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Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 1 of 26
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19
(with the focus on the trade and seaports’ performance)
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi
Member of Omani Economic Association
Updated February 2022
This report is an update of a series analyzing the Omani economic performance focusing on the trade and
seaports performance. The numbers are updated with the latest figures and revised forecasts based on
the latest data and information for the fourth quarter of 2021. In addition, the report analyzes how the
coronavirus pandemic has immensely affected the ports’ and economy’s overall performance as it did to
other countries. The report focuses on the Salalah and Sohar Port in addition to the general GDP and trade
performance.
1. Introduction:
The Covid-19 pandemic has enormously disrupted
nearly all business sectors. One of the major and
important sectors that were hit significantly by the
pandemic is the logistics and the supply chains
sector. Since logistics is the artery of economies and
trade, it has also been a critical part and vital success
support factor to sustain the economies during the
current Coronavirus crisis and enable the best
possible supply chain connectivity for the trade and
exchange of goods between countries.
The primary entry/exit points of countries are
managed through land borders, airports, and
seaports. The domestic operations are handled by
logistics service providers. With the outbreak of the
coronavirus at the end of 2019, the world started to
slow down as governments began to lock down
businesses and limit all accessibilities to and from
their countries.
In Oman, the government and the private sector, as
in many other countries, have started very early to
mitigate the risks and find solutions and alternatives
to combat the Covid-19 negative impacts. Traffics at
airports and land borders were more severely
affected than the seaports. Seaports played vital
roles in keeping the countries connected with the
outside world and keeping the imports and exports
flowing. Medical and food products have been the
major contributors to the transported volumes.
This paper analyzes Oman’s economy in terms of
GDP, trade, and seaports performance. The focus
would be on the primary seaports' performance;
Sohar and Salalah. The economic and social
challenges continue to be immense during these
unprecedented difficult times caused by the Covid-
19 pandemic, which is not only a health crisis but
also an economic and social crisis.
2. Asyad Group and the Customs
The Omani ports, with the leadership of the Asyad
Group that oversees the logistics sector and ports,
played a vital role from day one as the coronavirus
outbroke. Oman Customs played a pivotal role in
supporting and facilitating the trade flow. Asyad and
the ports’ management teams have been
proactively monitoring the Covid-19 crisis and its
impacts on ports’ operations and trade links. The
Omani ports have been able to manage the
operations very well since the outbreak of the covid-
19 pandemic.
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 2 of 26
Asyad Group has proactively coordinated with
ports’ administrations in assessing the effects of the
Covid-19 pandemic on ports’ preparations and
facilitating the trade links so that the flow of cargo
continues as normal as possible, especially for
essential products such as food and medical
supplies. Omani ports have managed the operations
very well during the first months of the crisis and
continue to do so. All ports have worked hard to
manage the operations at full capacity while taking
strict measures to mitigate the risks of operations
and the effects of Covid-19 on the workers' health
and those dealing with the ports. (3)
The procedures carried out by the Directorate
General of Customs have contributed significant
positive impacts on the ease and flow of export and
import movements.(5)
It has facilitated the
processes of documents and procedures for
customs clearance requirements through the Bayan
Electronic System and online transactions. It has
also introduced prior and remote customs clearance
with excellent flexibility to assist trade flow. The
prompt initiatives taken by the Omani Customs
have been critical factors in facilitating seamless
trading and smooth supply chain operations by the
business community.
3. Asyad Group and the Performance of the
Ports
All seaports have been running full capacity while
taking strict safety measurements to mitigate the
operations' risks during these tough health crisis
times. While taking stringent health and safety
measurements, the Omani ports have been able to
maintain an uninterrupted flow of goods and
commodities. Moreover, despite the difficult times,
the ports have been able to develop new direct
shipping line routes. According to Asyad, despite
these challenging times, the Omani ports were
successful in developing 200 direct routes
connecting 86 ports in 40 countries.(3)
Notwithstanding the reduction in the volumes that
is expected during such crisis times, the overall
performance is considered commendable.
However, the Asyad and ports companies need to
evaluate and analyze the reductions if they are
temporary and related to the crisis or are long-term
and structural.
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 3 of 26
Rank Shipping Lines TEUs Ships
1 MSC 4,311,366 654
2 Maersk 4,293,718 738
3 CMA 3,225,807 573
4 COSCO 2,932,595 477
5 Hapag-Lloyd 1,751,870 249
6 ONE 1,527,607 208
7 Evergreen 1,471,496 201
8 HMM 817,300 75
9 Yang Ming Marine 663,862 91
10 Zim 425,323 114
55 Oman Container Line (Asyad) 14,339 4
Figure 1: Alphaliner: Top Operators of world containers in terms of TEUs, 2022 (2)
Asyad Group Oman has entered the containership
business through its subsidiary Oman Shipping
Company under the brand “Oman Container Line
(OCL) and “ASYAD.” With chartered 14,339 TEUs,
Asyad has achieved the rank 55 in the top 100
container companies published by Alphaliner in
February 2022. With this massive capacity,
OCL/Asyad, with four container ships, provides an
excellent capacity to businesses and traders and
helps connect Oman with the world. (2) (3)
According to the Asyad Group, the Omani ports
have shown remarkable resilience during the Covid-
19 pandemic. The overall ports’ performances
during the tough and challenging years 2020 and
2021 have been exceptional. The total containers
handled by the main Omani ports, Salalah and
Sohar, reached over 5.237 million TEUs, up by 2%.
The general cargo terminals in both ports handled
over 56 million tons, up by 9.1%, while the liquid
terminals handled over 19 million tons, up by 4.1%.
Total RORO units handled by the main Sohar Port
reached 71,561, down by 4.2% from 2020 and down
by 37% from 2019 figures. (3) (16) (17) (19) (20)
Figure 2: Sohar and Salalah Ports Performance (3) (16) (17) (19) (20)
-
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
TEUs TEUs TEUs
2019 2020 2021
Sohar and Salalah Ports (TEUs Handled)
Sohar Port Salalah Port
-
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
General Cargo FRT Liquid Cargo FRT
Sohar and Salalah Ports
(General & Liquid Cargos Handled FRTs)
Sohar Port Salalah Port
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 4 of 26
4. The GDP Performance
The impact of coronavirus has been significant on all
economic aspects. Oman is having its share of the
impact of the coronavirus. The labor market, which
comprises of expatriates as the majority, has started
to see the effects of economic slowdown due to the
lockdowns and low demand.
Figure 3: Oman GDP and Fiscal Budgets trends(Oman revised GDP calculations for 2020 and 2021) (15)
Figure 3 above shows the trends in the GDP and the
fiscal budget figures (please note Oman revised GDP
calculation 2020 and 2021). The drops-in oil prices
since 2014 have had visible results on the fiscal
budget and the GDP. The budget multiplier on the
GDP has been 2.2 on average; however, expected to
increase as the oil prices started rising since 2021.(15)
Figure 4 below shows the workforce (Omani and
Expatriates) trend compared to the GDP sectors
trends over the last 17 years. (15)
The trends show a
strong correlation between the workforce and GDP.
It shows that the economic growth has propelled
the growth in the overall workforce, but mainly in
the expatriate workforce category. In contrast, the
Omani workforce remained almost constant (very
trivial growth compared to the annual numbers
entering the job market) over the last 17 years. Over
the last 17 years, the yearly average increase of
Omanis in the private sector has been around
10,600, compared to 58,000 for expatriates. In
general, both types had an average of 7% increase
over the last 17 years. The latest five-year plan
(2016-2020) has created about 45,134 new jobs for
Omanis (an average of 9,000 per year). This figure is
low due too to the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 as
Omanis reduced by almost 7,500. The figure for
2021 shows an increase in Omanis in the private
sector by over 12,000, reaching 266,799 Omanis
compared to 262,000 Omanis at the end of 2019.
For expatriates, the numbers were declining after
hitting a record high in 2017. This could be due to
the late effect of oil prices decline which has a direct
impact on Oman’s fiscal expenditures. However, in
2020, and because of the Coronavirus Pandemic,
2.5
2.7
2.4
2.2 2.2
2.0
1.9 2.0
2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3
2.6
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Oman GDP and Fiscal Expenditures (R.O. million)
GDP Fiscal Budget GDP to Budget
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 5 of 26
the expatriates' number dropped drastically. The
statistics show a drop of about 270,000 in
expatriates workforce in the private sector. It
continued in 2021 with an additional drop of over
33,000, resulting in 1,409,473 expatriates in the
private sector by the end of 2021. A drop of 18%
since the start of the pandemic. With the high
numbers of job seekers augmented by new annual
job seekers entering the labor market, the officials
seriously need to evaluate the causes and find
realistic solutions. The natural growth trend should
have been the same for Omanis and expatriates.
Another crucial point to study is the drop in the
expatriate workforce over the last four years since
2017, not just during the last two years due to the
pandemic.
Figure 4: Oman Private Sector’s Workforce compared with GDP sub-sectors trends (15)
The chart also analyzes the GDP sub-sectors trends
compared with the workforce mix. The numbers
show that GDP grew mainly because of crude
petroleum (caused by high oil prices, not the
production), services activities, and industrial
activities. Despite the significant drop in oil prices
since the end of 2014, the overall GDP continued to
grow, supported by the Services Activities and
Industrial Activities. With these two sectors as
prime drivers for GDP increase, the workforce had
seen similar growth but only in the expatriates'
category, while Omanis experienced a slight
increase. It means the economy has been able to
create jobs. The government needs to analyze the
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
GDP
R.O.
Million
GDP sub-sectors and Private Sector Workforce mix
Omani-Private Sector Expatriate-Private Sector
Crude Petroleum Natural Gas
Agriculture & Fishing Industry Activities
Services Activities
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 6 of 26
actual reasons why jobs were not suitable for
Omanis or why Omanis were not suitable for the
jobs; or was that the laws and regulations of the
labor market were not suitable. The estimated high
GDP figures in 2021 are due mainly to high oil prices,
which are expected to continue in 2022. The
government needs to work on enhancing the return
on the excess revenue generated from higher oil
prices compared to the budget figures to create a
more dynamic and competitive economy.
Figure 5: Oman’s GDP Main Sectors’ Trends and Covid’s Effect (15)
Charts in figure 5 show the trends of main Oman’s
GDP sectors over the past years. Crude oil has been
highly volatile. It had reached its peak during the
period from 2010 to 2014 when it started to drop
drastically.(15)
It has completely disrupted all
development plans. Natural Gas has come at the
right time to compensate slightly but growing for
the oil drop. It has had consistent growth, though it
has started to drop since 2018. The Services and
Industrial Activities charts show a correlation with
the oil and gas contribution to the overall GDP. On
the other side, the Agricultural & Fisheries Activities
show continuous growth despite the drop in other
sectors. It indicates that some activities do not
necessarily get linked with the changes in the major
sectors in the GDP and can be a growth sector for
the economy in the long term. The agriculture &
Fisheries sector needs to have more attention from
the development planners so it may add more value
to the overall economic growth.
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Crude Petroleum (R.O. Million)
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Natural Gas (R.O. Million)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Services Activities (R.O. Million)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Industry Activities (R.O. Million)
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
Agriculture & Fishing (R.O. Million)
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 7 of 26
4. General Performance of Exports and
Imports
Balance of Trade is one of the primary indicators
that help gauge countries’ economic health quality
and strength. When exports value is more than
imports value, it is viewed that the country’s
economy enjoys a positive balance of trade. While
higher imports’ value compared to the exports’
value is considered as a trade deficit. Oman enjoys
a positive balance of trade primarily due to the sale
of crude oil and gas. Therefore, we need to analyze
the balance trade in terms of other than the
contribution of oil and gas in the trade. This will give
us a better understanding of the economy and
productivity. The below charts in figure 6 show the
trends in Exports (non-oil), Re-Exports, and
Imports.(15)
With the drop in the oil prices since
2014, the exports, imports, and re-exports all have
been negatively affected and expected to drop
further, as shown in the charts in figure 6. All types
of trade have lessened since 2017. Though the
pandemic deepened the decline of all trade
performance, the year 2021 figures based on the
first three quarters show a significant increase in the
overall numbers both in exports and imports. (15)
The main drivers in the non-oil & gas exports are
minerals, chemicals, and metal. For the imports, the
main drivers are minerals, chemicals, food, and
equipment.
Figure 6: Oman’s Non-Oil Exports, Imports, and Re-Exports (15)
The below charts in figure 7 show trends of imports by point of entry from 2017 to 2021. The 2021 figures are
estimates based on the first three quarters in terms of value and tonnage. The trends show significant hikes
expected in 2021.
23%
21%
26%
19%
23%
20%
19%
16%
22%
13%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e
Non-Oil Exports, Imports & Re-Exports
Non-Oil Export Import Re-Export
Net Import Re-Export % of Imports
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 8 of 26
Figure 7: Oman’s Imports by point of entry in terms of value and tonnage in 1st half of 2020 (15)
The sea and land trades have shown exceptional
performance during 2021 in terms of value and
tonnage. The air cargo movement has been the
most hit by Covid-19 as most countries imposed
complete lockdown and restriction on air travel,
except for emergency and pharmaceutical products.
All cargo types were hit by coronavirus during 2020
but started to rebound in 2021. During the first
three quarters of 2021, the sea cargo reached
23,180 tons compared to 15,771 tons for the same
period in 2020, a jump of 47%. The land cargo also
jumped by 10% for the same period, from 5,619
tons in 2021 to 5,076 tons in 2020. (15)
Figure 8: Oman’s Trade Balance with and without Crude Oil Values (15)
The above charts in figure 8 show that the positive
trade balance is mainly due to the export of crude
oil.(15)
Once the value of crude oil exports is
excluded, the trade balance shows apparent
deficits. The total imports started to decline since
2014 as the result of oil prices decline since then.
From 2017, the exports of liquified natural gas
regained what they have lost in 2015 and 2016, with
an over 50% drop. The non-oil products remained at
an average of R.O. 3.3 billion from 2012 to 2020. The
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Sea (000 Tons) Land (000 Tons) Air (000 Tons)
Imports by Tons '000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Sea (RO million) Land (RO
million)
Air (RO million)
Imports by Value R.O million
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e
Trade Balance (R.O. million)
Trade Balance Exp: Non-Oil Products
Exp: Crude Oil Exp: Refined Oil
Exp: Liquified Gas Re-Export
Total Import
(6,000)
(4,000)
(2,000)
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e
Trade Balance (R.O. million) excluding crude oil
Trade Balance Exp: Refined Oil
Exp: Liquified Gas Exp: Non-Oil Products
Re-Export Total Import
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 9 of 26
re-exports started to decline since 2014 when it
almost touched R.O. 3 billion, and then dropped to
R.O. 1.4 billion in 2019, and expect to reach R.O. 1.5
billion in 2020. The trade balance, including crude
oil, has been positive at the rate of 32% of the
exports over the years from 2012 to 2020. In
comparison, the rate is negative at an average of
41% when crude oil is not considered in the exports.
The negative rate of 41% is very high and should
push the country to seriously work on developing
and diversifying its export industries.
5. Sohar Port Performance
Sohar Port is considered the main industrial and
commercial port for Oman. About 60% of all cargo
of the country moves through it. (3) (16) (17) (20)
The
Sohar industrial port's overall area is managed by
Sohar Industrial Port Company, a 50:50 joint
venture company between the Government of
Oman and the Port of Rotterdam through the
landlord concept.(3) (20)
The Sohar Port is considered
one of the major deep-sea ports in the region and
can handle the largest container vessels alongside
Salalah Port in the South of Oman. It is strategically
located on the Gulf of Oman and easily reachable
from and to major economies in the region such as
GCC, the Indian subcontinent, and eastern Africa. It
is also on the main maritime routes between the
East and the West, as well as Africa. The port was
developed to be Oman’s main industrial port in
addition to the handling of all commercial cargo and
to replace the Sultan Qaboos Port in Muscat. It has
started its operations in 2004. (3) (9) (20)
The port cargos’ terminals are managed and
operated by three companies. The container
terminal is managed and operated by Oman
International Container Terminal (managed by
Hutchison Ports). The dry bulk and break-bulk
terminals are managed by C. Steinweg Oman
Company. The liquid terminal is managed and
operated by Oiltanking Terminal & Company.
Figure 9: The overall view of Sohar Industrial Port (20)
Sohar Port is the main industrial and commercial port for Oman. On average, it handles over 60% of Oman’s
imports, over 40% of exports, and over 80% of re-exports volumes. (9) (20)
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 10 of 26
Figure 10: Overall imports and exports through Sohar Port in
2020 (9) (20)
Since the shift of the country’s main commercial
port from Sultan Qaboos Port at Muscat to Sohar
Port in 2014, vessel calls on overall have been
increasing year on year.
Figure 11: Sohar Port – Vessel Calls (9) (20)
The total number of vessels handled by Sohar Port
has started to grow since 2015, mainly shifting from
the Port of Sultan Qaboos in Muscat. Though the
number of vessel calls started to drop in 2019 and
2020 but improved in 2021 despite the pandemic,
the volume continues to grow, with about 7%
growth in the volume and number of total vessels in
2021.(9) (20)
The main drivers for the increase were
the dry bulk, liquid bulk, and anchoring services. On
the other hand, containers, breakbulk, and RORO
had a decrease in terms of FRTs.
5.1 Container Terminal at Sohar Port
The container terminal company at Sohar Port,
Oman International Container Terminal Company,
was established in 2005.(3)(20)
It is a subsidy of
Hutchison Ports, which is part of CK Hutchison
Holdings. It is dedicated to handling containerized
cargo. The Twenty-foot Equivalent Containers
(TEUs) handled by the Sohar Port are shown in the
below charts.(20)
The overall TEUs handled by the container terminal
has been decreasing since 2018. Sohar Port
experienced exceptional growth starting the 2nd
half
of 2014 as a result of the closure of commercial
operations at Sultan Qaboos Port in Muscat on 31st
August 2014. The growth continued till 2017. Since
then, the volumes have started to decline. Despite
the challenges to the demand and supply created by
the coronavirus pandemic, Sohar Port has achieved
a slight increase of about 1% compared to the year
2019 total TEUs. Still, there was roughly a 10% drop
in 2021 in terms of TEUs and 21% in vessels
compared to 2020.
60%
40%
80%
Imports Exports Re-Exports
Oman's Imports, Exports, & Re-Exports (2020)
Sohar Port Others
-
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Sohar Port - Total Vessels Calls and FRTs
Vessels FRT
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 11 of 26
Figure 12: Sohar Port annual TEUs handled, 2020 Total is estimated based on the first three quarters’ figures (20)
Charts in Figure 12 show the trends of the quarterly
number of TEUs and FRTs handled by Sohar Port.
The containers and the volumes have continued to
decline over the last four years. The Q4 of 2021
dropped by 25% compared to Q4 of 2020 and 10%
for the whole year. It seems that the year 2021
shows the impact of the pandemic on the business
as volumes kept decreasing over the quarters since
the last year-end. The years 2020 and 2021 have
been very challenging as many started to feel the
immense cashflow pressures due to the low
business operations and, in some cases, the
operational pressure of generating no income.
6%
58%
62%
15%
36%
-2% -4%
1%
-10%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
(150,000)
50,000
250,000
450,000
650,000
850,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Sohar Port TEUs Handled
Total Change %
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Sohar Port TEUs
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
(1,500,000)
500,000
2,500,000
4,500,000
6,500,000
8,500,000
Sohar Ports FRTs of Containers
FRT Cont Change%
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 12 of 26
Figure 12: Sohar Port – TEUs / Vessel Calls (20)
Figure 12 shows the vessel calls to Sohar Port and
TEUs. The number of vessel calls has been growing
since 2014 due to the closure of the Port of Sultan
Qaboos, Muscat. Nevertheless, the number of TEUs
carried by vessels for the port has been declining
since 2017 except in the year 2021. The average
number of TEUs per vessel call for the Sohar Port for
the years 2018 and 2019 were 1,409 TEUs and 1,281
TEUs, respectively, and 1,193 in 2020. In 2021, the
TEUs per vessel jumped to 1,371 TUEs per vessel.(20)
The number of container vessels handled by the
Sohar Port in 2021 dropped by 21% to 529 ships
compared to 672 ships in 2020.
Figure 13: Volumes & Shares of 40ft and 20ft containers at Sohar Port (20)
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Sohar Port - Container Ships & TEUs
Vessels TEUs/Vessel TEUs Linear (Vessels)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
20ft 56% 54% 57% 51% 49% 47% 50% 44% 43% 43%
40ft 44% 46% 43% 49% 51% 53% 50% 56% 57% 57%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Sohar Port - Containers % of 40ft and 20ft
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Sohar Port - Containers 40ft and 20ft
40ft 20ft
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 13 of 26
Charts in figure 13 show the container-size mix of
percentage shares of 40ft containers and 20ft
containers handled by the container terminal.(20)
The graphs show the percentage of each container
type. Over the years, the share of 40ft containers
percentage has been increasing. This causes a
shortage of 20ft containers, which are mainly used
for exports from Oman. The percentage share of
40ft containers has been growing since 2016,
reaching 57% in the last three years, primarily used
for imports.
5.2 Break-bulk, Dry-Bulk and RoRo Terminal at Sohar Port
The break-bulk, dry-bulk, and RORO terminal is
managed and operated by C. Steinweg Oman
company. The company was established in early
2004. (17) (20)
The dry bulk mainly includes grain,
minerals, and aggregate. The break-bulk includes
timber and steel, in addition to project cargo and
RoRo cargo. Steinweg also handles RoRo. The iron
ore is handled by Vale Company through a
dedicated jetty. The terminal has gained significant
momentum in volumes in 2014 as Port Sultan
Qaboos came to full commercial closure.
Figure 14: Photos of Sohar Port General Cargo Terminal and Vale Jetty (14) (17)
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 14 of 26
Dry Bulk at Sohar Port:
The quarterly dry bulk volumes handled at Sohar Port are shown in the charts in figure 15.
Figure 15: Dry Bulk volumes handled by C. Steinweg Terminal at Sohar Port (20)
The Dry Bulk Terminal has been experiencing a continuous growth of CAGR of 12.5% since 2017, except for the
year 2021, which had an over 1% increase. In 2021, it handled over 37.6 million metric tons, a growth of about
1.2% compared to 2020 despite the pandemic impacts. (20)
Break Bulk at Sohar Port:
Figure 16: Break-Bulk volumes handled by C. Steinweg Terminal at Sohar Port (20)
The breakbulk cargo volumes are shown above in the charts in figure 16 shows a slight impact. (20)
Despite the
Covid-19 impacts and the decrease by only 2%. However, as in other cargo, the overall volumes have kept falling
since 2017. Therefore, the breakbulk trade performance should prompt a more detailed analysis of the future
expected volumes and percentage of growth.
(1,000,000)
1,000,000
3,000,000
5,000,000
7,000,000
9,000,000
11,000,000
13,000,000
Sohar Port - Dry Bulk (MT)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
Sohar Port - Dry Bulk (MT)
Tons Change%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
Sohar Port Break Bulk
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Sohar Port Break Bulk - Tons
Tons Change%
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 15 of 26
RORO at Sohar Port:
The RORO cargo terminal at Sohar Port is
considered the main sea import and re-export for
the whole of Oman. Therefore, the volumes are
considered the main volumes for Oman in addition
to the land border shipments. The terminal has
handled the following over the years since its
commencement in 2004.
Figure 17: RORO volumes handled by C. Steinweg Terminal at Sohar Port (20)
The chart clearly shows the massive jump in
volumes in 2014 and 2015 due to the closure of
commercial operations at Port of Sultan Qaboos in
Muscat. However, the volumes seem to have
started to decline over the later years. This could be
due to the increase in land border shipments and
the decline in the oil prices, which Oman’s economy
is heavily dependent on. The Corona Pandemic even
deepened the decline in the years 2020 and 2021 by
almost 40%. In 2021, the terminal handled 245
vessels, 71,561 units, compared to 296 ships and
114,595 units in 2019. The figures in 2021 are below
the figures of 2012 in terms of the number of units.
5.3 Liquid Terminal
The liquid terminal is managed and operated by the
Oiltanking Terminals Company. It has 66 tanks with
a capacity of 1,395,278 CBM. The Jetty capacities
can handle 120,000 DWT. (16) (20)
The products
handled include petroleum, petrochemical, and
gases products.
Figure 18: Oiltanking Liquid Terminal at Sohar Port (16) (20)
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Sohar Port - RORO
FRT Units Vessels
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Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 16 of 26
Figure 19: Volumes handled by Liquid Terminal at Sohar Port (14) (18)
Despite the drop in the 4th
quarter, the overall year
2020 and 2021 performances have been slightly
better, with an increase of 6% and 4%, respectively,
after a decline of 16% in 2019.(16) (20)
The liquid
terminal has not experienced any significant growth
as the overall range has been around 16 million CBM
since 2012 except for 2016, when it has almost hit
19 million CBM.
Figure 20: Sohar Port – Liquid Terminal Volumes/vessels (16) (20)
The average liquid vessel’s calls have been 831 ships
since 2012.(20)
The volume per vessel has been
around 20,000 CBM on average. The number of
vessels and volumes continue to fluctuate over the
years. Despite the decline in vessels’ calls by 8% and
11% in 2020 and 2021, the volume per ship grew by
15% in 2020 and 17% in 2021. However, no
substantial and sustainable growth is expected for
this terminal despite having Oman’s main oil
refinery inside the Port; Sohar Refinery. Therefore,
the business potentials of the liquid terminal are
high and need to be explored by the government.
-
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
Sohar Port Liquid Bulk
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
Sohar Port - Liquid Terminal volumes
CBM Change%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Sohar Port - Liquid Terminal
Volumes/Ships
CBM Ships CBM per Ship
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 17 of 26
6. Salalah Port
Salalah Port is located far south of Oman on the
Indian Ocean. It has developed itself to be one of the
major deep-sea ports and among the world's top
efficient ports in handling the containers’ moves.
The port is managed by the Port of Salalah
Company, which is the only public port company in
Oman, after the liquidation of Port Services
Corporation. All terminals at the port are managed
and operated by APM Terminals with a 30% stake in
the company. (1) (3) (14)(19)
The port has all types of
cargo handling berths. The main one is the
container terminal. Other terminals include general
cargo and liquid terminals. The port commenced
operations in 1998. It is considered the main mega
port in Oman and one of the biggest and most
efficient in the region to handle transshipment
cargo.(19)
Figure 21: Salalah Port (Google map), managed by APM
Terminals (9)
6.1 Container Terminal - Salalah Port:
The container terminal is the heart of the Salalah
port. The transshipment container operation is the
mainstay of the port business. The port has
experienced continuous growth with double-digit
growth year-on-year during 2003-2010. The main
success factors, according to the Port of Salalah, are
the location advantages, congestion-free deep-sea
berths, competitive service level, and consistently
high productivity.
The container terminal has handled the following
TEU volumes since it commenced operations in
1998 (see figure 22). (19)
Most of the handling has
been for transshipment containers.
Figure 22: Container Terminal at Salalah Port(1) (19)
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Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 18 of 26
Figure 23: Containers TEUs handled at Salalah Port (19)
Salalah Port has enjoyed steady growth for the first
ten years from its commencement of operations in
1998. The fluctuation started in 2009, though the
last two years, 2019 and 2020, have increased the
volumes handled by the port. The year 2018 had a
significant drop of 14%, while 2019 had a
considerable increase of 18%, and the year 2020
grew by 6%. (19)
The port’s performance during the
pandemic is record-breaking as it has achieved its
best figures since it started the operations. As the
Salalah Port mainly handles transshipment
containers, the growth is primarily due to the
transshipment traffic. The continued growth in 2021
is expected to be a challenging goal as the
coronavirus's pressure on businesses and
consumers continues.
The quarterly analysis of container volumes (see
charts in figure 24) (19)
shows the first quarter
handled about 28% more than the previous year,
while the second quarter handled almost the same
(but last year had over 12% growth). The third
quarter declined by around 3%. Though the first
quarter of 2020 had exceptional growth compared
with the previous year, the second and third
quarters had declining figures, while the fourth
quarter grew by 10%. The overall year 2020
performance was higher by 6% compared to 2019,
and it is considered the best performance since the
inception of the port operations.
Figure 24: Quarterly Containers TEUs handled at Salalah Port (19)
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
Salalah Port - TUEs TEUs Change %
(300,000)
200,000
700,000
1,200,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - Containers per Quarter
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
(500,000)
500,000
1,500,000
2,500,000
3,500,000
4,500,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - TUEs
TEUs Change %
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 19 of 26
6.2 General Cargo Terminal – Salalah Port
The general cargo terminal handles a wide range of vessel types and various types of products; dry bulk and
break-bulk cargo. The main products handled by this terminal include limestone, cement, livestock, project
cargo, and other dry bulk commodities.
Figure 25: General Cargo Terminal at Salalah Port (19)
The general cargo terminal has had sturdy growth volumes over the years since the inception of the operations
in 1998. The below chart shows the growth success story in the last few years. However, the general cargo
volumes are expected to face significant challenges in 2020 due to the overall impact of coronavirus.
Figure 26: General Cargo Volumes handled at Salalah Port (19)
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - Dry Bulk and Break Bulk Cargo
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - Dry Bulk and Break Bulk Cargo
Salalah Port - Dry Bulk and Break Bulk Cargo Change %
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 20 of 26
The overall operations are divided into two categories; dry-bulk & break-bulk cargo and bagged cargo. The dry-
bulk and break-bulk cargos have been rising, but the Covid-19 seems to have negatively impacted the total
volumes handled in 2020 despite the increase in the last three quarters.
Figure 27: General Cargo Volumes handled at Salalah Port (19)
The bagged cargo at Salalah Port has also enjoyed
significant growth over the years, with an
exceptional big drop in 2017 by 47%. The overall
bagged cargo to be handled in 2020 grew by 14%.(19)
6.3 Liquid Terminal – Salalah Port
The liquid Terminal at Salalah Port is also operated
by APM Terminals. It is a deep-sea liquid terminal.
This has helped to improve the overall port capacity
and performance.
Figure 28: Liquid Terminal at Salalah Port (19)
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - Bagged Cargo
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - Bagged Cargo
Bagged Cargo Change %
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 21 of 26
Figure 29: General Cargo Volumes handled at Salalah Port (19)
The overall performance of the liquid terminal has
been very volatile. Initially, it started with a growth
trend but started to drop from the last year, 2019.
With new connectivity being constructed by OQ of
the new pipelines directly with the port will
definitely drive growth in the volumes. Hence, an
increase in volumes handled by Salalah Port is
envisioned in the coming years.
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - Liquid Terminal
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2,000,000
2,100,000
2,200,000
2,300,000
2,400,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Salalah Port - Liquid Terminal
Liquid Change %
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 22 of 26
7. The Shipping Rates
The major trading and logistics means are sea
shipments. The shipping routes and rates, in
general, have been stable and manageable by the
operators and businesses. However, due mainly to
the coronavirus pandemic, the supply chain has
been immensely disrupted, and the shipping rates
experienced unprecedented hikes starting from the
second half of 2020. The below chart shows the
sudden hike in the rates. The rates are from
Shanghai Containerized Freight Index. (7)
Figure 30: Containerized Freight Rates (7)
The profound disruptions in the supply chain and
shipping routes and manpower availability have
caused the rates to rise over 200% within six
months. The global rates reached as high as $9,000,
while for containers from Asia to USA West Coast,
the cost reached over $15,000 and over $16,000 for
the East Coast. (7)
The causes come from a wide
range of sources. The buying habits have changed
due to the government restrictions on businesses
and working hours to control the spread of the virus.
The shipping lines re-routed the vessels and
containers to bigger markets with a focus on
medical and food-related products. To deliver these
critical items, many containers were sent to
countries that were far from the regular shipping
and trading routes, causing a more significant
impact on the containers' availability and cost of
moving empty containers. On the other hand, the
shipping lines and the port operators have been
facing challenges in managing the workforce as a
significant number of them were affected by the
virus or quarantined. On the supply side, severe
disruption happened to the manufacturing plant
operations and supply of some critical parts through
the value chain. All these factors have led to further
increasing the pressure on the operations and
efficiency in addition to inflation in the expenses
and the costs.
Moreover, in the last few years, the shipping line
industry has started to restructure through mergers
648
827 834 819
1,233
5,046
-
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,250
3,500
3,750
4,000
4,250
4,500
4,750
5,000
5,250
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51
Shanghai Containerized Freight Index
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Avg 2016 Avg 2017 Avg 2018 Avg2019 2020 2021
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 23 of 26
and alliances in order to reduce costs and improve
the efficiency of better utilization of the resources.
The following are the main three ocean carrier
alliances:(2) (11) (21) (22)
The Alliance Shipping Lines HQ No of Ships Capacity TEUs Market
Share
2M Alliance: Maersk Line Denmark 733 4,097,898 16.9%
32.9% MSC Switzerland 579 3,860,388 16.0%
Ocean Alliance: COSCO & OOCL China 503 3,022,882 12.5%
30.3% CMA CGM France 570 3,015,485 12.5%
Evergreen Taiwan 195 1,279,412 5.3%
The Alliance: Hapag-Lloyd Germany 240 1,730,615 7.2%
19.3% ONE Japan 218 1,577,156 6.5%
Yang Ming Taiwan 92 623,148 2.6%
HMM South Korea 72 719,026 3.0%
Figure 31: Major Shipping Liners (2) (4) (11) (21) (22)
These shipping liners control almost 82.5% of the
total ocean container capacity. The 2M Alliance
controls 32.9% of the total container shipping
capacity. The Ocean Alliance manages over 30.1%,
while The Alliance manages 19.3% of the total
capacity. The total global capacity of container
vessels is estimated at 24.1 million TEUs.
7. The future
Due to the coronavirus pandemic's negative impact,
the pressure on both demand and freight rates
continues. Exceptional uncertainty still is the name
of the game for the coming months and possibly
coming years. The volatility of demand and supply
continues with no clear vaccine for coronavirus.
Recent extreme hikes in the freight rates around the
globe raise prodigious concerns on the cost of goods
traded among countries.
Despite the drop in 2020 by over 3.4%, the year
2021 has shown great resilience with a growth of
over 6% is estimated reaching to 827 million TEUs.
As supply chain disruption continues, the rates have
hiked to record levels and may not come down at
the foreseen months. The ports need to overcome
the disruption created by the pandemic and find a
competitive advantage through more efficient and
smooth operations and less congestions in handling
the containers and managing the ship turnaround
time. Ports need to properly manage the resources
in the short term and plan investments for the long
term very carefully so they can avoid incurring
additional expenses while not missing new
opportunities as the demand and supply are
expected to increase over the coming months.
According to Drewry and UNCTAD reports, the
container volumes faced a contraction of 3.2% in
2020, mainly because of the Coronavirus Pandemic,
while the year 2021 estimates a growth of 6.7%. (6)
(21) (22)
It is also forecasted that the coming years
would have continuous container handling growth
by the ports, with an annual growth of over 4%.
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 24 of 26
Figure 32: Drewry and UNCTAD Reports 2021 & 2022 on World TEUs volumes current and future estimates (6) ( 22)
Omani ports are well established as deep-sea ports.
They are strategically located on the Indian Ocean.
Sohar Port is strategically located outside the Strait
of Hormuz, connecting the Gulf to the region and
the world. It is the main industrial and commercial
port of Oman. The port needs to be more proactive
to attract more international direct routes and
larger mother vessels. Sohar Ports is also well
connected through its hinterland to GCC countries
and beyond.
Salalah Port is the largest port in Oman, with a
capacity of 5 million TEUs.(17)
The majority of
business in Salalah Port comprises transshipment
containers. Therefore, the port needs to be more
competitive to attract more transshipment lines
and support the local exports and imports with
competitive rates and services. Salalah Port is also
well connected through a bonded-land-road lane to
Yemen's huge market through Mazunah Dry Port.
Duqm Port is the latest deep-sea port to join Sohar
and Salalah ports. The port is operational while it
needs to complete its entire infrastructure and
equipment required to operate with full capacity.
The port is part of the mega economic city, Special
Economic Zone at Duqm. The zone houses mega
projects, such as the Duqm refinery and crude oil
storage facilities.
The ports need to study the future of the mother
vessels. In recent years, the capacity of vessels and
size have grown massively. The vessel capacity
jumped from 15,000 TEUs to close to 24,000 TEUs in
just a few years. HMM has the biggest Triple E
vessels (also called MegaMax), with a capacity of
24,000 TEUs. The Triple E (EEE) stands for
Economies of scale, Energy efficiency, and
Environmentally friendly. The average size of a
Triple-E Class ship is about 400 meters in length, 60
to 73 meters in width to accommodate over 25
container rows and over 54 meters in height. (8)
The
ports need to plan how to handle such sizes that
need new cranes that reach further and higher.
Other areas of concern are new technologies and
faster speed in operations to achieve a shorter
turnaround time for the ships.
622 642
675 684 700
738
784 802 775
827
870
908
945
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021* 2022* 2023* 2024*
Container throughput at ports worldwide with forecast*
(in million TEUs)
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 25 of 26
Figure 33: HMM’s Triple E vessel and Salalah Port (9) (19)
It is a good time for Oman to take the opportunities
that arise from the challenges and attract more new
investments and maritime routes to its world-class
ports that enjoy excellent and excellent free zones
and economic zones attached to them. The Omani
ports need to manage capacity and mitigate the
expenses while marketing the services and
incentives to current and potential clients. Asyad
Group and the newly established government
agency, Public Authority for Special Economic Zones
and Free Zones, have a significant role to play in
developing and facilitating potential opportunities
for investors and businesses, thus enhancing Oman
as a great and attractive logistics hub in the region.
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi
Member of Omani Economic Association
February 2022
Twitter: @MahmoodAlbalus4
LinkedIn: Mahmood-Albalushi
Email: mahmoodsakhi@almadinalogistics
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI
Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance
Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 26 of 26
References:
1. apmterminals.com
2. alphaliner.com
3. Asyad.om
4. Container-news.com
5. Customs.gov.om
6. drewry.co.uk
7. en.sse.net.cn/indices/scfinew.jsp
8. Freightos.com
9. google.com/maps/
10. hmm21.com
11. hutchisonports.com
12. Jindalshadeed.com
13. Joc.com
14. maersk.com
15. NCSI.gov.om
16. oiltanking.com
17. Oman.Steinweg.com
18. portofduqm.om
19. SalalahPort.com
20. SoharPortAndFreeZone.com
21. worldbank.org
22. unctad.org

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Oman's Economy and Port Performance During Covid

  • 1. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 1 of 26 Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 (with the focus on the trade and seaports’ performance) Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi Member of Omani Economic Association Updated February 2022 This report is an update of a series analyzing the Omani economic performance focusing on the trade and seaports performance. The numbers are updated with the latest figures and revised forecasts based on the latest data and information for the fourth quarter of 2021. In addition, the report analyzes how the coronavirus pandemic has immensely affected the ports’ and economy’s overall performance as it did to other countries. The report focuses on the Salalah and Sohar Port in addition to the general GDP and trade performance. 1. Introduction: The Covid-19 pandemic has enormously disrupted nearly all business sectors. One of the major and important sectors that were hit significantly by the pandemic is the logistics and the supply chains sector. Since logistics is the artery of economies and trade, it has also been a critical part and vital success support factor to sustain the economies during the current Coronavirus crisis and enable the best possible supply chain connectivity for the trade and exchange of goods between countries. The primary entry/exit points of countries are managed through land borders, airports, and seaports. The domestic operations are handled by logistics service providers. With the outbreak of the coronavirus at the end of 2019, the world started to slow down as governments began to lock down businesses and limit all accessibilities to and from their countries. In Oman, the government and the private sector, as in many other countries, have started very early to mitigate the risks and find solutions and alternatives to combat the Covid-19 negative impacts. Traffics at airports and land borders were more severely affected than the seaports. Seaports played vital roles in keeping the countries connected with the outside world and keeping the imports and exports flowing. Medical and food products have been the major contributors to the transported volumes. This paper analyzes Oman’s economy in terms of GDP, trade, and seaports performance. The focus would be on the primary seaports' performance; Sohar and Salalah. The economic and social challenges continue to be immense during these unprecedented difficult times caused by the Covid- 19 pandemic, which is not only a health crisis but also an economic and social crisis. 2. Asyad Group and the Customs The Omani ports, with the leadership of the Asyad Group that oversees the logistics sector and ports, played a vital role from day one as the coronavirus outbroke. Oman Customs played a pivotal role in supporting and facilitating the trade flow. Asyad and the ports’ management teams have been proactively monitoring the Covid-19 crisis and its impacts on ports’ operations and trade links. The Omani ports have been able to manage the operations very well since the outbreak of the covid- 19 pandemic.
  • 2. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 2 of 26 Asyad Group has proactively coordinated with ports’ administrations in assessing the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on ports’ preparations and facilitating the trade links so that the flow of cargo continues as normal as possible, especially for essential products such as food and medical supplies. Omani ports have managed the operations very well during the first months of the crisis and continue to do so. All ports have worked hard to manage the operations at full capacity while taking strict measures to mitigate the risks of operations and the effects of Covid-19 on the workers' health and those dealing with the ports. (3) The procedures carried out by the Directorate General of Customs have contributed significant positive impacts on the ease and flow of export and import movements.(5) It has facilitated the processes of documents and procedures for customs clearance requirements through the Bayan Electronic System and online transactions. It has also introduced prior and remote customs clearance with excellent flexibility to assist trade flow. The prompt initiatives taken by the Omani Customs have been critical factors in facilitating seamless trading and smooth supply chain operations by the business community. 3. Asyad Group and the Performance of the Ports All seaports have been running full capacity while taking strict safety measurements to mitigate the operations' risks during these tough health crisis times. While taking stringent health and safety measurements, the Omani ports have been able to maintain an uninterrupted flow of goods and commodities. Moreover, despite the difficult times, the ports have been able to develop new direct shipping line routes. According to Asyad, despite these challenging times, the Omani ports were successful in developing 200 direct routes connecting 86 ports in 40 countries.(3) Notwithstanding the reduction in the volumes that is expected during such crisis times, the overall performance is considered commendable. However, the Asyad and ports companies need to evaluate and analyze the reductions if they are temporary and related to the crisis or are long-term and structural.
  • 3. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 3 of 26 Rank Shipping Lines TEUs Ships 1 MSC 4,311,366 654 2 Maersk 4,293,718 738 3 CMA 3,225,807 573 4 COSCO 2,932,595 477 5 Hapag-Lloyd 1,751,870 249 6 ONE 1,527,607 208 7 Evergreen 1,471,496 201 8 HMM 817,300 75 9 Yang Ming Marine 663,862 91 10 Zim 425,323 114 55 Oman Container Line (Asyad) 14,339 4 Figure 1: Alphaliner: Top Operators of world containers in terms of TEUs, 2022 (2) Asyad Group Oman has entered the containership business through its subsidiary Oman Shipping Company under the brand “Oman Container Line (OCL) and “ASYAD.” With chartered 14,339 TEUs, Asyad has achieved the rank 55 in the top 100 container companies published by Alphaliner in February 2022. With this massive capacity, OCL/Asyad, with four container ships, provides an excellent capacity to businesses and traders and helps connect Oman with the world. (2) (3) According to the Asyad Group, the Omani ports have shown remarkable resilience during the Covid- 19 pandemic. The overall ports’ performances during the tough and challenging years 2020 and 2021 have been exceptional. The total containers handled by the main Omani ports, Salalah and Sohar, reached over 5.237 million TEUs, up by 2%. The general cargo terminals in both ports handled over 56 million tons, up by 9.1%, while the liquid terminals handled over 19 million tons, up by 4.1%. Total RORO units handled by the main Sohar Port reached 71,561, down by 4.2% from 2020 and down by 37% from 2019 figures. (3) (16) (17) (19) (20) Figure 2: Sohar and Salalah Ports Performance (3) (16) (17) (19) (20) - 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 TEUs TEUs TEUs 2019 2020 2021 Sohar and Salalah Ports (TEUs Handled) Sohar Port Salalah Port - 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 General Cargo FRT Liquid Cargo FRT Sohar and Salalah Ports (General & Liquid Cargos Handled FRTs) Sohar Port Salalah Port
  • 4. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 4 of 26 4. The GDP Performance The impact of coronavirus has been significant on all economic aspects. Oman is having its share of the impact of the coronavirus. The labor market, which comprises of expatriates as the majority, has started to see the effects of economic slowdown due to the lockdowns and low demand. Figure 3: Oman GDP and Fiscal Budgets trends(Oman revised GDP calculations for 2020 and 2021) (15) Figure 3 above shows the trends in the GDP and the fiscal budget figures (please note Oman revised GDP calculation 2020 and 2021). The drops-in oil prices since 2014 have had visible results on the fiscal budget and the GDP. The budget multiplier on the GDP has been 2.2 on average; however, expected to increase as the oil prices started rising since 2021.(15) Figure 4 below shows the workforce (Omani and Expatriates) trend compared to the GDP sectors trends over the last 17 years. (15) The trends show a strong correlation between the workforce and GDP. It shows that the economic growth has propelled the growth in the overall workforce, but mainly in the expatriate workforce category. In contrast, the Omani workforce remained almost constant (very trivial growth compared to the annual numbers entering the job market) over the last 17 years. Over the last 17 years, the yearly average increase of Omanis in the private sector has been around 10,600, compared to 58,000 for expatriates. In general, both types had an average of 7% increase over the last 17 years. The latest five-year plan (2016-2020) has created about 45,134 new jobs for Omanis (an average of 9,000 per year). This figure is low due too to the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 as Omanis reduced by almost 7,500. The figure for 2021 shows an increase in Omanis in the private sector by over 12,000, reaching 266,799 Omanis compared to 262,000 Omanis at the end of 2019. For expatriates, the numbers were declining after hitting a record high in 2017. This could be due to the late effect of oil prices decline which has a direct impact on Oman’s fiscal expenditures. However, in 2020, and because of the Coronavirus Pandemic, 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.6 - 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Oman GDP and Fiscal Expenditures (R.O. million) GDP Fiscal Budget GDP to Budget
  • 5. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 5 of 26 the expatriates' number dropped drastically. The statistics show a drop of about 270,000 in expatriates workforce in the private sector. It continued in 2021 with an additional drop of over 33,000, resulting in 1,409,473 expatriates in the private sector by the end of 2021. A drop of 18% since the start of the pandemic. With the high numbers of job seekers augmented by new annual job seekers entering the labor market, the officials seriously need to evaluate the causes and find realistic solutions. The natural growth trend should have been the same for Omanis and expatriates. Another crucial point to study is the drop in the expatriate workforce over the last four years since 2017, not just during the last two years due to the pandemic. Figure 4: Oman Private Sector’s Workforce compared with GDP sub-sectors trends (15) The chart also analyzes the GDP sub-sectors trends compared with the workforce mix. The numbers show that GDP grew mainly because of crude petroleum (caused by high oil prices, not the production), services activities, and industrial activities. Despite the significant drop in oil prices since the end of 2014, the overall GDP continued to grow, supported by the Services Activities and Industrial Activities. With these two sectors as prime drivers for GDP increase, the workforce had seen similar growth but only in the expatriates' category, while Omanis experienced a slight increase. It means the economy has been able to create jobs. The government needs to analyze the 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 GDP R.O. Million GDP sub-sectors and Private Sector Workforce mix Omani-Private Sector Expatriate-Private Sector Crude Petroleum Natural Gas Agriculture & Fishing Industry Activities Services Activities
  • 6. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 6 of 26 actual reasons why jobs were not suitable for Omanis or why Omanis were not suitable for the jobs; or was that the laws and regulations of the labor market were not suitable. The estimated high GDP figures in 2021 are due mainly to high oil prices, which are expected to continue in 2022. The government needs to work on enhancing the return on the excess revenue generated from higher oil prices compared to the budget figures to create a more dynamic and competitive economy. Figure 5: Oman’s GDP Main Sectors’ Trends and Covid’s Effect (15) Charts in figure 5 show the trends of main Oman’s GDP sectors over the past years. Crude oil has been highly volatile. It had reached its peak during the period from 2010 to 2014 when it started to drop drastically.(15) It has completely disrupted all development plans. Natural Gas has come at the right time to compensate slightly but growing for the oil drop. It has had consistent growth, though it has started to drop since 2018. The Services and Industrial Activities charts show a correlation with the oil and gas contribution to the overall GDP. On the other side, the Agricultural & Fisheries Activities show continuous growth despite the drop in other sectors. It indicates that some activities do not necessarily get linked with the changes in the major sectors in the GDP and can be a growth sector for the economy in the long term. The agriculture & Fisheries sector needs to have more attention from the development planners so it may add more value to the overall economic growth. - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 Crude Petroleum (R.O. Million) - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Natural Gas (R.O. Million) - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Services Activities (R.O. Million) - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Industry Activities (R.O. Million) - 200 400 600 800 1,000 Agriculture & Fishing (R.O. Million)
  • 7. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 7 of 26 4. General Performance of Exports and Imports Balance of Trade is one of the primary indicators that help gauge countries’ economic health quality and strength. When exports value is more than imports value, it is viewed that the country’s economy enjoys a positive balance of trade. While higher imports’ value compared to the exports’ value is considered as a trade deficit. Oman enjoys a positive balance of trade primarily due to the sale of crude oil and gas. Therefore, we need to analyze the balance trade in terms of other than the contribution of oil and gas in the trade. This will give us a better understanding of the economy and productivity. The below charts in figure 6 show the trends in Exports (non-oil), Re-Exports, and Imports.(15) With the drop in the oil prices since 2014, the exports, imports, and re-exports all have been negatively affected and expected to drop further, as shown in the charts in figure 6. All types of trade have lessened since 2017. Though the pandemic deepened the decline of all trade performance, the year 2021 figures based on the first three quarters show a significant increase in the overall numbers both in exports and imports. (15) The main drivers in the non-oil & gas exports are minerals, chemicals, and metal. For the imports, the main drivers are minerals, chemicals, food, and equipment. Figure 6: Oman’s Non-Oil Exports, Imports, and Re-Exports (15) The below charts in figure 7 show trends of imports by point of entry from 2017 to 2021. The 2021 figures are estimates based on the first three quarters in terms of value and tonnage. The trends show significant hikes expected in 2021. 23% 21% 26% 19% 23% 20% 19% 16% 22% 13% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e Non-Oil Exports, Imports & Re-Exports Non-Oil Export Import Re-Export Net Import Re-Export % of Imports
  • 8. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 8 of 26 Figure 7: Oman’s Imports by point of entry in terms of value and tonnage in 1st half of 2020 (15) The sea and land trades have shown exceptional performance during 2021 in terms of value and tonnage. The air cargo movement has been the most hit by Covid-19 as most countries imposed complete lockdown and restriction on air travel, except for emergency and pharmaceutical products. All cargo types were hit by coronavirus during 2020 but started to rebound in 2021. During the first three quarters of 2021, the sea cargo reached 23,180 tons compared to 15,771 tons for the same period in 2020, a jump of 47%. The land cargo also jumped by 10% for the same period, from 5,619 tons in 2021 to 5,076 tons in 2020. (15) Figure 8: Oman’s Trade Balance with and without Crude Oil Values (15) The above charts in figure 8 show that the positive trade balance is mainly due to the export of crude oil.(15) Once the value of crude oil exports is excluded, the trade balance shows apparent deficits. The total imports started to decline since 2014 as the result of oil prices decline since then. From 2017, the exports of liquified natural gas regained what they have lost in 2015 and 2016, with an over 50% drop. The non-oil products remained at an average of R.O. 3.3 billion from 2012 to 2020. The - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Sea (000 Tons) Land (000 Tons) Air (000 Tons) Imports by Tons '000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Sea (RO million) Land (RO million) Air (RO million) Imports by Value R.O million 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e Trade Balance (R.O. million) Trade Balance Exp: Non-Oil Products Exp: Crude Oil Exp: Refined Oil Exp: Liquified Gas Re-Export Total Import (6,000) (4,000) (2,000) - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e Trade Balance (R.O. million) excluding crude oil Trade Balance Exp: Refined Oil Exp: Liquified Gas Exp: Non-Oil Products Re-Export Total Import
  • 9. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 9 of 26 re-exports started to decline since 2014 when it almost touched R.O. 3 billion, and then dropped to R.O. 1.4 billion in 2019, and expect to reach R.O. 1.5 billion in 2020. The trade balance, including crude oil, has been positive at the rate of 32% of the exports over the years from 2012 to 2020. In comparison, the rate is negative at an average of 41% when crude oil is not considered in the exports. The negative rate of 41% is very high and should push the country to seriously work on developing and diversifying its export industries. 5. Sohar Port Performance Sohar Port is considered the main industrial and commercial port for Oman. About 60% of all cargo of the country moves through it. (3) (16) (17) (20) The Sohar industrial port's overall area is managed by Sohar Industrial Port Company, a 50:50 joint venture company between the Government of Oman and the Port of Rotterdam through the landlord concept.(3) (20) The Sohar Port is considered one of the major deep-sea ports in the region and can handle the largest container vessels alongside Salalah Port in the South of Oman. It is strategically located on the Gulf of Oman and easily reachable from and to major economies in the region such as GCC, the Indian subcontinent, and eastern Africa. It is also on the main maritime routes between the East and the West, as well as Africa. The port was developed to be Oman’s main industrial port in addition to the handling of all commercial cargo and to replace the Sultan Qaboos Port in Muscat. It has started its operations in 2004. (3) (9) (20) The port cargos’ terminals are managed and operated by three companies. The container terminal is managed and operated by Oman International Container Terminal (managed by Hutchison Ports). The dry bulk and break-bulk terminals are managed by C. Steinweg Oman Company. The liquid terminal is managed and operated by Oiltanking Terminal & Company. Figure 9: The overall view of Sohar Industrial Port (20) Sohar Port is the main industrial and commercial port for Oman. On average, it handles over 60% of Oman’s imports, over 40% of exports, and over 80% of re-exports volumes. (9) (20)
  • 10. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 10 of 26 Figure 10: Overall imports and exports through Sohar Port in 2020 (9) (20) Since the shift of the country’s main commercial port from Sultan Qaboos Port at Muscat to Sohar Port in 2014, vessel calls on overall have been increasing year on year. Figure 11: Sohar Port – Vessel Calls (9) (20) The total number of vessels handled by Sohar Port has started to grow since 2015, mainly shifting from the Port of Sultan Qaboos in Muscat. Though the number of vessel calls started to drop in 2019 and 2020 but improved in 2021 despite the pandemic, the volume continues to grow, with about 7% growth in the volume and number of total vessels in 2021.(9) (20) The main drivers for the increase were the dry bulk, liquid bulk, and anchoring services. On the other hand, containers, breakbulk, and RORO had a decrease in terms of FRTs. 5.1 Container Terminal at Sohar Port The container terminal company at Sohar Port, Oman International Container Terminal Company, was established in 2005.(3)(20) It is a subsidy of Hutchison Ports, which is part of CK Hutchison Holdings. It is dedicated to handling containerized cargo. The Twenty-foot Equivalent Containers (TEUs) handled by the Sohar Port are shown in the below charts.(20) The overall TEUs handled by the container terminal has been decreasing since 2018. Sohar Port experienced exceptional growth starting the 2nd half of 2014 as a result of the closure of commercial operations at Sultan Qaboos Port in Muscat on 31st August 2014. The growth continued till 2017. Since then, the volumes have started to decline. Despite the challenges to the demand and supply created by the coronavirus pandemic, Sohar Port has achieved a slight increase of about 1% compared to the year 2019 total TEUs. Still, there was roughly a 10% drop in 2021 in terms of TEUs and 21% in vessels compared to 2020. 60% 40% 80% Imports Exports Re-Exports Oman's Imports, Exports, & Re-Exports (2020) Sohar Port Others - 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 60,000,000 70,000,000 - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Sohar Port - Total Vessels Calls and FRTs Vessels FRT
  • 11. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 11 of 26 Figure 12: Sohar Port annual TEUs handled, 2020 Total is estimated based on the first three quarters’ figures (20) Charts in Figure 12 show the trends of the quarterly number of TEUs and FRTs handled by Sohar Port. The containers and the volumes have continued to decline over the last four years. The Q4 of 2021 dropped by 25% compared to Q4 of 2020 and 10% for the whole year. It seems that the year 2021 shows the impact of the pandemic on the business as volumes kept decreasing over the quarters since the last year-end. The years 2020 and 2021 have been very challenging as many started to feel the immense cashflow pressures due to the low business operations and, in some cases, the operational pressure of generating no income. 6% 58% 62% 15% 36% -2% -4% 1% -10% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% (150,000) 50,000 250,000 450,000 650,000 850,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sohar Port TEUs Handled Total Change % - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 Sohar Port TEUs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% (1,500,000) 500,000 2,500,000 4,500,000 6,500,000 8,500,000 Sohar Ports FRTs of Containers FRT Cont Change%
  • 12. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 12 of 26 Figure 12: Sohar Port – TEUs / Vessel Calls (20) Figure 12 shows the vessel calls to Sohar Port and TEUs. The number of vessel calls has been growing since 2014 due to the closure of the Port of Sultan Qaboos, Muscat. Nevertheless, the number of TEUs carried by vessels for the port has been declining since 2017 except in the year 2021. The average number of TEUs per vessel call for the Sohar Port for the years 2018 and 2019 were 1,409 TEUs and 1,281 TEUs, respectively, and 1,193 in 2020. In 2021, the TEUs per vessel jumped to 1,371 TUEs per vessel.(20) The number of container vessels handled by the Sohar Port in 2021 dropped by 21% to 529 ships compared to 672 ships in 2020. Figure 13: Volumes & Shares of 40ft and 20ft containers at Sohar Port (20) - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sohar Port - Container Ships & TEUs Vessels TEUs/Vessel TEUs Linear (Vessels) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20ft 56% 54% 57% 51% 49% 47% 50% 44% 43% 43% 40ft 44% 46% 43% 49% 51% 53% 50% 56% 57% 57% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Sohar Port - Containers % of 40ft and 20ft - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 Sohar Port - Containers 40ft and 20ft 40ft 20ft
  • 13. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 13 of 26 Charts in figure 13 show the container-size mix of percentage shares of 40ft containers and 20ft containers handled by the container terminal.(20) The graphs show the percentage of each container type. Over the years, the share of 40ft containers percentage has been increasing. This causes a shortage of 20ft containers, which are mainly used for exports from Oman. The percentage share of 40ft containers has been growing since 2016, reaching 57% in the last three years, primarily used for imports. 5.2 Break-bulk, Dry-Bulk and RoRo Terminal at Sohar Port The break-bulk, dry-bulk, and RORO terminal is managed and operated by C. Steinweg Oman company. The company was established in early 2004. (17) (20) The dry bulk mainly includes grain, minerals, and aggregate. The break-bulk includes timber and steel, in addition to project cargo and RoRo cargo. Steinweg also handles RoRo. The iron ore is handled by Vale Company through a dedicated jetty. The terminal has gained significant momentum in volumes in 2014 as Port Sultan Qaboos came to full commercial closure. Figure 14: Photos of Sohar Port General Cargo Terminal and Vale Jetty (14) (17)
  • 14. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 14 of 26 Dry Bulk at Sohar Port: The quarterly dry bulk volumes handled at Sohar Port are shown in the charts in figure 15. Figure 15: Dry Bulk volumes handled by C. Steinweg Terminal at Sohar Port (20) The Dry Bulk Terminal has been experiencing a continuous growth of CAGR of 12.5% since 2017, except for the year 2021, which had an over 1% increase. In 2021, it handled over 37.6 million metric tons, a growth of about 1.2% compared to 2020 despite the pandemic impacts. (20) Break Bulk at Sohar Port: Figure 16: Break-Bulk volumes handled by C. Steinweg Terminal at Sohar Port (20) The breakbulk cargo volumes are shown above in the charts in figure 16 shows a slight impact. (20) Despite the Covid-19 impacts and the decrease by only 2%. However, as in other cargo, the overall volumes have kept falling since 2017. Therefore, the breakbulk trade performance should prompt a more detailed analysis of the future expected volumes and percentage of growth. (1,000,000) 1,000,000 3,000,000 5,000,000 7,000,000 9,000,000 11,000,000 13,000,000 Sohar Port - Dry Bulk (MT) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% - 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 35,000,000 40,000,000 Sohar Port - Dry Bulk (MT) Tons Change% - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 Sohar Port Break Bulk Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 Sohar Port Break Bulk - Tons Tons Change%
  • 15. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 15 of 26 RORO at Sohar Port: The RORO cargo terminal at Sohar Port is considered the main sea import and re-export for the whole of Oman. Therefore, the volumes are considered the main volumes for Oman in addition to the land border shipments. The terminal has handled the following over the years since its commencement in 2004. Figure 17: RORO volumes handled by C. Steinweg Terminal at Sohar Port (20) The chart clearly shows the massive jump in volumes in 2014 and 2015 due to the closure of commercial operations at Port of Sultan Qaboos in Muscat. However, the volumes seem to have started to decline over the later years. This could be due to the increase in land border shipments and the decline in the oil prices, which Oman’s economy is heavily dependent on. The Corona Pandemic even deepened the decline in the years 2020 and 2021 by almost 40%. In 2021, the terminal handled 245 vessels, 71,561 units, compared to 296 ships and 114,595 units in 2019. The figures in 2021 are below the figures of 2012 in terms of the number of units. 5.3 Liquid Terminal The liquid terminal is managed and operated by the Oiltanking Terminals Company. It has 66 tanks with a capacity of 1,395,278 CBM. The Jetty capacities can handle 120,000 DWT. (16) (20) The products handled include petroleum, petrochemical, and gases products. Figure 18: Oiltanking Liquid Terminal at Sohar Port (16) (20) - 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 500,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sohar Port - RORO FRT Units Vessels
  • 16. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 16 of 26 Figure 19: Volumes handled by Liquid Terminal at Sohar Port (14) (18) Despite the drop in the 4th quarter, the overall year 2020 and 2021 performances have been slightly better, with an increase of 6% and 4%, respectively, after a decline of 16% in 2019.(16) (20) The liquid terminal has not experienced any significant growth as the overall range has been around 16 million CBM since 2012 except for 2016, when it has almost hit 19 million CBM. Figure 20: Sohar Port – Liquid Terminal Volumes/vessels (16) (20) The average liquid vessel’s calls have been 831 ships since 2012.(20) The volume per vessel has been around 20,000 CBM on average. The number of vessels and volumes continue to fluctuate over the years. Despite the decline in vessels’ calls by 8% and 11% in 2020 and 2021, the volume per ship grew by 15% in 2020 and 17% in 2021. However, no substantial and sustainable growth is expected for this terminal despite having Oman’s main oil refinery inside the Port; Sohar Refinery. Therefore, the business potentials of the liquid terminal are high and need to be explored by the government. - 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 Sohar Port Liquid Bulk Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% - 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 Sohar Port - Liquid Terminal volumes CBM Change% - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 - 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sohar Port - Liquid Terminal Volumes/Ships CBM Ships CBM per Ship
  • 17. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 17 of 26 6. Salalah Port Salalah Port is located far south of Oman on the Indian Ocean. It has developed itself to be one of the major deep-sea ports and among the world's top efficient ports in handling the containers’ moves. The port is managed by the Port of Salalah Company, which is the only public port company in Oman, after the liquidation of Port Services Corporation. All terminals at the port are managed and operated by APM Terminals with a 30% stake in the company. (1) (3) (14)(19) The port has all types of cargo handling berths. The main one is the container terminal. Other terminals include general cargo and liquid terminals. The port commenced operations in 1998. It is considered the main mega port in Oman and one of the biggest and most efficient in the region to handle transshipment cargo.(19) Figure 21: Salalah Port (Google map), managed by APM Terminals (9) 6.1 Container Terminal - Salalah Port: The container terminal is the heart of the Salalah port. The transshipment container operation is the mainstay of the port business. The port has experienced continuous growth with double-digit growth year-on-year during 2003-2010. The main success factors, according to the Port of Salalah, are the location advantages, congestion-free deep-sea berths, competitive service level, and consistently high productivity. The container terminal has handled the following TEU volumes since it commenced operations in 1998 (see figure 22). (19) Most of the handling has been for transshipment containers. Figure 22: Container Terminal at Salalah Port(1) (19)
  • 18. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 18 of 26 Figure 23: Containers TEUs handled at Salalah Port (19) Salalah Port has enjoyed steady growth for the first ten years from its commencement of operations in 1998. The fluctuation started in 2009, though the last two years, 2019 and 2020, have increased the volumes handled by the port. The year 2018 had a significant drop of 14%, while 2019 had a considerable increase of 18%, and the year 2020 grew by 6%. (19) The port’s performance during the pandemic is record-breaking as it has achieved its best figures since it started the operations. As the Salalah Port mainly handles transshipment containers, the growth is primarily due to the transshipment traffic. The continued growth in 2021 is expected to be a challenging goal as the coronavirus's pressure on businesses and consumers continues. The quarterly analysis of container volumes (see charts in figure 24) (19) shows the first quarter handled about 28% more than the previous year, while the second quarter handled almost the same (but last year had over 12% growth). The third quarter declined by around 3%. Though the first quarter of 2020 had exceptional growth compared with the previous year, the second and third quarters had declining figures, while the fourth quarter grew by 10%. The overall year 2020 performance was higher by 6% compared to 2019, and it is considered the best performance since the inception of the port operations. Figure 24: Quarterly Containers TEUs handled at Salalah Port (19) -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 Salalah Port - TUEs TEUs Change % (300,000) 200,000 700,000 1,200,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - Containers per Quarter Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% (500,000) 500,000 1,500,000 2,500,000 3,500,000 4,500,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - TUEs TEUs Change %
  • 19. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 19 of 26 6.2 General Cargo Terminal – Salalah Port The general cargo terminal handles a wide range of vessel types and various types of products; dry bulk and break-bulk cargo. The main products handled by this terminal include limestone, cement, livestock, project cargo, and other dry bulk commodities. Figure 25: General Cargo Terminal at Salalah Port (19) The general cargo terminal has had sturdy growth volumes over the years since the inception of the operations in 1998. The below chart shows the growth success story in the last few years. However, the general cargo volumes are expected to face significant challenges in 2020 due to the overall impact of coronavirus. Figure 26: General Cargo Volumes handled at Salalah Port (19) - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - Dry Bulk and Break Bulk Cargo Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% - 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 14,000,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - Dry Bulk and Break Bulk Cargo Salalah Port - Dry Bulk and Break Bulk Cargo Change %
  • 20. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 20 of 26 The overall operations are divided into two categories; dry-bulk & break-bulk cargo and bagged cargo. The dry- bulk and break-bulk cargos have been rising, but the Covid-19 seems to have negatively impacted the total volumes handled in 2020 despite the increase in the last three quarters. Figure 27: General Cargo Volumes handled at Salalah Port (19) The bagged cargo at Salalah Port has also enjoyed significant growth over the years, with an exceptional big drop in 2017 by 47%. The overall bagged cargo to be handled in 2020 grew by 14%.(19) 6.3 Liquid Terminal – Salalah Port The liquid Terminal at Salalah Port is also operated by APM Terminals. It is a deep-sea liquid terminal. This has helped to improve the overall port capacity and performance. Figure 28: Liquid Terminal at Salalah Port (19) - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - Bagged Cargo Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - Bagged Cargo Bagged Cargo Change %
  • 21. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 21 of 26 Figure 29: General Cargo Volumes handled at Salalah Port (19) The overall performance of the liquid terminal has been very volatile. Initially, it started with a growth trend but started to drop from the last year, 2019. With new connectivity being constructed by OQ of the new pipelines directly with the port will definitely drive growth in the volumes. Hence, an increase in volumes handled by Salalah Port is envisioned in the coming years. - 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - Liquid Terminal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 2,000,000 2,100,000 2,200,000 2,300,000 2,400,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Salalah Port - Liquid Terminal Liquid Change %
  • 22. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 22 of 26 7. The Shipping Rates The major trading and logistics means are sea shipments. The shipping routes and rates, in general, have been stable and manageable by the operators and businesses. However, due mainly to the coronavirus pandemic, the supply chain has been immensely disrupted, and the shipping rates experienced unprecedented hikes starting from the second half of 2020. The below chart shows the sudden hike in the rates. The rates are from Shanghai Containerized Freight Index. (7) Figure 30: Containerized Freight Rates (7) The profound disruptions in the supply chain and shipping routes and manpower availability have caused the rates to rise over 200% within six months. The global rates reached as high as $9,000, while for containers from Asia to USA West Coast, the cost reached over $15,000 and over $16,000 for the East Coast. (7) The causes come from a wide range of sources. The buying habits have changed due to the government restrictions on businesses and working hours to control the spread of the virus. The shipping lines re-routed the vessels and containers to bigger markets with a focus on medical and food-related products. To deliver these critical items, many containers were sent to countries that were far from the regular shipping and trading routes, causing a more significant impact on the containers' availability and cost of moving empty containers. On the other hand, the shipping lines and the port operators have been facing challenges in managing the workforce as a significant number of them were affected by the virus or quarantined. On the supply side, severe disruption happened to the manufacturing plant operations and supply of some critical parts through the value chain. All these factors have led to further increasing the pressure on the operations and efficiency in addition to inflation in the expenses and the costs. Moreover, in the last few years, the shipping line industry has started to restructure through mergers 648 827 834 819 1,233 5,046 - 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2,250 2,500 2,750 3,000 3,250 3,500 3,750 4,000 4,250 4,500 4,750 5,000 5,250 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 Shanghai Containerized Freight Index 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Avg 2016 Avg 2017 Avg 2018 Avg2019 2020 2021
  • 23. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 23 of 26 and alliances in order to reduce costs and improve the efficiency of better utilization of the resources. The following are the main three ocean carrier alliances:(2) (11) (21) (22) The Alliance Shipping Lines HQ No of Ships Capacity TEUs Market Share 2M Alliance: Maersk Line Denmark 733 4,097,898 16.9% 32.9% MSC Switzerland 579 3,860,388 16.0% Ocean Alliance: COSCO & OOCL China 503 3,022,882 12.5% 30.3% CMA CGM France 570 3,015,485 12.5% Evergreen Taiwan 195 1,279,412 5.3% The Alliance: Hapag-Lloyd Germany 240 1,730,615 7.2% 19.3% ONE Japan 218 1,577,156 6.5% Yang Ming Taiwan 92 623,148 2.6% HMM South Korea 72 719,026 3.0% Figure 31: Major Shipping Liners (2) (4) (11) (21) (22) These shipping liners control almost 82.5% of the total ocean container capacity. The 2M Alliance controls 32.9% of the total container shipping capacity. The Ocean Alliance manages over 30.1%, while The Alliance manages 19.3% of the total capacity. The total global capacity of container vessels is estimated at 24.1 million TEUs. 7. The future Due to the coronavirus pandemic's negative impact, the pressure on both demand and freight rates continues. Exceptional uncertainty still is the name of the game for the coming months and possibly coming years. The volatility of demand and supply continues with no clear vaccine for coronavirus. Recent extreme hikes in the freight rates around the globe raise prodigious concerns on the cost of goods traded among countries. Despite the drop in 2020 by over 3.4%, the year 2021 has shown great resilience with a growth of over 6% is estimated reaching to 827 million TEUs. As supply chain disruption continues, the rates have hiked to record levels and may not come down at the foreseen months. The ports need to overcome the disruption created by the pandemic and find a competitive advantage through more efficient and smooth operations and less congestions in handling the containers and managing the ship turnaround time. Ports need to properly manage the resources in the short term and plan investments for the long term very carefully so they can avoid incurring additional expenses while not missing new opportunities as the demand and supply are expected to increase over the coming months. According to Drewry and UNCTAD reports, the container volumes faced a contraction of 3.2% in 2020, mainly because of the Coronavirus Pandemic, while the year 2021 estimates a growth of 6.7%. (6) (21) (22) It is also forecasted that the coming years would have continuous container handling growth by the ports, with an annual growth of over 4%.
  • 24. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 24 of 26 Figure 32: Drewry and UNCTAD Reports 2021 & 2022 on World TEUs volumes current and future estimates (6) ( 22) Omani ports are well established as deep-sea ports. They are strategically located on the Indian Ocean. Sohar Port is strategically located outside the Strait of Hormuz, connecting the Gulf to the region and the world. It is the main industrial and commercial port of Oman. The port needs to be more proactive to attract more international direct routes and larger mother vessels. Sohar Ports is also well connected through its hinterland to GCC countries and beyond. Salalah Port is the largest port in Oman, with a capacity of 5 million TEUs.(17) The majority of business in Salalah Port comprises transshipment containers. Therefore, the port needs to be more competitive to attract more transshipment lines and support the local exports and imports with competitive rates and services. Salalah Port is also well connected through a bonded-land-road lane to Yemen's huge market through Mazunah Dry Port. Duqm Port is the latest deep-sea port to join Sohar and Salalah ports. The port is operational while it needs to complete its entire infrastructure and equipment required to operate with full capacity. The port is part of the mega economic city, Special Economic Zone at Duqm. The zone houses mega projects, such as the Duqm refinery and crude oil storage facilities. The ports need to study the future of the mother vessels. In recent years, the capacity of vessels and size have grown massively. The vessel capacity jumped from 15,000 TEUs to close to 24,000 TEUs in just a few years. HMM has the biggest Triple E vessels (also called MegaMax), with a capacity of 24,000 TEUs. The Triple E (EEE) stands for Economies of scale, Energy efficiency, and Environmentally friendly. The average size of a Triple-E Class ship is about 400 meters in length, 60 to 73 meters in width to accommodate over 25 container rows and over 54 meters in height. (8) The ports need to plan how to handle such sizes that need new cranes that reach further and higher. Other areas of concern are new technologies and faster speed in operations to achieve a shorter turnaround time for the ships. 622 642 675 684 700 738 784 802 775 827 870 908 945 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021* 2022* 2023* 2024* Container throughput at ports worldwide with forecast* (in million TEUs)
  • 25. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 25 of 26 Figure 33: HMM’s Triple E vessel and Salalah Port (9) (19) It is a good time for Oman to take the opportunities that arise from the challenges and attract more new investments and maritime routes to its world-class ports that enjoy excellent and excellent free zones and economic zones attached to them. The Omani ports need to manage capacity and mitigate the expenses while marketing the services and incentives to current and potential clients. Asyad Group and the newly established government agency, Public Authority for Special Economic Zones and Free Zones, have a significant role to play in developing and facilitating potential opportunities for investors and businesses, thus enhancing Oman as a great and attractive logistics hub in the region. Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi Member of Omani Economic Association February 2022 Twitter: @MahmoodAlbalus4 LinkedIn: Mahmood-Albalushi Email: mahmoodsakhi@almadinalogistics
  • 26. Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Ports MAHMOOD SAKIH ALBAUSHI Oman’s Economy Performance During Covid-19 with focus on Trade and Sea Ports Performance Mahmood Sakhi Albalushi – Feb 2022 Page 26 of 26 References: 1. apmterminals.com 2. alphaliner.com 3. Asyad.om 4. Container-news.com 5. Customs.gov.om 6. drewry.co.uk 7. en.sse.net.cn/indices/scfinew.jsp 8. Freightos.com 9. google.com/maps/ 10. hmm21.com 11. hutchisonports.com 12. Jindalshadeed.com 13. Joc.com 14. maersk.com 15. NCSI.gov.om 16. oiltanking.com 17. Oman.Steinweg.com 18. portofduqm.om 19. SalalahPort.com 20. SoharPortAndFreeZone.com 21. worldbank.org 22. unctad.org