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Ecosystems, Natural Resources 
Science and DRR 
Deborah Brosnan Ph.D 
Virginia Tech University 
Brosnan Center
Key Messages 
Strategic science helps in understanding risks to ecosystems & natural resources and to 
people through their ecosystems. 
In disasters, humans are affected through their relationship with ecosystems and natural 
resources e.g. fisheries, forestry, agriculture, tourism, solace. Long-lasting impacts. 
These direct and indirect impacts are underestimated and DRM rarely matches the scale of 
the disaster, or nature of the impacts. 
Recovery actions and policies often inadvertently hamper recovery, exacerbate the 
environmental and human cost, and make communities more vulnerable long-term. 
Human’s highest investments in nature conservation and natural resource protection are 
often the most vulnerable in a disaster e.g. national parks, endangered species. 
The resources to protect and recover these investments are not available after a disaster. 
SOLUTIONS- YES. Scientists and Emergency Responders (DRR) need to integrate their 
language and approaches better. Science can and should adopt the methods and language 
of DRR. Responders can learn from the research and multi-disciplinary approaches that 
highlight hidden impacts and counter-intuitive outcomes.
Scenario Planning: SAFRR 
Tsunami Scenario (California) 
1. Represents scientific approach and integration into DRM 
2. Forecasted impacts have been observed in other natural and 
human-caused disasters 
Acknowledgements to our SAFRR team, especially fishery co-authors Anne Wein 
(US Geological Survey), Rick Wilson (California Geological Survey) and Patrick 
Lynett (University of S. California) for simulations 
SAFRR Tsunami Scenario—Impacts on California Ecosystems, Species, Marine 
Natural Resources, and Fisheries 
http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2013/1170/g/index.html 
Simulations: http://coastal.usc.edu/plynett/research/movies.html
Patrick Lynett
Beach and Coastal Habitats 
All low-lying beaches and coastal habitats vulnerable and many 
heavily inundated. 96 Protected habitat area coastal parks 
inundated. 
BEACHES ( 266,000 - 1 million visitors on day of tsunami) Beaches are 
key natural resources and ecosystem. 
Impacts: Inundation, sand loss, debris, contaminants, loss of use. 
Natural recovery of sand unlikely in many areas- Controversy and Cost 
for beach restoration: Contaminants and clean up 
COASTAL MARSHES : Buffer and absorb waves reducing run-up. 
Positive effects of nutrient input from sea. But adjacent to urban 
areas they become repositories of debris. Contaminants and clean up. 
Many Restoration Sites.
COLORADO FLOODS: HABITAT RESTORATION SITE LOST
Beach and Coastal Habitats 
All low-lying beaches and coastal habitats vulnerable and many 
heavily inundated. 96 Protected areas coastal parks inundated. 
BEACHES ( 266,000 - 1 million per day of tsunami) Natural Resource 
and Ecosystem. Inundation, sand loss, debris. Natural recovery of 
sand unlikely in many areas- Controversy and Cost. COASTAL 
MARSHES : Buffer and absorb waves. But adjacent to urban areas 
become repositories of debris. Restoration Sites. 
SAND DUNES- Protective buffering by dunes and shallow 
nearshore habitats. 
Storms- Coastal Habitats protect between US$ 90 million –$ 12 
billion in property values per coastal county in California. In 
tsunamis, lower but some protection.
Beach and Coastal Habitats 
All low-lying beaches and coastal habitats vulnerable and many 
heavily inundated. 96 Protected areas coastal parks inundated. 
BEACHES ( 266,000 - 1 million per day of tsunami) 
COASTAL MARSHES : Buffer and absorb waves. But adjacent to urban 
areas become repositories of debris. Restoration Sites. SAND DUNES-Protective 
buffering by dunes and 
Nearshore shallow water marine habitats 
-vulnerable, including fishing grounds. 
Lost habitat, buried in debris, and/or 
contaminants.
.
Endangered Species 
 Snowy Plover 
 Black Abalone 
 White Abalone 
 Clapper Rail 
 Spring Run Salmon 
 Gobies, Sturgeon, Smelt, 
 Sea Turtle 
 Endangered Coastal Plants 
 FISHERIES- Sea urchins, crab, Shellfish beds buried $218million/yr
Fishery Resources and 
Fisheries
Fish and Fisheries 
At risk, $218 million/yr in landing value of which >$42 million in Los 
Angeles. (not accounting for related industries e.g. fish processing). All 
fishing ports heavily affected. Recovery >1 year. 
(i) Impact experienced directly through Ecological and Environmental 
Factors 
Near shore invertebrate species and fishing habitats at highest risk, 
including crab fishery, urchins etc. (Similar to Tohoku) Coastal pelagics 
less vulnerable directly. Marine species e.g. sea urchins, are sheared and 
swept away; juveniles especially vulnerable, leading to recruitment loss 
and delayed fishing declines. (some areas in Japan Tohoku: 90% of 
juveniles urchins lost) 
ii. Cascading Effects (inter-dependencies) 
.
Habitats, Marine Life 
Habitats and marine life buried by sand, nets, kelp 
beds torn out. Environmental contaminants and debris 
dumped on the seabed or remobilized 
 150,000 m3 sediment in one bay - $12.7 million/yr 
crab fishery and crab populations, contaminants 
mobilized. 
 Lost Fishing Gear- 1 ghost net traps 1,000 crabs and 
other invertebrates, 150 fish, and 80 birds per year 
Resulting $ Loss: $20,000 to crab fisheries
Fish and Fisheries 
At risk, $218 million/yr in landing value of which >$42 million in Los 
Angeles. (not accounting for related industries e.g. fish processing). 
(i) Impact experienced directly through Ecological and Environmental 
Factors 
ii. Cascading Effects (inter-dependencies) 
Affect fishery industry, species, and habitats. 
.
Ecosystem and Natural Resources 
Preparedness and Response 
- DESPITE HUGE INVESTEMENT IN PROTECTION OF NATURE AND RETURNS IN 
MULTIPLE VALUES 
 Planning and Response for Ecosystems, Endangered Species and 
Fisheries in Disasters - Where is it? 
 Poor understanding of the science and scale of event. Fishery Response, 
Protected Area response. 
History Shows_ Post Disaster Response and Recovery Challenges 
 Contaminant-Ecosystem: Jurisdictional Regulations. Contaminated 
sediments 
 Relaxation of regulations that increase vulnerability long-term, and 
hamper recovery. Post tsunami, changes to fishery policy increased 
pressure on resource and on fishermenPost forest fire/ earthquake 
response was to relax building regulations in vulnerable areas:.
Solution Measures 
Role of Science. Knowledge, forecasting and understanding the impacts on 
ecosystems and natural resources. Hidden and Counter-intuitive outcomes. 
FOR SCIENTISTS: - Understand the approach and Adopt approach and the 
language of DRR and DRM 
(Oil Spill Incident Command Structure for oiled wildlife: WRDA) 
FOR DRM Professionals: UNDERSTAND that scientific community has 
knowledge and information on ecological cycles, complex systems and 
counter-intuitive outcomes. Knowledge can drive priorities and help 
vulnerable communities including post-disaster. 
Thursday: Dialogue for Recommendations on How to build the science- 
DRR link 11-12.30 Seehorn. 
Wed 1.30-3 Sertig Thurs 1.30-3 Sertig
.

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Davos Presentation_Ecosystems and Natural Resources

  • 1. Ecosystems, Natural Resources Science and DRR Deborah Brosnan Ph.D Virginia Tech University Brosnan Center
  • 2. Key Messages Strategic science helps in understanding risks to ecosystems & natural resources and to people through their ecosystems. In disasters, humans are affected through their relationship with ecosystems and natural resources e.g. fisheries, forestry, agriculture, tourism, solace. Long-lasting impacts. These direct and indirect impacts are underestimated and DRM rarely matches the scale of the disaster, or nature of the impacts. Recovery actions and policies often inadvertently hamper recovery, exacerbate the environmental and human cost, and make communities more vulnerable long-term. Human’s highest investments in nature conservation and natural resource protection are often the most vulnerable in a disaster e.g. national parks, endangered species. The resources to protect and recover these investments are not available after a disaster. SOLUTIONS- YES. Scientists and Emergency Responders (DRR) need to integrate their language and approaches better. Science can and should adopt the methods and language of DRR. Responders can learn from the research and multi-disciplinary approaches that highlight hidden impacts and counter-intuitive outcomes.
  • 3. Scenario Planning: SAFRR Tsunami Scenario (California) 1. Represents scientific approach and integration into DRM 2. Forecasted impacts have been observed in other natural and human-caused disasters Acknowledgements to our SAFRR team, especially fishery co-authors Anne Wein (US Geological Survey), Rick Wilson (California Geological Survey) and Patrick Lynett (University of S. California) for simulations SAFRR Tsunami Scenario—Impacts on California Ecosystems, Species, Marine Natural Resources, and Fisheries http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2013/1170/g/index.html Simulations: http://coastal.usc.edu/plynett/research/movies.html
  • 4.
  • 6. Beach and Coastal Habitats All low-lying beaches and coastal habitats vulnerable and many heavily inundated. 96 Protected habitat area coastal parks inundated. BEACHES ( 266,000 - 1 million visitors on day of tsunami) Beaches are key natural resources and ecosystem. Impacts: Inundation, sand loss, debris, contaminants, loss of use. Natural recovery of sand unlikely in many areas- Controversy and Cost for beach restoration: Contaminants and clean up COASTAL MARSHES : Buffer and absorb waves reducing run-up. Positive effects of nutrient input from sea. But adjacent to urban areas they become repositories of debris. Contaminants and clean up. Many Restoration Sites.
  • 7.
  • 8. COLORADO FLOODS: HABITAT RESTORATION SITE LOST
  • 9. Beach and Coastal Habitats All low-lying beaches and coastal habitats vulnerable and many heavily inundated. 96 Protected areas coastal parks inundated. BEACHES ( 266,000 - 1 million per day of tsunami) Natural Resource and Ecosystem. Inundation, sand loss, debris. Natural recovery of sand unlikely in many areas- Controversy and Cost. COASTAL MARSHES : Buffer and absorb waves. But adjacent to urban areas become repositories of debris. Restoration Sites. SAND DUNES- Protective buffering by dunes and shallow nearshore habitats. Storms- Coastal Habitats protect between US$ 90 million –$ 12 billion in property values per coastal county in California. In tsunamis, lower but some protection.
  • 10.
  • 11. Beach and Coastal Habitats All low-lying beaches and coastal habitats vulnerable and many heavily inundated. 96 Protected areas coastal parks inundated. BEACHES ( 266,000 - 1 million per day of tsunami) COASTAL MARSHES : Buffer and absorb waves. But adjacent to urban areas become repositories of debris. Restoration Sites. SAND DUNES-Protective buffering by dunes and Nearshore shallow water marine habitats -vulnerable, including fishing grounds. Lost habitat, buried in debris, and/or contaminants.
  • 12. .
  • 13. Endangered Species  Snowy Plover  Black Abalone  White Abalone  Clapper Rail  Spring Run Salmon  Gobies, Sturgeon, Smelt,  Sea Turtle  Endangered Coastal Plants  FISHERIES- Sea urchins, crab, Shellfish beds buried $218million/yr
  • 15. Fish and Fisheries At risk, $218 million/yr in landing value of which >$42 million in Los Angeles. (not accounting for related industries e.g. fish processing). All fishing ports heavily affected. Recovery >1 year. (i) Impact experienced directly through Ecological and Environmental Factors Near shore invertebrate species and fishing habitats at highest risk, including crab fishery, urchins etc. (Similar to Tohoku) Coastal pelagics less vulnerable directly. Marine species e.g. sea urchins, are sheared and swept away; juveniles especially vulnerable, leading to recruitment loss and delayed fishing declines. (some areas in Japan Tohoku: 90% of juveniles urchins lost) ii. Cascading Effects (inter-dependencies) .
  • 16. Habitats, Marine Life Habitats and marine life buried by sand, nets, kelp beds torn out. Environmental contaminants and debris dumped on the seabed or remobilized  150,000 m3 sediment in one bay - $12.7 million/yr crab fishery and crab populations, contaminants mobilized.  Lost Fishing Gear- 1 ghost net traps 1,000 crabs and other invertebrates, 150 fish, and 80 birds per year Resulting $ Loss: $20,000 to crab fisheries
  • 17. Fish and Fisheries At risk, $218 million/yr in landing value of which >$42 million in Los Angeles. (not accounting for related industries e.g. fish processing). (i) Impact experienced directly through Ecological and Environmental Factors ii. Cascading Effects (inter-dependencies) Affect fishery industry, species, and habitats. .
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  • 20. Ecosystem and Natural Resources Preparedness and Response - DESPITE HUGE INVESTEMENT IN PROTECTION OF NATURE AND RETURNS IN MULTIPLE VALUES  Planning and Response for Ecosystems, Endangered Species and Fisheries in Disasters - Where is it?  Poor understanding of the science and scale of event. Fishery Response, Protected Area response. History Shows_ Post Disaster Response and Recovery Challenges  Contaminant-Ecosystem: Jurisdictional Regulations. Contaminated sediments  Relaxation of regulations that increase vulnerability long-term, and hamper recovery. Post tsunami, changes to fishery policy increased pressure on resource and on fishermenPost forest fire/ earthquake response was to relax building regulations in vulnerable areas:.
  • 21. Solution Measures Role of Science. Knowledge, forecasting and understanding the impacts on ecosystems and natural resources. Hidden and Counter-intuitive outcomes. FOR SCIENTISTS: - Understand the approach and Adopt approach and the language of DRR and DRM (Oil Spill Incident Command Structure for oiled wildlife: WRDA) FOR DRM Professionals: UNDERSTAND that scientific community has knowledge and information on ecological cycles, complex systems and counter-intuitive outcomes. Knowledge can drive priorities and help vulnerable communities including post-disaster. Thursday: Dialogue for Recommendations on How to build the science- DRR link 11-12.30 Seehorn. Wed 1.30-3 Sertig Thurs 1.30-3 Sertig
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