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International Trade Notes
From Textbook: Why Do Nations
Trade
 In your notes:
 I. Why do nations trade?
 1. Lower Prices
 2. Greater Choice
 3. Differences in Resources
 4. Economies of Scale
 5. Increased Competition
 6. More Efficient Allocation of Resources
 7. Sources of Foreign Exchange
Comparing Nations
Country A Country B
 Description
 Products they can make
 Absolute Advantages
 Comparative Advantages
 Description
 Products they can make
 Absolute Advantages
 Comparative Advantages
Imagine the following situation:
 Country A is an
industrialized nation. It
has advanced technologies
and factories. It can
efficiently make lots of
different products
 Country B is a developing
nation. It has no advanced
technologies and mostly
relies on subsistence
farming for its income.
Imagine the following situation:
 Country A is an
industrialized nation. It
has advanced technologies
and factories. It can
efficiently make lots of
different products
 Country B is a developing
nation. It has no advanced
technologies and mostly
relies on subsistence
farming for its income.
What products is
Country A is able to
make.
List What products
Country B is able to
make
Absolute Advantage
 When one economy can produce a good or service
more efficiently than another country.
 When one economy can produce more goods than
another country.
Imagine the following situation:
 Country A is an
industrialized nation. It
has advanced technologies
and factories. It can
efficiently make lots of
different products
 Country B is a developing
nation. It has no advanced
technologies and mostly
relies on subsistence
farming for its income.
Despite Country A’s
absolute advantage, the
two countries still trade.
A.Why do you think
they do this?
B.What do you think
would be traded?
Comparative Advantage
 “Implies that one country is able to produce a good at a
lower opportunity cost than another.”
 Example:
 America can produce more of almost any good if it
wanted to.
 Compared to Portugal, America has an absolute
advantage in the production of wine, for example.
(cont.)
 Yet, because America can make more things, there are
more things that it is giving up when it diverts
resources to wine production
 In other words, the resources diverted to wine
production could be better spent making automobiles.
 Portugal does not have this opportunity cost because it
does not have the capacity to make cars on the scale
that America can.
(cont.)
 These differences in opportunity mean that even the
poorest of nations have an advantage in production of
certain goods.
 This is called comparative advantage.
 “Implies that one country is able to produce a good at a
lower opportunity cost than another.”
Imports and Exports
 Imports=Goods and services coming in to a country
from a foreign source.
 Exports=Goods and services that are sold to a foreign
country.
Free-Trade Defined
 When there are no trade barriers
Effect of World Supply on Domestic
Markets (graph)
 To be an import, it must have a supply level below the
domestic price level.
 Imports lower prices and increase quantity sold. They
also force domestic suppliers to sell below domestic
equilibrium
 (Sd and Sw)
Draw Diagram
Protectionism
 Limits on international Trade
Tariffs
 Taxes on imports
International Trade Diagrams
 1. Market with no international trade
 2. Market with international trade
 3. Market with Tariff
 4. Market with higher tariff
 5. Market with lower tariff
Effect of Tariff on Market(graph)
 Raises price level and decreases quantity sold.
 Allows domestic producers to come closer to domestic
equilibrium
Draw Diagram
Other Types of Barriers to Trade
Non-Tariff Barriers
 1. Quotas (set amount of imports allowed)
 2. Subsidies (government helps suppliers pay for
production, thus increasing the supply curve by
lowering cost)
Non-Tariff Barriers (Cont)
 3. Administrative Obstacles
 A. “Red Tape” (forms, bureaucracy, etc. )
 B. Health, Safety, and Environmental standards
 C. Embargoes
 4. Nationalism (people buy products made in their country as a
type of national pride.)
Views on Trade
Outline: Arguments For
Protectionism
 1. Protecting Domestic Employment
 2. Infant-Industry Argument
 3. Diversification (avoid over-specialization)
 4. Strategic Reasons
 5. Anti-Dumping
 6. Protect Product Standards
 7. Raise Revenue
Arguments For Protectionism
 Against Free-Trade
1. Protecting Domestic
Employment
 Trade barriers can be used to soften the blow of rapidly
changing economic conditions that may cause
unemployment.
 Heavily criticized argument by economists, because the
money wasted on trade barriers could be spent on long-
term reform.
2. Infant Industry Argument
 Protect a growing industry from international
competitors so that the nation will benefit in the long-
run
 Often used to legitimate trade barriers for less
developed countries
 Note: US, Japan, Germany, and China all had
enormous trade barriers when their economies were
industrializing
3. Diversification (avoid Over-
specialization)
 Many poorer nations exploit their comparative advantages
fully. Unfortunately, this means that their economies
become one-dimensional.
 If a seasonal change destroys a country’s cash crop, for
example, its economy would be devastated
 Trade barriers allow an economy to diversify and not just
stick to its comparative advantage.
4. Security Reasons
 If a country depends on a potentially aggressive nation
for important trading goods, than that nation would
be at risk for economic collapse during a war.
 Ex: Dependence on oil from the Middle East when we
seem to always be at war over there
5. Anti-Dumping
 Dumping is selling goods below market price.
 The goal is to “predatory price”: eliminate a competitor
 Anti-dumping trading restrictions only bring the good
back to market price.
6. Protect Product Standards
 A country might want to protect itself from harmful
goods or goods that do not meet certain health, safety,
or environmental standards.
7. Raise Government Revenue
 Tariffs generate money for governments
Arguments Against Protectionism
(In Favor of Free Trade)
 1. Costs are bigger than benefits
 2. Less Choice
 3. Domestic Industry becomes Weak
 4. Inefficient Resource Allocation
 5. Real National Security
1. Costs are bigger than benefits
 Protectionism helps some, free-trade helps more.
 Lower prices for consumers
 Lower input costs for Domestic producers that use
imported products.
2. Less Choice
 Not only does protectionism raise prices, it limits
choices for consumers.
3. Domestic Industry Becomes
Weak
 Domestic industries get spoiled by protectionism
 Become more concerned with lobbying government
than competing
 Historically, trade restrictions that are supposed to
help infant industries last too long.
4. Inefficient Resource Allocation
 Optimal use=using limited factors of production for
best outcome to society
 Trade barriers allow inefficient use of resources
 Does not take advantage of comparative advantage.
5. Real National Security
 “When goods can’t cross borders, armies will.”
 Trade barriers lead to international tensions
 Free-trade creates dependency.
 If Country A depends on a good from Country B, they are less
likely to go to war with them.
 The EU was originally conceived as a means to unite Europe
economically in order to prevent costly wars.
 It has been effective in creating common interests among the
once warring people.
WTO: World Trade Organization
WTO History
 Bretton Woods Hotel (1944)
Bretton Woods
 IMF (International Monetary Fund)
 Goal is to stabilize exchange rates and foster
development
 World Bank
 Provides loans to developing nations
 Used the dollar as a basis for all exchange rates
 Dollar would be linked to the dollar
 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
 Obligated everyone to commit to non-discrimination in
trade
 Reduce/eliminate tariffs
GATTWTO
 Between 1947 and 1979 there were a series of
negotiations that sought to reduce trade barriers
 In that period, tariffs fell from an average of 40% to 4.7%
 Between 1986 and 1993 (called the Uruguay Round)
expanded open trade laws for agriculture, investment,
and intellectual property
 Name was officially changed to WTO in 1995
Details
 Now, headquarter in Geneva
 All “power” rests from multilateral
agreements, not force
 Power is not through penalization,
but through allowing penalization
through tariffs
 WTO members account for 95% of
the world’s trade
Objectives of the WTO
 1. Non-discrimination in trade practices
 Most Favored Nation clause (MFN)
 2. Using negotiation to mediate trade conflicts
 3. Creating stable trade environment
 4. Fair Competition
 If a nation is determined to be “dumping,” for example,
tariffs can be enacted.
 5. Development
 (in development)
Functions
 1. Oversee agreements
 2. Be a forum for negotiation
 3. Handle trade disputes among members
 4. Monitor trade policies of different nations
 5. Provide technical assistance
Doha Round
 In 2001, in response to protests like those in Seattle, the
WTO began to refocus its agenda.
 More of a focus on Development
 This period is referred to as the “Doha Round”
 Negotiations collapsed in 2008.
 Some negotiation restarted in 2013 over administrative
obstacles.
Successes (Economists Point of
View)
 Economists generally view it as hugely successful
 1. Representation
 146 member states
 2. Poverty
 A stated goal of the WTO is to alleviate poverty.
 While that goal has not been attained, it is probably responsible for
moving more people out of poverty than any other organization.
 3. Dispute Settlement
 Peaceful and effective
 4. Lessening Trade Barriers
 Its original purpose has largely been met.
Failures (economist’s point of view)
 1. Allows Regional Exclusion Areas that give
preferential treatment to some
 NAFTA, EU, etc.
 Seen as a means to an end.
 2. Subsidies to agriculture in developed nations have
remained
Summarize reasons why the public
is upset with the WTO
WTO Public Criticisms
 1. Undemocratic
 The “people” don’t get a voice
 2. Encourages the race to the bottom
 Pushes developing nations to have
less labor and environmental
standards
 3. Dependency of poorer nations on
wealthier nations
Criticisms Continued
 4. Lack of Environmental
Protections
 5. Lack of Labor Standards
 6. Lack of Public Health Standards
US-China Disputes
 Wind Power
 1. What is the US complaint against China?
 2. Based on the information, which side do you think
the WTO will take? Why?
 Tyres
 1. What is the Chinese complaint against the US?
 2. Based on the information, which side do you think
the WTO will take? Why?
Doha Round
 In 2001, in response to protests like those in Seattle, the
WTO began to refocus its agenda.
 More of a focus on Development
 Reducing agricultural subsidies in developed nations
 Environmental Protections
 Labor Protections
 Intellectual Property—Patenting of Medicine
 Transparency
 Negotiations broke down in 2008, but restarted in 2011
Accounts Notes
Basic Assumptions of the Model
 Trade is done rationally (people do not trade to get less value than
what they had before.)
 People do not “sit on,” bury, or destroy money.
 Exports, Imports, Inflows, and Outflows can be tracked and
tracked well.
 Currencies used in one economy cannot be used in another
economy (more on this later).
 Exports means money is coming in and goods/services are leaving.
imports means money is leaving and goods/services are coming in.
Balance of Payments
 A record of the value of all the transactions between
the residents of one country and the residents of all
other countries.
 It is not a budget, so don’t confuse it with national debt
or budget (fiscal) deficit
Two Types of Accounts
 Goods and Services
 Current Account
 Flows of Payment
 Capital Account
 Financial Account
Current Account
 Current Account: Shows flows of exports and imports
(X-M)
 Balance of Trade in goods
 Balance of trade in services
 Current Transfers (foreign aid and grants)
How to calculate the Current
Account
 X-M (exports minus imports)
 Add up the value of all the goods and services being sold to
other countries.
 Subtract all the goods and services being bought from
other countries
 If + than “Trade surplus”
 If – than “Trade Deficit”
Balances
 In popular media, the term “trade balance” or “trade
imbalance” usually refers to the Current Account
 We have a “trade deficit” when we buy more imports
than the exports we sell.
 However, this “deficit” also creates a surplus in the
capital account and financial account.
Financial and Capital Account
 Shows flows of capital (Inflows-Outflows).
 Money coming into a country to invest in the stock market
(Portfolio investment), buy businesses (FDI), buy bonds,
etc.
 Capital Account includes money transferred through
movement or buying “intangible assets” (like copyrights)
 Financial Account includes investment.
How to calculate the Capital and
Financial Account
 Investment coming in MINUS investment going out
 Add up all the investment entering the United States
(inflows)
 Subtract all the investment leaving the United States
(outflows)
 Examples of investment: Buying debt bonds, buying land,
buying/building factories, buying currencies.
Note:
 In U.S., the “Capital Account” includes both the capital
account and the financial account
Simple Equation, Confusing Idea
Current Account + Capital Account
+Financial Account= 0
Or: Capital Account + Financial
Account= -Current Account
Assuming no errors or omissions
Why?
 Imagine that the U.S. buys 100 cars from Japan and
Japan buys nothing from America.
 Japan would have a Current Account Surplus because
it has exported more than it has imported
 BUT, America would pay for those cars with dollars.
 Japan would then have to do something with those
dollars
 This would create a Financial Account deficit for Japan
Quick Note on Exchange Rates
 When Japan exchanges Dollars for Yen, it is effectively
buying dollars with Yen
 This may help you understand why the capital account
must always balance out the current account.
Step 1: Japan sells a car to the U.S.
Step 2: US pays for car with dollars
Step 3: Japan can’t spend dollars in
Japan!
Step 4: Japan uses the dollars to
invest in America
What can they invest in?
Exchange Rates
 The value of one currency expressed in terms of
another currency.
 The “price” of a currency relative to other currencies
 Example: 1 Euro=1.34 US Dollars
4 Terms
 Appreciation
 When the value of a currency raises relative to others in the
marketplace
 Revaluation
 When a government re-pegs or adjusts their currency at a
higher value
 Depreciation
 When the value of a currency falls relative to others in the
marketplace
 Devaluation
 When a government re-pegs their currency at a lower value
Concluding Phrases: Trade Flows
 If exports decrease, the exchange rate depreciates.
 If exports increase, the exchange rates appreciates
 If imports increase, the exchange rate depreciates
 If imports decrease, the exchange rate appreciates.
Concluding Phrases: Inflation
 Inflation causes a currency to depreciate
 Deflation causes a currency to appreciate.
Concluding Sentences: Speculation
 If speculators think a currency will appreciate, it will
appreciate.
 If speculators think a currency will depreciate, it will
depreciate.
Graphing Exchange Rates
 1. Appreciation caused by increase in Demand
 2. Appreciation caused by decrease in Supply
 3. Depreciation caused by decrease in Demand
 4. Depreciation caused by increase in supply
1.
2.
3.
4.
Effects of Exchange Rates on Trade
 If a currency appreciates, it will increase the buying
power of consumers:
 This will increase imports
 If a currency appreciates, it will decrease the buying
power of consumers in other countries:
 This will decrease exports.
Effects of Exchange Rates on Trade
 If a currency depreciates, it will decrease the buying
power of consumers:
 This will decrease imports
 If a currency depreciates, it will increase the buying
power of consumers in other countries:
 This will increase exports
Exchange Rates Balance Trade
 Decreases in the exchange rate cause the current account to
increase and vice versa
 Easier to sell exports, harder to buy imports
 Increases in the current account cause the exchange rate to
appreciate and vice versa
 Less imports and more exports makes the currency more
valuable.
 This means that exchange rates balance out trade in
the long-run.
Homeostasis
 When your blood vessels swell and are more exposed,
you get colder.
 When you get cold, your blood vessels retract into your
body.
 A Negative Feedback Loop: Body responds to correct a
problem
Trade
 When you import a lot, your currency depreciates.
 When your currency depreciates, you can’t import as
much.
 A negative feedback loop: Exchange rates respond to
correct a problem.
Balance
 If there’s too many imports, exchange rates depreciate
and make it harder to import.
 If there’s too many exports, exchange rates appreciate
and make it harder to export.
1. Fixed Exchange Rate
 Government sets the exchange rate.
 This can be either done through proclamation or through
intervention in the market
 Central Bank manipulates the “price” by buying and selling the
currency and adjusting the interest rate
 In extreme cases, the central bank may make transfer of the currency
illegal (will create a black market)
 China has been accused of having a fixed exchange rate. Most of the
world was under a fixed exchange rate system until 1971
2. Floating Exchange Rate
 Currency Value is entirely determined by the market
 Supply and demand of the currency are allowed to
freely exist without government intervention.
 As per WTO rules, participating nations are supposed
to have a floating exchange rate.
3. Managed Exchange Rate
 A managed system is a combination of a fixed and a
floating.
 Supply and demand determine the exchange rate.
 A price floor and price ceiling is secretly set.
 If things get out of hand, the Central Bank will intervene.
 Almost all countries in reality use a managed exchange
rate. (Though most claim it is floating until something bad
happens).
Managing Exchange Rates
1. Adjust Interest Rate
 Higher interest rates will make more people want to
have the currency because they could see a higher rate
of return
 Higher Interest Rate=Appreciation
 Lower Interest Rate=Depreciation
2. Buy/sell foreign currencies
 A central bank can sell their currency to put more on
the market, thus devaluing it
 It can also buy its own currency on the market, thus
revaluing it
 If a bank runs out of foreign currency to buy its own
currency, it can borrow from the IMF (International
Monetary Fund)
 The original purpose of the IMF
 3. New Peg
 Governments can re-peg their exchange with
gold or other currencies if they cannot
maintain the exchange rate
 4. Deflationary/Inflationary Policies
Government could print less of its own
currency or cut back on spending to revalue
Could also print more money or increase
spending to devalue
 5. Adjust trade policy
 Protectionist measures would slow down the exit of
home currency, thus revaluing it
 More free trade would speed up the exit of home
currency, thus devaluing it.
I. Economic Integration
 “A process by which countries coordinate and link
their economic policies.”
 An increase in economic integration means more
working together and sharing.
 A decrease in economic integration means less
working together and sharing.
II. Trade Agreements
 Bilateral Trade agreements are between two countries
 Multilateral Trade agreements are between multiple
countries.
III. Trading Bloc Types
 There are different ways and different degrees by
which countries integrate.
1. Preferential Trading Area (PTA)
 Giving preferential treatment to a country or group of
countries.
 This could include special quotas or lower tariffs
 Example: ACP (African-Caribbean and Pacific Group of
States).
2. Free Trade Areas
 Countries agree to trade or mostly trade freely between
each other, but maintain separate trade policies with
other countries.
 Key examples: CAFTA, KORUS, and NAFTA
NAFTA
CAFTA
3. Customs Unions
 When there is free trade between groups of countries
and the countries also agree to common trade policies
with the outside world.
 All of the following are types of customs unions:
 A. Common Market
 B. Monetary Union
 C. Complete Economic Integration
East African Community—Customs
Union
Switzerland and Liechtenstein—
Customs Union
A. Common Market
 A customs union with common policies on regulation
and the movement of goods, services, capital, and
labor.
 EEC: European Economic Community
EEC (no longer exists)—Common
Market
B. Monetary Union
 A common market with a common currency and a
common central bank.
 Example: European Union with the ECB (European
Central Bank) and the Euro.
EU: Monetary Union
C. Complete Economic Integration
 Common market with complete integration.
Individual countries would maintain some political
independence, but economically it is one country.
United States: Complete
Integration

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International trade notes

  • 1.
  • 3. From Textbook: Why Do Nations Trade  In your notes:  I. Why do nations trade?  1. Lower Prices  2. Greater Choice  3. Differences in Resources  4. Economies of Scale  5. Increased Competition  6. More Efficient Allocation of Resources  7. Sources of Foreign Exchange
  • 4. Comparing Nations Country A Country B  Description  Products they can make  Absolute Advantages  Comparative Advantages  Description  Products they can make  Absolute Advantages  Comparative Advantages
  • 5. Imagine the following situation:  Country A is an industrialized nation. It has advanced technologies and factories. It can efficiently make lots of different products  Country B is a developing nation. It has no advanced technologies and mostly relies on subsistence farming for its income.
  • 6. Imagine the following situation:  Country A is an industrialized nation. It has advanced technologies and factories. It can efficiently make lots of different products  Country B is a developing nation. It has no advanced technologies and mostly relies on subsistence farming for its income. What products is Country A is able to make. List What products Country B is able to make
  • 7. Absolute Advantage  When one economy can produce a good or service more efficiently than another country.  When one economy can produce more goods than another country.
  • 8. Imagine the following situation:  Country A is an industrialized nation. It has advanced technologies and factories. It can efficiently make lots of different products  Country B is a developing nation. It has no advanced technologies and mostly relies on subsistence farming for its income. Despite Country A’s absolute advantage, the two countries still trade. A.Why do you think they do this? B.What do you think would be traded?
  • 9. Comparative Advantage  “Implies that one country is able to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another.”  Example:  America can produce more of almost any good if it wanted to.  Compared to Portugal, America has an absolute advantage in the production of wine, for example.
  • 10. (cont.)  Yet, because America can make more things, there are more things that it is giving up when it diverts resources to wine production  In other words, the resources diverted to wine production could be better spent making automobiles.  Portugal does not have this opportunity cost because it does not have the capacity to make cars on the scale that America can.
  • 11. (cont.)  These differences in opportunity mean that even the poorest of nations have an advantage in production of certain goods.  This is called comparative advantage.  “Implies that one country is able to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another.”
  • 12. Imports and Exports  Imports=Goods and services coming in to a country from a foreign source.  Exports=Goods and services that are sold to a foreign country.
  • 13. Free-Trade Defined  When there are no trade barriers
  • 14. Effect of World Supply on Domestic Markets (graph)  To be an import, it must have a supply level below the domestic price level.  Imports lower prices and increase quantity sold. They also force domestic suppliers to sell below domestic equilibrium  (Sd and Sw)
  • 16. Protectionism  Limits on international Trade
  • 18. International Trade Diagrams  1. Market with no international trade  2. Market with international trade  3. Market with Tariff  4. Market with higher tariff  5. Market with lower tariff
  • 19. Effect of Tariff on Market(graph)  Raises price level and decreases quantity sold.  Allows domestic producers to come closer to domestic equilibrium
  • 21. Other Types of Barriers to Trade
  • 22. Non-Tariff Barriers  1. Quotas (set amount of imports allowed)  2. Subsidies (government helps suppliers pay for production, thus increasing the supply curve by lowering cost)
  • 23. Non-Tariff Barriers (Cont)  3. Administrative Obstacles  A. “Red Tape” (forms, bureaucracy, etc. )  B. Health, Safety, and Environmental standards  C. Embargoes  4. Nationalism (people buy products made in their country as a type of national pride.)
  • 25. Outline: Arguments For Protectionism  1. Protecting Domestic Employment  2. Infant-Industry Argument  3. Diversification (avoid over-specialization)  4. Strategic Reasons  5. Anti-Dumping  6. Protect Product Standards  7. Raise Revenue
  • 26. Arguments For Protectionism  Against Free-Trade
  • 27. 1. Protecting Domestic Employment  Trade barriers can be used to soften the blow of rapidly changing economic conditions that may cause unemployment.  Heavily criticized argument by economists, because the money wasted on trade barriers could be spent on long- term reform.
  • 28. 2. Infant Industry Argument  Protect a growing industry from international competitors so that the nation will benefit in the long- run  Often used to legitimate trade barriers for less developed countries  Note: US, Japan, Germany, and China all had enormous trade barriers when their economies were industrializing
  • 29. 3. Diversification (avoid Over- specialization)  Many poorer nations exploit their comparative advantages fully. Unfortunately, this means that their economies become one-dimensional.  If a seasonal change destroys a country’s cash crop, for example, its economy would be devastated  Trade barriers allow an economy to diversify and not just stick to its comparative advantage.
  • 30. 4. Security Reasons  If a country depends on a potentially aggressive nation for important trading goods, than that nation would be at risk for economic collapse during a war.  Ex: Dependence on oil from the Middle East when we seem to always be at war over there
  • 31. 5. Anti-Dumping  Dumping is selling goods below market price.  The goal is to “predatory price”: eliminate a competitor  Anti-dumping trading restrictions only bring the good back to market price.
  • 32. 6. Protect Product Standards  A country might want to protect itself from harmful goods or goods that do not meet certain health, safety, or environmental standards.
  • 33. 7. Raise Government Revenue  Tariffs generate money for governments
  • 34. Arguments Against Protectionism (In Favor of Free Trade)  1. Costs are bigger than benefits  2. Less Choice  3. Domestic Industry becomes Weak  4. Inefficient Resource Allocation  5. Real National Security
  • 35. 1. Costs are bigger than benefits  Protectionism helps some, free-trade helps more.  Lower prices for consumers  Lower input costs for Domestic producers that use imported products.
  • 36. 2. Less Choice  Not only does protectionism raise prices, it limits choices for consumers.
  • 37. 3. Domestic Industry Becomes Weak  Domestic industries get spoiled by protectionism  Become more concerned with lobbying government than competing  Historically, trade restrictions that are supposed to help infant industries last too long.
  • 38. 4. Inefficient Resource Allocation  Optimal use=using limited factors of production for best outcome to society  Trade barriers allow inefficient use of resources  Does not take advantage of comparative advantage.
  • 39. 5. Real National Security  “When goods can’t cross borders, armies will.”  Trade barriers lead to international tensions  Free-trade creates dependency.  If Country A depends on a good from Country B, they are less likely to go to war with them.  The EU was originally conceived as a means to unite Europe economically in order to prevent costly wars.  It has been effective in creating common interests among the once warring people.
  • 40. WTO: World Trade Organization
  • 41. WTO History  Bretton Woods Hotel (1944)
  • 42. Bretton Woods  IMF (International Monetary Fund)  Goal is to stabilize exchange rates and foster development  World Bank  Provides loans to developing nations  Used the dollar as a basis for all exchange rates  Dollar would be linked to the dollar  General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)  Obligated everyone to commit to non-discrimination in trade  Reduce/eliminate tariffs
  • 43. GATTWTO  Between 1947 and 1979 there were a series of negotiations that sought to reduce trade barriers  In that period, tariffs fell from an average of 40% to 4.7%  Between 1986 and 1993 (called the Uruguay Round) expanded open trade laws for agriculture, investment, and intellectual property  Name was officially changed to WTO in 1995
  • 44. Details  Now, headquarter in Geneva  All “power” rests from multilateral agreements, not force  Power is not through penalization, but through allowing penalization through tariffs  WTO members account for 95% of the world’s trade
  • 45. Objectives of the WTO  1. Non-discrimination in trade practices  Most Favored Nation clause (MFN)  2. Using negotiation to mediate trade conflicts  3. Creating stable trade environment  4. Fair Competition  If a nation is determined to be “dumping,” for example, tariffs can be enacted.  5. Development  (in development)
  • 46. Functions  1. Oversee agreements  2. Be a forum for negotiation  3. Handle trade disputes among members  4. Monitor trade policies of different nations  5. Provide technical assistance
  • 47. Doha Round  In 2001, in response to protests like those in Seattle, the WTO began to refocus its agenda.  More of a focus on Development  This period is referred to as the “Doha Round”  Negotiations collapsed in 2008.  Some negotiation restarted in 2013 over administrative obstacles.
  • 48. Successes (Economists Point of View)  Economists generally view it as hugely successful  1. Representation  146 member states  2. Poverty  A stated goal of the WTO is to alleviate poverty.  While that goal has not been attained, it is probably responsible for moving more people out of poverty than any other organization.  3. Dispute Settlement  Peaceful and effective  4. Lessening Trade Barriers  Its original purpose has largely been met.
  • 49. Failures (economist’s point of view)  1. Allows Regional Exclusion Areas that give preferential treatment to some  NAFTA, EU, etc.  Seen as a means to an end.  2. Subsidies to agriculture in developed nations have remained
  • 50. Summarize reasons why the public is upset with the WTO
  • 51. WTO Public Criticisms  1. Undemocratic  The “people” don’t get a voice  2. Encourages the race to the bottom  Pushes developing nations to have less labor and environmental standards  3. Dependency of poorer nations on wealthier nations
  • 52. Criticisms Continued  4. Lack of Environmental Protections  5. Lack of Labor Standards  6. Lack of Public Health Standards
  • 53. US-China Disputes  Wind Power  1. What is the US complaint against China?  2. Based on the information, which side do you think the WTO will take? Why?  Tyres  1. What is the Chinese complaint against the US?  2. Based on the information, which side do you think the WTO will take? Why?
  • 54. Doha Round  In 2001, in response to protests like those in Seattle, the WTO began to refocus its agenda.  More of a focus on Development  Reducing agricultural subsidies in developed nations  Environmental Protections  Labor Protections  Intellectual Property—Patenting of Medicine  Transparency  Negotiations broke down in 2008, but restarted in 2011
  • 56. Basic Assumptions of the Model  Trade is done rationally (people do not trade to get less value than what they had before.)  People do not “sit on,” bury, or destroy money.  Exports, Imports, Inflows, and Outflows can be tracked and tracked well.  Currencies used in one economy cannot be used in another economy (more on this later).  Exports means money is coming in and goods/services are leaving. imports means money is leaving and goods/services are coming in.
  • 57. Balance of Payments  A record of the value of all the transactions between the residents of one country and the residents of all other countries.  It is not a budget, so don’t confuse it with national debt or budget (fiscal) deficit
  • 58. Two Types of Accounts  Goods and Services  Current Account  Flows of Payment  Capital Account  Financial Account
  • 59. Current Account  Current Account: Shows flows of exports and imports (X-M)  Balance of Trade in goods  Balance of trade in services  Current Transfers (foreign aid and grants)
  • 60. How to calculate the Current Account  X-M (exports minus imports)  Add up the value of all the goods and services being sold to other countries.  Subtract all the goods and services being bought from other countries  If + than “Trade surplus”  If – than “Trade Deficit”
  • 61. Balances  In popular media, the term “trade balance” or “trade imbalance” usually refers to the Current Account  We have a “trade deficit” when we buy more imports than the exports we sell.  However, this “deficit” also creates a surplus in the capital account and financial account.
  • 62. Financial and Capital Account  Shows flows of capital (Inflows-Outflows).  Money coming into a country to invest in the stock market (Portfolio investment), buy businesses (FDI), buy bonds, etc.  Capital Account includes money transferred through movement or buying “intangible assets” (like copyrights)  Financial Account includes investment.
  • 63. How to calculate the Capital and Financial Account  Investment coming in MINUS investment going out  Add up all the investment entering the United States (inflows)  Subtract all the investment leaving the United States (outflows)  Examples of investment: Buying debt bonds, buying land, buying/building factories, buying currencies.
  • 64. Note:  In U.S., the “Capital Account” includes both the capital account and the financial account
  • 65. Simple Equation, Confusing Idea Current Account + Capital Account +Financial Account= 0 Or: Capital Account + Financial Account= -Current Account Assuming no errors or omissions
  • 66. Why?  Imagine that the U.S. buys 100 cars from Japan and Japan buys nothing from America.  Japan would have a Current Account Surplus because it has exported more than it has imported  BUT, America would pay for those cars with dollars.  Japan would then have to do something with those dollars  This would create a Financial Account deficit for Japan
  • 67. Quick Note on Exchange Rates  When Japan exchanges Dollars for Yen, it is effectively buying dollars with Yen  This may help you understand why the capital account must always balance out the current account.
  • 68. Step 1: Japan sells a car to the U.S.
  • 69. Step 2: US pays for car with dollars
  • 70. Step 3: Japan can’t spend dollars in Japan!
  • 71. Step 4: Japan uses the dollars to invest in America
  • 72. What can they invest in?
  • 73. Exchange Rates  The value of one currency expressed in terms of another currency.  The “price” of a currency relative to other currencies  Example: 1 Euro=1.34 US Dollars
  • 74. 4 Terms  Appreciation  When the value of a currency raises relative to others in the marketplace  Revaluation  When a government re-pegs or adjusts their currency at a higher value  Depreciation  When the value of a currency falls relative to others in the marketplace  Devaluation  When a government re-pegs their currency at a lower value
  • 75. Concluding Phrases: Trade Flows  If exports decrease, the exchange rate depreciates.  If exports increase, the exchange rates appreciates  If imports increase, the exchange rate depreciates  If imports decrease, the exchange rate appreciates.
  • 76. Concluding Phrases: Inflation  Inflation causes a currency to depreciate  Deflation causes a currency to appreciate.
  • 77. Concluding Sentences: Speculation  If speculators think a currency will appreciate, it will appreciate.  If speculators think a currency will depreciate, it will depreciate.
  • 78. Graphing Exchange Rates  1. Appreciation caused by increase in Demand  2. Appreciation caused by decrease in Supply  3. Depreciation caused by decrease in Demand  4. Depreciation caused by increase in supply
  • 79. 1.
  • 80. 2.
  • 81. 3.
  • 82. 4.
  • 83. Effects of Exchange Rates on Trade  If a currency appreciates, it will increase the buying power of consumers:  This will increase imports  If a currency appreciates, it will decrease the buying power of consumers in other countries:  This will decrease exports.
  • 84. Effects of Exchange Rates on Trade  If a currency depreciates, it will decrease the buying power of consumers:  This will decrease imports  If a currency depreciates, it will increase the buying power of consumers in other countries:  This will increase exports
  • 85. Exchange Rates Balance Trade  Decreases in the exchange rate cause the current account to increase and vice versa  Easier to sell exports, harder to buy imports  Increases in the current account cause the exchange rate to appreciate and vice versa  Less imports and more exports makes the currency more valuable.  This means that exchange rates balance out trade in the long-run.
  • 86. Homeostasis  When your blood vessels swell and are more exposed, you get colder.  When you get cold, your blood vessels retract into your body.  A Negative Feedback Loop: Body responds to correct a problem
  • 87. Trade  When you import a lot, your currency depreciates.  When your currency depreciates, you can’t import as much.  A negative feedback loop: Exchange rates respond to correct a problem.
  • 88. Balance  If there’s too many imports, exchange rates depreciate and make it harder to import.  If there’s too many exports, exchange rates appreciate and make it harder to export.
  • 89. 1. Fixed Exchange Rate  Government sets the exchange rate.  This can be either done through proclamation or through intervention in the market  Central Bank manipulates the “price” by buying and selling the currency and adjusting the interest rate  In extreme cases, the central bank may make transfer of the currency illegal (will create a black market)  China has been accused of having a fixed exchange rate. Most of the world was under a fixed exchange rate system until 1971
  • 90. 2. Floating Exchange Rate  Currency Value is entirely determined by the market  Supply and demand of the currency are allowed to freely exist without government intervention.  As per WTO rules, participating nations are supposed to have a floating exchange rate.
  • 91. 3. Managed Exchange Rate  A managed system is a combination of a fixed and a floating.  Supply and demand determine the exchange rate.  A price floor and price ceiling is secretly set.  If things get out of hand, the Central Bank will intervene.  Almost all countries in reality use a managed exchange rate. (Though most claim it is floating until something bad happens).
  • 92. Managing Exchange Rates 1. Adjust Interest Rate  Higher interest rates will make more people want to have the currency because they could see a higher rate of return  Higher Interest Rate=Appreciation  Lower Interest Rate=Depreciation
  • 93. 2. Buy/sell foreign currencies  A central bank can sell their currency to put more on the market, thus devaluing it  It can also buy its own currency on the market, thus revaluing it  If a bank runs out of foreign currency to buy its own currency, it can borrow from the IMF (International Monetary Fund)  The original purpose of the IMF
  • 94.  3. New Peg  Governments can re-peg their exchange with gold or other currencies if they cannot maintain the exchange rate  4. Deflationary/Inflationary Policies Government could print less of its own currency or cut back on spending to revalue Could also print more money or increase spending to devalue
  • 95.  5. Adjust trade policy  Protectionist measures would slow down the exit of home currency, thus revaluing it  More free trade would speed up the exit of home currency, thus devaluing it.
  • 96. I. Economic Integration  “A process by which countries coordinate and link their economic policies.”  An increase in economic integration means more working together and sharing.  A decrease in economic integration means less working together and sharing.
  • 97. II. Trade Agreements  Bilateral Trade agreements are between two countries  Multilateral Trade agreements are between multiple countries.
  • 98. III. Trading Bloc Types  There are different ways and different degrees by which countries integrate.
  • 99. 1. Preferential Trading Area (PTA)  Giving preferential treatment to a country or group of countries.  This could include special quotas or lower tariffs  Example: ACP (African-Caribbean and Pacific Group of States).
  • 100. 2. Free Trade Areas  Countries agree to trade or mostly trade freely between each other, but maintain separate trade policies with other countries.  Key examples: CAFTA, KORUS, and NAFTA
  • 101. NAFTA
  • 102. CAFTA
  • 103. 3. Customs Unions  When there is free trade between groups of countries and the countries also agree to common trade policies with the outside world.  All of the following are types of customs unions:  A. Common Market  B. Monetary Union  C. Complete Economic Integration
  • 106. A. Common Market  A customs union with common policies on regulation and the movement of goods, services, capital, and labor.  EEC: European Economic Community
  • 107. EEC (no longer exists)—Common Market
  • 108. B. Monetary Union  A common market with a common currency and a common central bank.  Example: European Union with the ECB (European Central Bank) and the Euro.
  • 110. C. Complete Economic Integration  Common market with complete integration. Individual countries would maintain some political independence, but economically it is one country.