Integrative Risk Management - Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, UNISDR STAG Member
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GPDRR 2013 featured event: Applying science and technology to policy and practice in DRR
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Integrative Risk Management - Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, UNISDR STAG Member
- 1. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 1 FEATURED EVENT APPLYING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY TO POLICY AND PRACTICE IN DRR Introduction Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, UNISDR STAG Member Davos, Switzerland walter.ammann@grforum.org
- 2. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 2 DRR? • Disaster management (how to deal with a risk which has just become reality) • Risk reduction (how to prevent or limit potential future disasters) APPLYING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY TO POLICY AND PRACTICE IN DRR
- 3. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 3 Hazards Processes RISKS: THE HAZARD SIDE
- 4. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 4 Values exposed to hazards RISKS – THE VALUES AND VULNERABILITIES
- 5. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 5 ProcessesValues Exposure Vulnerability Damage potential RISK RISK – EXISTING VALUES AND DAMAGE POTENTIAL • Risk and opportunities (values) are twins • No development without risks
- 6. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 6 What has to be done? Measures to be taken What can happen? Risk Analysis What is acceptable to happen? Risk Assessment Hazard analysis (hazard intensity and exposure analysis, vulnerability, Scenarios important What is an accepted safety level? (Protection goals, acceptable risk levels) How safe is safe enough? DRR – CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Paradigm shift: • Risk based approach (ex-ante): proactive prevention Instead of: • Disaster centered approach (ex-post): intervention/ recovery
- 7. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 7 FLOODS SEVERE WINDSTORMS EARTHQUAKES/ TSUNAMIS DROUGHTS, DESERTIFICATION RESOURCE SCARCITIES SOCIAL UNREST BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE TERRORISM LAND DEGRADATION PANDEMICS FINANCIAL CRISES BIOLOGICAL THREATS MULTI RISK APPROACH – COMPARABILITY?
- 8. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 8 LINKING SCIENCE TO POLICY AND PRACTICE Science Policy and Practice: • Politics • Administration • Practitioners • Private Sector • Media • Society • Natural • Social • Engineering • Financial • Medical • ….. Technology – Solution driven Research – Education – Training Capacity Building – Awareness Rising - Communication Bridging the gaps and bridging the scales
- 9. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 9 • A lot of success stories (see the next presentations ) • Foresight studies - emerging risks • Complex, cascading risks / disasters • Multi risk approach (making risks comparable) • Vulnerability and resilience assessment • Risk governance fundamentals • Risk based legislation • Etc. WHERE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CAN HELP
- 10. GP UNISDR Featured Event Geneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann 10 „People inbetween Change“ “ Said is not heard - heard is not understood - Understood is not agreed - agreed is not applied applied is not maintained” Communication is key – one way information is not sufficient WHERE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CAN HELP Konrad Lorenz (1903- 1989), Austrian Nobelprize Winner 1973 Well done is better than well said. (unknown proverb)