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REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
AND THE ENVIRONMENT
23-24 January 2018, Santiago, Chile
OECD Workshop on Regional Trade Agreements and the Environment
Shunta Yamaguchi
Policy Analyst
Environment and Economy Integration Division
Environment Directorate, OECD
โ€“ Overview and rationale of environmental provisions in RTAs
โ€“ Implementation and effectiveness
โ€“ Coherence with other chapters and articles โ€“ Greening RTAs
โ€“ Summary and way forward
1
Outline
Evolution of RTAs and environmental provisions
2
Source: Monteiro (2016)
Evolution of RTAs more broadly - โ€œSpaghetti Bowlโ€
3
Source: UNCTAD (2005) based on World Bank (2004)
โ€ข Environment and RTAs:
major study published in 2007
โ€ข Annual Updates 2008-14
โ€ข Further analysis of provisions
โ€“ 2008: Checklist for negotiators
โ€“ 2011: Framework for evaluation
โ€“ 2014: Trends and policy drivers
โ€ข Workshops 2006-18
โ€“ Info exchange with OECD members,
non-members and experts
4
OECDโ€™s work on RTAs and the Environment
โ€ข Several motivations to include environmental provision in RTAs
โ€“ to contribute to the overarching goal of sustainable development
โ€“ to ensure a level playing field among parties to the agreement
โ€“ to enhance environmental co-operation of shared interest
โ€“ to pursue international environmental objectives
โ€ข Context is evolving
โˆ’ 2030 Agenda and SDGs
โˆ’ COP21 Paris Agreement
โˆ’ Public acceptance of trade and trade agreements
5
Rationale:
Why should we make RTAs greener?
Evolution of environmental provisions in RTAs
6
OECD based on George (2014a; 2014b)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
pre-2008 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
General exceptions
Preamble
Co-operation
Specific environmental issues
Uphold environmental law
Implementation mechanism
Dispute settlement
Ex-ante impact assessment
MEAs
Public participation
Objectives of environmental provisions
OECD survey results
7
Scores of survey results from George (2014b)
8
9
9
9
10
10
11
11
11
14
15
15
16
16
17
17
19
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Mitigating impacts via ex-ante impact assessments
Using trade measures to achieve env. objectives
Minimising adverse effects of env. legislation on trade
Research collaboration
Promoting trade in environmental goods and services
Promoting better governance in partner countries
Green growth
Promoting implementation of MEAs
Promoting use of environmental management tools
Mitigation of transboundary/global env. impacts
Promoting environmental co-operation
Ensuring a level playing field in env. legislation
Coherence between env. and trade objectives
Effective enforcement of environmental legislation
Promoting globally sustainable development
Ensuring trade does not harm the environment
Ensuring not to relax environmental laws
Promoting better governance in partner economies
What are these effects?
Implementation of environmental provisions
Monitoring & reporting is led under RTAs concerning:
โ€“ United States
โ€“ European Union
โ€“ Canada
Elements for successful implementation of environmental provisions:
โ€ข Follow-up action between the Parties
โ€“ Co-operation activities
โ€“ Capacity development of government officers
โ€“ Interagency co-ordination
โ€ข Public participation to enhance environmental governance
โ€“ Public submissions/complaints and access to remedies
โ€ข Specified institutional mechanisms
โ€“ e.g. How each of the Parties will monitor and report on implementation 8
Survey +
desk analysis
What are these effects?
Implementation of environmental provisions
Largely unknown but with some anecdotal evidence
โ€ข Strengthening of environmental laws and regulations
โ€“ Adopting new environmental laws, US-Chile, US-Morocco
โ€“ Adopting new EIA regulations, CAFTA-DR
โ€ข Introducing new institutional arrangements
โ€“ Creating a Ministry of Environment, US-Chile, US-Peru, US-Jordan
โ€“ Creating an Environmental Auditing Unit in Guatemala, CAFTA-DR
โ€ข Providing co-operation on improving environmental law and enforcement
โ€“ Co-operation in creating a technical council on enforcement of env laws, CAFTA-DR
โ€“ Co-operation in creating a national strategy in Honduras, CAFTA-DR
โ€“ Co-operation with private sector on environmental standards, EU-Chile
โ€“ Co-operation in pollutant registry programme, CAFTA-DR
โ€ข Improving environmental awareness
โ€“ Uplifting public participation of Mexicoโ€™s civil society, NAFTA
9
Survey +
desk analysis
10
What are these effects?
Effectiveness of EPsโ€ฆEmpirical Framework
PM2.5 48 countries, 1999-2011
SO2 157 countries, 1970-2008
NOx 157 countries, 1970-2008
RTAs between 1970-2011
RTAs with EPs: 94
RTAs between 1970-2011
RTAs without EPs: 120
RTA with EPs
Population
GDP per capita
Trade openness
Environmental policy stringency
Environmental regulations
Institutional arrangements
Environmental co-operation
Environmental awareness
RTA without EPs
Environmental quality
Data available
Data unavailable
(omitted variable)
Considered channels
Potential reverse causality
(endogeneity)
What are these effects?
Effectiveness of EPsโ€ฆResults
11
Environmental
indicator
Effect of RTAs with EPs Effect of RTAs without EPs
PM2.5
(population weighted
mean concentration)
No statistically significant results (possibly due to limited data availability)
SO2 per capita SO2 decrease by around 0.26 % in
short-run and 2.19% in long-run for
1 additional RTA with EPs
SO2 decrease by around 0.16 % in
short-run and 1.36% in long-run for
1 additional RTA without EPs
NOx per capita NOx decrease by around 0.17 %
in short-run and 1.41% in long-run
for 1 additional RTA with EPs
NOx decrease by around 0.11 %
in short-run and 0.91% in long-run
for 1 additional RTA without EPs
โ€ข SO2 and NOx emission decreases are slightly more strongly related to the
number of RTAs with EPs than without EPs.
โ€ข However, difference between two coefficients were not statistically significant
(additional effect of EPs canโ€™t be concluded with sufficient statistical certainty)
Preamble
1. General Definitions and Initial Provisions
2. National Treatment and Market Access
3. Trade Remedies
4. Technical Barriers to Trade
5. Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures
6. Customs and Trade Facilitation
7. Subsidies
8. Investment
9. Trade in Services
10. Government Procurement
11. Intellectual Property
13. Environment, Sustainable Development
14. Cooperation and Capacity Building
15. Transparency
16. Exceptions
17. Dispute Settlement
18. Final Provisions
Coherence with other chapters & articles
12
ENVIRONMENTALOBJECTIVES
Regional Trade Agreement
Project on Greening RTAs
Investment
- Right to regulate for environment
- Green investment
Subsidies
- Environmentally supportive subsidies
- Environmentally harmful subsidies
โ€ข Environmental provisions in RTAs reveals an upward global trend
โˆ’ To pursue sustainable development, level playing field, environmental cooperation,
and international environmental objectives
โˆ’ More recently supported by SDGs, Paris Agreement and public acceptance
โ€ข Two basic provisions remain most common:
โˆ’ Preamble
โˆ’ General exceptions
โ€ข More substantive provisions increased significantly in recent years:
โˆ’ Co-operation
โˆ’ Specific environmental issues
โˆ’ Uphold environmental law
โˆ’ Implementation mechanism 13
Summary
โˆ’ Dispute settlement
โˆ’ Ex-ante impact assessment
โˆ’ Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs)
โˆ’ Public participation
โ€ข Implementation of environmental provisions
โˆ’ Largely unknown with some anecdotal evidence (legislation, institutional
arrangement, co-operation and public awareness)
โˆ’ Need systematic monitoring and evaluation (efforts emerging in US, EU and CAN)
โ€ข Effectiveness of environmental provisions
โˆ’ Scarcely researched with some empirical results
โˆ’ Need better information and data on channels of effects, and environmental
indicators (policy and output)
โ€ข Coherence between other chapters and articles
โˆ’ Potential misalignment between different areas (e.g. Investment, subsidies)
โˆ’ Need integrated approach towards including environment and sustainable
development objectives in RTAs
14
Summary contโ€ฆ
THANK YOU!
Gracias!
For more information:
www.oecd.org/environment/envtrade
Shunta.Yamaguchi@oecd.org

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Session 1 yamaguchi oecd regional trade agreements and the environment

  • 1. REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS AND THE ENVIRONMENT 23-24 January 2018, Santiago, Chile OECD Workshop on Regional Trade Agreements and the Environment Shunta Yamaguchi Policy Analyst Environment and Economy Integration Division Environment Directorate, OECD
  • 2. โ€“ Overview and rationale of environmental provisions in RTAs โ€“ Implementation and effectiveness โ€“ Coherence with other chapters and articles โ€“ Greening RTAs โ€“ Summary and way forward 1 Outline
  • 3. Evolution of RTAs and environmental provisions 2 Source: Monteiro (2016)
  • 4. Evolution of RTAs more broadly - โ€œSpaghetti Bowlโ€ 3 Source: UNCTAD (2005) based on World Bank (2004)
  • 5. โ€ข Environment and RTAs: major study published in 2007 โ€ข Annual Updates 2008-14 โ€ข Further analysis of provisions โ€“ 2008: Checklist for negotiators โ€“ 2011: Framework for evaluation โ€“ 2014: Trends and policy drivers โ€ข Workshops 2006-18 โ€“ Info exchange with OECD members, non-members and experts 4 OECDโ€™s work on RTAs and the Environment
  • 6. โ€ข Several motivations to include environmental provision in RTAs โ€“ to contribute to the overarching goal of sustainable development โ€“ to ensure a level playing field among parties to the agreement โ€“ to enhance environmental co-operation of shared interest โ€“ to pursue international environmental objectives โ€ข Context is evolving โˆ’ 2030 Agenda and SDGs โˆ’ COP21 Paris Agreement โˆ’ Public acceptance of trade and trade agreements 5 Rationale: Why should we make RTAs greener?
  • 7. Evolution of environmental provisions in RTAs 6 OECD based on George (2014a; 2014b) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 pre-2008 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 General exceptions Preamble Co-operation Specific environmental issues Uphold environmental law Implementation mechanism Dispute settlement Ex-ante impact assessment MEAs Public participation
  • 8. Objectives of environmental provisions OECD survey results 7 Scores of survey results from George (2014b) 8 9 9 9 10 10 11 11 11 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 19 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Mitigating impacts via ex-ante impact assessments Using trade measures to achieve env. objectives Minimising adverse effects of env. legislation on trade Research collaboration Promoting trade in environmental goods and services Promoting better governance in partner countries Green growth Promoting implementation of MEAs Promoting use of environmental management tools Mitigation of transboundary/global env. impacts Promoting environmental co-operation Ensuring a level playing field in env. legislation Coherence between env. and trade objectives Effective enforcement of environmental legislation Promoting globally sustainable development Ensuring trade does not harm the environment Ensuring not to relax environmental laws Promoting better governance in partner economies
  • 9. What are these effects? Implementation of environmental provisions Monitoring & reporting is led under RTAs concerning: โ€“ United States โ€“ European Union โ€“ Canada Elements for successful implementation of environmental provisions: โ€ข Follow-up action between the Parties โ€“ Co-operation activities โ€“ Capacity development of government officers โ€“ Interagency co-ordination โ€ข Public participation to enhance environmental governance โ€“ Public submissions/complaints and access to remedies โ€ข Specified institutional mechanisms โ€“ e.g. How each of the Parties will monitor and report on implementation 8 Survey + desk analysis
  • 10. What are these effects? Implementation of environmental provisions Largely unknown but with some anecdotal evidence โ€ข Strengthening of environmental laws and regulations โ€“ Adopting new environmental laws, US-Chile, US-Morocco โ€“ Adopting new EIA regulations, CAFTA-DR โ€ข Introducing new institutional arrangements โ€“ Creating a Ministry of Environment, US-Chile, US-Peru, US-Jordan โ€“ Creating an Environmental Auditing Unit in Guatemala, CAFTA-DR โ€ข Providing co-operation on improving environmental law and enforcement โ€“ Co-operation in creating a technical council on enforcement of env laws, CAFTA-DR โ€“ Co-operation in creating a national strategy in Honduras, CAFTA-DR โ€“ Co-operation with private sector on environmental standards, EU-Chile โ€“ Co-operation in pollutant registry programme, CAFTA-DR โ€ข Improving environmental awareness โ€“ Uplifting public participation of Mexicoโ€™s civil society, NAFTA 9 Survey + desk analysis
  • 11. 10 What are these effects? Effectiveness of EPsโ€ฆEmpirical Framework PM2.5 48 countries, 1999-2011 SO2 157 countries, 1970-2008 NOx 157 countries, 1970-2008 RTAs between 1970-2011 RTAs with EPs: 94 RTAs between 1970-2011 RTAs without EPs: 120 RTA with EPs Population GDP per capita Trade openness Environmental policy stringency Environmental regulations Institutional arrangements Environmental co-operation Environmental awareness RTA without EPs Environmental quality Data available Data unavailable (omitted variable) Considered channels Potential reverse causality (endogeneity)
  • 12. What are these effects? Effectiveness of EPsโ€ฆResults 11 Environmental indicator Effect of RTAs with EPs Effect of RTAs without EPs PM2.5 (population weighted mean concentration) No statistically significant results (possibly due to limited data availability) SO2 per capita SO2 decrease by around 0.26 % in short-run and 2.19% in long-run for 1 additional RTA with EPs SO2 decrease by around 0.16 % in short-run and 1.36% in long-run for 1 additional RTA without EPs NOx per capita NOx decrease by around 0.17 % in short-run and 1.41% in long-run for 1 additional RTA with EPs NOx decrease by around 0.11 % in short-run and 0.91% in long-run for 1 additional RTA without EPs โ€ข SO2 and NOx emission decreases are slightly more strongly related to the number of RTAs with EPs than without EPs. โ€ข However, difference between two coefficients were not statistically significant (additional effect of EPs canโ€™t be concluded with sufficient statistical certainty)
  • 13. Preamble 1. General Definitions and Initial Provisions 2. National Treatment and Market Access 3. Trade Remedies 4. Technical Barriers to Trade 5. Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures 6. Customs and Trade Facilitation 7. Subsidies 8. Investment 9. Trade in Services 10. Government Procurement 11. Intellectual Property 13. Environment, Sustainable Development 14. Cooperation and Capacity Building 15. Transparency 16. Exceptions 17. Dispute Settlement 18. Final Provisions Coherence with other chapters & articles 12 ENVIRONMENTALOBJECTIVES Regional Trade Agreement Project on Greening RTAs Investment - Right to regulate for environment - Green investment Subsidies - Environmentally supportive subsidies - Environmentally harmful subsidies
  • 14. โ€ข Environmental provisions in RTAs reveals an upward global trend โˆ’ To pursue sustainable development, level playing field, environmental cooperation, and international environmental objectives โˆ’ More recently supported by SDGs, Paris Agreement and public acceptance โ€ข Two basic provisions remain most common: โˆ’ Preamble โˆ’ General exceptions โ€ข More substantive provisions increased significantly in recent years: โˆ’ Co-operation โˆ’ Specific environmental issues โˆ’ Uphold environmental law โˆ’ Implementation mechanism 13 Summary โˆ’ Dispute settlement โˆ’ Ex-ante impact assessment โˆ’ Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) โˆ’ Public participation
  • 15. โ€ข Implementation of environmental provisions โˆ’ Largely unknown with some anecdotal evidence (legislation, institutional arrangement, co-operation and public awareness) โˆ’ Need systematic monitoring and evaluation (efforts emerging in US, EU and CAN) โ€ข Effectiveness of environmental provisions โˆ’ Scarcely researched with some empirical results โˆ’ Need better information and data on channels of effects, and environmental indicators (policy and output) โ€ข Coherence between other chapters and articles โˆ’ Potential misalignment between different areas (e.g. Investment, subsidies) โˆ’ Need integrated approach towards including environment and sustainable development objectives in RTAs 14 Summary contโ€ฆ
  • 16. THANK YOU! Gracias! For more information: www.oecd.org/environment/envtrade Shunta.Yamaguchi@oecd.org