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                                                                                   INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Monday, May 14, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         May 10       May 11    Change (%)   • Indian markets dropped on Friday, recording 6th fall in
                                                             last 8 trading sessions, as industrial production data
 Sensex              16,420.05    16,292.98     -0.77%
                                                             disappointed investors and a bit of recovery in the
 CNX Nifty            4,965.70     4,928.90     -0.74%
                                                             afternoon session wiped out after European markets
 BSE Mid-cap          5,998.32     5,948.71     -0.83%       tumbled on weak Chinese data. The markets opened
 BSE IT               5,540.27     5,481.94     -1.05%       weak after Asian markets tumbled on weak Chinese
 BSE Banks           10,833.81    10,835.66      0.02%       economic data. China's industrial production and retail
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       sales reported below expectations growth in April. The
                                                             markets tumbled sharply, after the government
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       announced industrial production data which reported a
 10-May                 1,933         1,591        342       negative growth of 3.5%, led by decline of 4.1% in
 9-May                  2,211         2,569        -357      manufacturing growth in March 2012. The production
 Total May             16,351        16,480        -130      number was negative mainly on account of higher
 2012 YTD             252,729      209,398       43332       base effect, which provided some support to index and
                                                             it started rising afterwards. Except auto and bank, all
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      sectoral indices closed on negative note with pharma,
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       power, FMCG and metal stocks were major losers.
 7-May                    622          596          26       Pharma stocks fall after Reuters reported that the
 4-May                    472          675         -204      government announced an inquiry on Friday into the
                                                             operations of the country's main drug regulator, just
 Total May              1,798         2,272        -474
                                                             days after a parliamentary report exposed dysfunction
 2012 YTD              46,792        53,366       -6574
                                                             within the agency and alleged serious irregularities in
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 the drug approval process. JSW Steel fell 5.1% after
                                      NSE          BSE       India's top court had ordered the police agency to
                                                             probe its alleged involvement with two other
 Trading Volume (Cr)                62.51         19.13
                                                             companies in illegal iron ore mining in the southern
 Turnover (`Cr)                     9,264         1,924
                                                             state of Karnataka. SKS Microfinance ended 10.4%
 Advances                             445          981       higher after the cabinet approved a bill to bring
 Declines                           1,030         1,772      microlenders under the central bank's oversight and
 Unchanged                             72          118       away from more stringent state government rules.
 Total                              1,547         2,871    • Market breadth was lower at ~0.55x as investors sold
Global Markets                                               large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs bought
                                                             equity of `1.58bn while domestic institutions sold
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     equity of `2.43bn in cash segment.
 DJIA                            12,820.60      -0.27%
                                                           • Asian markets declined with weak global currencies
 NASDAQ                           2,933.82       0.01%       and concerns over weakening China.
 Nikkei *                         8,952.66      -0.01%
                                                           • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets
 Hang Seng *                     19,951.45      -0.07%       today, following the cues from the Asian markets. The
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           markets may remain volatile ahead of the monthly
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            inflation data.
                                    Latest     Previous    Economic and Corporate Developments
                                    Quote         Close    • Industrial production contracted 3.5% in March,
 Indian Rupee per $                  53.63        53.25      dragging the cumulative factory output growth last
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.30        68.86      fiscal closer to the level of global financial crisis period
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              95.42        96.13      of 2008-09. This indicated that economic expansion
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,582.00     1,584.00      has really slowed down and it may not be possible for
                                                             India to really grow its GDP by 6.9% during 2011-12 as
 Silver ($/oz)                       28.78        28.87
                                                             was calculated in advance estimates.


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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                             INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • Lupin is expected to soon launch its generic version
                    Previous   Current    Change          of the anti-HIV drug, Combivir, in the United States.
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          The move was likely to lend a significant upside to
 Manappuram           20.15      23.05     14.39          the Mumbai-based company’s bottom line in the
 Finance
 JUBL FOOD          1050.90    1131.45       7.66         forthcoming quarters, a source said.
 Muthoot Fin         123.80     129.40       4.52       • Central Bank of India will be requiring over
 Jaiprakash Asso      60.40      62.85       4.06         `14,000Cr of fresh capital to meet the Basel-III
 Bajaj Auto         1502.90    1555.20       3.48         guidelines which will kick in from next fiscal.
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                           • Ansal SEZ Projects has approached the government
                                                          seeking to surrender its special economic zone in
                    Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                             Gurgaon after the imposition of minimum alternate
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Manappuram           20.15      23.05     14.39          tax and global economic uncertainties.
 Finance
 JUBL FOOD          1050.90    1131.45       7.66       • Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) will invest an additional one
 S Mobility-$          61.65     65.00       5.43         billion pound (over `8,500Cr) in sourcing parts from
 Muthoot Fin         123.80     129.40       4.52         the UK-based suppliers for its latest sports utility
 Bajaj Corp          117.75     123.00       4.46         vehicle Range Rover Evoque over the next four
                                                          years.
TOP LOSERS                                              US markets
(BSE A-Group)                                           U.S. markets mostly dropped Friday to a second weekly
                    Previous   Current    Change        decline after a rise in consumer sentiment failed to
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)        outweigh J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.'s $2bn trading loss,
 IRB Infra           121.45     105.20     -13.38       disclosed by the bank late Thursday.
 Indian Bank         196.30     179.65      -8.48       The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 34.44 points, or
 TTK Prestige       3070.25    2886.55      -5.98       0.3%, to 12,820.60. The S&P 500 retreated 4.6 points,
 JSW Steel           661.40     627.05      -5.19       or 0.3%, to 1,353.39. The Nasdaq Composite managed
 Bharat Forge        337.75     321.00      -4.96       a fractional gain to close at 2,933.82.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                    Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 IRB Infra           121.45     105.20     -13.38
 India Cements        84.30      79.25      -5.99
 TTK Prestige       3070.25    2886.55      -5.98
 Hindustan Oil       109.30     103.05      -5.72
 JSW Ispat             11.03     10.40      -5.71




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research             (research@keynotecapitals.net)           (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar
    Countries /                 Monday                                   Tuesday                               Wednesday                                   Thursday
   Regions                      14/May                                    15/May                                   16/May                                   17/May
   India            Monthly WPI based                                                                  M3 Money Supply
                    inflation data




   US                                                          Retail Sales (MoM)                      Housing Starts                            Initial Jobless
                                                                                                       (MoM)                                    Claims
                                                             Retail Sales ex Autos                      Industrial                              Leading Indicators
                                                             (MoM)                                     Production (MoM)                         (MoM)
                                                             Business Inventories                      FOMC Minutes
   Global                                                    Germany's Gross                            UK's Average                            Japan Industrial
                                                             Domestic Product                          Earnings including                       production
                                                             n.s.a (YoY)                               Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
                                                             Germany's Gross                           Eurozone's
                                                             Domestic Product                          Consumer Price
                                                             s.a (QoQ)                                 Index (YoY) and
                                                                                                       (MoM)
                                                                                                       UK's Bank of
                                                                                                       England Quarterly
                                                                                                       Inflation Report




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
                       The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028
                                           Tel. : +9122-30266000                       •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note may 14-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Monday, May 14, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index May 10 May 11 Change (%) • Indian markets dropped on Friday, recording 6th fall in last 8 trading sessions, as industrial production data Sensex 16,420.05 16,292.98 -0.77% disappointed investors and a bit of recovery in the CNX Nifty 4,965.70 4,928.90 -0.74% afternoon session wiped out after European markets BSE Mid-cap 5,998.32 5,948.71 -0.83% tumbled on weak Chinese data. The markets opened BSE IT 5,540.27 5,481.94 -1.05% weak after Asian markets tumbled on weak Chinese BSE Banks 10,833.81 10,835.66 0.02% economic data. China's industrial production and retail FII Activity (`Cr) sales reported below expectations growth in April. The markets tumbled sharply, after the government Date Buy Sell Net announced industrial production data which reported a 10-May 1,933 1,591 342 negative growth of 3.5%, led by decline of 4.1% in 9-May 2,211 2,569 -357 manufacturing growth in March 2012. The production Total May 16,351 16,480 -130 number was negative mainly on account of higher 2012 YTD 252,729 209,398 43332 base effect, which provided some support to index and it started rising afterwards. Except auto and bank, all MF Activity (`Cr) sectoral indices closed on negative note with pharma, Date Buy Sell Net power, FMCG and metal stocks were major losers. 7-May 622 596 26 Pharma stocks fall after Reuters reported that the 4-May 472 675 -204 government announced an inquiry on Friday into the operations of the country's main drug regulator, just Total May 1,798 2,272 -474 days after a parliamentary report exposed dysfunction 2012 YTD 46,792 53,366 -6574 within the agency and alleged serious irregularities in Volume & Advances / Declines the drug approval process. JSW Steel fell 5.1% after NSE BSE India's top court had ordered the police agency to probe its alleged involvement with two other Trading Volume (Cr) 62.51 19.13 companies in illegal iron ore mining in the southern Turnover (`Cr) 9,264 1,924 state of Karnataka. SKS Microfinance ended 10.4% Advances 445 981 higher after the cabinet approved a bill to bring Declines 1,030 1,772 microlenders under the central bank's oversight and Unchanged 72 118 away from more stringent state government rules. Total 1,547 2,871 • Market breadth was lower at ~0.55x as investors sold Global Markets large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs bought equity of `1.58bn while domestic institutions sold Index Latest Values Change (%) equity of `2.43bn in cash segment. DJIA 12,820.60 -0.27% • Asian markets declined with weak global currencies NASDAQ 2,933.82 0.01% and concerns over weakening China. Nikkei * 8,952.66 -0.01% • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets Hang Seng * 19,951.45 -0.07% today, following the cues from the Asian markets. The * as of 8.25AM IST markets may remain volatile ahead of the monthly Currencies / Commodities Snapshot inflation data. Latest Previous Economic and Corporate Developments Quote Close • Industrial production contracted 3.5% in March, Indian Rupee per $ 53.63 53.25 dragging the cumulative factory output growth last Indian Rupee per € 69.30 68.86 fiscal closer to the level of global financial crisis period NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 95.42 96.13 of 2008-09. This indicated that economic expansion Gold ($/oz) 1,582.00 1,584.00 has really slowed down and it may not be possible for India to really grow its GDP by 6.9% during 2011-12 as Silver ($/oz) 28.78 28.87 was calculated in advance estimates. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Lupin is expected to soon launch its generic version Previous Current Change of the anti-HIV drug, Combivir, in the United States. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) The move was likely to lend a significant upside to Manappuram 20.15 23.05 14.39 the Mumbai-based company’s bottom line in the Finance JUBL FOOD 1050.90 1131.45 7.66 forthcoming quarters, a source said. Muthoot Fin 123.80 129.40 4.52 • Central Bank of India will be requiring over Jaiprakash Asso 60.40 62.85 4.06 `14,000Cr of fresh capital to meet the Basel-III Bajaj Auto 1502.90 1555.20 3.48 guidelines which will kick in from next fiscal. (BSE Mid-Cap) • Ansal SEZ Projects has approached the government seeking to surrender its special economic zone in Previous Current Change Company Name Gurgaon after the imposition of minimum alternate Close(`) Price(`) (%) Manappuram 20.15 23.05 14.39 tax and global economic uncertainties. Finance JUBL FOOD 1050.90 1131.45 7.66 • Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) will invest an additional one S Mobility-$ 61.65 65.00 5.43 billion pound (over `8,500Cr) in sourcing parts from Muthoot Fin 123.80 129.40 4.52 the UK-based suppliers for its latest sports utility Bajaj Corp 117.75 123.00 4.46 vehicle Range Rover Evoque over the next four years. TOP LOSERS US markets (BSE A-Group) U.S. markets mostly dropped Friday to a second weekly Previous Current Change decline after a rise in consumer sentiment failed to Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) outweigh J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.'s $2bn trading loss, IRB Infra 121.45 105.20 -13.38 disclosed by the bank late Thursday. Indian Bank 196.30 179.65 -8.48 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 34.44 points, or TTK Prestige 3070.25 2886.55 -5.98 0.3%, to 12,820.60. The S&P 500 retreated 4.6 points, JSW Steel 661.40 627.05 -5.19 or 0.3%, to 1,353.39. The Nasdaq Composite managed Bharat Forge 337.75 321.00 -4.96 a fractional gain to close at 2,933.82. (BSE Mid-Cap) Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) IRB Infra 121.45 105.20 -13.38 India Cements 84.30 79.25 -5.99 TTK Prestige 3070.25 2886.55 -5.98 Hindustan Oil 109.30 103.05 -5.72 JSW Ispat 11.03 10.40 -5.71 Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Regions 14/May 15/May 16/May 17/May India Monthly WPI based M3 Money Supply inflation data US Retail Sales (MoM) Housing Starts Initial Jobless (MoM) Claims Retail Sales ex Autos Industrial Leading Indicators (MoM) Production (MoM) (MoM) Business Inventories FOMC Minutes Global Germany's Gross UK's Average Japan Industrial Domestic Product Earnings including production n.s.a (YoY) Bonus (3Mo/Yr) Germany's Gross Eurozone's Domestic Product Consumer Price s.a (QoQ) Index (YoY) and (MoM) UK's Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028 Tel. : +9122-30266000 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.