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Mum & egg




                           Three Easy Pieces for Maternal
                           and Child Health Policy:
                           MACHS Roundtable, Winnipeg, MB CANADA • December 11, 2012
                           by Dennis D. Embry, PAXIS Institute


Tuesday, December 11, 12
Maternal and Child Health Conference:
                           Leadership to Action
                           Disclosure	
  of	
  Poten/al	
  for	
  Conflict	
  of	
  Interest
                            •   Name of Speaker: Dennis D. Embry, Ph.D.

                            •   Title of Presentation: Three Easy Pieces for Maternal and Child Health Policy

                            •   Date of Presentation: December 11, 2012

                            •   Financial Disclosure

                                 •   Grants/Research Support: Yes, Co-Investigator, Towards Flourishing, PHAC

                                 •   Honoraria: I receive fees to speak at this conference and other Conference

                                 •   Consulting Fees: Yes, for multiple projects in Canada and the US

                                 •   Other: Training fees and royalties on multiple copyrights for publications



Tuesday, December 11, 12
Foretelling my talk today
                           A new concept today of evolutionary
                           mismatch that honors wisdom and
                           science
                           Solving linked multi-problems or
                           syndemics instead of one-at-a-time
                           Using low-cost proven strategies for
                           all as public-health policy for
                           Maternal and Child Health (MACH)




Tuesday, December 11, 12
My Three Easy Pieces for Today
                           •   Policy Goal 1: Reduce multiple sources of neuro-inflammation before pregnancy,
                               during pregnancy and during childhood—using low-cost, scientifically proven
                               evidence-based kernels.

                           •   Policy Goal 2: Recognize, reinforce and reward non-use of tobacco, alcohol & other
                               drugs among women of childbearing age —using low-cost, scientifically proven
                               evidence-based kernels.

                           •   Policy Goal 3: Create public-private partnerships to promote specific nurturing
                               environments actionable strategies for children and their caregivers.




Tuesday, December 11, 12
The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based
                           kernel for maternal and child health




                           The Epidemiological Observation




Tuesday, December 11, 12
The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based
                           kernel for maternal and child health

                                                                                             Chlorine
                                                                                            Handwash




                           The Epidemiological Observation   The Experimental Observation




Tuesday, December 11, 12
The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based
                           kernel for maternal and child health

                                                                                             Chlorine
                                                                                            Handwash




                           The Epidemiological Observation   The Experimental Observation




Tuesday, December 11, 12
The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based
                           kernel for maternal and child health




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Streptococcus
                                               pyogenes
                                               The culprit of massive morbidity and
                                               mortality of mothers and children.




                           Image credit: CDC




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Streptococcus
                                               pyogenes
                                               The culprit of massive morbidity and
                                               mortality of mothers and children.
                                               But the discover caused an
                                               intellectual disease:

                                               Semmelweis reflex
                           Image credit: CDC




Tuesday, December 11, 12
A policy…
                           A course or principle of action adopted or proposed by a government,
                           party, business, or individual.

                           Also, archaic, prudent or expedient conduct or action: a course of
                           policy and wisdom.

                           ORIGIN late Middle English: from Old French policy ‘civil
                           administration,’ via Latin from Greek politeia ‘citizenship,’ from politēs
                           ‘citizen,’ from polis ‘city.’
                           policy 2 |ˈpäləsē|
                           noun ( pl. policies )

                           ORIGIN mid 16th cent.: from French police ‘bill of lading, contract of
                           insurance,’ from Provençal poliss(i)a, probably from medieval Latin
                           apodissa, apodixa, based on Greek apodeixis ‘evidence, proof,’ from
                           apodeiknunai ‘demonstrate, show.’



Tuesday, December 11, 12
Let us begin with some wisdom and careful observations

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Elder wisdom about child-rearing selected   Humans are everyday
                                                                          scientists of their
                           by evolutionary mechanisms                            successes



Tuesday, December 11, 12
www.thisviewoflife.com “Look up Evolutionary Mismatch”
                           Natural selection adapts organisms to their
                           past environments and has no ability to
                           foresee the future.
                           When the environment changes,
                           adaptations to past environments can
                           misfire in the current situation, producing a
                           mismatch that can only be solved by
                           evolving or by modifying the current
                           environment.
                           Mismatches are an inevitable consequence
                           of evolution in changing environments.

Tuesday, December 11, 12
This creates an evolutionary mismatch in
                           the womb
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Early incubator experiences for premies

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Early incubator experiences for premies   What did we learn?


Tuesday, December 11, 12
What did this nurse notice about this premie?

Tuesday, December 11, 12
What are we noticing with babies and mums more today?

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Some observable trends:
                           •   Increased postpartum depression

                           •   More addictions

                           •   More “inflammatory” diseases like
                               asthma, diabetes and obesity

                           •   More children with disabilities such
                               as autism spectrum disorder

                           •   Higher lifetime rates of mental,
                               emotional, behavioral, and related
                               physical disorders




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Increases in Child Problems In Manitoba
                           Indicator        Time Period       Rates/Prevalence     Change

                             ADHD        2000/01 to 2009/10     2.4% to 3.9%     66% increase

                           SP Educ                              18.7/1,000 to
                                         2000/01 to 2009/10                      106% increase
                           Funding                               38.4/1,000

                           Children in   2000/01-2002/03 to
                                                                3.7% to 4.0%      6% increase
                             Care         2006/07-2008/09




Tuesday, December 11, 12
2006 Statistics Canada report on the Participation
       and Activity Limitation Survey (PALS)
                           •   According to Statistics Canada, more children in this country have a learning
                               disability than all other types of disabilities combined.

                           •   According to Statistics Canada, of all the children with disabilities in this
                               country, more than half (59.8%) have a learning disability.

                           •   According to Statistics Canada, more than half a million adults in this country
                               live with a learning disability, making it more challenging for them to learn in
                               universities and colleges, and on the job.

                           •   According to Statistics Canada, learning disabilities increased considerably
                               between 2001 and 2006 among Canadians aged 15 and over by almost 40
                               per cent to 631,000 people, making it one of the fastest growing types of
                               disabilities in Canada that isn’t related to aging.




Tuesday, December 11, 12
With various early
                           childhood
                           disabilities
                           increasing, how
                           does that parents
                           and families?




Tuesday, December 11, 12
With various early   Impact of child's condition on parental
                                                employment for parents of children with
                           childhood            disabilities aged 0 to 14, Canada, 2006

                           disabilities
                           increasing, how
                           does that parents
                           and families?




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Multi-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response




                             Major Connected Causes of the Adverse Trends Predicting MEBs & Related Illnesses

                               Reinforcement           Antecedents          Physiological       Verbal Relations
                              more for anti-social     cue anti-social    influences trigger    occasion perceived
                                than prosocial        acts and threats    adverse biological   threats and related
                                  behaviors                                  mechanisms             reactions

                           The Same Mismatches Predict Multiple MACH Disorders
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Mood                                  Lo Reward    Lo Executive      Lo Behavioral
                                                        Inattention                    Function
                                 Instability                               Delay                        Competencies
                                  Poor                                                                   Immune-
                                  Motor                                                                   Healing
                                  Skills             Multi-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response            Dysfunction




                             Major Connected Causes of the Adverse Trends Predicting MEBs & Related Illnesses

                               Reinforcement           Antecedents           Physiological            Verbal Relations
                              more for anti-social     cue anti-social     influences trigger         occasion perceived
                                than prosocial        acts and threats     adverse biological        threats and related
                                  behaviors                                   mechanisms                  reactions

                           The Same Mismatches Predict Multiple MACH Disorders
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Substance                         Work      Obesity,
                           Early      Mental Illness                       Violence                                 Cancer       School
                                                           Abuse                          Problems      etc
                           Sex                                                                                                   Failure

                                        Mood                                  Lo Reward     Lo Executive      Lo Behavioral
                                                             Inattention                     Function
                                      Instability                               Delay                         Competencies
                                       Poor                                                                    Immune-
                           STD’s       Motor                                                                    Healing           Special
                                       Skills             Multi-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response             Dysfunction           Ed




                                   Major Connected Causes of the Adverse Trends Predicting MEBs & Related Illnesses

                                    Reinforcement           Antecedents           Physiological             Verbal Relations
                                   more for anti-social     cue anti-social     influences trigger          occasion perceived
                                     than prosocial        acts and threats     adverse biological         threats and related
                                       behaviors                                   mechanisms                   reactions

                            The Same Mismatches Predict Multiple MACH Disorders
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Multi Anti-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response




                            Multiple Behavioral Vaccines Protect the Futures of ALL Children, Youth and Adults

                             Reinforcement          Antecedents                  Physiological         Verbal Relations
                            more for prosocial      cue prosocial              influences trigger      occasion perceived
                               behaviors             behaviors                protective biological       safety and
                                                                                  mechanisms               affiliation


                           Changing Conditions Protect and Prevent MACH
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Mood                               Hi Reward       Hi Executive    Hi Behavioral
                                                      Attention         Delay
                                  Stability                                             Function      Competencies
                                   Good                                                               Immune-
                                   Motor                                                               Healing
                                   Skills        Multi Anti-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response         Efficiency




                            Multiple Behavioral Vaccines Protect the Futures of ALL Children, Youth and Adults

                             Reinforcement          Antecedents                  Physiological          Verbal Relations
                            more for prosocial      cue prosocial              influences trigger       occasion perceived
                               behaviors             behaviors                protective biological        safety and
                                                                                  mechanisms                affiliation


                           Changing Conditions Protect and Prevent MACH
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Heart
                                                          Low                                 Work                          Low
                            Delayed    Mental health                     Prosociality        Success
                                                                                                              Health
                                                                                                                                       Hi Sch.
                                                        Addictions                                             etc         Cancer
                             Sex                                                                                                        Grad

                                         Mood                               Hi Reward          Hi Executive            Hi Behavioral
                                                            Attention         Delay
                                        Stability                                                Function              Competencies
                                         Good                                                                          Immune-
                             Low         Motor                                                                          Healing          Higher
                           Injuries      Skills        Multi Anti-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response                    Efficiency           Ed




                                   Multiple Behavioral Vaccines Protect the Futures of ALL Children, Youth and Adults

                                  Reinforcement           Antecedents                      Physiological                 Verbal Relations
                                 more for prosocial       cue prosocial                  influences trigger              occasion perceived
                                    behaviors              behaviors                    protective biological               safety and
                                                                                            mechanisms                       affiliation


                              Changing Conditions Protect and Prevent MACH
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Solving some current mismatches affecting MACH

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Richly Reinforce
                           Pro-social Behaviors                                                                           Reduce Toxic Influences




                           Limit Problematic Behaviors                                                     Increase Psychological Flexibility
                           Biglan, A., B. R. Flay, et al. (2012). "The critical role of nurturing environments for promoting human well-being." American Psychologist.




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Mothers and children
                                               in Canada do not get
                                               sufficient Vitamin D
                                               via sunlight




                                               Mothers and children
                                               in Canada do not eat
                                               foods sufficient in
                                               Vitamin D




                           This evolutionary mismatch harms MACH

Tuesday, December 11, 12
D. K. Kinney et al.
                                                            Mismatch, Latitude & Schizophrenia




   Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009
   doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023
   Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009




   Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant
   Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections?


   Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena      derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high
   C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2,            priority.
   William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2
   2
     Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De-     Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/
   partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA;   prenatal/geography/risk factor
   4
     Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA
                   Fig. 1. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Continent and Infant Mortality.
                   Note: South Asia sites were from India and Indonesia; those sites had higher infant mortality rates than all but one of the East Asian sites. For the
Tuesday, December 11, 12                                 Introduction
   Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) America,in
                   regressionlinesinNorth variation those withinfantmortalityrates above 30 per 1000 weregroupedas having a higherrate, those below30 as having
D. K. Kinney et al.
                                                            Mismatch, Latitude & Schizophrenia
                                                                                                                                                   Semmelweis
                                                                                                                                                     Reflex



   Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009
   doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023
   Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009




   Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant
   Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections?


   Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena      derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high
   C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2,            priority.
   William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2
   2
     Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De-     Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/
   partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA;   prenatal/geography/risk factor
   4
     Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA
                   Fig. 1. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Continent and Infant Mortality.
                   Note: South Asia sites were from India and Indonesia; those sites had higher infant mortality rates than all but one of the East Asian sites. For the
Tuesday, December 11, 12                                 Introduction
   Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) America,in
                   regressionlinesinNorth variation those withinfantmortalityrates above 30 per 1000 weregroupedas having a higherrate, those below30 as having
D. K. Kinney et al.
                                                      Mismatch, Fish Intake & Schizophrenia




   Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009
   doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023
   Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009




   Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant
   Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections?


   Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena      derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high
   C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2,            priority.
   William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2
   2
     Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De-     Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/
   partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA;   prenatal/geography/risk factor
   4
     Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA
                   Fig. 2. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Fish Intake.
                   Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of linear regression lines were 0.03 for sites with high fish intake, 0.21 for sites with
   Previous surveys found a largeintake, and 0.17 forin
                   moderate fish (>10-fold) variation sitesIntroduction intake. For the subset of Scandinavian sites, the slope of linear regression for was 0.03 for
Tuesday, December 11, 12                                    with low fish
D. K. Kinney et al.
                                                      Mismatch, Fish Intake & Schizophrenia
                                                                                                                                                       Semmelweis
                                                                                                                                                         Reflex



   Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009
   doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023
   Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009




   Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant
   Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections?


   Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena      derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high
   C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2,            priority.
   William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2
   2
     Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De-     Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/
   partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA;   prenatal/geography/risk factor
   4
     Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA
                   Fig. 2. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Fish Intake.
                   Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of linear regression lines were 0.03 for sites with high fish intake, 0.21 for sites with
   Previous surveys found a largeintake, and 0.17 forin
                   moderate fish (>10-fold) variation sitesIntroduction intake. For the subset of Scandinavian sites, the slope of linear regression for was 0.03 for
Tuesday, December 11, 12                                    with low fish
e increased markedly                                         economic status and healthcare, as indexed in our anal-
                                                              ysis by the infant mortality rate, appears to be a much
renia prevalence with                                         weaker predictor of risk for schizophrenia than are lati-
 d is not due simply to                                 Mismatch, Skin Color & Schizophrenia
                                                              tude and winter temperature. A high infant mortality rate
tic and ascertainment
alysis of data collected
 particularly informa-
t controlled for possi-
 ences in prevalence at
  investigative person-
  were used to obtain
 ent sites within the
     Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009
studied schizophrenia
     doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023
     Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009

 ites in the same time
iagnostic criteria and
    Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant
  data showedSkin very A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections?
    Mortality, and a Color:
  with both latitude
 w temperature (r =
     Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena         derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high
     C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2,               priority.
     William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2
cially wide variation in
     2                                                         Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/
                                                                3
      Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; De-
he equator, prevalenceSchool, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor
     partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical
     4
      Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA
                                                     Fig. 3. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Skin Color.
at is, for all groups and                            Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of the
  Tuesday, December 11, 12                                            Introduction
     Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) variation in
e increased markedly                                         economic status and healthcare, as indexed in our anal-
                                                              ysis by the infant mortality rate, appears to be a much
renia prevalence with                                         weaker predictor of risk for schizophrenia than are lati-
 d is not due simply to                                 Mismatch, Skin Color & Schizophrenia
                                                              tude and winter temperature. A high infant mortality rate
tic and ascertainment
alysis of data collected                                                                                                            Semmelweis
 particularly informa-                                                                                                                Reflex
t controlled for possi-
 ences in prevalence at
  investigative person-
  were used to obtain
 ent sites within the
     Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009
studied schizophrenia
     doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023
     Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009

 ites in the same time
iagnostic criteria and
    Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant
  data showedSkin very A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections?
    Mortality, and a Color:
  with both latitude
 w temperature (r =
     Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena         derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high
     C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2,               priority.
     William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2
cially wide variation in
     2                                                         Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/
                                                                3
      Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; De-
he equator, prevalenceSchool, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor
     partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical
     4
      Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA
                                                     Fig. 3. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Skin Color.
at is, for all groups and                            Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of the
  Tuesday, December 11, 12                                            Introduction
     Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) variation in
Latitude and Infantile Autism

     Grant, W. B. and C. M.
     Soles (2009).
     "Epidemiologic evidence
     supporting the role of
     maternal vitamin D
     deficiency as a risk factor
     for the development of
     infantile autism."
     Dermatoendocrinol 1(4):
     223-228.




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Latitude and Infantile Autism
                                                                  Semmelweis
     Grant, W. B. and C. M.
     Soles (2009).
                                                                    Reflex
     "Epidemiologic evidence
     supporting the role of
     maternal vitamin D
     deficiency as a risk factor
     for the development of
     infantile autism."
     Dermatoendocrinol 1(4):
     223-228.




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Estimated deaths
          per year would fall
          by 37,000 people,
          or about 16%-22%
          of annual mortality
              in Canada.

             And, $14 billion




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Estimated deaths     Semmelweis
          per year would fall
          by 37,000 people,       Reflex
          or about 16%-22%
          of annual mortality
              in Canada.

             And, $14 billion




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Among pregnant women, lower Vitamin
                           D is associated with:
                           •   Adverse fertility               •   Primary cesarean section
                               parameters (n = 2),                 (n = 1),

                           •   Preeclampsia (n = 5),           •   Few days' (n = 2) shorter
                                                                   gestation,
                           •   Gestational diabetes or
                               higher blood glucose            •   And, postpartum
                               (n = 6),                            depression (n = 1)

                           •   Bacterial vaginosis
                               (n = 4),
                            Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2012 Dec;91(12):1357-67. doi: 10.1111/
                            aogs.12000. Epub 2012 Oct 17.
                            The impact of vitamin D on pregnancy: a systematic review.
                            Christesen HT, Falkenberg T, Lamont RF, Jørgensen JS.


Tuesday, December 11, 12
Among pregnant women, lower Vitamin
                           D is associated with:          Semmelweis
                           •   Adverse fertility               •   Primary cesarean section     Reflex
                               parameters (n = 2),                 (n = 1),

                           •   Preeclampsia (n = 5),           •   Few days' (n = 2) shorter
                                                                   gestation,
                           •   Gestational diabetes or
                               higher blood glucose            •   And, postpartum
                               (n = 6),                            depression (n = 1)

                           •   Bacterial vaginosis
                               (n = 4),
                            Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2012 Dec;91(12):1357-67. doi: 10.1111/
                            aogs.12000. Epub 2012 Oct 17.
                            The impact of vitamin D on pregnancy: a systematic review.
                            Christesen HT, Falkenberg T, Lamont RF, Jørgensen JS.


Tuesday, December 11, 12
•   Reduced postpartum
                                                                                 depression

                                                                             •   Reduced lifetime
                                                                                 depression, including
                                                                                 bipolar disorder

                                                                             •   Increased child IQ

                                                                             •   Better academic success

                                                                             •   Reduced childhood
                             Vitamin D with                                      mental, emotional, and

                             Omega-3 (fish)                                       behavioural disorders


                           Hibbeln, J., J. M. Davis, et al. (2007). "Maternal seafood consumption in pregnancy and neurodevelopmental
                           outcomes in childhood (ALSPAC study): an observational cohort study." The Lancet 369(9561): 578-585.

                           Hibbeln, J. R., L. R. Nieminen, et al. (2006). "Healthy intakes of n-3 and n-6 fatty acids: estimations considering
                           worldwide diversity." American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 83(6 Suppl): 1483S-1493S.

Tuesday, December 11, 12
•   Reduced postpartum
                                                                                 depression

                                                                             •   Reduced lifetime                        Semmelweis
                                                                                 depression, including                     Reflex
                                                                                 bipolar disorder

                                                                             •   Increased child IQ

                                                                             •   Better academic success

                                                                             •   Reduced childhood
                             Vitamin D with                                      mental, emotional, and

                             Omega-3 (fish)                                       behavioural disorders


                           Hibbeln, J., J. M. Davis, et al. (2007). "Maternal seafood consumption in pregnancy and neurodevelopmental
                           outcomes in childhood (ALSPAC study): an observational cohort study." The Lancet 369(9561): 578-585.

                           Hibbeln, J. R., L. R. Nieminen, et al. (2006). "Healthy intakes of n-3 and n-6 fatty acids: estimations considering
                           worldwide diversity." American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 83(6 Suppl): 1483S-1493S.

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Semmelweis
                             Reflex




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Semmelweis
                             Reflex




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Semmelweis
                             Reflex




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Semmelweis
                             Reflex




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Semmelweis
                             Reflex




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Semmelweis
                             Reflex




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Richly Reinforce
                           Pro-social Behaviors                                                                           Reduce Toxic Influences




                           Limit Problematic Behaviors                                                     Increase Psychological Flexibility
                           Biglan, A., B. R. Flay, et al. (2012). "The critical role of nurturing environments for promoting human well-being." American Psychologist.




Tuesday, December 11, 12
How might we reduce
                           alcohol, tobacco, and
                           other drugs among
                           women of child
                           bearing age




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Which warning labels might work?
Tuesday, December 11, 12
Trendline for humorous warnings on
                           binge drinking by women of child-rearing

                                             No Warnings	   	   Humorous Warnings




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Trendline for humorous warnings on
                                   binge drinking by women of child-rearing

                                                                         No Warnings	     	            Humorous Warnings
                                        20


                                        16
                           Percentage




                                        12


                                         8


                                         4


                                         0
                                             1995   1997   1999   2001     2002    2003       2004   2005   2006   2007

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Trendline for humorous warnings on
                                   binge drinking by women of child-rearing

                                                                         No Warnings	     	            Humorous Warnings
                                        20


                                        16
                           Percentage




                                        12


                                         8


                                         4


                                         0
                                             1995   1997   1999   2001     2002    2003       2004   2005   2006   2007

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Trendline for humorous warnings on
                                   binge drinking by women of child-rearing

                                                                         No Warnings	     	            Humorous Warnings
                                        20


                                        16
                           Percentage




                                        12


                                         8


                                         4


                                         0
                                             1995   1997   1999   2001     2002    2003       2004   2005   2006   2007

Tuesday, December 11, 12
Rewarding Clerks & Stores for Not Welling to Minors
                                                Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days
                                                  Baseline            Reward and Reminder
                                                                                                                                          Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days
                                                                                                                                             Baseline            Reward and Reminder
                                    45.0%                                                                                      18.0%
                                               Wyoming                                                                                  Wyoming
                                    40.0%     Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days                                         16.0%    Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days
                                    35.0%       Baseline            Reward and Reminder                                        14.0%       Baseline            Reward and Reminder
                                  45.0%
                                     30.0%                                                                                    18.0%
                                                                                                                               12.0%
            Source: Youth Risk       25.0%
                                  40.0%
                                             Wyoming
                                                                                                                              16.0%
                                                                                                                               10.0%
                                                                                                                                       Wyoming

              Behavior Survey       20.0%
                                  35.0%
                                                                                                                                8.0%
                                                                                                                              14.0%
            (YRBS), Centers for     15.0%
                                  30.0%
                                     10.0%
                                                                                                                                6.0%
                                                                                                                              12.0%
                                                                                                                                4.0%
              Disease Control         5.0%
                                  25.0%                                                                                         2.0%
                                                                                                                              10.0%
                                     0.0%
                                  20.0%                                                                                        8.0%
                                                                                                                               18.0%
                                               Wisconsin                                                                                Wisconsin
                                     40.0%                                                                                     16.0%
                                  15.0%                                                                                        6.0%
                                    35.0%                                                                                      14.0%
                                  10.0%                                                                                        4.0%
                                    30.0%                                                                                      12.0%

                                   5.0%
                                     25.0%                                                                                     2.0%
                                                                                                                               10.0%
                                    20.0%                                                                                       8.0%
                                   0.0%
                                    15.0%                                                                                       6.0%
                                                                                                                              18.0%
                                    10.0%    Wisconsin                                                                          4.0%   Wisconsin
                                  40.0%                                                                                       16.0%
                                     5.0%                                                                                       2.0%
                                  35.0%
                                      0.0%                                                                                    14.0%
                                                                                                                               18.0%
                                  30.0%        United States                                                                  12.0%     United States
                                    40.0%                                                                                      16.0%

                                  25.0%
                                    35.0%                                                                                     10.0%
                                                                                                                               14.0%

                                    30.0%                                                                                      12.0%
                                  20.0%                                                                                        8.0%
                                    25.0%                                                                                      10.0%
                                  15.0%                                                                                        6.0%
                                    20.0%                                                                                       8.0%

                                  10.0%
                                    15.0%                                                                                      4.0%
                                                                                                                                6.0%

                                    10.0%                                                                                       4.0%
                                   5.0%                                                                                        2.0%
                                     5.0%                                                                                       2.0%
                                   0.0%                                       Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control                                                 Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control
                                     0.0%                                                                                       0.0%
                                               1995      1997   1999   2001         2003           2005           2007        18.0%     1995        1997   1999     2001      2003            2005             2007
                                             United States                                                                             United States
                                  40.0%                                             = Trend                             = Wyoming
                                                                                                                              16.0%       = Wisconsin             =United States

                                  35.0%                                                                                       14.0%

Tuesday, December 11, 12          30.0%                                                                                       12.0%
Rewarding Clerks & Stores for Not Welling to Minors
                                                Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days
                                                  Baseline            Reward and Reminder
                                                                                                                                          Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days
                                                                                                                                             Baseline            Reward and Reminder
                                    45.0%                                                                                      18.0%
                                               Wyoming                                                                                  Wyoming
                                    40.0%     Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days                                         16.0%    Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days
                                    35.0%       Baseline            Reward and Reminder                                        14.0%       Baseline            Reward and Reminder
                                  45.0%
                                     30.0%                                                                                    18.0%
                                                                                                                               12.0%
            Source: Youth Risk       25.0%
                                  40.0%
                                             Wyoming
                                                                                                                              16.0%
                                                                                                                               10.0%
                                                                                                                                       Wyoming

              Behavior Survey       20.0%
                                  35.0%
                                                                                                                                8.0%
                                                                                                                              14.0%
            (YRBS), Centers for     15.0%
                                  30.0%
                                     10.0%
                                                                                                                                6.0%
                                                                                                                              12.0%
                                                                                                                                4.0%
              Disease Control         5.0%
                                  25.0%                                                                                         2.0%
                                                                                                                              10.0%
                                     0.0%
                                  20.0%                                                                                        8.0%
                                                                                                                               18.0%
                                               Wisconsin                                                                                Wisconsin
                                     40.0%                                                                                     16.0%
                                  15.0%                                                                                        6.0%
                                    35.0%                                                                                      14.0%
                                  10.0%                                                                                        4.0%
                                    30.0%                                                                                      12.0%

                                   5.0%
                                     25.0%                                                                                     2.0%
                                                                                                                               10.0%
                                    20.0%                                                                                       8.0%
                                   0.0%
                                    15.0%                                                                                       6.0%
                                                                                                                              18.0%
                                    10.0%    Wisconsin                                                                          4.0%   Wisconsin
                                  40.0%                                                                                       16.0%
                                     5.0%                                                                                       2.0%
                                  35.0%
                                      0.0%                                                                                    14.0%
                                                                                                                               18.0%
                                  30.0%        United States                                                                  12.0%     United States
                                    40.0%                                                                                      16.0%

                                  25.0%
                                    35.0%                                                                                     10.0%
                                                                                                                               14.0%

                                    30.0%                                                                                      12.0%
                                  20.0%                                                                                        8.0%
                                    25.0%                                                                                      10.0%
                                  15.0%                                                                                        6.0%
                                    20.0%                                                                                       8.0%

                                  10.0%
                                    15.0%                                                                                      4.0%
                                                                                                                                6.0%

                                    10.0%                                                                                       4.0%
                                   5.0%                                                                                        2.0%
                                     5.0%                                                                                       2.0%
                                   0.0%                                       Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control                                                 Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control
                                     0.0%                                                                                       0.0%
                                               1995      1997   1999   2001         2003           2005           2007        18.0%     1995        1997   1999     2001      2003            2005             2007
                                             United States                                                                             United States
                                  40.0%                                             = Trend                             = Wyoming
                                                                                                                              16.0%       = Wisconsin             =United States

                                  35.0%                                                                                       14.0%

Tuesday, December 11, 12          30.0%                                                                                       12.0%
Wait for the Timer for tobacco addictions with SMI/CMI

             Antecedent
               Kernel




           Happens
          BEFORE the
           behavior




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Teaching Psychological flexibility by cognitive defusion
                                                                                                                the thought
                                                                                                    d put it on             s and
                                                                                             a f an                               fee             ling
                                                                                        le
                                                                                  the                                                                    s “s
                                                                                                                                                                tre
                                                                               on                                                                                   am
                                                                           g                                                                                          ”




                                                                     lin
                                                                   ee
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                                                            nd
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                                                   tho
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                                       I am




                                                                                                                                                            Copyright © 2007-2012, PAXIS Institute. All rights reserved.
                                                                                                                                                            May be reproduced but not sold. www.paxtalk.com




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Teaching Psychological flexibility by cognitive defusion
                                                                                                                the thought
                                                                                                    d put it on             s and
                                                                                             a f an                               fee             ling
                                                                                        le
                                                                                  the                                                                    s “s
                                                                                                                                                                tre
                                                                               on                                                                                   am
                                                                           g                                                                                          ”




                                                                     lin
                                                                   ee
                                                                 af
                                                            nd
                                                            a
                                                         ht
                                                       ug
                                                   tho
                                                    a
                                              Write
                                                                                                                I am h
                                                                                                                      avin
                                                                                                                          g   a se
                                                                                                                                  nsa
                                                                                                                                     tio
                                                                                                                                           no
                                                                                                                                             f…



                                                                           I am ha
                                                                                  ving




                                                           at…
                                                                                         a fe
                                                                                                elin



                                                         th
                                                                                                     g   of

                                                      ht
                                                                                                            …
                                                    ug
                                                   tho
                                              the
                                            in g
                                         hav
                                       I am




                                                                                                                                                            Copyright © 2007-2012, PAXIS Institute. All rights reserved.
                                                                                                                                                            May be reproduced but not sold. www.paxtalk.com




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Lifespan example of one kernel for
                                                                      prevention, intervention and
                                                                                         treatment
  Reinforcement
      Kernel



Happens AFTER
 the behavior




                           Available from Amazon.com for $45


Tuesday, December 11, 12
Mobilizing
       for MACH




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Implementation & Logic Models
                             See:

                                                                          Multi-problem analyses                                        Predict                                  Create                      Plan Population-
                                                                                                Identify                                Benefits:                                                            Level Change:

                                    Nurturing
                                Environments
                               Logic Model for
                               population-level
                                  benefits                                                                                                                                       Cultivate
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Create Community
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Prevention
                                                                                                Identify                                                                                                     Score/Dashboard
                                Update Research
                             Databases for Proven
                             Prevention Solutions




                                    Document

                                                                                                                                                                                    Launch Social Marketing: Advocacy & Media
                                                                                         Population-Level Targeting
                                                                                                                                                                                       Products           Performance
                                                                                                          B Developmen
                                                                                                     Birth Childhood
                                                                                                                      ta               l stages            Low
                                       Report                                                                        Adolescence
                                                                                                                                          Adulthood        Intensity
                                                                                                                                                           Hi
                                                                          Multiple                                                                         reach




                                                                                                   Fa
                                                                                               Sc                                                                                      Place              Price




                                                                                                                                                     els
                                                                                                      m
                                                                                                  ho




                                                                                                      ilie
                                                                          Settings                   o




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                                                                                            Or




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                                                                              A         Co       ni
                                                                                           mm atio




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                                                                                                   itie




                                                                                                                                           /re
                                                                                                        s
                                                                                                                                                   C                                  Promotion




                                                                                                                                        sity
                                                                                                                                      en
                             Recognize & Reward




                                                                                                                                   Int
                             successes in/by                                                                 High Intensity
                                                                                                             Low reach
                                                                              Note: Workforce development efficiency achieved
                                                                              by broad use of similar/same evidence-based                                                           Create                Monitor & Coach
                                                                              strategies or evidence-based kernels.                                                                                                    &

                                                  Developed by PAXIS Institute © 2010-2012, all rights reserved. May be freely reporduced in total with attribution and notice




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Epigenesis                    Social Biological
                                     Environmental Inputs
                                                                               These
                                                                                                  Genesis
         Epigenetics are                  Nurturing or Toxic                 polygenes
                                           Environments,
         heritable                           Disease, or                       can be
         changes in                            Threats                        “added”,
         gene expression                                                   “subtracted”,
         caused by                                                          “divided”, or
         mechanisms                                                         “multiplied.”




                                                              M
                                      g




                                                               or
                                   lin
                                             Phosphorlyation
         other than




                                                                 ph
                                 na




                                                                    og
                                               Acetylation
         changes in the
                              Sig




                                                                         en
                                               Methylation
         underlying DNA




                                                                          sis
                                        Histone Remodeling
         sequence.                  Chromatin Stucture Changes
                            Development   Immunity   Stem Cell Changes   Imprinting
         These changes
                                                                            Parent,
         can pass                                                           1st Generation
                            Three
         through multiple   Generation                                      Baby,
         generations.       Effects                                         2nd Generation

                                                                            Reproductive Cells,
                                                                            3rd Generation




Tuesday, December 11, 12
Thank you


      Dennis D. Embry
       dde@paxis.org




Tuesday, December 11, 12

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Three Easy Pieces for Maternal and Child Health Policy: MACHs Roundtable 2012

  • 1. Mum & egg Three Easy Pieces for Maternal and Child Health Policy: MACHS Roundtable, Winnipeg, MB CANADA • December 11, 2012 by Dennis D. Embry, PAXIS Institute Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 2. Maternal and Child Health Conference: Leadership to Action Disclosure  of  Poten/al  for  Conflict  of  Interest • Name of Speaker: Dennis D. Embry, Ph.D. • Title of Presentation: Three Easy Pieces for Maternal and Child Health Policy • Date of Presentation: December 11, 2012 • Financial Disclosure • Grants/Research Support: Yes, Co-Investigator, Towards Flourishing, PHAC • Honoraria: I receive fees to speak at this conference and other Conference • Consulting Fees: Yes, for multiple projects in Canada and the US • Other: Training fees and royalties on multiple copyrights for publications Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 3. Foretelling my talk today A new concept today of evolutionary mismatch that honors wisdom and science Solving linked multi-problems or syndemics instead of one-at-a-time Using low-cost proven strategies for all as public-health policy for Maternal and Child Health (MACH) Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 4. My Three Easy Pieces for Today • Policy Goal 1: Reduce multiple sources of neuro-inflammation before pregnancy, during pregnancy and during childhood—using low-cost, scientifically proven evidence-based kernels. • Policy Goal 2: Recognize, reinforce and reward non-use of tobacco, alcohol & other drugs among women of childbearing age —using low-cost, scientifically proven evidence-based kernels. • Policy Goal 3: Create public-private partnerships to promote specific nurturing environments actionable strategies for children and their caregivers. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 5. The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based kernel for maternal and child health The Epidemiological Observation Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 6. The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based kernel for maternal and child health Chlorine Handwash The Epidemiological Observation The Experimental Observation Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 7. The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based kernel for maternal and child health Chlorine Handwash The Epidemiological Observation The Experimental Observation Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 8. The first low-cost, proven, evidence-based kernel for maternal and child health Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 9. Streptococcus pyogenes The culprit of massive morbidity and mortality of mothers and children. Image credit: CDC Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 10. Streptococcus pyogenes The culprit of massive morbidity and mortality of mothers and children. But the discover caused an intellectual disease: Semmelweis reflex Image credit: CDC Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 11. A policy… A course or principle of action adopted or proposed by a government, party, business, or individual. Also, archaic, prudent or expedient conduct or action: a course of policy and wisdom. ORIGIN late Middle English: from Old French policy ‘civil administration,’ via Latin from Greek politeia ‘citizenship,’ from politēs ‘citizen,’ from polis ‘city.’ policy 2 |ˈpäləsē| noun ( pl. policies ) ORIGIN mid 16th cent.: from French police ‘bill of lading, contract of insurance,’ from Provençal poliss(i)a, probably from medieval Latin apodissa, apodixa, based on Greek apodeixis ‘evidence, proof,’ from apodeiknunai ‘demonstrate, show.’ Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 12. Let us begin with some wisdom and careful observations Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 13. Elder wisdom about child-rearing selected Humans are everyday scientists of their by evolutionary mechanisms successes Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 14. www.thisviewoflife.com “Look up Evolutionary Mismatch” Natural selection adapts organisms to their past environments and has no ability to foresee the future. When the environment changes, adaptations to past environments can misfire in the current situation, producing a mismatch that can only be solved by evolving or by modifying the current environment. Mismatches are an inevitable consequence of evolution in changing environments. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 15. This creates an evolutionary mismatch in the womb Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 16. Early incubator experiences for premies Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 17. Early incubator experiences for premies What did we learn? Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 18. What did this nurse notice about this premie? Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 19. What are we noticing with babies and mums more today? Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 20. Some observable trends: • Increased postpartum depression • More addictions • More “inflammatory” diseases like asthma, diabetes and obesity • More children with disabilities such as autism spectrum disorder • Higher lifetime rates of mental, emotional, behavioral, and related physical disorders Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 21. Increases in Child Problems In Manitoba Indicator Time Period Rates/Prevalence Change ADHD 2000/01 to 2009/10 2.4% to 3.9% 66% increase SP Educ 18.7/1,000 to 2000/01 to 2009/10 106% increase Funding 38.4/1,000 Children in 2000/01-2002/03 to 3.7% to 4.0% 6% increase Care 2006/07-2008/09 Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 22. 2006 Statistics Canada report on the Participation and Activity Limitation Survey (PALS) • According to Statistics Canada, more children in this country have a learning disability than all other types of disabilities combined. • According to Statistics Canada, of all the children with disabilities in this country, more than half (59.8%) have a learning disability. • According to Statistics Canada, more than half a million adults in this country live with a learning disability, making it more challenging for them to learn in universities and colleges, and on the job. • According to Statistics Canada, learning disabilities increased considerably between 2001 and 2006 among Canadians aged 15 and over by almost 40 per cent to 631,000 people, making it one of the fastest growing types of disabilities in Canada that isn’t related to aging. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 23. With various early childhood disabilities increasing, how does that parents and families? Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 24. With various early Impact of child's condition on parental employment for parents of children with childhood disabilities aged 0 to 14, Canada, 2006 disabilities increasing, how does that parents and families? Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 25. Multi-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response Major Connected Causes of the Adverse Trends Predicting MEBs & Related Illnesses Reinforcement Antecedents Physiological Verbal Relations more for anti-social cue anti-social influences trigger occasion perceived than prosocial acts and threats adverse biological threats and related behaviors mechanisms reactions The Same Mismatches Predict Multiple MACH Disorders Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 26. Mood Lo Reward Lo Executive Lo Behavioral Inattention Function Instability Delay Competencies Poor Immune- Motor Healing Skills Multi-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response Dysfunction Major Connected Causes of the Adverse Trends Predicting MEBs & Related Illnesses Reinforcement Antecedents Physiological Verbal Relations more for anti-social cue anti-social influences trigger occasion perceived than prosocial acts and threats adverse biological threats and related behaviors mechanisms reactions The Same Mismatches Predict Multiple MACH Disorders Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 27. Substance Work Obesity, Early Mental Illness Violence Cancer School Abuse Problems etc Sex Failure Mood Lo Reward Lo Executive Lo Behavioral Inattention Function Instability Delay Competencies Poor Immune- STD’s Motor Healing Special Skills Multi-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response Dysfunction Ed Major Connected Causes of the Adverse Trends Predicting MEBs & Related Illnesses Reinforcement Antecedents Physiological Verbal Relations more for anti-social cue anti-social influences trigger occasion perceived than prosocial acts and threats adverse biological threats and related behaviors mechanisms reactions The Same Mismatches Predict Multiple MACH Disorders Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 28. Multi Anti-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response Multiple Behavioral Vaccines Protect the Futures of ALL Children, Youth and Adults Reinforcement Antecedents Physiological Verbal Relations more for prosocial cue prosocial influences trigger occasion perceived behaviors behaviors protective biological safety and mechanisms affiliation Changing Conditions Protect and Prevent MACH Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 29. Mood Hi Reward Hi Executive Hi Behavioral Attention Delay Stability Function Competencies Good Immune- Motor Healing Skills Multi Anti-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response Efficiency Multiple Behavioral Vaccines Protect the Futures of ALL Children, Youth and Adults Reinforcement Antecedents Physiological Verbal Relations more for prosocial cue prosocial influences trigger occasion perceived behaviors behaviors protective biological safety and mechanisms affiliation Changing Conditions Protect and Prevent MACH Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 30. Heart Low Work Low Delayed Mental health Prosociality Success Health Hi Sch. Addictions etc Cancer Sex Grad Mood Hi Reward Hi Executive Hi Behavioral Attention Delay Stability Function Competencies Good Immune- Low Motor Healing Higher Injuries Skills Multi Anti-Inflammatory Brain & Body Response Efficiency Ed Multiple Behavioral Vaccines Protect the Futures of ALL Children, Youth and Adults Reinforcement Antecedents Physiological Verbal Relations more for prosocial cue prosocial influences trigger occasion perceived behaviors behaviors protective biological safety and mechanisms affiliation Changing Conditions Protect and Prevent MACH Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 31. Solving some current mismatches affecting MACH Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 32. Richly Reinforce Pro-social Behaviors Reduce Toxic Influences Limit Problematic Behaviors Increase Psychological Flexibility Biglan, A., B. R. Flay, et al. (2012). "The critical role of nurturing environments for promoting human well-being." American Psychologist. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 33. Mothers and children in Canada do not get sufficient Vitamin D via sunlight Mothers and children in Canada do not eat foods sufficient in Vitamin D This evolutionary mismatch harms MACH Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 34. D. K. Kinney et al. Mismatch, Latitude & Schizophrenia Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009 doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023 Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009 Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections? Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2, priority. William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2 2 Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De- Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/ partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor 4 Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA Fig. 1. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Continent and Infant Mortality. Note: South Asia sites were from India and Indonesia; those sites had higher infant mortality rates than all but one of the East Asian sites. For the Tuesday, December 11, 12 Introduction Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) America,in regressionlinesinNorth variation those withinfantmortalityrates above 30 per 1000 weregroupedas having a higherrate, those below30 as having
  • 35. D. K. Kinney et al. Mismatch, Latitude & Schizophrenia Semmelweis Reflex Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009 doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023 Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009 Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections? Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2, priority. William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2 2 Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De- Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/ partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor 4 Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA Fig. 1. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Continent and Infant Mortality. Note: South Asia sites were from India and Indonesia; those sites had higher infant mortality rates than all but one of the East Asian sites. For the Tuesday, December 11, 12 Introduction Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) America,in regressionlinesinNorth variation those withinfantmortalityrates above 30 per 1000 weregroupedas having a higherrate, those below30 as having
  • 36. D. K. Kinney et al. Mismatch, Fish Intake & Schizophrenia Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009 doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023 Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009 Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections? Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2, priority. William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2 2 Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De- Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/ partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor 4 Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA Fig. 2. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Fish Intake. Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of linear regression lines were 0.03 for sites with high fish intake, 0.21 for sites with Previous surveys found a largeintake, and 0.17 forin moderate fish (>10-fold) variation sitesIntroduction intake. For the subset of Scandinavian sites, the slope of linear regression for was 0.03 for Tuesday, December 11, 12 with low fish
  • 37. D. K. Kinney et al. Mismatch, Fish Intake & Schizophrenia Semmelweis Reflex Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009 doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023 Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009 Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant Mortality, and Skin Color: A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections? Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2, priority. William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2 2 Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; 3De- Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/ partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor 4 Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA Fig. 2. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Fish Intake. Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of linear regression lines were 0.03 for sites with high fish intake, 0.21 for sites with Previous surveys found a largeintake, and 0.17 forin moderate fish (>10-fold) variation sitesIntroduction intake. For the subset of Scandinavian sites, the slope of linear regression for was 0.03 for Tuesday, December 11, 12 with low fish
  • 38. e increased markedly economic status and healthcare, as indexed in our anal- ysis by the infant mortality rate, appears to be a much renia prevalence with weaker predictor of risk for schizophrenia than are lati- d is not due simply to Mismatch, Skin Color & Schizophrenia tude and winter temperature. A high infant mortality rate tic and ascertainment alysis of data collected particularly informa- t controlled for possi- ences in prevalence at investigative person- were used to obtain ent sites within the Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009 studied schizophrenia doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023 Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009 ites in the same time iagnostic criteria and Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant data showedSkin very A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections? Mortality, and a Color: with both latitude w temperature (r = Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2, priority. William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2 cially wide variation in 2 Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/ 3 Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; De- he equator, prevalenceSchool, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical 4 Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA Fig. 3. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Skin Color. at is, for all groups and Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of the Tuesday, December 11, 12 Introduction Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) variation in
  • 39. e increased markedly economic status and healthcare, as indexed in our anal- ysis by the infant mortality rate, appears to be a much renia prevalence with weaker predictor of risk for schizophrenia than are lati- d is not due simply to Mismatch, Skin Color & Schizophrenia tude and winter temperature. A high infant mortality rate tic and ascertainment alysis of data collected Semmelweis particularly informa- Reflex t controlled for possi- ences in prevalence at investigative person- were used to obtain ent sites within the Schizophrenia Bulletin vol. 35 no. 3 pp. 582–595, 2009 studied schizophrenia doi:10.1093/schbul/sbp023 Advance Access publication on April 8, 2009 ites in the same time iagnostic criteria and Relation of Schizophrenia Prevalence to Latitude, Climate, Fish Consumption, Infant data showedSkin very A Role for Prenatal Vitamin D Deficiency and Infections? Mortality, and a Color: with both latitude w temperature (r = Dennis K. Kinney1–3, Pamela Teixeira2, Diane Hsu2, Siena derlie variations in schizophrenia prevalence deserves high C. Napoleon2,4, David J. Crowley2, Andrea Miller2, priority. William Hyman2, and Emerald Huang2 cially wide variation in 2 Key words: epidemiology/etiology/immune function/ 3 Genetics Laboratory, McLean Hospital, Belmont, MA; De- he equator, prevalenceSchool, Boston, MA; prenatal/geography/risk factor partment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical 4 Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA Fig. 3. Schizophrenia Prevalence and Latitude by Skin Color. at is, for all groups and Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. The slopes of the Tuesday, December 11, 12 Introduction Previous surveys found a large (>10-fold) variation in
  • 40. Latitude and Infantile Autism Grant, W. B. and C. M. Soles (2009). "Epidemiologic evidence supporting the role of maternal vitamin D deficiency as a risk factor for the development of infantile autism." Dermatoendocrinol 1(4): 223-228. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 41. Latitude and Infantile Autism Semmelweis Grant, W. B. and C. M. Soles (2009). Reflex "Epidemiologic evidence supporting the role of maternal vitamin D deficiency as a risk factor for the development of infantile autism." Dermatoendocrinol 1(4): 223-228. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 42. Estimated deaths per year would fall by 37,000 people, or about 16%-22% of annual mortality in Canada. And, $14 billion Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 43. Estimated deaths Semmelweis per year would fall by 37,000 people, Reflex or about 16%-22% of annual mortality in Canada. And, $14 billion Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 44. Among pregnant women, lower Vitamin D is associated with: • Adverse fertility • Primary cesarean section parameters (n = 2), (n = 1), • Preeclampsia (n = 5), • Few days' (n = 2) shorter gestation, • Gestational diabetes or higher blood glucose • And, postpartum (n = 6), depression (n = 1) • Bacterial vaginosis (n = 4), Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2012 Dec;91(12):1357-67. doi: 10.1111/ aogs.12000. Epub 2012 Oct 17. The impact of vitamin D on pregnancy: a systematic review. Christesen HT, Falkenberg T, Lamont RF, Jørgensen JS. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 45. Among pregnant women, lower Vitamin D is associated with: Semmelweis • Adverse fertility • Primary cesarean section Reflex parameters (n = 2), (n = 1), • Preeclampsia (n = 5), • Few days' (n = 2) shorter gestation, • Gestational diabetes or higher blood glucose • And, postpartum (n = 6), depression (n = 1) • Bacterial vaginosis (n = 4), Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2012 Dec;91(12):1357-67. doi: 10.1111/ aogs.12000. Epub 2012 Oct 17. The impact of vitamin D on pregnancy: a systematic review. Christesen HT, Falkenberg T, Lamont RF, Jørgensen JS. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 46. Reduced postpartum depression • Reduced lifetime depression, including bipolar disorder • Increased child IQ • Better academic success • Reduced childhood Vitamin D with mental, emotional, and Omega-3 (fish) behavioural disorders Hibbeln, J., J. M. Davis, et al. (2007). "Maternal seafood consumption in pregnancy and neurodevelopmental outcomes in childhood (ALSPAC study): an observational cohort study." The Lancet 369(9561): 578-585. Hibbeln, J. R., L. R. Nieminen, et al. (2006). "Healthy intakes of n-3 and n-6 fatty acids: estimations considering worldwide diversity." American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 83(6 Suppl): 1483S-1493S. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 47. Reduced postpartum depression • Reduced lifetime Semmelweis depression, including Reflex bipolar disorder • Increased child IQ • Better academic success • Reduced childhood Vitamin D with mental, emotional, and Omega-3 (fish) behavioural disorders Hibbeln, J., J. M. Davis, et al. (2007). "Maternal seafood consumption in pregnancy and neurodevelopmental outcomes in childhood (ALSPAC study): an observational cohort study." The Lancet 369(9561): 578-585. Hibbeln, J. R., L. R. Nieminen, et al. (2006). "Healthy intakes of n-3 and n-6 fatty acids: estimations considering worldwide diversity." American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 83(6 Suppl): 1483S-1493S. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 49. Semmelweis Reflex Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 50. Semmelweis Reflex Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 51. Semmelweis Reflex Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 52. Semmelweis Reflex Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 53. Semmelweis Reflex Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 55. Semmelweis Reflex Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 56. Richly Reinforce Pro-social Behaviors Reduce Toxic Influences Limit Problematic Behaviors Increase Psychological Flexibility Biglan, A., B. R. Flay, et al. (2012). "The critical role of nurturing environments for promoting human well-being." American Psychologist. Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 57. How might we reduce alcohol, tobacco, and other drugs among women of child bearing age Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 58. Which warning labels might work? Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 59. Trendline for humorous warnings on binge drinking by women of child-rearing No Warnings Humorous Warnings Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 60. Trendline for humorous warnings on binge drinking by women of child-rearing No Warnings Humorous Warnings 20 16 Percentage 12 8 4 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 61. Trendline for humorous warnings on binge drinking by women of child-rearing No Warnings Humorous Warnings 20 16 Percentage 12 8 4 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 62. Trendline for humorous warnings on binge drinking by women of child-rearing No Warnings Humorous Warnings 20 16 Percentage 12 8 4 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 63. Rewarding Clerks & Stores for Not Welling to Minors Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days Baseline Reward and Reminder Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days Baseline Reward and Reminder 45.0% 18.0% Wyoming Wyoming 40.0% Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days 16.0% Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days 35.0% Baseline Reward and Reminder 14.0% Baseline Reward and Reminder 45.0% 30.0% 18.0% 12.0% Source: Youth Risk 25.0% 40.0% Wyoming 16.0% 10.0% Wyoming Behavior Survey 20.0% 35.0% 8.0% 14.0% (YRBS), Centers for 15.0% 30.0% 10.0% 6.0% 12.0% 4.0% Disease Control 5.0% 25.0% 2.0% 10.0% 0.0% 20.0% 8.0% 18.0% Wisconsin Wisconsin 40.0% 16.0% 15.0% 6.0% 35.0% 14.0% 10.0% 4.0% 30.0% 12.0% 5.0% 25.0% 2.0% 10.0% 20.0% 8.0% 0.0% 15.0% 6.0% 18.0% 10.0% Wisconsin 4.0% Wisconsin 40.0% 16.0% 5.0% 2.0% 35.0% 0.0% 14.0% 18.0% 30.0% United States 12.0% United States 40.0% 16.0% 25.0% 35.0% 10.0% 14.0% 30.0% 12.0% 20.0% 8.0% 25.0% 10.0% 15.0% 6.0% 20.0% 8.0% 10.0% 15.0% 4.0% 6.0% 10.0% 4.0% 5.0% 2.0% 5.0% 2.0% 0.0% Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control 0.0% 0.0% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 18.0% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 United States United States 40.0% = Trend = Wyoming 16.0% = Wisconsin =United States 35.0% 14.0% Tuesday, December 11, 12 30.0% 12.0%
  • 64. Rewarding Clerks & Stores for Not Welling to Minors Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days Baseline Reward and Reminder Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days Baseline Reward and Reminder 45.0% 18.0% Wyoming Wyoming 40.0% Youth Who Smoked During the Last 30 Days 16.0% Youth Who Smoked Every Day the Last 30 Days 35.0% Baseline Reward and Reminder 14.0% Baseline Reward and Reminder 45.0% 30.0% 18.0% 12.0% Source: Youth Risk 25.0% 40.0% Wyoming 16.0% 10.0% Wyoming Behavior Survey 20.0% 35.0% 8.0% 14.0% (YRBS), Centers for 15.0% 30.0% 10.0% 6.0% 12.0% 4.0% Disease Control 5.0% 25.0% 2.0% 10.0% 0.0% 20.0% 8.0% 18.0% Wisconsin Wisconsin 40.0% 16.0% 15.0% 6.0% 35.0% 14.0% 10.0% 4.0% 30.0% 12.0% 5.0% 25.0% 2.0% 10.0% 20.0% 8.0% 0.0% 15.0% 6.0% 18.0% 10.0% Wisconsin 4.0% Wisconsin 40.0% 16.0% 5.0% 2.0% 35.0% 0.0% 14.0% 18.0% 30.0% United States 12.0% United States 40.0% 16.0% 25.0% 35.0% 10.0% 14.0% 30.0% 12.0% 20.0% 8.0% 25.0% 10.0% 15.0% 6.0% 20.0% 8.0% 10.0% 15.0% 4.0% 6.0% 10.0% 4.0% 5.0% 2.0% 5.0% 2.0% 0.0% Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control Source: YRBS, US Centers for Disease Control 0.0% 0.0% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 18.0% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 United States United States 40.0% = Trend = Wyoming 16.0% = Wisconsin =United States 35.0% 14.0% Tuesday, December 11, 12 30.0% 12.0%
  • 65. Wait for the Timer for tobacco addictions with SMI/CMI Antecedent Kernel Happens BEFORE the behavior Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 66. Teaching Psychological flexibility by cognitive defusion the thought d put it on s and a f an fee ling le the s “s tre on am g ” lin ee af nd a ht ug tho a Write I am h avin g a se nsa tio no f… I am ha ving at… a fe elin th g of ht … ug tho the in g hav I am Copyright © 2007-2012, PAXIS Institute. All rights reserved. May be reproduced but not sold. www.paxtalk.com Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 67. Teaching Psychological flexibility by cognitive defusion the thought d put it on s and a f an fee ling le the s “s tre on am g ” lin ee af nd a ht ug tho a Write I am h avin g a se nsa tio no f… I am ha ving at… a fe elin th g of ht … ug tho the in g hav I am Copyright © 2007-2012, PAXIS Institute. All rights reserved. May be reproduced but not sold. www.paxtalk.com Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 68. Lifespan example of one kernel for prevention, intervention and treatment Reinforcement Kernel Happens AFTER the behavior Available from Amazon.com for $45 Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 69. Mobilizing for MACH Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 70. Implementation & Logic Models See: Multi-problem analyses Predict Create Plan Population- Identify Benefits: Level Change: Nurturing Environments Logic Model for population-level benefits Cultivate Create Community Prevention Identify Score/Dashboard Update Research Databases for Proven Prevention Solutions Document Launch Social Marketing: Advocacy & Media Population-Level Targeting Products Performance B Developmen Birth Childhood ta l stages Low Report Adolescence Adulthood Intensity Hi Multiple reach Fa Sc Place Price els m ho ilie Settings o lev Or s ga ls A Co ni mm atio ach un ns itie /re s C Promotion sity en Recognize & Reward Int successes in/by High Intensity Low reach Note: Workforce development efficiency achieved by broad use of similar/same evidence-based Create Monitor & Coach strategies or evidence-based kernels. & Developed by PAXIS Institute © 2010-2012, all rights reserved. May be freely reporduced in total with attribution and notice Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 71. Epigenesis Social Biological Environmental Inputs These Genesis Epigenetics are Nurturing or Toxic polygenes Environments, heritable Disease, or can be changes in Threats “added”, gene expression “subtracted”, caused by “divided”, or mechanisms “multiplied.” M g or lin Phosphorlyation other than ph na og Acetylation changes in the Sig en Methylation underlying DNA sis Histone Remodeling sequence. Chromatin Stucture Changes Development Immunity Stem Cell Changes Imprinting These changes Parent, can pass 1st Generation Three through multiple Generation Baby, generations. Effects 2nd Generation Reproductive Cells, 3rd Generation Tuesday, December 11, 12
  • 72. Thank you Dennis D. Embry dde@paxis.org Tuesday, December 11, 12