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3RD ASIA ENERGY SECURITY SUMMIT
          BANGKOK: FEB 28 – MAR 1, 2013




      SAARC ENERGY RING
- A VISION TO PROMOTE ENERGY SECURITY IN SOUTH ASIA


                  HILAL A. RAZA
                    DIRECTOR
               SAARC ENERGY CENTRE
ENERGY SITUATION OF SOUTH ASIA

 1.6 billion people

 500 million live below $1
  per day poverty line

 All Countries of South Asia
   Oil importing
   Energy deficit (except
    Bhutan)
ENERGY USE IN SOUTH ASIA

TOTAL ENERGY: 810 MTOE         COMMERCIAL ENERGY: 606 MTOE


                                                         Coal
                                            48%

  Traditional    Commercial
  204 MTOE        606 MTOE                        1%     Nuclear
     (25%)          (75%)
                                                  7%
                                    29%
                                            15%          Hydel
                              Oil
                                                  Natural gas

(MTOE - Million tonnes of oil equivalent)
ENERGY POVERTY OF SAARC REGION
14,000                12,914
12,000

10,000

 8,000             7,051
                                   6,592
 6,000

 4,000                         3,536                     3,614
                                                                           2,803
                                               2,206 2,391 1,695 2,631
 2,000                                     1,243                       1,788
         514 517
    0




  Energy Use kgoe/capita/yr                   Electricity Use kWh/capita/yr
SAARC INSTITUTIONAL MECHANISM
   FOR ENERGY COOPERATION

  SAARC Summit of heads of States and
   Government
  Ministerial Level Energy Forum
  Inter-Governmental Working Group on
   Energy
  Expert Groups for different      energy
   commodities
  SAARC Energy Centre
SAARC ENERGY CENTRE

 Established in 2006 at Islamabad to initiate, promote
  and facilitate cooperation in energy sector of SAARC
  Member States for the benefit of all
 Funded by SAARC Member States and supervised by a
  Governing Board comprising all Member States
 Professional staff selected on merit from Member States
 Expert services obtained through outsourcing
 International cooperation established with ADB, ASEAN,
  UN, ESCAP, Japan, US, Germany.
SAARC ENERGY RING - SENERING
   SAARC ENERGY RING: a Vision given by SAARC
    Leaders at the 2004 Islamabad Summit

   Vision translated into reality by SAARC Energy Centre

   Four Expert Groups engaged with way forward in:
        o   Oil and Gas
        o   Electricity
        o   Renewable Energy
        o   Technology Transfer (including Coal and Energy
            Efficiency)
STUDIES ON SENERING
   SAARC Regional Energy Trade Study (SRETS)
    identified four regional or sub-regional trade
    options:
        i. Power Market
        ii. Petroleum Refinery
        iii. LNG Terminal
        iv. Power Plant

 A recent ADB funded study on South Asia
  Regional Power Exchange has identified
  various opportunities in electricity trade
DRAFT INTER-GOVERNMENTAL FRAMEWORK
AGREEMENT FOR COOPERATION IN ELECTRICITY
 Draft of a “SAARC Inter-Governmental Framework
  Agreement for Energy Cooperation (Electricity)”
  endorsed by Energy Ministers Meeting in Dhaka
  (15th September 2011) is under consideration of
  SAARC Member States
 Draft IGFA provides to allow for:
    o   Unrestricted cross-border trade
    o   Commercial negotiation of PPAs
    o   Non-discriminatory open access
    o   Private sector trading
    o   Participation in power exchanges
 Ultimate objective is to create a SAARC Market for
  Electricity: SAME
SENERING – 1. POWER GRID

                                                  • Nepal-India-Bhutan-
                                                    Bangladesh




                        • Pakistan-India-Nepal


• Kyrgyzstan-Tajikistan-
  Afghanistan-Pakistan        • India-Sri Lanka
• Tajikistan-Afghanistan
• Uzbekistan-Afghanistan                             • India-Bangladesh
• Turkmenistan-Afghanistan                           • India-Myanmar
• Iran-Afghanistan                                   • India-Nepal
• Iran-Pakistan
SENERING – 2. GAS GRID




         Qatar




          Arabian Sea
• Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-
  Pakistan-India
• Iran-Pakistan-India
                                               • Myanmar-Bangladesh-India
• Qatar-Pakistan-India
    Pipelines from the west can further be extended to Nepal and Bangladesh
RATIONALE FOR ENERGY SECURITY (1/3)

• Nepal and Bhutan together have over 100 GW of
  high quality (long term) hydropower potential and
  comparatively small local demand
• Bangladesh is reliant on gas for more than 80% of
  its generation:
   – Rapidly consuming its gas reserves and yet facing
      serious power shortages
   – Power demand in Bangladesh is expected to
      triple over the next 10 years
RATIONALE FOR ENERGY SECURITY (2/3)

• Pakistan is facing serious power shortages between
  4000 to 6000 MW at peak demand. Hydro is
  seasonal, natural gas production is stagnant and oil
  is expensive
• Sri Lankan power demand has exceeded the
  capacity of its viable major hydropower
  development options.
   – It is embarking on thermal power projects that
      run on imported coal
RATIONALE FOR ENERGY SECURITY (3/3)

• India has a serious balancing act to play between
  growth, reliable power supply and emissions
   – The next decade presents far greater challenges
     particularly for provision of primary fuel
• Successful development of power exchanges in
  India over the last three years has laid a strong
  platform for cross-border power trade
• Transmission capability within India has improved
  remarkably over the last decade through an
  extensive expansion of the high voltage grid
PLANNED POWER GRID INTERCONNECTIONS
     Interconnection   Capacity     Est. Cost   Annual Benefit
                        (MW)      (Million USD) (Million USD)
1   India-Bhutan        2,100       140-160         1840


2   India-Nepal         1,000         186            105

3   India-Sri Lanka      500          600            186
4   India-Bangladesh     500        192-250        145-389

5   India-Pakistan     250-500       50-150        335-491

6   CASA 1000           1,000         970            906
NEXT STEPS FOR SENERING

1. Detailed Scenario Analysis to identify Additional
   Interconnection Opportunities


2. SAARC Electricity Transmission Master Plan


3. Market Rules to Accommodate Cross-border
   Power Trade


4. Regulatory Regimes for Cross-border Power Trade
CONCLUDING REMARKS

 Upgrading       interconnected      grid(s)   and
  constructing        additional    interconnectors
  between India and its neighbours will promote
  realization of SAARC Energy Ring (SENERING)
  and SAARC Market for Electricity (SAME)
 USD 1 billion investment will be needed for 4-5
  priority interconnection projects in next 5 years
 Many       other      potential   interconnection
  possibilities exist within SAARC and beyond that
  provide economic dividend
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (1/5)

ENERGY EFFICIENCY

  1. SAARC Action Plan on Energy Conservation &
     Efficiency
  2. Gender-Energy nexus
  3. Improved Cooking Stoves: “SAARC Chullah”
  4. Energy efficiency in brick kilns
  5. Capacity building of Energy Auditors
CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (2/5)

ENERGY TRADE

  1. Study on energy trade and power
     exchange
  2. Study on harmonization of electricity laws
  3. Study on energy pricing mechanism
CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (3/5)

BEST PRACTICES

  1. Lessons learnt in renewable energy
     technologies
  2. Experience sharing of construction,
     operation and maintenance of LNG
     facilities
  3. Power generation from lignite
CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (4/5)
POWER

  1. Promoting hydropower development
  2. Feasibility Study and workshop for regional
     coal based power plant
  3. Study on cogeneration in sugar and paper
     industries
  4. Study on rural electrification policies
CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (5/5)

ENERGY RESOURCES

  1. SAARC Energy Data Bank
  2. Geothermal energy potential of South Asia
  3. Promoting extraction of non-conventional
     gas

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SAARC Energy Ring - a Vision to Promote Energy Security in South Asia

  • 1. 3RD ASIA ENERGY SECURITY SUMMIT BANGKOK: FEB 28 – MAR 1, 2013 SAARC ENERGY RING - A VISION TO PROMOTE ENERGY SECURITY IN SOUTH ASIA HILAL A. RAZA DIRECTOR SAARC ENERGY CENTRE
  • 2. ENERGY SITUATION OF SOUTH ASIA  1.6 billion people  500 million live below $1 per day poverty line  All Countries of South Asia  Oil importing  Energy deficit (except Bhutan)
  • 3. ENERGY USE IN SOUTH ASIA TOTAL ENERGY: 810 MTOE COMMERCIAL ENERGY: 606 MTOE Coal 48% Traditional Commercial 204 MTOE 606 MTOE 1% Nuclear (25%) (75%) 7% 29% 15% Hydel Oil Natural gas (MTOE - Million tonnes of oil equivalent)
  • 4. ENERGY POVERTY OF SAARC REGION 14,000 12,914 12,000 10,000 8,000 7,051 6,592 6,000 4,000 3,536 3,614 2,803 2,206 2,391 1,695 2,631 2,000 1,243 1,788 514 517 0 Energy Use kgoe/capita/yr Electricity Use kWh/capita/yr
  • 5. SAARC INSTITUTIONAL MECHANISM FOR ENERGY COOPERATION  SAARC Summit of heads of States and Government  Ministerial Level Energy Forum  Inter-Governmental Working Group on Energy  Expert Groups for different energy commodities  SAARC Energy Centre
  • 6. SAARC ENERGY CENTRE  Established in 2006 at Islamabad to initiate, promote and facilitate cooperation in energy sector of SAARC Member States for the benefit of all  Funded by SAARC Member States and supervised by a Governing Board comprising all Member States  Professional staff selected on merit from Member States  Expert services obtained through outsourcing  International cooperation established with ADB, ASEAN, UN, ESCAP, Japan, US, Germany.
  • 7. SAARC ENERGY RING - SENERING  SAARC ENERGY RING: a Vision given by SAARC Leaders at the 2004 Islamabad Summit  Vision translated into reality by SAARC Energy Centre  Four Expert Groups engaged with way forward in: o Oil and Gas o Electricity o Renewable Energy o Technology Transfer (including Coal and Energy Efficiency)
  • 8. STUDIES ON SENERING  SAARC Regional Energy Trade Study (SRETS) identified four regional or sub-regional trade options: i. Power Market ii. Petroleum Refinery iii. LNG Terminal iv. Power Plant  A recent ADB funded study on South Asia Regional Power Exchange has identified various opportunities in electricity trade
  • 9. DRAFT INTER-GOVERNMENTAL FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT FOR COOPERATION IN ELECTRICITY  Draft of a “SAARC Inter-Governmental Framework Agreement for Energy Cooperation (Electricity)” endorsed by Energy Ministers Meeting in Dhaka (15th September 2011) is under consideration of SAARC Member States  Draft IGFA provides to allow for: o Unrestricted cross-border trade o Commercial negotiation of PPAs o Non-discriminatory open access o Private sector trading o Participation in power exchanges  Ultimate objective is to create a SAARC Market for Electricity: SAME
  • 10. SENERING – 1. POWER GRID • Nepal-India-Bhutan- Bangladesh • Pakistan-India-Nepal • Kyrgyzstan-Tajikistan- Afghanistan-Pakistan • India-Sri Lanka • Tajikistan-Afghanistan • Uzbekistan-Afghanistan • India-Bangladesh • Turkmenistan-Afghanistan • India-Myanmar • Iran-Afghanistan • India-Nepal • Iran-Pakistan
  • 11. SENERING – 2. GAS GRID Qatar Arabian Sea • Turkmenistan-Afghanistan- Pakistan-India • Iran-Pakistan-India • Myanmar-Bangladesh-India • Qatar-Pakistan-India Pipelines from the west can further be extended to Nepal and Bangladesh
  • 12. RATIONALE FOR ENERGY SECURITY (1/3) • Nepal and Bhutan together have over 100 GW of high quality (long term) hydropower potential and comparatively small local demand • Bangladesh is reliant on gas for more than 80% of its generation: – Rapidly consuming its gas reserves and yet facing serious power shortages – Power demand in Bangladesh is expected to triple over the next 10 years
  • 13. RATIONALE FOR ENERGY SECURITY (2/3) • Pakistan is facing serious power shortages between 4000 to 6000 MW at peak demand. Hydro is seasonal, natural gas production is stagnant and oil is expensive • Sri Lankan power demand has exceeded the capacity of its viable major hydropower development options. – It is embarking on thermal power projects that run on imported coal
  • 14. RATIONALE FOR ENERGY SECURITY (3/3) • India has a serious balancing act to play between growth, reliable power supply and emissions – The next decade presents far greater challenges particularly for provision of primary fuel • Successful development of power exchanges in India over the last three years has laid a strong platform for cross-border power trade • Transmission capability within India has improved remarkably over the last decade through an extensive expansion of the high voltage grid
  • 15. PLANNED POWER GRID INTERCONNECTIONS Interconnection Capacity Est. Cost Annual Benefit (MW) (Million USD) (Million USD) 1 India-Bhutan 2,100 140-160 1840 2 India-Nepal 1,000 186 105 3 India-Sri Lanka 500 600 186 4 India-Bangladesh 500 192-250 145-389 5 India-Pakistan 250-500 50-150 335-491 6 CASA 1000 1,000 970 906
  • 16. NEXT STEPS FOR SENERING 1. Detailed Scenario Analysis to identify Additional Interconnection Opportunities 2. SAARC Electricity Transmission Master Plan 3. Market Rules to Accommodate Cross-border Power Trade 4. Regulatory Regimes for Cross-border Power Trade
  • 17. CONCLUDING REMARKS  Upgrading interconnected grid(s) and constructing additional interconnectors between India and its neighbours will promote realization of SAARC Energy Ring (SENERING) and SAARC Market for Electricity (SAME)  USD 1 billion investment will be needed for 4-5 priority interconnection projects in next 5 years  Many other potential interconnection possibilities exist within SAARC and beyond that provide economic dividend
  • 18. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
  • 19. CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (1/5) ENERGY EFFICIENCY 1. SAARC Action Plan on Energy Conservation & Efficiency 2. Gender-Energy nexus 3. Improved Cooking Stoves: “SAARC Chullah” 4. Energy efficiency in brick kilns 5. Capacity building of Energy Auditors
  • 20. CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (2/5) ENERGY TRADE 1. Study on energy trade and power exchange 2. Study on harmonization of electricity laws 3. Study on energy pricing mechanism
  • 21. CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (3/5) BEST PRACTICES 1. Lessons learnt in renewable energy technologies 2. Experience sharing of construction, operation and maintenance of LNG facilities 3. Power generation from lignite
  • 22. CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (4/5) POWER 1. Promoting hydropower development 2. Feasibility Study and workshop for regional coal based power plant 3. Study on cogeneration in sugar and paper industries 4. Study on rural electrification policies
  • 23. CURRENT PROJECTS OF SEC (5/5) ENERGY RESOURCES 1. SAARC Energy Data Bank 2. Geothermal energy potential of South Asia 3. Promoting extraction of non-conventional gas