CCXG Global Forum March 2015 - Breakout group 1- Summary Slide

1. Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm
(Intended) nationally
determined contributions
Olai Uludong and Pete Betts

2. 2 Climate Change Expert Group
“Strategic review” of mitigation
contributions

3. 3 Climate Change Expert Group
General
 Strategic review shaped by understanding of NDCs, target
setting process
 Would encompass both individual and aggregate
contributions – not clear where emphasis should be
 Expectations and peer pressure can be drivers for
ambition
 Consider how the process could usefully impact national
policies…
 …and how it might impact long-term private investment
decisions
 Would require better data
 Distinct from/not a substitute for legal form

4. 4 Climate Change Expert Group
Areas of convergence
 Strategic review/ambition assessment could be important
part of political signal in Paris, given mitigation gap
 Strategic review takes place within the context of a
dynamic cycle of contributions
 The ultimate aim of the process is to enhance ambition
 Nationally-determined contributions can be compatible
with a multilateral process
 Need to consider existing and past review processes, and
how to build on these
 Outcome of strategic review process unlikely to be
prescriptive

5. 5 Climate Change Expert Group
Areas of divergence
 Scope of the review: mitigation only?
 Timing of the review: midway through implementation
(impacting existing contributions), end of implementation
period (impacting future contributions)
o Whether ex ante or ex post review process most
effective
 Basis of the review: NDCs, or some other type of
contribution/commitment in the future
 Process: focus on better identifying gaps and actions
(clarification)? have recommendations delivered by
Convention body?
 Striking right balance between forward- and backward-
looking elements

6. 6 Climate Change Expert Group
Use of transferred mitigation in
(I)NDCs

7. 7 Climate Change Expert Group
General
 Markets play an important role, including in engaging the
private sector
 Clear signal needed for markets to be up-and-running for
2020; this requires actions in the very short term
 Some contribution types can make it difficult to robustly
account for international transfers
 INDCs can provide a strong political signal on markets, e.g.
Switzerland
 No provision for markets could be a concern: limits
confidence regarding double counting and environmental
integrity
 Important to have a provision or placeholder in agreement
enabling use of markets, with details to be determined later