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www.mercercapital.com
Second Quarter 2018
OCTOBER 2020
Bank Watch
Low Rates and Tighter NIMs Spur Bank Interest In the
Wealth Management Sector
ARTICLE
In This Issue
Low Rates and Tighter NIMs Spur
Bank Interest In the Wealth
Management Sector	 1
Public Market Indicators	 3
MA Market Indicators	 4
Regional Public
Bank Peer Reports	 5
About Mercer Capital	 6
© 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch October 2020
Low Rates and Tighter NIMs Spur Bank Interest In
the Wealth Management Sector
COVID-19 adversely affected RIA MA for a couple of months when most of the
U.S. was under shelter at home/safer in place orders. However, deal activity is
recovering quickly and now could be further accelerated as banks look to replace
lost interest income with fee-based revenue. An increasing number of clients on the
banking side of our practice are showing interest in the wealth management space,
and it’s easy to understand why. Interest rates hovering at historic lows have signifi-
cantly impaired net interest margins, so banks are exploring other income sources
to fill the void. Wealth management is a natural place to start since so many banks
already offer financial advisory services of one form or another.
There are many other reasons why banks have wealth managers on their radar:
	» Exposure to fee income that is uncorrelated to interest rates
	» Minimal capital requirements to grow assets under management
	» Higher margins and ROEs relative to traditional banking activities
	» Greater degree of operating leverage – gains in profitability with management
fees
	» Largely recurring revenue with monthly or quarterly billing cycles
	» Sticky client base
	» Access to HNW/UHNW client base and opportunity to increase wallet share
	» Potential for cross-selling opportunities with bank’s existing trust and wealth
management clients
These incentives have always been there, but COVID amplified the banking indus-
try’s need to diversify their revenue base, and RIA acquisitions are almost always
immediately accretive to earnings at the cost of dilution to tangible book value. The
shape of the current yield curve suggests that long-term rates are likely to stay
below historic norms for quite some time, dampening the outlook for bank interest
income. Acquiring an RIA or bulking up an existing wealth management practice
with experienced advisors is a relatively easy way to pick up non-interest income
and improve profitability. Building-up non-interest income is also an effective hedge
against a further downturn or future recessions that might require the Federal Re-
serve to lower rates even further.
Still, there are several often overlooked deal considerations that banks and other
interested parties should be apprised of prior to purchasing a wealth management
firm. We’ve outlined our top four considerations when purchasing RIAs in today’s
environment:
1.	 With most of the domestic equity markets back to near-peak levels, the
financial commitment required to purchase a wealth management firm
has likely increased in recent months, lowering the prospective ROI of an
acquisition.We often see some temptation to pay a higher earnings multiple
based on rule-of-thumb activity metrics (% of AUM or revenue), but we would
typically advise against paying above normal multiples of ongoing EBITDA
for a closely held RIA, absent significant synergies or growth prospects for
the target company.
© 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch October 2020
4.	 Degree of Operational Autonomy. Wealth managers (and their clients) value
independence. Individual investors typically must consent to any significant
change in ownership to retain their business following a transaction and
may not be willing to do so if they feel that their advisor’s independence
is compromised. Senior managers at the target firm will likely need to be
assured that the new owner will exert minimal interference on operations
and strategic initiatives if key personnel are to be retained.
These considerations manifest the need for an outside advisor to ensure that prop-
er diligence is performed and the transaction makes sense from an economic per-
spective. Bank boards need practical guidance on finding the right RIA at the right
price and assessing cultural differences that could wreck the integration after the
ink dries. As always, we’re here to help.
2.	 Since many wealth management firms are heavily dependent upon a few
staff members for key client relationships, many deals are structured with
earn-outs to ensure business continuity following the transaction. These
deals tend to take place over two to three years with a third to half of the total
consideration paid out in the form of an earn-out based on future growth
and client retention. COVID-19’s impact on the markets and economy
has elevated the demand for buyer protection, and many banks are now
requiring larger earn-out components to protect themselves from future
downturns or client attrition.
3.	 It’s hard to know how the cultures of firms in any industry will mesh after a
merger, and this side of due diligence has been most affected by COVID-19,
as in-person meetings are still generally being avoided. The culture issue
is especially true for bank acquisitions of wealth management firms.
Compensation, work habits, client service expectations, and production
goals can be drastically different at an RIA versus a bank, so it’s important
to consider if these discrepancies could become problematic when the firms
join forces. We’ve seen culture clashes blow up deals that looked great on
paper.
Brooks K. Hamner, CFA, ASA
hamnerb@mercercapital.com | 901.322.9714
What We’re Reading
Congress recently introduced a new bill that would let smaller banks (assets under $15 billion) exclude PPP loans for the purposes of determining capital ratios
and other asset thresholds. Additionally, the SBA eased the forgiveness process for smaller PPP loans and issued guidance on changes in ownership of PPP
Amongst a scarce year for bank MA, First Citizens BancShares and CIT Group announced an all-stock merger (roughly valued at $2.2 billion) that would
create a $100 billion asset bank and rank as one of the 20 largest institutions in the country.
As personal income and spending recovers from the COVID-19 contraction, gaps in the data are starting to emerge with the roll-off of widespread government
support.
© 2020 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 3
Mercer Capital’s Bank Group Index Overview Return Stratification of U.S. Banks
by Asset Size
Median Valuation Multiples
MedianTotal Return Median Valuation Multiples as of October 20, 2020
Month-to-Date Year-to-Date Last 12 Months
Price/LTM
EPS
Price / 2020 (E)
EPS
Price / 2021
(E) EPS
Price / Book
Value
Price / Tan-
gible Book
Value
Dividend
Yield
Atlantic Coast Index 8.1% -35.7% -30.8% 9.1x 12.1x 11.9x 77% 84% 4.0%
Midwest Index 8.8% -24.8% -16.6% 9.4x 10.2x 11.5x 87% 99% 3.1%
Northeast Index 8.8% -32.7% -26.7% 10.0x 10.1x 10.1x 75% 90% 3.8%
Southeast Index 7.9% -28.2% -20.9% 11.7x 11.5x 11.3x 85% 94% 2.5%
West Index 11.7% -28.1% -21.3% 9.6x 9.8x 10.7x 85% 96% 3.0%
Community Bank Index 9.0% -29.9% -23.3% 9.8x 10.4x 11.2x 83% 91% 3.4%
SNL Bank Index 5.5% -32.0% -23.4%
Mercer Capital’s Public Market Indicators October 2020
Assets
$250 -
$500M
Assets
$500M -
$1B
Assets $1 -
$5B
Assets $5 -
$10B
Assets 
$10B
Month-to-Date -7.59% 5.08% 9.72% 11.80% 5.26%
Year-to-Date -3.07% -25.97% -30.58% -27.64% -37.17%
Last 12 Months -1.69% -16.00% -23.56% -21.12% -29.10%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
AsofOctober20,2020
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
10/18/201911/18/201912/18/20191/18/20202/18/20203/18/20204/18/20205/18/20206/18/20207/18/20208/18/20209/18/202010/18/2020
October18,2019=100
MCM Index - Community Banks SNL Bank SP 500 Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
© 2020 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LTM
2020
U.S. 20.0% 18.4% 12.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.4% 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 6.1% 10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 9.5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
CoreDepositPremiums
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LTM
2020
U.S. 243% 228% 196% 145% 141% 132% 130% 134% 155% 148% 143% 170% 178% 168% 163%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
Price/TangibleBookValue
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LTM
2020
U.S. 22.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 21.7 21.9 17.0 16.5 17.5 18.8 18.1 19.5 22.4 16.3 16.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Price/Last12Months
Earnings
Regions
Price /
LTM
Earnings
Price/
Tang.
BV
Price /
Core Dep
Premium
No.
of
Deals
Median
Deal
Value
($M)
Target’s
Median
Assets
($000)
Target’s
Median
LTM
ROAE
Atlantic Coast 14.4x 102% 6.4% 7 62.5 378,333 9.4%
Midwest 16.6x 178% 11.5% 33 30.9 102,749 10.6%
Northeast 16.8x 175% 11.5% 9 71.5 435,907 10.8%
Southeast 16.9x 152% 9.0% 19 41.4 224,546 11.2%
West 10.5x 151% 5.5% 1 157.4 1,288,454 11.3%
National Community
Banks
16.3x 163% 9.5% 69 63.0 189,126 10.4%
Median Valuation Multiples for MA Deals
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%, 12 months ended October 26, 2020
Median Core Deposit Multiples
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%
Median Price/Tangible Book Value Multiples
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%
Median Price/Earnings Multiples
Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%
Mercer Capital’s MA Market Indicators October 2020
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
Source: SP Global Market IntelligenceSource: SP Global Market Intelligence
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
Updated weekly, Mercer Capital’s Regional Public Bank Peer Reports offer a
closer look at the market pricing and performance of publicly traded banks
in the states of five U.S. regions. Click on the map to view the reports from
the representative region.
© 2020 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 5
Atlantic Coast Midwest Northeast
Southeast West
Mercer Capital’s
Regional Public
Bank Peer Reports
Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch October 2020
Mercer Capital assists banks, thrifts, and credit unions with significant corporate valuation requirements,
transaction advisory services, and other strategic decisions.
Mercer Capital pairs analytical rigor with industry knowledge to deliver unique insight into issues facing banks. These insights underpin the valuation analyses that are at the
heart of Mercer Capital’s services to depository institutions.
	» Bank valuation
	» Financial reporting for banks
	» Goodwill impairment
	» Litigation support
	» Stress Testing
	» Loan portfolio valuation
	» Tax compliance
	» Transaction advisory
	» Strategic planning
Depository Institutions Team
MERCER CAPITAL
Depository Institutions Services
BUSINESS VALUATION 
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
Jeff K. Davis, CFA
615.345.0350
jeffdavis@mercercapital.com
Andrew K. Gibbs, CFA, CPA/ABV
901.322.9726
gibbsa@mercercapital.com
Jay D. Wilson, Jr., CFA, ASA, CBA
469.778.5860
wilsonj@mercercapital.com
Eden G. Stanton, CFA, ASA
901.270.7250
stantone@mercercapital.com
Mary Grace Arehart, CFA
901.322.9720
arehartm@mercercapital.com
Brian F. Adams
901.322.9706
adamsb@mercercapital.com
Copyright © 2020 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged.
Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch is published monthly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an
information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list
to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
www.mercercapital.com
Mercer Capital
www.mercercapital.com

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Mercer Capital's Bank Watch | October 2020 | Low Rates and Tighter NIMs Spur Bank Interest In the Wealth Management Sector

  • 1. www.mercercapital.com Second Quarter 2018 OCTOBER 2020 Bank Watch Low Rates and Tighter NIMs Spur Bank Interest In the Wealth Management Sector ARTICLE In This Issue Low Rates and Tighter NIMs Spur Bank Interest In the Wealth Management Sector 1 Public Market Indicators 3 MA Market Indicators 4 Regional Public Bank Peer Reports 5 About Mercer Capital 6
  • 2. © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1 Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch October 2020 Low Rates and Tighter NIMs Spur Bank Interest In the Wealth Management Sector COVID-19 adversely affected RIA MA for a couple of months when most of the U.S. was under shelter at home/safer in place orders. However, deal activity is recovering quickly and now could be further accelerated as banks look to replace lost interest income with fee-based revenue. An increasing number of clients on the banking side of our practice are showing interest in the wealth management space, and it’s easy to understand why. Interest rates hovering at historic lows have signifi- cantly impaired net interest margins, so banks are exploring other income sources to fill the void. Wealth management is a natural place to start since so many banks already offer financial advisory services of one form or another. There are many other reasons why banks have wealth managers on their radar: » Exposure to fee income that is uncorrelated to interest rates » Minimal capital requirements to grow assets under management » Higher margins and ROEs relative to traditional banking activities » Greater degree of operating leverage – gains in profitability with management fees » Largely recurring revenue with monthly or quarterly billing cycles » Sticky client base » Access to HNW/UHNW client base and opportunity to increase wallet share » Potential for cross-selling opportunities with bank’s existing trust and wealth management clients These incentives have always been there, but COVID amplified the banking indus- try’s need to diversify their revenue base, and RIA acquisitions are almost always immediately accretive to earnings at the cost of dilution to tangible book value. The shape of the current yield curve suggests that long-term rates are likely to stay below historic norms for quite some time, dampening the outlook for bank interest income. Acquiring an RIA or bulking up an existing wealth management practice with experienced advisors is a relatively easy way to pick up non-interest income and improve profitability. Building-up non-interest income is also an effective hedge against a further downturn or future recessions that might require the Federal Re- serve to lower rates even further. Still, there are several often overlooked deal considerations that banks and other interested parties should be apprised of prior to purchasing a wealth management firm. We’ve outlined our top four considerations when purchasing RIAs in today’s environment: 1. With most of the domestic equity markets back to near-peak levels, the financial commitment required to purchase a wealth management firm has likely increased in recent months, lowering the prospective ROI of an acquisition.We often see some temptation to pay a higher earnings multiple based on rule-of-thumb activity metrics (% of AUM or revenue), but we would typically advise against paying above normal multiples of ongoing EBITDA for a closely held RIA, absent significant synergies or growth prospects for the target company.
  • 3. © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2 Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch October 2020 4. Degree of Operational Autonomy. Wealth managers (and their clients) value independence. Individual investors typically must consent to any significant change in ownership to retain their business following a transaction and may not be willing to do so if they feel that their advisor’s independence is compromised. Senior managers at the target firm will likely need to be assured that the new owner will exert minimal interference on operations and strategic initiatives if key personnel are to be retained. These considerations manifest the need for an outside advisor to ensure that prop- er diligence is performed and the transaction makes sense from an economic per- spective. Bank boards need practical guidance on finding the right RIA at the right price and assessing cultural differences that could wreck the integration after the ink dries. As always, we’re here to help. 2. Since many wealth management firms are heavily dependent upon a few staff members for key client relationships, many deals are structured with earn-outs to ensure business continuity following the transaction. These deals tend to take place over two to three years with a third to half of the total consideration paid out in the form of an earn-out based on future growth and client retention. COVID-19’s impact on the markets and economy has elevated the demand for buyer protection, and many banks are now requiring larger earn-out components to protect themselves from future downturns or client attrition. 3. It’s hard to know how the cultures of firms in any industry will mesh after a merger, and this side of due diligence has been most affected by COVID-19, as in-person meetings are still generally being avoided. The culture issue is especially true for bank acquisitions of wealth management firms. Compensation, work habits, client service expectations, and production goals can be drastically different at an RIA versus a bank, so it’s important to consider if these discrepancies could become problematic when the firms join forces. We’ve seen culture clashes blow up deals that looked great on paper. Brooks K. Hamner, CFA, ASA hamnerb@mercercapital.com | 901.322.9714 What We’re Reading Congress recently introduced a new bill that would let smaller banks (assets under $15 billion) exclude PPP loans for the purposes of determining capital ratios and other asset thresholds. Additionally, the SBA eased the forgiveness process for smaller PPP loans and issued guidance on changes in ownership of PPP Amongst a scarce year for bank MA, First Citizens BancShares and CIT Group announced an all-stock merger (roughly valued at $2.2 billion) that would create a $100 billion asset bank and rank as one of the 20 largest institutions in the country. As personal income and spending recovers from the COVID-19 contraction, gaps in the data are starting to emerge with the roll-off of widespread government support.
  • 4. © 2020 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 3 Mercer Capital’s Bank Group Index Overview Return Stratification of U.S. Banks by Asset Size Median Valuation Multiples MedianTotal Return Median Valuation Multiples as of October 20, 2020 Month-to-Date Year-to-Date Last 12 Months Price/LTM EPS Price / 2020 (E) EPS Price / 2021 (E) EPS Price / Book Value Price / Tan- gible Book Value Dividend Yield Atlantic Coast Index 8.1% -35.7% -30.8% 9.1x 12.1x 11.9x 77% 84% 4.0% Midwest Index 8.8% -24.8% -16.6% 9.4x 10.2x 11.5x 87% 99% 3.1% Northeast Index 8.8% -32.7% -26.7% 10.0x 10.1x 10.1x 75% 90% 3.8% Southeast Index 7.9% -28.2% -20.9% 11.7x 11.5x 11.3x 85% 94% 2.5% West Index 11.7% -28.1% -21.3% 9.6x 9.8x 10.7x 85% 96% 3.0% Community Bank Index 9.0% -29.9% -23.3% 9.8x 10.4x 11.2x 83% 91% 3.4% SNL Bank Index 5.5% -32.0% -23.4% Mercer Capital’s Public Market Indicators October 2020 Assets $250 - $500M Assets $500M - $1B Assets $1 - $5B Assets $5 - $10B Assets $10B Month-to-Date -7.59% 5.08% 9.72% 11.80% 5.26% Year-to-Date -3.07% -25.97% -30.58% -27.64% -37.17% Last 12 Months -1.69% -16.00% -23.56% -21.12% -29.10% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% AsofOctober20,2020 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 10/18/201911/18/201912/18/20191/18/20202/18/20203/18/20204/18/20205/18/20206/18/20207/18/20208/18/20209/18/202010/18/2020 October18,2019=100 MCM Index - Community Banks SNL Bank SP 500 Source: SP Global Market Intelligence Source: SP Global Market Intelligence Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
  • 5. © 2020 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 4 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 2020 U.S. 20.0% 18.4% 12.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.4% 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 6.1% 10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 9.5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% CoreDepositPremiums 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 2020 U.S. 243% 228% 196% 145% 141% 132% 130% 134% 155% 148% 143% 170% 178% 168% 163% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% Price/TangibleBookValue 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 2020 U.S. 22.0 22.1 19.9 19.3 21.7 21.9 17.0 16.5 17.5 18.8 18.1 19.5 22.4 16.3 16.3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Price/Last12Months Earnings Regions Price / LTM Earnings Price/ Tang. BV Price / Core Dep Premium No. of Deals Median Deal Value ($M) Target’s Median Assets ($000) Target’s Median LTM ROAE Atlantic Coast 14.4x 102% 6.4% 7 62.5 378,333 9.4% Midwest 16.6x 178% 11.5% 33 30.9 102,749 10.6% Northeast 16.8x 175% 11.5% 9 71.5 435,907 10.8% Southeast 16.9x 152% 9.0% 19 41.4 224,546 11.2% West 10.5x 151% 5.5% 1 157.4 1,288,454 11.3% National Community Banks 16.3x 163% 9.5% 69 63.0 189,126 10.4% Median Valuation Multiples for MA Deals Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5%, 12 months ended October 26, 2020 Median Core Deposit Multiples Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5% Median Price/Tangible Book Value Multiples Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5% Median Price/Earnings Multiples Target Banks’ Assets $5B and LTM ROE 5% Mercer Capital’s MA Market Indicators October 2020 Source: SP Global Market Intelligence Source: SP Global Market IntelligenceSource: SP Global Market Intelligence Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
  • 6. Updated weekly, Mercer Capital’s Regional Public Bank Peer Reports offer a closer look at the market pricing and performance of publicly traded banks in the states of five U.S. regions. Click on the map to view the reports from the representative region. © 2020 Mercer Capital // Data provided by SP Global Market Intelligence 5 Atlantic Coast Midwest Northeast Southeast West Mercer Capital’s Regional Public Bank Peer Reports Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch October 2020
  • 7. Mercer Capital assists banks, thrifts, and credit unions with significant corporate valuation requirements, transaction advisory services, and other strategic decisions. Mercer Capital pairs analytical rigor with industry knowledge to deliver unique insight into issues facing banks. These insights underpin the valuation analyses that are at the heart of Mercer Capital’s services to depository institutions. » Bank valuation » Financial reporting for banks » Goodwill impairment » Litigation support » Stress Testing » Loan portfolio valuation » Tax compliance » Transaction advisory » Strategic planning Depository Institutions Team MERCER CAPITAL Depository Institutions Services BUSINESS VALUATION FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES Jeff K. Davis, CFA 615.345.0350 jeffdavis@mercercapital.com Andrew K. Gibbs, CFA, CPA/ABV 901.322.9726 gibbsa@mercercapital.com Jay D. Wilson, Jr., CFA, ASA, CBA 469.778.5860 wilsonj@mercercapital.com Eden G. Stanton, CFA, ASA 901.270.7250 stantone@mercercapital.com Mary Grace Arehart, CFA 901.322.9720 arehartm@mercercapital.com Brian F. Adams 901.322.9706 adamsb@mercercapital.com Copyright © 2020 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Bank Watch is published monthly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. www.mercercapital.com