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MENA – OECD INVESTMENT SECURITY IN THE MEDITERRANEAN

(ISMED) WORKING GROUP
INAUGURAL CONFERENCE

Fostering Infrastructure Investment in the MENA Region
Managing Risk in Uncertain Times

17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

1
Managing risk in Infrastructure project in the MENA region
 The PPP: contractual mode well adapted to large, complex and
innovative infrastructures
 Risk management: is more a matter of good understanding of
the PPP’s basic concepts than of peculiarities of the MENA zone

17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

2
 Introduction: a fast overview of the PPP in the other zones (1)


Situation in the UK:





Situation in LDCs:




Some success, mostly failures

Situation in North America:





Development and brake: UK Treasury note leading to PF 2.
Main Issues and changes: transaction and financial costs, lack of
transparency, speculative profits, inflexible standard
contracts, reevaluation of risk allocation, etc.

Development in Canada (essentially PFI/PPP)
Very little in the USA but seriously considered

Situation in France:



17/12/2013

Numerous concession/PPP in operation: not much controversy.
Development of PFI/CP/PPP: some controversy: stadium, hospital,
public building complex.
Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

3
 Introduction: PPPs are controversial. Why? (2)
 The PPP delivery method is made of sets of complex elements, hardly never
aggregated in a single contractual arrangement: very little practice in most
countries
 Concessions and other PPPs remain to be defined in most jurisdictions: no
satisfactory definition at international level.
 Conclusion: It is necessary to clarify at the outset the meaning of PPP (too
much confusion leading to inappropriate conclusions and hazardous
decisions).

17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

4


A growing consensus between international practitioners



Two families


PFI or CP/PPP: Recovery from public funds over the years and no
transfer of the operation of public service.



Concession/PPP: Recovery entirely or mostly from end users of the
service, structured transfer of a full operation of a public service
(but not privatization).



The rationale for the definition


Some common features between the two families but:



17/12/2013

Substantial differences on the risk and reward matrix
Substantial differences in bid preparation, procurement,
contract conditions, public service obligations, regulation,
etc.
Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

5
 The need of PPP in public infrastructure service sector: the PPP gap
and its consequences


Evaluation of the current situation of PPP projects in emerging and LDCs
 Projects in distress:
 More than half of them after only 2 years of operation, for
contracts which should have lasted for several decades.


Projects in the drawing board but never implemented:
 75% of the projects announced and more or less prepared from an
engineering side are aborted.



Projects which could have been developed but never considered: any
statistic?
 Likely more than 50% of all other projects announced. How to
approach this critical matter for reaching the development
objectives?

Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

6
 Developing pipelines of resilient PPPs: is an illusion? (1)


Lessons learnt
 Projects insufficiently prepared by the public bodies:
 absence of correct identification of needs,
 too often vague definition of the objectives and the
functionalities which the project will have to fulfill,
 insufficient measure of the likely impact of the project on the
economy of the zone,
 return on the public finances over the project life cycle,
 budgetary sustainability,
 research for elements demonstrating relevance of the choice of
this form of Govment Procurement compared with the other
traditional forms of Govment Procurement,
 quality of the technical studies, the traffic /
attendance, design, etc.

Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

7
 Developing pipelines of resilient PPPs: is an illusion? (2)
 Lessons learnt
 Pricing and willingness / capacity to pay from users for the projects
undertaken through the concession style contract.
 The misunderstanding or the deficient application of “best
practices/Golden rules/ policies” adapted to this nature of project, a
contract law and contractual clauses inappropriate.
 Institutional and legal architecture to be improved.
Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority,
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

8
 Developing pipelines of resilient PPPs: is an illusion? (3)


In spite of apparent financial constraints and prima facie perception
of risks, the future of PPP in the core public service infrastructure
sector is promising.
 The list of core issues preventing large scale PPP development goes
well beyond a traditional list of issues and related solutions and
best practices proposed.
 Unless main core issues are addressed in a holistic manner, there
are insufficient chances to have better statistics on PPP in many
areas.
 For many core issues, the formulation of related best practices
remains to a large extent to be designed in an authoritative manner.
 PPIAF reference book on PPP of 2012: “the state of knowledge [on
PPP] is not well enough developed to prescribe best practices”.

Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

9
 Prioritization needed in order to make a “leap frog” for the success
of pipeline of PPP projects (1):
 Not to spend too much further on capacity building or assistance
programs since key messages to be delivered in an integrated manner
have not yet reached out the international community, or the
consultancy world.
 TOP PRIORITY IS TO AGGREGATE USEFULLY AND, AS EFFICIENTLY AS
POSSIBLE, THE LESSONS LEARNT THROUGH THE WORLD AND TO
FORMULATE BEST PRACTICES OFTEN OF UNIVERSAL USE.
 Then put those best practices, including related guidance note and various
documents and templates, at the disposal of the international consultants
and international community for contributing to the drafting regional or
State laws, or securitizing existing projects or projects in the pipeline.
Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

10
 Prioritization needed in order to make a “leap frog” for the success
of pipeline of PPP projects (2):


In a nutshell, the core issues which prevent pipelines of PPP
development in LDCs can be summarized as follows:
 project planning and prioritization
 project preparation
 content of bidding documents/procurement
 contract conditions
 underlying legal principles
 central level institutions
 local level institutions
 use of outside really qualified experts and consultants



Concession/PPP Self-Evaluation Index

17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

11
Conclusion I
A widely shared report
A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts
A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons learnt and
tested
 The content of the work program (1)
 Gathering representative and useful raw materials adapted to MENA
region






17/12/2013

Identifying the materials
Searching or gathering the materials
Sorting and reviewing the materials
Analyzing the materials
Blueprint of concept notes or position memorandums
Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

12
Conclusion II
A widely shared report
A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts
A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons learnt and
tested
 The content of the work program (2)
 Drafting concept-notes and memorandums
 For the purpose of packaging and disseminating the
information
 For the purpose of training
 For the purpose of e-learning
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

13
Conclusion III
A widely shared report
A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts
A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons
learnt and tested
 To set up a high level expert group addressing the issues
 The need of a neutral, high level and truly experienced
international/regional expert team.
 The need of an expert team able to work efficiently in a coordinated
manner.
 The very limited number of international/regional experts able to qualify
for working in such a team.
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

14
Conclusion IV
A widely shared report
A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts
A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons learnt and
tested

 How to achieve these high standard goals?
 Respect strict obligation to become a full member:
 A prescriptive charter offering the best guarantees of:
- Professionalism,
- Neutrality,
- Efficiency,
- Cost limitation.
17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

15
Thank you for attention
Joint presentation and proposals by:

Institute of International French Legal Experts (IFEJI)
Marc Frilet : Vice-President
&
Confederation of International Contractors’ Association (CICA)
Roger Fiszelson : Director General

17/12/2013

Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in
the MENA Region

16

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Managing Risk in Infrastructure Projects

  • 1. MENA – OECD INVESTMENT SECURITY IN THE MEDITERRANEAN (ISMED) WORKING GROUP INAUGURAL CONFERENCE Fostering Infrastructure Investment in the MENA Region Managing Risk in Uncertain Times 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 1
  • 2. Managing risk in Infrastructure project in the MENA region  The PPP: contractual mode well adapted to large, complex and innovative infrastructures  Risk management: is more a matter of good understanding of the PPP’s basic concepts than of peculiarities of the MENA zone 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 2
  • 3.  Introduction: a fast overview of the PPP in the other zones (1)  Situation in the UK:    Situation in LDCs:   Some success, mostly failures Situation in North America:    Development and brake: UK Treasury note leading to PF 2. Main Issues and changes: transaction and financial costs, lack of transparency, speculative profits, inflexible standard contracts, reevaluation of risk allocation, etc. Development in Canada (essentially PFI/PPP) Very little in the USA but seriously considered Situation in France:   17/12/2013 Numerous concession/PPP in operation: not much controversy. Development of PFI/CP/PPP: some controversy: stadium, hospital, public building complex. Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 3
  • 4.  Introduction: PPPs are controversial. Why? (2)  The PPP delivery method is made of sets of complex elements, hardly never aggregated in a single contractual arrangement: very little practice in most countries  Concessions and other PPPs remain to be defined in most jurisdictions: no satisfactory definition at international level.  Conclusion: It is necessary to clarify at the outset the meaning of PPP (too much confusion leading to inappropriate conclusions and hazardous decisions). 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 4
  • 5.  A growing consensus between international practitioners  Two families  PFI or CP/PPP: Recovery from public funds over the years and no transfer of the operation of public service.  Concession/PPP: Recovery entirely or mostly from end users of the service, structured transfer of a full operation of a public service (but not privatization).  The rationale for the definition  Some common features between the two families but:   17/12/2013 Substantial differences on the risk and reward matrix Substantial differences in bid preparation, procurement, contract conditions, public service obligations, regulation, etc. Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 5
  • 6.  The need of PPP in public infrastructure service sector: the PPP gap and its consequences  Evaluation of the current situation of PPP projects in emerging and LDCs  Projects in distress:  More than half of them after only 2 years of operation, for contracts which should have lasted for several decades.  Projects in the drawing board but never implemented:  75% of the projects announced and more or less prepared from an engineering side are aborted.  Projects which could have been developed but never considered: any statistic?  Likely more than 50% of all other projects announced. How to approach this critical matter for reaching the development objectives? Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 6
  • 7.  Developing pipelines of resilient PPPs: is an illusion? (1)  Lessons learnt  Projects insufficiently prepared by the public bodies:  absence of correct identification of needs,  too often vague definition of the objectives and the functionalities which the project will have to fulfill,  insufficient measure of the likely impact of the project on the economy of the zone,  return on the public finances over the project life cycle,  budgetary sustainability,  research for elements demonstrating relevance of the choice of this form of Govment Procurement compared with the other traditional forms of Govment Procurement,  quality of the technical studies, the traffic / attendance, design, etc. Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 7
  • 8.  Developing pipelines of resilient PPPs: is an illusion? (2)  Lessons learnt  Pricing and willingness / capacity to pay from users for the projects undertaken through the concession style contract.  The misunderstanding or the deficient application of “best practices/Golden rules/ policies” adapted to this nature of project, a contract law and contractual clauses inappropriate.  Institutional and legal architecture to be improved. Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority, 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 8
  • 9.  Developing pipelines of resilient PPPs: is an illusion? (3)  In spite of apparent financial constraints and prima facie perception of risks, the future of PPP in the core public service infrastructure sector is promising.  The list of core issues preventing large scale PPP development goes well beyond a traditional list of issues and related solutions and best practices proposed.  Unless main core issues are addressed in a holistic manner, there are insufficient chances to have better statistics on PPP in many areas.  For many core issues, the formulation of related best practices remains to a large extent to be designed in an authoritative manner.  PPIAF reference book on PPP of 2012: “the state of knowledge [on PPP] is not well enough developed to prescribe best practices”. Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 9
  • 10.  Prioritization needed in order to make a “leap frog” for the success of pipeline of PPP projects (1):  Not to spend too much further on capacity building or assistance programs since key messages to be delivered in an integrated manner have not yet reached out the international community, or the consultancy world.  TOP PRIORITY IS TO AGGREGATE USEFULLY AND, AS EFFICIENTLY AS POSSIBLE, THE LESSONS LEARNT THROUGH THE WORLD AND TO FORMULATE BEST PRACTICES OFTEN OF UNIVERSAL USE.  Then put those best practices, including related guidance note and various documents and templates, at the disposal of the international consultants and international community for contributing to the drafting regional or State laws, or securitizing existing projects or projects in the pipeline. Focus in MENA region: PPP is no more an option, but a top priority 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 10
  • 11.  Prioritization needed in order to make a “leap frog” for the success of pipeline of PPP projects (2):  In a nutshell, the core issues which prevent pipelines of PPP development in LDCs can be summarized as follows:  project planning and prioritization  project preparation  content of bidding documents/procurement  contract conditions  underlying legal principles  central level institutions  local level institutions  use of outside really qualified experts and consultants  Concession/PPP Self-Evaluation Index 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 11
  • 12. Conclusion I A widely shared report A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons learnt and tested  The content of the work program (1)  Gathering representative and useful raw materials adapted to MENA region      17/12/2013 Identifying the materials Searching or gathering the materials Sorting and reviewing the materials Analyzing the materials Blueprint of concept notes or position memorandums Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 12
  • 13. Conclusion II A widely shared report A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons learnt and tested  The content of the work program (2)  Drafting concept-notes and memorandums  For the purpose of packaging and disseminating the information  For the purpose of training  For the purpose of e-learning 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 13
  • 14. Conclusion III A widely shared report A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons learnt and tested  To set up a high level expert group addressing the issues  The need of a neutral, high level and truly experienced international/regional expert team.  The need of an expert team able to work efficiently in a coordinated manner.  The very limited number of international/regional experts able to qualify for working in such a team. 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 14
  • 15. Conclusion IV A widely shared report A working program proposal by a team of selected PPP’s experts A carefully designed methodological approach aggregating lessons learnt and tested  How to achieve these high standard goals?  Respect strict obligation to become a full member:  A prescriptive charter offering the best guarantees of: - Professionalism, - Neutrality, - Efficiency, - Cost limitation. 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 15
  • 16. Thank you for attention Joint presentation and proposals by: Institute of International French Legal Experts (IFEJI) Marc Frilet : Vice-President & Confederation of International Contractors’ Association (CICA) Roger Fiszelson : Director General 17/12/2013 Managing Risk in Infrastructure projects in the MENA Region 16