Presentation of Felix Blanco de la Torre

1. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
National Security Department – Prime Minister´s Office
SPAIN

2. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
Agenda
• Spain: new National Risk Assessment
• Migration: an indicators based approach
• Q&A

3. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
Spain: new National Risk Assessment
National Security Strategy 2017:
Threats & challenges

4. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
Spain: new National Risk Assessment
The process:
survey data gathering
& analysis
National Security
policy
1st step 2nd step 3rd step

5. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
Migration: an indicators based approach

6. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
EU
SPAIN

7. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN
INTERNATIONAL PROTECTION APPLICATIONS

8. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
• Automatic monitoring of critical migration
indicators.
• Muliti-casual model based on indicators.
• Trends, early warning, situation tracking.
• Assesment to the high rank authorities in
the policy-making process.
• Bussiness Inteligence Technology, which
structures and integrates available data
(current and historic) to be analised
through direct and visual queries.
MIGRATION
Drivers of
migration
Prevention
Management
Integration

9. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
MANAGEMENT IRREGULAR ARRIVALS VULNERABLE MIGRANTS HEALTH EMERGENGY CASES
TEMPORARY ASSITANCE MIGRATION DETENTION CENTERS GLOBAL HUMANITARIAN
RECEPTION SYSTEM
ASYLUM CLAIMS INTERNATIONAL PROTECTION
SYSTEM
TEMPORARY ACCOMMODATION
CENTRES

10. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
DRIVERS
INDEX OF
AFRINCAN
GOVERNANCE
HDI Nº REFUGEES PRIMARY SCHOOL
DROPOUT RATE
URBAN
POPULATION
YOUTH
UNEMPLOYMENT
RATE
% GDP
REMITENCEES
INFLOWS
UNDER-FIVE
MORTALITY RATE
15-64 POPULATION Nº INTERNAL
DISPLACEMETS
NET MIGRATION
RATE
GENDER
INEQUALITY INDEX
LIFE EXPECTANCY
AT BIRTH
RULE OF LAW NET OFICIAL
DEVELOPMENT
RECIVED (%GNI)
PRIVATE CAPITAL
FLOWS (% GDP)

11. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
PREVENTION
REPATRIATION VOLUNTARY
RETURNS
COMERCIAL
ACTIVITY
INVESTMENT IN
COUNTRIES OF
ORIGIN AND TRANST
OFFICIAL
DEVELOPMENT
ASSITANCE
CIRCULAR
MIGRATION
OPERATIONS
AGAINST HUMAN
TRAFFICKING
NETWORKS
DEVELOPMENT OF
BORDER
MANAGEMENT AND
INVESTIGATION IN
COUNTRIES OF
ORIGIN AND
TRANSIT
PRESENCE OF
SPANISH DIASPORA

12. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
INTEGRATION
EMPLOYMENT SOCIAL
INCLUSION
EDUCATION CITINZENSHIP

13. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum
MINISTRY OF FOREIGN
AFFAIRS, EUROPEAN
UNION AND
COOPERATION
MINISTRY OF THE
TREASURY
MINISTRY OF
INFRASTRUCTURE
MINISTRY OF INDUSTRY,
TRADE AND TOURISM
MINISTRY OF
TERRITORIAL POLICY AND
PUBLIC FUNCTION
MINISTRY OF JUSTICE
MINISTRY OF INTERIOR
MINISTRY OF HEALTH,
CONSUMER AFFAIRS AND
SOCIAL WELFARE
MINISTRY OF LABOUR,
MIGRATIONS AND SOCIAL
SECURITY
MINISTRY OF DEFENSE
SECRETARY OF STATE FOR
SECURITY
(President)
MINISTRY OF PRESIDENCY,
PARLIAMENTARY
RELATIONS AND EQUALITY
MINISTRY FOR
ECOLOGICAL TRANSITION
MINISTRY OF ECONOMY
AND BUSINESS
MINISTRY OF SCIENCE,
INNOVATION AND
UNIVERSITIES
PRESIDENCY OF THE
GOVERNMET
NATIONAL SECURITY
DEPARTMET
(Technical Secretariat)
PRESIDENCY OF THE
GOVERNMENT
DIRECTOR NATIONAL
SECURITY DEPARTMENT
(Vicepresident)
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE
CENTER
PRESIDENCY OF THE
GOVERNMENT. NATIONAL
SECURITY DEPARTMENT

14. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum

15. Building capabilities to manage critical risks
9th OECD High Level Risk Forum