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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                          25th April 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28810. It
                    Gold          Silver          Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)   (5 May-12)      (21 May-12)     moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28807 but managed to
                                                                bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
 Open                 28,810         55,550          5,448      day high of 28944 level. It ended the day with modest gains to
 High                 28,944         56,121          5,502      close at 28873.
 Low                  28,807         55,527          5,445      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                28,873         55,697          5,463      average. These conditions would lead to buying support and short
                                                                covering. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought
 Prev. Close          28,781         55,553          5,443
                                                                zone, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX
 % Change              0.32%         0.26%           0.37%      line and the -DI line are moving sideways, but the +DI line is
                                                                placed at the 33.66 level indicating buyers are gaining strength.
Source – MCX
                                                                MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while
                                                                the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                25500 levels.
                    24/4/2012     23/4/2012         % Chg.
                                                                MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55550. It
 Gold (gms)          26,919.0      30,645.0        -12.16%      moved higher to touch an intra day high of 56121. However, it
 Silver (kgs)         1,402.7       2,091.2        -32.92%      failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day
                                                                low of 55527. It ended the day with modest losses to close at
 Crude (bbl)         10,943.5      10,970.5         -0.25%      55697.
Source – MCX
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The
                                                                ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a
                    24/4/2012     23/4/2012         % Chg.      range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56157, 57737,
                                                                61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 55551, 51029
Gold                777,175.4     879,537.2        -11.64%
                                                                and 50252 levels.
Silver              783,390.0   1,166,415.2        -32.84%
                                                                MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened higher at 5448 level. It
Crude               598,726.9     595,011.9          0.62%      moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5445 but managed to
Source – MCX                                                    bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
                                                                day high of 5502 level. It ended the day flat with modest gains to
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                       close at 5463.

                    25/4/2012     24/4/2012         % Chg.      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                averages. These conditions would lead to buying support.
Gold (oz)            1,641.70      1,643.00         -0.08%
                                                                However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which
Silver (oz)             30.78           30.75        0.09%      would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX
Crude (bbl)           103.70         103.55          0.14%      line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                                bound trend. It faces resistance at 5498 and 5550 while the
Dollar Index            79.21           79.23       -0.02%
                                                                supports are placed at 5403, 5335, 5305, 5232 and 5182 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities            Close           Pivot Point           R1           R2           R3            S1              S2      S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5463                 5470          5495         5527         5584         5438          5413        5356

GOLD JUN 12                     28873                28875         28942       29012         29149        28805         28738       28601

SILVER MAY 12                   55697                55782         56036       56376         56970        55442         55188       54594


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

    Wednesday                  Thursday                      Friday                      Monday                      Tuesday
     Apr. 25                    Apr. 26                      Apr. 27                     Apr. 30                      May 01
Durable Goods           Jobless Claims               GDP Data                    Personal Income and          ISM Mfg Index
Orders                                                                           Outlays
FOMC Meeting            Money Supply Data            Employment Cost             Chicago PMI Data             Motor Vehicle Sales
Announcement                                         Index
EIA Petroleum Status    Pending Home Sales           Consumer Sentiment          Dallas Fed Mfg               Construction
Report                  Index                                                    Survey                       Spending




                                                      Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 250412

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 25th April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28810. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (21 May-12) moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28807 but managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- Open 28,810 55,550 5,448 day high of 28944 level. It ended the day with modest gains to High 28,944 56,121 5,502 close at 28873. Low 28,807 55,527 5,445 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 28,873 55,697 5,463 average. These conditions would lead to buying support and short covering. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought Prev. Close 28,781 55,553 5,443 zone, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX % Change 0.32% 0.26% 0.37% line and the -DI line are moving sideways, but the +DI line is placed at the 33.66 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. Source – MCX MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and Volume (In 000's) 25500 levels. 24/4/2012 23/4/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55550. It Gold (gms) 26,919.0 30,645.0 -12.16% moved higher to touch an intra day high of 56121. However, it Silver (kgs) 1,402.7 2,091.2 -32.92% failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of 55527. It ended the day with modest losses to close at Crude (bbl) 10,943.5 10,970.5 -0.25% 55697. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Turnover (In Lacs) averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a 24/4/2012 23/4/2012 % Chg. range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 55551, 51029 Gold 777,175.4 879,537.2 -11.64% and 50252 levels. Silver 783,390.0 1,166,415.2 -32.84% MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened higher at 5448 level. It Crude 598,726.9 595,011.9 0.62% moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5445 but managed to Source – MCX bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- day high of 5502 level. It ended the day flat with modest gains to Global Market (Nymex - $) close at 5463. 25/4/2012 24/4/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages. These conditions would lead to buying support. Gold (oz) 1,641.70 1,643.00 -0.08% However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which Silver (oz) 30.78 30.75 0.09% would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX Crude (bbl) 103.70 103.55 0.14% line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5498 and 5550 while the Dollar Index 79.21 79.23 -0.02% supports are placed at 5403, 5335, 5305, 5232 and 5182 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5463 5470 5495 5527 5584 5438 5413 5356 GOLD JUN 12 28873 28875 28942 29012 29149 28805 28738 28601 SILVER MAY 12 55697 55782 56036 56376 56970 55442 55188 54594 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Apr. 25 Apr. 26 Apr. 27 Apr. 30 May 01 Durable Goods Jobless Claims GDP Data Personal Income and ISM Mfg Index Orders Outlays FOMC Meeting Money Supply Data Employment Cost Chicago PMI Data Motor Vehicle Sales Announcement Index EIA Petroleum Status Pending Home Sales Consumer Sentiment Dallas Fed Mfg Construction Report Index Survey Spending Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com