2. The Plan
Suitability Analysis
Low Risk
Medium Risk
High Risk
Criteria
SID Roads
Within Forage Distance of the Gardens
3 Different Forage Distance Based on types of Bees
3. Low Risk Suitability Analysis
All criteria must be met
OWA (Ordered Weights)
Most of weight from left to right
Factors-Based On Foraging Distance (each equally weighted)
Small Bees - Within 700ft of a garden
Medium Bees – Within 5,280ft (mile) of a garden
Large Bees – Within 13,200ft (2 miles) of a garden
Two Different Low Risk Suitability Maps
Map#1: Easton St. as Constraint & 3 Factors based on forage distance
Map#2: George St. as Constraint & 3 Factors based on forage distance Factors
8. Medium Risk Suitability Analysis
OWA (Ordered Weights)
Most weight in the middle (0.1-0.1-6-0.1-0.1)
Factors
Small Bees - Within 700ft of a garden
Medium Bees – Within 5,280ft (mile) of a garden
Large Bees – Within 13,200ft (2 miles) of a garden
On George St.
On Easton Ave.
10. High Risk Suitability Analysis
OWA (Ordered Weights)
Most weight to the right (0.1- 0.1-0.2-0.5)
Factors
Small Bees - Within 700ft of a garden
Medium Bees – Within 5,280ft (mile) of a garden
Large Bees – Within 13,200ft (2 miles) of a garden
On George St.
On Easton Ave.
Community gardens in New Brunswick have been popping up all over the city of New Brunswick. They are great resource for the community; allows cheap and easy access to healthy foods, allows a more sustainable New Brunswick. With the worldwide decline of pollinator populations, our Community partners are trying to build pollinator habitats to attract native pollinators to new Brunswick.
Foraging Distance- The average distance that a pollinator would travel away from its habitat; habitats must be built in areas within a foraging distance of the community gardens. Different foraging distance for small, medium, and large bees.
SID Roads- George St and Easton St (special improvement district, areas in master plan that are targeted for improvement)
Used mostly Idrisi for its decision support. Used arcmap to make maps more readable
OWA- 1-0-0 (no tradeoff)…Constraint vs Factor – Constraint is a criterion that must be met otherwise it is not considered suitable. A factor is a flexible criteria that is given a certain weight, and does not necessarily have to be met
Buffer distance shows the potential reach of the pollinators based on their foraging distance and shows which gardens it may pollinate.
Max Suitability Score was only 85, but as we will show later in the presentation, a score this can still be promising.
For the sake of legibility, the suitable areas were broken up into low, medium, and high suitable areas; shown in this slide and the next 2 slides.
Low suitability: Suitability Score from 0 to 85
Medium suitability: Suit. Score 86-170
High Suitability: Suit. Score 171-255
Medium suitability, scores from 86 to 170. Can pollinate more different gardens
High suitability, scores from 171-255.
Can potentially pollinate all gardens in just two key areas. Community partners should target this area to build habitats.
Factor Weights:
Each foraging distance: 0.25
Easton: 0.125
George: 0.125
Factor Weights(same as medium):
Each foraging distance: 0.25
Easton: 0.125
George: 0.125
Many areas are highly suitable, but why? See next slide
Chose an identical location on both maps and compared the suitability score. On the left, medium risk has a low score, while high risk map shows a high score.
Medium risk bases suitability based more on factor weights; even if there are very high scores for certain factors, the fact that some factors had a suit. Score of 0 made the overall suit score very low.
High risk chooses suitability differently. As long as there is suitability in any factor it can be considered suitable. Suit scores for only 2 factors are very high, thus the overall score is quite high, regardless of the fact that some individual suit scores are 0.
Thus, more realistic/prudent that community partners use either low risk or medium risk results to choose areas to build habitats
Medium risk map. Chose a random point in green (low suitability, but still suitable) and illustrated how far the bees could reach from that point using buffer distance. Could it pollinate most gardens?
As long as the habitats are created with intention - planting species of plants that attract specifically medium and large bees – most areas in green can pollinate most gardens in new Brunswick. This is very promising for our community partners, as it allows them flexibility. Highly suitable areas may be private land, may be expensive, or may have restrictions/zoning laws that prevent the community partners from building a pollinator’s habitat there.
Originally had parks as a factor, but there were overlay issues with parks layer. Parks layer given to us had no defined projection, thus hard to reproject in arcmap and idrisi.
Solution: find a better park map and redo analysis with parks in mind
OR
Take the maps we already produced and see if suitable areas coincide with a park