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Divergence in primary
                  care
        What can we learn
        from Scotland and
                England?

                   Kate O’Donnell
       General Practice & Primary
      Care, University of Glasgow.
Population size.
 London                   7.43 million
 North West               6.83 million
 East of England          5.49 million
 West Midlands            5.33 million
 Scotland                 5.12 million
 Yorkshire & The Humber   5.04 million
 South West               5.04 million
 East Midlands            4.28 million
 South East Coast         4.19 million
 South Central            3.92 million
 Wales                    2.97 million
 North East               2.55 million
 Northern Ireland         1.74 million
Rurality.
      Number of people per hectare by
         Council area (2001 Census).
Scotland and deprivation.
    Directly standardised mortality rates per 1,000
    population, 1990/92, by country and deprivation quintile.




Source: PHIS Chasing the Scottish Effect 2001, Glasgow Centre for
Population Health
Long-term unemployment (% of unemployed aged
16-74).
LLTI across the UK.
Northern Ireland              19.5
Wales                         19.4
North East                    19.4
North West                    17.8
Scotland                      17.3
Yorkshire & The Humber        16.6
West Midlands                 16.0
UK                            15.7
East Midlands                 15.4
England                       15.2
London                        15.1
South West                    14.0
East                          13.3
South East                    12.6


% population (age-standardised), 2001 Census.
Scotland and health.
% of people reporting limiting
long-term illness by Council area,
2001 Census
Primary care structure.

            Single-      Small    Medium     Large     Total
            handed       (2 – 3    (4 – 5     (6+
                         GPs)      GPs)      GPs)
 England     2504        2791      1996      1466      8757
             (29)         (32)      (23)      (16)
 Scotland    175          370       290       212      1047
             (17)         (36)      (27)      (21)
 Wales       105          170       158        75      508
             (21)         (33)      (31)      (14)
 NI           71          190        78        32      371
             (19)         (51)      (21)       (8)


                      RCGP Information Sheet No 4, May 2005.
GP numbers % increase from 1985 – 2003:
   England 10.9.
   Scotland 8.7.
   Wales 3.4
   NI 5.2

Average practice list size (under nGMS Contract):
England 5891.
Scotland 5095.
Wales 5885.
                           RCGP Information Sheet No 4, May 2005.
The similarities.

 Aging population                              Recruitment
                                               and retention

    Long term
    conditions                                   Skill mix


 Rising demand for                                nGMS
        care                                     contract



                 Structural re-organisations
GMS contract.

UK-wide contract.
Patients registered with practices not with individual GPs.
Essential & enhanced services.
Opt-out from out-of-hours responsibility.
Greater emphasis on incentivised care.
        Quality and Outcomes Framework.
Quality & Outcomes
Framework

Total of 1050 points.
Care incentivised across 19 clinical areas, worth 655 points.
Focus on chronic disease.
In 2006/07 – each point worth £124.
Structural GP and practice characteristics
in four UK countries
Variable                                               England     Wales     Scotland    Northern Ireland


Number of practices                                      8542        501       1056            366
Number of whole-time equivalent (WTE)
                                                        31523       1816       3782           1078
GPs
Average registered population                            6401       6171       5249           5361

Average number of GPs per practice                        3.7        3.6        3.6            3.0

Registered population per WTE GP                         1666       1674       1343           1663

Single-partner practices (%)                              23         19             16         19

Practices with six or more GPs (%)                        21         16             20          9


*All figures for 2004-05 with the exception of Northern Ireland 2003-4[12]




McLean et al. BMC Health Services Research 2007 7:74   doi:10.1186/1472-6963-7-74
Average percentage achievement by indicator
category and country
Category                             England           Scotland     Wales        Northern Ireland


'Payment quality'

Simple (14 measures)                   93.4             93.7         92.7             94.4

Complex (3 measures)                   80.4             84.5         75.3             81.6

Outcome (9 measures)                   72.3             74.7         72.0             76.3

Treatment (5 measures)                 82.4             83.4         79.8             85.4


'Population achievement'

Simple (14 measures)                   91.9             92.6         91.6             93.4

Complex (3 measures)                   76.4             79.1         71.9             77.7

Outcome (9 measures)                   68.2             69.8         67.1             72.2

Treatment (5 measures)                 72.6             72.8         68.3             76.4


McLean et al. BMC Health Services Research 2007 7:74    doi:10.1186/1472-6963-7-74
Prevalence rates reported in the Quality and
Outcomes Framework in the four UK countries
Prevalence (%)                   England           Scotland         Wales           Northern Ireland


CHD                                3.59                4.61          4.20                 4.28

Stroke                             1.43                1.80          1.69                 1.50

Hypertension                       11.32               11.85         12.70               10.60

Diabetes                           3.45                3.50          3.90                 3.00

Ratio to England

CHD                                  1                 1.28          1.17                 1.19

Stroke                               1                 1.26          1.18                 1.05

Hypertension                         1                 1.05          1.12                 0.94

Diabetes                             1                 1.01          1.13                 0.87


McLean et al. BMC Health Services Research 2007 7:74   doi:10.1186/1472-6963-7-74
Governance & incentives.

QOF monitoring appears more rigid in England.
Scotland: QOF verification, but no sanctions.
Exploring how GMS governance is enacted.
Impact of incentivised on practices and on patients.
Suggestion that enhanced services being developed to met local
health needs, but may lead to increased monitoring.
The differences
Scotland.                     England.
Integrated Health Boards.     SHAs, PCTs, Foundation
                              hospitals.
Managed clinical
networks.                     Practice-based
                              commissioning.
NHS 24 front-ending ooh
calls.                        Mixed economy in ooh
                              service provision.
Traditional ooh delivery in
PC.                           “Hard” monitoring in QOF.
“Soft” monitoring in QOF.     Less emphasis on
                              prevention/public health.
 De-centralisation in
primary care – health and     Connecting for Health.
social care.
                              Payment by results.
Anticipatory care
programme.
Increasing patient & public
involvement.
24-hour nurse-led
telephone triage service
(NHS 24).
Reducing inequalities.
Banning tobacco
advertising.
Setting national standards
& streamlining
accountability processes.
Unified NHS Boards.
Reduce waiting times.
Services local to need.
Preventative, anticipatory care.
Greater integration – primary
and secondary care; primary,
community & social care.
Optimise use of new
technologies e.g. ehealth.
Support new skill mix options.
Patient & public involvement.

Tackling inequalities.
Supporting long-term conditions.
Anticipatory care programme to
reduce health inequalities: Keep
Well.
Support self-care for long-term
conditions.
Establish health & social care
services in communities:
Community hospitals; Community
Health Partnerships.
Reduce waiting times.
Electronic Health Record and
Emergency Care Summary.
Streamline unscheduled care.
Support remote & rural health
care.
CHPs/CHCPs.
New organisations developed to manage a wide range of community
based health services.
Bring together primary care (including general practice), community care
and social care.
Co-terminous with local government boundaries.
41 established.
Priorities:
         A shifting of the balance of care to more local settings and
         Improvement in the health of local people.
Reducing inequalities in health.
Keep Well.
Targeting hard-to-reach populations:
        45 – 64 year olds in most deprived communities.
Improve reach and engagement.
Once engaged – improved primary prevention.
                  improved secondary prevention.
Piloted in 5 CHPs; 7 more later this year.
Over 90 practices involved.
What will be the outcome for patients; for practices; for the wider NHS?
Where do
we go from
here?
Conclusions.
Scotland continues to reject a marketised approach to health
care.
Greater move towards health and social care integration.
Anticipatory care high on agenda.
Governance and monitoring low-key, but may not remain like
that.
Need to address twin issues of inequality and deprivation
continues to influence Scottish health policy.
We Americans live in a nation where the medical-care system is
second to none in the world, unless you count maybe 25 or 30
little scuzzball countries like Scotland that we could vaporize in
seconds if we felt like it.

Dave Barry
US columnist & humorist (1947 - )

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Vive la difference

  • 1. Divergence in primary care What can we learn from Scotland and England? Kate O’Donnell General Practice & Primary Care, University of Glasgow.
  • 2. Population size. London 7.43 million North West 6.83 million East of England 5.49 million West Midlands 5.33 million Scotland 5.12 million Yorkshire & The Humber 5.04 million South West 5.04 million East Midlands 4.28 million South East Coast 4.19 million South Central 3.92 million Wales 2.97 million North East 2.55 million Northern Ireland 1.74 million
  • 3. Rurality. Number of people per hectare by Council area (2001 Census).
  • 4. Scotland and deprivation. Directly standardised mortality rates per 1,000 population, 1990/92, by country and deprivation quintile. Source: PHIS Chasing the Scottish Effect 2001, Glasgow Centre for Population Health
  • 5. Long-term unemployment (% of unemployed aged 16-74).
  • 6. LLTI across the UK. Northern Ireland 19.5 Wales 19.4 North East 19.4 North West 17.8 Scotland 17.3 Yorkshire & The Humber 16.6 West Midlands 16.0 UK 15.7 East Midlands 15.4 England 15.2 London 15.1 South West 14.0 East 13.3 South East 12.6 % population (age-standardised), 2001 Census.
  • 7. Scotland and health. % of people reporting limiting long-term illness by Council area, 2001 Census
  • 8. Primary care structure. Single- Small Medium Large Total handed (2 – 3 (4 – 5 (6+ GPs) GPs) GPs) England 2504 2791 1996 1466 8757 (29) (32) (23) (16) Scotland 175 370 290 212 1047 (17) (36) (27) (21) Wales 105 170 158 75 508 (21) (33) (31) (14) NI 71 190 78 32 371 (19) (51) (21) (8) RCGP Information Sheet No 4, May 2005.
  • 9. GP numbers % increase from 1985 – 2003: England 10.9. Scotland 8.7. Wales 3.4 NI 5.2 Average practice list size (under nGMS Contract): England 5891. Scotland 5095. Wales 5885. RCGP Information Sheet No 4, May 2005.
  • 10. The similarities. Aging population Recruitment and retention Long term conditions Skill mix Rising demand for nGMS care contract Structural re-organisations
  • 11. GMS contract. UK-wide contract. Patients registered with practices not with individual GPs. Essential & enhanced services. Opt-out from out-of-hours responsibility. Greater emphasis on incentivised care. Quality and Outcomes Framework.
  • 12. Quality & Outcomes Framework Total of 1050 points. Care incentivised across 19 clinical areas, worth 655 points. Focus on chronic disease. In 2006/07 – each point worth £124.
  • 13. Structural GP and practice characteristics in four UK countries Variable England Wales Scotland Northern Ireland Number of practices 8542 501 1056 366 Number of whole-time equivalent (WTE) 31523 1816 3782 1078 GPs Average registered population 6401 6171 5249 5361 Average number of GPs per practice 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.0 Registered population per WTE GP 1666 1674 1343 1663 Single-partner practices (%) 23 19 16 19 Practices with six or more GPs (%) 21 16 20 9 *All figures for 2004-05 with the exception of Northern Ireland 2003-4[12] McLean et al. BMC Health Services Research 2007 7:74 doi:10.1186/1472-6963-7-74
  • 14. Average percentage achievement by indicator category and country Category England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland 'Payment quality' Simple (14 measures) 93.4 93.7 92.7 94.4 Complex (3 measures) 80.4 84.5 75.3 81.6 Outcome (9 measures) 72.3 74.7 72.0 76.3 Treatment (5 measures) 82.4 83.4 79.8 85.4 'Population achievement' Simple (14 measures) 91.9 92.6 91.6 93.4 Complex (3 measures) 76.4 79.1 71.9 77.7 Outcome (9 measures) 68.2 69.8 67.1 72.2 Treatment (5 measures) 72.6 72.8 68.3 76.4 McLean et al. BMC Health Services Research 2007 7:74 doi:10.1186/1472-6963-7-74
  • 15. Prevalence rates reported in the Quality and Outcomes Framework in the four UK countries Prevalence (%) England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland CHD 3.59 4.61 4.20 4.28 Stroke 1.43 1.80 1.69 1.50 Hypertension 11.32 11.85 12.70 10.60 Diabetes 3.45 3.50 3.90 3.00 Ratio to England CHD 1 1.28 1.17 1.19 Stroke 1 1.26 1.18 1.05 Hypertension 1 1.05 1.12 0.94 Diabetes 1 1.01 1.13 0.87 McLean et al. BMC Health Services Research 2007 7:74 doi:10.1186/1472-6963-7-74
  • 16. Governance & incentives. QOF monitoring appears more rigid in England. Scotland: QOF verification, but no sanctions. Exploring how GMS governance is enacted. Impact of incentivised on practices and on patients. Suggestion that enhanced services being developed to met local health needs, but may lead to increased monitoring.
  • 17. The differences Scotland. England. Integrated Health Boards. SHAs, PCTs, Foundation hospitals. Managed clinical networks. Practice-based commissioning. NHS 24 front-ending ooh calls. Mixed economy in ooh service provision. Traditional ooh delivery in PC. “Hard” monitoring in QOF. “Soft” monitoring in QOF. Less emphasis on prevention/public health. De-centralisation in primary care – health and Connecting for Health. social care. Payment by results. Anticipatory care programme.
  • 18. Increasing patient & public involvement. 24-hour nurse-led telephone triage service (NHS 24). Reducing inequalities. Banning tobacco advertising. Setting national standards & streamlining accountability processes. Unified NHS Boards. Reduce waiting times.
  • 19. Services local to need. Preventative, anticipatory care. Greater integration – primary and secondary care; primary, community & social care. Optimise use of new technologies e.g. ehealth. Support new skill mix options. Patient & public involvement. Tackling inequalities. Supporting long-term conditions.
  • 20. Anticipatory care programme to reduce health inequalities: Keep Well. Support self-care for long-term conditions. Establish health & social care services in communities: Community hospitals; Community Health Partnerships. Reduce waiting times. Electronic Health Record and Emergency Care Summary. Streamline unscheduled care. Support remote & rural health care.
  • 21. CHPs/CHCPs. New organisations developed to manage a wide range of community based health services. Bring together primary care (including general practice), community care and social care. Co-terminous with local government boundaries. 41 established. Priorities:  A shifting of the balance of care to more local settings and  Improvement in the health of local people.
  • 22.
  • 24. Keep Well. Targeting hard-to-reach populations:  45 – 64 year olds in most deprived communities. Improve reach and engagement. Once engaged – improved primary prevention. improved secondary prevention. Piloted in 5 CHPs; 7 more later this year. Over 90 practices involved. What will be the outcome for patients; for practices; for the wider NHS?
  • 25. Where do we go from here?
  • 26. Conclusions. Scotland continues to reject a marketised approach to health care. Greater move towards health and social care integration. Anticipatory care high on agenda. Governance and monitoring low-key, but may not remain like that. Need to address twin issues of inequality and deprivation continues to influence Scottish health policy.
  • 27. We Americans live in a nation where the medical-care system is second to none in the world, unless you count maybe 25 or 30 little scuzzball countries like Scotland that we could vaporize in seconds if we felt like it. Dave Barry US columnist & humorist (1947 - )