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LEARNING FROM THE USAID CONFLICT
ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK
EILEEN KANE
ECONOMIC POLICY OFFICER
BUREAU OF ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS AFFAIRS
U. S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
EXPERT LEARNING SESSION ON CONFLICT-
AFFECTED AND HIGH RISK AREAS
7TH ICGLR-OECD- UN GoE FORUM ON RESPONSIBLE
MINERAL SUPPLY CHAINS
PARIS, MAY 26, 2014
USAID CONFLICT ASSESSMENT
FRAMEWORK
CAF 2012
http://www.usaid.gov/what-we-
do/working-crises-and-conflict/technical-
publications
THE CAF PROVIDES A BROAD
FRAMEWORK THAT CAN BE
UNIFORMLY APPLIED
TWO STAGES OF CONFLICT
ASSESSMENT:
• DIAGNOSIS
• FORMULATION OF
RESPONSE
RECOMMENDATIONS
FOUR DEFINITIONS
• CONFLICT SENSITIVITY
• CONFLICT MANAGEMENT
• CONFLICT MITIGATION
• CONFLICT PREVENTION
LEADS TO A CONFLICT
RESPONSE WHICH INCLUDES
CONFLICT SENSITIVE
PROGRAMMING AND
PEACEBUILDING ACTIVITIES
IDENTIFYING RISK FACTORS FROM A
GOVERNMENT PERSPECTIVE INVOLVES AN
INTERAGENCY OR “WHOLE OF
GOVERNMENT” APPROACH.
IN THE EXTRACTIVES SECTOR, THIS CAN
INCLUDE EXAMINING ISSUES SUCH AS
• INSECURE LAND TENURE AND PROPERTY
RIGHTS
• VARIABLE ECONOMINC PERFORMANCE WITH
MARKET DISTORTIONS/BARRIERS
• WEAK GOVERNMENT AUTHORITY AND
CONTROL
• MARGINALIZATION OF VULNERABLE GROUPS
APPENDIX A – DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
FROM THE USAID CAF
1. CONTEXT
2. IDENTITY GROUPS
3. INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE
4. SOCIETAL PATTERNS
5. KEY MOBILIZERS
6. TRAJECTORIES
APPENDIX B – KEY MOBILIZERS
DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
CONTEXT
- HISTORICAL
- INTERNATIONAL
- GEOGRAPHIC
- ECONOMIC
- DEMOGRAPHIC
- INSTITUTIONAL
IDENTITY GROUPS
DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE
- GOVERNANCE
- Formal Government
- Elections and Political Parties
- Judicial
- Traditional Systems and Leaders
- Civil Society and Human Rights
- SECURITY
- Law Enforcement
- Armed Forces
- Non-State Security Actors
DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE
- ECONOMIC
- Macro-Environment
- Fiscal Policy
- Sectoral
- Finance
- SOCIAL
- Media
- Service Delivery
- Non-Formal Structures
DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
SOCIETAL PATTERNS
KEY MOBILIZERS – APPENDIX B
- Key Mobilizer: Who mobilizes?
- Motivation: Why do they mobilize?
- Means: Can they initiate and sustain mobilization?
- Methods: How do they mobilize and to do what?
DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS
TRAJECTORIES
- TRIGGERS
- TRAJECTORIES

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Eileen Kane, US State Department - 7th Multi-Stakeholder Forum on Responsible Mineral Supply Chains

  • 1. LEARNING FROM THE USAID CONFLICT ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK EILEEN KANE ECONOMIC POLICY OFFICER BUREAU OF ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS AFFAIRS U. S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE EXPERT LEARNING SESSION ON CONFLICT- AFFECTED AND HIGH RISK AREAS 7TH ICGLR-OECD- UN GoE FORUM ON RESPONSIBLE MINERAL SUPPLY CHAINS PARIS, MAY 26, 2014
  • 2. USAID CONFLICT ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK CAF 2012 http://www.usaid.gov/what-we- do/working-crises-and-conflict/technical- publications
  • 3. THE CAF PROVIDES A BROAD FRAMEWORK THAT CAN BE UNIFORMLY APPLIED TWO STAGES OF CONFLICT ASSESSMENT: • DIAGNOSIS • FORMULATION OF RESPONSE RECOMMENDATIONS
  • 4. FOUR DEFINITIONS • CONFLICT SENSITIVITY • CONFLICT MANAGEMENT • CONFLICT MITIGATION • CONFLICT PREVENTION LEADS TO A CONFLICT RESPONSE WHICH INCLUDES CONFLICT SENSITIVE PROGRAMMING AND PEACEBUILDING ACTIVITIES
  • 5. IDENTIFYING RISK FACTORS FROM A GOVERNMENT PERSPECTIVE INVOLVES AN INTERAGENCY OR “WHOLE OF GOVERNMENT” APPROACH. IN THE EXTRACTIVES SECTOR, THIS CAN INCLUDE EXAMINING ISSUES SUCH AS • INSECURE LAND TENURE AND PROPERTY RIGHTS • VARIABLE ECONOMINC PERFORMANCE WITH MARKET DISTORTIONS/BARRIERS • WEAK GOVERNMENT AUTHORITY AND CONTROL • MARGINALIZATION OF VULNERABLE GROUPS
  • 6. APPENDIX A – DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS FROM THE USAID CAF 1. CONTEXT 2. IDENTITY GROUPS 3. INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE 4. SOCIETAL PATTERNS 5. KEY MOBILIZERS 6. TRAJECTORIES APPENDIX B – KEY MOBILIZERS
  • 7. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS CONTEXT - HISTORICAL - INTERNATIONAL - GEOGRAPHIC - ECONOMIC - DEMOGRAPHIC - INSTITUTIONAL IDENTITY GROUPS
  • 8. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE - GOVERNANCE - Formal Government - Elections and Political Parties - Judicial - Traditional Systems and Leaders - Civil Society and Human Rights - SECURITY - Law Enforcement - Armed Forces - Non-State Security Actors
  • 9. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE - ECONOMIC - Macro-Environment - Fiscal Policy - Sectoral - Finance - SOCIAL - Media - Service Delivery - Non-Formal Structures
  • 10. DIAGNOSTIC QUESTIONS SOCIETAL PATTERNS KEY MOBILIZERS – APPENDIX B - Key Mobilizer: Who mobilizes? - Motivation: Why do they mobilize? - Means: Can they initiate and sustain mobilization? - Methods: How do they mobilize and to do what?