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The NHS Five Year Forward View and beyond:
Addressing health inequalities
David Buck (@davidjbuck)
Senior Fellow, Public health and health inequalities, The King’s Fund
26th May 2016
NHS Five Year Plan: Implementation and Progress, 26th May 2016,
Royal National Hotel, London WC1H 0DG
Progress under the coalition?
The Coalition’s record on inequalities in health
Positives Negatives
Legislation in Health and Social Care Act 2012, a new duty on
system to have due regard to inequalities in health
Legislation hasn’t bitten, despite warm words in NHS mandate,
Dept of Health has not held the system to account for
reductions in inequalities in health outcomes
NHS England beginning to use its operational independence –
putting more weight on deprivation in NHS resource allocation
and more focus on representativeness of its own workforce
Historic opportunity missed, NHS England as a monopoly
purchaser of primary care could have been transformative in
focussing primary care on inequalities reduction
Some of the structures are in place, if used. For instance PHE,
local authority role (with funding), Health and Wellbeing
Boards, new legislation
Setting up PHE assumed to “sort inequalities in health” in and
of itself, health premium incentive risible (regardless of views
on desirability), MECC not a national priority
HWBs “get Marmot” (but yet to move to significant action as
opposed to strategic decisions)
Result, a clutch of disconnected, under-powered sub-
strategies, not helped by fragmentation of system leader role
Wider government role inequalities creation, and solution, has
been largely ignored – cross-government sub-committee on
public health (where HIAs could have happened) abolished
“The coalition’s own brief assessment of its record is buried in the
Department of Health’s annual accounts, stating ‘good progress’ has
been made to ‘embed action on inequalities across the system’.
There is some truth in this, including legislative change and the
Workforce Race Equality Standard. But across the term, the lack of a
coherent strategy and translating that into accountability means the
initial rhetoric has not been lived up to.”
Where are we now?
There are multiple routes to supporting the
NHS’ role in tackling inequalities
The health inequalities duty.. and
integration
NHS CB and each clinical commissioning group must
exercise their functions with a view to securing that
health services are provided in an integrated way
where they consider that this would -
(a) [improve quality];
(b) reduce inequalities between persons with respect
to their ability to access those services; or
(c) reduce inequalities between persons with respect to
the outcomes achieved for them by the provision of
those services.”
Measurement, and better multiple ways to
assess progress is key
Mock-up national dashboard
Concerns – national and local persistence
London has areas of persistent significantly low
and significantly high life expectancy over
time.
If in travel to work area of central London
– 46x more likely to have persistently high
life expectancy, all other things equal
– 4x as likely to have low life expectancy,
same basis
Little change in life expectancy and disability-
free life expectancy gap by levels of income
deprivation over time.
The FYFV and beyond:
“Putting the NHS in its place”?
Optimism - getting it right would be good for
the NHS budget
Socioeconomic inequality costs NHS
inpatient services in England £4.8
billion a year, if extrapolated to the
whole NHS budget, £20bn per year.
Over a lifetime, men (women) living
in the most deprived
neighbourhoods cost the NHS 16%
(22%) more than men living in the
most affluent neighbourhoods,
despite having shorter life
expectancies.
Miqdad Asaria, from the Centre for
Health Economics said: “At a time
when the NHS budget is under a
great deal of pressure this study
shows that socioeconomic
inequalities in society are exacting
a huge bill on the health service.
NHS has multiple roles to play in inequality
reduction
Access of course AND…
Wider determinants
of health
Integrated
health and
wider services Our health
behaviours
?
The NHS’ economic power = a massive wider
determinant of health, in place
Heath and fairness commissions…
“Fairness commissions” in 23
places, to June 2015.
Focus on poverty, inequality and
the effects in “place” and those who
are affected and those who can
make a difference.
NHS represented in some, in
various ways, to various extents
but needs to be a corporate citizen.
Liverpool’s Health Commission –
part of the Fairness Commission –
goes far beyond models of
integrated care and sees the NHS
as a key player in a city-wide
strategy to address the
consequences and causes of
poverty.
Sustainability and Transformation Plans
(STPs), devolution and HWBs?
 Yes… place-based
 But... “two maps” and where are HWBs?
 Yes… real opportunities for inequalities
 But... superfast timetables
Wider
determinants of
health
[+Health in All
policies]
Integrated
health, care
& public
health
services
[+PH
contribution]
Our health
behaviours
The NHS maximising its
potential as a massive
economic and social
power in all communities
(e.g. paying the living
wage, using the Social
Value Act, playing a
greater part in civic live)
Policies with a stronger focus
on the links between lifestyles,
their clustering, and the
influence of socio-economics
(e.g. MUP, social norms,
lifestyle impacts in HIAs of
OGD HIAs of wider
determinants)
Greater weight on health and care services role in supporting
lifestyle change (e.g. MECC, 5YFV commitments) and PH role in
diverting from, contribution to and widening definition of, integrated
care
Moving to population
health systems:
A system with a stronger
joint narrative, incentives,
information and leadership
for population health with a
focus on inequality
reduction
Towards a place-based, inequalities focussed
population health system?
Conclusions
Conclusion
Inequalities in health are many and varied, but they can be changed for
the better.
We are doing better than ever at measuring and monitoring them, without
that it is harder to act.
The NHS has multiple roles to play…
– Access to care  reducing inequality in outcomes from that care
– Prevention  for all, not just low-hanging fruit
– Wider determinants  massive potential, including use of SVA
– Joining the dots between the above  not thinking in the usual silos
– Being a better place-based partner than it is now  a social actor
Place-based population health systems are the future, the NHS has a key
role in these, we have to ensure that they have inequalities reduction at
their heart.
Some of our recent thinking, more to come

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David Buck

  • 1. The NHS Five Year Forward View and beyond: Addressing health inequalities David Buck (@davidjbuck) Senior Fellow, Public health and health inequalities, The King’s Fund 26th May 2016 NHS Five Year Plan: Implementation and Progress, 26th May 2016, Royal National Hotel, London WC1H 0DG
  • 2. Progress under the coalition?
  • 3. The Coalition’s record on inequalities in health Positives Negatives Legislation in Health and Social Care Act 2012, a new duty on system to have due regard to inequalities in health Legislation hasn’t bitten, despite warm words in NHS mandate, Dept of Health has not held the system to account for reductions in inequalities in health outcomes NHS England beginning to use its operational independence – putting more weight on deprivation in NHS resource allocation and more focus on representativeness of its own workforce Historic opportunity missed, NHS England as a monopoly purchaser of primary care could have been transformative in focussing primary care on inequalities reduction Some of the structures are in place, if used. For instance PHE, local authority role (with funding), Health and Wellbeing Boards, new legislation Setting up PHE assumed to “sort inequalities in health” in and of itself, health premium incentive risible (regardless of views on desirability), MECC not a national priority HWBs “get Marmot” (but yet to move to significant action as opposed to strategic decisions) Result, a clutch of disconnected, under-powered sub- strategies, not helped by fragmentation of system leader role Wider government role inequalities creation, and solution, has been largely ignored – cross-government sub-committee on public health (where HIAs could have happened) abolished “The coalition’s own brief assessment of its record is buried in the Department of Health’s annual accounts, stating ‘good progress’ has been made to ‘embed action on inequalities across the system’. There is some truth in this, including legislative change and the Workforce Race Equality Standard. But across the term, the lack of a coherent strategy and translating that into accountability means the initial rhetoric has not been lived up to.”
  • 5. There are multiple routes to supporting the NHS’ role in tackling inequalities The health inequalities duty.. and integration NHS CB and each clinical commissioning group must exercise their functions with a view to securing that health services are provided in an integrated way where they consider that this would - (a) [improve quality]; (b) reduce inequalities between persons with respect to their ability to access those services; or (c) reduce inequalities between persons with respect to the outcomes achieved for them by the provision of those services.”
  • 6. Measurement, and better multiple ways to assess progress is key Mock-up national dashboard
  • 7. Concerns – national and local persistence London has areas of persistent significantly low and significantly high life expectancy over time. If in travel to work area of central London – 46x more likely to have persistently high life expectancy, all other things equal – 4x as likely to have low life expectancy, same basis Little change in life expectancy and disability- free life expectancy gap by levels of income deprivation over time.
  • 8. The FYFV and beyond: “Putting the NHS in its place”?
  • 9. Optimism - getting it right would be good for the NHS budget Socioeconomic inequality costs NHS inpatient services in England £4.8 billion a year, if extrapolated to the whole NHS budget, £20bn per year. Over a lifetime, men (women) living in the most deprived neighbourhoods cost the NHS 16% (22%) more than men living in the most affluent neighbourhoods, despite having shorter life expectancies. Miqdad Asaria, from the Centre for Health Economics said: “At a time when the NHS budget is under a great deal of pressure this study shows that socioeconomic inequalities in society are exacting a huge bill on the health service.
  • 10. NHS has multiple roles to play in inequality reduction Access of course AND… Wider determinants of health Integrated health and wider services Our health behaviours ?
  • 11. The NHS’ economic power = a massive wider determinant of health, in place
  • 12. Heath and fairness commissions… “Fairness commissions” in 23 places, to June 2015. Focus on poverty, inequality and the effects in “place” and those who are affected and those who can make a difference. NHS represented in some, in various ways, to various extents but needs to be a corporate citizen. Liverpool’s Health Commission – part of the Fairness Commission – goes far beyond models of integrated care and sees the NHS as a key player in a city-wide strategy to address the consequences and causes of poverty.
  • 13. Sustainability and Transformation Plans (STPs), devolution and HWBs?  Yes… place-based  But... “two maps” and where are HWBs?  Yes… real opportunities for inequalities  But... superfast timetables
  • 14. Wider determinants of health [+Health in All policies] Integrated health, care & public health services [+PH contribution] Our health behaviours The NHS maximising its potential as a massive economic and social power in all communities (e.g. paying the living wage, using the Social Value Act, playing a greater part in civic live) Policies with a stronger focus on the links between lifestyles, their clustering, and the influence of socio-economics (e.g. MUP, social norms, lifestyle impacts in HIAs of OGD HIAs of wider determinants) Greater weight on health and care services role in supporting lifestyle change (e.g. MECC, 5YFV commitments) and PH role in diverting from, contribution to and widening definition of, integrated care Moving to population health systems: A system with a stronger joint narrative, incentives, information and leadership for population health with a focus on inequality reduction Towards a place-based, inequalities focussed population health system?
  • 16. Conclusion Inequalities in health are many and varied, but they can be changed for the better. We are doing better than ever at measuring and monitoring them, without that it is harder to act. The NHS has multiple roles to play… – Access to care  reducing inequality in outcomes from that care – Prevention  for all, not just low-hanging fruit – Wider determinants  massive potential, including use of SVA – Joining the dots between the above  not thinking in the usual silos – Being a better place-based partner than it is now  a social actor Place-based population health systems are the future, the NHS has a key role in these, we have to ensure that they have inequalities reduction at their heart.
  • 17. Some of our recent thinking, more to come