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ADAPTING TO A CHANGING CLIMATE IN
THE MANAGEMENT OF WILDFIRES
Session 6: Roundtable Discussion
Paris, 17 January 2020
Science insights and gaps
• New normal. New normal is bigger, faster, and more frequent wildfires, with several
socio-economic impacts difficult to manage.
• The relation between fire and climate will change in the future but we still do not
understand how it will change
• Science should support the development of integrated fire management as well as to
help transform operational procedures.
• Increase growth between the interactions humans and fires increases the problem.
• Difficult to access the socio-economic costs and conveying the economic value of
investing in fire prevention
• Innovation is important and needed, but not only technological innovation focusing
on forecasting and monitoring but also institutional and social innovation.
• To make valid predictions we need: data, models and skill, these are essential for
better predictive services, data and warnings.
• Find better ways for communicating fire risks and the benefits of fire prevention
Policy insights and gaps
• Opportunities
– Policies need to keep up with unprecedented challenges
– Confluence of 3 policy areas and communities: environment
(adaptation to CC), agriculture (forest management), civil protection
– Uneven level of sophistication of policy responses across countries
– Embryonic collaboration on policy at international level
• Options for further work
– Develop policy guidance
– Strengthen the economics
• The economic case for public investment
• Return on investment in prevention. The value of fuel treatment
• Distributional issues (exposure, vulnerability, resilience)
• Allocation of risks
– Review national responses (policy, institutional arrangements)
– Share experience
Insurance and financing insights & gaps
• Wildfire as a “new” catastrophe peril:
– catastrophe insurance “infrastructure” is under development
– transition risks for consumers
• Insurance contribution:
– financial protection
– risk assessment
– risk reduction (?)
• Insurance is not only risk transfer mechanism – economy (or)
public sector absorb uninsured (residual) risk
• Residual risk likely to increase in a changing climate
Public policy challenge: identifying the most cost-effective
way to share these increasing risks, taking into account the
risk reduction encouraged by different approaches
Questions for plenary discussion
 What are the most significant areas of uncertainty in wildfire risk
management? What can be done to address those gaps in knowledge?
 What are the main challenges affecting policy responses (lack of
knowledge, split incentives, trade-offs and inconsistent priorities…)?
 What are the main areas, where international cooperation can add
value (sharing information and knowledge; identifying and sharing
good practices; coordinated action)?
 How can the OECD and PLACARD help address gaps in knowledge,
policy responses and international cooperation?
http://www.oecd.org/environment/cc/climate-
adaptation/

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Wildfire-Workshop-Presentation-Roundtable-Discussion

  • 1. ADAPTING TO A CHANGING CLIMATE IN THE MANAGEMENT OF WILDFIRES Session 6: Roundtable Discussion Paris, 17 January 2020
  • 2. Science insights and gaps • New normal. New normal is bigger, faster, and more frequent wildfires, with several socio-economic impacts difficult to manage. • The relation between fire and climate will change in the future but we still do not understand how it will change • Science should support the development of integrated fire management as well as to help transform operational procedures. • Increase growth between the interactions humans and fires increases the problem. • Difficult to access the socio-economic costs and conveying the economic value of investing in fire prevention • Innovation is important and needed, but not only technological innovation focusing on forecasting and monitoring but also institutional and social innovation. • To make valid predictions we need: data, models and skill, these are essential for better predictive services, data and warnings. • Find better ways for communicating fire risks and the benefits of fire prevention
  • 3. Policy insights and gaps • Opportunities – Policies need to keep up with unprecedented challenges – Confluence of 3 policy areas and communities: environment (adaptation to CC), agriculture (forest management), civil protection – Uneven level of sophistication of policy responses across countries – Embryonic collaboration on policy at international level • Options for further work – Develop policy guidance – Strengthen the economics • The economic case for public investment • Return on investment in prevention. The value of fuel treatment • Distributional issues (exposure, vulnerability, resilience) • Allocation of risks – Review national responses (policy, institutional arrangements) – Share experience
  • 4. Insurance and financing insights & gaps • Wildfire as a “new” catastrophe peril: – catastrophe insurance “infrastructure” is under development – transition risks for consumers • Insurance contribution: – financial protection – risk assessment – risk reduction (?) • Insurance is not only risk transfer mechanism – economy (or) public sector absorb uninsured (residual) risk • Residual risk likely to increase in a changing climate Public policy challenge: identifying the most cost-effective way to share these increasing risks, taking into account the risk reduction encouraged by different approaches
  • 5. Questions for plenary discussion  What are the most significant areas of uncertainty in wildfire risk management? What can be done to address those gaps in knowledge?  What are the main challenges affecting policy responses (lack of knowledge, split incentives, trade-offs and inconsistent priorities…)?  What are the main areas, where international cooperation can add value (sharing information and knowledge; identifying and sharing good practices; coordinated action)?  How can the OECD and PLACARD help address gaps in knowledge, policy responses and international cooperation?