Dangerous Surf

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ILS - International Life Saving Federation

Julie Evans (02-13)

Technologie Business

Dangerous surf - long period swell Jeff Callaghan, Sean Carson, Julie Evans , Michael Logan, Graham Warren Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Location Map ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Waverider buoys

The Motivation – Rock Fishers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Tide conditions at time of incident ,[object Object]

Sea & Swell ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

July 2001 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Quikscat: 4 July 2001 0615UTC 4 July 2001

Relative Risk of Deaths in various Tp1 The relative risk equals the ratio of the percentage of fatalities at TP1 and the percentage frequency of TP1.

Thresholds – Hsig & TP1 ,[object Object],New dangerous wave alert Any > = 14 2 – 2.5 New dangerous wave alert Any > = 12 2.5 - 3 New dangerous wave alert Onshore range > = 10 3 - 4 Dangerous wave alert Onshore range na > 4 Damaging wave warning Onshore range na > 5 Alert Status Angle of incidence TP1 (Seconds) Hsig (m)

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Further Work ,[object Object],[object Object]

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Dangerous Surf

1. Dangerous surf - long period swell Jeff Callaghan, Sean Carson, Julie Evans , Michael Logan, Graham Warren Australian Bureau of Meteorology

2. Bureau of Meteorology

8. June 2007

10. Quikscat: 4 July 2001 0615UTC 4 July 2001

11. Sydney: 7 July 2001

12. Sydney: 7 July 2001

13. January 2005

14. MSL: 30 Jan 2005

15. MSL re-anal

16. Jan 05: CH Buoy data

17. July 2007

18. The Data

19. Percentage deaths at Various Tp1

20. Relative Risk of Deaths in various Tp1 The relative risk equals the ratio of the percentage of fatalities at TP1 and the percentage frequency of TP1.

21.

22. Thresholds & data Joint occurrence:~7%

23. 5 April 1998 – Avoca Beach

24. 1 April 1998

25.

26.

27.

28.

Dangerous Surf

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Dangerous Surf