SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 33
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
How much do Greek non-viable enterprises cost:
Findings from an enterprise restructuring
simulation exercise
June 2018
Ilias Lekkos
Paraskevi Vlachou
ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Contents of study
2
1. Purpose of the study | key findings
2. Methodology for identifying non-viable enterprises
June 2018
5. Appendix
4. Simulation exercise of non-viable enterprises resolution | Impact on
financial figures and results
3. Mapping Greek entrepreneurship: non-viable vs. viable enterprises
3June 2018
1. Purpose of the study | key findings
4
Purpose of the study
The prolonged and deep economic recession has had an immense impact on the profitability of the Greek
corporate sector, which in turn led to a steep increase in non-performing loans and consequently to the
creation of a whole “generation” of non-viable or “zombie” firms. In the past, all the attempts to address the
problem either from the Greek state or from the banking system have been timid or fragmented, resulting –in
most cases – in generating vicious cycles of forbearance and evergreening which kept alive a substantial
number of enterprises without any realistic hope of recovery.
However, maintaining a significant percentage of non-viable corporations in operation entails significant
costs not only for the business and the banking sectors but for the entire economy as well. This happens
because, as non-viable enterprises operate with low levels of productivity, they lower the productivity of the
whole economy. In addition, as long as they remain alive, they trap production factors (capital and labour),
thus preventing the expansion of viable enterprises. At the same time, as they do not operate on purely
profit maximisation criteria, they “contaminate” the profitability of the rest of the economy. Finally, non-
performing loans burden the profitability and capital adequacy of banks, restrict the financing of viable
enterprises and increase the cost of funding for the entire economy.
As the conditions for more radical and long-term solutions to the problems of the domestic entrepreneurship
seem to mature, at the same time there is a more urgent need to assess the potential benefit that can be
gained for all stakeholders from a large-scale restructuring programme of Greek non-viable enterprises.
June 2018
5
This need is addressed in the present study, which attempts to assess the potential benefits of restructuring
non-viable enterprises as follows:
As a first step, the Greek corporate sector is divided into viable and non-viable enterprises and their distinct
performance is estimated in terms of profitability, capital structure and liabilities.
Having defined the two distinct populations of (viable and non-viable) enterprises, we then proceed by
simulating the outcome (in terms of profitability, turnover and “curing” of liabilities) that would result from
a theoretical business restructuring programme, where non-viable enterprises are resolved and their assets
(and part of their liabilities) are absorbed by viable companies of similar size and average (for their size)
performance.
A key assumption of the simulation scenario is that the percentage of the liabilities that will be transferred
to the viable corporates will be such that will not alter their pre-absorption balance sheet structure (i.e. the
viable companies’ liabilities/total assets ratio will remain the same in both pre- and post-absorption states).
The part of the liabilities that will be transferred will become performing/current again, providing an
indication of the non-performing liabilities curing rate. The remaining part of the liabilities that will be left
behind will have to be written-off, thus providing an estimate of the restructuring costs to the creditors of
non-viable enterprises.
June 2018
Purpose of the study
6
Key findings (I): Characteristics of non-viable enterprises
June 2018
Starting from a very conservative definition, according to which a non-viable enterprise is an enterprise that is in
operation for at least five (5) – in order to exclude the start-ups – and for three (3) consecutive years its profitability
levels are so low that they are insufficient to cover current interest expenses (i.e. in technical terms, the financial
expense coverage ratio is less than one). Based on the above, the following conclusions can be reached:
• Non-viable enterprises account for 7.1% of the total sample in 2016. The percentage of non-viable enterprises aged
between 21 and 40 years is particular high (37.8%).
• Most non-viable enterprises (8.2%) are micro enterprises, followed by medium-sized (6%) and small (5.2%)
enterprises, while the lowest percentage (4.4%) is recorded amongst large enterprises. However, because of their
size, the economic impact of large non-viable enterprises is significantly higher compared to that of other size
cohorts.
• Trapped in non-viable enterprises is productive capacity (as reflected by their asset value) amounting to €28.4 bn,
which equals to 16.3% of GDP.
• Accordingly, non-viable enterprises have undertaken €23.5 bn liabilities or 22.6% of the total liabilities (which by
and large are non-performing) and have €613 mn of annual financial expenses.
• On average, viable enterprises do not have very high liabilities to assets ratio (56.1%), whereas non-viable
enterprises have a significantly higher ratio (82.6%).
• The results of non-viable businesses at EBITDA level amount to €-413 mn, while at the level before taxes they reach
€-1.3 bn. Thus, the EBITDA margin stands at -10.3% and the return on assets ( ROA) at -1.5%.
7
Key findings (II): Benefits from viable enterprises absorbing non-
viable ones
The fact that more than 16.5% of the total productive capacity (assets) of the non-financial sector of the Greek
economy is trapped in non-viable business schemes presents a huge cost not only for the enterprises themselves
and their creditors (suppliers, banks, public state bodies, etc.) but for the whole community as well.
The methodology developed to assess the potential benefit from a restructuring programme for non-viable
enterprises is a simulation exercise according to which the total assets and a part of liabilities of the enterprises
identified as non-viable are absorbed by viable enterprises of similar size. The results of this exercise show that:
• The potential profitability (EBITDA) increase is €2.6 bn.
• The potential operating revenue increase is estimated at €16.7 bn.
• The liabilities that – through their takeover by viable enterprises – could be repaid again amount to €15.9 bn.
• The cost of restructuring in terms of “haircutting” part of the liabilities – that will not be transferred to the
viable enterprises – is estimated at €7.6 bn.
June 2018
Micro Small Medium-sized Large Total
Assets under
absorption
€2.3 bn €2 bn €9.1 bn €15.1 bn €28.4 bn
Potential EBITDA
increase
€239.2 mn €260.4 mn €883 mn €1.2 bn €2.6 bn
Potential operating
revenue increase
€618.6 mn €835.2 mn €5.6 bn €9.7 bn €16.7 bn
“Curing” of
liabilities
€1.2 bn €1.2 bn €5.1 bn €8.5 bn €15.9 bn
“Haircut” of
liabilities
€937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn
% of “haircut” 44.7% 36.9% 15.9% 37.1% 32.3%
Change in equity
after absorption
€937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn
8
Summary of resolution simulation results: Viable enterprises absorbing
non-viable ones
June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
9June 2018
2. Methodology for identifying non-viable enterprises
For the purpose of this analysis, all enterprises, both SA and LTD, were examined, without any size criteria. Furthermore, all non-
financial sectors of economic activity were examined according to the NACE rev. 2 classification, except for the following:
Κ: Financial and insurance activities
O: Public administration and defence; compulsory social security
Τ: Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods – and services – producing activities of households for own use
U: Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies
Enterprise sample selection
10June 2018
134,928 105,302 100,118 95,122
Observations
of enterprises
with available
data for assets
2012-2016
Source / date of financial data extract: ICAP DATA / March 2018
Observations of enterprises with
available data for:
• EBITDA
• financial expenses
• total operating revenue
• year of foundation
Observations of
enterprises with asset
value ≥ €90,000*
Observations of
enterprises with total
operating revenue value
≥ €34,000*
Final number of
observations of
enterprises
2012-2016
* Based on the criterion > 5th percentile of the observation distribution, the respective value thresholds applied to assets and operating revenue.
Non-viable enterprise
Definitions of non-viable enterprises and enterprise size cohorts
11June 2018
* Similar approaches, but with higher enterprise age limits, have been applied in international studies, e.g. OECD. Indicative literature:
• Adalat McGowan, Andrews and Millot (2017), The Walking Dead? Zombie firms and productivity performance in OECD countries, Economics Department Working
Papers No. 1372, OECD, January 2017
• Adalat McGowan, Andrews and Millot (2017), Insolvency regimes, zombie firms and capital reallocation, Economics Department Working Papers No. 1399, OECD,
June 2017
By adopting the size limits in line with the definition of SMEs given by the European Commission (Commission Recommendation
2003/361/EC), not for the turnover, but for total operating revenue, the following definitions apply:
– micro: an enterprise with annual operating revenue up to two mn euros (≤€2 mn),
– small: an enterprise with annual operating revenue between two and ten mn euros (€2 mn, €10 mn],
– medium-sized: an enterprise with annual operating revenue between ten and 50 mn euros (€10 mn, €50 mn] and,
– large: an enterprise with annual operating revenue exceeding 50 mn euros (>€50 mn)
An enterprise is non-viable when it satisfies two criteria*:
– for three (3) consecutive years, EBITDA is not enough to cover the financial expenses. That is, financial expense coverage ratio
is less than one (≤1).
– it is not a start-up. Therefore, an age limit of the enterprise was set to be five (5) years or older.
Enterprise size cohorts
12June 2018
3. Mapping Greek entrepreneurship: non-viable vs. viable enterprises
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (I):
Non-viable enterprises accounted for 7.1% of total enterprises in 2016
13Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
• In 2016, out of a sample of 11,165 enterprises, 794 are characterised as non-viable (7.1% of the total sample), i.e. they
have financial expenses coverage ratio less than one for three consecutive years and are at least five years in operation.
• Most non-viable enterprises (8.2%) are micro enterprises, followed by medium-sized (6%) and small (5.2%) enterprises,
while the lowest percentage (4.4%) is recorded in the large enterprises. However, because of their size, the economic
impact of the large non-viable enterprises is significantly higher than the other size cohorts.
Shares of non-viable enterprises to total, by size cohort, 2016
7.1%
8.2%
5.2%
6.0%
4.4%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
14Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
• The established enterprises – older than 11 years old – exhibit increasingly higher difficulty in servicing their financial
obligations, and potentially have viability problems, based on the criterion that the financial expense coverage ratio is less
than one for three consecutive years.
• The percentage of non-viable enterprises aged between 21 and 40 years is particular high (37.8%).
Shares of non-viable enterprises by age cohort, 2016
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (II):
Older enterprises are the most at risk
15.6%
30.1%
37.8%
16.5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
5-10 11-20 21-40 41+
15Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (ΙΙΙ):
€28.4 bn of assets and €4.9 bn of equity sunk in non-viable enterprises
Assets, 2016 (in mn euros)
Equity, 2016 (in mn euros)
• €28.4 bn assets are trapped in non-viable enterprises, a value
equivalent to 16.6% of total assets in our sample in 2016.
• In terms of asset value, the highest concentration of non-
viable enterprises is concentrated in the large and medium-
sized cohort.
• The equity of non-viable enterprises amounts to €4.9 bn in
total, which accounts for only 7.3% of the total equity in our
sample.
• Small non-viable enterprises have the lowest equity value of
just €185 mn, followed by the micro ones with € 211 mn.
• Medium-sized enterprises have the highest value of equity
among the size classes of non-viable enterprises, reaching €3
bn.
• The equity of large non-viable enterprises is €1.6 bn,
accounting for just 3.9% of the equity of all large enterprises.
28,427
2,307 2,014
9,053 15,053
143,202
10,206 16,267
26,981
89,747
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
Non-viable Viable
4,941
211 185
2,973 1,572
62,932
5,077 6,949
11,736
39,171
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
Non-viable Viable
16Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (IV):
non-viable enterprises have undertaken €23.5 bn liabilities and have to
service €613 mn of financial expenses
Total liabilities, 2016 (in mn euros)
Financial expenses, 2016 (in mn euros)
• Non-viable enterprises have undertaken €23.5 bn liabilities
or 22.6% of the total.
• Out of the €23.5 bn total liabilities of non-viable enterprises,
the largest amount (€13.5 bn) are liabilities held by large
enterprises.
• Non-viable enterprises have to service €613 mn financial
expenses, which represents 20.6% of the financial expenses of
all enterprises in our sample.
• Medium-sized and large non-viable enterprises have the
highest financial expenses amounting to €244 mn and €241
mn respectively.
23,486
2,097 1,829
6,079
13,481
80,269
5,130 9,318
15,245
50,576
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
Non-viable Viable
613
68 60
244 241
2,367
139 262
469
1,498
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
Non-viable Viable
17Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (V):
non-viable enterprises record only €4 bn operating revenue and €413 mn
losses at EBITDA level
Operating revenue, 2016 (in mn euros)
EBITDA, 2016 (in mn euros)
• The income statement results reveal the low efficiency of non-
viable enterprises.
• Non-viable enterprises account for 3.7% of total operating
revenue, i.e. just €4 bn when viable enterprises earn €104.2 bn.
• In terms of operating revenue the large non-viable enterprises
record the worst performance earning only 2.3% of the cohort’s
total.
• At EBITDA level, non-viable enterprises record €413 mn losses,
when viable ones earn €11 bn EBITDA profits.
• Micro enterprises have the worst overall performance given that
non-viable enterprises record €133 mn of losses and viable ones
earn only €470 mn of EBITDA profits.
• Large non-viable enterprises is the only size cohort that manages to
record (a tiny) profit of just €1.8 mn EBITDA profits.
4,022 313 642 1,517 1,550
104,150
4,121
11,930
21,299
66,800
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
Non-viable Viable
-413 -133 -109 -173 1.8
10,938
470
1,221
2,117
7,131
-500
1,500
3,500
5,500
7,500
9,500
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
Non-viable Viable
18Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (VI):
the losses of non-viable enterprises expand to €1.3 bn in the results before
taxes
Results before taxes, 2016 (in mn euros)
• The loss-making performance of non-viable enterprises
is further expanded to €1.3 bn when considering the net
results before taxes.
• Medium non-viable enterprises record the highest
losses (€546 mn) followed by large ones (€282 mn).
• The losses before taxes of micro non-viable enterprises
are so high (€228 mn) compared to €96 mn profits of
viable ones that this size cohort is overall loss making to
the tune of €132.2 mn. -1,312
-228 -255 -546 -282
4,829
96 601
1,056
3,076
-1,500
-500
500
1,500
2,500
3,500
4,500
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
Non-viable Viable
19Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
• The average EBITDA margin of non-viable enterprises
stands at -10.3%, when viable enterprises achieve 10.5%
on average.
• The performance gap of micro enterprises is high, as at the
same time non-viable enterprises have the worst average
negative profit margin at -42.5% and viable ones have the
highest EBITDA margin (11.4%).
• As the size of the enterprise grows, the underperformace
in terms of profit margins becomes less pronounced.
• The large non-viable enterprises have a slightly positive
average EBITDA margin (0.1%), with the average
performance of viable large enterprises at 10.7%.
EBITDA margin, 2016
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (VΙI):
-10.3% EBITDA margin for non-viable enterprises versus 10.5% for viable
enterprises
-10.3%
-42.5%
-17.0%
-11.4%
0.1%
10.5% 11.4% 10.2% 9.9% 10.7%
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
Non-viable Viable
20Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
Return on assets based on EBITDA, 2016
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (VΙII):
-1.5% return on assets for non-viable enterprises versus 7.6% for viable
enterprises
• The efficiency of non-viable enterprises is poor, with
their return on assets at -1.5%, compared to 7.6% for
viable enterprises.
• The larger the size of the enterprise, the higher the
average operating return on assets for the viable
enterprises and the more moderate the negative
performance for the non-viable ones.
• Large enterprises is the only size cohort with a slightly
positive average return on assets of the non-viable
enterprises.
-1.5%
-5.8% -5.4%
-1.9%
0.0%
7.6%
4.6%
7.5% 7.8% 7.9%
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Non-viable Viable
21Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
Liabilities to total assets, 2016
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (IX):
high leverage of non-viable enterprises, with liabilities amounting to 82.6% of the total
assets, significantly worse compared to viable ones that stand at 56.1%
• On average, leverage in viable enterprises is contained with
a ratio of liabilities to assets at 56.1%. whereas for non-
viable enterprises it is significantly higher (82.6%).
• Micro and small non-viable enterprises seem to finance
their assets mainly from liabilities (90.9% and 90.8%
respectively).
• Medium-sized non-viable enterprises have on average a
more moderate leverage at 67.2%. Compared to the other
size cohorts, this category does not deviate much from the
respective percentage of viable enterprises (56.5%).
82.6%
90.9% 90.8%
67.2%
89.6%
56.1%
50.3%
57.3% 56.5% 56.4%
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Non-viable Viable
22Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018
Asset turnover, 2016
Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (X):
Low asset turnover of viable enterprises (0.14x) versus viable ones (0.73x)
• All non-viable enterprises operate with limited utilisation of
their assets, which on average produce operating revenue
only 0.14x, versus 0.73x in the case of viable enterprises.
• Among the size categories of non-viable enterprises, the
small ones seem to have the highest utilisation of their
assets for making operating revenue (0.32x). However, this
performance is poor compared to viable small enterprises
(0.73x).
• The performance of micro enterprises is in general low, as
the asset turnover of non-viable enterprises is low (0.14x)
whereas the one of viable micro enterprises is well below the
total of viable enterprises (0.4x).
0.14 0.14
0.32
0.17
0.10
0.73
0.40
0.73
0.79
0.74
Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Non-viable Viable
23June 2018
4. Simulation exercise of non-viable enterprises resolution | Impact on
financial figures and results
24
Motivation and outline of the non-viable enterprises' resolution simulation
exercise (a)
The fact that more than 16.5% of the total productive capacity (assets) of the non-financial sector of the
Greek economy is trapped in non-viable business endeavors presents a huge cost not only to the
enterprises themselves and their creditors (suppliers, banks, public sector entities, etc.) but to the whole
society as well.
This cost, inter alia, stems from the fact that the non-viable enterprises operate with a much lower level of
efficiency. As we have already estimated, the return on assets of the large viable enterprises is 7.9%
compared to 0% of the respective non-viable enterprises. At the same time, the viable enterprises are able
to achieve a significantly higher turnover (or in general, operating revenues) than the corresponding non-
viable ones.
Therefore, a reasonable way of estimating the potential benefit of a large-scale restructuring program for
the non-viable enterprises is to simulate the economic outcome that would result from the resolution of
these companies and the absorption of their assets from viable ones of similar size and performance equal
to the average performance recorded in their size cohort. The more rational and efficient use of these
assets will lead to an increase of turnover (and generally of operating revenue) and profitability of the entire
Greek economy.
June 2018
25
Last but not least, the restructuring of non-viable enterprises will have significant impact on the liabilities’
side of their balance sheets. Based on the figures for 2016, the liabilities of non-viable enterprises (to
banks, suppliers, social security funds, etc.) amount to €23.5 bn in total and to a great extent they are not
serviced on time.
As part of the resolution exercise viable companies will have to undertake part of the non-viable
enterprises’ liabilities. A key assumption of the simulation scenario is that the percentage of the liabilities
that will be transferred to the viable corporates will be such that will not alter their pre-absorption
balance sheet structure (i.e. the viable companies’ liabilities/total assets ratio will be the same in both pre-
and post-absorption states). The part of the liabilities that will be transferred will become
performing/current again, providing an indication of the non-performing liabilities curing rate. The
remaining part of the liabilities that will be left behind will have to be written-off, thus providing an
estimate of the restructuring costs to the creditors of non-viable corporates enterprises.
June 2018
Motivation and outline of the non-viable enterprises' resolution simulation
exercise (b)
26
Micro enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €2.3 bn assets of
non-viable enterprises by viable ones
June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding
Assets
Return on
assets
EBITDA Asset turnover
Operating
revenue
Liabilities to
assets
Liabilities Equity
-5.8% €-133 mn[1]
0.14 €313.1 mn[4]
90.9% €2.1 bn[7]
4.6% €469.5 mn[2]
0.4 €4.1 bn[5]
50.3% €5.1 bn[8]
4.6% €575.7 mn[3]
0.4 €5.1 bn[6]
50.3% €6.3 bn[9]
“Curing” of
liabilities
€1.2 bn
[9]-[8]
“Haircut” €937.2 mn[10]
[9]-[8]-[7]
% of “haircut”
44.7%
[10]/[7]
€5.1 bn[12]
Beforeabsorption
Non-viable €2.3 bn €210.6 mn[11]
After
absorption
New business
scheme
€12.5 bn
Viable €10.2 bn
€6.2 bn[13]
Change
in equity
€937.2 mn
[13]-[12]-[11]=[10]
Potential EBITDA
increase
€239.2 mn
[3]-[2]-[1]
Potential operating
revenue increase
€618.6 mn
[6]-[5]-[4]
27June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Small enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €2 bn assets of non-
viable enterprises by viable ones
Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding
Assets
Return on
assets
EBITDA Asset turnover
Operating
revenue
Liabilities to
assets
Liabilities Equity
-5.4% €-109.2 mn[1]
0.32 €641.6 mn[4]
90.8% €1.8 bn[7]
7.5% €1.2 bn[2]
0.73 €11.9 bn[5]
57.3% €9.3 bn[8]
7.5% €1.4 bn[3]
0.73 €13.4 bn[6]
57.3% €10.5 bn[9]
“Curing” of
liabilities
€1.2 bn
[9]-[8]
“Haircut” €675.7 mn[10]
[9]-[8]-[7]
% of “haircut”
36.9%
[10]/[7]
Beforeabsorption
Non-viable €2 bn €184.5 mn[11]
Viable €16.3 bn
After
absorption
New business
scheme
€18.3 bn €7.8 bn[13]
€7 bn[12]
Potential EBITDA
increase
€260.4 mn
[3]-[2]-[1]
Potential operating
revenue increase
€835.2 mn
[6]-[5]-[4]
Change
in equity
€675.7 mn
[13]-[12]-[11]=[10]
28June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Medium-sized enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €9.1 bn
assets of non-viable enterprises by viable ones
Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding
Assets
Return on
assets
EBITDA Asset turnover
Operating
revenue
Liabilities to
assets
Liabilities Equity
-1.9% €-172.8 mn[1]
0.17 €1.5 bn[4]
67.2% €6.1 bn[7]
7.8% €2.1 bn[2]
0.79 €21.3 bn[5]
56.5% €15.2 bn[8]
7.8% €2.8 bn[3]
0.79 €28.4 bn[6]
56.5% €20.4 bn[9]
“Curing” of
liabilities
€5.1 bn
[9]-[8]
“Haircut” €964.4 mn[10]
[9]-[8]-[7]
% of “haircut”
15.9%
[10]/[7]
€11.7 bn[12]
Beforeabsorption
Non-viable €9.1 bn €3 bn[11]
After
absorption
New business
scheme
€36 bn
Viable €27 bn
€15.7 bn[13]
Change
in equity
€964.4 mn
[13]-[12]-[11]=[10]
Potential EBITDA
increase
€883 mn
[3]-[2]-[1]
Potential operating
revenue increase
€5.6 bn
[6]-[5]-[4]
29June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding
Large enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €15.1 bn assets of
non-viable enterprises by viable ones
Assets
Return on
assets
EBITDA Asset turnover
Operating
revenue
Liabilities to
assets
Liabilities Equity
0.0% €1.8 mn[1]
0.1 €1.6 bn[4]
89.6% €13.5 bn[7]
7.9% €7.1 bn[2]
0.74 €66.8 bn[5]
56.4% €50.6 bn[8]
7.9% €8.3 bn[3]
0.74 €78 bn[6]
56.4% €59.1 bn[9]
“Curing” of
liabilities
€8.5 bn
[9]-[8]
“Haircut” €5 bn[10]
[9]-[8]-[7]
% of “haircut”
37.1%
[10]/[7]
Beforeabsorption
Non-viable €15.1 bn €1.6 bn[11]
Viable €89.7 bn
After
absorption
New business
scheme
€104.8 bn €45.7 bn[13]
€39.2 bn[12]
Potential EBITDA
increase
€1.2 bn
[3]-[2]-[1]
Potential operating
revenue increase
€9.7 bn
[6]-[5]-[4]
Change
in equity
€5 bn
[13]-[12]-[11]=[10]
Micro Small Medium-sized Large Total
Assets under
absorption
€2.3 bn €2 bn €9.1 bn €15.1 bn €28.4 bn
Potential EBITDA
increase
€239.2 mn €260.4 mn €883 mn €1.2 bn €2.6 bn
Potential operating
revenue increase
€618.6 mn €835.2 mn €5.6 bn €9.7 bn €16.7 bn
“Curing” of
liabilities
€1.2 bn €1.2 bn €5.1 bn €8.5 bn €15.9 bn
“Haircut” of
liabilities
€937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn
% of “haircut” 44.7% 36.9% 15.9% 37.1% 32.3%
Change in equity
after absorption
€937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn
30
Summary of resolution simulation results: Viable enterprises absorbing
non-viable ones
June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
31June 2018
5. Appendix
Examined ratio formulas
32
Asset turnover
Total operating revenue
Assets
EBITDA margin
EBITDA
Total operating revenue
Liabilities to assets
Total liabilities
Assets
Financial expense
coverage ratio
EBITDA
Financial expenses
Return on assets
EBITDA
Assets
June 2018
33
Disclaimer: This document is produced by the Economic Research & Investment Strategy Department of Piraeus Bank (hereinafter "the Bank"), which is supervised by the European Central
Bank (ECB), in collaboration with the Bank of Greece and is sent or provided to third parties, without any obligation of its author. This document or any part of it should not be duplicated in any
way without the prior written consent of its author.
The information or opinions included in this document are addressed to existing or potential clients in a general manner, without taking into account the particular circumstances, the
investment objectives, the financial ability, the experience and/or knowledge of the potential recipients of this document and, as a result, they do not constitute or should not be considered
neither as a solicitation or offer for the conduct of transactions in financial instruments or currencies nor as a recommendation or advice for decision making in relation to those. Taking into
account the aforementioned, the recipient of the information contained in this document should proceed with his/her own research, analysis, and confirmation of the information which is
included in this document and seek for independent and professional legal, tax and investment advice, before proceeding with any investment decision making.
The information depicted in this document is relied on sources that the Bank considers to be reliable and is provided on an "as is" basis, however, the Bank cannot warrant as to their accuracy
and completeness. The opinions and estimates herein are related to the trend of the local and international financial markets at the indicated date (prices at closing time) and are subject to
changes without any prior notice. Notwithstanding the above, the Bank might include in this document investment researches, which have been conducted by third persons. In this case, the
Bank does not modify those researches, but it presents them on an "as is" basis, therefore, no responsibility is assumed in relation to the content of the aforementioned investment researches.
The Bank is under no duty to update the information contained in this document. Considering the above, the Bank, the members of its Board of Directors and the relevant persons assume no
responsibility for the information included in the present document and/or for the outcome of any investment decisions made according to such information.
Piraeus Bank Group is an organisation with a significant presence in the Greek market and an increasing one in the international markets providing a wide range of investment services. In the
context of investment services offered by the Bank and/or any other Piraeus Group companies in general, there might be cases whereby conflict of interests may arise in relation to the
information provided herein. Reference should be made to the fact that the Bank, the relevant persons and/or other Piraeus Group companies indicatively:
a. Are not subject to any prohibition in relation to trading on own account or in the course of providing portfolio management services prior to the publication of this document or the
acquisition of any shares prior to any public offering or the acquisition of any other securities.
b. May offer upon remuneration investment banking services to issuers for whom this document may contain information.
c. May participate to the issuers' share capital or acquire other securities issued by the aforementioned issuers or attract other financial interests from them.
d. Might provide market making or underwriting services to issuers that might be mentioned in this document.
e. Might have published papers the content of which is different or incompatible to the information presented herein.
The Bank as well as the other Piraeus Group's companies have enacted, implement and maintain an effective policy, which prevents circumstances that may give rise to conflicts of interests
and the dissemination of any information among the departments ("chinese walls") and they also constantly comply with the provisions and regulations relevant to inside information and
market abuse. Also, the Bank confirms that it doesn't have any kind of interest or conflict of interest with a) any other legal entity or person that could have participated in the preparation of
the present document and b) with any other legal entity or person that couldn't have participated in the preparation of the present document, but had access to it before its publication.
It is duly stated that: the investments described in the present document include investment risks, among which the risk of losing the entire capital invested. In particular, it is stated that;
a. The figures presented herein refer to the past and that the past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
b. In case the figures refer to simulated past performance, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
c. The return on investments might be positively or negatively affected as a result of currency fluctuations, in case the figures are denominated in a foreign currency (other than Euro).
d. Any forecasts in relation to future performance, may not be a reliable indicator of future performance.
e. The tax treatment of the information as well as transactions pertained in this document, depends on each investor's individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. As a
result, the recipient should seek for independent advice in relation to the applicable tax legislation.
The distribution of the present document outside Greece and/or to persons governed by foreign law may be subject to restrictions or prohibitions according to the applicable legislation.
Therefore, the recipient of the present should seek for independent advice in relation to the applicable legislation, in order to look into such restrictions and/or prohibitions.
June 2018

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Ar csr 2014 presentation
Ar csr 2014 presentationAr csr 2014 presentation
Ar csr 2014 presentationCapitakenya
 
Restructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English version
Restructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English versionRestructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English version
Restructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English versionOECDglobal
 
Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...
Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...
Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...OECD, Economics Department
 
An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...
An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...
An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...Alexander Decker
 
World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013
World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013
World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013SOS Interim Management
 
Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...
Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...
Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...OECD, Economics Department
 
Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...
Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...
Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...OECD, Economics Department
 
Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers
Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers
Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers Ageas
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

Oecd equity-review-asia-2019
Oecd equity-review-asia-2019Oecd equity-review-asia-2019
Oecd equity-review-asia-2019
 
Ar csr 2014 presentation
Ar csr 2014 presentationAr csr 2014 presentation
Ar csr 2014 presentation
 
2016 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings
2016 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings2016 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings
2016 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings
 
Methodologies to Measure Market Competition – DUSO – June 2021 OECD discussion
Methodologies to Measure Market Competition – DUSO – June 2021 OECD discussionMethodologies to Measure Market Competition – DUSO – June 2021 OECD discussion
Methodologies to Measure Market Competition – DUSO – June 2021 OECD discussion
 
Stephen Thomsen, OECD, 2014 ASEAN-OECD Investment Policy Conference
Stephen Thomsen, OECD, 2014 ASEAN-OECD Investment Policy ConferenceStephen Thomsen, OECD, 2014 ASEAN-OECD Investment Policy Conference
Stephen Thomsen, OECD, 2014 ASEAN-OECD Investment Policy Conference
 
OECD Capital Market Review of Croatia 2021
OECD Capital Market Review of Croatia 2021OECD Capital Market Review of Croatia 2021
OECD Capital Market Review of Croatia 2021
 
Restructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English version
Restructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English versionRestructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English version
Restructuring of State-Owned Enterprises - English version
 
Role of state-owned enterprises in economic development in China - Zhengjun Z...
Role of state-owned enterprises in economic development in China - Zhengjun Z...Role of state-owned enterprises in economic development in China - Zhengjun Z...
Role of state-owned enterprises in economic development in China - Zhengjun Z...
 
Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...
Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...
Digitization Market Power Regulatory Responses Korinek Xuan IMF-OECD-WB Produ...
 
Productivity and structural reforms
Productivity and structural reformsProductivity and structural reforms
Productivity and structural reforms
 
An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...
An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...
An empirical assessment of the effect of corporate restructuring in the banki...
 
World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013
World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013
World Co-operative Monitor Report 2013
 
Photos from the Competition Assessment Review of Romania launch - Bucharest, ...
Photos from the Competition Assessment Review of Romania launch - Bucharest, ...Photos from the Competition Assessment Review of Romania launch - Bucharest, ...
Photos from the Competition Assessment Review of Romania launch - Bucharest, ...
 
2017 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings
2017 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings2017 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings
2017 OECD Business and Finance Outlook Key Findings
 
Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...
Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...
Laying the foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth OECD economic s...
 
Final MKSI Presentation
Final MKSI PresentationFinal MKSI Presentation
Final MKSI Presentation
 
Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...
Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...
Competition regulation in services Canton IMF-OECD-WB Product Market Competit...
 
Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers
Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers
Investor Day 2012 - Distribution and Customers
 
World Watch Issue
World Watch IssueWorld Watch Issue
World Watch Issue
 
Sustainable finance in Nordic-Baltic, 2018
Sustainable finance in Nordic-Baltic, 2018Sustainable finance in Nordic-Baltic, 2018
Sustainable finance in Nordic-Baltic, 2018
 

Ähnlich wie How much do Greek non-viable enterprises cost: Findings from an enterprise restructuring simulation exercise

Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...
Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...
Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...Ilias Lekkos
 
ACCIONA first quarter 2018 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2018 resultsACCIONA first quarter 2018 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2018 resultsacciona
 
Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016
Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016
Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016FERMA
 
Dupont analysis and evaluating a company's business model
Dupont analysis and evaluating a company's business modelDupont analysis and evaluating a company's business model
Dupont analysis and evaluating a company's business modelMalcolm Sullivan
 
ACCIONA H1 2018 Results
ACCIONA H1 2018 ResultsACCIONA H1 2018 Results
ACCIONA H1 2018 Resultsacciona
 
ACCIONA H1 2019 Results
ACCIONA H1 2019 ResultsACCIONA H1 2019 Results
ACCIONA H1 2019 Resultsacciona
 
ACCIONA H1 2017 Results
ACCIONA H1 2017 ResultsACCIONA H1 2017 Results
ACCIONA H1 2017 Resultsacciona
 
#ACCIONA9M18 results report
#ACCIONA9M18 results report#ACCIONA9M18 results report
#ACCIONA9M18 results reportacciona
 
Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013
Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013
Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013Scorpio Partnership
 
Sopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectives
Sopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectivesSopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectives
Sopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectivesSopra Steria India
 
ACCIONA first quarter 2019 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2019 resultsACCIONA first quarter 2019 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2019 resultsacciona
 
#ACCIONA9M17 results report
#ACCIONA9M17 results report#ACCIONA9M17 results report
#ACCIONA9M17 results reportacciona
 
Unit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docx
Unit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docxUnit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docx
Unit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docxmarilucorr
 
The Total Revenue And Total Cost
The Total Revenue And Total CostThe Total Revenue And Total Cost
The Total Revenue And Total CostJenny Calhoon
 
2020 nine-month results
2020 nine-month results2020 nine-month results
2020 nine-month resultsSnam
 
Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016
Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016
Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016Linas Grigali?nas
 
ACCIONA Results Report 2017
ACCIONA Results Report 2017ACCIONA Results Report 2017
ACCIONA Results Report 2017acciona
 
Cidse statement russia_g20
Cidse statement russia_g20Cidse statement russia_g20
Cidse statement russia_g20ManfredNolte
 
Bakytbek Begaliev final project
Bakytbek Begaliev final projectBakytbek Begaliev final project
Bakytbek Begaliev final projectBakytbek Begaliev
 

Ähnlich wie How much do Greek non-viable enterprises cost: Findings from an enterprise restructuring simulation exercise (20)

Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...
Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...
Enterprise Rating System: Update of the rating system for small and medium Gr...
 
ACCIONA first quarter 2018 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2018 resultsACCIONA first quarter 2018 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2018 results
 
Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016
Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016
Country-by-Country Reporting proposal - Working Breakfast 28 June 2016
 
Dupont analysis and evaluating a company's business model
Dupont analysis and evaluating a company's business modelDupont analysis and evaluating a company's business model
Dupont analysis and evaluating a company's business model
 
ACCIONA H1 2018 Results
ACCIONA H1 2018 ResultsACCIONA H1 2018 Results
ACCIONA H1 2018 Results
 
ACCIONA H1 2019 Results
ACCIONA H1 2019 ResultsACCIONA H1 2019 Results
ACCIONA H1 2019 Results
 
ACCIONA H1 2017 Results
ACCIONA H1 2017 ResultsACCIONA H1 2017 Results
ACCIONA H1 2017 Results
 
#ACCIONA9M18 results report
#ACCIONA9M18 results report#ACCIONA9M18 results report
#ACCIONA9M18 results report
 
Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013
Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013
Scorpio Partnership Global Private Banking Benchmark report 2013
 
Sopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectives
Sopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectivesSopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectives
Sopra Steria: First-half 2016 in line with 2017 objectives
 
ACCIONA first quarter 2019 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2019 resultsACCIONA first quarter 2019 results
ACCIONA first quarter 2019 results
 
1Q17 Financial Report
1Q17 Financial Report 1Q17 Financial Report
1Q17 Financial Report
 
#ACCIONA9M17 results report
#ACCIONA9M17 results report#ACCIONA9M17 results report
#ACCIONA9M17 results report
 
Unit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docx
Unit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docxUnit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docx
Unit VII Essay Write an essay discussing how an obstruction co.docx
 
The Total Revenue And Total Cost
The Total Revenue And Total CostThe Total Revenue And Total Cost
The Total Revenue And Total Cost
 
2020 nine-month results
2020 nine-month results2020 nine-month results
2020 nine-month results
 
Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016
Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016
Commentary - Top 5 Europe Based Multiline Insurance Groups 09Sep2016
 
ACCIONA Results Report 2017
ACCIONA Results Report 2017ACCIONA Results Report 2017
ACCIONA Results Report 2017
 
Cidse statement russia_g20
Cidse statement russia_g20Cidse statement russia_g20
Cidse statement russia_g20
 
Bakytbek Begaliev final project
Bakytbek Begaliev final projectBakytbek Begaliev final project
Bakytbek Begaliev final project
 

Mehr von Ilias Lekkos

“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...
“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...
“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...Ilias Lekkos
 
Greek Economy: Trends and Prospects
Greek Economy: Trends and ProspectsGreek Economy: Trends and Prospects
Greek Economy: Trends and ProspectsIlias Lekkos
 
Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020
Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020
Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020Ilias Lekkos
 
Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece: Recovery with slow but st...
Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece:  Recovery with slow but st...Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece:  Recovery with slow but st...
Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece: Recovery with slow but st...Ilias Lekkos
 
A structural model for forecasting the shipping market
A structural model for forecasting the shipping marketA structural model for forecasting the shipping market
A structural model for forecasting the shipping marketIlias Lekkos
 
Greek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving Prospects
Greek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving ProspectsGreek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving Prospects
Greek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving ProspectsIlias Lekkos
 
Understanding greek government bond spreads
Understanding greek government bond spreadsUnderstanding greek government bond spreads
Understanding greek government bond spreadsIlias Lekkos
 
Primary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking system
Primary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking systemPrimary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking system
Primary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking systemIlias Lekkos
 
PIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL: 2016 RANKINGS
PIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL:  2016 RANKINGSPIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL:  2016 RANKINGS
PIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL: 2016 RANKINGSIlias Lekkos
 
Evaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating System
Evaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating SystemEvaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating System
Evaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating SystemIlias Lekkos
 
Greek Sovereign Rating Model
Greek Sovereign Rating ModelGreek Sovereign Rating Model
Greek Sovereign Rating ModelIlias Lekkos
 
My views on Greece's participation in QE
My views on Greece's participation in QEMy views on Greece's participation in QE
My views on Greece's participation in QEIlias Lekkos
 
2010 - 2016: Greece & Events
2010 - 2016: Greece & Events2010 - 2016: Greece & Events
2010 - 2016: Greece & EventsIlias Lekkos
 
A Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest Rates
A Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest RatesA Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest Rates
A Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest RatesIlias Lekkos
 
Investment led Growth: Expectations vs Reality
Investment led Growth: Expectations vs RealityInvestment led Growth: Expectations vs Reality
Investment led Growth: Expectations vs RealityIlias Lekkos
 
Greek fixed income MONITOR
Greek fixed income MONITORGreek fixed income MONITOR
Greek fixed income MONITORIlias Lekkos
 
Greek Economic Outlook 2016
Greek Economic Outlook 2016Greek Economic Outlook 2016
Greek Economic Outlook 2016Ilias Lekkos
 
Piraeus Bank Shipping Index
Piraeus Bank Shipping IndexPiraeus Bank Shipping Index
Piraeus Bank Shipping IndexIlias Lekkos
 
Piraeus Bank Greek History Channel
Piraeus Bank Greek History ChannelPiraeus Bank Greek History Channel
Piraeus Bank Greek History ChannelIlias Lekkos
 
Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015
Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015
Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015Ilias Lekkos
 

Mehr von Ilias Lekkos (20)

“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...
“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...
“Over” and “Under” Valued Financial Institutions: Evidence from a “Fair-Value...
 
Greek Economy: Trends and Prospects
Greek Economy: Trends and ProspectsGreek Economy: Trends and Prospects
Greek Economy: Trends and Prospects
 
Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020
Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020
Greek Sovereign Bonds: On the verge of regaining investment grade status by 2020
 
Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece: Recovery with slow but st...
Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece:  Recovery with slow but st...Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece:  Recovery with slow but st...
Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Greece: Recovery with slow but st...
 
A structural model for forecasting the shipping market
A structural model for forecasting the shipping marketA structural model for forecasting the shipping market
A structural model for forecasting the shipping market
 
Greek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving Prospects
Greek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving ProspectsGreek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving Prospects
Greek Economic Outlook: Positive Sentiment - Improving Prospects
 
Understanding greek government bond spreads
Understanding greek government bond spreadsUnderstanding greek government bond spreads
Understanding greek government bond spreads
 
Primary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking system
Primary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking systemPrimary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking system
Primary surplus vs the liquidity of the greek banking system
 
PIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL: 2016 RANKINGS
PIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL:  2016 RANKINGSPIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL:  2016 RANKINGS
PIRAEUS BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSESSMENT MODEL: 2016 RANKINGS
 
Evaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating System
Evaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating SystemEvaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating System
Evaluating the Greek Corporate Universe: The Enterprise Rating System
 
Greek Sovereign Rating Model
Greek Sovereign Rating ModelGreek Sovereign Rating Model
Greek Sovereign Rating Model
 
My views on Greece's participation in QE
My views on Greece's participation in QEMy views on Greece's participation in QE
My views on Greece's participation in QE
 
2010 - 2016: Greece & Events
2010 - 2016: Greece & Events2010 - 2016: Greece & Events
2010 - 2016: Greece & Events
 
A Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest Rates
A Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest RatesA Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest Rates
A Critique of Factor Analysis of Interest Rates
 
Investment led Growth: Expectations vs Reality
Investment led Growth: Expectations vs RealityInvestment led Growth: Expectations vs Reality
Investment led Growth: Expectations vs Reality
 
Greek fixed income MONITOR
Greek fixed income MONITORGreek fixed income MONITOR
Greek fixed income MONITOR
 
Greek Economic Outlook 2016
Greek Economic Outlook 2016Greek Economic Outlook 2016
Greek Economic Outlook 2016
 
Piraeus Bank Shipping Index
Piraeus Bank Shipping IndexPiraeus Bank Shipping Index
Piraeus Bank Shipping Index
 
Piraeus Bank Greek History Channel
Piraeus Bank Greek History ChannelPiraeus Bank Greek History Channel
Piraeus Bank Greek History Channel
 
Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015
Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015
Greek Fixed Income Monitor - Oct 2015
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...
Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...
Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...priyasharma62062
 
Strategic Resources May 2024 Corporate Presentation
Strategic Resources May 2024 Corporate PresentationStrategic Resources May 2024 Corporate Presentation
Strategic Resources May 2024 Corporate PresentationAdnet Communications
 
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech BelgiumWebinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech BelgiumFinTech Belgium
 
Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...
Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...
Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...amitlee9823
 
cost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptx
cost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptxcost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptx
cost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptxazadalisthp2020i
 
Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...
Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...
Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...priyasharma62062
 
VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...
VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...
VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...priyasharma62062
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlookTechnology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlookTechFinland
 
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdfPension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdfHenry Tapper
 
Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432
Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432
Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432motiram463
 
Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...
Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...
Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...priyasharma62062
 
Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...
Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...
Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...priyasharma62062
 
Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...
Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...
Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...priyasharma62062
 
CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...
CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...
CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...priyasharma62062
 
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...Henry Tapper
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...
Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...
Navi Mumbai Cooperetive Housewife Call Girls-9833754194-Natural Panvel Enjoye...
 
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
 
Strategic Resources May 2024 Corporate Presentation
Strategic Resources May 2024 Corporate PresentationStrategic Resources May 2024 Corporate Presentation
Strategic Resources May 2024 Corporate Presentation
 
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech BelgiumWebinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
 
Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...
Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...
Call Girls Banaswadi Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Ban...
 
cost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptx
cost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptxcost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptx
cost-volume-profit analysis.ppt(managerial accounting).pptx
 
Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...
Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...
Vasai-Virar High Profile Model Call Girls📞9833754194-Nalasopara Satisfy Call ...
 
VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...
VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...
VIP Call Girl in Mumbai Central 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Ever...
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Bandra West 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Esc...
 
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
Mira Road Memorable Call Grls Number-9833754194-Bhayandar Speciallty Call Gir...
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
 
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlookTechnology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlook
 
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdfPension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
 
Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432
Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432
Best VIP Call Girls Morni Hills Just Click Me 6367492432
 
Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...
Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...
Kopar Khairane Russian Call Girls Number-9833754194-Navi Mumbai Fantastic Unl...
 
Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...
Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...
Kharghar Blowjob Housewife Call Girls NUmber-9833754194-CBD Belapur Internati...
 
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
From Luxury Escort Service Kamathipura : 9352852248 Make on-demand Arrangemen...
 
Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...
Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...
Diva-Thane European Call Girls Number-9833754194-Diva Busty Professional Call...
 
CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...
CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...
CBD Belapur Expensive Housewife Call Girls Number-📞📞9833754194 No 1 Vipp HIgh...
 
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
 

How much do Greek non-viable enterprises cost: Findings from an enterprise restructuring simulation exercise

  • 1. How much do Greek non-viable enterprises cost: Findings from an enterprise restructuring simulation exercise June 2018 Ilias Lekkos Paraskevi Vlachou ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INVESTMENT STRATEGY
  • 2. Contents of study 2 1. Purpose of the study | key findings 2. Methodology for identifying non-viable enterprises June 2018 5. Appendix 4. Simulation exercise of non-viable enterprises resolution | Impact on financial figures and results 3. Mapping Greek entrepreneurship: non-viable vs. viable enterprises
  • 3. 3June 2018 1. Purpose of the study | key findings
  • 4. 4 Purpose of the study The prolonged and deep economic recession has had an immense impact on the profitability of the Greek corporate sector, which in turn led to a steep increase in non-performing loans and consequently to the creation of a whole “generation” of non-viable or “zombie” firms. In the past, all the attempts to address the problem either from the Greek state or from the banking system have been timid or fragmented, resulting –in most cases – in generating vicious cycles of forbearance and evergreening which kept alive a substantial number of enterprises without any realistic hope of recovery. However, maintaining a significant percentage of non-viable corporations in operation entails significant costs not only for the business and the banking sectors but for the entire economy as well. This happens because, as non-viable enterprises operate with low levels of productivity, they lower the productivity of the whole economy. In addition, as long as they remain alive, they trap production factors (capital and labour), thus preventing the expansion of viable enterprises. At the same time, as they do not operate on purely profit maximisation criteria, they “contaminate” the profitability of the rest of the economy. Finally, non- performing loans burden the profitability and capital adequacy of banks, restrict the financing of viable enterprises and increase the cost of funding for the entire economy. As the conditions for more radical and long-term solutions to the problems of the domestic entrepreneurship seem to mature, at the same time there is a more urgent need to assess the potential benefit that can be gained for all stakeholders from a large-scale restructuring programme of Greek non-viable enterprises. June 2018
  • 5. 5 This need is addressed in the present study, which attempts to assess the potential benefits of restructuring non-viable enterprises as follows: As a first step, the Greek corporate sector is divided into viable and non-viable enterprises and their distinct performance is estimated in terms of profitability, capital structure and liabilities. Having defined the two distinct populations of (viable and non-viable) enterprises, we then proceed by simulating the outcome (in terms of profitability, turnover and “curing” of liabilities) that would result from a theoretical business restructuring programme, where non-viable enterprises are resolved and their assets (and part of their liabilities) are absorbed by viable companies of similar size and average (for their size) performance. A key assumption of the simulation scenario is that the percentage of the liabilities that will be transferred to the viable corporates will be such that will not alter their pre-absorption balance sheet structure (i.e. the viable companies’ liabilities/total assets ratio will remain the same in both pre- and post-absorption states). The part of the liabilities that will be transferred will become performing/current again, providing an indication of the non-performing liabilities curing rate. The remaining part of the liabilities that will be left behind will have to be written-off, thus providing an estimate of the restructuring costs to the creditors of non-viable enterprises. June 2018 Purpose of the study
  • 6. 6 Key findings (I): Characteristics of non-viable enterprises June 2018 Starting from a very conservative definition, according to which a non-viable enterprise is an enterprise that is in operation for at least five (5) – in order to exclude the start-ups – and for three (3) consecutive years its profitability levels are so low that they are insufficient to cover current interest expenses (i.e. in technical terms, the financial expense coverage ratio is less than one). Based on the above, the following conclusions can be reached: • Non-viable enterprises account for 7.1% of the total sample in 2016. The percentage of non-viable enterprises aged between 21 and 40 years is particular high (37.8%). • Most non-viable enterprises (8.2%) are micro enterprises, followed by medium-sized (6%) and small (5.2%) enterprises, while the lowest percentage (4.4%) is recorded amongst large enterprises. However, because of their size, the economic impact of large non-viable enterprises is significantly higher compared to that of other size cohorts. • Trapped in non-viable enterprises is productive capacity (as reflected by their asset value) amounting to €28.4 bn, which equals to 16.3% of GDP. • Accordingly, non-viable enterprises have undertaken €23.5 bn liabilities or 22.6% of the total liabilities (which by and large are non-performing) and have €613 mn of annual financial expenses. • On average, viable enterprises do not have very high liabilities to assets ratio (56.1%), whereas non-viable enterprises have a significantly higher ratio (82.6%). • The results of non-viable businesses at EBITDA level amount to €-413 mn, while at the level before taxes they reach €-1.3 bn. Thus, the EBITDA margin stands at -10.3% and the return on assets ( ROA) at -1.5%.
  • 7. 7 Key findings (II): Benefits from viable enterprises absorbing non- viable ones The fact that more than 16.5% of the total productive capacity (assets) of the non-financial sector of the Greek economy is trapped in non-viable business schemes presents a huge cost not only for the enterprises themselves and their creditors (suppliers, banks, public state bodies, etc.) but for the whole community as well. The methodology developed to assess the potential benefit from a restructuring programme for non-viable enterprises is a simulation exercise according to which the total assets and a part of liabilities of the enterprises identified as non-viable are absorbed by viable enterprises of similar size. The results of this exercise show that: • The potential profitability (EBITDA) increase is €2.6 bn. • The potential operating revenue increase is estimated at €16.7 bn. • The liabilities that – through their takeover by viable enterprises – could be repaid again amount to €15.9 bn. • The cost of restructuring in terms of “haircutting” part of the liabilities – that will not be transferred to the viable enterprises – is estimated at €7.6 bn. June 2018
  • 8. Micro Small Medium-sized Large Total Assets under absorption €2.3 bn €2 bn €9.1 bn €15.1 bn €28.4 bn Potential EBITDA increase €239.2 mn €260.4 mn €883 mn €1.2 bn €2.6 bn Potential operating revenue increase €618.6 mn €835.2 mn €5.6 bn €9.7 bn €16.7 bn “Curing” of liabilities €1.2 bn €1.2 bn €5.1 bn €8.5 bn €15.9 bn “Haircut” of liabilities €937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn % of “haircut” 44.7% 36.9% 15.9% 37.1% 32.3% Change in equity after absorption €937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn 8 Summary of resolution simulation results: Viable enterprises absorbing non-viable ones June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 9. 9June 2018 2. Methodology for identifying non-viable enterprises
  • 10. For the purpose of this analysis, all enterprises, both SA and LTD, were examined, without any size criteria. Furthermore, all non- financial sectors of economic activity were examined according to the NACE rev. 2 classification, except for the following: Κ: Financial and insurance activities O: Public administration and defence; compulsory social security Τ: Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods – and services – producing activities of households for own use U: Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies Enterprise sample selection 10June 2018 134,928 105,302 100,118 95,122 Observations of enterprises with available data for assets 2012-2016 Source / date of financial data extract: ICAP DATA / March 2018 Observations of enterprises with available data for: • EBITDA • financial expenses • total operating revenue • year of foundation Observations of enterprises with asset value ≥ €90,000* Observations of enterprises with total operating revenue value ≥ €34,000* Final number of observations of enterprises 2012-2016 * Based on the criterion > 5th percentile of the observation distribution, the respective value thresholds applied to assets and operating revenue.
  • 11. Non-viable enterprise Definitions of non-viable enterprises and enterprise size cohorts 11June 2018 * Similar approaches, but with higher enterprise age limits, have been applied in international studies, e.g. OECD. Indicative literature: • Adalat McGowan, Andrews and Millot (2017), The Walking Dead? Zombie firms and productivity performance in OECD countries, Economics Department Working Papers No. 1372, OECD, January 2017 • Adalat McGowan, Andrews and Millot (2017), Insolvency regimes, zombie firms and capital reallocation, Economics Department Working Papers No. 1399, OECD, June 2017 By adopting the size limits in line with the definition of SMEs given by the European Commission (Commission Recommendation 2003/361/EC), not for the turnover, but for total operating revenue, the following definitions apply: – micro: an enterprise with annual operating revenue up to two mn euros (≤€2 mn), – small: an enterprise with annual operating revenue between two and ten mn euros (€2 mn, €10 mn], – medium-sized: an enterprise with annual operating revenue between ten and 50 mn euros (€10 mn, €50 mn] and, – large: an enterprise with annual operating revenue exceeding 50 mn euros (>€50 mn) An enterprise is non-viable when it satisfies two criteria*: – for three (3) consecutive years, EBITDA is not enough to cover the financial expenses. That is, financial expense coverage ratio is less than one (≤1). – it is not a start-up. Therefore, an age limit of the enterprise was set to be five (5) years or older. Enterprise size cohorts
  • 12. 12June 2018 3. Mapping Greek entrepreneurship: non-viable vs. viable enterprises
  • 13. Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (I): Non-viable enterprises accounted for 7.1% of total enterprises in 2016 13Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 • In 2016, out of a sample of 11,165 enterprises, 794 are characterised as non-viable (7.1% of the total sample), i.e. they have financial expenses coverage ratio less than one for three consecutive years and are at least five years in operation. • Most non-viable enterprises (8.2%) are micro enterprises, followed by medium-sized (6%) and small (5.2%) enterprises, while the lowest percentage (4.4%) is recorded in the large enterprises. However, because of their size, the economic impact of the large non-viable enterprises is significantly higher than the other size cohorts. Shares of non-viable enterprises to total, by size cohort, 2016 7.1% 8.2% 5.2% 6.0% 4.4% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large
  • 14. 14Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 • The established enterprises – older than 11 years old – exhibit increasingly higher difficulty in servicing their financial obligations, and potentially have viability problems, based on the criterion that the financial expense coverage ratio is less than one for three consecutive years. • The percentage of non-viable enterprises aged between 21 and 40 years is particular high (37.8%). Shares of non-viable enterprises by age cohort, 2016 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (II): Older enterprises are the most at risk 15.6% 30.1% 37.8% 16.5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 5-10 11-20 21-40 41+
  • 15. 15Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (ΙΙΙ): €28.4 bn of assets and €4.9 bn of equity sunk in non-viable enterprises Assets, 2016 (in mn euros) Equity, 2016 (in mn euros) • €28.4 bn assets are trapped in non-viable enterprises, a value equivalent to 16.6% of total assets in our sample in 2016. • In terms of asset value, the highest concentration of non- viable enterprises is concentrated in the large and medium- sized cohort. • The equity of non-viable enterprises amounts to €4.9 bn in total, which accounts for only 7.3% of the total equity in our sample. • Small non-viable enterprises have the lowest equity value of just €185 mn, followed by the micro ones with € 211 mn. • Medium-sized enterprises have the highest value of equity among the size classes of non-viable enterprises, reaching €3 bn. • The equity of large non-viable enterprises is €1.6 bn, accounting for just 3.9% of the equity of all large enterprises. 28,427 2,307 2,014 9,053 15,053 143,202 10,206 16,267 26,981 89,747 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large Non-viable Viable 4,941 211 185 2,973 1,572 62,932 5,077 6,949 11,736 39,171 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large Non-viable Viable
  • 16. 16Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (IV): non-viable enterprises have undertaken €23.5 bn liabilities and have to service €613 mn of financial expenses Total liabilities, 2016 (in mn euros) Financial expenses, 2016 (in mn euros) • Non-viable enterprises have undertaken €23.5 bn liabilities or 22.6% of the total. • Out of the €23.5 bn total liabilities of non-viable enterprises, the largest amount (€13.5 bn) are liabilities held by large enterprises. • Non-viable enterprises have to service €613 mn financial expenses, which represents 20.6% of the financial expenses of all enterprises in our sample. • Medium-sized and large non-viable enterprises have the highest financial expenses amounting to €244 mn and €241 mn respectively. 23,486 2,097 1,829 6,079 13,481 80,269 5,130 9,318 15,245 50,576 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large Non-viable Viable 613 68 60 244 241 2,367 139 262 469 1,498 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large Non-viable Viable
  • 17. 17Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (V): non-viable enterprises record only €4 bn operating revenue and €413 mn losses at EBITDA level Operating revenue, 2016 (in mn euros) EBITDA, 2016 (in mn euros) • The income statement results reveal the low efficiency of non- viable enterprises. • Non-viable enterprises account for 3.7% of total operating revenue, i.e. just €4 bn when viable enterprises earn €104.2 bn. • In terms of operating revenue the large non-viable enterprises record the worst performance earning only 2.3% of the cohort’s total. • At EBITDA level, non-viable enterprises record €413 mn losses, when viable ones earn €11 bn EBITDA profits. • Micro enterprises have the worst overall performance given that non-viable enterprises record €133 mn of losses and viable ones earn only €470 mn of EBITDA profits. • Large non-viable enterprises is the only size cohort that manages to record (a tiny) profit of just €1.8 mn EBITDA profits. 4,022 313 642 1,517 1,550 104,150 4,121 11,930 21,299 66,800 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large Non-viable Viable -413 -133 -109 -173 1.8 10,938 470 1,221 2,117 7,131 -500 1,500 3,500 5,500 7,500 9,500 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large Non-viable Viable
  • 18. 18Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (VI): the losses of non-viable enterprises expand to €1.3 bn in the results before taxes Results before taxes, 2016 (in mn euros) • The loss-making performance of non-viable enterprises is further expanded to €1.3 bn when considering the net results before taxes. • Medium non-viable enterprises record the highest losses (€546 mn) followed by large ones (€282 mn). • The losses before taxes of micro non-viable enterprises are so high (€228 mn) compared to €96 mn profits of viable ones that this size cohort is overall loss making to the tune of €132.2 mn. -1,312 -228 -255 -546 -282 4,829 96 601 1,056 3,076 -1,500 -500 500 1,500 2,500 3,500 4,500 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large Non-viable Viable
  • 19. 19Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 • The average EBITDA margin of non-viable enterprises stands at -10.3%, when viable enterprises achieve 10.5% on average. • The performance gap of micro enterprises is high, as at the same time non-viable enterprises have the worst average negative profit margin at -42.5% and viable ones have the highest EBITDA margin (11.4%). • As the size of the enterprise grows, the underperformace in terms of profit margins becomes less pronounced. • The large non-viable enterprises have a slightly positive average EBITDA margin (0.1%), with the average performance of viable large enterprises at 10.7%. EBITDA margin, 2016 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (VΙI): -10.3% EBITDA margin for non-viable enterprises versus 10.5% for viable enterprises -10.3% -42.5% -17.0% -11.4% 0.1% 10.5% 11.4% 10.2% 9.9% 10.7% Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% Non-viable Viable
  • 20. 20Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 Return on assets based on EBITDA, 2016 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (VΙII): -1.5% return on assets for non-viable enterprises versus 7.6% for viable enterprises • The efficiency of non-viable enterprises is poor, with their return on assets at -1.5%, compared to 7.6% for viable enterprises. • The larger the size of the enterprise, the higher the average operating return on assets for the viable enterprises and the more moderate the negative performance for the non-viable ones. • Large enterprises is the only size cohort with a slightly positive average return on assets of the non-viable enterprises. -1.5% -5.8% -5.4% -1.9% 0.0% 7.6% 4.6% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Non-viable Viable
  • 21. 21Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 Liabilities to total assets, 2016 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (IX): high leverage of non-viable enterprises, with liabilities amounting to 82.6% of the total assets, significantly worse compared to viable ones that stand at 56.1% • On average, leverage in viable enterprises is contained with a ratio of liabilities to assets at 56.1%. whereas for non- viable enterprises it is significantly higher (82.6%). • Micro and small non-viable enterprises seem to finance their assets mainly from liabilities (90.9% and 90.8% respectively). • Medium-sized non-viable enterprises have on average a more moderate leverage at 67.2%. Compared to the other size cohorts, this category does not deviate much from the respective percentage of viable enterprises (56.5%). 82.6% 90.9% 90.8% 67.2% 89.6% 56.1% 50.3% 57.3% 56.5% 56.4% Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Non-viable Viable
  • 22. 22Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATAJune 2018 Asset turnover, 2016 Mapping Greek entrepreneurship (X): Low asset turnover of viable enterprises (0.14x) versus viable ones (0.73x) • All non-viable enterprises operate with limited utilisation of their assets, which on average produce operating revenue only 0.14x, versus 0.73x in the case of viable enterprises. • Among the size categories of non-viable enterprises, the small ones seem to have the highest utilisation of their assets for making operating revenue (0.32x). However, this performance is poor compared to viable small enterprises (0.73x). • The performance of micro enterprises is in general low, as the asset turnover of non-viable enterprises is low (0.14x) whereas the one of viable micro enterprises is well below the total of viable enterprises (0.4x). 0.14 0.14 0.32 0.17 0.10 0.73 0.40 0.73 0.79 0.74 Total Micro Small Medium-sized Large 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 Non-viable Viable
  • 23. 23June 2018 4. Simulation exercise of non-viable enterprises resolution | Impact on financial figures and results
  • 24. 24 Motivation and outline of the non-viable enterprises' resolution simulation exercise (a) The fact that more than 16.5% of the total productive capacity (assets) of the non-financial sector of the Greek economy is trapped in non-viable business endeavors presents a huge cost not only to the enterprises themselves and their creditors (suppliers, banks, public sector entities, etc.) but to the whole society as well. This cost, inter alia, stems from the fact that the non-viable enterprises operate with a much lower level of efficiency. As we have already estimated, the return on assets of the large viable enterprises is 7.9% compared to 0% of the respective non-viable enterprises. At the same time, the viable enterprises are able to achieve a significantly higher turnover (or in general, operating revenues) than the corresponding non- viable ones. Therefore, a reasonable way of estimating the potential benefit of a large-scale restructuring program for the non-viable enterprises is to simulate the economic outcome that would result from the resolution of these companies and the absorption of their assets from viable ones of similar size and performance equal to the average performance recorded in their size cohort. The more rational and efficient use of these assets will lead to an increase of turnover (and generally of operating revenue) and profitability of the entire Greek economy. June 2018
  • 25. 25 Last but not least, the restructuring of non-viable enterprises will have significant impact on the liabilities’ side of their balance sheets. Based on the figures for 2016, the liabilities of non-viable enterprises (to banks, suppliers, social security funds, etc.) amount to €23.5 bn in total and to a great extent they are not serviced on time. As part of the resolution exercise viable companies will have to undertake part of the non-viable enterprises’ liabilities. A key assumption of the simulation scenario is that the percentage of the liabilities that will be transferred to the viable corporates will be such that will not alter their pre-absorption balance sheet structure (i.e. the viable companies’ liabilities/total assets ratio will be the same in both pre- and post-absorption states). The part of the liabilities that will be transferred will become performing/current again, providing an indication of the non-performing liabilities curing rate. The remaining part of the liabilities that will be left behind will have to be written-off, thus providing an estimate of the restructuring costs to the creditors of non-viable corporates enterprises. June 2018 Motivation and outline of the non-viable enterprises' resolution simulation exercise (b)
  • 26. 26 Micro enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €2.3 bn assets of non-viable enterprises by viable ones June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding Assets Return on assets EBITDA Asset turnover Operating revenue Liabilities to assets Liabilities Equity -5.8% €-133 mn[1] 0.14 €313.1 mn[4] 90.9% €2.1 bn[7] 4.6% €469.5 mn[2] 0.4 €4.1 bn[5] 50.3% €5.1 bn[8] 4.6% €575.7 mn[3] 0.4 €5.1 bn[6] 50.3% €6.3 bn[9] “Curing” of liabilities €1.2 bn [9]-[8] “Haircut” €937.2 mn[10] [9]-[8]-[7] % of “haircut” 44.7% [10]/[7] €5.1 bn[12] Beforeabsorption Non-viable €2.3 bn €210.6 mn[11] After absorption New business scheme €12.5 bn Viable €10.2 bn €6.2 bn[13] Change in equity €937.2 mn [13]-[12]-[11]=[10] Potential EBITDA increase €239.2 mn [3]-[2]-[1] Potential operating revenue increase €618.6 mn [6]-[5]-[4]
  • 27. 27June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Small enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €2 bn assets of non- viable enterprises by viable ones Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding Assets Return on assets EBITDA Asset turnover Operating revenue Liabilities to assets Liabilities Equity -5.4% €-109.2 mn[1] 0.32 €641.6 mn[4] 90.8% €1.8 bn[7] 7.5% €1.2 bn[2] 0.73 €11.9 bn[5] 57.3% €9.3 bn[8] 7.5% €1.4 bn[3] 0.73 €13.4 bn[6] 57.3% €10.5 bn[9] “Curing” of liabilities €1.2 bn [9]-[8] “Haircut” €675.7 mn[10] [9]-[8]-[7] % of “haircut” 36.9% [10]/[7] Beforeabsorption Non-viable €2 bn €184.5 mn[11] Viable €16.3 bn After absorption New business scheme €18.3 bn €7.8 bn[13] €7 bn[12] Potential EBITDA increase €260.4 mn [3]-[2]-[1] Potential operating revenue increase €835.2 mn [6]-[5]-[4] Change in equity €675.7 mn [13]-[12]-[11]=[10]
  • 28. 28June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Medium-sized enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €9.1 bn assets of non-viable enterprises by viable ones Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding Assets Return on assets EBITDA Asset turnover Operating revenue Liabilities to assets Liabilities Equity -1.9% €-172.8 mn[1] 0.17 €1.5 bn[4] 67.2% €6.1 bn[7] 7.8% €2.1 bn[2] 0.79 €21.3 bn[5] 56.5% €15.2 bn[8] 7.8% €2.8 bn[3] 0.79 €28.4 bn[6] 56.5% €20.4 bn[9] “Curing” of liabilities €5.1 bn [9]-[8] “Haircut” €964.4 mn[10] [9]-[8]-[7] % of “haircut” 15.9% [10]/[7] €11.7 bn[12] Beforeabsorption Non-viable €9.1 bn €3 bn[11] After absorption New business scheme €36 bn Viable €27 bn €15.7 bn[13] Change in equity €964.4 mn [13]-[12]-[11]=[10] Potential EBITDA increase €883 mn [3]-[2]-[1] Potential operating revenue increase €5.6 bn [6]-[5]-[4]
  • 29. 29June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA Note: Any differences in results are due to rounding Large enterprises resolution: Simulation of absorption of €15.1 bn assets of non-viable enterprises by viable ones Assets Return on assets EBITDA Asset turnover Operating revenue Liabilities to assets Liabilities Equity 0.0% €1.8 mn[1] 0.1 €1.6 bn[4] 89.6% €13.5 bn[7] 7.9% €7.1 bn[2] 0.74 €66.8 bn[5] 56.4% €50.6 bn[8] 7.9% €8.3 bn[3] 0.74 €78 bn[6] 56.4% €59.1 bn[9] “Curing” of liabilities €8.5 bn [9]-[8] “Haircut” €5 bn[10] [9]-[8]-[7] % of “haircut” 37.1% [10]/[7] Beforeabsorption Non-viable €15.1 bn €1.6 bn[11] Viable €89.7 bn After absorption New business scheme €104.8 bn €45.7 bn[13] €39.2 bn[12] Potential EBITDA increase €1.2 bn [3]-[2]-[1] Potential operating revenue increase €9.7 bn [6]-[5]-[4] Change in equity €5 bn [13]-[12]-[11]=[10]
  • 30. Micro Small Medium-sized Large Total Assets under absorption €2.3 bn €2 bn €9.1 bn €15.1 bn €28.4 bn Potential EBITDA increase €239.2 mn €260.4 mn €883 mn €1.2 bn €2.6 bn Potential operating revenue increase €618.6 mn €835.2 mn €5.6 bn €9.7 bn €16.7 bn “Curing” of liabilities €1.2 bn €1.2 bn €5.1 bn €8.5 bn €15.9 bn “Haircut” of liabilities €937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn % of “haircut” 44.7% 36.9% 15.9% 37.1% 32.3% Change in equity after absorption €937.2 mn €675.7 mn €964.4 mn €5 bn €7.6 bn 30 Summary of resolution simulation results: Viable enterprises absorbing non-viable ones June 2018 Source: Piraeus Bank Research, ICAP DATA
  • 32. Examined ratio formulas 32 Asset turnover Total operating revenue Assets EBITDA margin EBITDA Total operating revenue Liabilities to assets Total liabilities Assets Financial expense coverage ratio EBITDA Financial expenses Return on assets EBITDA Assets June 2018
  • 33. 33 Disclaimer: This document is produced by the Economic Research & Investment Strategy Department of Piraeus Bank (hereinafter "the Bank"), which is supervised by the European Central Bank (ECB), in collaboration with the Bank of Greece and is sent or provided to third parties, without any obligation of its author. This document or any part of it should not be duplicated in any way without the prior written consent of its author. The information or opinions included in this document are addressed to existing or potential clients in a general manner, without taking into account the particular circumstances, the investment objectives, the financial ability, the experience and/or knowledge of the potential recipients of this document and, as a result, they do not constitute or should not be considered neither as a solicitation or offer for the conduct of transactions in financial instruments or currencies nor as a recommendation or advice for decision making in relation to those. Taking into account the aforementioned, the recipient of the information contained in this document should proceed with his/her own research, analysis, and confirmation of the information which is included in this document and seek for independent and professional legal, tax and investment advice, before proceeding with any investment decision making. The information depicted in this document is relied on sources that the Bank considers to be reliable and is provided on an "as is" basis, however, the Bank cannot warrant as to their accuracy and completeness. The opinions and estimates herein are related to the trend of the local and international financial markets at the indicated date (prices at closing time) and are subject to changes without any prior notice. Notwithstanding the above, the Bank might include in this document investment researches, which have been conducted by third persons. In this case, the Bank does not modify those researches, but it presents them on an "as is" basis, therefore, no responsibility is assumed in relation to the content of the aforementioned investment researches. The Bank is under no duty to update the information contained in this document. Considering the above, the Bank, the members of its Board of Directors and the relevant persons assume no responsibility for the information included in the present document and/or for the outcome of any investment decisions made according to such information. Piraeus Bank Group is an organisation with a significant presence in the Greek market and an increasing one in the international markets providing a wide range of investment services. In the context of investment services offered by the Bank and/or any other Piraeus Group companies in general, there might be cases whereby conflict of interests may arise in relation to the information provided herein. Reference should be made to the fact that the Bank, the relevant persons and/or other Piraeus Group companies indicatively: a. Are not subject to any prohibition in relation to trading on own account or in the course of providing portfolio management services prior to the publication of this document or the acquisition of any shares prior to any public offering or the acquisition of any other securities. b. May offer upon remuneration investment banking services to issuers for whom this document may contain information. c. May participate to the issuers' share capital or acquire other securities issued by the aforementioned issuers or attract other financial interests from them. d. Might provide market making or underwriting services to issuers that might be mentioned in this document. e. Might have published papers the content of which is different or incompatible to the information presented herein. The Bank as well as the other Piraeus Group's companies have enacted, implement and maintain an effective policy, which prevents circumstances that may give rise to conflicts of interests and the dissemination of any information among the departments ("chinese walls") and they also constantly comply with the provisions and regulations relevant to inside information and market abuse. Also, the Bank confirms that it doesn't have any kind of interest or conflict of interest with a) any other legal entity or person that could have participated in the preparation of the present document and b) with any other legal entity or person that couldn't have participated in the preparation of the present document, but had access to it before its publication. It is duly stated that: the investments described in the present document include investment risks, among which the risk of losing the entire capital invested. In particular, it is stated that; a. The figures presented herein refer to the past and that the past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. b. In case the figures refer to simulated past performance, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. c. The return on investments might be positively or negatively affected as a result of currency fluctuations, in case the figures are denominated in a foreign currency (other than Euro). d. Any forecasts in relation to future performance, may not be a reliable indicator of future performance. e. The tax treatment of the information as well as transactions pertained in this document, depends on each investor's individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. As a result, the recipient should seek for independent advice in relation to the applicable tax legislation. The distribution of the present document outside Greece and/or to persons governed by foreign law may be subject to restrictions or prohibitions according to the applicable legislation. Therefore, the recipient of the present should seek for independent advice in relation to the applicable legislation, in order to look into such restrictions and/or prohibitions. June 2018