- BP Solar
-- Solarwatt
-- ErSol
-- Sunways AG
-- Würth Solar GmbH
-- Production of silicon
- Spanish producers of solar cells and modules
-- Isofoton
-- BP Solar Espana
- France
-- Photowatt International
-- Tenesol
-- Free Energy Europe S.A
-- Solems S.A
- Italy
-- Eurosolare SA
-- Helios
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- Denmark
- Belgium
-- Photovoltech
- Netherlands
- Norway
-- REC (Renewable Energy Corporation)
-- Elkem
-- PVT Austria
-- SED
-- Powerquant
-- Ertex Solar
-- Fronius International
-- Isovolta AG
- Sweden
-- Gällivare PhotoVoltaic AB
-- Solibro AB
-- ArcticSolar AB
-- ScanModule AB
- Portugal
- Belgium
- Photovoltech
- Switzerland
- United Kingdom
-- Production of silicon feedstock, ingots and wafers for solar cells
-- PV Crystalox Solar PLC
-- PowerFilm, Inc
-- Sharp
-- ICP Solar Technologies UK Ltd
- China
-- Production of silicon feedstock, ingots and wafers for solar cells
-- Asia Silicon Co., Qinghai
-- Aixin Silicon Sci-Tech Industrial Park
-- CSG Holding
-- Emei Semiconductor Material
-- Jaco Solarisi
-- Jiaozou Coal Industry Group
-- Based Jiaozuo, Henan. Estimated output of polysilicon in 2008 was 1,000 MT
-- Jinyi Silicon (GINET)
-- Luoyang Zhonggui
-- Na'Nan Sanjing Silicon
-- Based in Fujian, the company's polysilicon output in 2007 was 3,000 MT
-- Ningxia Solar
-- NK Technology
-- Ningxia Sunshine Silicon Industry Company Ltd
-- Huinong, Shizuishan, NingxiaTongwei and Juxing. Production of polysilicon estimated at 1,500 MT in 2008
-- Shangxin Silicon
-- Sichuan Xinguang
- Ingot and wafer producers
-- Yangguang Solar
-- LDK Solar High Tech Co
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-- Jiangsu Shunda
-- Renesola Ltd
-- Xi'an Longji Silicon Industry Group
-- GT Solar Technologies
- Producers of solar cells and modules
-- Suntech Power Co. Ltd
-- Baodiang Tianwei Yingli Green Energy Solar Company
-- China Sunergy
-- Nanjing CEEG PV-Tech (NPV)
-- China Xianjiang SunOasis Ltd
-- BP SunOasis
-- Ningbo Solar Electric Power Co. Ltd
-- Jiangsu Shunda PV Tech Co. Ltd
-- CEEG Shanghai Solar Energy Science and Technology Co. Ltd
-- Trina Solar Limited (TSL)
-- Jiangsu Linyang Solarfun Power Holdings (SOLF)
-- J A Solar Holdings Co. Ltd. (JASO)
-- Jinggong (P-D) Shaoxing Solar Energy Technology Co. Ltd
-- Wuhan Rixin Technology Co. Ltd
-- China Solar Power (Holdings) Ltd. (CSP)
- Taiwan
-- Motech Solar
-- Big Sun Energy
-- Del Solar
-- E-TON Solartech Co. Ltd
-- Gintech
-- Green Energy Technology (GET)
-- Solartech Energy Corp
-- Sinonar Solar Corp
-- Top Green Energy Technologies
- India
-- Central Electronics Ltd. (CEL)
-- Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (BHEL)
-- Moser Baer PV India
-- Rajasthan Electricals & Instruments Ltd. (REIL)
-- Tata BP Solar India Ltd
- Other Suppliers
- Australia
-- BP Solar
-- Dyesol Ltd
- Canada
-- Canadian Solar Inc
-- First Solar, Inc
-- ICP Solarl Technologies
-- Photowatt Technologies, Inc
- Korea
-- Hyundai Heavy Industries
-- Kyungdong Photovoltaic Energy Co. Ltd. (KPE)
-- KD Solar Co
-- Millinet Solar
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-- S-energy Co
-- BP DonhgHae
-- LG Industrial System Co
NATIONAL TARGETS AND INCENTIVES FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY
- Renewable energy targets
- Feed-in tariffs (FITs) and RPS
- Comparison of feed-in tariffs and RPS
- EU and feed-in tariffs
- US and RPS
- The feed-in tariff in Europe
- The evolution of RPS Policy in the United States
- Europe ' the EU Renewable Energy Directive
- Investor confidence, price, and policy cost
- Effectiveness
- Innovation and technology diversity
- Ownership structure
- Conclusion
- Feed-in tariffs in the United States
SUPPORT PROGRAMMES FOR SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAICS
- US Federal and State incentives
-- Federal tax incentives August 2007
-- SEIA Roadmap
-- Photovoltaics technology plan
-- Fundamental research
-- Advanced materials and devices
-- Technology development
-- Objectives of the programme
-- Near - term goals
-- Long - term goals
- Japan
-- Subsidies
-- R&D Strategies
-- Long term targets after year 2010
- Europe
- Germany
-- Industry support
-- National programme for consumers
-- Research, development and demonstration
- Finland
- France
-- Development
- Italy
- Netherlands
-- Research and development
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- Norway
-- Research and development
- Portugal
-- Research and development
-- Future outlook
- Spain
-- Research and development
-- Future outlook
- Sweden
-- Research and development
-- Future outlook
- Switzerland
-- Marketing
-- Research, development and demonstration
- United Kingdom
-- Research, development and demonstration
-- Future outlook
- Australia
- Canada
-- Research and development
- China
- India
- Indonesia
- Israel
-- Research and development
- Kenya
- Korea
-- Research, development and demonstration
-- Future outlook
- Mexico
-- Research, development and demonstration
-- Future outlook
- South Africa
-- PV programmes
-- National Electrification Programme
- Thailand
PRICES
FORECASTING A NEW TECHNOLOGY
- Experience curves and progress ratios (PR)
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
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