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Mainstreaming the Economics of Nature:
        EU nature conservation
                  &
    Nature and the Green Economy


                Patrick ten Brink
 Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP)



                   Public Hearing
      Protected areas and green employment
             Monday 3.12.12, 14.00-17.00
        European Parliament, room PHS 6B054,
                       Brussels
Presentation overview

Part A: Mainstreaming the Economics of Nature
a)   TEEB for Policy Makers and the EU
b)   Benefits of Natura 2000



Part B: Nature and the green economy
c)   Nature and GE
“I believe that the great part of miseries of mankind are
brought upon them by false estimates they have made of
                    the value of things.”
                                    Benjamin Franklin, 1706-1790
Biodiversity loss
                                                                               Species extinction ~ 100 to 1,000 times more
                                                                               rapid than “natural” extinction rate (MA 2005)

                                                                               Since 1900, global loss ~ 50%of its wetlands.
                                                                               [2].




 Coral Reefs
 ~ 20% of the world’s coral reefs loss -
effectively destroyed by fishing, pollution, disease and coral
bleaching

~ 24% of remaining reefs under imminent
risk of collapse through human
                                                                                          Source: Nellemann et al 2008: 22
pressures.[3]                                                    [2]   http://www.ramsar.org/about/about_wetland_loss.htm
                                                                 [3]   Wilkinson C., 2004: Status of Coral Reefs of the World: 2004 report
Forests
 Global Forest Area has shrunk by
  approximately 40% since 1700.
 Forests have completely disappeared in
  25 countries [1].


      Mangroves


                                                                                                    In the past two decades, 35% of mangroves
                                                                                                     have disappeared.
                                                                                                    Some countries have lost up to 80% through
                                                                                                     conversion for aquaculture, overexploitation
                                                                                                     and storms.[4]
      http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/95/World_map_mangrove_distribution.png



[1]
  United Nations FAO, 2001.Global Forest Resources Assessment 2000; United Nations Forest and Agriculture Organisation, 2006 Global Forest Resources Assessment 2005
[4]
  Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005: Global Assessment Report 1: Current State & Trends Assessment. Island Press, Washington DC. Detail: Chapter 19 Coastal Systems. Coordinating
lead authors: Tundi Agardy and Jacqueline Alder. Original reference: 35%: Valiela et al. 2001; 80% reference: Spalding et al. 1997
Fisheries
                                                               Worlds Fisheries :
                                                                overexploited
                                                  40 %

                                                         $50 bn/yr lost econ. value, over
                                                          exploitation (World Bank 2008)
                                                  40 %
                                                         Collapse of fisheries: loss of
                                                  20 %           livelihoods
                                                 2010
                 Source: Sea Around Us project


Lake Karla, Greece: 1300
fishermen lost their jobs due to the
degradation of the former Lake
Karla in Greece and impacts on
commercial fisheries. (Zalidis and
Gerakis, 1999)

                                                                                 Source: FAO 2005a: 7
Ecosystem services
  Provisioning services
  Food, fibre and fuel
  Water provision
  Genetic resources

  Regulating Services
  Climate /climate change regulation
  Water and waste purification
  Air purification
  Erosion control
  Biological control

 Cultural Services
 Aesthetics, landscape, recreation & tourism
 Cultural values and inspirational services

 Supporting Services: Soil formation &
 fertility, photosynthesis, nutrient cycle et al
TEEB’s Genesis and Developments


                                           TEEB End User                           Nature & Green Economy
                                          Reports Brussels                          TEEB Water & Wetlands
               Interim      Climate                                                           TEEB Oceans
                                         2009, London 2010
               Report    Issues Update
                                                                TEEB       TEEB
                                                              Synthesis    Books




Ecol./Env.
Economics    CBD COP 9     Input to
literature   Bonn 2008   UNFCCC 2009
                                    India, Brazil, Belgium,
                                     Japan & South Africa
                                                                                          TEEB studies
                                          Sept. 2010
                                                                                        The Netherlands,
                                                                                      Germany, Nordics,
                                                           BD COP 10                 Norway, India, Brazil,
                                                        Nagoya, Oct 2010                 South-East Asia
TEEB for Policy Makers
                            The Global Biodiversity Crisis


                             Measuring what we manage


                             Available Solutions
                             •   PES (e.g. water), PES: REDD+
                             •   Markets, GPP
                             •   Subsidy reform
                             •   Legislation, liability, taxes & charges
                             •   Protected Areas
                             •   Investment in natural capital (restoration et al)



                            Transforming our approach to
                               natural capital
  http://www.teebweb.org/
Biodiversity               (genes, species, ecosystems) &   its value is about

Diversity/variety – e.g. pharmaceuticals, food security, biomimicry;




                                                                                     Building on Balmford and Rodriguez et al (2009) Scoping the Science
E.g. genetic resources:                               > than




Quantity – e.g. timber, carbon storage, fish stock, flood control, water retention
E.g. for fish production:                             > than




Quality – e.g landscape & tourism, ecosystems & water filtration, resilience
(to climate change, IAS)
Values of Working with Nature – evidence base
•      Germany : peatland restoration: avoidance cost of CO2 ~ 8 to 12 €/t CO2 (0-4 alt. land use)

• USA-NY: Catskills-Delaware watershed for NY: PES/working with nature saves money (~5US$bn)

• France & Belgium: Priv. Sector: Vittel (Mineral water) PES & Rochefort (Beer) PES for water quality

• Venezuela: PA helps avoid potential replacement costs of hydro dams (~US$90-$134m over 30yr)

• South Africa: WfW public PES to address IAS, avoids costs and provides jobs (~20,000; 52%♀)



         Range of policy synergies of Biodiversity: with Water security, climate change, jobs,
                                  health, public and private finance




    Sources: various. Mainly in TEEB for National and International Policy Makers, TEEB for local and regional policy and TEEB cases
Jobs

EU: 14.6 million jobs (7% employment) highly dependent on ecosystem services
(Nunes et al, 2011)

USA: Nature-based recreation. Wildlife-related recreational activities ~ US$ 122 billion
– just under 1% of GDP in 2006 (US Fish and Wildlife Service 2007).

New Zealand’s South Island (West Coast Region)- additional 1,814 jobs (15% of total jobs in
2004) and extra spending US$ 221m/yr (10% of total spending), mainly from tourism
related to conservation lands (Butcher Partners 2004).

Black Sea and job losses: invasion by a non native comb jellyfish in late 1980s led to
collapse of the fishing industry with a loss of 150,000 jobs. (Lubschenco, 1997)
CBD COP 10 Nagoya: Strategic Plan 2011-20
             5 strategic goals & 20 headline targets   ….extracts…



Target 1: “… people aware of the values of biodiversity …..”
Target 2: “…. biodiversity values have been integrated ….into
   strategies… planning … national accounting…. reporting systems.”
…
…
Target 11: “By 2020, at least 17% cover of terrestrial and inland water
   and 10% coastal and marine areas …. are conserved through
   effectively and equitably managed... systems of protected areas”
Protected Areas - “crown jewels” of biodiversity

Current status: ~12.9% terrestrial; 6.3% territorial seas, <1% open
seas (IUCN and UNEP-WCMC 2010)


Intrinsic value
Also: food security

Water security (supply & quality)
Climate mitigation & adaptation,
Knowledge,
Culture
Recreation and tourism                                  Dudley and Stolton, 2010

And other ecosystem services
Investment in natural infrastructure
Ecological (green) infrastructure is key for adaptation to climate change

•   Afforestation: carbon store+ reduced risk of soil erosion & landslides

•   Wetlands and forests and reduced risk of flooding impacts

•   Restore Forests, lakes and wetlands to address water scarcity
•   PAs & connectivity to facilitate resilience of ecosystems and species

Can help adapt to climate change at lower cost than man-made
   technological solutions


Adaptation to climate change will receive hundreds of US$ billions in coming years/decades.
                 Critically important that this be cost-effective.
Support for identifying where natural capital solutions are appropriate & mobilise resources
Eroding Natural Capital Base & Tools for an Alternative
                    Development Path, Towards a Green Economy
                                                         Alternative natural capital development path:
                                                   Meeting biodiversity objectives, investing in natural capital
         Past loss/
        degradation                                               No net loss from current levels
                                                                                                                   Investment in




                                                                                                                                       Instruments & measures – illustrative
                                                Halting biodiversity loss                                         natural capital;
                                                                                                           Restoration & offsets;
                                                                                                         Trading and new markets;
                                                                                                                 PES, REDD, ABS;
                                                                            Charges, taxes, fines, fees, liability, subsidy reform;
                                                                                   Sustainable production and consumption,
                                    Slowing                                    markets, certification/logos, innovation & GPP;
                                biodiversity loss                                               Better regulation, assessment,
                                                                                           accounting, integration, monitoring,
                                                                                                                  enforcement;
                                                                                                                Protected areas;
                                                                                                                    Regulation &
                                    Baseline: Future loss of biodiversity, natural capital                            standards.
                                      (schematic) – with no additional policy action

                          Today                            2020                                                                 2050
   Need multi-level governance & engagement (government, business, communities, citizens) & integration.
Source: Patrick ten Brink, own representation
Part A: Summary
Mainstream the economics of nature –                            …is this enough to work out
                                                                         what to do?
 Making Nature’s Values Visible: across sectors,
 across policies, seek synergies across disciplines.

Protected areas: biodiversity riches that can also offer
  value for money, recreation and cultural identity, tourism.

Ecological infrastructure and benefits: climate
  change (mitigation/adaptation), air pollution & health et al

Changing the incentives: payments, taxes, charges,
                                                                  …always better to look at
  subsidy reform, markets
                                                                      the whole board
                                                                  And engage the full set of
                                                                          players
Part A:
Mainstreaming the
Economics of Nature

Benefits of Natura 2000
Natura 2000

              Birds Directive 2009/147/EC in 1979

              Habitats Directive       92/43/EEC in 1992.


              26,000 sites ~ 18 % of EU

              Terrestrial SCIs/SACs: ~ 59 million ha,

              Terrestrial SPAs: ~ 49 million ha (Natura
              2000 Barometer, 2010).

              Marine protected area (MPA) network –
              ~14.5 million ha2
Natura 2000
 Conservation Status

 Remaining Challenge




Funding a challenge

Costs ~ 5.8 bnEUR/yr
Source: Gantioler et al 2010




But also benefits
Illustrative schematic for analysing the value of PAs

BENEFITS

                    Before                         First year after           A decade in…
                designation as                     designation as
                protected area                     protected area

                                                                                              Management and
                                                                                                investment



                                                                                             Risk of degradation
                                                                                             without PA measures



                                                                                         Ecological services that
                                                                                          would have remained
                                                                                         without protected area


                                                                                                    TIME
                                                              Opportunity Costs           Cost of management,
 COSTS
Source: Patrick ten Brink, own representation in TEEB 2011
Natura 2000 : An first Economic Assessment

        Benefit                                                Numbers

                          ~ €200 - 300 bn/year
Natura 2000 network       Building on 3 estimates (different assumptions):
   total benefits         €223 – 314 bn /yr (a)
                          €251 – 360 bn /yr (b)
                          €189 – 308 bn /yr (c)


                          Current Stock: €600 bn - €1130 bn
Carbon sequestration Annual Sequestration Benefits:
     / storage       €79-88 bn increase to 2020 if ecosystem quality is improved;
                     €82-92 bn to 2020 if a 10% increase: forest area.




                                                                                          Source: ten Brink et al 2010
                          ~€ 50-85 billion /year for 1.7 billion visitor days (~466,000
Tourism expenditures      visitors/day average)
                          ~€ 9-20 billion/year directly for Natura 2000

     Recreation           ~€ 5-9 billion/year         for Natura 2000 (4 € / visit )
  (non market benefits)
Natura 2000 Benefits: jobs


 Spain: The implementation of Natura 2000 network > positive impacts on GDP (0.1 - 0.26
 per cent at national level). Network estimated to generate an additional 12,792 jobs.

 Andalucía, Aragon and the Canarias islands - benefit most from Natura 2000: 0.26 - 0.44
 per cent increase in their GDP and between 1346 - 5957 additional jobs created. (Fernandez et al
 2008 in Gantioler et al 2010)



 Germany: national park Wattenmeer in Germany is responsible of around 23 per
 cent of total tourists in the region, with associated gross economic income of over €100
 million in 2003 (Neidlein and Walser, 2005)


 Finland: The Total annual revenue linked with the visitor spending in national parks was
 €70.1 million and supported local employment by creating 893 person-years. In general, it
 was estimated that €1 public investment to protected areas provided €20 return.
 (Metsahallitus, 2009).
Natura 2000 Benefits: interpreting the results


 • A first estimate

 • Methodological issues

 • Impossible to attribute EU wide numbers to all services – eg water, pollination,
   natural hazards, HNV farming….

 • Whole picture of benefits is needed

 • For robust value focus at site level assessments

 • EU wide assessment to communicate the benefits beyond intrinsic values

 • Useful to attract funding, encourage restoration, wise use & management
Part B: Nature and the green
economy

Challenges
•   Feeding the 9 billion; Water; Poverty alleviation,
    Urbanisation, Jobs, Climate change, Financial crisis
    etc
•   The rising level of consumption and production will
    put increasing stress on the planet’s resources and
    ecosystems – limits, scarcity, price volatility, critical
    (ecological and social) thresholds...
Nature and the Transition to a Green Economy

• Need for a transition towards a “green” economy
  that promotes social equity, poverty eradication
  and human well-being.
• Increasing appreciation of biodiversity and
  ecosystem services and the value of nature.
• Healthy and resilient ecosystems are necessary
  for long-term socio-economic development
• Efforts to build a green economy should be based
  on an appreciation of the values of nature.
The Greening Economy

Environment / Nature
                                       Society
                                                                   The Economy
      Domestic
    Natural Capital                                                                     Economic Sectors                                                      Exports
                                                                                                (examples)
   Minerals, Energy                               €                          - Agriculture, hunting, forestry & fishing
                                                                             - Oil and Gas; Mining & quarrying
       Water, Land                                €
                                                                             - Wood and wood products                                                         Public




                                                                                                                                    Products & Services
                                                                             - Food products, beverages & tobacco
                                                                                                                                €
    Timber, Fish, Ag                          €                                                                                                               Sector
                                                                             - Pulp, paper & paper products
   Other Biodiversity                                                        - Research & development




                                                                                                                                         Outputs:
                                                          €                  - Hotels & restaurants
      (genes, species,
                                                                             - Chemicals          - Pharmaceuticals
        ecosystems)                 Ecosystem service flows
                                                                             - Recycling          - Manufacturing
                                                                             - Electricity        - Water supply
                                                                             - Education          - Finance & insurance                                       Private
                                                      €                                                                                                   €
   Imported natural                                                                                                                                           Sector
                                                                                 Outputs from one sector can be
       capital
          Timber,
                                         Human &                                 intermediate inputs to another
 Food , Primary materials               Social Capital                                  €
                                                                   €
             &                             Inputs:
        embedded                         labour, skills,                       Man-made capital                      Waste /                                  House-
       Biodiversity,                      knowledge,                           (inc. financial capital)             pollution
           Water,                                                                                                                                             holds
          Carbon
                                          institutions,
        in products                          culture                                          Social impact


                                                                                                                                                              Natural
                                                                                                           Impacts on environment                             capital
Source: ten Brink, Russi and Mazza, 2012 building on ten Brink et al. 2011
The Transition to a Green Economy
       Current Situation                                      Building Blocks in the                              Ambitions for the Future
                                                          Transition to a Green Economy                               A Green Economy
  Declining Sustainability
   in a Brown Economy                                                                                           Improved human well-being and
                                                                  Business-as-Usual
                                                                                                                 social equity, while significantly
                                                                    Approaches                                  reducing environmental risks and
  Resource over-exploitation &
      pollution pressures                                   Avoiding Unsustainable Trade-                               ecological scarcities
                                                                        offs
          Climate Change                                                  +                                      Staying within a ‘safe operating
                                                             Environmental compliance &                         space’: using resources within the
     Biodiversity and natural                                       infrastructure                              planet’s regenerative capacities &
                                        Good governance




                                                                                              Good Governance
           capital loss                                                                                             avoiding critical ecological
                                                                          +                                                 thresholds
      Critical ecological and                                   Active environmental
   resource thresholds passed                                       management                                     No net loss of biodiversity and
             or at risk                                                                                         climate change within ‘acceptable’
                                                               Active Risk Management
                                                                                                                                limits
  Resource scarcity and limited
                                                                          +
       access to a clean                                    Proactive Investment in Natural                          Sustainability for future
         environment                                                     Capital                                    generations and business:
                                                                                                                  available natural capital and a
                                                                          +                                             clean environment
    Health impacts and man-
     made natural disasters                                   Pursuing environmental
                                                                   sustainability                               Health and livelihoods for citizens
    An economy that is not                                           Eco-efficiency                                     and communities
 resource efficient, low carbon                                           +                                       An economy decoupled from
     and socially inclusive
                                                                Decoupling via Radical                             environmental impacts and
Source: Patrick ten Brink & Leonardo                         Innovation & Demand change                                   resource use
Mazza, own representation
Building Blocks in the
          Transition to a Green Economy                        Examples of actions
                 Business-as-Usual
                   Approaches                            A: Assessment to understand winners/losers, impacts &
              A. Avoiding Unsustainable                       responses
                      Trade-offs
                          +                              B: Investment in water and waste infrastructures
            B. Environmental compliance &
                     infrastructure
                          +
                                            Governance
G. Good




                Active environmental                     C: Flood risk mapping, taxonomy & pathways for IAS
                    management
              C. Active Risk Management                  D: Restoration of ecological infrastructure & Conservation,
                          +                                   protected area management
              D. Proactive Investment in
                    Natural Capital
                          +
              Pursuing environmental                     E: EHS reform, positive incentives, polluter pays
                   sustainability
                  E. Eco-efficiency                      F: R&D for new products/applications + Information /
                          +                                   engagement for demand changes
               F. Decoupling via Radical
             Innovation & Demand change                  G: Indicators and Environmental accounts
Conclusions

              1. Nature provides a wide range of benefits and
                 values to society and the economy.
              2. A green economy aims to incorporate these values
                 into decision-making across all levels of
                 governance.
              3. There are major opportunities to be realised and
                 also trade-offs. Transition management is critical
                 for success.
              4. Protected areas are a key element of the transition
                 to a green economy.
Additional information sources
The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) in National and International Policy Making (ed.
Patrick ten Brink) www.teebweb.org or via www.ieep.eu

Estimating the Overall Economic Value of the Benefits provided by the Natura 2000 Network (ten Brink
et al 2011) http://www.ieep.eu/publications/2012/06/estimating-the-overall-economic-value-of-the-benefits-
provided-by-the-natura-2000-network

Costs and Socio-Economic Benefits associated with the Natura 2000 Network (Gantioler et al 2010)
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/natura2000/financing/docs/natura2000_costs_benefits.pdf

Green Infrastructure options (Mazza et al, 2010))
http://www.ieep.eu/assets/898/Green_Infrastructure_Implementation_and_Efficiency.pdf

Nature in the Transition to a Green Economy (ten Brink et al 2012)
http://www.ieep.eu/newsletter/summer-2012/nature-in-the-transition-to-a-green-economy/

The Social Dimension of Biodiversity Policy: Final Report (Nunes et al 2011)
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/enveco/biodiversity/pdf/Social%20Dimension%20of%20Biodiversity.pdf

Recognising the value of protected areas (Kettunen et al 2011) www.cbd.int/database/attachment/?id=1408

The Social and Economic Benefits of Protected Areas: an Assessment Guide (Kettunen and ten Brink
eds 2013 forthcoming) http://www.routledge.com/books/details/9780415632843/
Thank you for your attention !
                                         Patrick ten Brink
                                        ptenbrink@ieep.eu



       IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an environmentally
              sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development and dissemination.
                           For further information see: http://www.ieep.eu
                                     Follow us on twitter: IEEP_EU




For more information about IEEP’s work on Nature and the Green Economy visit
              www.ieep.eu and for TEEB also www.teebweb.org
Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP)

• IEEP is an independent research organisation concerned with policies
  affecting the environment in Europe and beyond
    •   Research and consultancy on the development, implementation and evaluation of
        environmental and environment-related policies in Europe
    •   Policy advise and intelligence
    •   Capacity-building
• Interdisciplinary staff including natural and social scientists, lawyers and
  economists
• Key research areas:
    •   Governance
    •   Agriculture and land management
    •   Biodiversity
    •   Climate change and energy
    •   Resources use, waste and chemicals
    •   Water, marine and fisheries; and
    •   Environmental Economics (green economy, value of nature, EHS/MBI et al,)

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Patrick ten Brink of IEEP TEEB Natura 2000 and Nature & Green Economy EP 3 Dec 2012 final

  • 1. Mainstreaming the Economics of Nature: EU nature conservation & Nature and the Green Economy Patrick ten Brink Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP) Public Hearing Protected areas and green employment Monday 3.12.12, 14.00-17.00 European Parliament, room PHS 6B054, Brussels
  • 2. Presentation overview Part A: Mainstreaming the Economics of Nature a) TEEB for Policy Makers and the EU b) Benefits of Natura 2000 Part B: Nature and the green economy c) Nature and GE
  • 3. “I believe that the great part of miseries of mankind are brought upon them by false estimates they have made of the value of things.” Benjamin Franklin, 1706-1790
  • 4. Biodiversity loss Species extinction ~ 100 to 1,000 times more rapid than “natural” extinction rate (MA 2005) Since 1900, global loss ~ 50%of its wetlands. [2]. Coral Reefs  ~ 20% of the world’s coral reefs loss - effectively destroyed by fishing, pollution, disease and coral bleaching ~ 24% of remaining reefs under imminent risk of collapse through human Source: Nellemann et al 2008: 22 pressures.[3] [2] http://www.ramsar.org/about/about_wetland_loss.htm [3] Wilkinson C., 2004: Status of Coral Reefs of the World: 2004 report
  • 5. Forests  Global Forest Area has shrunk by approximately 40% since 1700.  Forests have completely disappeared in 25 countries [1]. Mangroves  In the past two decades, 35% of mangroves have disappeared.  Some countries have lost up to 80% through conversion for aquaculture, overexploitation and storms.[4] http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/95/World_map_mangrove_distribution.png [1] United Nations FAO, 2001.Global Forest Resources Assessment 2000; United Nations Forest and Agriculture Organisation, 2006 Global Forest Resources Assessment 2005 [4] Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005: Global Assessment Report 1: Current State & Trends Assessment. Island Press, Washington DC. Detail: Chapter 19 Coastal Systems. Coordinating lead authors: Tundi Agardy and Jacqueline Alder. Original reference: 35%: Valiela et al. 2001; 80% reference: Spalding et al. 1997
  • 6. Fisheries Worlds Fisheries : overexploited 40 % $50 bn/yr lost econ. value, over exploitation (World Bank 2008) 40 % Collapse of fisheries: loss of 20 % livelihoods 2010 Source: Sea Around Us project Lake Karla, Greece: 1300 fishermen lost their jobs due to the degradation of the former Lake Karla in Greece and impacts on commercial fisheries. (Zalidis and Gerakis, 1999) Source: FAO 2005a: 7
  • 7. Ecosystem services Provisioning services Food, fibre and fuel Water provision Genetic resources Regulating Services Climate /climate change regulation Water and waste purification Air purification Erosion control Biological control Cultural Services Aesthetics, landscape, recreation & tourism Cultural values and inspirational services Supporting Services: Soil formation & fertility, photosynthesis, nutrient cycle et al
  • 8. TEEB’s Genesis and Developments TEEB End User Nature & Green Economy Reports Brussels TEEB Water & Wetlands Interim Climate TEEB Oceans 2009, London 2010 Report Issues Update TEEB TEEB Synthesis Books Ecol./Env. Economics CBD COP 9 Input to literature Bonn 2008 UNFCCC 2009 India, Brazil, Belgium, Japan & South Africa TEEB studies Sept. 2010 The Netherlands, Germany, Nordics, BD COP 10 Norway, India, Brazil, Nagoya, Oct 2010 South-East Asia
  • 9. TEEB for Policy Makers The Global Biodiversity Crisis Measuring what we manage Available Solutions • PES (e.g. water), PES: REDD+ • Markets, GPP • Subsidy reform • Legislation, liability, taxes & charges • Protected Areas • Investment in natural capital (restoration et al) Transforming our approach to natural capital http://www.teebweb.org/
  • 10. Biodiversity (genes, species, ecosystems) & its value is about Diversity/variety – e.g. pharmaceuticals, food security, biomimicry; Building on Balmford and Rodriguez et al (2009) Scoping the Science E.g. genetic resources: > than Quantity – e.g. timber, carbon storage, fish stock, flood control, water retention E.g. for fish production: > than Quality – e.g landscape & tourism, ecosystems & water filtration, resilience (to climate change, IAS)
  • 11. Values of Working with Nature – evidence base • Germany : peatland restoration: avoidance cost of CO2 ~ 8 to 12 €/t CO2 (0-4 alt. land use) • USA-NY: Catskills-Delaware watershed for NY: PES/working with nature saves money (~5US$bn) • France & Belgium: Priv. Sector: Vittel (Mineral water) PES & Rochefort (Beer) PES for water quality • Venezuela: PA helps avoid potential replacement costs of hydro dams (~US$90-$134m over 30yr) • South Africa: WfW public PES to address IAS, avoids costs and provides jobs (~20,000; 52%♀) Range of policy synergies of Biodiversity: with Water security, climate change, jobs, health, public and private finance Sources: various. Mainly in TEEB for National and International Policy Makers, TEEB for local and regional policy and TEEB cases
  • 12. Jobs EU: 14.6 million jobs (7% employment) highly dependent on ecosystem services (Nunes et al, 2011) USA: Nature-based recreation. Wildlife-related recreational activities ~ US$ 122 billion – just under 1% of GDP in 2006 (US Fish and Wildlife Service 2007). New Zealand’s South Island (West Coast Region)- additional 1,814 jobs (15% of total jobs in 2004) and extra spending US$ 221m/yr (10% of total spending), mainly from tourism related to conservation lands (Butcher Partners 2004). Black Sea and job losses: invasion by a non native comb jellyfish in late 1980s led to collapse of the fishing industry with a loss of 150,000 jobs. (Lubschenco, 1997)
  • 13. CBD COP 10 Nagoya: Strategic Plan 2011-20 5 strategic goals & 20 headline targets ….extracts… Target 1: “… people aware of the values of biodiversity …..” Target 2: “…. biodiversity values have been integrated ….into strategies… planning … national accounting…. reporting systems.” … … Target 11: “By 2020, at least 17% cover of terrestrial and inland water and 10% coastal and marine areas …. are conserved through effectively and equitably managed... systems of protected areas”
  • 14. Protected Areas - “crown jewels” of biodiversity Current status: ~12.9% terrestrial; 6.3% territorial seas, <1% open seas (IUCN and UNEP-WCMC 2010) Intrinsic value Also: food security Water security (supply & quality) Climate mitigation & adaptation, Knowledge, Culture Recreation and tourism Dudley and Stolton, 2010 And other ecosystem services
  • 15. Investment in natural infrastructure Ecological (green) infrastructure is key for adaptation to climate change • Afforestation: carbon store+ reduced risk of soil erosion & landslides • Wetlands and forests and reduced risk of flooding impacts • Restore Forests, lakes and wetlands to address water scarcity • PAs & connectivity to facilitate resilience of ecosystems and species Can help adapt to climate change at lower cost than man-made technological solutions Adaptation to climate change will receive hundreds of US$ billions in coming years/decades. Critically important that this be cost-effective. Support for identifying where natural capital solutions are appropriate & mobilise resources
  • 16. Eroding Natural Capital Base & Tools for an Alternative Development Path, Towards a Green Economy Alternative natural capital development path: Meeting biodiversity objectives, investing in natural capital Past loss/ degradation No net loss from current levels Investment in Instruments & measures – illustrative Halting biodiversity loss natural capital; Restoration & offsets; Trading and new markets; PES, REDD, ABS; Charges, taxes, fines, fees, liability, subsidy reform; Sustainable production and consumption, Slowing markets, certification/logos, innovation & GPP; biodiversity loss Better regulation, assessment, accounting, integration, monitoring, enforcement; Protected areas; Regulation & Baseline: Future loss of biodiversity, natural capital standards. (schematic) – with no additional policy action Today 2020 2050 Need multi-level governance & engagement (government, business, communities, citizens) & integration. Source: Patrick ten Brink, own representation
  • 17. Part A: Summary Mainstream the economics of nature – …is this enough to work out what to do? Making Nature’s Values Visible: across sectors, across policies, seek synergies across disciplines. Protected areas: biodiversity riches that can also offer value for money, recreation and cultural identity, tourism. Ecological infrastructure and benefits: climate change (mitigation/adaptation), air pollution & health et al Changing the incentives: payments, taxes, charges, …always better to look at subsidy reform, markets the whole board And engage the full set of players
  • 18. Part A: Mainstreaming the Economics of Nature Benefits of Natura 2000
  • 19. Natura 2000 Birds Directive 2009/147/EC in 1979 Habitats Directive 92/43/EEC in 1992. 26,000 sites ~ 18 % of EU Terrestrial SCIs/SACs: ~ 59 million ha, Terrestrial SPAs: ~ 49 million ha (Natura 2000 Barometer, 2010). Marine protected area (MPA) network – ~14.5 million ha2
  • 20. Natura 2000 Conservation Status Remaining Challenge Funding a challenge Costs ~ 5.8 bnEUR/yr Source: Gantioler et al 2010 But also benefits
  • 21. Illustrative schematic for analysing the value of PAs BENEFITS Before First year after A decade in… designation as designation as protected area protected area Management and investment Risk of degradation without PA measures Ecological services that would have remained without protected area TIME Opportunity Costs Cost of management, COSTS Source: Patrick ten Brink, own representation in TEEB 2011
  • 22. Natura 2000 : An first Economic Assessment Benefit Numbers ~ €200 - 300 bn/year Natura 2000 network Building on 3 estimates (different assumptions): total benefits €223 – 314 bn /yr (a) €251 – 360 bn /yr (b) €189 – 308 bn /yr (c) Current Stock: €600 bn - €1130 bn Carbon sequestration Annual Sequestration Benefits: / storage €79-88 bn increase to 2020 if ecosystem quality is improved; €82-92 bn to 2020 if a 10% increase: forest area. Source: ten Brink et al 2010 ~€ 50-85 billion /year for 1.7 billion visitor days (~466,000 Tourism expenditures visitors/day average) ~€ 9-20 billion/year directly for Natura 2000 Recreation ~€ 5-9 billion/year for Natura 2000 (4 € / visit ) (non market benefits)
  • 23. Natura 2000 Benefits: jobs Spain: The implementation of Natura 2000 network > positive impacts on GDP (0.1 - 0.26 per cent at national level). Network estimated to generate an additional 12,792 jobs. Andalucía, Aragon and the Canarias islands - benefit most from Natura 2000: 0.26 - 0.44 per cent increase in their GDP and between 1346 - 5957 additional jobs created. (Fernandez et al 2008 in Gantioler et al 2010) Germany: national park Wattenmeer in Germany is responsible of around 23 per cent of total tourists in the region, with associated gross economic income of over €100 million in 2003 (Neidlein and Walser, 2005) Finland: The Total annual revenue linked with the visitor spending in national parks was €70.1 million and supported local employment by creating 893 person-years. In general, it was estimated that €1 public investment to protected areas provided €20 return. (Metsahallitus, 2009).
  • 24. Natura 2000 Benefits: interpreting the results • A first estimate • Methodological issues • Impossible to attribute EU wide numbers to all services – eg water, pollination, natural hazards, HNV farming…. • Whole picture of benefits is needed • For robust value focus at site level assessments • EU wide assessment to communicate the benefits beyond intrinsic values • Useful to attract funding, encourage restoration, wise use & management
  • 25. Part B: Nature and the green economy Challenges • Feeding the 9 billion; Water; Poverty alleviation, Urbanisation, Jobs, Climate change, Financial crisis etc • The rising level of consumption and production will put increasing stress on the planet’s resources and ecosystems – limits, scarcity, price volatility, critical (ecological and social) thresholds...
  • 26. Nature and the Transition to a Green Economy • Need for a transition towards a “green” economy that promotes social equity, poverty eradication and human well-being. • Increasing appreciation of biodiversity and ecosystem services and the value of nature. • Healthy and resilient ecosystems are necessary for long-term socio-economic development • Efforts to build a green economy should be based on an appreciation of the values of nature.
  • 27. The Greening Economy Environment / Nature Society The Economy Domestic Natural Capital Economic Sectors Exports (examples) Minerals, Energy € - Agriculture, hunting, forestry & fishing - Oil and Gas; Mining & quarrying Water, Land € - Wood and wood products Public Products & Services - Food products, beverages & tobacco € Timber, Fish, Ag € Sector - Pulp, paper & paper products Other Biodiversity - Research & development Outputs: € - Hotels & restaurants (genes, species, - Chemicals - Pharmaceuticals ecosystems) Ecosystem service flows - Recycling - Manufacturing - Electricity - Water supply - Education - Finance & insurance Private € € Imported natural Sector Outputs from one sector can be capital Timber, Human & intermediate inputs to another Food , Primary materials Social Capital € € & Inputs: embedded labour, skills, Man-made capital Waste / House- Biodiversity, knowledge, (inc. financial capital) pollution Water, holds Carbon institutions, in products culture Social impact Natural Impacts on environment capital Source: ten Brink, Russi and Mazza, 2012 building on ten Brink et al. 2011
  • 28. The Transition to a Green Economy Current Situation Building Blocks in the Ambitions for the Future Transition to a Green Economy A Green Economy Declining Sustainability in a Brown Economy Improved human well-being and Business-as-Usual social equity, while significantly Approaches reducing environmental risks and Resource over-exploitation & pollution pressures Avoiding Unsustainable Trade- ecological scarcities offs Climate Change + Staying within a ‘safe operating Environmental compliance & space’: using resources within the Biodiversity and natural infrastructure planet’s regenerative capacities & Good governance Good Governance capital loss avoiding critical ecological + thresholds Critical ecological and Active environmental resource thresholds passed management No net loss of biodiversity and or at risk climate change within ‘acceptable’ Active Risk Management limits Resource scarcity and limited + access to a clean Proactive Investment in Natural Sustainability for future environment Capital generations and business: available natural capital and a + clean environment Health impacts and man- made natural disasters Pursuing environmental sustainability Health and livelihoods for citizens An economy that is not Eco-efficiency and communities resource efficient, low carbon + An economy decoupled from and socially inclusive Decoupling via Radical environmental impacts and Source: Patrick ten Brink & Leonardo Innovation & Demand change resource use Mazza, own representation
  • 29. Building Blocks in the Transition to a Green Economy Examples of actions Business-as-Usual Approaches A: Assessment to understand winners/losers, impacts & A. Avoiding Unsustainable responses Trade-offs + B: Investment in water and waste infrastructures B. Environmental compliance & infrastructure + Governance G. Good Active environmental C: Flood risk mapping, taxonomy & pathways for IAS management C. Active Risk Management D: Restoration of ecological infrastructure & Conservation, + protected area management D. Proactive Investment in Natural Capital + Pursuing environmental E: EHS reform, positive incentives, polluter pays sustainability E. Eco-efficiency F: R&D for new products/applications + Information / + engagement for demand changes F. Decoupling via Radical Innovation & Demand change G: Indicators and Environmental accounts
  • 30. Conclusions 1. Nature provides a wide range of benefits and values to society and the economy. 2. A green economy aims to incorporate these values into decision-making across all levels of governance. 3. There are major opportunities to be realised and also trade-offs. Transition management is critical for success. 4. Protected areas are a key element of the transition to a green economy.
  • 31. Additional information sources The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) in National and International Policy Making (ed. Patrick ten Brink) www.teebweb.org or via www.ieep.eu Estimating the Overall Economic Value of the Benefits provided by the Natura 2000 Network (ten Brink et al 2011) http://www.ieep.eu/publications/2012/06/estimating-the-overall-economic-value-of-the-benefits- provided-by-the-natura-2000-network Costs and Socio-Economic Benefits associated with the Natura 2000 Network (Gantioler et al 2010) http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/natura2000/financing/docs/natura2000_costs_benefits.pdf Green Infrastructure options (Mazza et al, 2010)) http://www.ieep.eu/assets/898/Green_Infrastructure_Implementation_and_Efficiency.pdf Nature in the Transition to a Green Economy (ten Brink et al 2012) http://www.ieep.eu/newsletter/summer-2012/nature-in-the-transition-to-a-green-economy/ The Social Dimension of Biodiversity Policy: Final Report (Nunes et al 2011) http://ec.europa.eu/environment/enveco/biodiversity/pdf/Social%20Dimension%20of%20Biodiversity.pdf Recognising the value of protected areas (Kettunen et al 2011) www.cbd.int/database/attachment/?id=1408 The Social and Economic Benefits of Protected Areas: an Assessment Guide (Kettunen and ten Brink eds 2013 forthcoming) http://www.routledge.com/books/details/9780415632843/
  • 32. Thank you for your attention ! Patrick ten Brink ptenbrink@ieep.eu IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an environmentally sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development and dissemination. For further information see: http://www.ieep.eu Follow us on twitter: IEEP_EU For more information about IEEP’s work on Nature and the Green Economy visit www.ieep.eu and for TEEB also www.teebweb.org
  • 33. Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP) • IEEP is an independent research organisation concerned with policies affecting the environment in Europe and beyond • Research and consultancy on the development, implementation and evaluation of environmental and environment-related policies in Europe • Policy advise and intelligence • Capacity-building • Interdisciplinary staff including natural and social scientists, lawyers and economists • Key research areas: • Governance • Agriculture and land management • Biodiversity • Climate change and energy • Resources use, waste and chemicals • Water, marine and fisheries; and • Environmental Economics (green economy, value of nature, EHS/MBI et al,)