What Big Data Can Do for Regional Anesthesiologists
Eller-Florentina JC 10 28 14
1. Alvin C. York VA Medical Center
Lipscomb University College of Pharmacy
Florentina Eller
October 27, 2014
2. Neuman MD, Silber JH, Magaziner JS, Passarella MA, Mehta S,
Werner RM. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture
among nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
Aug;174(8):1273-80. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2014.2362
Retrospective cohort study of 60,111 Medicare beneficiaries
residing in nursing homes
Hospitalized for hip fractures July 1, 2005- June 30, 2009
3. Study goals:
Characterize patterns of survival and new total dependence in
locomotion, 6 months and 1 year after hip fracture (HF)
Describe changes in 7 activities of daily living (ADL) after HF
Identify risk factors associated with survival after HF and a
composite outcome of death or new total dependence in
locomotion with 6 months after HF
Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among nursing
home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
4. Hip fracture:
A break in the upper quarter of
the femur.
Causes:
Fall or direct blow to the side of
the hip.
Osteoporosis, cancer, or stress
injuries
Epidemiology:
300,000 HFs each year
In nursing homes 2x to sustain
HFs
Worse outcomes after fracture
AAOS. Hip Fractures. Ortho Info.
http://orthoinfo.aaos.org/topic.cfm. Accessed 10/17/14
5. Symptoms:
Pain over thigh or groin
High discomfort when flexing or
rotating the hip
Shorter leg then the other
If completely broken
The leg is held in a still position,
rotated outward
Aching of groin or thigh
Starts a period of time before
break
With stress injury or cancer
Diagnosis:
X-ray of hip and femur
MRI- for incomplete, hidden
fractures
AAOS. Hip Fractures. Ortho Info.
http://orthoinfo.aaos.org/topic.cfm. Accessed 10/17/14
6. Treatment
Surgery within 48 hours of
fracture
Aspirin or clopidogrel use
should not delay surgery
Venous thromboembolism
prophylaxis (VTE) is
recommended
Improvement in functional
outcome post HF:
Interdisciplinary care
programs for patients with
mild to moderate dementia
Supervised occupational and
physical therapy
Prevention:
Calcium and/or Vitamin D
Reduces fall risk and
prevents fractures in the
elderly
Patients should be
evaluated and treated for
osteoporosis after
sustaining a hip fracture
5-10x increased risk of a
second hip fracture
AAOS. Hip Fractures. Ortho Info.
http://orthoinfo.aaos.org/topic.cfm. Accessed 10/17/14
7. Collection of Data:
1. Nurses clinical assessments
Minimum Data Set (MDS)
Standardized and validated
For all residents in certified Medicare/Medicaid nursing homes
from 2005-2009
2. Medicare provider analysis and review files (MedPAR)
Inpatient hospital claims for Medicare beneficiaries from 2005-
2009
3. Medicare beneficiary summary file
Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture
among nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
8. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among nursing
home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
9. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip
fracture among nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
http://www.fpnotebook.com. Charlson Comorbidity Index
Comorbidities for Charlson score
1 each: MI, CHF, PVD, cerebrovascular
disease, dementia, COPD, connective tissue
disease, PUD, T2DM (uncomplicated), liver
disease.
2 each: moderate to severe CKD, T2DM
with end organ damage, leukemia,
hemiplegia, leukemia, lymphoma, solid
tumor.
3 each: liver disease, moderate to severe.
6 each: Malignant metastatic solid tumor,
AIDS.
10. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among
nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
7 ADL:
(1)Locomotion on the nursing
home
(2) Dressing
(3) personal hygiene
(4) using the toilet
(5) Transferring between surfaces
(6)Getting in and out of bed
(7) Eating
12. Primary:
Death from any cause within 180 days of hospital
admission
Secondary:
Post-fracture self-performance for each of the 7 ADLs
Composite outcome of death by 180 days or new total
dependence in locomotion after HF
Mortality at 365 days and a composite outcome of
death by 365 days or new total dependence in
locomotion within 365 days
Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among
nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
13. Kaplan-Meier survival curves
To characterize baseline features and outcomes
Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model
To measure the adjusted association of baseline patient factors
and acute fracture management with post-fracture survival.
Multivariate Poisson regression model
To measure the relative risks (RRs) of mortality associated with
specific patient factors and fracture management approaches.
Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among nursing
home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
14. Of 60,111 patients, 21, 766 (36.2%) died by 180 days after fracture
Median survival time after fracture was 377 days (IQR, 70-1002
days)
Of the 52, 734 patients who were not totally dependent in
locomotion at baseline, 28, 225 (53.5%) either died or were newly
dependent in locomotion within 180 days
Among patients who survived to 180 days, new total dependence
in locomotion occurred in 9,438 of 33, 947 (27.8%)
Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among
nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
15. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among
nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
16. For patients with at least 1 year of available follow up data:
Among 52, 914 patients, 24, 883 (47.0%) died by 365 days.
Among 46,842 patients who were not totally dependent in
locomotion at baseline, 28 114 (60.5%) either died or
experienced new total dependence in locomotion within
365 days.
Among the 24, 984 patients without total dependence in
locomotion at baseline and who survived 365 days after
fracture, 6,618 (26.5%) were totally dependent in
locomotion at 365 days
Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among
nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
17. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among
nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
18. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture
among nursing home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
19. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among nursing
home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
20. Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among nursing home residents. JAMA
Intern Med. 2014
21. Large study with reliable results ( ~66,000 residents of certified
nursing homes)
Statistically significant results for 1ry and 2ry outcomes
Accurate collection of data ( standardized MDS, MedPAR files,
Medicare beneficiary summary file)
1 year follow-up data
Appropriate statistical tests to analyze the primary outcome and
baseline risk factors
Appropriate study design to look multiple outcomes
(retrospective cohort)
22. Might not apply to the VA population:
75% of subjects were women
91% were white
25% had only 1 comorbidity; 23% had 2 comorbidities
In this retrospective cohort study, the authors assumed which
baseline factors might influence HF outcomes- thus, there is a chance
of missing a few ( Smoking? Soda intake? Diet? Certain medications
–omeprazole?
Time from admission into the nursing home to first HF could have
been one of the baseline risk factors ?
23. Among long- term nursing home residents:
> 1: 3 patients die, 180 days post HF ( 1:2 for men)
1 out of every 2 patients with some type of baseline independence
in locomotion, either die or develop new total dependence in
locomotion within 6 months after HF
Factors significantly associated with decreased survival after HF
are: nonoperative fracture management, male sex, increasing age,
high levels of comorbidity, advanced cognitive impairment ,
nonfemoral neck fractures and increasing baseline ADL
dependence .
Neuman MD. Survival and functional outcomes after hip fracture among nursing
home residents. JAMA Intern Med. 2014
24. Diagnostic assessment
Bone mineral density (BMD) test using DEXA for:
Women ≥ 65 yo and men ≥70 yo
Postmenopausal women and men > 50-69 yo if risk factors
present
Postmenopausal women and men over > 50 yo with history of
fracture(s)
BMD used for:
Diagnosis of bone loss and osteoporosis
Monitoring the effectiveness of therapy
Predicting the future risk for fractures
National Osteoporosis Foundation. Clinician's Guide to
Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis. 2014
25. Pharmacologic treatment
If T-scores < -2.5 at the femoral neck, total hip or lumbar spine
If postmenopausal women and men ≥ 50 yo with:
low bone mass (Tscore : -1.0 and -2.5, osteopenia) AND
10-year hip fracture probability > 3% OR
10-year major osteoporosis-related fracture probability > 20%
based on the U.S.-adapted WHO absolute fracture risk
model (FRAX®; www.NOF.org and www.shef.ac.uk/FRAX).
National Osteoporosis Foundation. Clinician's Guide
to Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis. 2014
27. Monitoring:
BMD testing
1 -2 years after initiating treatment; every 2 years thereafter
At longer intervals
For patients without major risk factors AND
Have an initial T-score in the normal or upper low bone mass
range
National Osteoporosis Foundation. Clinician's Guide to
Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis. 2014
28. Assess risk factors for falls and offer appropriate modifications:
Correction of vitamin D insufficiency
Avoidance of CNS depressant medication
Monitoring of anti-HTN medication
Visual correction when needed
Advise on cessation of tobacco smoking and avoidance of
excessive alcohol intake
National Osteoporosis Foundation. Clinician's Guide to
Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis. 2014
29. Advise on adequate amounts of Ca2+ from diet:
1,000 mg daily for men 50-70 yo
1,200 mg daily for women ≥ 51 yo and men ≥ 71 yo
Dietary supplements if diet is insufficient
Advise on vitamin D intake:
800-1,000 IU daily (supplements if necessary) for ≥ 50 yo
Recommend regular weight-bearing and muscle-strengthening
exercise
National Osteoporosis Foundation. Clinician's Guide to
Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis. 2014
Hinweis der Redaktion
Unbiased journal title
JAMA
Impact factor of 30 (2013)
Weekly peer-reviewed medical journal of AMA
The impact factor is a measure of citation rate per article, and is calculated by dividing 1 year's worth of citations to a journal's articles published in the previous 2 years by the number of major articles [eg, research papers, reviews] published by that journal in those 2 years
In 2012, the Journal Citation Reports (JCR) database assigned impact factors to 8,411 journals. Impact factors range from 1 up to 30. Only 21 journal titles, or 0.2% of the journals tracked by JCR, have a 2012 one-year impact factor of 30.
AAOS American academy of orthopedic surgeons
The diagnosis of a hip fracture is generally made by an X-ray of the hip and femur
In some cases, if the patient falls and complains of hip pain, an incomplete fracture may not be seen on a regular X-ray. In that case, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may be recommended. The MRI scan will usually show a hidden fracture.
Interdisciplinary care: included geriatric consultation, rehabilitative services, discharge planning, prevention and treatment of fall risk factors.
ALL CERTIFIED Medicare/Medicaid long term care are required to complete MDS assessment of residents at admissions and every 90 days
Inpatient discharge note for: acute femoral neck, intertrochanteric, subtrochanteric fractures
NOT READMISSIONS, only acute admissions
We collected data from MedPAR files on patient age, sex, and race.
Medicare Provider Analysis and Review - claims for inpatient hospital care
Charlson Score or Charlson Comorbidity index=Assesses whether a patient with a range of comorbid conditions, will live long enough to benefit from a specific screening measure or treatment.
Each condition is assigned a score of 1, 2, 3, or 6, depending on the risk of dying associated with each one. Scores are summed to provide a total score to predict mortality.
For a physician, this score is helpful in deciding how aggressively to treat a condition.
For example, a patient may have cancer with comorbid heart disease and diabetes. These comorbidities may be so severe that the costs and risks of cancer treatment would outweigh its short-term benefit.
The authors used chronic medical conditions recorded in the last Minimum Data Set assessment prior to admission and ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes for all hospitalizations in the past 6 months prior to admission to identify 16 Charson comorbidities.
Baseline cognitive performance: used the last MDS Cognitive Performance Scale(CPS) prior to hospital admission.
CPS is a validated measure that grades cognition on a 7-point scale ranging from “intact” to “very severe impairment” ; High values correlate highly with low scores on the Mini-Mental Status Examination.
Long-term nursing home patients with HF had a high degree of baseline comorbidity, ADL dependence, and cognitive impairment.
26.6% had a Charlson score of 4 or greater.
At the last available MDS assessment prior to admission, 31.0% of the sample was independent in locomotion, but only 5.8% of the sample were in dependent in 6 of 6 nonlocomotion ADLs.
At baseline, 9.3% were cognitively intact.
Data from the last MDS was also used to obtain information regarding baseline self-performance in7ADLs
For each of theses ADLs, MDS assessors graded resident as:
Independent, or
Supervision, or
limited assistance, or
extensive assistance, or
total dependence
Hemiarthroplasty operation is similar to a total hip replacement operation, but it involves only half of the hip, where only the ball portion of the hip joint is replaced, not the socket portion. In a total Hip Replacement, the socket is also replaced.
During the Internal Fixation- the broken parts of the bone are put back together using metal hardware
Kaplan-Meier estimate is one of the best options to measure the percentage of patients living for a certain amount of time after treatment.
In a Cox model the relationship between the survival of a patient and several explanatory variables are examined. ( predictors of AE after HF )
Cox model provides an estimate of the treatment effect on survival after adjustment for other explanatory variables and it estimates the hazard or risk of death given the prognostic variables.
IQR= The difference between the first quartile and third quartile of a set of data; is one way to describe the spread of a set of data.
Quartiles divide a rank-ordered data set into four equal parts. The values that divide each part are called the first, second, and third quartiles; and they are denoted by Q1, Q2, and Q3, respectively.
Q1 is the "middle" value in the first half of the rank-ordered data set.
Q2 is the median value in the set.
Q3 is the "middle" value in the second half of the rank-ordered data set.
The interquartile range is equal to Q3 minus Q1.
log-rank test is a hypothesis test to compare the survival distributions of two samples. It is widely used in clinical trials to establish the efficacy of a new treatment in comparison with a control treatment when the measurement is the time to event.
1ry and 2ry outcomes
All of these factors ( except for HR of race) are statistically significant – thus good predictors of DEATH , NEW TOTAL DISABILITY IN LOCOMOTION AND SURVIVAL ( based on cox proportional hazards model);
However,
Age > 90, was most strongly associated with decreased survival after HF; HR 2.17, p<.001
Hazard ratio is a measure of relative risk over time , when we wan to know not only the total number of deaths or new total disability in locomotion, but also how these evolve over time.
The factors most strongly associated with decreased survival after HF were:
Charlson score of > 5 ( HR 1.66)
The factors most strongly associated with decreased survival after HF were:
Age > 90, HR 2.17
Charlson score of > 5 HR 1.66 and
Nonoperative fracture management(vs. internal fixation) HR 2.08
1ry: Death from any cause within 180 days of hospital admission
2ry: Composite outcome of death by 180 days or new total dependence in locomotion
Medicare Provider Analysis and review files
A bone mineral density (BMD) test measures how much calcium and other types of minerals are in an area of your bone;
Dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DEXA)
DEXA uses low-dose x-rays. (You receive more radiation with a chest x-ray.)
Diagnose bone loss and osteoporosis
See how well osteoporosis medicine is working
Predict your risk of future bone fractures
Receptor Activator of Nuclear Factor (RANK), member of the tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR) molecular sub-family.
RANK is part of the signaling pathway that regulates osteoclast differentiation and activation.
If treating bone cancer is called XGEVA
Duavee- BBW for endometrial cancer, CVD, Dementia, Risk vs Benefit
Milk, yogurt, OJ, spinach
To improve agility, strength, posture and balance
To maintain or improve bone strength
To reduce the risk of falls and fractures