* Is it possible to validate your idea immediately - even before the product is ready?
* Building a product people want - vs. making people want your product
* How to pick features that will generate more revenues?
* How to prove investors your startup will become a 10 Billion $ company?
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Era of daily breakthroughs
Artificial Intelligence
with EQ
Solution for Cancer
Solution for hungerAugmented Human
Green Cities IoT based homes
Smart
Transportation
Virus-sized
computing devices
Quantum
computers
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What is Product Market Fit (PMF)?
“Product/market fit means being in a good market
with a product that can satisfy that market.”
Marc Andreessen
“Product/market fit is a precondition for effectively
scaling marketing for a company”
Sean Ellis
“Product/market fit is a step in between customer
validation and customer creation”
Steve Blank
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Why PMF Methodology?
Fail fast: Failure is a cousin of creativity
Scientifically measure if there is progress over time
Be frank with yourself: know where you are to choose your next step
Identify “the most promising” concept; Verify a concept potential
Avoid waste: greatest waste is doing efficiently what should not be done at all Peter Drucker
Identify the most important improvement to focus on
Prioritize product features
Speed up business evolution: most startups do not fail, they just run out of money
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PMF Methodology - Intro
• What trick am I about to show off?Trick
• What response do I want?Valuation
• Try this with different peopleExperiment
• Watch results, improve, retryLearning
• If the trick is not working,
try another oneValidation
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5 Steps to Product Market Fit
Concept
Metrics
ExperimentLearn
Validate
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5 Steps to Product Market Fit
Describe Your concept:
◦ Need
◦ Solution - Value
◦ Solution - Growth
◦ Solution - Monetization
Concept
Metrics
ExperimentLearn
Validate
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5 Steps to Product Market Fit
Assessments
◦ What do you need to know to predict
success?
KPIs
◦ Translate Assessments into KPIs
(*) KPI = Key Performance Indicator
Concept
Metrics
ExperimentLearn
Validate
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5 Steps to Product Market Fit
MVP
◦ Build a MVP to measure your KPI
Measure
◦ Run an experiment and measure your
KPI
(*) MVP = Minimal Viable Product
Concept
Metrics
ExperimentLearn
Validate
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5 Steps to Product Market Fit
KPI vs. Goals
◦ See what works, and what doesn’t
Compass
◦ Focus improvements on highest risks
Concept
Metrics
ExperimentLearn
Validate
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5 Steps to Product Market Fit
Progress
◦ Analyze KPIs over time
Convergence / Pivot
◦ Are you on track? Be frank with yourself
Concept
Metrics
ExperimentLearn
Validate
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Let's take a closer look
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Making people want your stuff Making stuff people wantVs.
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Solution
STEP 1 - Concept
• What’s the need? Who needs it? Painfulness? Context?Need
• What value will your clients gain?Value
• Distribution method: viral? sticky? paid?Growth
• How will you monetize?Model
• Promise, Players, Use cases, Funnels
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STEP 2 - Actionable Success Metrics
Solution
Need
Value
Growth
Model
Assessments
KPIs
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STEP 2 (cont)- Actionable Success Metrics
Solution
Need
Value
Growth
Model
Do they need your solution?
For example:
• Assessment:
• KPI:
(*) CTR = Click Through Rate
Do private users want to sort
out the mess in their
contacts?
% CTR on invitation emails
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Solution
Need
Value
Growth
Model
Do they appreciate the value you provide?
For example:
• Assessment:
• KPI:
Do users see value in your
smart contacts management
system?
# Returns per user
STEP 2 (cont)- Actionable Success Metrics
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Solution
Need
Value
Growth
Model
Is your growth method working?
For example (assuming viral method):
• Assessment:
• KPI:
Are users inviting their
friends to try out your
product?
# Invitation sent per user
STEP 2 (cont)- Actionable Success Metrics
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Solution
Need
Value
Growth
Model
Is your monetization effective?
For example:
• Assessment:
• KPI:
Are free users upgrading to a
paid version?
% of free users -> paying
STEP 2 (cont)- Actionable Success Metrics
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STEP 3 - Experiment
MVP
Measure
Try
• Minimal possible scope to measure KPI
• Embed measurements into MVP
• Run your experiment
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STEP 4 - Learn
Analyze
Compass
Progress / t
• Current KPI compared to your holy grail
• Focus improvements on highest gaps
• Did you improve?
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STEP 5 - Validate
Goal
Goal
Are the KPI converging?
A
B
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5 Steps to Product Market Fit
Concept
Metrics
ExperimentLearn
Validate
• Need, Solution (Value, Growth, Model)___
• Need, Value, Growth, Model___
• MVP, Try, Measure__Analysis, Progress / t, Compass
KPI Converging?
Repeat
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More to explore
Books
Lean startup, by Eric Ries
Toyota Production System: Beyond Large-Scale Production, by Taiichi Ohno (Kaizen)
Lean Thinking: Banish Waste and Create Wealth in Your Corporation, by James P. Womack and Daniel T. Jones
Crossing the Chasm, by Geoffrey A. Moore
The four steps to the Epiphany, by Steve Blank
Links
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Product/market_fit
http://www.startup-marketing.com/the-startup-pyramid/
http://blog.pmarca.com/2010/03/20/the-revenge-of-the-fat-guy/
http://theleanstartup.com/
http://paulgraham.com/startupmistakes.html
Techniques
Agile / SCRUM
Rapid prototyping
Continuous deployment
A/B Testing
The 5 Why
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Points to remember
Failure is a cousin of creativity. Fail fast!
Making stuff people want vs. Making people want your stuff
Greatest waste is to do efficiently what should not be done at all.
Follow the trail wherever it leads… Most successful startups end up doing something different
than they originally intended
Enjoy along the way!
Paul Graham
Peter F. Drucker
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Thank you for attention!
If you are wondering how to apply this to your own company,
Or if you would like to discuss an interesting idea,
I’ll be happy to meet for a coffee.
Jeff Safovich
jeff@navigabiz.com
www.Navigabiz.com
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Special Thanks!
A big thanks to everyone who attended this event!
It was a great pleasure to meet you. We hope you had as much fun attending as
we did organizing it.
Thanks to Google Campus that invited us to host the event in their offices!
An invitation from Google Campus: If you enjoyed this event, there are many
more tech/entrepreneurial related events at Campus Tel Aviv.
Special thanks to Opher Brayer who inspired and encouraged me to arrange this
event!