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Role of the Board in Determining
 Dividend, Financing, and Investment
                Policies
    Achieving Shareholder Wealth Maximization
                   Module 13
                                 Dr. Demir Yener
Corporate Governance
                         Senior Corporate Governance and
 Development Center              Finance Advisor
                                USAID/BPI Project
                              Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
Purpose: To explain the role of the board in determining
dividend, investment and financing policies to achieve the
shareholder wealth maximization objective.

Outline:
 The role of the board in determining dividend, investment
  and financing policies
 The impact of these decisions on value creation
 Beneficiaries of value creation
 Lessons learned

                                                             2
                                                             2
Learning Objectives:

 Understand the role of the boards in determining
  dividend, financing and investment policies
 How the board set targets and determines the
  dividend, investment and financing policies
 Board responsibility to ensure value maximization for
  the shareholders




                                                          3
                                                          3
Strategic Role of the Board of Directors
               Revisited




                                           4
                                           4
Corporate Governance
Is defined as:
“the set of rules by which companies are
  managed and supervised by its relevant
  investor bodies such as the boards
  elected by shareholders.
Practicing good corporate ensures
  investors a fair rate of return.”

                                       5
                                       5
Key Fundamentals of CG Environment




               Four Values of Corporate Governance




Transparency     Accountability   Responsibility     Fairness


                                                                6
Ownership vs. Management

Information Needs        Different Objectives
• Stock prices           • Managers vs.
• Returns on               stockholders
  investment             • Top mgmt vs.
• Issues of shares         operating mgmt
  and other securities   • Stockholders vs.
• Dividends                creditors
• Financing
                                                7
Financial Markets


           Primary
           Markets




          Funds
                     Second
 OTC
                       ary
markets
                     markets


                               8
Interactions Between Financial Market Participants


                    Investors

                                 Intermedi
        Issuers
                                    aries


                    Financial
                    Markets


                                                     9
Good Governance Improves Performance

Disclosure and Transparency
• Disclosure of financial position helps set clear targets
• Holds all employees responsible and accountable for results

Audit Committee
• Checks on executive management
• Brings market perspective on risk

Management Compensation Committee
• Critical for creating the right incentives to ensure the success of strategies

Independent Directors
• Bring fresh and objective perspective to board decision making process
                                                                                   10
                                                                                   10
Competitiveness and Governance
 Adopting sound corporate governance practices help
  firms compete more efficiently and effectively
 Market valuation improves as corporate governance
  is improved
 Focusing on wealth maximization (not profit
  maximization) is an attainable goal for the firm




                                                   11
                                                   11
Good Corporate Governance Focuses on
             a Model in which…
Shareholders Elect the Board


The Board develops the strategy


S/Hs require that board is transparent


All relevant and material information is
disclosed to S/Hs and investors


All actions of the firm are within the law

                                             12
                                             12
Strategic Role of the Board of Directors


OECD Principles (2004) on the strategic role of the Board
 Reviewing and guiding corporate strategy
 Approving major plans of action
 Approving risk policy
 Approving annual budgets and business plans; setting
  performance objectives
 Monitoring implementation and corporate performance.

                                                      13
                                                      13
Role of the Board in Finance Function


OECD Principles (2004) on the strategic role of the
  Board states that:

“The board should fulfill certain key functions
  including:… overseeing major capital expenditures,
  acquisitions and divestitures.”



                                                       14
The Goal of the Firm



To maximize the wealth of shareholders.




                                      15
                                      15
Motivation to Invest


Why invest in a company?




                           16
                           16
Rate of Return Expectations

• Key factors in attracting investment:

• Firms must build investor confidence that a rate of
  return on invested capital can be assured to the
  investors.

• There must be a conducive environment for
  corporate governance to protect the rights of
  shareholders
                                                        17
                                                        17
Dividends in Mongolian Regulatory Framework


 Mongolian CG Code, Chapter 8 provides for dividend
  policy.
    8.1 Policy on dividend policy
 Mongolian Companies Law, Chapter 6: Dividend
  distribution and transfers of a company` s property
  provides for:
    Article 46 Payment of dividends
    Article 47 Conditions Relative to Payment of Dividends
    Article 48 Limitations on Disposition of a Company`s
     Property
                                                              18
                                                              18
Board’s Role in Wealth Maximization
 The Board represents the interests of shareholders
  who demand a rate of return for their investment.
 Executive management‟s goal is to create value for
  stockholders.
 This goal is consistent with the wealth maximization
  objective.
 Directors determine manager‟s compensation or
  replace them.
 Directors monitor, control and guide the actions of the
  executive management.
                                                       19
                                                       19
Dividend, Financing and Investment Policies




             Dividend, Investment and Financing Decisions   20
                                                            20
Three Wealth Maximizing Decisions of the Board

                          The optimal
                           combination of the three
      Investment           policy decisions ensure
                           value maximization.
                          Executive management
                           is responsible for
                           implementing the
Financing     Dividend
                           wealth maximizing
                           policies for
                           shareholders
                                                  21
                                                  21
CORPORATE FINANCE FRAMEWORK




                    • Allocating                                    • Implementing                       • Issue securities




                                                 FINANCING POLICY




                                                                                               MARKETS
INVESTMENT POLICY




                                             2                                             1
                      capital                                         Investment-                          for LT Funds
                    • Ensuring                                        Finance-                             from investors
                                                                      Dividend                             (Bonds and
                      operational                                     Policies                             Stocks)
                      efficiencies
                                                                    • Capital                            • Raise ST
                    • Creating S/H                                    Budgeting            5               Funds from
                      value (Wealth                                   (Investment                          banks
                      maximization)                                   Decisions)
                                         3                          • Cash Budgeting   4
                                                                      (Operational)

                               1=Raise capital in the markets, issue equity/debt
                               2=Allocate (Investing) funds in the firm
                               3=Generate operating profits
                               4=Pay taxes, dividends and Interest
                               5=Reinvest profits after tax (Retained Earnings)                                       22
ROLE OF THE BOARD IN CORPORATE FINANCE
           YES
                  Initiate Plan                GOAL:
         Plan                              Maximize value
                               NO
        = Goal?                             Minimize risk
                          Reexamine                                                       External
                         Assumptions                       Tangible Goals
                                                                                         Environment
                                                   Strategies


                  Long-Term
                                           Short- Term Liquidity                   Financial
                 Investment
                                                Structure                          Structure
                  Decisions      Level of
                              Operating Assets
                                                        FINANCING POLICY
                                                 Corporate Capital Structure: Leverage


                             Risk                                   Required
                            Factor                                Rate of Return
                                             Trade-offs
Financing Package Plan & Analysis
                                                 Options                                               23
A STRATEGIC INVESTMENT TOOL: CAPITAL BUDGETING
                                                 INVESTMENT
                                                  DECISIONS


                      INVESTING          Develop new        Merger with or                Other
                        In new            products          Acquisition of             Investments
                      Equipment             (R&D)           Outside firms            (environmental)


     • Sales Forecast                                                                  •   Payback Method
     • Operating Expense                                            Selection Of
                                   Determining                                         •   Average Rate of Return
       Forecast                                                     Best Ranking
                                   Cash-Flows                                          •   Internal Rate of Return
     • Level of Working Capital                                       Method           •   Net Present Value
       Needed to Support Sales                                                         •   Profitability Index
     • Free Cash Flows

                                                                          Required         • Under conditions of certainty:
• Under conditions of certainty:    Risk            Trade-offs            Rate of            Present Value
  No specific measure              Factor
                                                                          Return           • Under conditions of
• Under conditions of
                                                                                             uncertainty:
  uncertainty:
                                                                                              • Expected Present Value
• Standard Deviation/Expected
                                                                                              • Expected Utility
  Return                                                         Capital Rationing
• Coefficient of Variation           Selection of                   Constraint
                                   Capitalization Rate



             Proceed to Plan=Goal Diagram         Selection of
                                               Investment Project                                                 24
Wealth Maximizing Decision
Choose the investment alternative
 that offers the highest possible Net
 Present Value.

                  NPV > 0
     (For a given a required risk adjusted return)

                                                     25
                                                     25
VALUATION



            26
Role of the Board for Valuation in the Mongolian
Companies Law
 Article 55. Determination of the Market Value of
   Property and Property Rights
 • Provides for the role of the Board in the
    determination of the value of property and property
    rights, including the value of the shares and
    securities.
 • The article also provides for the treatment of market
   valuation and requires votes of the majority of
   members of Board of Directors, who have no conflict
   of interest in the transaction to determine the value.
                                                        27
The Value of Common Stocks

•   How To Value Common Stock
•   Capitalization Rates
•   Stock Prices and EPS
•   Cash Flows and the Value of a Business
•   Price Earnings Multiple (P/E)




                                             28
What Is The Purpose Of Value Creation?
Focusing on value creation will:
• improve attractiveness of the company to
  investors or buyers
• maximize value in joint ventures increasing the
  potential value of the firm
• improve the strategic planning process
• provide a framework to reward company
  managers
• And above all – maximize the wealth of
  shareholders                                    29
Scenarios For Uses Of Valuation
• By companies to carry out their business:
   – Strategic planning, investments, new business launches, benchmarking, capital
     budgeting, performance measurement
   – Mergers, acquisitions, strategic alliances, joint ventures (JVs) and divestitures
   – Pre-acquisition value studies performed on either an entity or operating unit level
   – Pre-acquisition purchase price allocations for financial and tax planning and
     reporting
• By investment bankers as transaction advisors
   – M&A, divestitures, leveraged buy-outs (LBOs)
   – Initial public offerings (IPOs)
   – Equity offerings
• By investors to decide whether to buy an asset:
   – Private equity/LBO players, venture capital funds, hedge funds
   – Asset managers, institutional investors
   – Investing public                                                                30
Financial Information: Major Financial Statements
                      (IFRS)
   Balance            Income                  Cash Flow            Other
    Sheet            Statement                Statement         Disclosures

   List of assets
                                                                 Statement of
   and liabilities
                                                                  changes in
   at a moment          Shows                    Shows cash         equity
      in time.        revenues                    payments
                      and costs                  and receipts
                       during a                    over a
     Difference       specified                   specified
    between the         period                     period
       two is                                                       Notes
   “shareholder’
      s equity”
                        Financial Controls, Auditing and                    31
                                   Disclosure
Methods Of Business Valuation
Asset Based Valuation
•   Adjusted Book Value
•   Net Asset Value
•   Replacement Value
•   Liquidation Value (break-up value)

Going Concern Value

• The Earnings Multiplier Method (P/E)
• Payback Method
• Discounted Cash Flow Method (DCF): a.k.a. the “income
  capitalization method

                                                          32
Stocks & Stock Market

• Common Stock - Ownership shares in a publicly
  held corporation.
• Secondary Market - market in which already issued
  securities are traded by investors.
• Dividend - Periodic cash distribution from the firm to
  the shareholders.
• P/E Ratio - Price per share divided by earnings per
  share.


                                                       33
Stocks & Stock Market

• Book Value - Net worth of the firm according to the
  balance sheet.
• Liquidation Value - Net proceeds that would be
  realized by selling the firm‟s assets and paying off its
  creditors.
• Market Value Balance Sheet – Financial statement
  that uses market value of assets and liabilities.




                                                         34
Investment Criteria for Valuation

                  Cash
                  flow:
                Liquidity




                Criteria


      Safety:                 Yield:
     Level of               Expecte
       Risk                 d Return


                                       35
What Do Different Investors Seek from an
              Investment?
   Type of           What they                Expected
  Investors           Seek                    Outcomes
   BOD of company    Expand market share       Business Growth


    Management        Cash flow, partners        Liquidity & Job
                                                    Security
                        New markets,            Diversification &
    Entrepreneurs
                      undervalued assets            growth
                     Strong mgmt, growth
   Venture Capital                                Capital gains
                           & value

     Fund Mgrs        Diversified Portfolio    Risk diversification
                                                                    36
Investor Risk Return Preferences

• The valuation of an asset reflects the risk-return
  preferences of an investor
• Risk and return criteria are largely a personal
  phenomenon, and is explained by the “Behavioral
  Finance” theory.
• This may explain why some investors prefer safety or
  liquidity over return for riskier investments.
• In the end, these preferences will have an impact on
  the required rate of return criteria, based on a level of
  perceived risk from an investment.

                                                          37
Valuing Common Stocks

• Expected Return –

• The percentage yield that an investor forecasts from
  a specific investment over a set period of time.
  Sometimes called the market capitalization rate.

• This is the key concept in valuation



                                                         38
Asset Valuation

• Function of both return and risk
   – At the center of security analysis
• How should realized return and risk be measured?
   – The realized risk-return tradeoff is based on the past
   – The expected risk-return tradeoff is uncertain and may not
     occur




                                                                  6-39
Measuring Returns

• For comparing performance over time or across
  different securities
• Total Return is a percentage relating all dividend
  cash flows received during a given time period,
  denoted expected Dividends at time t + (Expected
  Price of stock „Pe‟ less Beginning price of stock Pb at
  b), divided by the start of period price, Pb

                           Dividendst (Pe    Pb )
           Total Re turn
                                    Pb
                                                    6-40
Fundamental Analysis

• Present value approach
   – Capitalization of expected income
   – Intrinsic value based on the discounted value of the
     expected stream of cash flows
• Multiple of earnings approach
   – Valuation relative to a financial performance measure
   – Justified P/E ratio




                                                             41
Present Value Approach

• Intrinsic value of a security is

                                         n Cash       Flows
    Value of security                                        t
                                        t 1    (1       k)

• Estimated intrinsic value compared to the current
  market price
   – What if market price is different than estimated intrinsic value?



                                                                   42
Required Inputs

• Discount rate or the Required Rate of Return
   – Required rate of return: minimum expected rate to induce
     purchase
   – The opportunity cost of dollars used for investment


• Expected cash flows
   – Stream of dividends or other cash payouts over the life of the
     investment




                                                                 43
Dividend Discount Model

• Assume a constant growth in dividends
   – Dividends expected to grow at a constant rate, g, over time


                                   D1
                         P0
                                  k g
   Where:
   – D1 is the expected dividend at end of the first period
   – D1 =D0 (1+g)


                                                                   44
P/E Ratio or Earnings Multiplier Approach
 • Alternative approach often used by security analysts
 • P/E ratio is the strength with which investors value
   earnings as expressed in stock price
    – Divide the current market price of the stock by the latest 12-
      month earnings
    – Price paid for each $1 of earnings




                                                                   45
P/E Ratio Approach

• To estimate share value

  P    estimated earnings        justified P/E rati
                                                  o
   o
                            or
                 P     E         P /E
                  o     1         o 1




                                                      46
P/E Ratio

• P/E ratio can be derived from

                                    D1
                          Po
                                   k -g
or
                                     D1 /E1
                        Po /E1
                                     k -g

Indicating the factors that affect the estimated P/E ratio   47
Important Variables in Valuation

1- Discount Rate

K = Risk adjusted discount rate (cost of capital)
k= Risk Free Rate + Risk Premium

2- Growth Rate
g= Growth rate in earnings
g= ROE * (1 – dividend payout ratio)
Which Approach Is Best?

• Best estimate is probably the present value of the
  (estimated) dividends
   – Can future dividends be estimated with accuracy?
   – Investors like to focus on capital gains not dividends
• P/E multiplier remains popular for its ease in use and
  the objections to the dividend discount model




                                                              49
Which Approach Is Best?

• Complementary approaches?
   – P/E ratio can be derived from the constant-growth version of
     the dividend discount model
   – Dividends are paid out of earnings
   – Using both increases the likelihood of obtaining reasonable
     results
• Dealing with uncertain future is always subject to
  error



                                                                50
Other Multiples

• Price-to-book value ratio
  – Ratio of share price to stockholder equity as measured on
    the balance sheet
  – Price paid for each $1 of equity

• Price-to-sales ratio
  – Ratio of a company‟s total market value (price times number
    of shares) divided by sales
  – Market valuation of a firm‟s revenues


                                                                51
DIVIDEND DECISIONS



                     52
Factors Affecting Dividend Decisions

   Constraints on              Investment
 Dividend Payments            Opportunities

                  Dividend
                  Decisions

 Availability and cost   Effects of dividend
of alternative sources    policy on cost of
       of capital              capital
                                               53
Constraints on Dividend Payments
1. Bond Indentures
2. Preferred Stock Restrictions
3. Impairment of capital rule
4. Availability of cash
5. Penalty tax on improperly accumulated
   earnings

                                       54
                                       54
Investment Opportunities

1. Number of available profitable
   investment opportunities
2. Possibility of accelerating or delaying
   projects



                                             55
                                             55
Financing: Alternative Sources of Capital

 1. Cost of selling new stock
 2. Ability to substitute debt for equity
 3. Control issues




                                            56
                                            56
Effect of Dividend Policy on Cost of Capital

1. Stockholders‟ desire for current versus future
   income
2. Perceived riskiness of dividends over capital
   gains
3. The tax advantage of capital gains over
   dividends
4. The information content of dividends
   (signaling effect)
                                                57
                                                57
Break Out Session
Participants are divided into two groups (45 minutes)

Group One: (1) Please discuss the four broad sets of
  factors that that affect dividend policy in Mongolian
  firms. (2) What constraints affect dividend policies?

Group Two: (1) How do investment opportunities affect
  dividend policy in Mongolian firms? (2) How does the
  availability and cost of outside capital affect dividend
  policy?
                                                          58
                                                          58
Summary and Conclusion
   The ultimate goal of the firm is SH wealth maximization. Board is charged
    with the strategy formulation and management oversight towards reaching
    this goal.
   Good governance is rewarded with a higher market valuation.
   Corporate governance can be improved by pursuing the goal of wealth
    maximization.
   Attaining the competitive viability of the firm is an essential element of
    governance.
   The firm‟s dividend payout is largely affected by its investment and financing
    decisions.
   A number of factors affect dividend decisions, including the corporate
    capital structure, the cost of capital and cash flows.
   Implementing globally accepted best practices of corporate governance will
    result in achieving better access to finance.
   The active cooperation between firms and stakeholders will create wealth,
    jobs and sustain the financially viable enterprises.
                                                                           59
                                                                           59
The End




          60
          60

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Finance invest-dividend policy&value creation-april 14 2012_final

  • 1. Role of the Board in Determining Dividend, Financing, and Investment Policies Achieving Shareholder Wealth Maximization Module 13 Dr. Demir Yener Corporate Governance Senior Corporate Governance and Development Center Finance Advisor USAID/BPI Project Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
  • 2. Purpose: To explain the role of the board in determining dividend, investment and financing policies to achieve the shareholder wealth maximization objective. Outline:  The role of the board in determining dividend, investment and financing policies  The impact of these decisions on value creation  Beneficiaries of value creation  Lessons learned 2 2
  • 3. Learning Objectives:  Understand the role of the boards in determining dividend, financing and investment policies  How the board set targets and determines the dividend, investment and financing policies  Board responsibility to ensure value maximization for the shareholders 3 3
  • 4. Strategic Role of the Board of Directors Revisited 4 4
  • 5. Corporate Governance Is defined as: “the set of rules by which companies are managed and supervised by its relevant investor bodies such as the boards elected by shareholders. Practicing good corporate ensures investors a fair rate of return.” 5 5
  • 6. Key Fundamentals of CG Environment Four Values of Corporate Governance Transparency Accountability Responsibility Fairness 6
  • 7. Ownership vs. Management Information Needs Different Objectives • Stock prices • Managers vs. • Returns on stockholders investment • Top mgmt vs. • Issues of shares operating mgmt and other securities • Stockholders vs. • Dividends creditors • Financing 7
  • 8. Financial Markets Primary Markets Funds Second OTC ary markets markets 8
  • 9. Interactions Between Financial Market Participants Investors Intermedi Issuers aries Financial Markets 9
  • 10. Good Governance Improves Performance Disclosure and Transparency • Disclosure of financial position helps set clear targets • Holds all employees responsible and accountable for results Audit Committee • Checks on executive management • Brings market perspective on risk Management Compensation Committee • Critical for creating the right incentives to ensure the success of strategies Independent Directors • Bring fresh and objective perspective to board decision making process 10 10
  • 11. Competitiveness and Governance  Adopting sound corporate governance practices help firms compete more efficiently and effectively  Market valuation improves as corporate governance is improved  Focusing on wealth maximization (not profit maximization) is an attainable goal for the firm 11 11
  • 12. Good Corporate Governance Focuses on a Model in which… Shareholders Elect the Board The Board develops the strategy S/Hs require that board is transparent All relevant and material information is disclosed to S/Hs and investors All actions of the firm are within the law 12 12
  • 13. Strategic Role of the Board of Directors OECD Principles (2004) on the strategic role of the Board  Reviewing and guiding corporate strategy  Approving major plans of action  Approving risk policy  Approving annual budgets and business plans; setting performance objectives  Monitoring implementation and corporate performance. 13 13
  • 14. Role of the Board in Finance Function OECD Principles (2004) on the strategic role of the Board states that: “The board should fulfill certain key functions including:… overseeing major capital expenditures, acquisitions and divestitures.” 14
  • 15. The Goal of the Firm To maximize the wealth of shareholders. 15 15
  • 16. Motivation to Invest Why invest in a company? 16 16
  • 17. Rate of Return Expectations • Key factors in attracting investment: • Firms must build investor confidence that a rate of return on invested capital can be assured to the investors. • There must be a conducive environment for corporate governance to protect the rights of shareholders 17 17
  • 18. Dividends in Mongolian Regulatory Framework  Mongolian CG Code, Chapter 8 provides for dividend policy.  8.1 Policy on dividend policy  Mongolian Companies Law, Chapter 6: Dividend distribution and transfers of a company` s property provides for:  Article 46 Payment of dividends  Article 47 Conditions Relative to Payment of Dividends  Article 48 Limitations on Disposition of a Company`s Property 18 18
  • 19. Board’s Role in Wealth Maximization  The Board represents the interests of shareholders who demand a rate of return for their investment.  Executive management‟s goal is to create value for stockholders.  This goal is consistent with the wealth maximization objective.  Directors determine manager‟s compensation or replace them.  Directors monitor, control and guide the actions of the executive management. 19 19
  • 20. Dividend, Financing and Investment Policies Dividend, Investment and Financing Decisions 20 20
  • 21. Three Wealth Maximizing Decisions of the Board  The optimal combination of the three Investment policy decisions ensure value maximization.  Executive management is responsible for implementing the Financing Dividend wealth maximizing policies for shareholders 21 21
  • 22. CORPORATE FINANCE FRAMEWORK • Allocating • Implementing • Issue securities FINANCING POLICY MARKETS INVESTMENT POLICY 2 1 capital Investment- for LT Funds • Ensuring Finance- from investors Dividend (Bonds and operational Policies Stocks) efficiencies • Capital • Raise ST • Creating S/H Budgeting 5 Funds from value (Wealth (Investment banks maximization) Decisions) 3 • Cash Budgeting 4 (Operational) 1=Raise capital in the markets, issue equity/debt 2=Allocate (Investing) funds in the firm 3=Generate operating profits 4=Pay taxes, dividends and Interest 5=Reinvest profits after tax (Retained Earnings) 22
  • 23. ROLE OF THE BOARD IN CORPORATE FINANCE YES Initiate Plan GOAL: Plan Maximize value NO = Goal? Minimize risk Reexamine External Assumptions Tangible Goals Environment Strategies Long-Term Short- Term Liquidity Financial Investment Structure Structure Decisions Level of Operating Assets FINANCING POLICY Corporate Capital Structure: Leverage Risk Required Factor Rate of Return Trade-offs Financing Package Plan & Analysis Options 23
  • 24. A STRATEGIC INVESTMENT TOOL: CAPITAL BUDGETING INVESTMENT DECISIONS INVESTING Develop new Merger with or Other In new products Acquisition of Investments Equipment (R&D) Outside firms (environmental) • Sales Forecast • Payback Method • Operating Expense Selection Of Determining • Average Rate of Return Forecast Best Ranking Cash-Flows • Internal Rate of Return • Level of Working Capital Method • Net Present Value Needed to Support Sales • Profitability Index • Free Cash Flows Required • Under conditions of certainty: • Under conditions of certainty: Risk Trade-offs Rate of Present Value No specific measure Factor Return • Under conditions of • Under conditions of uncertainty: uncertainty: • Expected Present Value • Standard Deviation/Expected • Expected Utility Return Capital Rationing • Coefficient of Variation Selection of Constraint Capitalization Rate Proceed to Plan=Goal Diagram Selection of Investment Project 24
  • 25. Wealth Maximizing Decision Choose the investment alternative that offers the highest possible Net Present Value. NPV > 0 (For a given a required risk adjusted return) 25 25
  • 26. VALUATION 26
  • 27. Role of the Board for Valuation in the Mongolian Companies Law Article 55. Determination of the Market Value of Property and Property Rights • Provides for the role of the Board in the determination of the value of property and property rights, including the value of the shares and securities. • The article also provides for the treatment of market valuation and requires votes of the majority of members of Board of Directors, who have no conflict of interest in the transaction to determine the value. 27
  • 28. The Value of Common Stocks • How To Value Common Stock • Capitalization Rates • Stock Prices and EPS • Cash Flows and the Value of a Business • Price Earnings Multiple (P/E) 28
  • 29. What Is The Purpose Of Value Creation? Focusing on value creation will: • improve attractiveness of the company to investors or buyers • maximize value in joint ventures increasing the potential value of the firm • improve the strategic planning process • provide a framework to reward company managers • And above all – maximize the wealth of shareholders 29
  • 30. Scenarios For Uses Of Valuation • By companies to carry out their business: – Strategic planning, investments, new business launches, benchmarking, capital budgeting, performance measurement – Mergers, acquisitions, strategic alliances, joint ventures (JVs) and divestitures – Pre-acquisition value studies performed on either an entity or operating unit level – Pre-acquisition purchase price allocations for financial and tax planning and reporting • By investment bankers as transaction advisors – M&A, divestitures, leveraged buy-outs (LBOs) – Initial public offerings (IPOs) – Equity offerings • By investors to decide whether to buy an asset: – Private equity/LBO players, venture capital funds, hedge funds – Asset managers, institutional investors – Investing public 30
  • 31. Financial Information: Major Financial Statements (IFRS) Balance Income Cash Flow Other Sheet Statement Statement Disclosures List of assets Statement of and liabilities changes in at a moment Shows Shows cash equity in time. revenues payments and costs and receipts during a over a Difference specified specified between the period period two is Notes “shareholder’ s equity” Financial Controls, Auditing and 31 Disclosure
  • 32. Methods Of Business Valuation Asset Based Valuation • Adjusted Book Value • Net Asset Value • Replacement Value • Liquidation Value (break-up value) Going Concern Value • The Earnings Multiplier Method (P/E) • Payback Method • Discounted Cash Flow Method (DCF): a.k.a. the “income capitalization method 32
  • 33. Stocks & Stock Market • Common Stock - Ownership shares in a publicly held corporation. • Secondary Market - market in which already issued securities are traded by investors. • Dividend - Periodic cash distribution from the firm to the shareholders. • P/E Ratio - Price per share divided by earnings per share. 33
  • 34. Stocks & Stock Market • Book Value - Net worth of the firm according to the balance sheet. • Liquidation Value - Net proceeds that would be realized by selling the firm‟s assets and paying off its creditors. • Market Value Balance Sheet – Financial statement that uses market value of assets and liabilities. 34
  • 35. Investment Criteria for Valuation Cash flow: Liquidity Criteria Safety: Yield: Level of Expecte Risk d Return 35
  • 36. What Do Different Investors Seek from an Investment? Type of What they Expected Investors Seek Outcomes BOD of company Expand market share Business Growth Management Cash flow, partners Liquidity & Job Security New markets, Diversification & Entrepreneurs undervalued assets growth Strong mgmt, growth Venture Capital Capital gains & value Fund Mgrs Diversified Portfolio Risk diversification 36
  • 37. Investor Risk Return Preferences • The valuation of an asset reflects the risk-return preferences of an investor • Risk and return criteria are largely a personal phenomenon, and is explained by the “Behavioral Finance” theory. • This may explain why some investors prefer safety or liquidity over return for riskier investments. • In the end, these preferences will have an impact on the required rate of return criteria, based on a level of perceived risk from an investment. 37
  • 38. Valuing Common Stocks • Expected Return – • The percentage yield that an investor forecasts from a specific investment over a set period of time. Sometimes called the market capitalization rate. • This is the key concept in valuation 38
  • 39. Asset Valuation • Function of both return and risk – At the center of security analysis • How should realized return and risk be measured? – The realized risk-return tradeoff is based on the past – The expected risk-return tradeoff is uncertain and may not occur 6-39
  • 40. Measuring Returns • For comparing performance over time or across different securities • Total Return is a percentage relating all dividend cash flows received during a given time period, denoted expected Dividends at time t + (Expected Price of stock „Pe‟ less Beginning price of stock Pb at b), divided by the start of period price, Pb Dividendst (Pe Pb ) Total Re turn Pb 6-40
  • 41. Fundamental Analysis • Present value approach – Capitalization of expected income – Intrinsic value based on the discounted value of the expected stream of cash flows • Multiple of earnings approach – Valuation relative to a financial performance measure – Justified P/E ratio 41
  • 42. Present Value Approach • Intrinsic value of a security is n Cash Flows Value of security t t 1 (1 k) • Estimated intrinsic value compared to the current market price – What if market price is different than estimated intrinsic value? 42
  • 43. Required Inputs • Discount rate or the Required Rate of Return – Required rate of return: minimum expected rate to induce purchase – The opportunity cost of dollars used for investment • Expected cash flows – Stream of dividends or other cash payouts over the life of the investment 43
  • 44. Dividend Discount Model • Assume a constant growth in dividends – Dividends expected to grow at a constant rate, g, over time D1 P0 k g Where: – D1 is the expected dividend at end of the first period – D1 =D0 (1+g) 44
  • 45. P/E Ratio or Earnings Multiplier Approach • Alternative approach often used by security analysts • P/E ratio is the strength with which investors value earnings as expressed in stock price – Divide the current market price of the stock by the latest 12- month earnings – Price paid for each $1 of earnings 45
  • 46. P/E Ratio Approach • To estimate share value P estimated earnings justified P/E rati o o or P E P /E o 1 o 1 46
  • 47. P/E Ratio • P/E ratio can be derived from D1 Po k -g or D1 /E1 Po /E1 k -g Indicating the factors that affect the estimated P/E ratio 47
  • 48. Important Variables in Valuation 1- Discount Rate K = Risk adjusted discount rate (cost of capital) k= Risk Free Rate + Risk Premium 2- Growth Rate g= Growth rate in earnings g= ROE * (1 – dividend payout ratio)
  • 49. Which Approach Is Best? • Best estimate is probably the present value of the (estimated) dividends – Can future dividends be estimated with accuracy? – Investors like to focus on capital gains not dividends • P/E multiplier remains popular for its ease in use and the objections to the dividend discount model 49
  • 50. Which Approach Is Best? • Complementary approaches? – P/E ratio can be derived from the constant-growth version of the dividend discount model – Dividends are paid out of earnings – Using both increases the likelihood of obtaining reasonable results • Dealing with uncertain future is always subject to error 50
  • 51. Other Multiples • Price-to-book value ratio – Ratio of share price to stockholder equity as measured on the balance sheet – Price paid for each $1 of equity • Price-to-sales ratio – Ratio of a company‟s total market value (price times number of shares) divided by sales – Market valuation of a firm‟s revenues 51
  • 53. Factors Affecting Dividend Decisions Constraints on Investment Dividend Payments Opportunities Dividend Decisions Availability and cost Effects of dividend of alternative sources policy on cost of of capital capital 53
  • 54. Constraints on Dividend Payments 1. Bond Indentures 2. Preferred Stock Restrictions 3. Impairment of capital rule 4. Availability of cash 5. Penalty tax on improperly accumulated earnings 54 54
  • 55. Investment Opportunities 1. Number of available profitable investment opportunities 2. Possibility of accelerating or delaying projects 55 55
  • 56. Financing: Alternative Sources of Capital 1. Cost of selling new stock 2. Ability to substitute debt for equity 3. Control issues 56 56
  • 57. Effect of Dividend Policy on Cost of Capital 1. Stockholders‟ desire for current versus future income 2. Perceived riskiness of dividends over capital gains 3. The tax advantage of capital gains over dividends 4. The information content of dividends (signaling effect) 57 57
  • 58. Break Out Session Participants are divided into two groups (45 minutes) Group One: (1) Please discuss the four broad sets of factors that that affect dividend policy in Mongolian firms. (2) What constraints affect dividend policies? Group Two: (1) How do investment opportunities affect dividend policy in Mongolian firms? (2) How does the availability and cost of outside capital affect dividend policy? 58 58
  • 59. Summary and Conclusion  The ultimate goal of the firm is SH wealth maximization. Board is charged with the strategy formulation and management oversight towards reaching this goal.  Good governance is rewarded with a higher market valuation.  Corporate governance can be improved by pursuing the goal of wealth maximization.  Attaining the competitive viability of the firm is an essential element of governance.  The firm‟s dividend payout is largely affected by its investment and financing decisions.  A number of factors affect dividend decisions, including the corporate capital structure, the cost of capital and cash flows.  Implementing globally accepted best practices of corporate governance will result in achieving better access to finance.  The active cooperation between firms and stakeholders will create wealth, jobs and sustain the financially viable enterprises. 59 59
  • 60. The End 60 60

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Disclosure and transparency: On financials helps a company set clear targetsHolds all employees, from top management down, accountable for resultsAn audit committee:Is an essential check on the CFO and managementBrings a much needed market perspective to risk management strategies and techniquesA management compensation committee is critical for creating the right incentives.Independent outside directors:bring a fresh and objective perspective to the company which is critical for decisions that balances interests of the company insiders with the shareholders
  2. Corporate governance focuses on a model in which: Shareholders elect board of directors who represent them; Directors vote on key matters and adopt the majority decision for strategy of the firm; Decisions are made in a transparent manner so that shareholders and other stakeholders can hold directors accountable; The company adopts accounting standards to generate information necessary for the directors, investors and other stakeholders to make decisions– all relevant, material and timely information is disclosed; The companies’ policies and practices comply with the applicable legal and regulatory frameworks.
  3. The board evaluates major investment projects and strive to choose the ones that promise the highest net present value for the given cost of capital [Investment Policy]Cost of capital is a function of the way in which the firm’s capital structure is formed between SH equity and debt [Financing Policy]The board will also determine the dividend payout policy that will help maximize shareholder value [Dividend Policy]The optimal combination of the three important policies ensure the value maximization principle.Executive management is held responsible and accountable in implementing policies that result in SH wealth maximization
  4. -why focus on shareholder wealth? Because they are the ultimate owners and have taken the most risk and have usually contributed the first dollar of capital, even before the banks
  5. We have discussed the above statements early. Instructor at this point may ask the students to discuss each of the statements based on what was covered so far.
  6. ASSET BASED VALUATION METHODSAdjusted Book Value: This is the historical value as it was entered in the books at the time of the acquisition of the asset less the depreciation;Net Asset Value: This is the net difference between the appraised value of fixed assets and liabilities on the balance sheet;Replacement Value: This reflects the net cost of assets if they were to be purchased today;Liquidation Value (break-up value): This value is the adjusted value of all the assets of the firm under an orderly liquidation.GOING CONCERN VALUEThe Earnings Multiplier Method (P/E): This approach uses the comparable Price per share to Earnings per share (P/E) ratio multiplied by the estimated earnings per share of the firm in order to arrive at a value for the enterprise. Discounted Cash Flow Method (DCF): Also known as the “income capitalization method,” the discounted cash flow (DCF) method is used to find the present value (PV) of the estimated future free cash flows from an investment
  7. Individuals and institutions with funds to invest ("investors") usually have several investment opportunities to choose from  Three criteria define the value of an investment: Level of risk: Safety. how risky is the investmentLiquidity: how quickly can I get my investment back? (through cash flow or sale of the investment) Expected return. Yield. what is the return on the investment?  Investors should be aware of the trade-offs between these criteria
  8. What are the investors looking for? Different types of investors seek different outcomes in utilizing specific valuation criteria
  9. Behavioral Finance and InvestmentsInvestors’ decision criteria are based on their considerations relative to expected risk and return from an investment. The theory of finance attempts to explain the decisions of investors by viewing them as rational actors looking out for their self-interest, given the sometimes inefficient nature of the market. The “Efficient Markets Hypothesis” that had long been the basis for the assumption that investors are essentially rational decision makers in the markets has recently been refuted by the “Behavioral Finance” discipline, that fuses psychology with finance. One of the primary observations of the “behavioral finance” holds that investors (and people in general) make decisions on imprecise impressions and beliefs rather than rational analysis. A second observation states that the way a question or problem is framed to an investor will influence the decision he/she ultimately makes. These two observations largely explain market inefficiencies; that is, behavioral finance holds that markets are sometimes inefficient because people are not mathematical equations. The newly emerging field of behavioral finance, stands in stark contrast to the efficient markets theory. Behavioral finance combines psychology and economics to explain why and how investors act and to analyze how that behavior affects the market.Behavioral finance theorists point to the market phenomenon of hot stocks and bubbles, from the Dutch tulip bulb mania that caused a market crash in the 17th century to the more recent examples of junk bonds in the 1980s and Internet stocks in the 1990s, and to the 2000’s financial market crash to validate their position that market prices can be affected by the irrational behavior of investors.Behavioral finance is in conflict with the perspective of efficient market theory, which maintains that market prices are based on rational foundations, like the fundamental financial health and performance of a company.Source: Farlex Financial Dictionary. © 2009 Farlex, Inc. All Rights Reserved 
  10. Factors affecting dividend decisions for a firm are grouped into four broad categories as discussed above.Each of these categories has several subparts which are discussed here.