Session 1B: Connecting up the dots between science, municipalities, insurance and climate risk assessment

Session 1B: Connecting up the dots between science, municipalities,
insurance and climate risk assessment
10.45 – 12.15 CEST 27th May, 2020 European Urban Resilience Forum, 2020
Facilitator: Dickie Whitaker, CEO Oasis Loss Modelling Framework
Speakers:
Christopher Genillard, Genillard & Co
Zsófia Hamza – Hegyvidék Municipality, City of Budapest
Dr. Fred Hattermann, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Dr. Martin Drews, Technical University of Denmark
Radoica Stefanović, Public Utility Company Waterworks and Sewerage, City of Novi Sad
Marc Chiappero, Aria Technologies
Prof. Dr. Christian Witt, Charité Hospital, Berlin
Tracy Irvine, Oasis Hub Ltd 27.05.2020
For further information
contact:
info@oasislmf.org or
hello@oasishub.co

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A Presentation by OASIS | Horizon2020 Insurance
www.h2020insurance.oasishub.co
H2020_Insurance project summary
Oasis Loss
Modelling
Framework
(Standardisation
for the
(Re)insurance
Market)
Oasis Hub
Business
planning and
market access –
available to all
sectors
Demonstrator
development
(Co-design with
(Re)insurers)

Christopher Genillard
27th of May 2020
Oasis H2020_Insurance project to promote
climate adaptation and understanding of risk for
all
“connecting the dots…. insurance industry…..
science…..municipalities”

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Natural catastrophe events driven by the impact of climate change
• Windstorm, flood, drought, forest fire, health……Increased frequency? Increased severity?…What is
probable? What is possible?
• How much of this aggregate catastrophe risk can the insurance industry absorb?
• The State and the EU as the ultimate risk carriers for the catastrophe risk

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• Insurance Industry under pressure: Ability to modernize & digitize?
• Data Management and Analysis: models to develop risk scenarios that include climate change
• More & better Data is needed to understand the climate impact trends to be observed!
• Automation and technology as a huge opportunity to use existing data in new ways
• Bundle existing competencies in cross-border and transdisciplinary projects (public & private
sectors)
• Collaboration models to overcome national and institutional boundaries
• Improve understanding, monitoring and management of natural perils risk and the impact of climate
change (model everything down to building level /care about climate change and its impacts /
supportive of helping reduce penetration gap /techniques can help cities via standards, open data
++ Cities can do this too! )
• Oasis Loss Modelling Framework and Oasis Hub as a meeting place to facilitate all this work!
• Availability of the Horizon 2020 Insurance Catastrophe Risk Models on the Oasis Platform
• Visit https://oasislmf.org/ !
Climate change Impact & NatCat modelling in Insurance Industry
Current developments and challenges

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For cities granular data, predictive analytics & catastrophe
modelling & mapping…
• Provide a sound basis to decide on risk management activities
• Improve understanding, monitoring and management of
natural perils risk and the impact of climate change for the
urban environment
• Support strategies for mitigation or adaptation measures, or
transfer of risk into either capital markets or the Insurance
Industry
• Require open data sharing & a harmonization of standards and
systems used by governments and cities (e.g. Loss Database
Architecture for Disaster Risk Management)
Key messages for Municipalities – roadmap to urban resilience

Climate risks – city input
Hegyvidék Municipality, 12th District of Budapest
Zsófia Hamza
25.05.2020
hamza.zsofia@hegyvidek.hu
+36 70 646 2201
Hegyvidék Municipality, 12th District of Budapest
www.hegyvidek.hu
https://www.facebook.com/Hegyvidek/

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The Future Danube Model – a multi-hazard, multi-risk model –
helping to understand climate change impacts and physical asset
risks
Speakers:
Dr. Fred Hattermann, PIK, Dr, Martin Drews, DTU & Radoica Stefanović, City
of Novi Sad

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Calculating CC Risks: The Future Danube Model Area 8x105 km2
Validation
stations
44
River
sections
13‘778
Spatial
elements
186‘296

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Expert workshops
Results
Methodologies
The workflow in a nutshell
OASISL LMF
Exposure
E-market

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Change in flood risk
Risk change up to now:
Area populated/industrial
Danube
Chemical plant
Power plant

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Flood risk assessment in Novi Sad
10-year flood levels 100-year flood levels

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Novi Sad: Comparing 20-, 50-, 100-years floods (rain)
Without
drainage
With
drainage

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Novi Sad: Climate change

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Risk assessment for large-scale infrastructure investments

Wastewater treatment plant is planned to be constructed in Novi Sad, Serbia, initiated in 2021
Excellent cooperation with the project team through individual meetings and
stakeholders workshops

• Analysis of the wastewater
treatment plant climate
vulnerability based on the
European Commission official
guideline: Making vulnerable
investments climate resilient
• Flod risk assessment in Novi Sad
area using the Future Danube
model and OASIS Loss Model
Framework
The planned location of the
wastewater treatment plant
is in a high-risk area with
respect to pluvial flooding

• Development of Climate Change Risk Assessment Study for the Feasibility Study of the WWTP
• Improvement of the design and construction of WWTP, retentions, pipelines and pumping stations
• Improvement of the WWTP climate change resilience and overall hygienic conditions in Novi Sad
• Safeguarding the potable water resources and the quality of the environment in the areas located
downstream and under the influence of the Danube River

Innovative web-based modelling
solutions for wildfires
Presentation to the European Urban Resilience Forum 2020
Marc Chiappero, Aria Technologies
ARIA Technologies
8-10 rue de la Ferme
92100 Boulogne-Billancourt
Tél : +33 (0)1 46 08 68 60
www.aria.fr

Wildland Urban Interface
This service allows the estimation of thermal damages
on vegetation and building materials at the WUI. It can
be useful to evaluate the effectiveness of risk reduction
options like fuel treatment strategies (forest cleaning
within the vicinity of buildings or of the urban interface,
forest cleaning near isolated assets in forests) on
wildfire exposure at the WUI scale, depending on local
conditions of wind, topography and vegetation.
Implementation of the SWIFFT model, a raster-based
model inherently designed to model fire patterns in
heterogeneous landscapes.

Wildland Urban Interface
INPUTS
WUI maps + buildings flammability properties
Vegetation maps + flammability properties
Topography + meteorology
Fuel reduction scenarios
OUTPUTS
Fire propagation simulations
Building damage assessment
Identification of high risk zones
Recomendation on distance security

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Climate & health - New ways to understand climate risk and
reduce health impacts for people with chronic diseases
Prof. Dr Christian Witt - Charité Hospital, Berlin

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The health damage function
Combining health and environmental data
• Damage Function (exposure-response functions)
• Current impact
COST = Attributable Admissions
HEALTH + ENVIRONMENTAL
E-R functions  RR
Data available on OASIS Hub:
https://oasishub.co/
• Environmental database: air pollution
and temperature by district – Berlin and
Potsdam – 2012/2016.
• COPD hospital admissions cost
attributable to air pollution exposure by
district based on WHO reported relative
risks – 2012/2016.

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Environmental database
Air pollution & temperature in Berlin and Potsdam
Nitrogen
oxides
Ozone
Maximum
temperature
Minimum
temperature
Particulate
matter

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Health database
Hospital admissions due to COPD exacerbation
Mitte

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How can you use our results?
Understanding risks and impacts
Risk/Impact Assessment for Planning Purposes
DESCRIPTION
Locale-specific risk evaluation
(high-resolution Environmental Database + user
specific health data)
VALUE PROPOSITION
Morbidity and mortality cost, including cost
projections based on climate change scenarios
and adaptation strategies..
CUSTOMERS AND CHANNELS
Public health authorities, health insurance
Operational Forecast
DESCRIPTION
Alert system to manage peaks of consultations for
respiratory diseases
VALUE PROPOSITION
Optimize medical resources distribution through a
better anticipation of peak frequentation
CUSTOMERS AND CHANNELS
Health operators (authorities, hospitals, clinics,
doctors)

Oasis Hub - bringing the World’s free and commercial,
environmental, catastrophe and climate-related risk data,
tools and services together in an open data hub
Tracy Irvine, Managing Director, Oasis Hub – May, 2020
Tracy.irvine@oasishub.co
www.oasishub.co

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@Oasis Hub 2018 CONFIDENTIAL
More science, more data,
more tools & more services
at thousands of locations

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Data, tools & services
Risk
assessment
Understanding
Risk Impact
Global data
Regional data
Local
data
Strengthening the web
of data collection and
accessibility at all scales
for multiple purposes &
sectors

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Oasis Hub impacts
Uploads: 1450
Total Page
Visits: 209,358
Downloads: 3245
Members: 1500+
Organisations:
180

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Thank you!

Session 1B: Connecting up the dots between science, municipalities, insurance and climate risk assessment

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